Announcement

**Udog** · 10-06-2011, 10:56 PM

Friday's betting tips: Cards cashing as road dogs

Who’s hot

NCAAF: Boise State is 21-7 against the spread in its last 28 road games.

MLB: Milwaukee is 20-6 in Yovani Gallardo’s last 26 home starts.

MLB: St. Louis is 9-2 in its last 11 games as a road underdog.

NHL: Nashville was 7-1 in preseason play.

CFL: Winnipeg is 14-5-1 against the spread in its last 20 games overall.

WNBA: The Lynx are 20-8 against the spread in their last 28 games as an underdog.

Who’s not

NCAAF: Fresno State is 2-9 against the number in its last 11 prime time Friday games.

MLB: Arizona is 0-4 in its last four playoff road games.

MLB: Philadelphia is just 1-7 in its last eight home games.

NHL: Carolina was 1-4-1 in preseason play, scoring just 11 goals.

CFL: Just one of the last seven meetings between the Blue Bombers and Tiger-Cats have played over the total.

WNBA: The Atlanta Dream are 1-5 against the spread in their last six games when favored by 0.5 points to 4.5 points.

Key stat

.235 – The Anaheim Ducks open their regular season in Helsikini, Finland against the Buffalo Sabres in a 1 p.m. ET start. The Ducks have a .235 winning percentage in season openers (4-13-0).

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Dave Bolland, Chicago Blackhawks – Bolland (upper-body) is practicing with the Blackhawks, but won’t take part in the club’s opener Friday against the Dallas Stars. The Blackhawks are thin up the middle as it is and are experimenting with Patrick Kane at center, so they could struggle if Bolland is out for any length of time. He had 15 goals and 37 points in 61 games for Chicago last season.

Game of the day

St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Phillies (-185, 7)

Notable quotable

"You can't even chart every formation they have. What you have to do is be able to understand what they're trying to do with the personnel on the field and play defense to stop personnel groupings, not formations. There's just too many formations to work on in any one week, two weeks or three weeks. They run multiple formations." – Fresno State coach Pat Hill on preparing for the Boise State Broncos. The Bulldogs focused on offensive and defensive assignments and strategy instead of a heavy hitting practice on Monday.

Notes and tips

Winnipeg Blue Bombers quarterback Buck Pierce will play Friday against the Hamilton Tiger-Cats after missing last week’s loss to Montreal with a rib injury. In 12 games, Pierce has chucked for 2,680 yards with 12 touchdowns and 13 interceptions to lead the Blue Bombers to 8-5 record, 9-4 against the spread. He’ll have a target on his chest, too. “I’m not trying to take a shot at him,” Hamilton defensive lineman Stevie Braggs told reporters this week. “But if I get a chance to sack him? Of course. I’ll put this 250 pounds on him and just lay on him a little bit and say, ‘Hello, how are you doing?’ Converse with him a little bit." Hamilton is set as a 3-point home favorite.

Down 2-0 heading into the third game of the WNBA finals, the Atlanta Dream are looking for a little love from the officials. Minnesota downed Atlanta 101-95 in Game 2 as a 5.5-point favorite despite Angel McCoughtry’s 38 points – a finals record. After the loss she was steamed about the 33 fouls called against Atlanta compared to 23 against Minnesota. "Let us battle out. Let us scratch and claw to the end. It's entertainment. That's what people want to see," McCoughtry told reporters. Atlanta is set as a 4-point home favorite in Game 3.

The Colorado Buffalos have suspended five defensive players indefinitely for violating unspecified team rules, coach Jon Embree announced Thursday. Defensive backs Josh Moten, Ayodeji Olatoye, Parker Orms and Paul Vigo, along with linebacker Liloa Nobriga were suspended. Orms is the lone starter of the group. Embree said the reason for the suspensions did not involve law enforcement. The players will be unable to participate in football-related activities in the meantime. Colorado is a big 29.5-point underdog at Stanford on Saturday.

