Announcement

**Udog** · 10-05-2011, 09:14 AM

College football odds: Week 6 opening line report

There are a lot of critics, especially those residing in the SEC, waiting for Oklahoma to slip up.

The Sooners may have speed, they may have depth and they may have a not-so-difficult road to the national title game. But for many, that doesn't matter. To them, Oklahoma is still Oklahoma, a traditional powerhouse that can't get it done at crunch time.

And with several slip-ups in the Bob Stoops Era, perhaps the Sooners are deserving of their so-so status. But maybe this year is different. Maybe this group sees what lies ahead, and knows it's all up to them to see where they finish. Maybe they'll use a BCS bowl win last season, and a consistent Top 5 rating this year, to fuel them to drive for more this season.

If you listen to Stoops, for one, he certainly believes this year could be different. It may only be October, but these players are not resting on their laurels.

Not at all.

“I feel good that we've made good progress. I feel good that the players aren't overly joyed about anything," Stoops said Saturday night, after Oklahoma drilled Ball State, 62-6. "They know there is more to come and they are anticipating that. They know we need to keep getting better in some areas. I feel they are in a good spot. They are always excited about this game, everybody is. So, they'll work hard this week to get ready for it.”

That’s a good attitude to have, because Texas is up this week in the Red River Rivalry. And even if they weren't both ranked, even if they weren't both undefeated, it'd be a huge game. But parlay those aspects with national championship implications, and you have the makings of an absolute dandy in Texas.

Las Vegas certainly believes that.

"Traditional game, neutral site, and always a lot of action on it,” said Pete Korner of Esportclub, LLC, in Las Vegas. “But when we sat down to look at it, based on a lot of factors, we had to give more credit to Oklahoma.”

Korner, whose line consultant group advises multiple Nevada sportsbooks, established the Sooners as 10-point favorites. The Wynn, always the first Vegas book to post college football odds, opened with the Longhorns getting 10.5 points.

"They’ve been really good, and they’re playing like they have more work ahead of them,” Korner said. “Texas is OK, but let’s face it: This is Oklahoma’s game. More on the line for them.”

And with that, let’s take a look at some of next week’s other marquee games. We’ll show the Wynn’s odds and give you Korner’s perspective.

Cal (+20.5) at Oregon

Oregon got bet up almost immediately from 20.5 to 23.5 at the Wynn. The Ducks have scored 181 points in their last three games and allowed just 58.

“We really thought Oregon had the talent to pick things up after a slow start,” Korner, who suggested Oregon -21, told ***********. “And they’re getting there. With this being a marquee game by itself on a Thursday night, this should end up being a blowout.”

Boise State (-19.5) at Fresno State

“You have to go high on Boise, especially on a Friday night, when nothing else is going on,” Korner, who recommended Broncos -23, said. “When they play in the middle of a Saturday, tucked in with everyone else? Differentstory. But when they can showcase themselves all by themselves in front of the nation, they usually get it done.”

Kentucky (+20.5) at South Carolina

“We’re not big on Kentucky at all,” Korner said. “We’re not in love with South Carolina, either, and in the SEC, they’ll probably lose some more games this year. But this is a win for them, and they have to roll this team.”

Florida at LSU

The Wynn didn’t post odds on this game because of the uncertain status of Gators starting QB John Brantley. Korner’s group sent out LSU -11 but sportsbooks could go with a bigger spread if Brantley’s a no-go.

“There are quarterback issues at Florida, so we kicked it up from the seven number we originally thought about,” Korner said. “LSU rolls here, I think, and so we needed to figure double digits on this one. I think it’s a fair number.”

Air Force (+11) at Notre Dame

Here’s another game that drew attention early from sharp bettors. The Wynn moved this number up to 15.5 without much hesitation.

“Notre Dame has such a dynamic offense, it just took them a little while to get going,” Korner, who recommended Air Force +12, said. “They’re playing well now, and every game is important for them now. We expect them to play well.”

Miami (+6) at Virginia Tech

Early bettors like the home favorite here. The Hokies are now 7.5-point chalk against the Hurricanes.

“Miami can win this one straight up, no question,” said Korner. “We went with just below a touchdown (6.5), but two or three weeks ago, this would have been in double digits. But Virginia Tech has certainly lost some of their invincibility factor.”

Iowa (+2) at Penn State

“Close game with a couple of nondescript Big Ten teams,” Korner said. “We had anywhere from a pick up to four. Anything could happen here.”

Auburn (+8) at Arkansas

This game opened with the Razorbacks giving 8 points but the line was quickly bet up to 10 in only a few hours.

“Auburn’s kind of doing alright, and we didn’t think that was going to be the case early on,” Korner said. “Home field counts here a lot. But it’s the SEC, so it could be close.”

Ohio State (+10) at Nebraska

“We’re not big on Ohio State, as they haven’t shown much. Name recognition is big here for both schools, but that’s about it,” Korner said. “With these two programs, you would think national title implications, conference title implications, stuff like that.

“That’s just not the case. But we like the fact that it’s at Nebraska, and even though didn’t impress last week, they’re playing Ohio State, and there’s just not that much there.”

**Udog** · 10-05-2011, 09:14 AM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Week 6

Thursday, October 6

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CALIFORNIA (3 - 1) at OREGON (3 - 1) - 10/6/2011, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 1-1 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 2-0 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W KENTUCKY (0 - 4) at MIDDLE TENN ST (1 - 3) - 10/6/2011, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-0 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, October 7

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BOISE ST (4 - 0) at FRESNO ST (2 - 3) - 10/7/2011, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 99-55 ATS (+38.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 99-55 ATS (+38.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 79-45 ATS (+29.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 61-32 ATS (+25.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
BOISE ST is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
BOISE ST is 68-36 ATS (+28.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
FRESNO ST is 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) in October games since 1992.
FRESNO ST is 28-50 ATS (-27.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 2-0 against the spread versus FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, October 8

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OKLAHOMA (4 - 0) vs. TEXAS (4 - 0) - 10/8/2011, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 1-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ILLINOIS (5 - 0) at INDIANA (1 - 4) - 10/8/2011, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 1-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 1-1 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VANDERBILT (3 - 1) at ALABAMA (5 - 0) - 10/8/2011, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 26-45 ATS (-23.5 Units) in October games since 1992.
VANDERBILT is 29-49 ATS (-24.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
ALABAMA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BOSTON COLLEGE (1 - 4) at CLEMSON (5 - 0) - 10/8/2011, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 1-1 against the spread versus BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 1-1 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CONNECTICUT (2 - 3) at W VIRGINIA (4 - 1) - 10/8/2011, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 74-50 ATS (+19.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 74-50 ATS (+19.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 64-42 ATS (+17.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 2-0 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 1-1 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MISSISSIPPI ST (2 - 3) at UAB (0 - 4) - 10/8/2011, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UAB is 1-0 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-0 straight up against UAB over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IOWA (3 - 1) at PENN ST (4 - 1) - 10/8/2011, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 2-0 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 2-0 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (3 - 2) at RUTGERS (3 - 1) - 10/8/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (1 - 4) at PURDUE (2 - 2) - 10/8/2011, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 1-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 1-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LOUISVILLE (2 - 2) at N CAROLINA (4 - 1) - 10/8/2011, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) against ACC opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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C MICHIGAN (2 - 3) at NC STATE (2 - 3) - 10/8/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 40-63 ATS (-29.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MEMPHIS (1 - 4) at RICE (1 - 3) - 10/8/2011, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
RICE is 57-35 ATS (+18.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
RICE is 57-35 ATS (+18.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
RICE is 49-18 ATS (+29.2 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
RICE is 44-23 ATS (+18.7 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
RICE is 57-35 ATS (+18.5 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
RICE is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.
RICE is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARMY (2 - 3) at MIAMI OHIO (0 - 4) - 10/8/2011, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BOWLING GREEN (3 - 2) at W MICHIGAN (3 - 2) - 10/8/2011, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
W MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEMPLE (3 - 2) at BALL ST (3 - 2) - 10/8/2011, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALL ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
TEMPLE is 1-0 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA ST (4 - 1) at UTAH (2 - 2) - 10/8/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 44-24 ATS (+17.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SAN JOSE ST (2 - 3) at BYU (3 - 2) - 10/8/2011, 10:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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E MICHIGAN (3 - 2) at TOLEDO (2 - 3) - 10/8/2011, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 51-31 ATS (+16.9 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
TOLEDO is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
TOLEDO is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
TOLEDO is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
TOLEDO is 38-21 ATS (+14.9 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TOLEDO is 2-0 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 2-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OHIO U (4 - 1) at BUFFALO (1 - 4) - 10/8/2011, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO U is 2-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U is 2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KENT ST (1 - 4) at N ILLINOIS (2 - 3) - 10/8/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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AUBURN (4 - 1) at ARKANSAS (4 - 1) - 10/8/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
AUBURN is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS is 1-1 against the spread versus AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS is 1-1 straight up against AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MARYLAND (2 - 2) at GEORGIA TECH (5 - 0) - 10/8/2011, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA TECH is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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COLORADO (1 - 4) at STANFORD (4 - 0) - 10/8/2011, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 28-50 ATS (-27.0 Units) in October games since 1992.
COLORADO is 31-54 ATS (-28.4 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
STANFORD is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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GEORGIA (3 - 2) at TENNESSEE (3 - 1) - 10/8/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 1-1 against the spread versus GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 1-1 straight up against GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (2 - 2) at VIRGINIA TECH (4 - 1) - 10/8/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 36-15 ATS (+19.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 86-56 ATS (+24.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 107-76 ATS (+23.4 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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AIR FORCE (3 - 1) at NOTRE DAME (3 - 2) - 10/8/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SOUTHERN MISS (4 - 1) at NAVY (2 - 2) - 10/8/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 120-86 ATS (+25.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 120-86 ATS (+25.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 76-45 ATS (+26.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NAVY is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) against Conference USA opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 112-78 ATS (+26.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 76-49 ATS (+22.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
SOUTHERN MISS is 98-72 ATS (+18.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UNLV (1 - 3) at NEVADA (1 - 3) - 10/8/2011, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEVADA is 1-1 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
NEVADA is 2-0 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MARSHALL (2 - 3) at UCF (2 - 2) - 10/8/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 27-49 ATS (-26.9 Units) in road games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 27-49 ATS (-26.9 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
MARSHALL is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
UCF is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCF is 1-1 against the spread versus MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 2-0 straight up against MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LOUISIANA TECH (1 - 4) at IDAHO (1 - 4) - 10/8/2011, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISIANA TECH is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
LOUISIANA TECH is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
LOUISIANA TECH is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
IDAHO is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
IDAHO is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
IDAHO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
IDAHO is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
IDAHO is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISIANA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
IDAHO is 1-1 straight up against LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA (1 - 4) at OREGON ST (0 - 4) - 10/8/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 38-63 ATS (-31.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
ARIZONA is 62-89 ATS (-35.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
OREGON ST is 90-63 ATS (+20.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OREGON ST is 87-54 ATS (+27.6 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
OREGON ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
OREGON ST is 1-1 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS (2 - 2) at OKLAHOMA ST (4 - 0) - 10/8/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 49-74 ATS (-32.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS is 29-50 ATS (-26.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS is 56-88 ATS (-40.8 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS is 31-59 ATS (-33.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
KANSAS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA ST is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MICHIGAN (5 - 0) at NORTHWESTERN (2 - 2) - 10/8/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 19-38 ATS (-22.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
MICHIGAN is 76-104 ATS (-38.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
MICHIGAN is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
MICHIGAN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 37-17 ATS (+18.3 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

