Announcement

**Udog** · 10-11-2011, 12:37 PM

College football odds: Week 7 opening line report

Somewhere tucked in a back room of the CBS Sports Network, his new employer, former Michigan coach Rich Rodriguez has to be shaking his head.

Because with the majority of Rodriguez’s recruits, new Wolverines coach Brady Hoke is orchestrating a Big Blue Revival. Michigan, en route to a 6-0 start overall, including a 2-0 mark in the Big Ten, has shown fight, has shown heart, and just refuses to quit. All characteristics that were mostly vacant in the previous regime.

On Saturday, the Wolverines overcame a halftime deficit and rallied past Northwestern with ease, 42-24.

"We said what it was. We were down 10 points. We had thrown three interceptions for one reason or another, we'd had three penalties on ourselves offensively, we were not getting off blocks on the back end defensively, and that's what it was,” Hoke said. “That's kind of what we talked about, nothing more, and we talked about how we want to be as a Michigan football team."

How they want to be, of course, is a Big Ten force again. Someone to be reckoned with, someone to be respected and someone to be feared. And while it’s not pretty at times, the Wolverines do appear on their way.

But this week won’t be easy. This will be Hoke’s first Michigan State Week, and he will need to tackle all the pomp and circumstance that goes with it. And oh yeah, distractions aside, the Spartans (4-1, 1-0) are pretty good, too.

So, it certainly presented an interesting matchup to the Las Vegas oddsmakers on Sunday, when they carved out their lines for the week. Even though Michigan has looked good, they are aware of a potential fall.

*********** spoke with Pete Korner who’s the founder of the line consultant group Esportclub, LLC. Bettors should remember his lines are recommendations and not actually the opening numbers from sportsbooks. We'll use the Wynn Las Vegas opening odds and tell you the spreads Korner's group sent out to its clients.

“We had lines all over the place on this one,” said Korner said of the Spartan-Wolverine game. “Really, either team can take this one.”

Home field means a bunch in the Big Ten, of course. So, Korner established the host Spartans as 2-point favorites.

“Really was a tough call, and it could really be a pick here,” Korner said. “But I think Michigan State should be favored. These are not great teams, but they’re good, and it should be entertaining.”

And with that, let’s take a look at some of next week’s other marquee games:

USC (-3) at Cal

“We don’t like either team all that much," Korner, who sent out Trojans -1, said. “I don’t know what to make of this matchup. In the past, there’s been some great games in this rivalry. But about the only thing you can say this time, is that it’s on TV by itself and may draw some interest because of it. But, really, there’s no strong argument for either side.”

Baylor (+9.5) at Texas A&M

“We were all fairly close on this one,” Korner said. “Eventually, we went double digits (10) and it’s deserved for Texas A&M. They’ve been playing well, so we went with the aggressive number.”

Early bettors don't agree. The line was bet down to A&M -8 shortly after the spread opened at -9.5.

LSU (-15) at Tennessee

“We wanted to be careful on this one,” said Korner, who recommended LSU -14. “We’ll be checking all week on injured Tennessee quarterback Tyler Bray, see where his status goes. Normally, with everyone healthy, this would have been 12, but the injuries pushed us up. And with the way LSU is playing, we wanted to be aggressive.”

Shortly after talking to us, word came down that Bray would miss six weeks with a fractured thumb.

Oklahoma State (-5.5) at Texas

“Should be a fun game to watch. We gave it to the road favorite (sending out OSU -6.5), as Texas was a no-show last week,” Korner said. “We know that will weigh heavily on people’s outlooks this week. This could easily be 7, but we wanted it under a touchdown, and then we’ll see what the bettors do with it. Should be a high, high-scoring game.”

The early action bumped Texas up to a 7-point home underdog.

Alabama (-23) at Ole Miss

“Not a very exciting game,” Korner said. “Alabama’s playing so well these days, you kind of have to stick it at the high number and see what happens with it.”

The love for the Crimson Tide continues to pour in. Alabama got bet up to 25-point chalk almost immediately at offshore sportsbooks.

Virginia Tech (-7) at Wake Forest

“This is an interesting game because of what Wake just did, beating Florida State,” Korner said. “But it was only one game, and Virginia Tech -- on the road -- should be ready. They’re the better team and we expect them to get it done. If Wake gets it done again this week, then we’ll revisit their power ranking and give them a little more respect.”

Korner recommended Wake +8.5 but his line could be on the right side of the touchdown mark by the end of the week.

Florida (Pick) at Auburn

“These are always good SEC games, even if they’re coming off losses,” Korner said. But there are a lot of injuries on the Florida side. So, we put it at a pick, and we’ll shift that as we learn more about the injuries. Right now, there are too many question marks.”

Stanford (-20) at Washington State

Korner's group went really big on this game, sending out Stanford -24. The Wynn didn't go quick as high, opening at -20 but that number has been bet up to 20.5.

“I keep telling guys to roll with Stanford,” Korner. “They’re getting there every week. And when you have a team like that, you would hate to keep rooting for the underdog. Stanford is just playing so well, so we went higher, and we’ll see if they like it.”

Arizona State (+14.5) at Oregon

“That’s a better game than many might think,” Korner said, “and it’ll be Oregon’s first without (injured running back) LaMichael James. Arizona State is not that bad, and Oregon will be shorthanded. But, even shorthanded, Oregon is still pretty good with what they have. If he was there, it’d be much higher. But without him, it might be closer, and we have respect for Arizona State anyway.”

**Udog** · 10-11-2011, 12:37 PM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Week 7

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Thursday, October 13

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SAN DIEGO ST (3 - 2) at AIR FORCE (3 - 2) - 10/13/2011, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
AIR FORCE is 1-1 straight up against SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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USC (4 - 1) at CALIFORNIA (3 - 2) - 10/13/2011, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALIFORNIA is 14-32 ATS (-21.2 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
USC is 2-0 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
USC is 2-0 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, October 14

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HAWAII (3 - 2) at SAN JOSE ST (2 - 4) - 10/14/2011, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAWAII is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games after a bye week since 1992.
HAWAII is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HAWAII is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
HAWAII is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.
HAWAII is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HAWAII is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
HAWAII is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
HAWAII is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAWAII is 2-0 against the spread versus SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
HAWAII is 2-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, October 15

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MIAMI (2 - 3) at N CAROLINA (5 - 1) - 10/15/2011, 12:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 1-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PURDUE (3 - 2) at PENN ST (5 - 1) - 10/15/2011, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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INDIANA (1 - 5) at WISCONSIN (5 - 0) - 10/15/2011, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
WISCONSIN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 65-44 ATS (+16.6 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
WISCONSIN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 1-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 2-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NAVY (2 - 3) at RUTGERS (4 - 1) - 10/15/2011, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 120-87 ATS (+24.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
NAVY is 30-13 ATS (+15.7 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
NAVY is 120-87 ATS (+24.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 76-46 ATS (+25.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NAVY is 60-27 ATS (+30.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
NAVY is 60-27 ATS (+30.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 112-79 ATS (+25.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 76-50 ATS (+21.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 59-29 ATS (+27.1 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
NAVY is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.
NAVY is 63-30 ATS (+30.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FLORIDA ST (2 - 3) at DUKE (3 - 2) - 10/15/2011, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TOLEDO (3 - 3) at BOWLING GREEN (3 - 3) - 10/15/2011, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 24-7 ATS (+16.3 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
TOLEDO is 52-31 ATS (+17.9 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOWLING GREEN is 1-1 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
BOWLING GREEN is 1-1 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEMSON (6 - 0) at MARYLAND (2 - 3) - 10/15/2011, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARYLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
MARYLAND is 1-1 straight up against CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VIRGINIA TECH (5 - 1) at WAKE FOREST (4 - 1) - 10/15/2011, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 36-16 ATS (+18.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 41-21 ATS (+17.9 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 56-35 ATS (+17.5 Units) in road games since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 56-35 ATS (+17.5 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 86-57 ATS (+23.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 107-77 ATS (+22.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-0 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGIA TECH (6 - 0) at VIRGINIA (3 - 2) - 10/15/2011, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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S CAROLINA (5 - 1) at MISSISSIPPI ST (3 - 3) - 10/15/2011, 12:20 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BUFFALO (2 - 4) at TEMPLE (4 - 2) - 10/15/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TEMPLE is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEMPLE is 2-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
TEMPLE is 2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UNLV (1 - 4) at WYOMING (3 - 2) - 10/15/2011, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WYOMING is 1-1 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
WYOMING is 1-1 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IOWA ST (3 - 2) at MISSOURI (2 - 3) - 10/15/2011, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSOURI is 1-1 against the spread versus IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI is 2-0 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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E MICHIGAN (3 - 3) at C MICHIGAN (2 - 4) - 10/15/2011, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
C MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
C MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI OHIO (1 - 4) at KENT ST (1 - 5) - 10/15/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENT ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENT ST is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
KENT ST is 1-1 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W MICHIGAN (4 - 2) at N ILLINOIS (3 - 3) - 10/15/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games in October games over the last 3 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (2 - 3) at PITTSBURGH (3 - 3) - 10/15/2011, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 0-0 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 1-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BYU (4 - 2) at OREGON ST (1 - 4) - 10/15/2011, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 45-19 ATS (+24.1 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
OREGON ST is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
OREGON ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON ST is 88-54 ATS (+28.6 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
OREGON ST is 84-60 ATS (+18.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
OREGON ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BYU is 1-0 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
BYU is 1-0 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA ST (5 - 1) at OREGON (4 - 1) - 10/15/2011, 10:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 1-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BAYLOR (4 - 1) at TEXAS A&M (3 - 2) - 10/15/2011, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 37-59 ATS (-27.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
BAYLOR is 60-89 ATS (-37.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
BAYLOR is 62-87 ATS (-33.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BAYLOR is 58-85 ATS (-35.5 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
TEXAS A&M is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS A&M is 2-0 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS A&M is 2-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LSU (6 - 0) at TENNESSEE (3 - 2) - 10/15/2011, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 1-0 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 1-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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COLORADO (1 - 5) at WASHINGTON (4 - 1) - 10/15/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 31-55 ATS (-29.5 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
COLORADO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 28-51 ATS (-28.1 Units) in October games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 14-31 ATS (-20.1 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 59-88 ATS (-37.8 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MICHIGAN (6 - 0) at MICHIGAN ST (4 - 1) - 10/15/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OHIO ST (3 - 3) at ILLINOIS (6 - 0) - 10/15/2011, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ILLINOIS is 1-1 against the spread versus OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLORIDA (4 - 2) at AUBURN (4 - 2) - 10/15/2011, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LOUISVILLE (2 - 3) vs. CINCINNATI (4 - 1) - 10/15/2011, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-0 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 2-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BALL ST (3 - 3) at OHIO U (4 - 2) - 10/15/2011, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALL ST is 1-0 against the spread versus OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U is 1-0 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTEP (2 - 3) at TULANE (2 - 4) - 10/15/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTEP is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
TULANE is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 48-70 ATS (-29.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TULANE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULANE is 2-0 against the spread versus UTEP over the last 3 seasons
TULANE is 2-0 straight up against UTEP over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ALABAMA (6 - 0) at OLE MISS (2 - 3) - 10/15/2011, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
ALABAMA is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OLE MISS is 1-1 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA (5 - 0) at KANSAS (2 - 3) - 10/15/2011, 9:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 31-60 ATS (-35.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
KANSAS is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS is 49-75 ATS (-33.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS is 56-89 ATS (-41.9 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW MEXICO (0 - 5) at NEVADA (2 - 3) - 10/15/2011, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEVADA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games against Mountain West conference opponents since 1992.
NEVADA is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UCF (3 - 2) at SMU (4 - 1) - 10/15/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCF is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCF is 1-0 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 1-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOISE ST (5 - 0) at COLORADO ST (3 - 2) - 10/15/2011, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 69-36 ATS (+29.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 36-13 ATS (+21.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
BOISE ST is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 80-45 ATS (+30.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 62-31 ATS (+27.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BOISE ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

