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**Udog** · 09-19-2011, 07:36 AM

Monday’s betting tips: MNF line flutters around key number

Who’s hot

NFL: St. Louis is 8-2 against the spread coming off an ATS loss.

MLB: Arizona has won 18 of its last 24 games.

MLB: Atlanta has won 10 of its last 12 meetings with Florida.

WNBA: Indiana is 11-4 against the spread in its last 15 home games.

Who’s not

NFL: The New York Giants are 2-6 against the spread in their last eight games dating back to last season.

MLB: Milwaukee is 5-16 in its last 21 road games.

MLB: Boston has lost 13 of its last 17 games.

WNBA: The over is 2-7 in Phoenix’s last nine games overall.

Key stat

9 – Only nine NFL teams that started the season 0-2 straight up have rebounded to make the playoffs since 2000.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Ryan Howard, Philadelphia Phillies – The team doesn’t expect Howard to play before Thursday after he hurt his big toe over the weekend. Howard was already dealing with a heel issue that has kept him from starting a number of games over the last couple of weeks.

Game of the day

St. Louis Rams at New York Giants (-6.5, 44)

Notable quotable

"We're happy as [expletive]. We've got a two-game lead with 10 to go. We're ready to go. That's basically it, man. We're not going to feel sorry for ourselves for playing like crap. Nobody's going to give us anything." – Red Sox second baseman Dustin Pedroia on the team’s recent slump. Boston hosts Baltimore in Monday’s doubleheader.

Notes and tips

If you’re looking to get your MNF bet in, you’d better shop around. The line is currently has the hometown Giants set as 6.5-point favorites, but there are still some 7-point lines out there. The total is holding steady at 44 points.

The San Francisco Giants activated closer Brian Wilson from the 15-day disabled list on Sunday. Wilson hasn't pitched since Aug. 15 because of inflammation in his pitching elbow. He made only four appearances last month before the Giants had to shut him down. Wilson had a major league-leading 48 saves last season in leading San Francisco to the World Series title. This season, Wilson is 6-4 with 35 saves and a 3.19 ERA.

Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Michael Vick and cornerback Asante Samuel left Sunday's game against the Atlanta Falcons with injuries. Vick was injured late in the third quarter when he was spun into one of his own lineman. He was spitting blood on the way to the sideline and was taken to the locker room for treatment on a neck injury. With backup QB Vince Young inactive (hamstring), Philadelphia was forced to go with rookie Mike Kafka at quarterback. Samuel suffered a dislocated finger following an interception earlier in the third quarter. He went to the locker room to receive stitches. Philadelphia squares off against the Giants in Week 3.

**Udog** · 09-19-2011, 07:39 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

-- Pac-12 is now going to be the Pac-16, the ACC has 14 teams, and it looks like Baylor/Iowa State are completely screwed. Remains to be seen where the Kansas schools are going to wind up.

-- UConn and Rutgers also want in the ACC. Money talks.

-- Justin Verlander threw eight more shutout innings, won his 24th game in one of the best seasons a pitcher has had in a while.

-- Tampa Bay won three of four in Fenway, are now only two games behind the Red Sox in the Wild Card race. Rays play Bronx Bombers seven games in the next ten days.

-- One area the 49ers are vastly improved is in special teams.

-- The NFL has become so babified protecting quarterbacks that it has become a detriment to the game. Its a violent sport. Get over it.

*****************

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday.........

13) Major onions shown by Tony Romo Sunday, coming back from being KOd with a broken rib to lead his team to an OT win in San Francisco. It looked bleaked for Dallas when they trailed 14-0, but Kitna threw one TD while Romo was in the locker room, and a WR who hadn't caught a pass in a real game since 2006, Jesse Holley, caught three passes for 96 yards, including a huge 77-yard catch in OT that set up the winning FG.

12) Chiefs lost their first two games 41-7/48-3; major trainwreck, before Jamaal Charles blew out his knee. That makes it even worse. Extremely difficult coaching job right now for Todd Haley.

11) 49ers led 14-0; Vikings led 17-0 at the half; Raiders led 21-3 at half. They all lost. Not many NFL teams lose games they lead by 14+ points.