E CAROLINA (1 - 3) at HOUSTON (5 - 0) - 10/8/2011, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
E CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
E CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IOWA ST (3 - 1) at BAYLOR (3 - 1) - 10/8/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 61-87 ATS (-34.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BAYLOR is 57-85 ATS (-36.5 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BAYLOR is 36-59 ATS (-28.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
IOWA ST is 1-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KENTUCKY (2 - 3) at S CAROLINA (4 - 1) - 10/8/2011, 12:20 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENTUCKY is 2-0 against the spread versus S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
S CAROLINA is 1-1 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA ST (2 - 2) at WAKE FOREST (3 - 1) - 10/8/2011, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 2-0 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS A&M (2 - 2) at TEXAS TECH (4 - 0) - 10/8/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 63-36 ATS (+23.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 63-36 ATS (+23.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 85-60 ATS (+19.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 113-83 ATS (+21.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 87-56 ATS (+25.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) in October games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS A&M is 2-0 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS A&M is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MISSOURI (2 - 2) at KANSAS ST (4 - 0) - 10/8/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SYRACUSE (3 - 2) at TULANE (2 - 3) - 10/8/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 21-42 ATS (-25.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WYOMING (3 - 1) at UTAH ST (1 - 3) - 10/8/2011, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA (4 - 1) at LSU (5 - 0) - 10/8/2011, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LSU is 1-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 1-1 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OHIO ST (3 - 2) at NEBRASKA (4 - 1) - 10/8/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 89-62 ATS (+20.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OHIO ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 106-78 ATS (+20.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
OHIO ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON ST (3 - 1) at UCLA (2 - 3) - 10/8/2011, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCLA is 1-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
UCLA is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TCU (3 - 2) at SAN DIEGO ST (3 - 1) - 10/8/2011, 10:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 2-0 straight up against SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLA INTERNATIONAL (3 - 2) at AKRON (1 - 4) - 10/8/2011, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TROY (2 - 2) at LA LAFAYETTE (4 - 1) - 10/8/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAFAYETTE is 35-55 ATS (-25.5 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
LA LAFAYETTE is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.
LA LAFAYETTE is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAFAYETTE is 1-1 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 2-0 straight up against LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARKANSAS ST (3 - 2) at LA MONROE (1 - 3) - 10/8/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS ST is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
ARKANSAS ST is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA MONROE is 1-1 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
LA MONROE is 1-1 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLA ATLANTIC (0 - 4) at NORTH TEXAS (1 - 4) - 10/8/2011, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA ATLANTIC is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTH TEXAS is 1-1 against the spread versus FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
NORTH TEXAS is 1-1 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 10-05-2011, 09:15 AM

NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 6

Thursday, 10/6/2011

CALIFORNIA at OREGON, 9:00 PM ET
CALIFORNIA: 1-6 ATS on turf
OREGON: 7-1 ATS in October

W KENTUCKY at MIDDLE TENN ST, 7:30 PM ET
W KENTUCKY: 7-4 ATS off home loss
MIDDLE TENN ST: 12-5 ATS against conf opponents

Friday, 10/7/2011

BOISE ST at FRESNO ST, 9:00 PM ET
BOISE ST: 8-1 ATS as a road fav of 14.5 or more
FRESNO ST: 2-9 ATS off an upset loss as a home fave

Saturday, 10/8/2011

OKLAHOMA vs. at TEXAS, 12:00 PM - Cotton Bowl - Dallas, TX ET
OKLAHOMA: 8-2 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points
TEXAS: 31-16 ATS off a road win against a conf rival

ILLINOIS at INDIANA, 12:00 PM ET
ILLINOIS: 10-4 UNDER as a road favorite
INDIANA: 7-2 ATS as a home underdog

VANDERBILT at ALABAMA, 2:30 PM ET
VANDERBILT: 1-8 ATS after the first month of the season
ALABAMA: 5-1 UNDER off a road win

BOSTON COLLEGE at CLEMSON, 3:00 PM ET
BOSTON COLLEGE: 1-5 ATS after a 2 game home stand
CLEMSON: 13-4 UNDER after playing a conference game

CONNECTICUT at W VIRGINIA, 12:00 PM ET
CONNECTICUT: 15-4 ATS in road games off a home loss
W VIRGINIA: 19-6 UNDER after a cover as a double digit favorite

MISSISSIPPI ST at UAB, 12:00 PM ET
MISSISSIPPI ST: 1-5 ATS after scoring 14 points or less
UAB: 22-8 ATS after a 2 game road trip

IOWA at PENN ST, 3:30 PM ET
IOWA: 8-4 UNDER in road games
PENN ST: 12-3 UNDER in home games

PITTSBURGH at RUTGERS, 3:30 PM ET
PITTSBURGH: 7-1 ATS in October games
RUTGERS: 4-10 ATS in home games

MINNESOTA at PURDUE, 12:00 PM ET
MINNESOTA: 1-7 ATS after being shutout
PURDUE: 16-4 UNDER after a loss by 17 or more points

LOUISVILLE at N CAROLINA, 12:00 PM ET
LOUISVILLE: 12-2 ATS against ACC opponents
N CAROLINA: 14-7 UNDER when playing with 6 or less days rest

C MICHIGAN at NC STATE, 3:30 PM ET
C MICHIGAN: 2-8 ATS after scoring and allowing 30 pts or more last game
NC STATE: 0-4 ATS this season

MEMPHIS at RICE, 12:30 PM ET
MEMPHIS: 8-18 ATS as an underdog
RICE: 21-9 ATS in home games in October

ARMY at MIAMI OHIO, 1:00 PM ET
ARMY: 1-6 ATS off a home blowout win by 28 points or more
MIAMI OHIO: 8-4 UNDER in home games

BOWLING GREEN at W MICHIGAN, 2:00 PM ET
BOWLING GREEN: 16-6 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points
W MICHIGAN: 8-4 ATS off an upset win as an underdog

TEMPLE at BALL ST, 2:00 PM ET
TEMPLE: 11-3 ATS in road games
BALL ST: 1-8 ATS in home games against conference opponent

ARIZONA ST at UTAH, 3:30 PM ET
ARIZONA ST: 1-4 ATS in all games
UTAH: 44-24 ATS as an underdog

SAN JOSE ST at BYU, 10:15 PM ET
SAN JOSE ST: 5-11 ATS in road games
BYU: 6-1 ATS after a win by 6 or less points

E MICHIGAN at TOLEDO, 3:00 PM ET
E MICHIGAN: 4-12 ATS in games played on turf
TOLEDO: 11-2 ATS in home games after a win by 21 or more points

OHIO U at BUFFALO, 3:30 PM ET
OHIO U: 10-3 ATS off a win against a conference rival
BUFFALO: 1-5 ATS as a home underdog

KENT ST at N ILLINOIS, 3:30 PM ET
KENT ST: 4-7 ATS as a road underdog
N ILLINOIS: 8-4 ATS as a home favorite