STANFORD (5 - 0) at WASHINGTON ST (3 - 2) - 10/15/2011, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA (4 - 2) at VANDERBILT (3 - 2) - 10/15/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 51-31 ATS (+16.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
VANDERBILT is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 29-50 ATS (-26.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
VANDERBILT is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 28-52 ATS (-29.2 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
VANDERBILT is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) in October games since 1992.
VANDERBILT is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 2-0 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA ST (5 - 0) at TEXAS (4 - 1) - 10/15/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA ST is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 1-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 1-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS ST (5 - 0) at TEXAS TECH (4 - 1) - 10/15/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 54-33 ATS (+17.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 64-36 ATS (+24.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 64-36 ATS (+24.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 86-60 ATS (+20.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 114-83 ATS (+22.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 94-68 ATS (+19.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 41-22 ATS (+16.8 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 88-56 ATS (+26.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 51-30 ATS (+18.0 Units) in October games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS TECH is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S FLORIDA (4 - 1) at CONNECTICUT (2 - 4) - 10/15/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 74-51 ATS (+17.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 74-51 ATS (+17.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 64-43 ATS (+16.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 1-1 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 2-0 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

E CAROLINA (1 - 4) at MEMPHIS (1 - 5) - 10/15/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
E CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
E CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

RICE (2 - 3) at MARSHALL (2 - 4) - 10/15/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
RICE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
RICE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
RICE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
RICE is 84-60 ATS (+18.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NORTHWESTERN (2 - 3) at IOWA (3 - 2) - 10/15/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHWESTERN is 37-18 ATS (+17.2 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 2-0 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 2-0 straight up against IOWA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IDAHO (1 - 5) at NEW MEXICO ST (2 - 3) - 10/15/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO is 34-56 ATS (-27.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
IDAHO is 31-52 ATS (-26.2 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
IDAHO is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
IDAHO is 2-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UAB (0 - 5) at TULSA (2 - 3) - 10/15/2011, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH ST (2 - 3) at FRESNO ST (2 - 4) - 10/15/2011, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 28-51 ATS (-28.1 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
FRESNO ST is 26-45 ATS (-23.5 Units) in October games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
FRESNO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
FRESNO ST is 2-0 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NORTH TEXAS (2 - 4) at LA LAFAYETTE (5 - 1) - 10/15/2011, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAFAYETTE is 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
LA LAFAYETTE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAFAYETTE is 1-1 against the spread versus NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAFAYETTE is 2-0 straight up against NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA MONROE (1 - 4) at TROY (2 - 3) - 10/15/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA MONROE is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TROY is 1-1 against the spread versus LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 1-1 straight up against LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W KENTUCKY (1 - 4) at FLA ATLANTIC (0 - 5) - 10/15/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA ATLANTIC is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
W KENTUCKY is 2-0 against the spread versus FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-0 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 10-11-2011, 12:38 PM

NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 7

Thursday, 10/13/2011

SAN DIEGO ST at AIR FORCE, 8:00 PM ET CBSC
SAN DIEGO ST: 36-18 Under as road dog
AIR FORCE: 4-14 ATS off loss by 21+ pts

USC at CALIFORNIA, 9:00 PM ET ESPN
USC: 0-6 ATS after scoring 37+
CALIFORNIA: 14-32 ATS if line is +3 to -3

Friday, 10/14/2011

HAWAII at SAN JOSE ST, 9:00 PM ET ESPN
HAWAII: 4-15 ATS Away off bye week
SAN JOSE ST: 40-19 Under in conference games

Saturday, 10/15/2011

MIAMI at N CAROLINA, 12:30 PM ET (TC)
MIAMI: 5-17 ATS after a loss by 6 or less points
N CAROLINA: 13-1 ATS if 24 total pts or less scored last game

PURDUE at PENN ST, 12:00 PM ET Big 10
PURDUE: 1-6 ATS off home win
PENN ST: 8-0 Under after allowing 9 pts or less

INDIANA at WISCONSIN, 12:00 PM ET ESPN2
INDIANA: 11-3 Over vs. Wisconsin
WISCONSIN: 9-0 ATS after scoring 31+ BB games

NAVY at RUTGERS, 2:00 PM ET (TC)
NAVY: 45-17 ATS as road underdog
RUTGERS: 5-17 ATS at home if TO margin was +2 or better last game

FLORIDA ST at DUKE, 3:00 PM ET (TC)
FLORIDA ST: 31-15 ATS off BB ATS losses
DUKE: 4-14 ATS off 3+ ATS Wins

TOLEDO at BOWLING GREEN, 12:00 PM ET
TOLEDO: 24-7 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points
BOWLING GREEN: 0-7 ATS after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games

CLEMSON at MARYLAND, 7:00 PM ET (TC) | ESPNU
CLEMSON: 4-13 ATS Away after allowing 14 points or less BB games
MARYLAND: 30-15 ATS off road conference loss

VIRGINIA TECH at WAKE FOREST, 6:30 PM ET (TC)
VIRGINIA TECH: 21-4 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less
WAKE FOREST: 0-3 ATS vs. Virginia Tech

GEORGIA TECH at VIRGINIA, 3:30 PM ET (TC) | ESPNU
GEORGIA TECH: 48-28 ATS off Under
VIRGINIA: 32-15 Under in October

S CAROLINA at MISSISSIPPI ST, 12:20 PM ET
S CAROLINA: 13-4 ATS Away after allowing 17 points or less BB games
MISSISSIPPI ST: 2-10 ATS off 3+ Unders

BUFFALO at TEMPLE, 1:00 PM ET
BUFFALO: 0-8 ATS off conference game
TEMPLE: 17-4 ATS on Saturday

UNLV at WYOMING, 2:00 PM ET MTN
UNLV: 0-9 ATS Away off SU loss
WYOMING: 25-12 Under after playing a non-conference game

IOWA ST at MISSOURI, 2:00 PM ET
IOWA ST: 10-1 ATS Away after being outrushed by 200+ yards
MISSOURI: 34-18 ATS at home off SU loss

E MICHIGAN at C MICHIGAN, 3:00 PM ET
E MICHIGAN: 12-3 ATS Away off road loss by 21+
C MICHIGAN: 7-22 ATS after having lost 4 out of their last 5 games

MIAMI OHIO at KENT ST, 3:30 PM ET
MIAMI OHIO: 5-1 Under as favorite
KENT ST: 1-11 ATS after gaining 3.25 or less yards/play

W MICHIGAN at N ILLINOIS, 3:30 PM ET
W MICHIGAN: 7-1 Under off conference win
N ILLINOIS: 6-0 ATS in October home games

UTAH at PITTSBURGH, 12:00 PM ET (TC) | ESPNU
UTAH: 1-5 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -4 or worse
PITTSBURGH: 8-2 ATS off SU loss

BYU at OREGON ST, 4:00 PM ET (TC) | FCS
BYU: 6-0 ATS after outgaining opp by 125+ total yards
OREGON ST: 18-4 ATS off BB Overs

ARIZONA ST at OREGON, 10:15 PM ET (TC) | ESPN
ARIZONA ST: 1-9 ATS Away off double digit win
OREGON: 13-3 ATS at home off win by 28+