10) In first half, Buccaneers ran 20 plays for 62 yards, three 1st downs and zero points. In second half, they ran 33 plays for 278 yards, with 16 first downs and 24 points. Halftime is 12 minutes long. What changed?

9) Buffalo was down 21-3 at halftime; they had ball five times in second half, running 40 plays for 326 yards, 25 first downs and 35 points. Not a lot of defense in Orchard Park Sunday; teams combined for 79 passes and there wasn't one sack in the entire game.

8) Why does Dallas pinch pennies on its kicker ever year? They drove ball 77 yards on 14 plays on its opening series, but Dan Bailey shanked a 21-yard FG and a drive that ate half the first quarter was fruitless, giving the 49ers momentum they carried throughout the first half.

In fairness, Bailey drilled a 47-yarder to tie the game in the last minute, but his early miss gave the 49ers hope against a superior team.

Miami also missed a 34-yard FG and had another one blocked; Redskins had a 30-yard FG blocked. Is that an effect of the shortened practice time in training camp? Field goals don't usually get blocked in the NFL.

7) Tom Brady is on pace to pass for 7,520 yards this season. Seriously, he is. He has 940 passing yards in two games.

6) Denver Broncos are now 5-23-1 against the spread in last 29 games as a home favorite. Playing at mile high altitude was always thought to be a huge advantage. Broncos are also 7-20 SU in their last 27 games.

5) Dolphins have now lost their last six home games. Go figure.

4) Colts are on national TV three of the next five weeks. Awesome.

3) In two games, Cam Newton is 52-83/854 passing. One thing that has changed dramatically in the last five years is that inexperienced players can excel at QB now-- didn't used to be that way. Think about how bad John Elway and Troy Aikman were in their rookie seasons. Guys like Aaron Rodgers/Steve McNair didn't see the field for years.

2) In two games, Vikings have been outscored 41-3 in the second half; if you're wondering why the Redskins benched Donovan McNabb in second half of games last year, this could help explain it.

1) Last week, there were 14 touchdowns scored on defense/special teams. In Week 2, not one. None. Zero. I do not have an explanation for this.

**Udog** · 09-19-2011, 07:49 AM

WNBA
Dunkel

Phoenix at Seattle
The Storm look to close out the series and build on their 8-1 ATS record in their last 9 Monday games. Seattle is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Storm favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-5). Here are all of today's picks

MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 19

Game 667-668: New York at Indiana (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 114.864; Indiana 115.734
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 1; 150
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 5; 148
Dunkel Pick: New York (+5); Over

Game 669-670: Phoenix at Seattle (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 110.677; Seattle 119.160
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 8 1/2; 159
Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 5; 162
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-5); Under

WNBA
Long Sheet

Monday, September 19

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NEW YORK (20 - 16) at INDIANA (22 - 14) - 9/19/2011, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 8-8 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 9-7 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
11 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (20 - 16) at SEATTLE (22 - 14) - 9/19/2011, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 11-5 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 12-5 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA

Monday, September 19

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. INDIANA
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New York's last 7 games when playing Indiana
New York is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Indiana's last 22 games when playing at home against New York
Indiana is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against New York

10:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. SEATTLE
Phoenix is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Seattle's last 12 games
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

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**Udog** · 09-19-2011, 07:52 AM

MLB
Dunkel

LA Angels at Toronto
The Angels look to take advantage of a Toronto team that is 3-9 in its last 12 in Game 1 of a series. Los Angeles is the pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Angels favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+130). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 19

Game 951-952: St. Louis at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lohse) 14.919; Philadelphia (Halladay) 16.205
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-215); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-215); Over

Game 953-954: Atlanta at Florida (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Minor) 15.683; Florida (Nolasco) 14.026
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Florida (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-110); Under

Game 955-956: Houston at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Happ) 13.752; Cincinnati (Willis) 14.675
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 957-958: Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Narveson) 16.055; Cubs (Coleman) 14.522
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-150); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-150); N/A

Game 959-960: San Diego at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Luebke) 15.451; Colorado (Millwood) 14.683
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+105); Over

Game 961-962: Pittsburgh at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Karstens) 13.354; Arizona (Kennedy) 15.737
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 2 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-240); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-240); Under