AUBURN at ARKANSAS, 7:00 PM ET
AUBURN: 8-4 ATS off a win against a conference rival
ARKANSAS: 11-4 ATS in home games

MARYLAND at GEORGIA TECH, 12:00 PM ET
MARYLAND: 19-7 UNDER after a win by 17 or more points
GEORGIA TECH: 7-2 ATS in October games

COLORADO at STANFORD, 7:30 PM ET
COLORADO: 0-6 ATS as a road underdog
STANFORD: 9-2 ATS after a win by 21 or more

GEORGIA at TENNESSEE, 7:00 PM ET
GEORGIA: 1-7 ATS when the line is +3 to -3
TENNESSEE: 1-3 ATS off a home blowout win by 28 points or more

MIAMI at VIRGINIA TECH, 3:30 PM ET
MIAMI: 21-37 ATS after a win by 28 or more points
VIRGINIA TECH: 36-15 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10

AIR FORCE at NOTRE DAME, 3:30 PM ET
AIR FORCE: 50-28 ATS after playing a non-conference game
NOTRE DAME: 5-14 ATS as a favorite

SOUTHERN MISS at NAVY, 3:30 PM ET
SOUTHERN MISS: 11-6 OVER after playing a conference game
NAVY: 18-7 ATS against Conference USA opponents

UNLV at NEVADA, 4:00 PM ET
UNLV: 1-8 ATS as a road underdog
NEVADA: 26-13 ATS as a home favorite

MARSHALL at UCF, 7:00 PM ET
MARSHALL: 16-30 ATS after playing a non-conference game
UCF: 10-2 ATS off 2 consecutive road losses

LOUISIANA TECH at IDAHO, 5:00 PM ET
LOUISIANA TECH: 26-12 ATS off a loss against a conference rival
IDAHO: 7-22 ATS in home games off a road loss

ARIZONA at OREGON ST, 3:30 PM ET
ARIZONA: 38-63 ATS as a favorite
OREGON ST: 8-1 ATS in October games

KANSAS at OKLAHOMA ST, 3:30 PM ET
KANSAS: 4-13 ATS after the first month of the season
OKLAHOMA ST: 11-3 ATS as a favorite

MICHIGAN at NORTHWESTERN, 7:00 PM ET
MICHIGAN: 0-8 ATS after playing a conference game
NORTHWESTERN: 37-17 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points

E CAROLINA at HOUSTON, 7:00 PM ET
E CAROLINA: 7-1 ATS as a road underdog
HOUSTON: 8-1 ATS as a home favorite

IOWA ST at BAYLOR, 7:00 PM ET
IOWA ST: 6-1 UNDER after scoring 14 points or less last game
BAYLOR: 5-0 ATS as a home favorite of 14.5 to 21 points

KENTUCKY at S CAROLINA, 12:20 PM ET
KENTUCKY: 6-11 ATS as an underdog
S CAROLINA: 7-2 ATS off a home upset loss to a conference rival

FLORIDA ST at WAKE FOREST, 7:00 PM ET
FLORIDA ST: 6-12 ATS against conference opponents
WAKE FOREST: 7-4 UNDER off an upset win as a road underdog

TEXAS A&M at TEXAS TECH, 7:00 PM ET
TEXAS A&M: 13-26 ATS in road games in the first half of the season
TEXAS TECH: 45-26 ATS in home games after the first month of the season

MISSOURI at KANSAS ST, 3:30 PM ET
MISSOURI: 5-1 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less
KANSAS ST: 7-3 ATS in October games

SYRACUSE at TULANE, 8:00 PM ET
SYRACUSE: 7-4 ATS in road games
TULANE: 7-17 ATS as an underdog

WYOMING at UTAH ST, 8:00 PM ET
WYOMING: 9-2 ATS as a road underdog
UTAH ST:

FLORIDA at LSU, 3:30 PM ET
FLORIDA: 4-1 ATS in all games this season
LSU: 11-3 UNDER in home games

OHIO ST at NEBRASKA, 8:00 PM ET
OHIO ST: 12-3 ATS after playing a conference game
NEBRASKA: 0-7 ATS in home games in the first half of the season

WASHINGTON ST at UCLA, 10:30 PM ET
WASHINGTON ST: 14-4 ATS in road games off an upset win as an underdog
UCLA: 5-14 ATS against conference opponents

TCU at SAN DIEGO ST, 10:30 PM ET
TCU: 8-2 UNDER off an upset loss as a favorite
SAN DIEGO ST: 29-14 ATS in October games

FLA INTERNATIONAL at AKRON, 2:00 PM ET
FLA INTERNATIONAL: 5-1 ATS as a road favorite
AKRON: 7-15 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points

TROY at LA LAFAYETTE, 7:00 PM ET
TROY: 7-3 ATS off a home win
LA LAFAYETTE: 1-5 ATS after a win by 6 or less points

ARKANSAS ST at LA MONROE, 7:00 PM ET
ARKANSAS ST: 2-12 ATS as a road favorite
LA MONROE: 5-1 ATS when the line is +3 to -3

FLA ATLANTIC at NORTH TEXAS, 7:30 PM ET
FLA ATLANTIC: 3-11 ATS after playing a conference game
NORTH TEXAS: 0-3 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**Udog** · 10-05-2011, 09:17 AM

NCAAF

Week 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, October 6

7:30 PM
WESTERN KENTUCKY vs. MIDDLE TENNESSEE
Western Kentucky is 2-16 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Western Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Middle Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Middle Tennessee is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home

9:00 PM
CALIFORNIA vs. OREGON
California is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of California's last 6 games
Oregon is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against California
Oregon is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing California

Friday, October 7

9:00 PM
BOISE STATE vs. FRESNO STATE
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Fresno State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boise State's last 6 games on the road
Fresno State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boise State
Fresno State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

Saturday, October 8

12:00 PM
MISSISSIPPI STATE vs. UAB
Mississippi State is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi State's last 6 games on the road
UAB is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UAB's last 6 games

12:00 PM
MARYLAND vs. GEORGIA TECH
Maryland is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Georgia Tech
Maryland is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Georgia Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Georgia Tech is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games

12:00 PM
OKLAHOMA vs. TEXAS
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oklahoma is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Texas
Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Texas is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma

12:00 PM
LOUISVILLE vs. NORTH CAROLINA
Louisville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Louisville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
North Carolina is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
North Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

12:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. PURDUE
Minnesota is 3-8-2 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Purdue
Minnesota is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Purdue
Purdue is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Purdue is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota

12:00 PM
CONNECTICUT vs. WEST VIRGINIA
Connecticut is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing West Virginia
Connecticut is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
West Virginia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Connecticut
West Virginia is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games at home

12:20 PM
KENTUCKY vs. SOUTH CAROLINA
Kentucky is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kentucky's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Carolina's last 6 games when playing Kentucky
South Carolina is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Kentucky

12:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. RICE
Memphis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Memphis is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Rice is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
Rice is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

12:30 PM
FLORIDA STATE vs. WAKE FOREST
Florida State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Wake Forest
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Florida State's last 16 games
Wake Forest is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Wake Forest is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games

1:00 PM
ARMY vs. MIAMI (OHIO)
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Army's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Army's last 8 games
Miami (Ohio) is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Miami (Ohio)'s last 13 games

2:00 PM
BOWLING GREEN vs. WESTERN MICHIGAN
Bowling Green is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games
Bowling Green is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 6 games at home
Western Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

2:00 PM
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL vs. AKRON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida International's last 6 games on the road
Florida International is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
Akron is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
Akron is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games

2:00 PM
TEMPLE vs. BALL STATE
Temple is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Temple's last 6 games
Ball State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Ball State is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games at home

2:30 PM
ILLINOIS vs. INDIANA
Illinois is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Illinois is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 9 games when playing Illinois
Indiana is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

3:00 PM
BOSTON COLLEGE vs. CLEMSON
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Boston College's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston College's last 5 games on the road
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Clemson's last 6 games

3:00 PM
EASTERN MICHIGAN vs. TOLEDO
Eastern Michigan is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing Toledo
Eastern Michigan is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games
Toledo is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Eastern Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toledo's last 7 games at home

3:30 PM
AIR FORCE vs. NOTRE DAME
Air Force is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Notre Dame
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Air Force's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Notre Dame's last 9 games at home
Notre Dame is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Air Force

3:30 PM
OHIO vs. BUFFALO
Ohio is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Ohio's last 10 games
Buffalo is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Ohio
Buffalo is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Ohio

3:30 PM
ARIZONA STATE vs. UTAH
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Arizona State's last 23 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona State's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games
Utah is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games

3:30 PM
CENTRAL MICHIGAN vs. NORTH CAROLINA STATE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Central Michigan's last 7 games
Central Michigan is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
North Carolina State is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
North Carolina State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

3:30 PM
FLORIDA vs. LSU
Florida is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LSU
Florida is 3-5-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LSU's last 9 games when playing Florida
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

3:30 PM
MISSOURI vs. KANSAS STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Missouri's last 5 games
Missouri is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Kansas State is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home
Kansas State is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing Missouri

3:30 PM
MIAMI vs. VIRGINIA TECH
Miami is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Virginia Tech
Miami is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia Tech's last 7 games at home

3:30 PM
IOWA vs. PENN STATE
Iowa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Penn State
Iowa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Penn State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Penn State's last 5 games when playing Iowa

