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  • The Bum's Monday's Best Bets MLB-WNBA !

    Milwaukee Brewers Meet Cubs At Wrigley Field

    The Milwaukee Brewers are closing in on the NL Central crown, and they'll hope to take one more step in the right direction this week when they head to Wrigley Field for a showdown with the Chicago Cubs.

    Monday night's encounter starts at 8:05 (ET), with television coverage on FOX Sports Wisconsin and Comcast Sports.

    Coming into play Sunday, the Brewers were holding a 6 ½-game lead in the NL Central, and their magic number to clinch the division just five. Milwaukee is also paying close attention to the NL West-leading Arizona Diamondbacks, as well. The Brewers held a two-game lead on the Diamondbacks for the second-best record in the NL amongst division leaders as of Sunday morning.

    Assuming that both win their divisions, the team with the better record will face the NL Wild Card (likely the Atlanta Braves) with home-field advantage; the team with the lesser record has to start off the postseason on the road at the Philadelphia Phillies, who will likely become the first team to get to 100 wins at some point this week.

    Meanwhile, the Cubs are just playing out the season, one which has been a certified disaster. The threat of losing 100 games is at least gone, but 90 losses is still a likelihood, something that isn't looked upon kindly in the Windy City.

    This is an important start for Milwaukee's Chris Narveson. The lefty is still fighting for a spot in the starting rotation for the postseason. He has been in and out of the bullpen since the end of August, making two starts and two relief appearances.

    For the year, the southpaw is 10-7 with a 4.40 ERA, numbers which are fairly mediocre. Batters are hitting a marginal .258 against him, but thanks to 57 walks, his WHIP is a suspect 1.37.

    The good news for Narveson is that he has pitched well on the road of late. Milwaukee is 4-0 in his last four road starts, and Narveson is 3-0 with a 2.38 ERA.

    Narveson has dominated the Cubs over his brief career, and he has gotten the job done both as a starter and a reliever. The lefty has made five starts and seven relief appearances against Chicago, and is 6-0 with a 3.41 ERA. Three of those six wins were here at the Friendly Confines.

    The Cubs haven't won a game in which Casey Coleman made an appearance since May 19, a span of 10 straight outings. The righty has pitched as a starter in all but two of those games, and has had some awfully ugly results.

    Coleman is 2-8 with a 7.06 ERA, and his splits are as bad as his record and ERA suggest. A WHIP of 1.87 is dreadful, and batters are knocking him around for a .317 batting average. Coleman also nearly has as many runs allowed (59) as strikeouts (60), something that normally keeps players in the minor leagues.

    However, at just 24 years old, the Cubs think Coleman can work through his problems, and with the minor league season over with, manager Mike Quade wants to keep him in a regular rotation for the rest of the year.

    Milwaukee has swept two straight series with the Cubs, winning six straight overall in this series. However, all of those games were played in Miller Park. The home team is 10-2 in the 12 clashes this year coming into this series.

    The biggest factor in this one might be Mother Nature. During the day, winds are going to be blowing out at upwards of 20 mph, and the hope for these pitchers is that the wind calms down after nightfall.

    The 'over' has gone 19-5-2 in the last 26 meetings of these two teams here at Wrigley Field.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    Diamond Trends - Monday

    September 19, 2011


    SU TREND OF THE DAY:


    The Pirates are 0-11 since May 29, 2010 as a road 170+ dog after a loss in which their opponent left 18+ men on base for a net profit of $1100 when playing against.


    OU TREND OF THE DAY:


    The Blue Jays are 9-0 OU since June 20, 2010 at home after shutting out their opponent for a net profit of $900 when playing the over.


    STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:


    The Yankees are 0-9 since June 16, 2010 when A.J. Burnett starts after going less than five innings in his previous start vs this team for a net profit of $1155 when playing against.


    MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:


    The Cardinals are 0-15 (-3.2 rpg) since June 2004 as a road dog after a win in which their starter pitched at least 8 innings.


    TODAY’S TRENDS:


    The Padres are 6-0 since April 27, 2010 on the road within 20 cents of pickem after a loss in which their opponent left 18+ men on base for a net profit of $630.