Game 963-964: Minnesota at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Diamond) 13.160; NY Yankees (Burnett) 14.995
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 2; 11
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-240); 10
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-240); Over

Game 965-966: LA Angels at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Williams) 16.246; Toronto (Romero) 15.619
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+125); Under

Game 967-968: Baltimore at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Matusz) 15.245; Boston (Lackey) 15.643
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 969-970: Seattle at Cleveland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Furbush) 16.119; Cleveland (Huff) 14.898
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+140); Over

Game 971-972: Baltimore at Boston (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Guthrie) 16.245; Boston (Weiland) 14.643
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

**Udog** · 09-19-2011, 08:15 AM

MLB

Monday, September 19

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Trend Report
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1:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Baltimore is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
Boston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Baltimore

1:05 PM
MINNESOTA vs. NY YANKEES
Minnesota is 2-15 SU in their last 17 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
NY Yankees are 15-2 SU in their last 17 games when playing at home against Minnesota

4:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
Seattle is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Cleveland's last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games at home

7:05 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. PHILADELPHIA
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 10 games
Philadelphia is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games

7:07 PM
LA ANGELS vs. TORONTO
The total has gone OVER in 14 of LA Angels's last 19 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Toronto's last 25 games when playing at home against LA Angels
Toronto is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against LA Angels

7:10 PM
BALTIMORE vs. BOSTON
Baltimore4-1-1 SU in its last 6 games
Baltimore is 1-8-1 SU in its last 10 games ,when playing Boston
Boston8-1-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Baltimore
Boston is 1-4-1 SU in its last 6 games ,

7:10 PM
HOUSTON vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing at home against Houston

7:10 PM
ATLANTA vs. FLORIDA
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Atlanta's last 18 games when playing Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
Florida is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games

8:05 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Milwaukee's last 13 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games at home
Chi Cubs are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

8:40 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. COLORADO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Diego's last 10 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games at home
Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:40 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. ARIZONA
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games

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**Udog** · 09-19-2011, 08:19 AM

MLB

Monday, September 19

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Monday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
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Streaking

Roy Halladay, Philadelphia Phillies (18-5, 2.34 ERA)

Halladay threw his eighth complete game of the season in his last start to help the Phillies clinch a playoff spot with a 1-0 win over the Astros. He struck out seven and walked one. Over his last four starts, he has given up just three earned runs as he chases down another Cy Young trophy.

Mike Minor, Atlanta Braves (5-2, 4.11 ERA)

With Jair Jurrjens and Tommy Hanson on the shelf, Minor is getting a big opportunity with the Braves. He picked up a no-decision in his last start but is 2-0 with a 3.74 ERA over his last four outings.

“I feel better and better every time I go out there,’’ Minor told reporters. “I feel like more a part of the team than just a fill-in. I think they kind of trust me now a little bit.’’

Slumping

Brian Matusz, Baltimore Orioles (1-7, 9.84 ERA)

Matusz hasn’t pitched since Sept. 5, when he gave up five runs in 1 1/3 innings in an 11-10 loss to the New York Yankees. Since then he’s been working on the side with pitching coach Rick Adair and feels more confident about his stuff.

"I feel like I've definitely made strides in terms of going out there and getting a good feel in the bullpen and working,” Matusz told reporters.”As for the results, the game will be the deciding factor but I feel like I've made adjustments to go out there with confidence."

David Huff, Cleveland Indians (2-5, 3.40 ERA)

Huff was drilled for eight runs in just four innings of work in a 9-1 loss at Texas last week and has now dropped each of his last three starts. He has allowed four home runs over that stretch but managed to go at least six innings in three outings before the blowout loss to Texas.

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MLB

Monday, September 19

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Hot lines: Monday’s best MLB bets
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Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles (N/A)

Tensions are high in Beantown these days as the Red Sox continue to struggle down the stretch and they’ll be even higher if they can’t take care of the Orioles in Monday’s doubleheader.

The Red Sox lost again Sunday and now sit just two games ahead of Tampa Bay in the wild card race. There was also some speculation that Adrian Gonzalez is dealing with a shoulder injury, but the team says that isn’t the case.