3:30 PM
SOUTHERN MISS vs. NAVY
Southern Miss is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Southern Miss is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Navy is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
Navy is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

3:30 PM
KENT STATE vs. NORTHERN ILLINOIS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kent State's last 7 games
Kent State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Northern Illinois is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games

3:30 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. RUTGERS
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Rutgers
Pittsburgh is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Rutgers
Rutgers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Rutgers is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games

3:30 PM
ARIZONA vs. OREGON STATE
Arizona is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Arizona is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Oregon State
Oregon State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Oregon State is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home

TBA
KANSAS vs. OKLAHOMA STATE
Kansas is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Oklahoma State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas's last 5 games
Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oklahoma State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

4:00 PM
UNLV vs. NEVADA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of UNLV's last 5 games
UNLV is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Nevada
Nevada is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing UNLV
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nevada's last 5 games at home

5:00 PM
LOUISIANA TECH vs. IDAHO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana Tech's last 6 games when playing Idaho
Louisiana Tech is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Idaho is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Idaho's last 9 games

7:00 PM
GEORGIA vs. TENNESSEE
Georgia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Georgia is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tennessee's last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games

7:00 PM
MARSHALL vs. CENTRAL FLORIDA
Marshall is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Central Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Marshall's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Central Florida's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Central Florida's last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
ARKANSAS STATE vs. LOUISIANA-MONROE
Arkansas State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arkansas State's last 7 games
Louisiana-Monroe is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
VANDERBILT vs. ALABAMA
Vanderbilt is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
Vanderbilt is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Alabama's last 10 games at home

7:00 PM
TROY vs. LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE
Troy is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Troy's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 5 games

7:00 PM
AUBURN vs. ARKANSAS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Auburn's last 6 games on the road
Auburn is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arkansas's last 7 games when playing Auburn
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Arkansas's last 13 games

7:00 PM
EAST CAROLINA vs. HOUSTON
East Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
East Carolina is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against East Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games at home

7:00 PM
MICHIGAN vs. NORTHWESTERN
Michigan is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Michigan is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Northwestern
Northwestern is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Northwestern's last 7 games

7:00 PM
TEXAS A&M vs. TEXAS TECH
Texas A&M is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Texas Tech
Texas A&M is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Texas Tech
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas Tech's last 6 games when playing Texas A&M
Texas Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
IOWA STATE vs. BAYLOR
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Iowa State's last 7 games on the road
Iowa State is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Baylor is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Iowa State
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Baylor's last 13 games

7:30 PM
COLORADO vs. STANFORD
Colorado is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games
Colorado is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Stanford's last 8 games at home

7:30 PM
FLORIDA ATLANTIC vs. NORTH TEXAS
Florida Atlantic is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games
Florida Atlantic is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 13 of North Texas's last 19 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Texas's last 7 games

8:00 PM
OHIO STATE vs. NEBRASKA
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Ohio State's last 8 games
Ohio State is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games
Nebraska is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Nebraska is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
SYRACUSE vs. TULANE
Syracuse is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Syracuse is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Tulane is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Tulane is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home

8:00 PM
WYOMING vs. UTAH STATE
Wyoming is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wyoming's last 5 games on the road
Utah State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Utah State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

10:15 PM
SAN JOSE STATE vs. BYU
San Jose State is 5-12-1 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
San Jose State is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games
BYU is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
BYU is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

10:30 PM
TCU vs. SAN DIEGO STATE
TCU is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games
TCU is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
San Diego State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
San Diego State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

10:30 PM
WASHINGTON STATE vs. UCLA
Washington State is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games
Washington State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
UCLA is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington State
UCLA is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Washington State

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**Udog** · 10-05-2011, 11:31 PM

NCAAF

Week 6

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College football Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Week 6
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THURSDAY

California Golden Bears at Oregon Ducks (-23.5, 62)

Why Cal will cover: The Bears have put up points (39.5 ppg, 12th) and can stuff the run. They can keep up offensively, as long as the defense makes a few stops.

Why Oregon will cover: The Ducks have the nation’s most explosive offense, averaging 52 ppg. Cal’s defense hasn’t faced anything like Oregon. The Ducks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 following bye weeks.

Points: The over is 3-1 in both teams’ games, and there’s not enough defense to think this will be a low-scoring affair.

FRIDAY

Boise State Broncos at Fresno State Bulldogs (+20.5, 58.5)

Why Boise State will cover: The Broncos’ points differential is 20 ppg. Boise State is 2-0 ATS on the road, busting the likes of Georgia and Toledo.

Why Fresno State will cover: The Bulldogs have faced Cal, Nebraska and Ole Miss, so they’re battle-ready. They haven’t lost by more than 15 yet.

Points: The under is 8-1-1 in BSU’s last 10 games, but the over is 4-1 for Fresno this season.

SATURDAY

Maryland Terrapins at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (-15.5, 63.5)

Why Maryland will cover: The Terrapins should be able to score and everyone has scored at least 21 on the Jackets.

Why Georgia Tech will cover: Tech averages 378 yards rushing per game, tops in the nation. Maryland ranks 90th against the run. GT is 4-0-1 ATS, Maryland is 1-3.

Points: The over is 5-0 in Jackets games, and the Terps’ offense should get in the end zone a couple times.

Connecticut Huskies at West Virginia Mountaineers (-19.5, 53.5)

Why Connecticut will cover: The Huskies have been wildly disappointing (1-4 ATS). That said, those losses have come by seven points or fewer. Maybe this is the week they break out of the funk.

Why West Virginia will cover: The Mountaineers can throw the ball with the best of them, while pass defense is UConn’s big weakness. At home, this game could be over by halftime.

Points: The over is 4-1 in WVU games, and 1-4 in UConn games.

Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Longhorns (+9.5, 58.5)

Why Oklahoma will cover: OU’s offense ranks fifth in yards and 11th in points, The Sooners are 6-2 ATS in its last eight against teams with winning records. Texas is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 overall.

Why Texas will cover: Texas is on a roll, blowing out UCLA and Iowa State on the road. OU’s defense has bent (40th in yards allowed) but not been broken (14th in points allowed). Maybe the Horns have the offense to break through.

Points: While both teams are 2-0 on the over in their last two, each has defenses that are tough to score on.

Kentucky Wildcats at South Carolina Gamecocks (-19, 44)

Why Kentucky will cover: The offense has been horrible, but the defense has kept most opponents in check, especially against the pass (11th, 163.6).

Why South Carolina will cover: USC’s defense ranks No. 3 against the pass (150.8 ypg), so how is UK going to score more than seven points? The Gamecocks, coming off a 16-13 loss to Auburn, have something to prove and the firepower to make it ugly.

Points: The under is 3-0 in USC’s last three and 3-1-1 for UK this season.

Florida State Seminoles at Wake Forest Demon Deacons (+13, 49.5)

Why Florida State will cover: After losing close games to Oklahoma and at Clemson, the Seminoles should overwhelm Wake in terms of speed and talent. The defense, which ranks in the top 25 in every major category, will make it rough on the Deacons.

Why Wake Forest will cover: Wake is 3-0 ATS in its last three games, while FSU is 0-3 ATS, and the dog is 6-1 in the last seven meetings. Wake is averaging over 100 yards more than its opponents, and while that’s unlikely to happen here, keeping the game close is not out of the question.

Points: This game could be a shootout or a one-sided blowout.

Illinois Fighting Illini at Indiana Hoosiers (+16, 52.5)

Why Illinois will cover: Indiana is 22nd in rushing yards (209.8), while IU is 97th at stopping the run. Indiana’s offense hasn’t shown much. Once Illinois gets ahead, it will keep running until it hits the end zone.

Why Indiana will cover: Illinois finds ways to win, but not ways to cover, with its last three victories each by three points. IU hung with Penn State and all four losses have been by seven points or less.

Points: The over is 2-3 for both teams, and this number is a little high for these teams.

Boston College Eagles at Clemson Tigers (-22, 54)

Why Boston College will cover: The Eagles have struggled, but have not faced a spread this large. They make games low-scoring, which bodes well for a spread of more than three TDs.

Why Clemson will cover: Few teams have been as impressive as Clemson. If the focus is there, the Tigers should dominate. They’re 4-1 ATS, while the Eagles are 1-4.

Points: Despite the 4-1 over start for Clemson, the under is 8-1 in its last nine ACC games, and is 19-7 in BC’s last 27 overall.

Arizona State Sun Devils at Utah Utes (+3, 48.5)

Why Arizona State will cover: ASU ranks 28th in passing and Utah is 91st against the pass. The Devils dismantled USC by 21 points, while Utah lost to the Trojans by nine.

Why Utah will cover: While Utah is just 1-3 ATS, ASU is only 1-4. The Devils have played just one road game, and they lost (at Illinois).

Points: The over is 4-1 for ASU, but is 1-3 for Utah. Both teams have had defenses that keep scores down.

Miami Hurricanes at Virginia Tech Hokies (-7.5, 44.5)

Why Miami will cover: The Hokies have proven vulnerable, even at home. The best is yet to come from the Canes, who rank 28th in points allowed.

Why Virginia Tech will cover: Both teams like to run the ball, the difference being VT is No. 2 at stopping the run, while Miami is 105th. VT has something to show after last week’s home blowout loss to Clemson.

