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  • The Bum's Tuesday's Best Bets MLB-WNBA !

    Indiana Fever Host Atlanta Dream In East Final

    The ’over’ is 8-1-1 in the last 10 road games for the Atlanta Dream.
    The Indiana Fever and Atlanta Dream play the deciding Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Finals on Tuesday night and the foot injury to Tamika Catchings is the big question mark.

    The Don Best odds screen lists the Fever as 2½-point favorites and a 157½-point total for the contest that will the tip from Conseco Fieldhouse coming at 8:00 p.m. (ET). The winner of this game will meet the red-hot Minnesota Lynx for the WNBA title.

    Indiana (24-15 straight up, 21-17-1 against the spread) lost Game 2 at Atlanta on Sunday, 94-77 as 5-point underdogs. Catchings pulled down nine rebounds, but was carried off the floor in the fourth quarter and is listed as doubtful on the Don Best injury report.

    The 6-foot-1 forward Catchings averaged 15.5 points, 7.1 rebounds and 3.5 assists during the regular season. That helped her just win league MVP.

    If Catchings can’t go, then a number of Fever players will need to step up. Guard Katie Douglas has already done so, averaging 20.4 PPG in the five playoff games and leading the team in scoring (25) last game.

    The 32-year-old Catchings has been mortal this postseason (10.8 PPG), shooting just 33.3 percent from the field. However, her all-around production would be sorely missed and it’s a real emotional blow to the team.

    The good news for Indiana is returning home where it went 13-4 SU and 12-5 ATS during the regular season. The playoffs have been more of the same (3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS). This series opener was an 82-74 win as 2 ½-point home favorites. Five players scored in double-digits, led by Tangela Smith’s 25.

    Atlanta finished 20-14 SU in the regular season, one game back of both Indiana and Connecticut in the Eastern Conference. The team rebounded from an awful 3-9 SU start to finish 17-5 SU (13-8-1 ATS).

    The Dream are continuing to be a nightmare for their opposition this postseason, sweeping two games from Connecticut and now having the momentum this series. The big change last game was Iziane Castro Marques replacing Erika de Souza in the starting lineup. Castro Marques responded with a season-high 30 points.

    The 6-foot-5 de Souza is the team’s starting center, but left to play a game for the Brazilian national team. She is out for the remainder of the series. Ironically, the 6-foot swingman Castro Marques could have also played for the Brazilian team, but chose not to.

    Forward Angel McCoughtry also added 27 points last game and she easily led Atlanta in scoring during the regular season (21.6 PPG). The All-Star had been struggling in the playoffs (much like Catchings), 13 PPG and 31 percent shooting over the first three games.

    Atlanta is much smaller now without de Souza and took advantage of the speed with a 25-11 advantage in fast break points. Indiana needs to win this game with rebounding, even if Catchings is out.

    The Dream are 10-9 SU and 8-10-1 ATS overall on the road this year. The ‘over’ is 8-1-1 in their last 10 games away. The one ‘under’ came in this series opener when the 156 combined points scored just couldn’t reach the 158-point total.

    Atlanta won all four regular season meetings between the teams (3-1 ATS). The ‘over’ is 5-1 in the six meetings overall this year.

    Neither of these teams have won an WNBA title, but each has been in the finals recently. Atlanta lost to Seattle last year and Indiana was defeated by Phoenix in 2009.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    Rangers, Angels Continue Series In Anaheim

    The Los Angeles Angels play Game 2 of their divisional series Tuesday night against the playoff-bound Texas Rangers. The game is scheduled to start at 10:05 p.m. (ET) from the Angel Stadium in Anaheim.

    The Rangers went into Monday's series opener with a 9-7 lead in the season series and have won five of their last seven meetings dating back to the beginning of August.

    The Angels were three games back of the Boston Red Sox (two games back of Tampa Bay) for the lead in the American League Wild Card going into Monday evening’s action.

    Los Angeles wasted a pivotal opportunity Sunday night by blowing a late three-run lead against the Oakland Athletics, which would have trimmed the wild card deficit to two.