"Gonzi has been taking BP every other day on the field for about a month and a half," Red Sox manager Terry Francona commented over the weekend. "When FOX comes in and announces that, they could have announced it in July, and then I have to answer it. That's not any big surprise. He's backed off for a long time.”

Gonzalez didn’t say much about his shoulder when asked about it but did say that he has been too aggressive at the plate lately, swinging at pitches out of the strike zone instead of taking walks.

The Sox have a lot of issues right now and with the scuffling Kyle Weiland on the mound for the first game of the doubleheader an Orioles bet looks tasty.

Pick: Orioles

Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs (+140, N/A)

It looks as though all the Brewers needed was a trip to Cincinnati to get back on track. Milwaukee had lost six of eight before heading to Cincinnati, but after a sweep of the Reds, the Brewers’ magic number sits at four.

"We did well on both sides, hitting and pitching," Prince Fielder told reporters. "Especially to do it on the road gives us extra confidence. They play us tough here. In this series, we played them better. It's a great feeling right now. But we still have to close things out."

They should be able to take another step closer to the playoffs Monday as they send out Chris Narveson against the struggling Casey Coleman, who gave up six runs in just 3 2/3 innings against the Reds last week.

Pick: Brewers

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**Udog** · 09-19-2011, 09:48 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, September 19

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ST LOUIS (83 - 69) at PHILADELPHIA (98 - 53) - 7:05 PM
KYLE LOHSE (R) vs. ROY HALLADAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 169-146 (-24.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 86-81 (-23.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
LOHSE is 3-13 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 98-53 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-2 (+18.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -200 to -225 over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 96-52 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 66-37 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 142-88 (+21.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 39-13 (+19.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 97-59 (+26.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 58-21 (+33.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
HALLADAY is 121-55 (+30.6 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 42-33 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 61-44 (+7.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 42-22 (+20.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 5-3 (+2.6 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.3 Units)

KYLE LOHSE vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
LOHSE is 2-4 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.91 and a WHIP of 1.283.
His team's record is 3-6 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.4 units)

ROY HALLADAY vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
HALLADAY is 2-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 1.23 and a WHIP of 0.955.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)

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ATLANTA (87 - 66) at FLORIDA (69 - 84) - 7:10 PM
MIKE MINOR (L) vs. RICKY NOLASCO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 111-106 (-32.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 24-33 (-14.2 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 24-34 (-14.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 20-25 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 483-451 (+46.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
FLORIDA is 55-36 (+21.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 305-327 (+51.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
ATLANTA is 129-90 (+13.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 69-84 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
FLORIDA is 5-18 (-12.6 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 this season.
FLORIDA is 28-44 (-21.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
FLORIDA is 11-19 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
FLORIDA is 28-44 (-21.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
FLORIDA is 21-36 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
FLORIDA is 33-50 (-16.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
FLORIDA is 12-26 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NOLASCO is 5-11 (-8.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 5-11 (-8.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 5-11 (-8.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 4-12 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 11-4 (+4.9 Units) against FLORIDA this season
11 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+6.4 Units)

MIKE MINOR vs. FLORIDA since 1997
MINOR is 0-0 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 6.51 and a WHIP of 1.758.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

RICKY NOLASCO vs. ATLANTA since 1997
NOLASCO is 5-7 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.85 and a WHIP of 1.559.
His team's record is 7-11 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-10. (-3.4 units)

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HOUSTON (52 - 100) at CINCINNATI (74 - 79) - 7:10 PM
J.A. HAPP (L) vs. DONTRELLE WILLIS (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 7-5 (-0.0 Units) against HOUSTON this season
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.7 Units)

J.A. HAPP vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
HAPP is 1-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 7.27 and a WHIP of 1.558.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

DONTRELLE WILLIS vs. HOUSTON since 1997
WILLIS is 3-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.65 and a WHIP of 1.233.
His team's record is 3-5 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-4. (-0.6 units)