Points: The under has hit in VT’s last four games and is 2-2 for Miami overall. The under is also 8-1 in the last nine meetings.

Florida Gators at LSU Tigers (-13.5, 41.5)

Why Florida will cover: That’s a good-sized spread for a team that can score on any play. And the defense ranks in the Top 20 in every major category. UF is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 road games.

Why LSU will cover: Florida was exposed by an Alabama team that is similar to LSU’s. The Tigers’ defense ranks No. 9 in yards and points allowed and No. 3 in rush yards allowed. The offense isn’t bad either, averaging 38 ppg (19th).

Points: Both defense typically shut down foes, though the over has hit in Florida’s last three.

Kansas Jayhawks at Oklahoma State Cowboys (-33, 71)

Why Kansas will cover: Kansas averages more than 200 yards passing and rushing per game. OSU’s defense isn’t good at stopping either.

Why Oklahoma State will cover: The Cowboys average 46.8 ppg, and the Jayhawks’ defense is dead last in the nation in points allowed (44.2). But those two stats together, and …

Points: The over is 4-0 in KU games, 2-2 for OSU, and neither defense has shown the ability to stop anything.

Missouri Tigers at Kansas State Wildcats (+3, 55.5)

Why Missouri will cover: Missouri can run the ball and stop the run. It struggled to stop the pass, but the Wildcats can’t throw. Mizzou can. The Tigers are 3-0 ATS in their last three.

Why Kansas State will cover: A Top-25 team at home, an underdog against an unranked opponent? There’s never been better blackboard material. K-State is just as adept at running and slowing the run.

Points: Missouri’s last three games and K-State’s last two have hit the over.

Auburn Tigers at Arkansas Razorbacks (-10, 63)

Why Auburn will cover: The Tigers can run the ball (36th), while the Razorbacks struggle to stop it (109th). Auburn is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 SEC games. Auburn was plus-10.5 last week at South Carolina and won SU.

Why Arkansas will cover: The team throws 350 yards per game and has beaten down better defensive backfields this season. The defense ranks 75th in yards allowed, but only gives up 22.8 ppg (48th). The team is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games as a favorite and last nine home games.

Points: Neither defense has what it takes to consistently stop the other team’s offense.

Texas A&M Aggies at Texas Tech Red Raiders (+6.5, 70)

Why Texas A&M will cover: The Aggies’ offense ranks among the top 25 nationally in every way. Teams can’t run on Texas A&M, and if the Aggies can take a lead, they can pull away.

Why Texas Tech will cover: Tech can and will throw the ball (9th, 345.5 ypg), while Texas A&M is the worst team in the nation at stopping the pass. Tech is 3-1 ATS.

Points: The over is 3-1 in Tech games. Both offenses should have field days.

Michigan Wolverines at Northwestern Wildcats (+3.5 59.5)

Why Michigan will cover: The Wolverines are 4-1 ATS because their defense has been better than expected, holding four opponents to single digits. The offense ranks No. 7 in rushing, while Northwestern’s defense is 89th at stopping the run.

Why Northwestern will cover: The Wildcats’ offense has looked spectacular at times, but inconsistent.

Points: The over is 8-2 in Northwestern’s last 10 home games and in its last 10 as a dog.

Vanderbilt Commodores at Alabama Crimson Tide (-29, 41.5)

Why Vanderbilt will cover: The Commodores don’t score much but their defense is very solid, ranking in the top 25 against the run and pass.

Why Alabama will cover: Despite typically being big favorites, Bama is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 at home. Vandy is 1-7 in its last eight SEC games. The defense ranks No. 1 against the run (39.6 ypg) and in points allowed (8.4), is No. 5 against the pass (152). How is Vandy going to move the ball … at all?

Points: The Tide may have to do all the scoring to hit the over, though they’ve scored 38 or more in four of their five games.

Colorado Buffaloes at Stanford Cardinal (-27, 57.5)

Why Colorado will cover: If Stanford has a weakness, it’s passing defense (86th), which matches up with Colorado’s strength of throwing the ball (36th).

Why Stanford will cover: It’s all clicking right now for Stanford, 4-0 ATS, with an offense that ranks No. 7 in points (45.8) and a defense that’s No. 6 in scoring (11.5). The team averages 34.3-point margin of victory, and Stanford has blown out better opponents on the road.

Points: Nobody’s slowed Stanford yet, and if Colorado can score some second-half scores against a lax Cardinal secondary, anything is possible.

Ohio State Buckeyes at Nebraska Cornhuskers (-11, 43.5)

Why Ohio State will cover: The Buckeyes’ offense is atrocious, but the defense can hold down teams. That’s a decent spread for a team that allows just 14.6 ppg (11th).

Why Nebraska will cover: Despite the embarrassing performance at Wisconsin, Nebraska can score, ranking No. 22 points and No. 9 in rushing.

Points: The under is 8-1 in OSU’s last nine and 14-6 in Nebraska’s last 20 at home.

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**Udog** · 10-05-2011, 11:34 PM

NCAAF

Thursday, October 6

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California at Oregon: What bettors need to know
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California Golden Bears at Oregon Ducks (-23.5, 64)

THE STORY: Since falling to now-No. 2 LSU in the season-opener and dropping to No. 14 in the rankings, Oregon has slowly climbed its way back into the Top 10 with three consecutive blowout victories. The ninth-ranked Ducks have scored at least 56 points in wins over Nevada, Missouri State and Arizona and now rank first in the nation in scoring offense at 52 points per game. Oregon ranked first in that category last year, too, but California held the Ducks to season lows in points, total yards and first downs in a 15-13 Oregon victory.

California coach Jeff Tedford was Oregon’s offensive coordinator for four seasons before taking over the Golden Bears’ program in 2002. Cal leads the all-time series 39-32-2, but Oregon has won 10 of the past 15 meetings.

TV: ESPN

LINE MOVES: Oregon opened as high as -24 and had been bet down slightly at some books. The total opened as low as 63 and was bet up to 64.5 before coming back down half a point.

WEATHER: There is a 16 percent chance of rain for Pleasant Hill Thursday. Game-time temperatures will dip into the high 40s.

ABOUT CALIFORNIA (3-1, 0-1 Pac-12, 2-2 ATS): As high-powered as Oregon is offensively, the Bears haven’t been bad themselves, ranking 15th in the country with 39.5 points per game. After starting the season 3-0, Cal missed a chance at its first 4-0 start since 2007 with a 31-23 loss at Washington last week. The Bears rank ninth nationally with only 78.3 rushing yards allowed per game, but they haven’t faced a rushing offense that currently is higher than 58th in the country, so they’re in for quite a challenge trying to stop LaMichael James and Oregon’s spread-option attack. Cal quarterback Zach Maynard — a transfer from Buffalo — has 10 passing touchdowns already after throwing for just 18 in his final season with the Bulls.

ABOUT OREGON (3-1, 1-0 Pac-12, 2-2 ATS): The Ducks have been flat-out dominate at Autzen Stadium since 2008, averaging 49.5 points per game in an 18-game home winning streak. Their last home loss was a 37-32 setback against Boise State on Sept. 20, 2008. James — the nation’s leading rusher in 2010 — claimed the top spot again this week after a record-setting 288-yard effort at Arizona last weekend. Quarterback Darron Thomas threw two touchdowns in the Ducks’ 56-31 win against the Wildcats, making it 17 consecutive games he’s thrown for at least one score. Oregon has won 13 straight conference games since a loss at Stanford in November 2009.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Oregon leads the nation with only one sack allowed through four games, while Cal’s defense is ninth nationally with 3.25 sacks per game.

2. Eight of the last 11 games in this series have been decided by 10 points or less.

3. This is the first of three weeknight games this season for Cal, which played only three total weeknight games in Tedford’s first nine years in Berkeley.

TRENDS:

* Under is 5-0 in the last five meetings in Oregon.
* Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
* Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Golden Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.

PREDICTION: Oregon 56, California 24 -- The Ducks offense is rolling again, and they’ve been unstoppable at Autzen Stadium, so the Bears could be in for a long night.

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**Udog** · 10-06-2011, 08:49 AM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 6

California at Oregon
The Ducks look to build on their 9-3 ATS record in their last 12 games following a bye week. Oregon is the pick (-23 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored by 28 1/2. Dunkel Pick: California (-23 1/2). Here are all of this week's lined games.

