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  • The Bum's Tuesday's Best Bets MLB-WNBA !

    Hudson And Braves Battle Philadelphia Phillies

    The Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies have nearly wrapped up two postseason bids for the National League East Division, as the two will be playing the second of a three-game set Tuesday. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. (ET) at Citizens Bank Park.

    Atlanta has an outside shot of capturing the division, trailing Philadelphia by 7½-games to start the week. The Braves hold a comfortable 8½-game cushion over the St. Louis Cardinals in the Wild-Card standings.

    The 2011 season series was tied at six games apiece entering Monday's series opener. Cliff Lee and the Phillies were pirced at -200 in the game with a 7-run total.

    Tim Hudson (14-8, 3.05 ERA) is scheduled to make his 29th start of the season and is coming off a solid 5-2 home win over the Washington Nationals. He surrendered a single run and five hits over six frames.

    The right-hander has actually led the club to wins in six of his last seven starts, which has led directly to his 6-2 record and 2.20 ERA in 10 outings since the All-Star break.

    Hudson will be facing the Phillies for the 21st time in his career, coming in with an even 7-7 mark and 3.65 ERA, including a losing 1-2 record and 3.98 ERA in five tries at Citizens Bank Park.

    He will want to pitch carefully to Philadelphia first baseman Ryan Howard, who is batting .298 with six home runs and 13 RBIs in 47 career at bats against Hudson.

    Bettors will be surprised that the Braves are 3-7 in his last 10 road starts when matching up with winning ball clubs.

    Philadelphia ended a seven-game road trip with a 5-2 record, dropping the final two games in South Florida against the Marlins. The losses snapped a 36-game streak without consecutive defeats away from the City of Brotherly Love.

    The Phillies have played magnificent baseball in front of the their adoring fans, coming into the series with a sparkling 46-22 home record.

    Vance Worley (10-1, 2.85 ERA) was handed his only defeat of the season back on May 29 in New York, which is also the last time the team dropped a contest with him on the hill.

    The rookie has tallied a perfect 5-0 record and 1.96 ERA in nine home starts, as opponents are hitting just .175 against him. He has allowed just two home runs in 55 innings in a hitter-friendly ballpark.

    Worley has made two career appearances (one start) versus the Braves, combining to toss six shutout innings and scattering just two hits. Total bettors will find that the ‘over’ is 6-1 in the right-hander's last seven games overall.

    Weather forecasts suggest game-time highs in the mid-70s and a 60 percent chance of scattered thunderstorms throughout. The wind will be out of the southwest at 10-15 mph (out to center).

    The ‘under’ is a surprising 8-5 in those playing conditions.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    Milwaukee Brewers, St. Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Preview

    Adopting a three steps forward, two steps back approach isn't going to cut it for the St. Louis Cardinals. They continue their series with – and chase of – the Milwaukee Brewers Tuesday night with the first pitch slated for 8:15 p.m. (ET).

    St. Louis appeared ready to chase down the Brewers in the NL Central after pulling off a three-game sweep in Milwaukee this past week. It is the only time the Brew Crew has suffered a series sweep this season at Miller Park where Ron Roenicke's club owns the best home record in the majors (50-19).

    The Cardinals left Milwaukee having cut the Brewers' lead down to 7.5-games and were flying high as they came home to begin a weekend set with the Reds.

    But then St. Louis took a couple of steps back by dropping two of three to Cincinnati, and the Redbirds entered Monday's series opener against Milwaukee 9.5-games behind the division leaders.

    Tony La Russa's Cards were slight 115 favorites in the Labor Day matinee that saw most shops listing 8½-runs for those betting the total.

    The good news for the Cardinals in Tuesday's game is they'll be facing a pitcher who they have taken to the woodshed twice in the past five weeks. Yovani Gallardo (17-12, 3.68) will be on the hill for the Brewers while St. Louis counters with Kyle Lohse (14-12, 3.72).

    Gallardo was pummeled last week at Miller Park, giving up eight runs in 4 2/3 innings to absorb an 8-4 loss as a 185 favorite. The right-hander served up four gopher balls in the game, two by Albert Pujols who has a .480 career batting average vs. Gallardo with four dingers.

    St. Louis also got to him for five runs – four earned – in five frames here at Busch Stadium on Aug. 11. The Cardinals (-120) took that contest, 5-2. Gallardo's other start this season vs. St. Louis also came in this park on May 7 with much better results (8 IP, 1 H, 0 R).

    The bad news for La Russa and St. Louis is Lohse has not been anything close to the same pitcher who fashioned a 7-2 record and 2.78 ERA through June. The club is just 5-5 in his 10 appearances since then, Lohse's ERA an unsightly 5.71.

