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The Bum's Saturday's Best Bets MLB-CFL-WNBA !

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  • The Bum's Saturday's Best Bets MLB-CFL-WNBA !

    Yankees And Red Sox Play Two In New York

    Boston entered the series having won all six games in the Bronx this season.
    The Boston Red Sox turn to a couple of unlikely saviors when they play a doubleheader at the New York Yankees on Sunday.

    The first game from Yankee Stadium will be at 1:05 p.m. (ET) and the second at 6:30 p.m. (ET). Boston will go with Tim Wakefield and John Lackey, while the Yanks have A.J. Burnett and Ivan Nova. The pitching order is still unknown, with the MLB odds released shortly.

    The Red Sox (88-68) saw their Friday series opener rained out. That kept them at 5-16 this month, one of the worst September collapses in MLB history. Their 6.82 starters ERA is a huge reason why.

    Boston has a 2.5-game lead for the AL wild card over the Rays and 3.5 over the Angels. Both teams lost Friday and those standings are pending Saturday’s results. Boston was a 150 favorite with Jon Lester facing Freddy Garcia.

    Lackey (12-12, 6.49 ERA) is having an historically bad year, at least in terms of ERA. He’s been even worse in his four September starts (10.70 ERA), not lasting more than 5 1/3 innings.

    Boston is 1-4 in Lackey’s last five starts, winning 18-9 last Monday against Baltimore even after he allowed eight earned runs over 4 1/3 innings.

    The 32 year-old right-hander is 2-1 versus New York this year, but has a 6.50 ERA and they were all at home. He pitched at Yankee Stadium once last year while with Boston (five earned runs over six innings).

    He did have success in the Bronx (3.76 ERA in eight regular season starts) while with the Angels, but that seems like a long time ago.

    Wakefield (7-7, 5.08 ERA) finally got his 200th career win, but Boston is 1-6 in his last seven starts overall (5.55 ERA). He only made it through six innings once in that span. His one start at New York this year was in June, five earned runs over 5 1/3 innings, but getting the win in the 11-6 victory.

    Boston’s Kevin Youkilis (hip) is sitting Saturday and will certainly not play both games Sunday.

    The Yankees (95-61) have clinched the AL East and a third straight playoff appearance. They’re now the solid 125 favorite to win the AL Pennant (Boston is still next +300).

    Manager Joe Girardi has no plans to rest players this weekend and there are no significant position players on the injury report. All things being equal, he would love to damage the Red Sox playoff chances.

    Nova (16-4, 3.62 ERA) has been one of the most unsung pitchers in baseball. He had solid numbers (8-4, 4.12 ERA) in July, but was sent to the minors due to a crowded rotation. He has come back with a vengeance since (8-0, 2.94 ERA).

    The 24-year-old right-hander last pitched Monday versus Tampa Bay, allowing no runs over 7 2/3 innings (5-0 home win). New York had lost his previous two starts at Seattle and Baltimore, scoring five total runs, but is 13-2 in his last 15 starts overall.

    Nova’s one start against Boston this year was at Fenway in April. He surrendered four earned runs over 4 1/3 innings, with the Yanks bats generating a 9-4 win.

    Burnett (10-11, 5.28 ERA) is trying to pitch his way onto the playoff roster. He has a 5.06 ERA in four September starts. The Yanks still won three due to some great bullpen work and one was at Fenway on Sept. 1 (two earned runs over 5 1/3 innings).

    The 34-year-old right-hander has a lower ERA at home (4.56). However, he did get bombed in his home start against Boston back in June (seven earned runs over 5 2/3 innings).

    Boston is 11-4 against the Yankees this year, 6-0 at Yankee Stadium, with the last series there in June.

    The ‘over’ is 5-0 in Boston’s last five games, with the totals ranging from 9-11 runs.

    New York is 50-28 at home this year (+10.5 betting units) even after losing all six to Boston.

    Weather will be warm in the 70s, but with showers. The teams begin their final regular season series on Monday with Boston at pesky Baltimore and New York at Tampa Bay.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    SF Giants Take On Ian Kennedy, Arizona Diamondbacks

    Uneasy lies the head that wears the crown. So it goes for the San Francisco Giants as they trek to Phoenix for a weekend series with the host Arizona Diamondbacks, to the point where they have no room for error if they wish to keep their playoff hopes alive.