BAYLOR at TEXAS A&M, 12:00 PM ET (TC) | FX
BAYLOR: 47-71 ATS off BB conference games
TEXAS A&M: 12-1 ATS after allowing 475+ total yards

LSU at TENNESSEE, 3:30 PM ET CBS
LSU: 6-0 ATS after outgaining opp by 125+ total yards
TENNESSEE: 6-0 Over after scoring 14 points or less

COLORADO at WASHINGTON, 3:30 PM ET FSN
COLORADO: 0-8 ATS in road games
WASHINGTON: 13-28 ATS in October home games

MICHIGAN at MICHIGAN ST, 12:00 PM ET (TC) | ESPN
MICHIGAN: 3-15 ATS vs. conference
MICHIGAN ST: 10-3 ATS off SU win as road dog

OHIO ST at ILLINOIS, 3:30 PM ET ABC
OHIO ST: 31-14 ATS off SU loss
ILLINOIS: 59-90 ATS on turf

FLORIDA at AUBURN, 7:00 PM ET (TC) | ESPN
FLORIDA: 8-2 Over after allowing 37+ points
AUBURN: 8-2 ATS off road loss by 21+

LOUISVILLE vs. CINCINNATI, 12:00 PM ET - Paul Brown Stadium - Cincinnati, OH (TC)
LOUISVILLE: 3-12 ATS off ATS win where they lost SU
CINCINNATI: 10-2 ATS Away after allowing 17 points or less BB games

BALL ST at OHIO U, 3:30 PM ET
BALL ST: 6-0 ATS off BB ATS losses
OHIO U: 8-1 Over off BB ATS losses

UTEP at TULANE, 3:30 PM ET
UTEP: 6-17 ATS playing with 2 weeks or more of rest
TULANE: 1-13 ATS off loss by 3 pts or less

ALABAMA at OLE MISS, 6:00 PM ET (TC) | ESPN2
ALABAMA: 21-10 ATS as favorite
OLE MISS: 4-12 ATS off double digit road win

OKLAHOMA at KANSAS, 9:15 PM ET (TC) | ESPN2
OKLAHOMA: 10-1 ATS after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play L3 games
KANSAS: 1-12 ATS off 3 straight games where 60+ pts scored

NEW MEXICO at NEVADA, 4:00 PM ET
NEW MEXICO: 4-13 ATS after allowing 37+ pts
NEVADA: 10-2 ATS at home vs. Mt West Conference

UCF at SMU, 3:30 PM ET (TC) | FSN
UCF: 14-4 ATS vs. conference
SMU: 13-26 ATS as home favorite

BOISE ST at COLORADO ST, 6:00 PM ET MTN
BOISE ST: 6-0 ATS as a road favorite of 14.5 or more points
COLORADO ST: 19-8 ATS as home underdog

STANFORD at WASHINGTON ST, 7:30 PM ET (TC) | VERSUS
STANFORD: 8-0 ATS off win by 28+
WASHINGTON ST: 0-3 ATS after 2-game road trip

GEORGIA at VANDERBILT, 7:00 PM ET FSN
GEORGIA: 27-12 ATS Away off Under
VANDERBILT: 0-7 ATS as a home underdog of 7.5 to 14 points

OKLAHOMA ST at TEXAS, 3:30 PM ET (TC) | ABC
OKLAHOMA ST: 10-0 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points
TEXAS: 5-1 ATS off loss by 28+

KANSAS ST at TEXAS TECH, 7:00 PM ET FSN
KANSAS ST: 6-0 ATS after a 2 game home stand
TEXAS TECH: 16-5 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less

S FLORIDA at CONNECTICUT, 3:30 PM ET (TC)
S FLORIDA: 1-5 ATS off SU loss as road favorite
CONNECTICUT: 8-0 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points

E CAROLINA at MEMPHIS, 7:00 PM ET
E CAROLINA: 13-3 ATS vs. Memphis
MEMPHIS: 8-19 ATS as underdog

RICE at MARSHALL, 3:00 PM ET (TC)
RICE: 3-11 ATS in road games
MARSHALL: 6-0 ATS At home after scoring 14 or less

NORTHWESTERN at IOWA, 7:00 PM ET Big 10
NORTHWESTERN: 12-1 ATS after allowing 6.75 or more yards/play L2 games
IOWA: 2-9 ATS after a playing a game where 24 total points or less were scored

IDAHO at NEW MEXICO ST, 8:00 PM ET
IDAHO: 13-28 off double digit conf loss
NEW MEXICO ST: 2-11 ATS in home games

UAB at TULSA, 8:00 PM ET CBSC
UAB: 18-6 ATS after playing 2 straight non-conference games
TULSA: 5-1 ATS off home win

UTAH ST at FRESNO ST, 10:00 PM ET
UTAH ST: 4-13 ATS Away off BB ATS wins
FRESNO ST: 2-13 ATS after allowing 50+

Added Games

NORTH TEXAS at LA LAFAYETTE, 5:00 PM ET
NORTH TEXAS: 6-1 ATS on grass
LA LAFAYETTE: 0-6 ATS off SU dog win

LA MONROE at TROY, 7:00 PM ET
LA MONROE: 21-9 ATS Away vs. team w/ losing record
TROY: 0-6 ATS Away off BB games w/ 40+ pass attempts

W KENTUCKY at FLA ATLANTIC, 4:00 PM ET (TC)
W KENTUCKY: 9-5 ATS as road underdog
FLA ATLANTIC: 0-6 ATS as home favorite

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**Udog** · 10-11-2011, 12:39 PM

NCAAF

Week 7

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, October 13

8:00 PM
SAN DIEGO STATE vs. AIR FORCE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego State's last 5 games when playing Air Force
San Diego State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Air Force
Air Force is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Air Force's last 5 games when playing San Diego State

9:00 PM
SOUTHERN CAL vs. CALIFORNIA
Southern Cal is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against California
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Southern Cal's last 7 games when playing California
California is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Southern Cal
California is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Southern Cal

Friday, October 14

9:00 PM
HAWAII vs. SAN JOSE STATE
Hawaii is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
Hawaii is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Jose State
San Jose State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose State's last 5 games at home

Saturday, October 15

12:00 PM
TOLEDO vs. BOWLING GREEN
Toledo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Bowling Green
Toledo is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Bowling Green
Bowling Green is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Bowling Green is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games

12:00 PM
LOUISVILLE vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisville's last 5 games
Louisville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Louisville

12:00 PM
PURDUE vs. PENN STATE
Purdue is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Purdue is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
Penn State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Purdue
Penn State is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Purdue

12:00 PM
UTAH vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 7 games on the road
Utah is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games at home

12:00 PM
BAYLOR vs. TEXAS A&M
Baylor is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baylor's last 5 games
Texas A&M is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing Baylor
Texas A&M is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

12:00 PM
INDIANA vs. WISCONSIN
Indiana is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Wisconsin
Indiana is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Wisconsin's last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Wisconsin's last 8 games when playing Indiana

12:00 PM
MICHIGAN vs. MICHIGAN STATE
Michigan is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Michigan is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games
Michigan State is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games
Michigan State is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Michigan

12:20 PM
SOUTH CAROLINA vs. MISSISSIPPI STATE
South Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Mississippi State
South Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi State's last 5 games
Mississippi State is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games

12:30 PM
MIAMI vs. NORTH CAROLINA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games when playing North Carolina
Miami is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing North Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Carolina's last 5 games
North Carolina is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

1:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. TEMPLE
Buffalo is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Temple
Buffalo is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Temple is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
Temple is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home

2:00 PM
IOWA STATE vs. MISSOURI
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Iowa State's last 8 games on the road
Iowa State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Missouri
Missouri is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
Missouri is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Iowa State

2:00 PM
UNLV vs. WYOMING
UNLV is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of UNLV's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wyoming's last 7 games at home
Wyoming is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

2:00 PM
NAVY vs. RUTGERS
Navy is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Rutgers
Navy is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Rutgers
Rutgers is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Navy
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Rutgers's last 5 games

2:30 PM
LSU vs. TENNESSEE
LSU is 1-2-3 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LSU's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing LSU
Tennessee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

3:00 PM
FLORIDA STATE vs. DUKE
Florida State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Duke
Florida State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Duke
Duke is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Duke's last 5 games at home

3:00 PM
EASTERN MICHIGAN vs. CENTRAL MICHIGAN
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Eastern Michigan's last 16 games on the road
Eastern Michigan is 2-19 SU in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Central Michigan's last 6 games at home
Central Michigan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

3:00 PM
RICE vs. MARSHALL
Rice is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Rice's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Marshall's last 6 games
Marshall is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

3:30 PM
CENTRAL FLORIDA vs. SOUTHERN METHODIST
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Central Florida's last 5 games
Central Florida is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Methodist's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Southern Methodist's last 11 games

3:30 PM
GEORGIA TECH vs. VIRGINIA
Georgia Tech is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Virginia
Georgia Tech is 16-6-1 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
Virginia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Georgia Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Virginia's last 7 games

3:30 PM
COLORADO vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games
Colorado is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Washington is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

3:30 PM
OHIO STATE vs. ILLINOIS
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Ohio State's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Ohio State's last 9 games
Illinois is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Ohio State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Illinois's last 7 games when playing Ohio State

3:30 PM
SOUTH FLORIDA vs. CONNECTICUT
South Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
South Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Connecticut
Connecticut is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
Connecticut is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing South Florida

3:30 PM
MIAMI (OHIO) vs. KENT STATE
Miami (Ohio) is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Kent State
Miami (Ohio) is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Kent State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Kent State is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing Miami (Ohio)

3:30 PM
TEXAS EL PASO vs. TULANE
Texas El Paso is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Texas El Paso is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tulane
Tulane is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tulane's last 10 games