**Udog** · 10-06-2011, 11:01 PM

WNBA Finals
Long Sheet

Friday, October 7

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MINNESOTA (33 - 8) at ATLANTA (24 - 17) - 10/7/2011, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 6-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA Finals

Friday, October 7

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. ATLANTA
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Atlanta is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota

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**Udog** · 10-06-2011, 11:04 PM

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 15

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Friday, October 7

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WINNIPEG (8 - 5) at HAMILTON (7 - 6) - 10/7/2011, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
WINNIPEG is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in October games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 6-3 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 5-4 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, October 8

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CALGARY (8 - 5) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (7 - 6) - 10/8/2011, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 6-3 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 6-3 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, October 10

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TORONTO (3 - 10) at MONTREAL (8 - 5) - 10/10/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) as an underdog of 10 or more points since 1996.
TORONTO is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points since 1996.
MONTREAL is 45-66 ATS (-27.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 8-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 8-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SASKATCHEWAN (4 - 9) at EDMONTON (7 - 6) - 10/10/2011, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) versus division opponents this season.
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 61-37 ATS (+20.3 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 102-65 ATS (+30.5 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 88-58 ATS (+24.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
EDMONTON is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 6-2 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 5-3 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 15

Winnipeg (8-5) @ Hamilton (8-5)-- Bombers beat Hamilton twice so far this season, 24-16 (+9) here in Week 1, then 30-27 (-3.5) at home seven weeks late. Winnipeg was 7-1 at its bye, but lost four of five since, with last three games all decided by 6 or less points- they're 4-2 on road, 4-0 as road dog (underdog covered all six of their road games). TiCats are 5-1 at home, 1-2 as home favorites-they're 5-0 allowing less than 28 points. Eight of last ten Hamilton games went over the total.

Calgary (8-5) @ BCLions (7-6)-- Road team won both series games this season; Stamps (+1.5) won 34-32 here in Week 2, then lost 32-19 (-5) at home three weeks ago. Red-hot Lions won last six games, scoring average of 33.3 ppg- they were 1-6 before that. BC covered its last three tries as a favorite. Calgary is 3-3 since bye; they're 5-1 on foreign soil, with only loss at Hamilton- Week 2 win here was only other game thy've been dog all season. Seven of Lions'last nine games stayed under the total.

Toronto (3-10) @ Montreal (8-5)--Alouettes already beat Toronto twice this season, 40-17 (-10) here in Week 3, 36-23 (+5.5) three weeks later. Argos lost four of last five games, are 3-4 as road underdogs, losing away games by 6-23-1-5-22-10 points. Five of their last seven games stayed under total. Montreal won three of last four games after 2-4 skid; they're 3-3 as home favorites, winning home games by 4-24-23-30 points, with losses to Saskatchewan/Montreal.

Saskatchewan (4-9) @ Edmonton (7-6)-- Eskimos lost six of eight after a 5-0 start; they they beat Roughriders 42-28 (+6.5) in Week 1, are 2-2 as home favorites, but they've lost last three home games SU. Roughriders are 2-4 as road underdogs; after 1-7 start, they won three games in row, but lost last two weeks, by 42-5/40-3 scores. Nine of last 11 Roughrider games stayed under total. Edmonton is 5-0 when it allowed 23 points or less, 2-6 when it allows more. Riders scored 5-3 points last two games.

CFL

Week 15

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Trend Report
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Friday, October 9

7:30 PM
WINNIPEG vs. HAMILTON
Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Winnipeg is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Hamilton's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hamilton's last 5 games at home

Saturday, October 8

10:00 PM
CALGARY vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Calgary's last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing British Columbia
British Columbia is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Calgary
British Columbia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Monday, October 10

1:00 PM
TORONTO vs. MONTREAL
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing Toronto
Montreal is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto

4:30 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. EDMONTON
Saskatchewan is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games
Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Edmonton's last 12 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan

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CFL

Week 15

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Canadian Bacon: CFL Week 15 odds and picks
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Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Hamilton Tiger Cats (-3, 53)

Buck Pierce should be back behind center and that’s good news for the Bombers although they are still without their two best running backs.

Despite injuries and with Alex Brink starting at QB, Winnipeg came a yard short of beating the Montreal Alouettes for the second time. With Pierce back in the lineup, the Bombers will be even more threatening even though he has thrown more interceptions (13) than touchdowns (12). The Bombers lost four of their last five and should be hungry but the defense must step up and prove as intimidating as it was in the first eight games of the year.

