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The Bum's Thursday's Best Bets MLB-WNBA !

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  • The Bum's Thursday's Best Bets MLB-WNBA !

    Pujols, Cardinals Pursue Playoffs Vs NY Mets

    St. Louis is 6-1 in Jake Westbrook’s last seven starts vs. the NL East.
    The St. Louis Cardinals and New York Mets will close out a three-game National League series Thursday afternoon, with the first pitch scheduled to be thrown at 1:45 (ET) at Busch Stadium.

    Manager Tony LaRussa is running out of time to guide his team to a spot in the playoffs, trailing the Atlanta Braves by 2 ½ games in the NL Wild Card race, while sitting 5 ½ back of the Milwaukee Brewers in the division.

    St. Louis has won 11 of its last 13 games, including an 11-6 victory in the series opener, coming back from an early four-run deficit. First baseman Albert Pujols led the charge offensively, going 4-for-5 on the night and is now batting a season-best .304.

    The perennial All-Star is aiming to extend his MLB record of batting .300 with 30 home runs and 100 RBI for an 11th consecutive season. He needs to maintain his current average while driving in three more runs.

    Jake Westbrook (12-9, 4.58 ERA) is scheduled to make his 32nd start of the season, coming in off a 9-2 road loss to the Phillies in his last outing. He allowed two runs (one earned) and five hits over 3 1/3 innings in that particular effort.

    The right-hander will be aiming to even up his home record, entering with a 4-5 record and 5.59 ERA in 15 tries, issuing 34 free passes and registering 54 strikeouts in 85 1/3 frames.

    Westbrook will be making just his third career start versus the Mets, posting a 1-1 mark and 4.20 ERA, tallying a 6-2 road win in his last try on July 21 (8 IP, 2 ER). Bettors will find that the Cardinals are 6-1 in his last seven starts against NL East opponents, while the ‘over’ is 4-1 in his last five outings overall.

    New York jumped out to a 4-0 lead after the top of the third inning in the series opener, but was outscored by an 11-2 margin the rest of the way. The Mets are 8-12 during the month thus far and 28-47 in September the last two-plus campaigns.

    Chris Capuano (11-12, 4.47 ERA) will look to win a second consecutive start for the first time since June 29, coming in off a 12-2 road win over the Atlanta Braves, allowing two runs and six hits over five innings. The left-hander has compiled an even 7-7 mark and 5.29 ERA in 16 road appearances (14 starts), as opponents are hitting .286 against him.

    He has yet to face the Cardinals this year, but comes in with a 5-5 record and 5.18 ERA, including an 0-3 mark and 6.87 ERA in four lifetime appearances (three starts) at Busch Stadium. Capuano will not be comfortable in facing Pujols, who is hitting .567 against him with four home runs and 11 RBIs in 30 career at bats.

    Home plate umpire Jim Reynolds is likely going to draw some attention for total bettors, as the ‘over’ is 17-3-2 in his last 22 games involving St. Louis.

    Weather forecasts suggest a 30 percent chance of showers with game-time temperatures in the mid-60s. A slight breeze of 5-10 mph will be blowing from the southwest (out to center).
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    SF Giants, LA Dodgers MLB Betting Preview

    Madison Bumgarner has won his last three starts against the Dodgers.
    The Los Angeles Dodgers will face the San Francisco Giants for the last time this season on Thursday when they close out a three-game series at Chavez Ravine. The Giants saw their season-high eight-game winning streak come to an end on Tuesday night, and they are getting closer to being eliminated from playoff contention one year after winning the World Series.

    The Dodgers had won four of the last five meetings with the Giants heading into Wednesday’s game, as ace Clayton Kershaw earned the victory in three of them. They tied the season series at 8-8 following Kershaw’s 20th victory of the year on Tuesday.

