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  • The Bum's Friday's Best Bets MLB-WNBA-CFL !

    Kershaw and Lincecum square off Friday night

    LOS ANGELES DODGERS (70-72, -4.5 Units)

    at SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (75-68, -6.8 Units)


    First pitch: Friday, 10:15 p.m. EDT
    Line: San Francisco -120, L.A. Dodgers +110, Total: 5.5

    The season is winding down for the N.L. West rivals, but the Dodgers and Giants will have a premiere pitching matchup when they meet up in Los Angeles Friday night.

    Dodgers stud Clayton Kershaw looks to continue his second-half tear, while Giants ace Tim Lincecum tries to rebound from back-to-back disappointing outings. San Francisco’s offense has been better of late, while the Dodgers have lost one of their best hitters, LF Andre Ethier, for the season. The fact that these two pitchers are so evenly matched would suggest betting the underdog, as would Kershaw’s ridiculous track record at AT&T Park (3-1, 0.57 ERA in five starts) and the Dodgers’ recent run (13 wins in their past 16 games). Plus, the FoxSheets have a four-star trend that confirms LOS ANGELES is the pick:

    SAN FRANCISCO is 10-28 (26.3%, -21.2 Units) against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 2.4, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 4*).

    Kershaw (17-5, 2.45 ERA) has been magnificent since the All-Star break. He’s 8-1 with a 1.44 ERA while the Dodgers have gone 8-2 in his past 10 starts. He has a 1.40 ERA in seven road starts since the Break. He’s also 3-0 with a 1.35 ERA against the Giants this year, including an absolutely dominant outing the last time he faced them on July 20 (eight shutout innings, three hits, 12 strikeouts, one walk).

    However, the Giants hadn’t yet acquired RF Carlos Beltran at that point. After a slow start with the Giants, Beltran is 12-for-19 thus far in September.

    Lincecum (12-12, 2.75 ERA) has not been sharp in his past two outings, both at home. He allowed five runs (four earned) and walked four over six innings in a loss to the Cubs on August 29, and in a must-win game last Saturday, he allowed five runs and nine hits, lasting just five innings against Arizona. A date with the Dodgers could be what he needs though. In three starts facing L.A. this year, Lincecum has a 1.86 ERA. Though, due to a lack of run support, the Giants lost two of those games.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    MLB Series Outlook: Boston at Tampa Bay

    BOSTON RED SOX (85-58, +2.4 Units)

    at TAMPA BAY RAYS (78-64, +4.1 Units)


    Sportsbook.com Series Line: Tampa Bay -120, Boston -110

    After losing six of eight, the Red Sox now sit 2½ games back in the AL East behind the Yankees and head to Tampa Bay to take on their division rivals. The Rays sit 6½ games behind the Sox in the Wild Card race and will need a sweep here if they plan on pulling off any late-season heroics with a September playoff push. This is the second-to-last series between the two teams this year, with the rivals facing off for a four-game set later in September in Boston.

    Boston enters this matchup tied for the most road wins in baseball, with 43. The Sox have also dominated AL East opponents this year (33-20) and are the superior hitting team with 0.5 more runs per game than Tampa Bay. Considering the even pitching matchups all weekend, the pick here is underdog BOSTON to win the series.

    The FoxSheets provide a three-star trend favoring the Red Sox to win at least two games this weekend.

    BOSTON is 13-3 (81.3%, +11.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. The average score was BOSTON 6.3, OPPONENT 3.0 - (Rating = 3*).

    Pitching Probables for Friday, September 9 - 7:10 EDT
    Friday line: Tampa Bay -110, Boston +100, Total: 10
    BOS: 12-12 (-3.40 Units) when John Lackey starts
    TB: 15-10 (+4.20 Units) when Wade Davis starts
    When Lackey (12-11, 6.11 ERA) comes up in the rotation every five days, Red Sox fans and players cringe. Once a big signing, he’s been a colossal disappointment and has only furthered that recently with a 6.75 ERA in his past three outings. Still, he’s 1-1 against the Rays this year with a 4.38 ERA, and has an impressive 3.81 career ERA against them. He should be able to get decent run support given who he’s starting against, and is a nice value play in this game.
    Davis (9-8, 4.50 ERA) is having a statistically better season than Lackey, but provides a few reasons why he shouldn’t be the play here. He’s struggled mightily with his control in his past two starts, with seven walks compared to just eight strikeouts, never a good sign. He’s also 0-2 with an 11.12 ERA in his career against the Red Sox.