That starts with DE Odell Willis. Willis managed only four sacks and eight tackles in his last six games after notching eight sacks and 12 tackles in his first six.

The Tiger-Cats have won their last two games against Calgary and Toronto but have been showing some inconsistency all year long. This said, RB Terry Grant brings tons of speed and with Avon Cobourne as well, the Tiger-Cats have a dual threat on the ground. Wideout Marcus Thigpen also makes the offense more explosive.

Pick: Hamilton

Calgary Stampeders at B.C. Lions (-3.5, 54)

Both teams are coming off impressive wins last week and are now battling for first place in the West.

The Stampeders have been excellent on the road with a 5-1 record but their defense has allowed 348 points, fourth from the league’s basement. Meanwhile, the Lions lead the league having allowed only 273 points.

With a win the Stampeders would stay alone on top of their division while taking the season series against the Lions – which could prove huge when the bye weeks are decided. Calgary is also trying to avenge a 32-19 home loss to the Lions at McMahon Stadium on Sept. 17.

Jon Cornish, named Canadian player of the week and of the month, has kicked Joffrey Reynolds out of the lineup and makes the Stampeders offense more balanced. He has rushed for 233 yards in two games.

The Lions’ offense, led by QB Travis Lulay, remains one of the most potent in the league. Wally Buono’s squad also has an explosive young running back in Andrew Harris, who scored two touchdowns last week against the Eskimos. The Lions are on a six-week winning streak but most importantly, they come into this one relatively healthy and with lots of depth.

Pick: B.C.

Toronto Argonauts at Montreal Alouettes (-13, 54)

Jeremaine Copeland and Cory Boyd are both frustrated by the way they are used in the offense. Copeland spoke out to TSN about it before Boyd voiced his complaints over Twitter.

Copeland says the Argos record would probably be much better if he was thrown the ball more often. So despite a change at QB, team spirit can’t get much lower in the Argos locker room with a 3-10 record.

Head coach Jim Barker even admitted he made a mistake by sticking so long with QB Cleo Lemon while saying he can now build around Steven Jyles. The only positive thing going for the Argos is that Chad Owens is about to become the only professional football player in history with more than 3000 combined yards two years in a row (he now has 2431).

Meanwhile, the Alouettes could secure a playoff berth with a win but all the attention will be on QB Anthony Calvillo. He is only 258 yards away from surpassing Damon Allen’s record for the most passing yards in a career in all of pro football history (CFL and NFL).

Pick: Montreal

Saskatchewan Roughriders at Edmonton Eskimos (-6, 50.5)

The Eskimos are in the thick of the race for first place in the West while the Roughriders are in a survival mode.

The Eskimos defense has been impressive (ranked third in the league) while no team has given more points this season than Saskatchewan (385, almost 30 points per game). The Riders’ offense has only scored 275 points on the year and were been beaten by the Lions and the Stampeders by a combined score of 82-8 in their last two games.

After losing the first game of the season to the Eskimos, the Roughriders absolutely need this win to avoid being out of the playoff picture for the first time since 2001.

But the Eskimos offense is much more balanced and the rushing game might be the difference in this one. Edmonton averages 104 yards on the ground while the Riders have allowed 155 yards per game to opposing running backs.

Also note that the Roughriders have had their share of difficulties at Commonwealth Stadium, winning only three times in their last 16 trips to Edmonton.

Pick: Edmonton

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**Udog** · 10-06-2011, 11:08 PM

NHL
Long Sheet

Friday, October 7

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ANAHEIM (49-33-0-6, 104 pts.) vs. BUFFALO (46-32-0-11, 103 pts.) - 10/7/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 49-39 ATS (+88.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-1-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.3 Units)

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NY RANGERS (45-35-0-7, 97 pts.) vs. LOS ANGELES (48-31-0-9, 105 pts.) - 10/7/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 13-6 ATS (+19.7 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 2-1-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.6 Units)

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OTTAWA (32-40-0-10, 74 pts.) at DETROIT (54-27-0-12, 120 pts.) - 10/7/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 104-42 ATS (+1.1 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 2-0-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