    The Pirates are 0-7-1 OU since June 26, 2010 as a 170+ dog after a loss in which they used 5+ pitchers for a net profit of $700 when playing the under.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Preview: Pirates (68-85) at Diamondbacks (88-65)

      Game: 1
      Venue: Chase Field
      Date: September 19, 2011 9:40 PM EDT

      Re-establishing their success at Chase Field will move the Arizona Diamondbacks closer to an unexpected NL West title.

      Extending his winning streak there may eventually earn Ian Kennedy the NL Cy Young Award.

      Kennedy looks to match the longest home winning streak by an Arizona pitcher Monday night when the Diamondbacks open a three-game series with the Pittsburgh Pirates.

      Arizona (88-65) ended a three-game slide with Sunday's 5-1 victory at San Diego. The Diamondbacks lead the West by five games over second-place San Francisco with nine to play, including three head-to-head meetings at Chase Field this weekend.

      Coming on the heels of back-to-back last-place finishes, Arizona has a magic number of five to clinch its first division title since 2007.

      "Every victory at this point of the season is great," said Kirk Gibson, a top candidate for NL Manager of the Year..

      Another win for Kennedy (19-4, 2.99 ERA) would also be a great milestone. The right-hander is on the brink of becoming the Diamondbacks' first 20-game winner since 2008, when Brandon Webb won the Cy Young.

      Webb also is the only Arizona pitcher to win six straight home starts - a run that bridged the 2007 and 2008 seasons. Kennedy has a chance to equal that run, as he's posted a 1.69 ERA while winning his last six outings in the desert. He's also 11-1 with a 2.42 ERA in his last 13 starts overall.

      Kennedy struggled while failing to get his 20th win Tuesday at Los Angeles, allowing four first-inning runs in a game the Diamondbacks rallied to win 5-4 in 10.

      "I wasn't commanding it as well. It wasn't as sharp as it had been, especially with two strikes," said Kennedy, who lasted six innings.

      Kennedy didn't get a decision in his only meeting with the Pirates on Sept. 17, 2010, allowing two runs - one earned - in six innings of a 4-3 road loss for the Diamondbacks.

      Arizona rookie first baseman Paul Goldschmidt is 6 for 17 with four RBIs in his last five games. He had two hits including a homer Sunday and drove in three.

      While Arizona is seeking a division crown, the Pirates (68-85) head into their final nine games looking for a positive end to a season that once saw them flirt with first place in the NL Central.

      Pittsburgh has dropped eight of 10 and has been outscored 28-4 during a three-game slide after falling 15-1 to the Dodgers on Sunday.

      Jeff Karstens (9-8, 3.45) takes the mound seeking his first win since beating San Francisco on Aug. 10. The right-hander is 0-2 with a 6.20 ERA in four starts since, and has been skipped twice in the rotation due to arm stiffness. He struggled upon his return Tuesday, allowing four runs and seven hits in 4 1-3 innings while not getting a decision in a 6-4 loss to St. Louis.

      Karstens is 1-0 with a 2.01 ERA in six games - two starts - against the Diamondbacks. His only start at Chase Field was a two-hitter in a 2-0 win Aug. 6, 2008.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        Angels try to stay in Wild Card race Monday

        LOS ANGELES ANGELS (83-69)

        at TORONTO BLUE JAYS (77-75)


        First pitch: Monday, 7:10 p.m. EDT
        Line: Toronto -145, Los Angeles +135, Total: 8.5

        The Angels and Blue Jays will square off on Monday night in a very important series for Los Angeles. The Angels are 4.5 games back of the AL West leading Rangers and four back of the Wild Card-leading Red Sox with nine games remaining.

        The Angels will send Jerome Williams (3-0, 3.90 ERA) to the mound on Monday night to make his fifth start of the season. Williams had a shaky outing on Tuesday, lasting only 4.1 innings and allowed three runs and walked five. The red-hot Ricky Romero (15-10, 3.02 ERA) will get the ball for Toronto. Romero is 8-1 in his past 11 starts and the Jays have won 10 of the outings. The Angels have been just average on the road this year, going 39-38. Los Angeles has not been good as an underdog where it is 24-32 and also just 19-21 against the AL East. Toronto, on the other hand, is 39-28 as a favorite and a solid 52-42 in night games. As much as L.A. needs this game, the pick is for TORONTO to win behind another great pitching performance by Ricky Romero.