    Game 1 of this series is scheduled for Monday night with C.J. Wilson (Texas) and Dan Haren (Los Angeles) scheduled to start in the opener. The MLB odds listed the Halos as 125-130 favorites.

    Starting for Texas in the second game of the series will be right-handed pitcher Colby Lewis (13-10, 4.45). Lewis has allowed a total of seven home runs in his last six starts and has seven strikeouts in each of his last three starts.

    Lewis has faced the Angels a total of three times this season with the Rangers winning two of those games and the righty posting a 4.50 ERA.

    His last road start versus the Angels was one of his best road starts of the year. Lewis pitched seven innings, allowed four hits, no earned runs, two walks and struck out seven.

    Pitching for the Angels in this American League West showdown will be Ervin Santana (11-12, 3.38). The Angels have lost each of Santana’s last four starts, with Ervin picking up the loss in three of the four games. Los Angeles is 7-3 in Santana’s last 10 home starts versus the Rangers.

    Santana’s faced the Rangers four times already this season, with this home start being his fifth and final start of the year. The Angels are 1-3 in the Dominican's four starts versus Texas, with only one of those starts coming in Anaheim (a 4-3 loss).

    The ‘over’ is 5-1 in Lewis’ last six starts, while the ‘under’ is 4-1 in Santana’s last five starts.

    Los Angeles first baseman Mark Trumbo is questionable for Tuesday’s game versus the Rangers. Trumbo left Sunday’s game with a sore right ankle and could miss the rest of the season.

    Tuesday’s weather forecast for Anaheim looks to be a perfect night for late-September baseball with clear skies and temps in the mid-to-upper 70s at game time.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Diamond Trends - Tuesday

      September 27, 2011


      SU TREND OF THE DAY:

      The Mariners are 0-14 since June 24, 2010 at home after a win in which their starter pitched at least 8 innings for a net profit of $1554 when playing against.

      OU TREND OF THE DAY:

      The Pirates are 0-9-2 OU since September 21, 2008 when Ross Ohlendorf starts as a 140+ dog when the bullpen has allowed at least one run for two straight games for a net profit of $900 when playing the under.


      STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:

      The White Sox are 11-0 since June 17, 2010 when Mark Buehrle starts when not a favorite of 150+ after a quality start on the road for a net profit of $1280.


      MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:

      The Mariners are 0-21 O/U (-3.2 rpg) since 2009 when their last game went under by one run.


      TODAY’S TRENDS:

      The Giants are 5-0 OU since May 26, 2010 as a home 140+ favorite after a win in which they allowed 1 or fewer walks and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $500 when playing the over.

      The Pirates are 0-7 since May 21, 2010 when Ross Ohlendorf starts as a 140+ dog after his team lost the last time he started vs this opponent for a net profit of $700 when playing against.

      The Cardinals are 0-5 since August 02, 2010 when Jake Westbrook starts as a 140+ favorite after a quality start at home for a net profit of $715 when playing against.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        Rays try to keep rolling Tuesday vs. Yankees

        NEW YORK YANKEES (97-63)

        at TAMPA BAY RAYS (89-71)


        First pitch: Tuesday, 7:10 p.m. EDT
        Line: Tampa Bay -170, New York +160, Total: 8.5

        The surging Rays will try to win on Tuesday night against the Yankees and hope for a Red Sox loss to gain sole possession of first in the AL Wild Card race. The Rays were nine games back on Sept. 2, but thanks to Boston going 6-19 in September, Tampa Bay (15-10 in September) is now tied for first in the AL Wild Card.

        Bartolo Colon (8-10, 4.02 ERA) will be on the hill Tuesday night for the Yankees. Colon has had his share of troubles against the Rays this year, going 0-3 with a 6.60 ERA. Opposing Colon will be possible rookie of the year Jeremy Hellickson (13-10, 2.90 ERA). Hellickson has been fantastic of late, going 2-0 with a 2.28 ERA in his past four starts. Despite New York’s success this year, the Yanks have had an odd problem of playing at night where they are only 53-51 (-16.6 Units). The Pinstripes also are rarely underdogs, but are just 15-15 in the non-favored role. Tampa, on the other hand, is 43-22 when tabbed as a favorite of -125 to -175. The Rays also should benefit from a rested bullpen, as they are 23-10 with a bullpen that pitched one inning or less in the previous game. Expect Colon’s problems against the Rays to continue, as surging TAMPA BAY will win again Tuesday night and put mountains of pressure on Boston.