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TAMPA BAY (57-31-0-12, 126 pts.) at CAROLINA (40-31-0-11, 91 pts.) - 10/7/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 83-162 ATS (+298.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 57-43 ATS (+101.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 31-20 ATS (+52.2 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 7-5 (+2.3 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 7-5-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.6 Units)

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NASHVILLE (50-32-0-12, 112 pts.) at COLUMBUS (34-35-0-13, 81 pts.) - 10/7/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 98-83 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 9-3 (+6.2 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 9-3-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.2 Units)

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CHICAGO (47-32-0-10, 104 pts.) at DALLAS (42-29-0-11, 95 pts.) - 10/7/2011, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-3 (+3.6 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-3-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+6.0 Units)

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**Udog** · 10-06-2011, 11:14 PM

NHL
Short Sheet

Friday, October 7

ANAHEIM vs. BUFFALO, 1:00 PM ET - Helsinki, Finland
ANAHEIM: 36-45 SU 1st half of season
BUFFALO: 19-13 SU on Friday nights

NY RANGERS vs. LOS ANGELES, 1:00 PM ET - Stockholm, Sweden VERSUS
NY RANGERS: 13-6 SU Away 1st half of season
LOS ANGELES: 24-12 SU in non-conf games

OTTAWA at DETROIT, 7:00 PM ET
OTTAWA: 5-13 SU on Friday nights
DETROIT: 22-13 SU as home favorite of -200 or higher

TAMPA BAY at CAROLINA, 7:00 PM ET
TAMPA BAY: 31-20 SU vs. division
CAROLINA: 26-50 SU 1st half of season

NASHVILLE at COLUMBUS, 7:00 PM ET
NASHVILLE: 9-3 SU vs. Columbus
COLUMBUS: 15-33 SU vs. division

CHICAGO at DALLAS, 8:30 PM ET
CHICAGO: 47-31 SU 1st half of season
DALLAS: 14-9 SU on Friday nights

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**Udog** · 10-06-2011, 11:20 PM

NHL

Friday, October 7

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Ice picks: Friday's best NHL bets
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Nashville Predators at Columbus Blue Jackets (-110, 5)

If you’re looking for a team that has a lot to play for early in this NHL season, look no further than the Nashville Predators.

Their top defensive pairing – and likely the best duo in the league – Shea Weber and Ryan Suter are both playing in the final year of their contracts. Plus, the defensive unit was good enough to send 2009 first-round pick Ryan Ellis down to the AHL as it is.

“A lot of guys have made it really hard (for us) and that’s great,” coach Barry Trotz told reporters. “We have a lot of guys who can play for us right now. If anyone backs off in terms of their effort or their play, we have lots of people who can jump in there.”

Then, of course, there’s goaltender Pekka Rinne. All he did was win 33 games with a 2.12 goals against average and a .930 save percentage.

While we won’t put much stock in preseason play, it looks as though the Preds are more than ready to roll after going 7-1 in the exhibition games. This team is going to do some major damage this season.

Pick: Predators

New York Rangers at Los Angeles Kings (-125, 5)

The Rangers and Kings finally get together for a game that means something after spending the last week or so touring around Europe playing exhibition games.

Sounds like a nice vacation, but like any excursion abroad, the travel can really get to you. New York had a spotless record heading into its last preseason matchup but was then pounded 8-4 by Ev Zug on Monday. It was the club’s fourth game in four different countries over a five-day span.

They’ve been idle since then as far as games go, though far from that with transactions. They waived pesky forward Sean Avery and picked up defenseman Woywitka to try to fill the gap that Marc Staal’s absence has left with his concussion symptoms.

These European games are always a handicapping crapshoot, but don’t expect a scoring spree. Henrik Lundqvist and Jonathan Quick are two of the best in the business between the pipes and the two clubs will feel each other out in this one.