    Los Angeles will send Hiroki Kuroda (12-16, 3.19 ERA) to the mound for the series finale off a home win against Pittsburgh last time out. He had lost consecutive starts for the first time since July 27 but allowed only one earned run against the Pirates on a solo homer by Alex Presley in the sixth inning.

    Kuroda got the victory as a heavy 190 favorite, and the ‘over’ improved to 7-0-1 in his last eight outings. His team has scored seven runs or more in his last five wins and two or less in his past two losses.

    San Francisco will counter with lefty Madison Bumgarner (12-12, 3.21), who has won each of his last five starts. Bumgarner has been outstanding during that stretch, giving up more than one earned run just once.

    One of those wins came against Kuroda and the Dodgers on September 11, as Bumgarner surrendered one run and three hits in five innings with three walks and eight strikeouts. That was his shortest outing since July 30, and he has been favored in his last six starts with the ‘over’ cashing in the past three.

    Bumgarner has enjoyed a lot of success against Los Angeles during his career with a 4-1 mark and 2.97 ERA in six games. He has won three in a row against the Dodgers this season since suffering his only career loss to them back on April 11.

    Game time is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. (ET), and umpire Jim Wolf will be behind the plate. Wolf’s presence may help San Francisco since the road team is 19-12 this season when he calls balls and strikes.

    The ‘over’ is also 17-10 when Wolf has served as the home plate umpire.

    The temperature for first pitch in LA is forecast to be in the mid-70s, cooling down to a low of 63 degrees after the sun goes down.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Thursday, September 22

      Game Score Status Pick Amount

      Seattle - 1:10 PM ET Seattle +100 500
      Minnesota - Under 8.5 500

      NY Mets - 1:45 PM ET NY Mets +158 500
      St. Louis - Over 8.5 500

      Texas - 3:35 PM ET Oakland +138 500
      Oakland - Over 8.5 500
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        Thursday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers


        Streaking

        Jeanmar Gomez, Cleveland Indians (4-2, 3.78 ERA)

        Ever since Gomez made some adjustments to his delivery in the minors, he’s been throwing smoke following his return to the bigs. Extra life on his fastball has helped him win four straight starts while posting a 1.88 ERA over that stretch. He gave up just two runs over 6 2/3 innings in a 10-4 win over Minnesota last weekend.

        Madison Baumgarner, San Francisco Giants (12-12, 3.21 ERA)

        Bumgarner allowed a single unearned run over seven innings to earn his fifth straight win last weekend, a 9-1 decision over the Colorado Rockies. His ERA is just 1.04 over those five games and he now has his season WHIP at 1.22.

        "This kid is just getting better and better," manager Bruce Bochy told reporters. "He's been on a good roll, really hitting his spots with all his pitches. He's got to feel good about how it's gone for him, especially with the rough start that he had."

        Slumping

        Anthony Swarzak, Minnesota Twins (3-7, 4.52 ERA)

        Swarzak’s recent numbers are downright nasty: 0-4 in his last five starts with an 8.49 ERA. His last outing was even worse, when he gave up seven runs over 1 2/3 innings in a loss to Cleveland.

        "Lack of command, didn't execute," Swarzak told reporters after that loss. "Had a game plan out there and got away from my game plan a little bit. When you don't have a game plan and you're not executing, you're not going to get many outs. So I ended up getting beat around today."

        Henry Sosa, Houston Astros (2-5, 4.74 ERA)

        Sosa has lost three in a row, but was solid in two of those outings. While he gave up five runs in just 2 2/3 innings in a loss to the Nats on Sept. 11, he held his opposition to a pair of runs over six innings in his other two starts this month, including a tough 2-1 loss to the Cubs last weekend.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          Hot lines: Thursday's best MLB bets

          Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees (-155, 9)

          The New York Yankees are no strangers to tight playoff races down the stretch, so it wasn’t really any surprise that they did a little tinkering with their starting pitching rotation ahead of Wednesday’s doubleheader with the Tampa Bay Rays.