    Pitching Probables for Saturday, September 10 - 7:10 EDT
    Saturday line: TBD
    BOS: 1-1 (-0.10 Units) when Kyle Weiland starts
    TB: 13-12 (-0.70 Units) when Jeremy Hellickson starts
    Making only his third start of the season, and first since July, Weiland (0-1, 6.75 ERA) takes the rubber for the Red Sox, never having faced the Rays in his brief career. With a tough opponent in Hellickson, it’s difficult to justify playing on him, but the Red Sox do have a propensity to knock him around, so at the right odds Weiland can be a surprise play.
    Hellickson (12-10, 2.90 ERA) is coming off arguably his best start of the season, throwing a complete-game, four-hitter against the Orioles. In his career, however, he has a 5.14 ERA against the Red Sox. Also, young arms often tire after throwing deep into games in their previous start, a tendency he showed earlier in the season, not making it out of the sixth after his only other complete game.

    Pitching Probables for Sunday, September 11 - 1:40 EDT
    Sunday line: TBD
    BOS: 16-11 (-3.35 Units) when Jon Lester starts
    TB: 19-10 (+6.45 Units) when James Shields starts
    Some people tire late in the season, but not Lester (15-6, 2.93 ERA), who has found a new gear. The last time he allowed more than one run in a start was August 10. He’s 1-1 with a 2.57 ERA against the Rays this season, but unfortunately draws a tough opponent in Shields.
    Shields (14-10, 2.77 ERA) is a complete-game machine, with 11 CG in 29 starts this year. That includes two of his past three times out, a span of 26 innings in which he’s allowed just two runs. He’s garnered wins his past four times out. It’s slightly troublesome that he has a career 4.84 ERA against the Red Sox, but given how amazing he has been, it’s difficult to justify playing against here.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Diamond Trends - Friday

      September 9, 2011

      SU TREND OF THE DAY:


      The Reds are 10-0 since April 11, 2010 after a loss in which they had at least five more team-left-on-base than their opponent as a favorite but less than 13 total for a net profit of $1000.


      OU TREND OF THE DAY:


      The Athletics are 12-0-1 OU since April 27, 2010 as a dog after a 5+ run win for a net profit of $1200 when playing the over.


      STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:


      The Angels are 16-0 since September 04, 2006 when Jered Weaver starts as a favorite after he had a WHIP of at least 2 his last start for a net profit of $1600.


      MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:


      The Phillies are 0-12 (-3.1 rpg) since September 24th, 2009 as a 140-plus favorite when they blew a lead in their starter’s last start and lost, as long as that starter had a WHIP of at least one, struck out fewer than eight and the bullpen allowed at least one run in that loss.


      TODAY’S TRENDS:


      The Orioles are 5-0 since September 06, 2010 as a 140+ dog after a win in which they drew 5+ walks for a net profit of $1015.

      The White Sox are 5-0-2 OU since April 23, 2010 at home when their starter went less than four innings in his last start for a net profit of $500 when playing the over.

      The Brewers are 5-0 OU since April 11, 2010 as a home dog after a 5+ run loss and it is not the first game of a series
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        CFL Betting Notes - Week 11

        September 7, 2011

        Week 10 was the first of a home-and-home series for the CFL. This week, all eight teams lace them up again to play the same team at a different venue to either complete the two-game sweep or avenge last week's loss. British Columbia got the ball rolling in this series last Friday night with a 29-16 victory over Toronto as a two-point road favorite. This past Sunday, Saskatchewan snapped a four-game skid with a 27-7 pounding of Winnipeg as a 2 ½ -point road underdog. In the first of a Labor Day double-header, Hamilton stunned Montreal 44-21 as a 2 ½ -point home underdog. The night-cap featured another big upset as Edmonton got back to its winning ways with a 35-7 rout of Calgary as an 8 ½ -point road underdog.
        The following is brief preview of round two of the home-and-home along with the opening point spread and ‘over/under’ lines as provided by TheGreek.com.

        Friday, September 9

        Calgary Stampeders (-3 ½) at Edmonton Eskimos Over/Under (52)

        Calgary’s loss last week dropped it into a tie with Edmonton for first-place in the West Division with a 6-3 straight up record (5-4 against the spread). It is a perfect 4-0 SU on the road this season (3-1 ATS) and the total has stayed ‘under’ in five of its nine games. The Eskimos are also 5-4 ATS and 3-1 SU at home (2-2 ATS). The total has stayed ‘under’ in seven of their nine games.