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 6

Game 301-302: California at Oregon (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: California 89.401; Oregon 117.674
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 28 1/2; 72
Vegas Line: Oregon by 23 1/2; 63
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-23 1/2); Over

Game 303-304: Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee State (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 68.244; Middle Tennessee State 73.186
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 5; 50
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 11 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (+11 1/2); Under

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 7

Game 305-306: Boise State at Fresno State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 111.034; Fresno State 82.900
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 28; 65
Vegas Line: Boise State by 20 1/2; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-20 1/2); Over

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 8

Game 307-308: Oklahoma vs. Texas (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 117.033; Texas 101.176
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 16; 52
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 9 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-9 1/2); Under

Game 309-310: Illinois at Indiana (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 92.149; Indiana 79.813
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 12 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Illinois by 14; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+14); Over

Game 311-312: Vanderbilt at Alabama (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 87.966; Alabama 120.632
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 32 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Alabama by 28 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-28 1/2); Under

Game 313-314: Boston College at Clemson (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 81.970; Clemson 109.157
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 27; 59
Vegas Line: Clemson by 21; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-21); Over

Game 315-316: Connecticut at West Virginia (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 83.924; West Virginia 100.203
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 16 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 20; 55
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+20); Under

Game 317-318: Mississippi State at UAB (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 93.196; UAB 68.785
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 24 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 16 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (-16 1/2); Over

Game 319-320: Iowa at Penn State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 92.622; Penn State 94.500
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 2; 38
Vegas Line: Penn State by 4; 44
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (+4); Under

Game 321-322: Pittsburgh at Rutgers (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 89.827; Rutgers 89.262
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 48
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 7; 53
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+7); Under

Game 323-324: Minnesota at Purdue (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 68.961; Purdue 83.725
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 15; 53
Vegas Line: Purdue by 10; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (-10); Over

Game 325-326: Louisville at North Carolina (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 79.069; North Carolina 96.069
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 17; 53
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 14; 48
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-14); Over

Game 327-328: Central Michigan at North Carolina State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 74.855; North Carolina State 84.430
Dunkel Line: North Carolina State by 9 1/2; 52 1/2
Vegas Line: North Carolina State by 13; 55
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (+13); Under

Game 329-330: Memphis at Rice (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 53.117; Rice 77.802
Dunkel Line: Rice by 24 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Rice by 20 1/2; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rice (-20 1/2); Under

Game 331-332: Army at Miami (OH) (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Army 77.209; Miami (OH) 77.311
Dunkel Line: Even; 49
Vegas Line: Army by 2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+2); Over

Game 333-334: Bowling Green at Western Michigan (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 78.199; Western Michigan 90.561
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 12 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 10; 60
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (-10); Under

Game 335-336: Temple at Ball State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 89.636; Ball State 80.935
Dunkel Line: Temple by 8 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Temple by 9 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+9 1/2); Over

Game 337-338: Arizona State at Utah (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 100.446; Utah 93.865
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 6 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 3 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-3 1/2); Over

Game 339-340: San Jose State at BYU (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 71.643; BYU 88.092
Dunkel Line: BYU by 16 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: BYU by 13; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-13); Under

Game 341-342: Eastern Michigan at Toledo (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 64.276; Toledo 80.916
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 16 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Toledo by 21; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (+21); Over

Game 343-344: Ohio at Buffalo (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 84.622; Buffalo 73.507
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 11; 49 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio by 8 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (-8 1/2); Under

Game 345-346: Kent at Northern Illinois (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent 65.390; Northern Illinois 87.322
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 22; 57
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 17; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (-17); Over

Game 347-348: Auburn at Arkansas (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 95.031; Arkansas 103.262
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 8; 60
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 10; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+10); Under

Game 349-350: Maryland at Georgia Tech (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 94.217; Georgia Tech 99.121
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 5; 65
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 14 1/2; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+14 1/2); Over

Game 351-352: Colorado at Stanford (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 81.738; Stanford 114.153
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 32 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Stanford by 29 1/2; 59
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-29 1/2); Under

Game 353-354: Georgia at Tennessee (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 102.380; Tennessee 98.286
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 4; 55
Vegas Line: Pick; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia; Under

Game 355-356: Miami (FL) at Virginia Tech (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 94.344; Virginia Tech 105.525
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 11; 48
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 7; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-7); Over

Game 357-358: Air Force at Notre Dame (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 89.064; Notre Dame 102.581
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 13 1/2; 61
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 16; 55
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+16); Over

Game 359-360: Southern Mississippi at Navy (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 90.470; Navy 91.075
Dunkel Line: Navy by 1; 53
Vegas Line: Navy by 3; 58
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (+3); Under

Game 361-362: UNLV at Nevada (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 66.177; Nevada 93.240
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 27; 54 1/2
Vegas Line: Nevada by 20 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-20 1/2); Under

Game 363-364: Marshall at Central Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 77.395; Central Florida 89.701
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 12 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 18; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (+18); Over

Game 365-366: Louisiana Tech at Idaho (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 84.555; Idaho 71.005
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 13 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 3 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-3 1/2); Under

Game 367-368: Arizona at Oregon State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 88.884; Oregon State 88.456
Dunkel Line: Even; 62
Vegas Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+1 1/2); Over

Game 369-370: Kansas at Oklahoma State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 75.734; Oklahoma State 104.892
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 29; 77
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 32; 72 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (+32); Over

Game 371-372: Michigan at Northwestern (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 94.259; Northwestern 89.456
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 5; 58
Vegas Line: Michigan by 7 1/2; 59
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+7 1/2); Under

Game 373-374: East Carolina at Houston (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 82.284; Houston 89.195
Dunkel Line: Houston by 7; 69
Vegas Line: Houston by 9 1/2; 73
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (+9 1/2); Under

Game 375-376: Iowa State at Baylor (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 84.472; Baylor 102.430
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 18; 72
Vegas Line: Baylor by 15; 64
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-15); Over

Game 377-378: Kentucky at South Carolina (12:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 77.800; South Carolina 103.197
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 25 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 21; 43
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (-21); Under

Game 379-380: Florida State at Wake Forest (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 97.931; Wake Forest 90.084
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 8; 56
Vegas Line: Florida State by 10 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+10 1/2); Over

Game 381-382: Texas A&M at Texas Tech (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 101.777; Texas Tech 91.663
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 10; 66
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 8 1/2; 70 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (-8 1/2); Under

Game 383-384: Missouri at Kansas State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 97.527; Kansas State 97.280
Dunkel Line: Even; 59
Vegas Line: Missouri by 3 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (+3 1/2); Over

Game 385-386: Syracuse at Tulane (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 82.606; Tulane 69.082
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 13 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 10; 50
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-10); Over

Game 387-388: Wyoming at Utah State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 77.499; Utah State 81.833
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 4 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Utah State by 11 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (+11 1/2); Under

Game 389-390: Florida at LSU (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 101.014; LSU 114.812
Dunkel Line: LSU by 14; 47
Vegas Line: LSU by 13 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-13 1/2); Over

Game 391-392: Ohio State at Nebraska (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 95.845; Nebraska 100.775
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 5; 42
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 11; 44
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (+11); Under

Game 393-394: Washington State at UCLA (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 84.952; UCLA 87.219
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 2 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: UCLA by 4; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+4); Over

Game 395-396: TCU at San Diego State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 102.535; San Diego State 91.369
Dunkel Line: TCU by 11; 54
Vegas Line: TCU by 3 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TCU (-3 1/2); Under

Game 397-398: Florida International at Akron (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 89.305; Akron 58.939
Dunkel Line: Florida International by 30 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Florida International by 19 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (-19 1/2); Over

Game 399-400: Troy at UL-Lafayette (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 82.746; UL-Lafayette 73.998
Dunkel Line: Troy by 8 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Troy by 6; 56
Dunkel Pick: Troy (-6); Under

Game 401-402: Arkansas State at UL-Monroe (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 79.485; UL-Monroe 74.773
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 4 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (-2); Over

Game 403-404: Florida Atlantic at North Texas (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 61.695; North Texas 73.609
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 12; 47
Vegas Line: North Texas by 3 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (-3 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 10-06-2011, 09:25 AM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 6

Thursday's games
Underdogs are 4-1 vs spread in four of Cal's last five visits to Eugene, as Bears lost four of five, but with only one loss by more than eight points. Cal allowed 33-31 points in splitting first two road games; they're 4-8 in last dozen games as a road underdog. Oregon is 9-2-1 as home fave under Kelly- they scored 69-56 points in last two games vs I-A foes since loss to LSU (40-27) in Dallas. Home teams are 3-7 vs spread in Pac-10 tilts.

Middle Tennessee is 1-3, with only win 38-31 over awful 1-4 Memphis; they allowed 39.3 ppg in last three games, are 2-4 in their last six games as home favorite. Western Kentucky is 5-3 in last eight games as a road underdog; they're 0-4 already, with 44-16 loss to I-AA Indiana State and a minus-8 turnover ratio. Middle Tennessee won last three series games, covering two of last three. All four MTSU games went over the total.

Friday's game
Boise State won nine of last ten games vs Fresno State, winning last five, last three by average score of 54-15; favorites covered last nine in series, but this is non-league game now, with Boise off to MWC. Bulldogs lost 51-0 in Boise LY; Boise won last two visits here, 51-34/34-21. Fresno isn't very good on defense anymore, allowing 36-42-38 points in losses this year, by 15-13-10 points. Even North Dakota scored 22 points on them, and they're I-AA. Broncos are 4-0, winning road games at Toledo (40-15) and over Georgia (35-21) in Atlanta.

**Udog** · 10-06-2011, 10:43 PM

NCAAF

Friday, October 7

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Boise State at Fresno State: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Boise State Broncos at Fresno State Bulldogs (+20.5, 59)

THE STORY: Boise State isn’t currently in the same conference as Fresno State but looks to continue its recent one-sided mastery of the Bulldogs when the two teams meet in Fresno on Friday night. The No. 6 Broncos have defeated Fresno State five straight times and have averaged 48.4 points during the streak, including scoring 51 or more points each of the past three seasons. Fresno State is still part of the Western Athletic Conference this season but joins Boise State in the Mountain West next season.

TV: ESPN

LINE MOVES: Boise State opened as high as -21 and has been bet down slightly. The total opened at 58 points and had climbed with money on the over.

