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The Bum's Wednesday's Best Bets MLB-WNBA !

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  • The Bum's Wednesday's Best Bets MLB-WNBA !

    Oswalt And Phillies Meet Braves On ESPN

    ESPN is apparently tired of waiting for the Philadelphia Phillies to officially clinch a postseason berth. Their MLB standings page lists the Phils with a 100 percent chance to make the playoffs, though their magic number sits at 16 entering play on Tuesday.

    The Phillies look to trim that number down Wednesday night in their series finale against the Atlanta Braves. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park will be shortly after 7:00 p.m. (ET) with ESPN televising the contest nationally in front of their broadcast of the Mariners, Angels contest.

    Wednesday's mound matchup pits youth vs. veteran as Atlanta sends rookie Brandon Beachy (11-10, 3.37) up against Philadelphia's Roy Oswalt (8-11, 3.80). It's a rematch from an April game in Atlanta.

    You won't get much argument from anyone about the Phils' chances of not only making the playoffs, but being the team to beat this October. Atlanta is among their potential roadblocks to a third NL pennant, and the Braves were soundly beaten in Monday's series opener when the Phillies (-215) rode Cliff Lee's sixth shutout this campaign to an easy 9-0 win.

    Philadelphia was favored to pick up win No. 90 Tuesday night, the Phillies laying -125 behind some youth of their own, rookie Vance Worley.

    Beachy will be looking for his first career victory against the Phils with Atlanta dropping all five of his assignments against its division rivals. The right-hander's three results in 2011 have netted a 5.79 ERA in 14 innings.

    He did post a quality start in the one start here in Philly on July 8 (6 IP, 2 ER, 6 K), but fell short as a 145 underdog opposite Roy Halladay.

    As unbelievable as it might sound, Oswalt could be on the outside looking in when it comes to being in the postseason rotation. He's definitely pitched his way into the No. 5 spot statistically, and has just five more starts at most to try and extend his streak to 10 seasons with 10 wins or more.

    This will be Oswalt's third start vs. the Braves since joining the Phils in July 2010, and both have been Philadelphia wins with the righty tossing 13 innings combined and allowing just one earned run.

    Oswalt was an even-money underdog April 9 at Turner Field when he and Beachy matched up. Philadelphia broke a close game open with a 5-run seventh on the way to a 10-2 victory, Atlanta's usually strong bullpen the primary culprit in the loss.

    Calling the pitches in the series finale will be Jerry Meals who recently crossed the 500-game mark for regular season duties behind the plate. The 'over' is 14-11-3 in his 28 assignments this season, and on a 5-0-1 run his last six.

    A wet day is in Philadelphia's Hump Day forecast, with a 60 percent chance of showers in the evening. Temps should hover in the low-to-mid 70s the entire game with a light ENE breeze (RF corner in towards 3B).

    Atlanta leaves for the Big Apple after this game for a one-day stop to play a doubleheader against the Mets at Citi Field. The Phillies take off for Milwaukee to face the Brewers for four, Game 1 of that series on Thursday.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    LA Angels Host Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Preview

    The Los Angeles Angels can’t afford any letup against their AL West rival Seattle Mariners in the series finale on Wednesday night.

    This is the second half of an ESPN doubleheader after Atlanta at Philadelphia. First pitch from Angel Stadium of Anaheim will be at 10:00 p.m. (ET), with the MLB odds available soon.

    Los Angeles (77-64) trails Texas by 2.5 games in the AL West, with time running out and a division title the only realistic path to the playoffs. The series opener on Labor Day was a 7-3 victory with the Angels exploding for six early runs off Anthony Vasquez.

    The Angels are now 9-1 in their last 10 home games and 7-1 at home against the Mariners this year (4-5 away in Seattle).

    Tuesday night’s middle game was still pending, a fantastic pitching duel between Felix Hernandez and Ervin Santana. Seattle was a 135 underdog in MLB betting, despite Hernandez sporting a 1.88 ERA in three starts against the Angels this year.

    Jerome Williams (2-0, 4.58 ERA) will start for L.A. on Wednesday. The 29-year-old right-hander is a good story after being out of the majors since 2007 and winless since 2005. He has a 7.13 strikeout rate and just three walks over 17 2/3 innings.

