Gulfstream / Aqueduct / Laurel

[torontopaul]

Gulfstream (pk 6 c/o $144,000)

1st 8-5-1-6, 2nd 3-4-7-13, 3rd 5-11-6-9, 4th 5-4
5th 2-5-11-8, 6th 1-5-6, 7th 4, 8th 5-10-6-3,
9th 3-8-2, 10th 2-4-3

Aqueduct

1st 4, 2nd 5-3-4, 3rd 2-1-5-6, 4th 9-7-6-5,
5th 1-2-3, 6th 11-1a-4-7, 7th 1-3-9, 8th 1-7-4
9th 5-2-10/5-2-10-8/5-2-10-8-4

Laurel Spot Plays

1st 4, 2nd 4, 4th 2, 5th 5, 6th 1, 7th 1a,
8th 3

[Art]

Many years ago I read how you could bet the odds at tracks by betting a favorite to show when the the ratio of number of bets to total pool amount, on show, was small, which meant a large payout for show wins (greater than for place wins sometimes).

You could even buy a special calculator that you fed odds and pool money data in and it would give you a number rating of whether to bet or not

Do you know about this? Do I have my facts right?

[torontopaul]

Art, I had some friends that played show only, but that was a long time ago, when their was really no satalite feeds for off track for every track running, they would be happy with a total 10% return for the days work, I personally thought it was really risky, If your betting 500 to show and the horse runs 4th, your fucked, because it will take you a lot of races to make that up, look now, anyone in Canada can bet any major track through their otb, which was not the case, even 10 years ago. The offshore books are taking alot of action on the ponies, but I.m sure they have their runners in the states to layoff large bets, unlike the casinos in Vegas that get a 6% take on every dollar bet, with no risk to them what so ever, all money from vegas goes directly into the host tracks pool.

[Art]

I'm not talking of betting show all the time - just when the payout exceed's the pool less the vig from the track.

Let's say the track takes 21% out the win pool before payout. This means that an average win bet losses 21% of the amount bet.

Betting the favorite to show greatly increases your chances (not amount won) of winning the bet comnpared to betting the favorite to win. When the show pool is right on the favorite, betting the favorite to show can beat the 21% loss odds and turn into a 10% or more win odds. This means that over time, your bets will return an average of 10% for each bet. You can't lose over the long haul. You just need to know when the odds favor you, which you can calculate from the odds of the favorite to win and the pool money on the favorite for win, place and show. The odds and pool totals change, so you need to calculate your bet just before post time and place this bet quickly. Pool totals are available at track boards and are shown at some Vegas sportsbooks. You need this info to use the system.

I think the system makes use of the minimum payout on show bets regardless of the show pool. Tracks lose money at times by having to meet the minimum payout.