Pick: Under

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**Udog** · 10-06-2011, 11:23 PM

MLB
Long Sheet

Friday, October 7

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ARIZONA (96 - 70) at MILWAUKEE (98 - 68) - 5:05 PM
IAN KENNEDY (R) vs. YOVANI GALLARDO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 54-81 (-26.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 81-49 (+25.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 99-68 (+21.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 60-24 (+28.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 28-11 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 23-7 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in home games in day games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 99-68 (+21.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 60-37 (+22.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ARIZONA is 38-32 (+9.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ARIZONA is 97-71 (+26.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 43-40 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ARIZONA is 97-71 (+26.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 72-47 (+28.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KENNEDY is 25-9 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
KENNEDY is 12-4 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
KENNEDY is 25-9 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
KENNEDY is 14-4 (+9.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)
KENNEDY is 12-5 (+7.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 5-14 (-10.1 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 13-22 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GALLARDO is 17-22 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 6-5 (+1.3 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

IAN KENNEDY vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
KENNEDY is 1-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.37 and a WHIP of 1.125.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.3 units)

YOVANI GALLARDO vs. ARIZONA since 1997
GALLARDO is 6-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 1.18 and a WHIP of 0.868.
His team's record is 6-0 (+6.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.2 units)

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ST LOUIS (92 - 74) at PHILADELPHIA (104 - 62) - 8:35 PM
CHRIS CARPENTER (R) vs. ROY HALLADAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 91-85 (-23.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 178-151 (-21.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 148-87 (+23.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 102-62 (+27.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 63-24 (+33.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 104-62 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 45-20 (+17.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 102-61 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HALLADAY is 19-3 (+14.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season. (Team's Record)
HALLADAY is 30-7 (+19.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Friday since 1997. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 46-35 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 68-46 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 22-13 (+10.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
ST LOUIS is 47-37 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CARPENTER is 13-3 (+10.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 8-5 (+5.1 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
6 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-1.6 Units, Under=-0.0 Units)

CHRIS CARPENTER vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
CARPENTER is 7-2 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 4.46 and a WHIP of 1.313.
His team's record is 10-2 (+8.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-4. (+2.7 units)

ROY HALLADAY vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
HALLADAY is 3-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 2.37 and a WHIP of 0.921.
His team's record is 4-1 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

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**Udog** · 10-06-2011, 11:26 PM

MLB
Short Sheet

Friday, October 7

NL Division Series - Best of 5 - Game 5 - Tied 2-2
ARIZONA at MILWAUKEE, 5:05 PM ET TBS
KENNEDY: 12-4 TSR in road games
GALLARDO: MIL 5-14 after allowing 10+ runs

NL Division Series - Best of 5 - Game 5 - Tied 2-2
ST LOUIS at PHILADELPHIA, 8:35 PM ET TBS
CARPENTER: STL 9-0 Under in a playoff series that is tied
HALLADAY: 19-3 TSR if total is 7 or less

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**Udog** · 10-06-2011, 11:30 PM

MLB

Friday, October 7

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Hot lines: Friday's best MLB bet
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St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Phillies (-185, 7)

You have to love it when a series comes down to a pair of buddies sharing the hill in the deciding game. That’s exactly what we’re looking at with Philadelphia’s Roy Halladay going head-to-head with former teammate Chris Carpenter.

“Might be fitting that it goes down to a fifth game,” Phillies manager Charlie Manuel told reporters. “We’re a good team. They’re a good team. We’ve been in close games all year long. It’s up to us to go get it. It’s sitting right there for us. We’ve got our ace going and we’re at home, and so everything is sitting right there. And, basically, that’s why we worked like hell to get the home-field advantage.”

But the Cardinals hold all the momentum after David Freese hammered a huge two-run homer and drove in four runs while Lance Berkman added his fourth RBI of the series in Game 4’s 5-3 victory.

However, this line forces you into a tough decision. We like Halladay at home over Carpenter and home field advantage is obviously huge in the deciding game, but do you want to pay as much as -200 for the Phils as of Thursday evening? That’s a lot of chalk to swallow in a series that’s gone back and forth like this one.

Looking at the total, three of the four games have played over the number, but we see this one as an absolute pitching duel. We’ll hop on the under before the over/under drops any lower.

Pick: Under

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**Udog** · 10-06-2011, 11:31 PM

NOTE:
For the initial posting of trends and indexes, we have provided information available up to the time of posting.
Additional updates for today’s games will be posted ASAP.