        This four-star FoxSheets trend also backs the Rays:

        Play On - All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (TAMPA BAY) - below-average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -AL, with a starting pitcher who throws more than 6.5 innings per start. (130-38 since 1997.) (77.4%, +67 units. Rating = 4*).

        Colon needs a good outing to prove to manager Joe Girardi and the Yankees that he’s worth a bullpen spot for the postseason. Colon has struggled badly of late, going 0-4 with a 5.58 ERA his past nine starts. The aging right-hander was hit very hard on Thursday against these Rays, allowing seven runs (5 ER) and seven hits in only three innings of a 15-8 loss. The Yankees are expected to play most of their starters on Tuesday night despite not having anything to play for. On Monday, Nick Swisher and Mark Teixeira got the night off to rest, and Girardi might sit another starter or two on Tuesday.

        Hellickson pitched well against the Yankees on Wednesday, throwing seven innings and allowing only two runs on two hits. He did walk four batters though, and didn’t get much run support as he got a no-decision in a 4-2 loss to New York. Hellickson is 1-1 with a 3.93 ERA in three starts against the Yanks this season, but he allowed just two runs with seven strikeouts in seven frames in his lone home start against them on July 19. The Rays will keep a close eye on the scoreboard Tuesday, as the Red Sox face Baltimore, with the first pitch also being at 7:10. If the Rays can scratch out a win, they will have lots of momentum with their ace David Price slated to pitch the final game of the regular season on Wednesday.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          Lowe aims to keep Atlanta atop NL Wild Card

          PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (100-60)

          at ATLANTA BRAVES (89-71)


          First pitch: Tuesday, 7:10 p.m. EDT
          Line: Philadelphia -110, Atlanta +100, Total: 8

          The skidding Braves will need to pull it together for the final two games of the season against division rival Philadelphia. Atlanta is holding a slim one-game lead over St. Louis in the NL Wild Card race with just two games remaining.

          Roy Oswalt (8-10, 3.86 ERA) will get the start for the Phillies who look to match a franchise-record with their 101st win of the season. Oswalt has been terrific against the Braves in a Phillies uniform, going 1-0 with a 1.71 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in 21 innings against Atlanta. Opposing Oswalt will be veteran right-hander Derek Lowe (9-16, 4.92 ERA). Lowe has had one of his worst years, with an especially dreadful September (0-4, 8.24 ERA, 2.09 WHIP). The Phils have been unbelievable the last two seasons when playing against teams with a winning record in the second half of the year, going a remarkable 59-22 (.728). Philadelphia also has been strong as a favorite of -100 to -150, where it is 43-24. The Braves have a woeful 9-16 record in September, but have played well at home all year (47-32). Despite this strong home record, the Phillies have a huge advantage in the pitching matchup on Tuesday that is not properly reflected in the money line. The pick here is PHILADELPHIA to continue Atlanta’s downward spiral and further damage the Braves chance for a postseason berth.

          This pair of FoxSheets trends also side with the Phillies:

          ROY OSWALT is 57-17 (77.0%, +32.8 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record). The average score was OSWALT 5.4, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 2*).

          PHILADELPHIA is 45-21 (68.2%, +20.6 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons. The average score was PHILADELPHIA 5.3, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 2*).

          With Monday night’s 4-2 victory, Philadelphia has won five straight games over the battered Braves by a combined score of 36 to 8. Oswalt is coming off a poor effort Thursday, in which he gave up six runs over 7.2 innings in a 6-1 loss to the Nationals. The right-hander had a solid start against Atlanta back on Sept. 7, when he threw seven innings, allowing only two runs on four hits and struck out seven in a 3-2 victory.