ABOUT FRESNO STATE (2-3, 2-3 ATS): The Bulldogs are averaging 30.6 points but are allowing even more at 32.4. Fresno State allowed 42 points to Nebraska, 36 to California and gave up 38 last Saturday to a Mississippi squad that entered the contest as one of the worst offensive teams in the nation. Quarterback Derek Carr has a strong arm and has passed for 1,291 yards and 10 touchdowns. Running back Robbie Rouse (600 yards) has topped 100 yards in four straight games. Big-play receiver Jalen Saunders had 127 yards receiving and 57 yards rushing against Ole Miss. Defensive tackle Logan Harrell (8.5 tackles for loss) is Fresno State’s top defender.

ABOUT BOISE STATE (4-0, 2-2): Quarterback Kellen Moore is coming off a shaky game in which he passed for a career-low 142 yards and was intercepted twice in a victory over Nevada. Moore (12,004) did become the 16th player in college history to top 12,000 career yards. He ranks eighth in career passing touchdowns with 113. Running back Doug Martin (328 yards) had a season-best 126 rushing yards for his 11th career 100-yard performance. Receiver Geraldo Boldewijn will play for the first time since this season after missing the first four games due to an eligibility situation. Cornerback Jerrell Gavins (knee) is likely done for the season. He has three of Boise State’s seven interceptions. Defensive end Tyrone Crawford has a team-best five tackles for losses.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Boise State leads the series 9-4 and won last year’s meeting 51-0.

2. Bulldogs coach Pat Hill is just 1-9 against Boise State with the victory coming in 2005.

3. Saunders is the first Fresno State player with three consecutive 100-yard receiving games since Bernard Berrian in 2001.

TRENDS:

* Broncos are 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Favorite is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
* Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings in Fresno State.
* Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.

PREDICTION: Boise State 49, Fresno State 23 – The Broncos should find scoring against Fresno State to be an easy proposition while cruising to another victory.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 10-07-2011, 08:48 AM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 6

Saturday's best games

4-0 Texas steps way up in class after big win at Iowa State; Longhorns won four of last six games vs Oklahoma, with losses by 8-7; favorites are 5-2-1 vs spread in last eight series games, with Sooners 3-2 in last five games as series favorite. Oklahoma (-3.5) won 23-13 at Florida State in its only road game so far, outgaining Seminoles 310-246-- they gave up 524 yards to Missouri the next week, but won 38-28. Big 12 favorites are 2-3 vs spread in conference play.

Iowa won eight of its last nine games against Penn State, winning four of last five visits here, all as underdogs. Lions are 1-6 vs spread as favorite in this series- they've scored 16 or less points in three of four contests vs I-A opponents, as lack of quality QB play is evident. Iowa was off last week- they lost only road game, in OT at Iowa State, then were down in next game before rallying late for unlikely 31-27 win over Pitt. Penn St has wins 14-10 vs Temple, 16-10 vs Indiana. Unimpressive, but wins.

Auburn kept South Carolina off-balance last week with no-huddle and strong running game, pulling upset in Columbia. Underdogs are 7-3 vs spread in last ten Auburn-Arkansas games; Tigers won three of last four visits here- they thrashed Hogs 65-43 LY. Dogs won four of last five in series SU. Auburn ran ball for 572 yards in last two meetings. Hogs came back from down 35-17 at half to beat Aggies last week, after they lost at Alabama the week before, so third tough game in three weeks for them.

Georgia gaining momentum after 0-2 start with wins over Ole Miss and Miss State last two weeks- they lost to Boise State/So. Carolina. Vols are young/improving, beating Cincinnati/Buffalo but losing SEC opener by 10 at Florida. Home side won last four Georgia-Tennessee games; Dawgs lost last two visits here, 45-19/45-14. Average total in last five series games, 58.4. Tennessee coach Dooley is son of Vince Dooley, former great Dawgs' coach.

Virginia Tech won six of last eight games vs Miami, covering four of last five as series favorite; Hurricanes lost five of last seven visits here, with 31-7/44-14 losses in last two visits. Tech got hammered 23-3 at home by Clemson last week; since 2004, Hokies are 9-5-2 vs spread in game after a loss. Home teams are 6-3 vs spread in ACC games so far this season. Miami lost to Maryland/Kansas State, then beat shorthanded Ohio State. Tech has scored only 10 second half points in last three games.

Air Force had huge rivalry win last week, holding off Navy in OT when they blocked PAT in OT; Falcons gave up 334 rushing yards week, 204 in earlier 35-19 loss to TCU- they're 9-7-1 in last 17 games as road dog. Air Force-Notre Dame haven't met since '07, when Falcons beat the Irish 41-24, but much has changed since then. Irish won last three games with defense allowing only 11.7 ppg. Since 2003, Notre Dame is 13-29-2 as a home favorite- they're 1-1 as home faves this season.

Navy had 608 rushing yards in last two games, but lost two tough ones, 24-21 (+17.5) at South Carolina, 35-34 (-3) in OT to rival Air Force last week, a big rivalry game for Middies. Southern Mississippi split pair of road games, losing 26-20 (-8) at Marshall, winning 30-24 (+3) at Virginia they had 370 rushing yards vs Rice last week. C-USA toad underdogs are 8-10-1 vs spread in non-league games. Southern Miss is 6-4 as a road underdog under Fedora, after being 7-15 in previous 22 games.

Michigan won eight of last ten games vs Northwestern, winning three in row here by 12-16-31 points; underdog covered last three series games. Wolverines won last three games overall by a combined score of 117-10 after the close win over Notre Dame, running ball for average of 353 ypg in wins by 28-21-58 points. Wildcats lost last two games 21-14/38-35 at Army/Illinois, despite being +4 in turnovers in those games. Wildcats are 12-7 vs spread in their last 19 games as a home underdog.

Texas A&M led 20-3/35-17 at halftime of their last two games, but lost both games; now they have first true road game in Lubbock, where they lost six of last seven visits, so they have confidence issues. Aggies beat Texas Tech last two years 45-27/52-30. Since 2006, A&M covered six of last eight games as road favorite. Tech is 5-1 as a home underdog since '06- they're 4-0 this year, but giving up 34 points in each of last couple games to Nevada/Kansas, two suspect teams, is a major red flag.

Missouri scored 41.4 ppg in winning its last five games vs Kansas State by average of 18 points- they won last two visits here, 38-12/49-32, as visitor covered last four series games. Mizzou lost both its road games so far, 37-30 in OT (+7.5) at Arizona State, 38-28 (+20) at Oklahoma- they had last week off, while K-State was pulling out 36-35 home upset of Batlor (+3.5), their second straight dramatic win (28-24 at Miami). Mizzou covered nine of its last 11 games as a road favorite.

Florida is 8-6 in last 14 games vs LSU, with only one loss by more than 7 points, but freshman QB Driskel is making first start here, in front of hostile crowd, with starting QB Brantley hurt. Miles is 13-24-1 as home favorite at LSU- their defense is so good- all five of their wins this year are by 13+ points. Gators were outrushed 226-15 last week, fell apart in second half after Brantley got hurt, losing 38-10. Florida is 7-2 as a road dog since 2003, but were 0-2 LY. SEC home favorites are 4-2 vs spread.

Nebraska got spanked 48-17 in its Big Dozen debut last week, giving up 486 yards, now they get struggling Ohio State coming into Lincoln with two losses in last three games, scoring 6-7 points in two losses. Huskers gave up 38 points to Washington in last home game, so their defense is suspect. Nebraska is 9-3 as home favorite under Pelini, failing to cover in earlier wins over Fresno/Washington. Buckeyes completed only 23 of 49 passes last three games. Four of five Ohio State games went under.

San Diego State had last week off after 28-7 (+10) loss at Michigan, in a game Aztecs gained 376 yards. Aztecs lost their last six games vs TCU, losing games here 55-12/45-33/23-20, but Horned Frogs have already lost couple of close games, 50-48 to Baylor, 40-33 in OT to SMU. Frogs are 1-3 as a favorite this year, after being 22-9 as a favorite from '08-'10. All four TCU games went over the total. Since '05, San Diego State is 11-8 as a home underdog- they're +7 in turnovers this season.

**Udog** · 10-07-2011, 09:25 PM

NCAAF

Saturday, October 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
College football betting weather report: Week 6
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Weather won't play as much havoc on Saturday as it did earlier this season, with picture-perfect conditions on tap for many games. But there are still several game forecasts you need to be aware of before placing your bets:

Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Longhorns (10.5, 56.5)

There's a 20 percent chance of thunderstorms for the Red River Rivalry in Dallas, with winds between 11-13 mph and temperatures in the mid-70s.

Maryland Terrapins at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (14, 63.5)

Partly cloudy conditions will prevail in Atlanta, with 12-mph winds and temperatures in the mid-70s.

Memphis Tigers at Rice Owls (-20.5, 59)

A 30 percent chance of thunderstorms is in the forecast for Houston. Winds will hit 15 mph, with temperatures rising to the mid-80s.

Missouri Tigers at Kansas State Wildcats (4, 55.5)

There's a 26 percent chance of thunderstorms for Manhattan, with 17-mph winds and temperatures in the low 80s.

Kansas Jayhawks at Oklahoma State Cowboys (-31.5, 73)

Winds swirling at 14 mph and a 21 percent chance of thunderstorms are in the forecast for Stillwater. Temperatures will be in the low 80s.