          When Wednesday morning rolled around the Yankees informed everybody that Hector Noesi would start the matinee instead of CC Sabathia and that Sabathia would go later that evening.

          Of course, with Tampa Bay and Boston battling it out for the wild card, it seemed a little fishy that the Yanks would make a late switch like that.

          “It had an odor of that,” Rays manager Joe Maddon told reporters if he thought New York was playing some gamesmanship. “I don’t know if that’s exactly what was going on. I’m OK with gamesmanship. I’m into gamesmanship. It’s part of the dance, and I’m good with all that stuff.”

          At any rate, the Yanks clinched a postseason berth with an afternoon win and then claimed the division later that evening. They send Bartolo Colon to the mound Thursday.

          Gamesmanship or not, we like Jeff Niemann and the Rays here.

          Pick: Rays

          Colorado Rockies at Houston Astros (-120, 9)

          There’s lots to dislike about the Houston Astros – their offense, their defense, the 33 units they’ve cost their supporters this year – but manager Brad Mills isn’t on that list.

          He has kept his cool this season despite the team’s disgusting 53-102 record, though that doesn’t mean he’s going to let this young, rebuilding team lay down before the end of the year.

          “We’ve seen us play some real good baseball in the last month, two months, it’s been a while,” Mills told reporters following Wednesday’s 2-0 loss to Cincinnati. “We’ve been playing real good ball. Today was one of the most disappointing and frustrating games for me to see us go through some things. We had some opportunities and couldn’t get them.”

          They certainly did and they’ll have a great chance to make amends Thursday against a struggling Rockies team that sends Alex White to the hill. White has allowed at least four runs in each of his five starts with Colorado, serving up 12 dingers during that span.

          Pick: Houston
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            Diamond Trends - Thursday

            September 22, 2011

            TODAY’S TRENDS:

            The Dodgers are 8-0 since April 15, 2010 as a favorite after a loss in which they had 12+ hits for a net profit of $800.
            The Phillies are 6-0 since August 11, 2010 when Roy Oswalt starts at home when he is off a start in which he needed more than 4 pitches per batter for a net profit of $600.
            The Athletics are 0-8 OU since June 05, 2010 when Trevor Cahill starts at home after walking at least 4 for a net profit of $800 when playing the under.


            SU TREND OF THE DAY:

            The Rangers are 0-11 since May 04, 2010 when they are off a win in which they had at least three times as many hits as runs and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $1365 when playing against.

            OU TREND OF THE DAY:

            The Tigers are 9-0-1 OU since June 15, 2010 as a 140+ favorite when they lost the last two games their starter started for a net profit of $900 when playing the over.

            STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:

            The Angels are 0-12 since May 17, 2005 when Ervin Santana starts as a road favorite vs a team that has lost at least their last two games and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $1472 when playing against.

            MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:

            The Mariners are 1-19 since May 2009 as a dog when they are off a non-shutout win that was tied after the sixth inning.
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #7
              Rookie Moore tries to end Rays losing skid

              TAMPA BAY RAYS (85-70)

              at NEW YORK YANKEES (95-60)


              First pitch: Thursday, 7:05 p.m. EDT
              Line: Tampa Bay -125, New York +115, Total: 9.5

              One night after clinching the A.L. East, the Yankees can deal a major blow to Tampa’s playoff hopes as they go for a four-game sweep of the Rays Thursday night at Yankee Stadium.

              The Rays will have rookie Matt Moore making an emergency start in place of Jeff Niemann. It will be the first big-league start for the top prospect, and it’s coming in a high-pressure situation: At Yankee Stadium with Tampa’s playoff lives on the line. The Yankees are likely to take their foot off the gas a bit with nothing left to play for in the regular season, but the moment seems too big for the 22-year-old southpaw. Plus, Yankees starter Bartolo Colon is trying to pitch himself into the postseason rotation, so he’ll have plenty of motivation in this one. The FoxSheets have a three-star trend illustrating another reason why NEW YORK is the pick:

              Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (N.Y. YANKEES) - after allowing 2 runs or less against opponent after 2 straight losses by 2 runs or less. (43-23 over the last 5 seasons, 65.2%, +29.3 units. Rating = 3*).