3:30 PM
WESTERN MICHIGAN vs. NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Western Michigan is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Western Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Northern Illinois is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Western Michigan
Northern Illinois is 10-2-2 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Western Michigan

3:30 PM
BALL STATE vs. OHIO
Ball State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Ball State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Ohio is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
Ohio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

4:00 PM
WESTERN KENTUCKY vs. FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Western Kentucky is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Western Kentucky is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games
Florida Atlantic is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Florida Atlantic is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games

4:00 PM
BYU vs. OREGON STATE
BYU is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of BYU's last 8 games on the road
Oregon State is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home
Oregon State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

4:05 PM
NEW MEXICO vs. NEVADA
New Mexico is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
New Mexico is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Nevada's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nevada's last 6 games at home

4:30 PM
OKLAHOMA STATE vs. TEXAS
Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma State's last 6 games on the road
Texas is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 7 games at home

5:00 PM
NORTH TEXAS vs. LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE
North Texas is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of North Texas's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 6 games when playing North Texas

6:00 PM
ALABAMA vs. MISSISSIPPI
Alabama is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Mississippi
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Alabama's last 7 games when playing Mississippi
Mississippi is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Mississippi is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games

6:00 PM
BOISE STATE vs. COLORADO STATE
Boise State is 21-1 SU in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boise State's last 7 games on the road
Colorado State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado State's last 5 games at home

6:30 PM
VIRGINIA TECH vs. WAKE FOREST
Virginia Tech is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Virginia Tech is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Wake Forest is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games
Wake Forest is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

7:00 PM
EAST CAROLINA vs. MEMPHIS
East Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
East Carolina is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Memphis is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Memphis is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against East Carolina

7:00 PM
FLORIDA vs. AUBURN
Florida is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Florida is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Auburn
Auburn is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Florida
Auburn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
LOUISIANA-MONROE vs. TROY
Louisiana-Monroe is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Louisiana-Monroe is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Troy is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Troy is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home

7:00 PM
NORTHWESTERN vs. IOWA
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Northwestern's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northwestern's last 5 games when playing Iowa
Iowa is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Northwestern
Iowa is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home

7:00 PM
CLEMSON vs. MARYLAND
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Clemson's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Clemson's last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Maryland's last 5 games when playing at home against Clemson
Maryland is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home

7:00 PM
GEORGIA vs. VANDERBILT
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgia's last 5 games when playing Vanderbilt
Georgia is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing Vanderbilt
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 5 games at home
Vanderbilt is 1-15 SU in its last 16 games when playing Georgia

7:00 PM
KANSAS STATE vs. TEXAS TECH
Kansas State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas Tech
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas State's last 5 games on the road
Texas Tech is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Texas Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas State

7:30 PM
STANFORD vs. WASHINGTON STATE
Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Stanford is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington State
Washington State is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games
Washington State is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home

8:00 PM
UAB vs. TULSA
UAB is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of UAB's last 7 games
Tulsa is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
Tulsa is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

8:00 PM
IDAHO vs. NEW MEXICO STATE
Idaho is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Idaho is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing New Mexico State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Mexico State's last 5 games when playing Idaho
New Mexico State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Idaho

9:15 PM
OKLAHOMA vs. KANSAS
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas
Kansas is 5-19 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas's last 5 games

10:00 PM
UTAH STATE vs. FRESNO STATE
Utah State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah State's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Fresno State's last 6 games
Fresno State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

10:15 PM
ARIZONA STATE vs. OREGON
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona State's last 8 games
Arizona State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oregon
Oregon is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games
Oregon is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona State

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 10-11-2011, 12:51 PM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 7

USC at California
The Bears look to take advantage of a USC team that is coming off a 48-41 win over Arizona and is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in its previous game. California is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: California (+3 1/2). Here are all of this week's lined games.

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 13

Game 101-102: San Diego State at Air Force (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 88.357; Air Force 92.569
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 4; 53
Vegas Line: Air Force by 7; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (+7); Under

Game 103-104: USC at California (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 92.351; California 91.946
Dunkel Line: Even; 62
Vegas Line: USC by 3 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: California (+3 1/2); Over

OTHER GAMES:

Texas Southern at Alabama A&M (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Southern 42.539; Alabama A&M 48.967
Dunkel Line: Alabama A&M by 6 1/2

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 14

Game 105-106: Hawaii at San Jose State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 87.972; San Jose State 78.137
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 10; 63
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 6; 55
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (-6); Over

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 15

Game 107-108: Miami (FL) at North Carolina (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 94.518; North Carolina 94.645
Dunkel Line: Even; 45
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 3; 51
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (+3); Under

Game 109-110: Purdue at Penn State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 83.431; Penn State 97.281
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 14; 42
Vegas Line: Penn State by 12 1/2; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-12 1/2); Over

Game 111-112: Indiana at Wisconsin (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 72.989; Wisconsin 117.896
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 45; 57
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 39; 60
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-39); Under

Game 113-114: Navy at Rutgers (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Navy 91.075; Rutgers 89.426
Dunkel Line: Navy by 1 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 4; 54
Dunkel Pick: Navy (+4); Over

Game 115-116: Florida State at Duke (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 99.870; Duke 81.975
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 18; 52
Vegas Line: Florida State by 12 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-12 1/2); Under

Game 117-118: Toledo at Bowling Green (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 84.916; Bowling Green 81.199
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 3 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Toledo by 8; 60
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+8); Under

Game 119-120: Clemson at Maryland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 105.719; Maryland 89.291
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 16 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Clemson by 7; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-7); Over

Game 121-122: Virginia Tech at Wake Forest (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 100.364; Wake Forest 89.123
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 11; 41
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 6 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-6 1/2); Under

Game 123-124: Georgia Tech at Virginia (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 94.913; Virginia 85.099
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 10; 58
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 7; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (-7); Over

Game 125-126: South Carolina at Mississippi State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 96.114; Mississippi State 96.196
Dunkel Line: Even; 43
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 3 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (+3 1/2); Under

Game 127-128: Buffalo at Temple (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 73.041; Temple 98.696
Dunkel Line: Temple by 25 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Temple by 20 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Temple (-20 1/2); Over

Game 129-130: UNLV at Wyoming (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 64.020; Wyoming 71.777
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 8; 53 1/2
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 13 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (+13 1/2); Under

Game 131-132: Iowa State at Missouri (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 83.015; Missouri 106.467
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 23 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Missouri by 14 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-14 1/2); Over

Game 133-134: Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 61.456; Central Michigan 77.855
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 16 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 13 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-13 1/2); Under

Game 135-136: Miami (OH) at Kent (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 72.311; Kent 70.890
Dunkel Line: Miami (OH) by 1 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Miami (OH) by 5 1/2; 39
Dunkel Pick: Kent (+5 1/2); Over

Game 137-138: Western Michigan at Northern Illinois (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 86.440; Northern Illinois 87.322
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 1; 73
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 2; 68 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (+2); Over

Game 139-140: Utah at Pittsburgh (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 88.582; Pittsburgh 101.981
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 13 1/2; 39
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 6 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-6 1/2); Under

Game 141-142: BYU at Oregon State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 85.180; Oregon State 83.168
Dunkel Line: BYU by 2; 47
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 1 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: BYU (+1 1/2); Under

Game 143-144: Arizona State at Oregon (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 100.446; Oregon 118.128
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 17 1/2; 69
Vegas Line: Oregon by 15 1/2; 66
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-15 1/2); Over

Game 145-146: Baylor at Texas A&M (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 99.107; Texas A&M 101.587
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 2 1/2; 71
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 9 1/2; 75
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (+9 1/2); Under

Game 147-148: LSU at Tennessee (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 114.010; Tennessee 98.286
Dunkel Line: LSU by 15 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: LSU by 14; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-14); Over

Game 149-150: Colorado at Washington (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 79.807; Washington 103.077
Dunkel Line: Washington by 23 1/2; 55 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington by 14; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-14); Under

Game 151-152: Michigan at Michigan State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 103.377; Michigan State 100.064
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 3 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 3; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (+3); Over

Game 153-154: Ohio State at Illinois (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 95.000; Illinois 99.196
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 4; 47 1/2
Vegas Line: Illinois by 3 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-3 1/2); Over

Game 155-156: Florida at Auburn (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 97.613; Auburn 94.903
Dunkel Line: Florida by 2 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Pick; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida; Under

Game 157-158: Louisville at Cincinnati (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 79.069; Cincinnati 99.672
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 20 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 16 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+16 1/2); Under

Game 159-160: Ball State at Ohio (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 71.875; Ohio 80.107
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 8; 64
Vegas Line: Ohio by 14 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+14 1/2); Over

Game 161-162: UTEP at Tulane (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 73.620; Tulane 71.336
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 2 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Tulane by 1 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (+1 1/2); Under

Game 163-164: Alabama at Mississippi (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 118.355; Mississippi 87.268
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 31; 47 1/2
Vegas Line: Alabama by 24 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-24 1/2); Over

Game 165-166: Oklahoma at Kansas (9:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 120.723; Kansas 77.583
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 43; 68
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 34 1/2; 71 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-34 1/2); Under

Game 167-168: New Mexico at Nevada (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 61.934; Nevada 89.975
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 28; 66
Vegas Line: Nevada by 30 1/2; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (+30 1/2); Over

Game 169-170: Central Florida at SMU (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 91.005; SMU 87.543
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 3 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: SMU by 3 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (+3 1/2); Under

Game 171-172: Boise State at Colorado State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 114.807; Colorado State 75.113
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 39 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: Boise State by 31 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-31 1/2); Over