          In the past two seasons, Derek Lowe has lost six of his eight starts against Philadelphia, posting a 4.59 ERA over that span. Lowe pitched decent on Wednesday, allowing three runs in 6.1 innings, but suffered his fourth straight loss in a 4-0 defeat in Florida. Atlanta has lost three straight game, batting a miserable .183 those three contests. With St. Louis playing the worst team in the majors, the 56-104 Astros, to finish the season, the Braves know they most likely have to win the final two games of this series to keep playoff hopes alive.
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
            09/26/11 14-*14-*2 50.00% -*1145 Detail
            09/25/11 13-*18-*1 41.94% -*3740 Detail
            09/24/11 20-*14-*0 58.82% +*1980 Detail
            09/23/11 16-*10-*0 61.54% +*4005 Detail
            09/22/11 9-*11-*0 45.00% -*325 Detail
            09/21/11 12-*16-*1 42.86% -*1045 Detail
            09/20/11 15-*16-*1 48.39% +*850 Detail
            09/19/11 9-*9-*1 50.00% +*520 Detail
            09/18/11 17-*12-*1 58.62% +*2380 Detail
            09/17/11 17-*11-*2 60.71% +*4220 Detail
            09/16/11 13-*15-*1 46.43% -*2330 Detail
            09/15/11 9-*8-*3 52.94% +*640 Detail
            09/14/11 18-*9-*2 66.67% +*4020 Detail
            09/13/11 15-*14-*1 51.72% +*1005 Detail
            09/12/11 10-*12-*0 45.45% -*975 Detail
            09/11/11 12-*18-*0 40.00% -*3165 Detail
            09/10/11 16-*13-*1 55.17% +*1540 Detail
            09/09/11 16-*14-*0 53.33% +*735 Detail
            09/08/11 8-*10-*0 44.44% -*1695 Detail
            09/07/11 10-*15-*0 40.00% -*3415 Detail
            09/06/11 15-*14-*1 51.72% -*260 Detail
            09/05/11 14-*18-*0 43.75% -*3005 Detail
            09/04/11 15-*12-*2 55.56% +*1950 Detail
            09/03/11 11-*17-*1 39.29% -*3080 Detail
            09/02/11 15-*12-*1 55.56% +*1655 Detail
            09/01/11 4-*6-*0 40.00% -*1590 Detail
            Totals 343-*338-*22 50.37% -*270

            Tuesday, September 27

            Game Score Status Pick Amount

            Boston - 7:05 PM ET Baltimore +149 500
            Baltimore - Over 9.5 500

            Cleveland - 7:05 PM ET Detroit -174 500
            Detroit - Under 9 500

            NY Yankees - 7:10 PM ET Tampa Bay -194 500
            Tampa Bay - Over 8.5 500

            Philadelphia - 7:10 PM ET Philadelphia -101 500
            Atlanta - Over 8 500

            Washington - 7:10 PM ET Washington +141 500
            Florida - Over 7.5 500

            Cincinnati - 7:10 PM ET NY Mets -115 500
            NY Mets - Under 8.5 500

            St. Louis - 8:05 PM ET Houston +168 500
            Houston - Under 9 500

            Toronto - 8:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox -106 500
            Chi. White Sox - Over 8.5 500

            Kansas City - 8:10 PM ET Kansas City +101 500
            Minnesota - Over 9 500

            Pittsburgh - 8:10 PM ET Pittsburgh +190 500
            Milwaukee - Under 8.5 500

            LA Dodgers - 9:40 PM ET LA Dodgers +102 500
            Arizona - Under 8.5 500

            Chi. Cubs - 10:05 PM ET Chi. Cubs -119 500
            San Diego - Under 6 500

            Texas - 10:05 PM ET Texas +105 500
            LA Angels - Under 7.5 500

            Oakland - 10:10 PM ET Oakland -106 500
            Seattle - Under 7 500

            Colorado - 10:15 PM ET San Francisco -178 500
            San Francisco - Under 7 500
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #7
              Wrong post
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • #8
                7:00 PM ETAtlanta at Indiana

                Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

                ATL 609 1-1 (0-1 V) - (157 UNDER )

                IND 610 1-1 (1-0 H) - 2 ( ATL - 2 )

                Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
                Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment

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