              It’s been a rough two months for Colon (8-9, 3.81 ERA), one of 2011’s surprise success stories. He hasn’t won a decision since July 30, posting a 4.98 ERA during this eight-start winless skid. The Yankees still managed to go 4-4 in those outings though.

              Colon was knocked around in Toronto last Saturday, allowing six runs over four innings. Tampa has beaten him twice this year, as Colon has allowed eight runs (six earned) and 21 base runners over 12 innings against the Rays.

              Moore (0-0, 6.23 ERA) has an electric left arm, going 12-3 with a 1.92 ERA between Double-A and Triple-A this year. In nine starts with Triple-A Durham, he went 4-0 with a 1.37 ERA and 79 K in 52.2 innings (13.5 K/9). He’s made just two big-league appearances and was more impressive in the second, limiting the Red Sox to one run over three innings, allowing two hits, two walks and striking out two, during Tampa’s win on Saturday.
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • #8
                Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
                09/21/11 12-*16-*1 42.86% -*1045 Detail
                09/20/11 15-*16-*1 48.39% +*850 Detail
                09/19/11 9-*9-*1 50.00% +*520 Detail
                09/18/11 17-*12-*1 58.62% +*2380 Detail
                09/17/11 17-*11-*2 60.71% +*4220 Detail
                09/16/11 13-*15-*1 46.43% -*2330 Detail
                09/15/11 9-*8-*3 52.94% +*640 Detail
                09/14/11 18-*9-*2 66.67% +*4020 Detail
                09/13/11 15-*14-*1 51.72% +*1005 Detail
                09/12/11 10-*12-*0 45.45% -*975 Detail
                09/11/11 12-*18-*0 40.00% -*3165 Detail
                09/10/11 16-*13-*1 55.17% +*1540 Detail
                09/09/11 16-*14-*0 53.33% +*735 Detail
                09/08/11 8-*10-*0 44.44% -*1695 Detail
                09/07/11 10-*15-*0 40.00% -*3415 Detail
                09/06/11 15-*14-*1 51.72% -*260 Detail
                09/05/11 14-*18-*0 43.75% -*3005 Detail
                09/04/11 15-*12-*2 55.56% +*1950 Detail
                09/03/11 11-*17-*1 39.29% -*3080 Detail
                09/02/11 15-*12-*1 55.56% +*1655 Detail
                09/01/11 4-*6-*0 40.00% -*1590 Detail
                Totals 271-*271-*19 50.00% -*1045

                Baltimore - 7:05 PM ET Baltimore +139 500
                Detroit - Under 9 500

                Chi. White Sox - 7:05 PM ET Chi. White Sox +110 500
                Cleveland - Over 9 500

                Washington - 7:05 PM ET Washington +173 500
                Philadelphia - Over 8 500

                Tampa Bay - 7:05 PM ET NY Yankees +142 500
                NY Yankees - Over 9 500

                LA Angels - 7:07 PM ET LA Angels -113 500
                Toronto - Over 8.5 500

                Colorado - 8:05 PM ET Houston -113 500
                Houston - Under 9 500

                San Francisco - 10:10 PM ET San Francisco +102 500
                LA Dodgers - Under 6.5 500
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • #9
                  7:00 PM ETAtlanta at Indiana

                  Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

                  ATL 601 0-0 (0-0 V) - (157 UNDER )

                  IND 602 0-0 (0-0 H) - -2.5 ( ATL + 2.5 )

                  Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
                  Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts



                  9:00 PM ETPhoenix at Minnesota

                  Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

                  PHO 603 0-0 (0-0 V) - (173.5 OVER )

                  MIN 604 0-0 (0-0 H) - ( -6.5 MINN )

                  Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment

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