Game 173-174: Stanford at Washington State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 113.084; Washington State 87.496
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 25 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Stanford by 20 1/2; 63
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-20 1/2); Under

Game 175-176: Georgia at Vanderbilt (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 102.810; Vanderbilt 90.244
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 12 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Georgia by 11; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-11); Over

Game 177-178: Oklahoma State at Texas (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 106.572; Texas 101.988
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 4 1/2; 61
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 8; 64
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+8); Under

Game 179-180: Kansas State at Texas Tech (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 98.294; Texas Tech 96.514
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 2; 55
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 3; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (+3); Under

Game 181-182: South Florida at Connecticut (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 90.289; Connecticut 85.137
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 5; 51 1/2
Vegas Line: South Florida by 8 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+8 1/2); Over

Game 183-184: East Carolina at Memphis (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 78.522; Memphis 56.117
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 22 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 15 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (-15 1/2); Under

Game 185-186: Rice at Marshall (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 74.728; Marshall 74.720
Dunkel Line: Even; 57
Vegas Line: Marshall by 5; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+5); Over

Game 187-188: Northwestern at Iowa (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 85.082; Iowa 92.841
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 8; 57
Vegas Line: Iowa by 6; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-6); Over

Game 189-190: Idaho at New Mexico State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 70.779; New Mexico State 69.631
Dunkel Line: Idaho by 1; 48
Vegas Line: New Mexico State by 2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (+2); Under

Game 191-192: UAB at Tulsa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 62.235; Tulsa 91.682
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 29 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 21 1/2; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-21 1/2); Under

Game 193-194: Utah State at Fresno State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 79.485; Fresno State 79.127
Dunkel Line: Even; 68
Vegas Line: Utah State by 3 1/2; 64
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+3 1/2); Over

Game 195-196: North Texas at UL-Lafayette (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 70.340; UL-Lafayette 83.320
Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 13; 57
Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 8 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: UL-Lafayette (-8 1/2); Over

Game 197-198: UL-Monroe at Troy (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 71.773; Troy 83.985
Dunkel Line: Troy by 12; 49 1/2
Vegas Line: Troy by 9; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Troy (-9); Under

Game 199-200: Western Kentucky at Florida Atlantic (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 64.326; Florida Atlantic 65.009
Dunkel Line: Florida Atlantic by 1; 54
Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic by 3; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (+3); Over

**Udog** · 10-13-2011, 07:48 AM

Where the action is: Mid-week football line moves

For our weekly look at football lines on the move, we chatted up Todd Fuhrman, race and sportsbook analyst at Caesar's in Las Vegas. Here are some thoughts about why these odds are jumping around.

NFL Live Odds

Carolina at Atlanta -5.5 ---> -3.5

On one hand you have the Carolina Panthers, who are 1-4 straight up, but 4-1 against the spread. On the other, you have the Atlanta Falcons, who are 2-3 outright, but just 1-4 against the spread.

“Atlanta has underachieved all year and bettors appear to believe there's no reason to think they bounce back from last week's meltdown,” Fuhrman says. “Julio Jones is expected to miss and you can't fault bettors for wanting to ride Cam "The Cover" Newton until his magic stops.”

Philadelphia at Washington -1 ---> +1.5

Despite all the controversy swirling around in Philly, it doesn’t look like Eagles supporters are ready to jump ship. This is Philadelphia’s last game before its bye, so it’ll be a long two weeks unless Andy Reid’s bunch comes away with a win.

“Shanahan has been very good off bye weeks during his career but he faces an Eagles team Sunday with their back's against the wall,” says Fuhrman. “The public thinks Philadelphia will rise up and salvage their season but do you really want to pay to find out? The way they're betting the game makes me believe the public thinks the Eagles aren't dead yet.”

Houston at Baltimore -6 ---> -9

Baltimore will be looking to make a statement off its bye. The Ravens went into their bye week after hammering the Jets and catch a Houston club that will be without two of its top two players – wideout Andre Johnson and linebacker Mario Williams.

“Houston struggled mightily last week against Oakland and that's the last thing the public remembers,” Fuhrman says. “Andre Johnson will be out for a second straight game and his absence was apparent last week when Schaub struggled to find his playmakers late. As this line continues to spiral I fully expect there to be an interest from bettors in grabbing the underdog.”

Miami at New York Jets O/U 42 ---> 43.5

This one’s a little tricky to figure out. Each of New York’s last three games have played over the total while Miami has played under the number in three straight. The Jets return home after dropping all three of those games on the road – at Oakland, Baltimore and New England.

Totals are up across the board and this was one of the lower numbers at the open.

NCF Live Odds

Miami (Ohio) at Kent St. +6 ---> +3.5

Neither of these teams have done much of anything this season with just a single win and one cover apiece. The RedHawks are coming off a 35-28 win over Navy as a 2-point underdog, while the Golden Flashes dropped a 40-10 decision as a 14.5-point underdog against Northern Illinois.

Louisville at Cincinnati -14 ---> -16.5

The Bearcats head into this one at 4-1 against the spread following their bye. Before their off week, they blanked Miami (Ohio) 27-0. Meanwhile, Louisville has dropped three of its last four straight up. The favorite has covered in 11 of the last 14 meetings between the two clubs.

“Louisville has struggled offensively all season long and matched up with a high octane offense in Cincinnati could spell trouble,” says Fuhrman. “Zach Collaros is the most underrated QB in the conference but this will be one of the first real defensive tests he's faced this year. I expect there to be buyback in the market every time the line ticks past 17.”

Michigan at Michigan State -3 ---> -1.5

This one’s pretty obvious.

“Denard, Denard, Denard,” Fuhrman says about Michigan quarterback Denard Robinson. “The public has no interest fading this Heisman hopeful who has single-handedly been the catalyst to Michigan's fast start. However, this will be the stiffest test defensively for their offense and I think MSU can dominate the trenches. The public will back Michigan here but the question remains: When will the money from the professionals come in on Sparty if the price keeps dropping?”

**Udog** · 10-13-2011, 07:48 AM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, October 13

Thursday's games
Air Force won three of last four games vs San Diego State; underdogs are 9-4 vs spread in last 13 series games. Aztecs lost last three visits here, by 12-32-12 points- they're 5-3 in last eight games as road dogs, but lost last two games 28-7 at Michigan (+10), 27-14 at home to TCU (+4). Air Force is 1-2 vs I-A teams, allowing 42.7 ppg- their only I-A win was vs Navy in OT. Falcons are 3-6 in last nine games as a home favorite.

Cal is playing home games in San Francisco this year; their home field is being refurbished. USC won its last seven games vs Cal covering five of last six- they won last two meetings 30-3/48-14. Trojans are 4-3 as fave of less than 10 points in this series. USC is 5-12 in its last 17 games as a road favorite- they lost only road game this year 43-22 at Arizona State. Pac-12 home teams are 6-9 vs spread in conference play this year; home dogs are 1-3. Bears allowed 33-31-43 points in last three games against I-A teams, losing last two weeks, 31-23 at Washington, 43-15 at Oregon.

**Udog** · 10-13-2011, 07:51 AM

NCAAF

Thursday, October 13

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Southern California vs. California: What bettors need to know
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Southern California Trojans vs. California Golden Bears (+3, 58.5)

THE STORY: After falling apart in the second half of its 43-15 loss at Oregon last week, California is eager to move forward, starting this Thursday against visiting Southern Cal. The game features two of the top wide receivers in the country in the Trojans’ Robert Woods and the Golden Bears’ Keenan Allen.

Southern Cal figures to throw early and often against California, which will likely be without starting cornerback Marc Anthony (shoulder). True freshman Stefan McClure will start if Anthony is out. California won its first three non-conference games before losing at Washington and Oregon, while Southern Cal is well-rested after its bye week.

TV: ESPN

WEATHER: The weather at AT&T Park is expected to be perfect for football. With Memorial Stadium undergoing renovations, USC and Cal will play in temperatures in the mid 60s with a slight 6-mph breeze blowing out to center field, which means it will go sideline to sideline Thursday.

LINE MOVES: Southern Cal opened as high as -4 and has been bet down to -3. The total opened at 57 and has been bet up to 58.

ABOUT SOUTHERN CAL (4-1, 2-1 Pac-12 South, 2-3 ATS): Woods leads the nation in receptions at 13.6 per game, and quarterback Matt Barkley has thrown for 1,587 yards and 14 touchdowns with four interceptions. Coach Lane Kiffin has been disappointed with the Trojans’ running game, and he’s hinted that former wide receiver George Farmer could make his debut at tailback against the Golden Bears. If he doesn’t play Thursday, the highly touted freshman will likely redshirt this season. Kiffin called cornerback Isiah Wiley the MVP of last Sunday’s practice, and the junior transfer could get his first start against California.

ABOUT CALIFORNIA (3-2, 0-2 Pac-12 North, 2-3 ATS): Quarterback Zach Maynard has thrown 11 touchdowns and just three interceptions, but he ranks 10th in the Pac-12 in pass efficiency and completion percentage. After a promising start to the season, Maynard looked rattled against Oregon. Allen leads California in the key receiving categories, and he’s sixth nationally in receiving yards with 134 yards per game. Linebackers Mychal Kendricks and D.J. Holt lead the California defense, which was strong against the run until last week, when Oregon’s LaMichael James rushed for 239 yards.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Since 1955, Southern Cal is 53-16-1 after open dates.

2. Southern Cal owns a seven-game winning streak over the Golden Bears - Cal has averaged just 10 points in each of those losses - and the Trojans have won nine of the last 10 meetings.

3. During California coach Jeff Tedford’s final four seasons as the offensive coordinator at Fresno State (1994-97), Kiffin played quarterback and worked as a student assistant coach for the Bulldogs.