    Realistically, the World Series holders were reduced to wild card hopes as they entered weekend action, effectively eliminated from the NL West race that Arizona might have already clinched before this Saturday battle at Chase Field even commences. San Francisco’s best playoff hopes rests with sweeping the remaining games on its schedule, not an especially far-fetched notion with reeling Colorado on deck for a three-game set at AT&T Park to close the regular season beginning Monday.

    The situation really is do-or-die for the Giants, with first pitch scheduled for 8:10 p.m. (ET) in Phoenix. To keep their postseason flame flickering, the Giants will be likely counting upon young southpaw Eric Surkamp, the NC State Wolfpack grad who didn’t even make his major league debut until August 27.

    In four starts since, however, Surkamp has been serviceable, posting a 2.95 ERA, although continuing bouts of wildness – he’s walked 11 in 21 1/3 IP) –could prove his undoing if not corrected, and soon. He was pushed back from Friday’s start by skipper Bruce Bochy in favor of Matt Cain.

    Moreover, he’ll have to outduel Arizona’s Ian Kennedy, the NL Cy Young candidate who notched his 20th win in his last outing vs. the Pirates on Monday It was a dominating performance in which he allowed only one hit and one walk while striking out 12 in eight shutout innings of work.

    The D-Backs won that Monday game over the Bucs by a 1-0 count, and winning in Kennedy’s starts has become commonplace for Kirk Gibson’s squad; Arizona has won an astounding 14 of Kennedy’s last 15 outings, extending to just before the All-Star break.

    The ex-Yankee has also allowed two earned runs or fewer in 10 of his last 13 starts, and has spun a microscopic 1.48 ERA in his last six efforts.

    Kennedy owns a 1.81 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in nine careers starts against San Francisco.

    The postseason pitching rotation is also setting up nicely for Gibson, with Kennedy likely to have plenty of rest before his anticipated start in Game 1 of Arizona’s playoff adventure next weekend against a myriad of potential foes.

    Providing the Giants a flicker of hope this weekend is recent success at Chase Field, where the Bay Bombers had won four of six in the 2011 season prior to this three-game set.

    But, as mentioned before, San Francisco must continue to thread the needle and hope from help elsewhere in the league, or else it could leave Phoenix on Sunday night being officially eliminated from the postseason mix.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Saturday, September 24

      Game Score Status Pick Amount

      Atlanta - 1:05 PM ET Washington +141 500
      Washington - Over 8.5 500

      Minnesota - 1:05 PM ET Cleveland -153 500
      Cleveland - Over 9 500

      Philadelphia - 1:10 PM ET NY Mets +129 500
      NY Mets - Under 7 500

      Chi. Cubs - 1:10 PM ET Chi. Cubs +178 500
      St. Louis - Over 8.5 500

      Boston - 4:10 PM ET Boston -140 500
      NY Yankees - Over 9.5 500

      Seattle - 4:10 PM ET Texas -110 500
      Texas - Over 8 500


      Evening games posted later !


      Saturday, September 24

      Game Score Status Pick Amount

      BC Lions - 4:00 PM ET Saskatchewan -1.5 500

      Saskatchewan - Under 50.5 500

      Winnipeg - 7:00 PM ET Winnipeg -3 500

      Toronto - Under 48.5 500
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        Baltimore - 7:05 PM ET Detroit -255 500
        Detroit - Over 7.5 500

        Minnesota - 7:05 PM ET Cleveland -136 500
        Cleveland - Under 9 500

        Colorado - 7:05 PM ET Houston -121 500
        Houston - Over 8.5 500

        Cincinnati - 7:05 PM ET Pittsburgh +111 500
        Pittsburgh - Under 9 500

        Kansas City - 7:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox -132 500
        Chi. White Sox - Over 8.5 500

        Toronto - 7:10 PM ET Toronto +132 500
        Tampa Bay - Over 7.5 500

        Florida - 7:10 PM ET Florida +173 500
        Milwaukee - Over 7.5 500

        Philadelphia - 7:10 PM ET NY Mets +104 500
        NY Mets - Under 8.5 500

        San Francisco - 8:10 PM ET Arizona -178 500
        Arizona - Under 8 500

        LA Dodgers - 8:35 PM ET LA Dodgers -103 500
        San Diego - Over 7 500

        Oakland - 9:05 PM ET LA Angels -134 500
        LA Angels - Under 8 500
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment

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