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MILWAUKEE (90 - 63) at CHICAGO CUBS (67 - 86) - 8:05 PM
CHRIS NARVESON (L) vs. CASEY COLEMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 25-17 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 91-63 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 49-26 (+17.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
MILWAUKEE is 91-63 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 61-43 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 74-45 (+23.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 55-35 (+14.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
MILWAUKEE is 55-23 (+25.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 35-8 (+24.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
NARVESON is 23-14 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 67-87 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 73-87 (-29.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 31-44 (-14.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 67-87 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 22-35 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 123-156 (-52.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 9-4 (+4.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
6 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-1.3 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

CHRIS NARVESON vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
NARVESON is 5-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.51 and a WHIP of 1.221.
His team's record is 5-0 (+5.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.3 units)

CASEY COLEMAN vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
COLEMAN is 0-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.00 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.0 units)

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SAN DIEGO (65 - 88) at COLORADO (70 - 82) - 8:40 PM
CORY LUEBKE (L) vs. KEVIN MILLWOOD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 65-89 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 23-44 (-17.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
SAN DIEGO is 65-89 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 34-66 (-31.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 37-48 (-11.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN DIEGO is 28-20 (+12.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 78-83 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 40-36 (+17.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 56-52 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 70-83 (-26.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 38-40 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
COLORADO is 27-40 (-20.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
COLORADO is 70-83 (-26.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 101-111 (-30.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 70-73 (-26.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MILLWOOD is 81-87 (-27.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 9-6 (+1.0 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.9 Units)

CORY LUEBKE vs. COLORADO since 1997
LUEBKE is 0-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 8.36 and a WHIP of 1.929.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.3 units)

KEVIN MILLWOOD vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
MILLWOOD is 8-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.105.
His team's record is 12-4 (+7.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-7. (-0.3 units)

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PITTSBURGH (68 - 85) at ARIZONA (88 - 65) - 9:40 PM
JEFF KARSTENS (R) vs. IAN KENNEDY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 18-52 (-22.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 50-104 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 29-74 (-28.0 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 85-146 (-32.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 197-407 (-96.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 89-210 (-65.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
ARIZONA is 89-66 (+25.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 46-28 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 89-66 (+25.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 68-47 (+23.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 66-44 (+26.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 55-34 (+22.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ARIZONA is 53-32 (+17.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ARIZONA is 34-15 (+16.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
KENNEDY is 23-8 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
KENNEDY is 23-8 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
KENNEDY is 19-6 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
PITTSBURGH is 35-41 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 14-6 (+11.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday this season.
PITTSBURGH is 41-44 (+8.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-1 (+1.2 Units) against ARIZONA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JEFF KARSTENS vs. ARIZONA since 1997
KARSTENS is 1-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.500.
His team's record is 1-1 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

IAN KENNEDY vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
KENNEDY is 0-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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MINNESOTA (59 - 92) at NY YANKEES (91 - 60) - 1:05 PM
SCOTT DIAMOND (L) vs. A.J. BURNETT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 59-93 (-23.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 57-88 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MINNESOTA is 39-70 (-24.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 30-61 (-25.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MINNESOTA is 10-29 (-18.1 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
NY YANKEES are 20-1 (+17.6 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -225 to -250 over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 40-12 (+23.0 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
NY YANKEES are 84-52 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY YANKEES are 33-15 (+13.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
BURNETT is 27-37 (-26.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 13-18 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 2-8 (-10.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 25-33 (-23.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 5-2 (+1.5 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

SCOTT DIAMOND vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.

A.J. BURNETT vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
BURNETT is 4-2 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.94 and a WHIP of 1.437.
His team's record is 8-3 (+4.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-4. (+2.3 units)

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LA ANGELS (83 - 69) at TORONTO (77 - 75) - 7:07 PM
JEROME WILLIAMS (R) vs. RICKY ROMERO (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 107-114 (-21.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 40-41 (-7.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TORONTO is 77-75 (+3.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 126-75 (+36.0 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.
TORONTO is 52-42 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 128-112 (+19.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 84-86 (+11.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 48-46 (+10.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 84-60 (+20.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 620-610 (+65.7 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 45-29 (+19.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 600-591 (+46.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-3 (+0.2 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.1 Units)

JEROME WILLIAMS vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

RICKY ROMERO vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
ROMERO is 3-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.24 and a WHIP of 1.320.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+1.1 units)