        The Stampeders have now lost two straight to Edmonton this season both SU and ATS. Both games were played in Calgary and the total stayed ‘under’ in each one. They are 5-2 ATS in their last seven trips to Commonwealth Stadium and the total has gone ‘over’ in the last five meetings there. Calgary is second in the CFL in points scored with 232, while Edmonton is ranked seventh with 174.

        Saturday September 10

        Toronto Argonauts at British Columbia Lions (-7) Over/Under: (48)

        Toronto is now 2-7 SU and in last-place in the East. It is 4-5 ATS overall but just 1-4 ATS on the road this season. The total has gone ‘over’ in five of its nine games. BC is in third-place in the West with a 3-6 SU record overall. It is also 4-5 ATS and 1-3 ATS at home. The total has stayed ‘under’ in six of its nine games.

        The Argonauts have now lost eight of the last 10 games to the Lions SU. They are 3-3 ATS in the last six overall and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games in BC. The total has stayed ‘under’ in 12 of the last 15 meetings overall, but is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings at Empire Field. Toronto is giving up an average of 29.1 points a game as compared to the Lions 25.4.

        Sunday, September 11

        Hamilton Tiger-Cats at Montreal Alouettes (-5) Over/Under (56)

        Hamilton’s win last week has it tied with Montreal at 5-4 SU; two games in back of Winnipeg in the East. The Tiger-Cats are 5-4 ATS overall but just 1-3 ATS on the road. The total has gone ‘over’ in six of their nine games this season. The Alouettes are 4-5 ATS and 2-2 ATS at home. The total has gone ‘over’ in seven of their nine games this year.

        This will be the third meeting between the two this season, with Hamilton winning the first two by a combined score of 78-47 as a home underdog each time. The total went ‘over’ in both. The Tiger-Cats are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games in Montreal and the total has stayed ‘under’ in five of the last seven there. The Alouettes lead the league in points scored with 253 for an average of 28.1 points a game.

        Saskatchewan Roughriders at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (-5 ½) Over/Under (48)

        Last week’s upset victory raised Saskatchewan to 2-7 both SU and ATS on the year. It is 1-3 SU and ATS on the road and the total has stayed ‘under’ in six of its nine games overall. Despite the loss, Winnipeg still has the best record in the CFL at 7-2 SU (7-2 ATS) and is 4-1 SU (4-1 ATS) at home this year. The total has stayed ‘under’ in seven of its nine games.

        The Roughriders are 8-2 SU in the last 10 games of this series. They are 4-2 ATS in the last six overall, but just 1-4 ATS in the last five games in Winnipeg. The total has stayed ‘under’ in seven of the last eight meetings overall. Saskatchewan is dead-last in the league in scoring with an average of 18.3 points a game, while the Blue Bombers in the middle of the pack with an averaging 23.6 points.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          Montreal looks to settle the score with Hamilton

          HAMILTON TIGER-CATS (5-4)

          at MONTREAL ALOUETTES (5-4)


          Kickoff: Sunday, 1:00 p.m. EDT
          Line: Montreal -5, Total: 57

          Montreal will get a great shot at payback on Sunday when it faces the Hamilton Tiger-Cats for the second half of a home-and-home series. Less than a week ago on Monday, Hamilton put a hurting on the Alouettes in a 44-21 victory.

          Hamilton has had problems on the road this year going 1-3 SU (2-2 ATS) and scoring just 24.0 PPG compared to 32.8 PPG at home. The Tiger-Cats defense also has suffered away from home, allowing 30.3 PPG and 416.7 YPG. The Alouettes, on the other hand, are 3-1 SU (2-2 ATS) at home and their defense is substantially better in Montreal, allowing only 18.5 PPG compared to a horrid 32.8 on the road. The Alouettes are 73-32 (70%) since 1996 when revenging a same-season loss versus an opponent, off an upset loss as a favorite. Montreal also has handled Hamilton well, going 33-18 SU overall (65%) and 21-6 SU at home (78%) against the Tiger-Cats since 1996. Expect MONTREAL to bounce back on Sunday and take down Hamilton by at least a touchdown.

          The FoxSheets provide a four-star coaching trend siding with the Alouettes.