    Williams has made five appearances (two starts) since being called up in August from Triple-A Salt Lake. He last started on August 30 at Seattle, allowing four earned runs over seven innings in an easy 13-6 win. He then had a short relief stint on Sept. 2, having his start skipped after Jered Weaver was pushed back to attend a funeral.

    Williams has a 1.00 ERA in his three home appearances, including a one-run, seven-inning gem versus Baltimore on Aug. 21 (7-1 win).

    The Mariners (58-82) have lost five straight pending Tuesday, last beating the Angels on August 31 behind a complete game from Hernandez. This is the lowest scoring team in the AL (3.45 runs per game), scoring 61 runs less than any other squad.

    Lefty Charlie Furbush (3-7, 4.97 ERA) will start for Seattle. He was acquired from Detroit at the trade deadline and hasn’t distinguished himself (2-4, 6.39 ERA) since.

    The 25-year-old rookie last pitched on Thursday against the Angels. He surrendered four earned runs over six innings in a 4-3 home loss. He did settle down pretty well after a 3-run homer by Torii Hunter in the first inning.

    Seattle is just 1-4 in Furbush’s last five starts (7.20 ERA). The two on the road have been ugly at Tampa Bay (8-0) and Texas (9-2), allowing a combined 11 earned runs over seven innings.

    The ‘under’ is 4-0 in Furbush’s last four starts, but that’s only because the Mariners scored a combined 10 runs.

    The Angels are 19-7 in their last 26 games against a lefty starter. The ‘over’ is 6-1 in the last seven versus a southpaw.

    L.A.’s offense ranks just 10th in the AL (4.13 runs per game). However, it’s been much better the last 16 games at 6.5 per game. The ‘over’ is 12-4 during that span.

    Seattle is just 6-20 on the road in the second half. The ‘over’ is 6-1 in the last seven away, allowing 6.14 runs per game.

    Laz Diaz will call balls and strikes. The Angels are 21-8 the last 29 games with him behind home plate. The ‘under’ is 10-1 the last 11 times he’s been behind the dish against Seattle.

    There are no significant injuries for either team. Weather also won’t be a factor, clear and in the 70s.

    Seattle will return home to host Kansas City beginning Thursday, while L.A. has a day off before welcoming the Yankees on Friday.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Wednesday, September 7

      Game Score Status Pick Amount

      Detroit - 12:05 PM ET Detroit -161 500
      Cleveland - Under 7 500

      Baltimore - 1:05 PM ET NY Yankees -190 500
      NY Yankees -

      Texas - 1:10 PM ET Texas +147 500
      Tampa Bay - Over 7.5 500

      Kansas City - 3:35 PM ET Kansas City +130 500
      Oakland - Over 8.5 500

      NY Mets - 5:10 PM ET NY Mets -117 500
      Florida -

      San Francisco - 6:35 PM ET San Francisco -138 500
      San Diego - Over 6 500


      Evening and WNBA Games posted later.......good luck !
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        Phillies try to complete sweep of Braves

        ATLANTA BRAVES (82-59, +8.4 Units)

        at PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (90-48, +18.6 Units)


        First pitch: Wednesday, 7:05 p.m. EDT
        Line: Philadelphia -135, Atlanta +125, Total: 8

        The Phillies look for the sweep as they wrap up a three-game set with NL East foe Atlanta on Wednesday night. The Braves, who are now 9½ games behind Philadelphia, will send strikeout machine Brandon Beachy to the mound. The two teams play one more time this year in the final series of the season.

        The Phillies are slight favorites in this matchup, sending Roy Oswalt to the mound against Beachy. The two pitchers have remarkably different styles, with Beachy having notched 66 more strikeouts in just 16 more innings this season. However, the Braves are 0-5 all-time against Philly with Beachy on the hill and Oswalt has held the Braves to 1 ER in 13 innings in his past two starts against them. Given the Phillies’ hot play (winners of seven out of their last nine) and tremendous home record (48-22), the pick here is for PHILADELPHIA to get the sweep.

        The FoxSheets back up the Phils with this three-star trend.

        PHILADELPHIA is 53-18 (74.6%, +31.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was PHILADELPHIA 5.2, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 3*).