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BALTIMORE (62 - 89) at BOSTON (87 - 65) - 7:10 PM
BRIAN MATUSZ (L) vs. JOHN LACKEY (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 8-3 (+4.3 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)

BRIAN MATUSZ vs. BOSTON since 1997
MATUSZ is 2-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 2.43 and a WHIP of 1.180.
His team's record is 4-1 (+4.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.5 units)

JOHN LACKEY vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
LACKEY is 11-4 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.195.
His team's record is 12-6 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-12. (-8.0 units)

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SEATTLE (63 - 89) at CLEVELAND (75 - 75) - 4:05 PM
CHARLIE FURBUSH (L) vs. DAVID HUFF (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 63-90 (-22.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 52-101 (-38.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 33-61 (-29.1 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 63-84 (-16.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 10-26 (-14.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
SEATTLE is 34-54 (-17.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CLEVELAND is 77-75 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 12-5 (+8.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday this season.
CLEVELAND is 74-72 (+6.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 22-13 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-3 (+1.3 Units) against SEATTLE this season
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.2 Units)

CHARLIE FURBUSH vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

DAVID HUFF vs. SEATTLE since 1997
HUFF is 0-2 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 8.64 and a WHIP of 2.161.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

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BALTIMORE (62 - 89) at BOSTON (87 - 65) - 1:05 PM
JEREMY GUTHRIE (R) vs. KYLE WEILAND (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 8-3 (+4.3 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)

JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. BOSTON since 1997
GUTHRIE is 2-7 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.47 and a WHIP of 1.603.
His team's record is 4-12 (-7.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-4. (+4.6 units)

KYLE WEILAND vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
WEILAND is 0-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 8.10 and a WHIP of 1.900.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

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**Udog** · 09-19-2011, 12:15 PM

MLB
Short Sheet

Monday, September 19

National League

ST LOUIS at PHILADELPHIA, 7:05 PM ET MLB
LOHSE: 3-13 TSR in road games after a win
HALLADAY: PHILADELPHIA 39-13 after a loss

ATLANTA at FLORIDA, 7:10 PM ET
MINOR: ATLANTA 24-33 on the road with a money line of -100 to -125
NOLASCO: 41-28 OVER in night games

HOUSTON at CINCINNATI, 7:10 PM ET
HAPP: 4-16 TSR in night games
WILLIS: 0-6 TSR against division opponents

MILWAUKEE at CHICAGO CUBS, 8:05 PM ET
NARVESON: MILWAUKEE 55-35 after a win
COLEMAN: CHICAGO CUBS 15-36 after having won 2 of their last 3 games

SAN DIEGO at COLORADO, 8:40 PM ET
LUEBKE: SAN DIEGO 34-66 in night games
MILLWOOD: COLORADO 20-10 OVER at home when the money line is +125 to -125

PITTSBURGH at ARIZONA, 9:40 PM ET
KARSTENS: PITTSBURGH 27-46 in the second half of the season
KENNEDY: 12-2 TSR in the second half of the season

American League

MINNESOTA at NY YANKEES, 1:05 PM ET
DIAMOND: MINNESOTA 30-61 after a loss
BURNETT: NY YANKEES 40-12 in day games

LA ANGELS at TORONTO, 7:07 PM ET
WILLIAMS: LA ANGELS 19-9 OVER as a road underdog of +100 to +150
ROMERO: 12-3 OVER in home games in the second half of the season

BALTIMORE at BOSTON, 7:10 PM ET - ** Doubleheader Game #2
MATUSZ: 1-5 TSR when the money line is +125 to -125
LACKEY: 23-10 TSR at home when the money line is +125 to -125

SEATTLE at CLEVELAND, 4:05 PM ET
FURBUSH: SEATTLE 33-61 against the money line in day games
HUFF: CLEVELAND 22-13 in home games after a win

BALTIMORE at BOSTON, 1:05 PM ET - ** Doubleheader Game #1
GUTHRIE: 6-12 TSR when the money line is +125 to -125
WEILAND: 0-3 TSR when the money line is +125 to -125

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**Udog** · 09-19-2011, 12:25 PM

MLB

Monday, September 19

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Rounding the bases: This week's best MLB trends
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Every week, we update you on who's hot, who's not and situational betting spots in Major League Baseball.