          Marc Trestman is 11-1 ATS (91.7%, +9.9 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of MONTREAL. The average score was MONTREAL 38.9, OPPONENT 14.8 - (Rating = 4*).

          Hamilton had a dreadful 1-3 start but has won four of five and looks to gain sole possession of second place. The Tiger-Cats had both the running and passing game going last week against Montreal. Running back Avon Cobourne rushed for 102 yards and two touchdown as quarterback Kevin Glenn went 14-of-18 for 237 yards, a touchdown and no interceptions.

          Montreal’s quarterback Anthony Calvillo had a bad game according to his standards, connecting on 17-of-30 passes for 215 yards and no touchdowns on Monday. Calvillo’s favorite target was Jamel Richardson, who caught 10 passes for 199 yards. Some of Richardson’s yards were in part to back-up quarterback Adrian McPherson who went 7-of-12 for 92 yards. Richardson has recorded 100 yards in five games this year, including a current run of three straight games. The Alouettes also have the top running back in the CFL in Brandon Whitaker who has rushed for 670 yards on just 102 carries. Whitaker was not able to get anything going last week against Hamilton, rushing for only 56 yards on eight carries. Montreal needs to get Whitaker off and running on Sunday to get its high-powered offense going.
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            Friday, September 9

            Game Score Status Pick Amount

            Minnesota - 7:05 PM ET Detroit -151 500
            Detroit - Over 9.5 500

            Florida - 7:05 PM ET Florida -114 500
            Pittsburgh - Over 8.5 500

            Houston - 7:05 PM ET Houston +102 500
            Washington - Over 8.5 500

            Baltimore - 7:07 PM ET Baltimore +136 500
            Toronto - Over 9.5 500

            Boston - 7:10 PM ET Tampa Bay -106 500
            Tampa Bay - Over 10 500

            Chi. Cubs - 7:10 PM ET NY Mets -133 500
            NY Mets - Under 8.5 500

            Oakland - 8:05 PM ET Oakland +155 500
            Texas - Over 8.5 500

            Cleveland - 8:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox -159 500
            Chi. White Sox - Over 8.5 500

            Philadelphia - 8:10 PM ET Milwaukee +128 500
            Milwaukee - Over 6.5 500

            Atlanta - 8:15 PM ET Atlanta +120 500
            St. Louis - Under 8 500

            Cincinnati - 8:40 PM ET Cincinnati +128 500
            Colorado - Over 9.5 500

            San Diego - 9:40 PM ET San Diego +143 500
            Arizona - Under 7.5 500

            NY Yankees - 10:05 PM ET LA Angels -133 500
            LA Angels - Over 7.5 500

            Kansas City - 10:10 PM ET Kansas City +102 500
            Seattle - Under 8 500

            LA Dodgers - 10:15 PM ET LA Dodgers +112 500
            San Francisco - Under 5.5 500
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #7
              Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
              09/05/11 3-*1-*0 75.00% +*950 Detail
              09/04/11 0-*2-*0 0.00% -*1100 Detail
              09/02/11 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail
              Totals 4-*4-*0 50.00% -*200

              Friday, September 9Game Score Status Pick Amount


              Calgary - 9:00 PM ET Calgary -3 500
              Edmonton - Over 51.5 500

              Saturday, September 10Game Score Status Pick Amount

              Toronto - 4:00 PM ET Toronto +7.5 500
              BC Lions - Over 49 500

              Sunday, September 11Game Score Status Pick Amount

              Hamilton - 1:00 PM ET Hamilton +5 500
              Montreal - Over 57 500

              Saskatchewan - 4:00 PM ET Saskatchewan +5.5 500
              Winnipeg - Under 48 500
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • #8
                7:00 PM ETIndiana at New York

                Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

                IND 601 21-11 (8-8 V) - ( 144.5 UNDER )

                NY 602 18-14 (11-5 H) - (-6.5 NY )

                Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
                Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts



                10:00 PM ETPhoenix at Seattle

                Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

                PHO 603 19-13 (8-8 V) - (161.5 UNDER )

                SEA 604 19-13 (13-2 H) - ( -6 SEA )

                Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
                Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts



                10:30 PM ETTulsa at Los Angeles

                Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

                TUL 605 3-29 (1-15 V) - ( 150 OVER )

                LA 606 13-19 (8-7 H) - -11 ( TULSA + 11 )

                Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
                Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment

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