    His lone start vs. Milwaukee this year came against Gallardo on May 7. Lohse worked eight strong innings, giving up just one run on six hits, but suffered the 4-0 loss when Cardinals hitters couldn't figure out Gallardo.

    Milwaukee is close to getting Rickie Weeks back from the disabled list. The second baseman has been out of action since late July with an ankle injury, and could be activated during this series and see some pinch-hitting duty. Weeks could begin playing in the field early next week.

    Weather should be fine for Tuesday's game, perhaps even on the cool side with the temperature dropping through the 60s and into the 50s during the game. A 10-15 mph wind from the northeast (in from right-center) is in the forecast.

    The series draws to a close Wednesday night with a nice matchup on the mound. Chris Carpenter is in line for St. Louis opposite Milwaukee's Zack Greinke.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Diamond Trends - Monday

      September 5, 2011

      SU TREND OF THE DAY:


      The Cardinals are 0-7 since August 17, 2010 as a favorite when they are off a loss in which they never led and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $1017 when playing against.


      OU TREND OF THE DAY:


      The Padres are 7-0-1 OU since April 29, 2010 at home after a win in which they drew 5+ walks and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $700 when playing the over.


      STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:


      The Padres are 0-10 OU since September 06, 2009 when Tim Stauffer starts after August for a net profit of $1000 when playing the under.


      MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:


      The Nationals are 16-1-1 O/U since 2007 when it is the first game of the series and the start time is 6:35 p.m. or earlier.


      TODAY’S TRENDS:


      The Diamondbacks are 0-8 since April 13, 2010 as a road dog after a win in which they left fewer than 10 men on base for a net profit of $800 when playing against.

      The Rays are 0-5 since June 25, 2010 as a home favorite after a win in which they did not walk the opponent for a net profit of $775 when playing against.

      The Padres are 7-0-1 OU since April 29, 2010 at home after a win in which they drew 5+ walks and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $700 when playing the over.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        Texas tries to cool off sizzling Rays

        TEXAS RANGERS (80-62, +1.5 Units)

        at TAMPA BAY RAYS (77-63, +4.1 Units)


        First pitch: Tuesday, 7:10 p.m. EDT
        Line: Texas -120, Tampa Bay +110, Total: 8

        It may be too little too late, but the surging Rays have gone 18-9 since August 8 and look to win their fourth straight when they host Texas on Tuesday night. The Rangers are just 2½ games up on the streaking Angels in the AL West and need to string some wins together to stay on top.

        Getting the ball for Texas will be C.J. Wilson, who is seeking his second straight 15-win season. Wilson has pitched well against the Rays in his career going 3-0 with a nice 2.90 ERA. Facing Wilson will be the big right-hander, Jeff Niemann, who has a 5.79 ERA in his past three outings. Texas has been very good against right-handed starters this year going 60-40. When Wilson is on the mound as a favorite of -110 or higher, the Rangers are 33-12 over the last two seasons. Niemann has had problems winning in September, where he is 2-6 with a 5.88 ERA in his career. Tampa Bay has oddly been worse at home (38-32) than on the road (39-31) in 2011. The Rangers are starting to feel the Angels breathing down their necks and will get a solid pitching performance from C.J. Wilson in a TEXAS victory on Tuesday night.

        Two more FoxSheets trends favoring the Rangers include:

        TEXAS is 26-11 (70.3%, +15.2 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better this season. The average score was TEXAS 5.1, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 2*).

        TEXAS is 40-26 (60.6%, +12.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. The average score was TEXAS 4.8, OPPONENT 3.6 - (Rating = 1*).

        Wilson (14-6, 3.28 ERA) has been able to give the Rangers long outings all year, going at least six innings in 24 of his 29 starts. Wilson threw a gem Thursday against Tampa, starting out with five perfect innings and finishing with two runs allowed on two hits, one walk and eight strikeouts in a 7-2 victory. Wilson did reach out bare-handed for a comebacker and hurt his index finger, but X-rays later came back negative.