HOT TEAM: San Francisco Giants

THIS SEASON: 83-70
LAST WEEK: 7-0

THIS WEEK'S SCHEDULE: At the Dodgers for three, at the Diamondbacks for four.

THE SKINNY: A repeat of last season, when they pitched their way to a World Series title, most likely isn’t going to happen. But, at the least, the Giants are making their bettors happy as they head for home.

San Francisco strolled into a Monday off day, having won eight consecutive games, 11 in September overall, and in the last four, the Giants scored at least six runs. The pitching has still been there, as Matt Cain has two of those victories this month.

And the offense -- with Pablo Sandoval and Carlos Beltran leading the way -- has given the fans a reason to stay positive in the last two weeks, as they desperately chase the Braves in the NL Wild Card race.

Listen, when you’re the defending champions, and you’re about to lose the division title to Arizona, it’s hard to view the season as anything but a disappointment. But wins are wins in our business, and San Francisco is corralling quite a few of them this month, as the Giants keep hope alive for a postseason bid.

COLD TEAM: Minnesota Twins

THIS SEASON: 59-92
LAST WEEK: 0-5

THIS WEEK'S SCHEDULE: At the Yankees for one, home to Mariners for three, at the Indians for four.

THE SKINNY: Joe Mauer’s unfortunate case of pneumonia sort of sums up the season for the Twins. Both Mauer and Justin Morneau have been shut down for the season, and with a lineup laced with unproven players, Minnesota will embark on a bear of a schedule this week, so consider fading them.

Minnesota walked into its makeup matinee on Monday vs. the Yankees, having lost eight consecutive games. And by the time this week is over, they’ll play eight more games in seven days, so look out.

In Sunday’s 6-5 loss to the Indians in Minnesota, the Twins had six players in the lineup with batting averages of .230 or worse. They left 22 runners on base, and they used six pitchers only to end up with another defeat.

OVER TEAM: Chicago White Sox

O/U THIS SEASON: 68-75-9
O/U LAST WEEK: 6-1

THIS WEEK'S SCHEDULE: At the Indians for four, home to the Royals for three.

THE SKINNY: The White Sox pitching staff has fallen apart, and you’d be wise to consider them as an over play the rest of the way, as a result.

Chicago’s 10-5 win over Kansas City on Sunday snapped a seven-game losing streak, and the overs have flowed throughout September because of those slumping arms.

During that skid, they allowed at least six runs in six of those games, and the White Sox have allowed at least eight runs five times in the month. They gave up 29 runs in four games to the less-than-mighty Royals over the weekend, and in Saturday’s 10-3 loss, starter Zach Stewart and Co. allowed 18 hits.

When you’re throwing like that, you may not need much offense to get you to over-land, but the White Sox should be able to accommodate regardless.

UNDER TEAM: Florida Marlins

O/U THIS SEASON: 73-71-9
O/U LAST WEEK: 1-7

THIS WEEK'S SCHEDULE: Home to the Braves for three, at the Brewers for three.

THE SKINNY: Don’t forget about those irrelevant teams that are tucked away in never, never land this month, as you might be able to string together some unders.

Florida, with an expanded roster and a ton of makeup games, has simply run out of whatever steam it had accumulated under manager Jack McKeon on offense. Last Thursday was definitive proof, as they clearly went through the motions in a doubleheader sweep at Philadelphia, losing 3-1 and 2-1.

Heading into Monday’s series opener vs. Atlanta, the Marlins had been held to one run or less five times in September, and in Sunday’s 4-3 loss to Washington, they had two more strikeouts (eight) than hits.

But what’s so important to unders, is the staff, and Florida’s has been just fine this month. Javier Vazquez shut out the Nationals on Saturday, 3-0, and Clay Hensley won two games five days apart.

In this, the hurricane season, Florida is showing a perfect storm of slow bats and fast arms, and it clearly appears there are more unders to be had.

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Announcement

Monday's Trends and Indexes - 9/19 ( MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

Monday's Trends and Indexes - 9/19 ( MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

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