TRENDS:

* Under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.
* Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.

PREDICTION: Southern Cal 41, California 34. The shaky California pass defense will be overmatched by Barkley and his talented group of receivers, but the Trojans will struggle to put away the persistent Golden Bears.

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**Udog** · 10-13-2011, 10:04 PM

NCAAF

Week 7

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College football Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Week 7
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Purdue Boilermakers at Penn State Nittany Lions (-11.5, 39.5)

Why Purdue will cover: The Boilermakers got on a roll last week and should be confident. An expected low-scoring game favors the dog. PSU is 1-5 ATS.

Why Penn State will cover: The Lions’ defense is among the nation’s best, fifth in points allowed (10.5). Purdue has played one respectable team, Notre Dame, and got blown out 38-10.

Points: The under has hit in all six of PSU’s games, but that’s easily the lowest number it’s seen.

Indiana Hoosiers at Wisconsin Badgers (-39.5, 60.5)

Why Indiana will cover: That’s a big spread for a conference game, and IU is 3-3 ATS.

Why Wisconsin will cover: UW is firing on all cylinders, ranking No. 3 in scoring (48.4) and No. 4 in scoring defense (10.2). The Badgers’ run game has destroyed everyone, and IU ranks 119th against the run. UW is 4-0-1 ATS.

Points: The over is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings. Last year, UW scored 83 in last year’s meeting with the Hoosiers.

South Carolina Gamecocks at Mississippi State Bulldogs (+5, 48)

Why South Carolina will cover: The Gamecocks’ D ranks No. 8 against the pass. MSU is a dismal 1-5 ATS. The Bulldogs’ QB situation isn’t good right now, which won’t help if the Gamecocks get an early lead.

Why Mississippi State will cover: MSU prefers to run the ball (27th) and that is an area of some concern for USC (60th).

Points: The under has hit in MSU’s in nine of the team’s last 11 SEC games.

Michigan Wolverines at Michigan State Spartans (-1.5, 49)

Why Michigan will cover: The Wolverines at 5-1 ATS because nobody can slow down QB Denard Robinson, who’s already rushed for 720 yards and thrown for 1,130 more.

Why Michigan State will cover: The Spartans’ defense has been tough, ranking No. 3 in points allowed, No. 3 in run yards and No. 2 in pass yards.

Points: The over is 6-2 in Michigan’s last eight in the Big Ten, but the under is 4-1 for MSU so far.

Baylor Bears at Texas A&M Aggies (-9.5, 75)

Why Baylor will cover: Baylor’s offense is a two-dimensional juggernaut, averaging 324 ypg passing and 239 more rushing. Texas A&M is the nation’s worst team against the pass.

Why Texas A&M will cover: Texas A&M has butted heads with Oklahoma State and Arkansas, losing both by a combined five points. Nothing will surprise the Aggies, especially at home.

Points: That’s a boatload of points. Then again, the teams combine to average 85 ppg, and the over is 4-0 for Baylor and 3-2 for Texas A&M.

LSU Tigers at Tennessee Volunteers (+15.5, 43.5)

Why LSU will cover: Unless teams have already faced Alabama, they’re not ready for the physicality that LSU will bring. Tennessee’s offense is unbalanced (11th in passing, 114th in rushing), allowing the Tigers to focus on the pass.

Why Tennessee will cover: The Vols are 7-2-2 ATS in their last 11 and that’s a decent spread for a home game. Their defense has no particular weakness.

Points: LSU opponents are finding it difficult to score, and UT’s last two have been under.

Ohio State Buckeyes at Illinois Fighting Illini (-3.5, 43)

Why Ohio State will cover: The Buckeyes showed against Nebraska that when freshman QB Braxton Miller is under center, the team can play with anyone. Dan Herron, standout RB, returns from suspension.

Why Illinois will cover: The Illini run the ball (14th) and stop the run (ninth) for success. OSU tries to do both, but isn’t doing so with the same success.

Points: The under is 7-1 in OSU’s last eight is a dog.

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Texas Longhorns (+7.5, 64.5)

Why Oklahoma State will cover: The Cowboys’ offense has been unstoppable, averaging 51.4 ppg (first) with 431 yards passing (second). They’re 5-0 ATS in their last five.

Why Texas will cover: OSU’s defense isn’t great and the Longhorns have something to prove after last week’s Red River Rivalry debacle.

Points: The over has hit in Texas’ last three, and OSU puts up points better than anyone.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Virginia Cavaliers (+7, 55.5)

Why Georgia Tech will cover: Last week was the first the Jackets didn’t cover (and the first the over didn’t hit). They still average 360 yards rushing per game. Virginia is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 in the ACC.

Why Virginia will cover: The Cavs are decent on defense, including 35th against the run. In fact, the team ranks in the upper half in every major statistic on both sides of the ball except, oddly, points scored (69th).

Points: Tech will score, Virginia can score.

Alabama Crimson Tide at Mississippi Rebels (+25.5, 44)

Why Alabama will cover: The Tide hasn’t been in a close game yet, 5-1 ATS. They’re 4-0 ATS with spreads under 29 points.

Why Mississippi will cover: SEC teams don’t typically lose by that much at home.

Points: It’s a mystery as to how Ole Miss will score, and Alabama may struggle to hit that mark alone.

Boise State Broncos at Colorado State Rams (+32, 53.5)

Why Boise State will cover: BSU has toyed with the competition, including a 33-point average margin of victory in three road games. CSU is just 1-4 ATS.

Why Colorado State will cover: The Rams are solid against the pass (12th), giving them a chance to keep the Broncos at bay long enough to hold onto the spread.

Points: Despite having the No. 13 offense, BSU games are 2-3 on the over.

Virginia Tech Hokies at Wake Forest Demon Deacons (+7, 49)

Why Virginia Tech will cover: The Hokies have one of the nation’s top defenses, and they won’t take Wake lightly, as Florida State seemingly did last week.

Why Wake Forest will cover: The Deacons opened some eyes as 10-point dogs to FSU and winning SU. Wake is 4-0 ATS in its last four, while Virginia Tech is 0-5 ATS in its last five.

Points: The over is 10-3 in Wake’s last 13 at home, and is 4-1 overall this season. The under, however, is 4-2 for the Hokies.

Kansas State Wildcats at Texas Tech Red Raiders (-3, 59.5)

Why Kansas State will cover: For the fourth straight week, K-State is a dog. The Wildcats won the last three SU. The Wildcats rank 26th in rushing (209 ypg), while Texas Tech’s run D is 115th. It’s the first game for Texas Tech without top running back Eric Stephens, on pace for 1,000 yards, injured last week and out for the season.

Why Texas Tech will cover: As usual, Texas Tech’s air attack is tough to defend (sixth in pass yards, eighth in scoring), but the defense isn’t terrible, especially against the pass (28th).

Points: The over is 4-1 for Raiders games, and K-State’s offensive strength plays into TT’s weakness.

Clemson Tigers at Maryland Terrapins (+8.5, 54)

Why Clemson will cover: The Tigers have covered in every game against BCS competition, with a passing offense (22nd) and defense (27th) that controls the pace.

Why Maryland will cover: Clemson QB Tajh Boyd will likely play through a hip injury, offering a glimmer of hope if he’s somewhat hobbled. If Maryland can get a quick lead, its defense has been decent against the pass.

Points: The under is 9-1 in Clemson’s last 10 in the ACC and is 6-2 in Maryland’s last eight as a home underdog and last three overall.

Stanford Cardinal at Washington State Cougars (+21, 63.5)

Why Stanford will cover: Though QB Andrew Luck gets the headlines, the Cardinal defense has been huge - No. 2 against the run (62 ypg) and No. 6 in points allowed (10.6). It’s a big reason why Stanford is 5-0 ATS.

Why Washington State will cover: WSU can chuck it, averaging 350 yards through the air (seventh). Stanford’s defense is just 85th against the pass, offering hope that the Cougars can put up some serious points.

Points: Scoring will not be an issue for Stanford, and if WSU can finish in the red zone, we could be in line for a shootout.

Oklahoma Sooners at Kansas Jayhawks (+34, 72)

Why Oklahoma will cover: OU is 4-1 ATS, ranks 10th in scoring and 12th in points allowed, and Kansas’ defense is the absolute worst in the nation statistically (49.4 ppg allowed).

Why Kansas will cover: KU can’t stop anyone but it can score, averaging 240 through the air and 219 on the ground. That’s a big spread against such a potentially potent offense.

Points: No way KU slows OU, but can the Jayhawks hold up their end of the bargain?

Arizona State Sun Devils at Oregon Ducks (-16, 66)

Why Arizona State will cover: ASU can throw the ball and Oregon’s defense hasn’t been stellar against it. Statistically, ASU’s defense is better than Oregon’s. Oregon is also dealing with the loss to star RB LaMichael James.

Why Oregon will cover: The Ducks are slightly under the radar compared to last year, but the offense is still No. 2 in scoring (50.2 ppg).

Points: The over is 5-1 in ASU games and 3-2 for Oregon. Both teams can tilt the scoreboard.

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**Udog** · 10-13-2011, 10:22 PM

NCAAF

Friday, October 14

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Hawaii at San Jose State: What bettors need to know
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Hawaii Warriors at San Jose State Spartans (+6, 55.5)

Can’t wait until Saturday’s full slate of college football action? The WAC comes to your rescue Friday night, when Hawaii (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS) heads to the mainland to face San Jose State (2-4 SU, 4-2 ATS).

Line moves

The Warriors opened as touchdown favorites but have been bet down to -6. The total opened at 55 and has climbed half a point.

