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good luck. may also add a few more
Based on 1-5*
4* Cinci Over Buffalo
Waiting on this one-line could go to 3.5
This is one of those games where everything comes together. Buffalo is in a prime letdown spot coming off a victory as a 7 point favorite versus division rival New England, whom they haven't beat since 2003. Now, they must travel to a seemingly weaker opponent in the Bengals…I smell upset. I say seemingly because the Bengals are not a bad team. Their defense is actually one of the best in the league allowing only 6.4 YPPA (4th in NFL) and an amazing 2.9 YPR (1st in NFL). When the Bengals have the ball they will be facing a Bills D that allows 4.7 YPR (25th in the NFL) and 7.5 YPPA (12th in the NFL). Buffalo's offense is solid, but they have played poor defensive teams (including NE and KC). There is a great 71-30-2 ATS stat favoring the Bengals based on the Bills upset win last week. Cinci in a HUGE 4* play!
3* St. Louis +3 over Wash
I love the Rams in this showdown. The Skins may be 2-1, but they are a below average team. This is a great situational spot for the Rams. The Rams are off a blowout home loss to Balt, while the Skins are coming off a short week versus a divisional rival and face another divisional rival in Philly next week. Statistically, the Rams will run all over (8th in run offense) the poor Skins run D (27th). There are 2 strong trends favoring the Rams including a 85-42 ATS winning trend.
2* Arizona over N.Y. Giants
I think the Giants are getting too much respect after their win against the overrated Eagles last week. And with Zona coming off a divisional loss as a favorite they are in position for a win here. Statistically these teams are very equal. Both have solid passing games (NY 5th and Ariz 8th) and below average defenses. My line as Arizona -2 so there is definite value here. This is a great schedule position for the cards also; they are coming off 2 road games and are on the road next week. These teams have a good long term win percentage. There are multiple trends favoring the Cards including a 44-7 straight up winner.
Based on 1-5*
4* Cinci Over Buffalo
Waiting on this one-line could go to 3.5
This is one of those games where everything comes together. Buffalo is in a prime letdown spot coming off a victory as a 7 point favorite versus division rival New England, whom they haven't beat since 2003. Now, they must travel to a seemingly weaker opponent in the Bengals…I smell upset. I say seemingly because the Bengals are not a bad team. Their defense is actually one of the best in the league allowing only 6.4 YPPA (4th in NFL) and an amazing 2.9 YPR (1st in NFL). When the Bengals have the ball they will be facing a Bills D that allows 4.7 YPR (25th in the NFL) and 7.5 YPPA (12th in the NFL). Buffalo's offense is solid, but they have played poor defensive teams (including NE and KC). There is a great 71-30-2 ATS stat favoring the Bengals based on the Bills upset win last week. Cinci in a HUGE 4* play!
3* St. Louis +3 over Wash
I love the Rams in this showdown. The Skins may be 2-1, but they are a below average team. This is a great situational spot for the Rams. The Rams are off a blowout home loss to Balt, while the Skins are coming off a short week versus a divisional rival and face another divisional rival in Philly next week. Statistically, the Rams will run all over (8th in run offense) the poor Skins run D (27th). There are 2 strong trends favoring the Rams including a 85-42 ATS winning trend.
2* Arizona over N.Y. Giants
I think the Giants are getting too much respect after their win against the overrated Eagles last week. And with Zona coming off a divisional loss as a favorite they are in position for a win here. Statistically these teams are very equal. Both have solid passing games (NY 5th and Ariz 8th) and below average defenses. My line as Arizona -2 so there is definite value here. This is a great schedule position for the cards also; they are coming off 2 road games and are on the road next week. These teams have a good long term win percentage. There are multiple trends favoring the Cards including a 44-7 straight up winner.
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