**Udog** · 10-07-2011, 08:08 AM

Armadillo: Weekend's six-pack

-- Home team covered seven of last nine Illinois-Indiana games.

-- Iowa won six of last seven vs Penn State, including four SU upsets.

-- Favorites are 10-1-1 vs spread in last dozen Minnesota-Purdue games.

-- Boise State covered nine of last ten against Fresno State.

-- Washington State covered eight of last eleven against UCLA.

-- Nevada covered its last five games against UNLV.

*******************

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: The heroes of my time.......

When I graduated from high school (a long time ago), I remember a friend of mine signing his name in my yearbook after listing some celebrities we had talked about constantly over the previous few years; he called them “the heroes of our time.” This is a list of the heroes of my time. Its not a ranking or anything, just a list of people who’ve made an impression.

Non-sports division:
-- Chuck Barris—The Gong Show was a parody of American Idol 25 years beforehand, and with a warped sense of humor. Its hard to describe how bizarre Barris was, other than he later claimed to be a hitman for the CIA, or something like that. The Unknown Comic, a bad jokester wearing a bag over his head, was a regular. Nothing since has come close to rivaling The Gong Show for sheer lunacy.
-- David Letterman—His best work was in the fall of 1980, on an ill-fated daytime talkshow that got cancelled, which led to his getting a latenight show. Rich Hall/Will Shriner were contributors to this show; trust me, it was funnier than his show now.
– Steve Martin—I’m convinced he’s the funniest man alive, but he’s also a really good dramatic actor. Thinking about his movies, Roxanne and Shop Girl are my favorites.

Non-athlete division:
-- Charles Oscar Finley—Unquestionably should be in the Baseball Hall of Fame; his innovations are still putting millions into owners’ pockets. Night World Series games, colorful uniforms, the DH, Mr Finley was also an astute GM who put together the team that won five straight AL West titles and three consecutive World Series. If they put that corrupt bastard George Steinbrenner in the Hall of Fame before Charlie O. (or Bill Veeck, for that matter), I’m not going to be very happy.

-- Bill James—Bill James made statistical analysis mainstream, which is how nitwits like myself wound up reading every word he wrote and why we now write on our own. I’m not sure if he gets credit or blame for this, but he definitely gets my thanks.

-- Ernie Kaufman—he used to be on some radio show late at night giving football picks, but he would always include good trends to go with the picks. I loved these trends, which became the genesis for the website you’re reading right now. Actually wish I could tell you more about Mr Kaufman—I think he might have appeared on Roy Firestone’s show on ESPN every now and then, but he was a big influence in how I think about handicapping.

Athlete division:
-- Tom Burleson—Played center for the 1974 national champs at NC State, then played for a few teams in the NBA. He is my all-time favorite basketball player. When I was 15, he was sitting on the bench at halftime of a game at Boston Garden. I walked up to him, tapped him on the shoulder and asked for his autograph.

His coach at the time was Bill Russell, who looked up from his stat sheet and damn near killed me with his stare. I quickly retreated. Burleson got into a fight with Paul Silas a few minutes later and got tossed. People were throwing popcorn at my friend Jim Craig and me because he was openly rooting for the Sonics. An interesting night.

-- Bobby Orr—Revolutionalized hockey being an offensive defenseman; career was shortened by bad knees. Got to meet him at a celebrity softball game; very nice man, and if you ask him a question, he’ll answer honestly.

-- Arnold Palmer— I used to coach Little League with a guy who had a big ego; the guy was an excellent golfer, and the year we coached together, Mr Palmer came to Albany to play in a charity tournament. The day after the event, I asked him how he enjoyed meeting Arnold Palmer. This guy was pretty rich and wasn’t impressed by much; his eyes got big like a little kid and he said, “It was the greatest day of my life.” ‘nuff said.

-- David Thompson—It was before ESPN, so not too many people know that David Thompson was a better college player than Michael Jordan, a lot better. Off-court stuff hampered his pro career, but he was still pretty damn good for the Nuggets, scoring 13,422 points. Think he still works for the Bobcats but wow, what a great, great college player, and this was before the shot clock.