        Beachy (7-2, 3.37 ERA) is a strikeout artist, with 22 punch outs in 18 innings over his past three starts. However, the Phillies are one of the most difficult teams to whiff in baseball, with the fourth fewest K. This could explain Beachy’s poor numbers against them over his career with an 0-3 record and 1.63 WHIP in five starts. On the positive side, Beachy has been great on the road this year (4-1, 3.24 ERA, 1.15 WHIP) in leading the Braves to a 7-3 record in these 10 away starts.

        Oswalt (7-8, 3.80 ERA) isn’t the ace he once was, but is still a crafty veteran who can get guys out. He dominated Atlanta earlier the season, allowing just one earned run in six innings. He also shut the Braves out for seven innings, allowing just one hit, one walk and fanning eight in a home start against them last September. In Oswalt’s last start Friday at Florida, he got the win with 7 K in 6.1 IP, allowing three runs and eight hits.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          Angels are heavy favorites in Seattle Wednesday

          SEATTLE MARINERS (59-82, -18.9 Units)

          at LOS ANGELES ANGELS (77-65, +5.5 Units)


          First pitch: Wednesday, 10:05 p.m. EDT
          Line: Los Angeles -190, Seattle +180, Total: 9

          After losing a pitcher’s duel Tuesday night, the Angels need to bounce back when they host Seattle on Wednesday.

          Los Angeles fell 3½ games behind Texas in the AL West race after being shut down by Mariners ace Felix Hernandez in Tuesday’s 2-1 loss. The Angels offense had been on a tear prior to that game, averaging 6.5 runs over their previous 16 games. The M’s win snapped a five-game losing streak, and Seattle has lost nine of its past 10 games in which it didn’t have Hernandez on the hill. While Angels starter Jerome Williams is a question mark, he pitched well against the Mariners earlier this season, and Seattle starter Charlie Furbush has been miserable all year. Even with the meager payout, LOS ANGELES is the pick.

          The FoxSheets show another trend supporting the Angels:

          L.A. ANGELS are 26-6 (81.3%, +17.9 Units) against the money line in home games vs. terrible power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was L.A. ANGELS 4.6, OPPONENT 2.9 - (Rating = 2*).

          Once considered a top prospect in the Giants system, the 29-year-old Williams (2-0, 4.58 ERA) is trying to revive his career with the Angels. His last appearance in the majors before this season was 2007. He went 7-2 with a 3.91 ERA, primarily as a starter, for Triple-A Salt Lake and he’s held his own in the bigs. The right-hander has won both his starts, including a victory in Seattle on August 30 when he allowed four runs over seven innings, striking out six. He also limited the Orioles to one run over seven innings, striking out six while walking none in his only home start of the year on August 21.

          Furbush (3-7, 4.97 ERA), who came to Seattle from Detroit in the Doug Fister deadline deal, has really struggled since joining the M’s. He’s just 2-4 with a 6.39 ERA for the Mariners, and he’s dropped his past three outings while allowing 13 runs over 14 innings. After spending the early season in the bullpen, the left-hander is 2-6 with a 6.75 ERA in eight starts (with Detroit and Seattle). That included a loss to the Angels last Thursday, in which he allowed four runs over six innings.
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            Evening Games:


            Atlanta - 7:05 PM ET Atlanta +130 500
            Philadelphia - Over 8 500

            Houston - 7:05 PM ET Houston +130 500
            Pittsburgh - Under 8.5 500

            LA Dodgers - 7:05 PM ET LA Dodgers +109 500
            Washington - Over 8.5 500

            Boston - 7:07 PM ET Toronto -107 500
            Toronto - Over 9.5 500

            Cincinnati - 8:05 PM ET Chi. Cubs +117 500
            Chi. Cubs -

            Chi. White Sox - 8:10 PM ET Minnesota +120 500
            Minnesota - Over 8 500

            Milwaukee - 8:15 PM ET Milwaukee +115 500
            St. Louis - Over 7.5 500

            Arizona - 8:40 PM ET Colorado -132 500
            Colorado - Under 10.5 500

            Seattle - 10:05 PM ET Seattle +187 500
            LA Angels - Under 9 500
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #7
              7:00 PM ETWashington at Indiana

              Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

              WAS 601 6-26 (2-13 V) - 144.5 OVER

              IND 602 20-11 (12-3 H) - -12.5 IND

              Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
              Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment

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