" Very Interesting "

[MemphisMafia]

18 Bowl games , of which 1 has already been played and they all get played before New Years Day . Considering the " fact " that 1 / 2 / 3 / 4 / 5 years in a row in bowl games before the 1st. the dog has won over 70 % of these contests . And to that the fact that the 1st. dog has already lost , so 17 are left and that ups it to almost 75% as a target number in these games.

Very interesting indeed :confused:


G.L.

***MMM***

:cool: :cool: :cool:

[letswin]

Excellent!! Therefore......................................... .the pretty
redbirds tonight! ???

[Art]

Excellent point.

The underdogs have done better in bowl games over the last 15 years. They come in with more to prove and delighted to have made it there, and the favorite is sometimes mad over missing out on a better bowl.

Can't do better than using your system for the remaining games.

I like Florida as wanting to prove their worthiness and trying to beat a higher ranked opponent.

[ez winners]

The rule of thumb has always been dogs before New Years day and Favorites on and after New Years day. We'll see what happens this year!

[okstate1]

John

Does that change your mind at all on your pick for the game tonight. (I was kind of leaning your way before) especially since the line is 14 on my two sbooks

[MemphisMafia]

Art :

Love the image ( and on fire to )

I am tendering my share of the dogs I feel have a very strong shot at winning thier games , 17 left so in order to achieve 75% I need at least 11 games .

1) Louisville + 14
2) TCU + 10
3) New Mexico + 3
4) Houston + 11
5) Pitt. + 2
6) Northwestern + 7.5
7) Mich. St. + 3
8) Mizzu + 2
9) B.C. + 1.5
10) Wisconsin + 3
11) Oregon + 3

G.L.

***MMM***

:cool: :cool: :cool:

[HurtTheBookie]

In Addition

Bowl teams favored by 9.5 or more are 6-15 ATS over the past five years.

Bowl underdogs of 10 or more are 10-2 ATS over the past five years if they won their last game of the regular season.

[ez winners]

I still have to buck the trends tonight and go with Miami here. Will play a lot of dogs the rest of the way with a few exceptions.

[okstate1]

John

Thanks, I've been winning all season with Miami OH, It is hard to go against them now, I am right there with you

[Art]

MMM

I realize that Florida is a 3 point favorite, and thus not an underdog, but they are not as well ranked as Iowa, and were lucky to get on 1/1/04 bowl.

The trick is to pick the team excited to play at the bowl, and wanting to prove their worth, against the team that is disappointed at the bowl that got into and feel cheated. Doesn't always work and sometimes it is hard to figure.

[SonOfGroo]

Tonight

so how do we assess the Cards tonight , they must be annoyed at missing the trip to Hawaii ..... Do they really have anything to play for tonight ?

GL

SoG