        The Rays still find themselves seven games behind the Wild Card leading Red Sox, but crazier things have happened in September. Niemann (9-6, 3.69 ERA) is coming off a poor performance on Thursday against Wilson and the Rangers in which he allowed five runs and six hits over five innings in the 7-2 loss. The 6-foot-9 right-hander has limited opponents to a measly .194 batting average over his past four outings, but has been killed by the gopher ball, serving up five home runs in the 27.2 innings. Niemann has been great in night games, posting a 3.24 ERA compared to his 5.33 ERA in day games.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          Strasburg returns to mound Tuesday vs. Dodgers

          LOS ANGELES DODGERS (68-72, -6.8 Units)

          at WASHINGTON NATIONALS (65-74, +0.3 Units)


          First pitch: Tuesday, 7:05 p.m. EDT
          Line: Washington -150, Los Angeles +140, Total: 7.5

          The last time Stephen Strasburg took a major-league mound was August 21, 2010. Over a year later (and one Tommy John surgery later), arguably the most-hyped draft pick in MLB history will look to prove he is healthy and back to elite form, taking the rubber against the Dodgers Tuesday night. This is the second game of a four game series, with the Nationals taking Monday’s opener 7-2.

          Despite Monday’s win, Washington is currently in a major funk, having lost 10 of its past 13 games. The Dodgers, on the other hand, have won 11 of their past 14. L.A. lefty Ted Lilly has been at the heart of that resurgence, allowing only three runs in winning his past two starts. The last time he allowed more than three runs in a start was July 23, against none other than the Nationals. Given its recent hot play and the odds favoring the Washington due to Strasburg’s hyped return, play heavy underdog LOS ANGELES to win.

          The FoxSheets support the Dodgers pick with this three-star trend:

          Play On - All underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (L.A. DODGERS) - on a good fielding streak, 15 straight games with one or less errors, in September games. (87-61 over the last 5 seasons.) (58.8%, +44.6 units. Rating = 3*).

          Watch out for how Washington limits Strasburg in his first time back. Manager Davey Johnson has indicated he’ll throw fewer than the 70 pitches he was limited to in his final rehab start.

          Lilly (9-13, 4.39 ERA) started this year dreadfully, but has picked it up recently. He had a 2.35 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in August, with 31 strikeouts in 38.1 innings. In that span, opponents had a .170 batting average against him. He has yet to pitch against the Nats this year but has a 4-3 record and 3.29 ERA against them all-time, as Washington has batted a paltry .223 off him. Lilly is definitely the play in this game against a starter who may not go more than a few innings.

          Strasburg quickly established himself as one of the best pitchers in baseball prior to the injury. In his much-heralded rookie debut last season he was 5-3 with a 2.91 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 68 innings. With 92 strikeouts and only 17 walks in that span, he possesses an explosive arm. However, the Dodgers are in the bottom third in the majors in batting strikeouts, so he’ll have to be on top of his game to mow down this lineup.
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            Tuesday, September 6

            Game Score Status Pick Amount

            Baltimore - 7:05 PM ET NY Yankees -235 500
            NY Yankees - Over 10.5 500

            Detroit - 7:05 PM ET Detroit +106 500
            Cleveland - Over 8.5 500

            Atlanta - 7:05 PM ET Atlanta +118 500
            Philadelphia - Under 7.5 500

            Houston - 7:05 PM ET Pittsburgh -148 500
            Pittsburgh - Over 8 500

            LA Dodgers - 7:05 PM ET LA Dodgers +141 500
            Washington - Under 7.5 500

            Boston - 7:07 PM ET Boston -180 500
            Toronto - Over 9 500

            Texas - 7:10 PM ET Texas -110 500
            Tampa Bay - Over 8 500

            NY Mets - 7:10 PM ET Florida -120 500
            Florida - Under 9 500

            Cincinnati - 8:05 PM ET Cincinnati -125 500
            Chi. Cubs - Over 7.5 500

            Chi. White Sox - 8:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox -125 500
            Minnesota - Under 8.5 500

            Milwaukee - 8:15 PM ET Milwaukee -109 500
            St. Louis - Over 8 500

            Arizona - 8:40 PM ET Colorado -111 500
            Colorado - Under 9.5 500

            Kansas City - 10:05 PM ET Oakland -168 500
            Oakland - Over 8 500

            San Francisco - 10:05 PM ET San Francisco -113 500
            San Diego - Over 7 500

            Seattle - 10:05 PM ET Seattle +136 500
            LA Angels - Over 6.5 500
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #7
              7:30 PM ETConnecticut at Atlanta

              Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

              CONN 651 20-12 (6-10 V) - ( 166 UNDER )

              ATL 652 18-14 (10-6 H) - -4.5 ( CONN +4.5 )

              Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
              Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts



              10:30 PM ETSan Antonio at Los Angeles

              Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

              SA 653 15-16 (7-8 V) - ( 147.5 UNDER )

              LA 654 13-18 (8-6 H) - -4.5 ( SA + 4.5 )

              Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
              Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment

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