The top 5:
5) Vince Ferragamo is probably the last good passing QB from Nebraska; he led the Rams to Super Bowl XIV and almost upset the mighty Steelers. Too bad he jumped to the CFL and ruined his career; Rams might have won a Super Bowl earlier than they did.

4) Biff Pocoroba—When you share an unusual first name with someone, you follow their career and root for them. Always like to say that Dale Murphy became an outfielder because Biff beat him out as catcher, which doesn’t make it true, but he did play in the 1978 All-Star Game and once hit a game-winning double off Tom Seaver on Monday Night Baseball, back when that was kind of a big deal. He owns a sausage company company in Georgia now, I think.

3) Jack Youngblood—Played 2.5 playoff games with a broken freakin’ leg. Got inducted into the Pro Football Hall of Fame in Canton in 2001, then collided with me in the airport the following Tuesday, on our way home, a month before 9/11. Good guy, fun to talk with, but it was weird because I’m bigger than he is and he was a great defensive end. Maybe I need to go on a diet.

2) Catfish Hunter—Began rooting for him when I was 5, because they misspelled his name on the back of his rookie card. Never played in the minor leagues. Pitched five innings in the long ’67 All-Star Game, pitched a perfect game the next year, when I was 8, won three World Series rings from 1972-74. Won’t mention anything that happened after 1974, other than he was rightfully inducted in Cooperstown in 1987, and I’m glad I was there to see it.

1) Kurt Warner—They have to make a movie about this guy someday, the grocery store stockboy-turned-two-time NFL MVP. He played an Arenaball game in Albany in 1995 or ’96, won it 77-76, and three years later, he led my Rams to their only Super Bowl championship. Was lucky enough to meet him in August ’04. Very polite, just like you see on TV. Living proof that sometimes, nice guys finish first.

**Udog** · 10-07-2011, 08:10 AM

WNBA
Dunkel

Minnesota at Atlanta
The Dream look to build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games as a favorite. Atlanta is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Dream favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-4). Here are all of today's picks

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 7

Game 655-656: Minnesota at Atlanta (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 113.301; Atlanta 120.681
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 7 1/2;
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 4; 165
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-4);

**Udog** · 10-07-2011, 08:15 AM

CFL
Dunkel

Winnipeg at Hamilton
The Bluebombers look to build on their 8-1-1 ATS record in their last 10 games against at team with a winning record. Winnipeg is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+3 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 7

Game 491-492: Winnipeg at Hamilton (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 109.895; Hamilton 109.933
Dunkel Line: Even; 56
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 3 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+3 1/2); Over

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 8

Game 493-494: Calgary at BC (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 111.641; BC 124.505
Dunkel Line: BC by 13; 50
Vegas Line: BC by 3 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: BC (-3 1/2); Under

MONDAY, OCTOBER 10

Game 495-496: Toronto at Montreal (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 105.601; Montreal 115.086
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 9 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Montreal by 13 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+13 1/2); Under

Game 497-498: Saskatchewan at Edmonton (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 106.654; Edmonton 113.607
Dunkel Line: Edmonton by 7; 53
Vegas Line: Edmonton by 6; 51
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-6); Over

**Udog** · 10-07-2011, 08:18 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Tampa Bay at Carolina
The Hurricanes look to build on their 17-6 record in their last 23 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Carolina is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Hurricanes favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-120). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 7

Game 51-52: Anaheim vs. Buffalo (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 11.327; Buffalo 12.461
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-130); Over

Game 53-54: NY Rangers vs. Los Angeles (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 12.631; Los Angeles 11.475
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+100); Under

Game 55-56: Ottawa at Detroit (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 11.673; Detroit 10.653
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-230); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+190); Over

Game 57-58: Tampa Bay at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 11.431; Carolina 12.261
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Carolina (-120); 6
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-120); Under

Game 59-60: Nashville at Columbus (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 11.661; Columbus 11.029
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-110); 5
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-110); Under

Game 61-62: Chicago at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 10.784; Dallas 12.447
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+110); Over

Announcement

Friday's Trends and Indexes - 10/7 (MLB, WNBA, NHL, CFL, Misc.)

Friday's Trends and Indexes - 10/7 (MLB, WNBA, NHL, CFL, Misc.)

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