Arizona State Sun Devils at Utah Utes (3.5, 48.5)

Partly cloudy conditions and a 19 percent chance of rain are in the Salt Lake City forecast. Temperatures will be in the low 50s.

Marshall Thundering Herd at Central Florida Knights (-19, 43.5)

There's a 78 percent chance of thunderstorms in Orlando. Winds will hit 14 mph and temperatures will be in the low 70s.

Iowa State Cyclones at Baylor Bears (-15.5, 63.5)

A 30 percent chance of thunderstorms is in the Waco forecast, with 12-mph winds and temperatures in the low 80s.

East Carolina Pirates at Houston Cougars (-10.5, 73.5)

There's a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms for Saturday night, with 13-mph winds and temperatures in the low 80s.

Texas A&M Aggies at Texas Tech Red Raiders (9.5, 71.5)

There's a 42 percent chance of thunderstorms in Lubbock, with 11-mph winds and temperatures around 70.

Ohio State Buckeyes at Nebraska Cornhuskers (-10.5, 45)

A 54 percent chance of thunderstorms is in the forecast for Lincoln. Temperatures will dip into the high 60s.

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**Udog** · 10-07-2011, 09:41 PM

NCAAF

Saturday, October 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Oklahoma vs. Texas: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Longhorns (+10.5, 56.5)

THE STORY: As usual, the stakes are high in the Red River Rivalry. Top-ranked Oklahoma will look to stay unbeaten against surging Texas, which opened the season ranked 24th but has climbed all the way to No. 10 after four straight victories. Ten of the last 13 meetings between these Big 12 rivals have been decided by 10 or more points, but the last two meetings have been single-digit affairs. Texas has won three of the last five against the Sooners, who defeated the Longhorns 28-20 in 2010. Oklahoma coach Bob Stoops is 7-5 all-time against Texas coach Mack Brown. Texas holds the all-time advantage in the series, 58-41-5.

TV: ABC

LINE MOVES: Oklahoma opened as a 8.5-point favorite and has been bet up to 10.5 as of Friday afternoon. The total opened at 56 and was bet up to 57 before coming down to 56.5 points.

ABOUT NO. 1 OKLAHOMA (4-0, 1-0 Big 12, 3-1 ATS): The Sooners have won all four of their games by 10 or more points, including a road win over then-No. 5 Florida State on Sept. 17. Quarterback Landry Jones, a Heisman Trophy candidate, has gotten off to a bit of a slow start, throwing 10 touchdowns against five interceptions. However, the Oklahoma offense continues to put up huge numbers, averaging 42 points and 555 yards, fourth-best in the country. Oklahoma has struggled against Texas on the ground in the last three years, averaging just 52 rushing yards. In 2009, a 16-13 loss, the Sooners were held to minus 16 yards on 22 carries.

ABOUT NO. 10 TEXAS (4-0, 1-0 Big 12, 3-1 ATS): The Longhorns could match their win total from all of last season with a victory over the Sooners. Texas went 5-7 last year and finished last in the former Big 12 South division. Texas has relied on an improved offense and a revamped defense, which has demonstrated success under first-year coordinator Manny Diaz. However, while the Longhorns rank No. 14 in total defense, it’s worth noting that the best offense they’ve faced is UCLA’s 63rd-ranked unit. Texas has gone up against offenses ranked 75th, 103rd and 109th, so this week qualifies as its biggest challenge yet. The Longhorns failed to force even a single turnover in last year’s meeting against the Sooners.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Oklahoma hasn’t beaten Texas in consecutive seasons since 2003 and 2004.

2. The Sooners are looking to start 5-0 for the third time in the last four years.

3. With its 37-14 win over Iowa State, Texas improved to 12-2 in Big 12 openers under Brown.

TRENDS:

* Underdog is 3-1-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Sooners are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
* Sooners are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as favorites.

PREDICTION: Oklahoma 38, Texas 21 – The Sooners are too good on both sides of the ball for Texas to keep pace, and Jones is poised for a huge game on a big stage.

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**Udog** · 10-07-2011, 09:43 PM

NCAAF

Saturday, October 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the day: Ohio State at Nebraska
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Ohio State Buckeyes at Nebraska Cornhuskers (-11, 44.5)

THE STORY: Nebraska’s weaknesses were on full display for the nation to see last week. Unfortunately, Ohio State’s flaws have been front and center on the college football scene for some time. In Saturday’s 48-17 nationally televised blowout loss at No. 5 Wisconsin, the Huskers allowed a season-worst 486 yards and the most points it had surrendered in a game since a 62-28 loss to Oklahoma in 2008. Three interceptions from quarterback Taylor Martinez led to 21 points for the Badgers. Meanwhile, the Buckeyes have been working under the NCAA's microscope since the end of the 2010 season. The latest hit was this week’s announcement that three players - including wide receiver DeVier Posey and running back Dan Herron - will not play Saturday as punishment for receiving improper benefits. Both players were also involved in the memorabilia scandal that eventually led to the dismissal of former coach Jim Tressel. Nebraska and Ohio State have met twice, with the Buckeyes winning both meetings in Columbus in 1955 and 1956.

TV: ABC

LINE MOVES: Nebraska opened as a 9.5-point favorite and has been bet up to -11. The total opened at 44 and dropped to 43.5 before going up to 44.5.

ABOUT NEBRASKA (4-1, 0-1 Big Ten, 1-4 ATS): Martinez has only four touchdown passes against five interceptions in 2011. The Huskers feature the ninth-best rushing attack in the country, led by Rex Burkhead (511 yards) and Martinez (425) - individual totals that rank as the second- and fourth-best marks in the conference, respectively.

ABOUT OHIO STATE (3-2, 0-1, 2-3 ATS): The Buckeyes, who rank 108th in total offense this season, had only 178 total yards in a 10-7 loss to No. 20 Michigan State last week, only avoiding a shutout by scoring with 10 seconds remaining. Conversely, Ohio State has fared well on the other side of the ball, ranking 11th nationally in scoring defense and 13th in total defense.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Huskers coach Bo Pelini, who played for Ohio State from 1987-1990, is 2-0 against his alma mater during his coaching career, but will be facing the Buckeyes for the first time as a head coach.

2. Nebraska has started conference play with two losses only once since 1968.

3. The Buckeyes have won 16 of their last 19 conference games dating back to 2008.

TRENDS:

* Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as underdogs.
* Cornhuskers are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games as favorites of 10.5 or greater.
* Under is 9-1-2 in Buckeyes' last 12 road games.
* Under is 14-6 in Cornhuskers' last 20 home games.

PREDICTION: Nebraska 24, Ohio State 13 - The Huskers will struggle to run the ball again, but the Buckeyes don’t have the same kind of offensive weapons that Wisconsin does to take advantage of the Huskers’ mistakes. Expect Nebraska to win a low-scoring slugfest.

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**Udog** · 10-07-2011, 09:46 PM

Where the action is: NCAAF Week 6 line moves

We look inside the biggest line moves on the Week 6 college football board. Todd Fuhrman, race and sports analyst for Caesar’s in Las Vegas, was kind enough to talk to *********** about the action behind these adjustments:

Minnesota Golden Gophers at Purdue Boilermakers – Open: -10.5 Move: -14

Minnesota QB MarQueis Gray is still up in the air for Saturday after missing last weekend due to a toe injury. Even if he plays, that injury will slow down the Gophers’ dual-threat QB, and bettors are buying the other side.

“Minnesota has become an automatic go-against,” says Fuhrman. “Until they show something they’ll continue to be that team in the Big Ten.”

Kentucky Wildcats at South Carolina Gamecocks – Open: -18.5 Move: -21

South Carolina coach Steve Spurrier benched struggling QB Stephen Garcia and will go with sophomore Connor Shaw against the Wildcats. Bettors seem to think this move should spark a slumping USC offense enough to cover.

“They don’t really have anywhere to go but up,” says Fuhrman. “The offense was brutal against Auburn last week.”

Army Black Knights at Miami (Ohio) RedHawks – Open: -1 Move: +2

The RedHawks' feeble offense has forced bettors to take them from home favorite to slight dog with a dynamic Army offense coming to town.

“You don’t know what you’re going to get with this Miami (Ohio) team,” says Fuhrman. “They’ve had some real clunkers on offense.”

Marshall Thundering Herd at Central Florida Knights – Open: -14.5 Move: -19

Fuhrman says this game is a perfect example of wiseguys driving the price up on one side, only to buy back on the other. He expects sharp money to come in on the Thundering Herd, who should be able to hang within 19 points of an offensively-challenged UCF squad.

“Marshall has struggled to put up points, but at this reduced price, there’s a lot more wiggle room,” says Fuhrman.

Texas A&M Aggies at Texas Tech Red Raiders – Open: +6 Move: +9.5

Despite back-to-back collapses from the Aggies, bettors are confident Texas A&M will put together a complete game against their Texas rival. However, Texas Tech has played much better in the second half – an area where the Aggies have fallen flat.

“You have to consider where (Texas A&M’s) heads are after those two losses,” says Fuhrman. “Texas Tech has enough of a pop-gun offense to keep it close, especially in a rivalry.”

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NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 6 (10/6 - 10/8)

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 6 (10/6 - 10/8)

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