State of emergency

With an ankle injury to starting running back Brandon Rutley, San Jose State head coach Mike MacIntyre may have to hand his rushing attack over to freshman Tyler Ervin again Friday night.

Rutley, who is averaging 104 yards on the ground per game, was limited in practice this week after hurting himself against Colorado State two weeks ago. He sat out last weekend’s loss to BYU, in which Ervin and sophomore RB Jason Simpson combined for just 70 yards on 26 carries.

MacIntyre isn’t overly concerned with the production of the running game but rather the pass protection from his running backs. Ervin is only 5-foot-10 and 170 pounds in his first year of FBS action. Against the Cougars, the Spartans allowed only one sack for a loss of nine yards.

"If he goes the wrong way one time, the quarterback gets hit in the back," MacIntyre told the San Jose Mercury News. "He's a very bright young man, and he's picking it up pretty quick."

Despite those kind words, SJSU's head coach has his fingers crossed that Rutley can return to action this week.

Hawaiian punch

The Warriors are coming off the bye week following their first road win of the season – and 44-26 beating of Louisiana Tech two weeks ago.

Hawaii used the time off to fine tune its offense, which finally got up to speed in its last two wins. The Warriors have scored 100 points on 1,131 total yards in victories over UC Davis and LTU – most of those coming from the big arm of quarterback Bryant Moniz.

The senior is 10th in the country is passing per game, averaging 315.6 yards an outing. He’s totaled 11 touchdowns and 834 yards through the air in the past two games, and hasn’t thrown an interception since Week 2’s loss to Washington. Moniz also put his name in the record books with seven first-half TD passes versus UC Davis, tying the NCAA record.

Last season, Moniz lit up San Jose State for 560 passing yards and three touchdowns, but was picked off twice. The Warriors thumped the Spartans 41-7 as 30-point favorites.

Coaching connection

Friday night is homecoming for the San Jose State but also for coach McMackin and Hawaii special teams coach Dick Tomey.

McMackin was the Spartans’ secondary coach from 1979-83 and Tomey served as SJSU head coach from 2005-09, and is credited for the resurgence of the football program.

"There's a lot of players I'm very familiar with, but a lot of those players have really improved a ton," Tomey told reporters. "They're older (and) they're more mature; they were sophomores when I was there and now they're seniors. I think it just suffice to say, I have incredible respect for what they've done the last two years...and I have incredible respect for what they're doing on the field now.”

Spartan tough

While Hawaii holds a slight edge, 17-16-1, in the all-time series with San Jose State, the Warriors have owned the Spartans in recent years.

They’ve won nine of the past 10 meetings and four straight in San Jose, but have had to battle for those victories inside Spartan Stadium. The last five meetings at SJSU have been decided by a touchdown or less, including two overtime affairs in the two most recent collisions at Spartans Stadium.

"We've always won over there but they have been just battles," McMackin told the media.

Hawaii has covered in their last two meetings and is 4-2 ATS in the past six. The teams are 5-5 ATS in the last 10 head-to-head games, going back to 2001.

Trends

- Warriors are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 conference games.
- Spartans are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games.
- Over is 6-2 in Warriors last eight games overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Spartans last five home games.

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**Udog** · 10-14-2011, 08:12 AM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 7

Friday's game

Hawai'i won nine of last ten games vs San Jose State, but four of last six meetings were decided by 7 or less points. Warriors won last five games here, with last four by 7-7-7-3 points. Dogs covered four of their last six visits here. Hawai'i had 593 passing yards in LY's 41-7 win vs San Jose. Spartans are 2-4, with three losses by 10+ points- they're 4-6 in last 10 games as home dog. WAC home teams are 1-4 vs spread in conference.

Saturday's best games

Underdogs are 5-2 vs spread in last seven Miami-North Carolina games, with Hurricanes losing last three visits here, by 9-6-3 points-- they were favored in all three of those games. Miami is 6-8 in its last 14 games as a road underdog- they're 1-3 vs I-A teams, losing by 8 at Maryland, 4 to Kansas State at home, 3 at Va Tech last week. UNC was 0-0 at half with a bad Louisville team last week; they're 11-21 as home fave since 2001.

Clemson is 6-0, covering last four games, with 23-3 win at Virginia Tech its only road win- they're 4-0 vs spread as a favorite this year- since '02, Tigers are just 8-12 as a road favorite. Maryland is 9-7 in last 16 games as home underdog. Tigers are just 2-5 as a series favorite, as underdogs covered five of last seven series games, with five of the seven decided by four or less points. ACC home underdogs are 3-0 against vs spread.

Wake Forest lost its opener in OT at Syracuse, has won four games in a row since- they've been dog in all four games vs I-A foes. Faves are 7-2 vs spread in Va Tech-Wake games, with Hokies winning last three, by 31-21-7 points. Tech won LY's game 52-21; Deacons completed just 4 of 17 passes. Hokies are 0-5 vs spread this year, winning its road games 17-10 (-20) at East Carolina, 30-10 (-20.5) at Marshall. Tech is 15-6-1 in last 22 games as road favorites, but are 0-2 this year.

Favorites are 13-4-1 vs spread in SEC games this year, 5-2-1 on foreign soil. South Carolina won last five games vs Mississippi State, winning last three visits here, by 15-0/16-14/23-19 scores. Gamecocks are 6-4-1 as a road favorite under Spurrier- they've allowed total of 22 points last three games, but they allowed total of 89 points in winning only two games on foriegn soil. State is 0-2 as underdogs this year, 3-5 as a home dog under Mullen. Bulldogs' last four games stayed under total.

Oregon is amazing 25-8-1 against spread in last 34 games as home fave, 10-2-1 under Kelly; they've won lined home games 69-20/43-15 as well as a 56-31 win at Arizona, so Ducks score lot of points. Oregon won its last six games vs Arizona State by average score 42-21; 11 points was closest game; Sun Devils are 2-5 in last seven visits here, losing last two 44-21/35-23. Pac-12 home teams are 6-9 vs spread; home faves are 5-6. ASU is 4-0-1 in its last five games as a home underdog.

Texas A&M is 12-2 in last 14 games vs Baylor, winning 42-30/38-3 in last two meetings; Bears lost last seven visits here (2-5 vs spread) losing 38-3/34-10 in last two. This is best Baylor team in years, but they lost only road game 36-35 at Kansas State (-3.5); Bears are 8-5 as a road dog under Briles. Aggies allowed 30-42-40 points in last three games, getting outscored 72-26 in second half of those games. A&M is 8-5 in its last 13 games as a home favorite, but 1-2 this season.

Michigan State beat Michigan last three years by 17-6-14 points, longest series win streak for them since Bubba Smith era in mid-60's; State is 2-0 as home favorite this year, but is just 20-30-1 since 2001; they allowed 7 or less points in all four wins, but Notre Dame hung 31-13 loss on them in South Bend. Since 2007, Wolverines are 3-6 as road dogs; they're 6-0 this year, scoring 100 points in last two games, 28+ in all six. Favorites are 6-4 vs spread in Big Dozen games, 4-3 at home.

Surprising that Illinois is 6-0, Ohio State 3-3; Buckeyes won six of last seven series games, winning last three by average of 28-11- they've won their last six visits here, with underdogs covering four of last five. Ohio State lost three of last four games, completing just 29 of 77 (37.7%) of passes, as they struggle bigtime in passing game. Illinois has three wins by three points- they're 4-6-1 in last eleven games as a home favorite.

Who is playing QB for Florida, who had 3rd-stringer Brissett at QB in 41-11 loss at LSU? Home teams won four of last five Florida-Auburn games, with Tigers 3-1 in last four, all covered by underdogs; Gators lost last two visits here by 27-17/23-20 scores. Auburn was outscored 24-7 in second half of last two games- they allowed 38 points in both losses this year. Has to be major relief on Plains with NCAA finding no major violations in Cam Newton case. SEC home dogs are 2-5-1 vs spread.

Central Florida won its last three games vs SMU by 10-14-29 points, as faves are 2-0-1 vs spread; Knights (-12) won 49-20 in only visit here in 2007, but Mustangs are way better now, scoring 42-40 points in winning last two games, including an OT win at TCU. Knights are struggling with ball, scoring 10-17-16 points in last three games; all four of UCF's lined games this year stayed under total. Home teams are 4-6 vs spread, 3-4 as favorites in Conference USA games this season.

Oklahoma State is 17-4 vs spread as a road favorite since 2001, winning road games 59-33/30-29 (down 20-3 at half) this year. Cowboys got its first win in last 13 tries vs Texas LY, passing for 409 yards. Favorites are 8-3-1 vs spread in last dozen series games. Longhorns covered once in last four games as the underdog- they gave up three defensive TDs in dismal 55-17 loss to rival Oklahoma last week, a major step back in their recovery from LY's 5-7 debacle. How do they bounce back here?

Texas Tech won its last five games vs Kansas State, winning last three 59-20/58-28/66-14. Wildcats lost last three visits to Lubbock by 52-39-19 points, but they're 5-0 this year, beating Miami-Baylor-Missouri last three weeks, all as underdogs. Tech allowed 34-34-45 points in last three games, scoring 40 points last week in home loss to Aggies- they've given up an average of 253 rushing yards/game over last three weeks. K-State covered ten of last thirteen games as a road underdog.

Northwestern won five of last six games vs Iowa, winning last three here by 7-5-14 points, with average total in those games 31.3. Underdogs are 6-0 SU in last six series games, with Iowa losing last two years while the #8/#13 team in nation. Wildcats are 9-2 vs spread in last 11 games as dog on road, 2-0 this, but they lost two of last three games, outscored 28-0 in second half of Michigan loss last week. Iowa overed five of its last seven games as a home favorite. Big Dozen home favorites are 4-3 vs spread.

