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No official plays this week. I like a few games this week, but I am going to wait until the teams declare themselves before plays. Opinions only. Good luck!
K.C +8.5 over Detroit
This line is total public perception. This is simply based on KC getting blown out and Detroit being the "sexy" preseason pick. My math model has Detroit as a 3.5 point favorite only. KC's rushing offense was 4th in the league last year and there is no reason this won't continue this year. Although K.C. got beat up last week, their D was good against the run and pass (5th in YPPA) last year. Because of the Chiefs blowout loss last week they qualify for an 84-24-1 ATS trend. Only reason I am not making this an official play is because we do not know who these teams truly are yet, as we only had 60 minutes of football to assess them.
Atlanta +3 over Philadelphia (-125 at bodog)
Don't let the Philly score last weak mislead you. Their D was getting eatin' up by the Rams before half of the Rams team got hurt. This line is also based on public perception. Vegas has to set it this way because they know that the public loves Philly and will be betting on them. It's going to take a while for this Philly team to mold. I think the Falcons get the bounce back win here.
K.C +8.5 over Detroit
This line is total public perception. This is simply based on KC getting blown out and Detroit being the "sexy" preseason pick. My math model has Detroit as a 3.5 point favorite only. KC's rushing offense was 4th in the league last year and there is no reason this won't continue this year. Although K.C. got beat up last week, their D was good against the run and pass (5th in YPPA) last year. Because of the Chiefs blowout loss last week they qualify for an 84-24-1 ATS trend. Only reason I am not making this an official play is because we do not know who these teams truly are yet, as we only had 60 minutes of football to assess them.
Atlanta +3 over Philadelphia (-125 at bodog)
Don't let the Philly score last weak mislead you. Their D was getting eatin' up by the Rams before half of the Rams team got hurt. This line is also based on public perception. Vegas has to set it this way because they know that the public loves Philly and will be betting on them. It's going to take a while for this Philly team to mold. I think the Falcons get the bounce back win here.