        The FoxSheets provide two more trends supporting the Blue Jays.

        Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (L.A. ANGELS) - terrible offensive team (<=4.2 runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA<=4.20) (AL), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start. (125-45 since 1997.) (73.5%, +55.6 units. Rating = 3*).

        Play On - Home teams (TORONTO) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after shutting out their opponent. (182-113 since 1997.) (61.7%, +49.7 units. Rating = 2*).

        Williams has notched a perfect record thus far, but will need to be extra sharp against Romero on Monday. The Angels as a team need to clear their heads after almost getting swept by the lesser Orioles and knowing that the window of opportunity is closing. This will be the Angels’ last road series before playing their final six at home which includes a three-game home series against Texas. Vernon Wells would love to stick it to his old team, but hasn’t so far this year, going just 2-for-24 against his former team.

        Romero has been great at home lately, going 4-0 with a 3.05 ERA in his past six starts in Toronto. Romero has started against the Angels five times in his career, going 3-2 with a 3.24 ERA. The lefty had a nice outing on Wednesday against the Red Sox, going eight innings and allowing three runs in a 5-4 victory. The Jays might not be in any race, but have been playing the role of spoiler this month taking two-of-three from the Yankees and three-of-four from Boston.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
          09/18/11 17-*12-*1 58.62% +*2380 Detail
          09/17/11 17-*11-*2 60.71% +*4220 Detail
          09/16/11 13-*15-*1 46.43% -*2330 Detail
          09/15/11 9-*8-*3 52.94% +*640 Detail
          09/14/11 18-*9-*2 66.67% +*4020 Detail
          09/13/11 15-*14-*1 51.72% +*1005 Detail
          09/12/11 10-*12-*0 45.45% -*975 Detail
          09/11/11 12-*18-*0 40.00% -*3165 Detail
          09/10/11 16-*13-*1 55.17% +*1540 Detail
          09/09/11 16-*14-*0 53.33% +*735 Detail
          09/08/11 8-*10-*0 44.44% -*1695 Detail
          09/07/11 10-*15-*0 40.00% -*3415 Detail
          09/06/11 15-*14-*1 51.72% -*260 Detail
          09/05/11 14-*18-*0 43.75% -*3005 Detail
          09/04/11 15-*12-*2 55.56% +*1950 Detail
          09/03/11 11-*17-*1 39.29% -*3080 Detail
          09/02/11 15-*12-*1 55.56% +*1655 Detail
          09/01/11 4-*6-*0 40.00% -*1590 Detail
          Totals 235-*230-*16 50.54% -*1370

          Monday, September 19

          Game Score Status Pick Amount

          Minnesota 4 Bot 7 NY Yankees -243 500
          NY Yankees 6 Over 10 500

          Seattle 0 Bot 0 Seattle +149 500
          Cleveland 0 Under 9 500

          St. Louis - 7:05 PM ET St. Louis +201 500
          Philadelphia - Over 7.5 500

          LA Angels - 7:07 PM ET LA Angels +136 500
          Toronto - Over 8.5 500

          Atlanta - 7:10 PM ET Florida -105 500
          Florida - Under 8 500

          Houston - 7:10 PM ET Houston +132 500
          Cincinnati - Over 9.5 500

          Baltimore - 7:10 PM ET Baltimore +228 500
          Boston - Over 11 500

          Milwaukee - 8:05 PM ET Milwaukee -145 500
          Chi. Cubs - Over 9 500

          San Diego - 8:40 PM ET San Diego +117 500
          Colorado - Over 8.5 500

          Pittsburgh - 9:40 PM ET Pittsburgh +231 500
          Arizona - Under 8.5 500
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            8:00 PM ETNew York at Indiana

            Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

            NY 667 1-1 (0-1 V) - ( 146 UNDER )

            IND 668 1-1 (1-0 H) - -4.5 ( NY + 4.5 )

            Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
            Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts



            10:00 PM ETPhoenix at Seattle

            Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

            PHO 669 1-1 (0-1 V) - ( 162 UNDER )

            SEA 670 1-1 (1-0 H) - -5.5 ( PHO + 5.5 )

            Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
            Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment

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