**Udog** · 10-14-2011, 09:47 PM

Where the action is: NCAAF Week 7 line moves

Lines are on the move in Week 7 of the college football season. Jay Rood, sportsbook manager for the MGM Mirage in Las Vegas, took some time to talk about where the action is for this Saturday’s games:

South Carolina Gamecocks at Mississippi State Bulldogs – Open: +5.5, Move: +3

Last week, bettors jumped on the Gamecocks when Steve Spurrier switched to backup QB Connor Shaw. Now, it seems the wiseguy money is going against South Carolina, with sharp bets coming in on the Bulldogs. There is a still a ton of public money tied to the 'Cocks, especially parlays. Rood says this is one of the rare times he’ll be cheering for the sharps.

“With this game having an early 1 p.m. kickoff, we’ll be rooting for the wiseguys to knock out a lot of that public parlay action,” he says.

Louisville Cardinals at Cincinnati Bearcats – Open: -14, Move: -17, Move: -15

Cardinals QB Will Stein is probable to return from a shoulder injury after missing last week, which is half the reason why this line has moved as much as it has in such a short time. Rood expects the spread to go back up, but not because of Stein’s status.

“Cincinnati has been a favorite choice of sharp bettors this season,” Rood says. “This team has some teeth and if you get down, Cincy is going to roll you. They have no trouble with running up the score.”

Florida State Seminoles at Duke Blue Devils – Open: 54, Move 57.5

The total for this ACC matchup is on the rise with nothing but over money coming in. Rood believes Duke is better than advertised and can put up some points, but also thinks FSU will be lethargic on the defensive end with this being its third straight road game.

“Florida State has been struggling ever since that Oklahoma game,” he says. “They got the wind knocked out of them and are gasping for breath.”

LSU Tigers at Tennessee Volunteers – Open: +14, Move: +18

With the top teams in the country covering like cash machines, bettors are piling on the Tigers against a lesser opponent. Rood says this line move has everything to do with that current trend.

“The powerhouse teams have been crushing teams,” he says. “Anything below -17 is the green light for every bettor to make a play on (LSU).”

BYU Cougars at Oregon State Beavers – Open: +1.5, Move: -3.5

The Cougars' QB controversy and the resurgence of the Beavers has flipped this spread on its ear. Add to that a tough setting for BYU in Reser Stadium.

“We took a couple early bets on BYU, but it’s been Oregon State money ever since,” says Rood. “Just straight limit plays all week.”

**Udog** · 10-14-2011, 09:51 PM

NCAAF

Saturday, October 15

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College football betting weather report: Week 7
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The change in seasons has been a strange one. Find out how weather will impact your college football bets in Week 7 of the season.

Louisville Cardinals at Cincinnati Bobcats (-16, 48.5)

Clear skies is in the forecast for Cincinnati, but there will be winds, blowing west, at speeds of up to 15 mph Saturday.

Michigan Wolverines at Michigan State Spartans (-2.5, 49)

The winds will rage in the battle for the Paul Bunyan Trophy. The forecast in East Lansing is calling for gust of up to 30 mph, blowing west from sideline to sideline. Game-time temperatures will dip into the low 50s with a 14 percent chance of showers.

Purdue Boilermakers at Penn State Nittany Lions (-12, 41.5)

Rain is in the forecast for Happy Valley, with an 18 percent chance of showers and game-time temperatures falling into the low 50s. Winds will also be an issue for the passing and kicking games, blowing West at speeds of up to 20 mph.

Utah Utes at Pittsburgh Panthers (-6.5, 46.5)

Rain will dampen Pittsburgh for the first half of this East-vs.-West matchup. There is a 20 percent chance of showers, which will give way later in the afternoon. Winds will blow west at speeds of up to 20 mph.

Indiana Hoosiers at Wisconsin Badgers (-39.5, 60.5)

Winds will reach speeds of up to 16 mph in Madison Saturday. Gust will blow west from sideline to sideline, cooling temperatures into the mid 50s.

Miami Hurricanes at North Carolina Tar Heels (-3, 52.5)

The forecast in Chapel Hill is calling for winds, blowing west, at speeds of up to 12 mph.

Buffalo Bulls at Temple Owls (-21, 47.5)

Winds will reach speeds of 15 mph, blowing WSW from corner to corner at Lincoln Financial Field Saturday. Temperatures will be in the mid 60s.

Navy Midshipmen at Rutgers Scarlet Knights (-3.5, 53)

The forecast in New Jersey is calling for winds, blowing WSW from end to end, at speeds of up to 14 mph Saturday.

UNLV Runnin’ Rebels at Wyoming Cowboys (-10.5, 56)

Winds will cause chaos for this MWC battle. Gusts are expected to reach speeds of up to 25 mph, blowing west from sideline to sideline, at Jonah Field at War Memorial Stadium Saturday.

Eastern Michigan Eagles at Central Michigan Chippewas (-12.5, 51.5)

The weather will be any but pleasant in Mount Pleasant Saturday. Rain and winds reaching speeds of up to 22 mph, blowing west, will plagued this MAC showdown. Temperatures will dip into the low 50s.

Rice Owls at Marshall Thundering Herd (-4.5, 51.5)

The forecast for Huntington is calling for winds, blowing west, of speed of up to 15 mph from sideline to sideline.

South Florida Bulls at Connecticut Huskies (+7, 46.5)

Winds will reach speeds of up to 15 mph in Storrs Saturday. Those breezes will blow WSW from sideline to sideline at Rentschler Field.

Miami (Ohio) RedHawks at Kent State Golden Flashes (+3.5, 39.5)

There is messy weather on the way in Ohio, with a 30 percent chance of rain and winds reaching speeds of up to 20 mph, blowing west from sideline to sideline.

Western Michigan Broncos at Northern Illinois Huskies (+1, 69)

Winds will blow west from sideline to sideline, reaching speeds of up to 16 mph at Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium Saturday.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Florida Atlantic Owls (-2.5, 43.5)

The forecast in Miami is calling for possible thundershowers and a 20 percent chance of rain Saturday. Winds will reach speeds of up to 15 mpg, blowing ENE from corner to corner at Lockhart Stadium.

Boise State Broncos at Colorado State Rams (+31.5, 54.5)

Winds will reach speeds of up to 15 mph in Fort Collins, blowing west, but will settle down in the second half.

Kansas State Wildcats at Texas Tech Red Raiders (-3.5, 60.5)

The forecast for Lubbock is calling for winds, blowing south from end to end, at speeds of up to 12 mph Saturday.

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**Udog** · 10-14-2011, 09:54 PM

NCAAF

Saturday, October 15

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Ohio State at Illinois: What bettors need to know
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Ohio State Buckeyes at Illinois Fighting Illini (-3.5, 45)

THE STORY: Ohio State’s two biggest weapons will return to the backfield when it visits No. 15 Illinois Saturday. Senior RB Dan Herron returns from a six-game suspension and dynamic freshman QB Braxton Miller, who left last weekend’s 34-27 loss to Nebraska with an ankle injury, is expected to face a frenzied Fighting Illini defense. Illinois ranks 15th in the nation in yards allowed and leads the Big Ten in sacks. The Illini can tie the 1951 squad for the program’s best start if they can improve to 7-0 and snap an eight-game home losing streak to OSU.

TV: ABC

WEATHER: The forecast in Champaign is calling for cloudy skies and winds, blowing west from sideline to sideline, at speeds of up to 13 mph. Temperatures will be in the low 60s.

LINE MOVES: The Illini opened as 4-point home favorites and have been bet down half a point. The total opened at 43 points and has climbed to 44.5.

ABOUT OHIO STATE (3-3, 0-2 Big Ten, 3-3 ATS): The plug was pulled on the Buckeyes' offense when Miller went down with OSU leading Nebraska 27-20 in the third quarter, leaving former starter Joe Bauserman to take snaps. He completed just 1 of 10 passes and was picked off while Nebraska scored 28 unanswered points to steal the victory. The Buckeyes should get a boost from the return of Herron, who rushed for 1,155 yards and 16 touchdowns last season. Starting offensive lineman Marcus Hall also returns after serving a one-game suspension last weekend.

ABOUT ILLINOIS (6-0, 2-0 Big Ten, 3-3 ATS): The Fighting Illini have a Heisman sleeper in dual-threat QB Nathan Scheelhaase. The sophomore is averaging over 264 yards of total offense, giving an already-dangerous running game extra pop. Illinois is 14th in rushing in the country, using a loaded backfield to march for 226 yards an outing. Ohio State must also keep a close eye on WR A.J. Jenkins, who is having a breakout season. The senior is fourth in the nation in receiving yards (815) and has caught seven touchdown passes – four of those scores coming on plays of 50 or more yards.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. This is the 94th meeting between Ohio State and Illinois. The Buckeyes lead the all-time series 62-30-4, including a 33-12 edge in Champaign. They’ve outscored Illinois 227-92 in the past eight games at Memorial Stadium.

2. In the last two seasons, OSU is 20-3 in games in which Herron has scored a rushing touchdown. The Buckeyes are 18-1 in games in which Herron has rushed for at least 55 yards.

3. Illinois has forced a turnover in 21 straight games, going back to Nov. 14, 2009. The Illini recovered a fumble and recorded an interception in last week’s 41-20 win over Indiana.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Illinois.
* Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.
* Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Buckeyes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
* Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings in Illinois.

PREDICTION: Illinois 24, Ohio State 17 – Illinois takes the Illibuck Trophy and stakes its claim as a true contender for the Big Ten Leaders Division crown with a win Saturday.

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Announcement

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 7 (10/13 - 10/15)

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 7 (10/13 - 10/15)

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