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  • The Bum's Labor Day Best Bets !

    Phillies Host Atlanta Braves MLB Odds Preview

    Catching the Philadelphia Phillies for the NL East title remains a goal for the Atlanta Braves. Just maintaining their nice lead in the NL Wild Card standings and staying healthy the next four weeks is probably at the forefront of manager Fredi Gonzalez's mind, however.

    Gonzalez and the Braves begin a difficult week on the road Monday night when they open a 3-game set in Philadelphia. Atlanta will travel to three cities and play eight games over the next seven days, a doubleheader makeup against the Mets on Thursday in the middle of 3-game sets at the Phillies and Cardinals.

    Weather could be a factor the first four days of the journey with the remnants of Tropical Storm Lee bringing good rain chances in Philadelphia and New York. Monday's opener at Citizens Bank Park (7:05 p.m. ET) is looking at a 30 percent chance of a thunderstorm in the City of Brotherly Love with temps in the 70s most of the game.

    Philadelphia held an 8.5-game lead in the division over the Braves entering play Sunday. Atlanta was 7.5 ahead of the Cardinals for the wild card. Both clubs were finishing weekend series, the Phillies laying -220 on the road in Florida behind Roy Halladay and the Braves 120 home 'dogs to Clayton Kershaw and the Dodgers.

    Monday finds a mound matchup between a couple of veterans that have recently been on their games. Derek Lowe (15-14, 4.52) will begin the series for Atlanta opposite Philadelphia's Cliff Lee (18-9, 2.59). It's the fourth start for each hurler this season against the opposing lineups and a rematch of a May 6 game at Citizens Bank Park.

    Lee has strung together six consecutive wins and is coming off a fabulous month of August when he was a perfect 5-0 with a minuscule 0.45 ERA. Philly is 0-3 in his 2011 assignments vs. the Braves, Lee's ERA up there at 4.91 due to a pounding he took in Atlanta back in April.

    Lowe has had his ups and downs all season, but has been up his last three starts with the Braves winning two. He's chopped more than a third of a run off his season ERA during the recent run, and has pitched very well in three tries vs. the Phils this season (19 IP, 2.84 ERA) though Atlanta is just 1-2 in those games.

    The May 6 clash in Philadelphia between the two pitchers went to Lowe and the Braves who were +130 on the betting lines. Lowe worked six scoreless frames in the 5-0 victory, striking out four and allowing just two hits. Braves relievers did the rest of the work, striking out six of the 10 batters they faced the final three innings.

    Lee struck out a career-high 16 and walked just one over seven innings, but Atlanta's lineup got to him for nine hits and scored three times.

    Atlanta just got infielder Jack Wilson back from the disabled list following a short stint due to a heel injury. The Phillies are still doing without shortstop Jimmy Rollins (groin), and his status is in doubt for the entire series.

    Twelve previous meetings between the clubs this year have been split down the middle, as well as split 3-3 at each locale. The 'under' is 4-1-1 in the six games hosted by the Phillies.

    The clubs reconvene Tuesday night for Game 2 of the set, veteran Tim Hudson working for the Braves against Phillies rookie Vance Worley.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    Cleveland Indians, Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Preview

    The Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Indians will meet six more times during the 2011 season and it will likely determine the American League Central Division champion. Both teams are ready for Monday’s series opener at 1:05 p.m. (ET) at Progressive Field.

    Detroit is likely counting down the days in the clubhouse and has a magic number of 19 to win the division. The Tigers have played well during the month of September the last two-plus seasons, posting a 33-24 record.

    Tigers manager Jim Leyland will need to continue leading his club through a difficult stretch, as it will be playing its 11th of 19-straight games against AL Central foes. It’s been a winning situation for the team, entering Sunday’s series finale with the Chicago White Sox with a 36-21 record in such contests.

    Doug Fister (6-13, 3.26 ERA) has fit in the Tigers’ starting rotation nicely since coming over from the Seattle Mariners, posting a 3-1 record and 2.97 ERA in six starts. He has allowed just two home runs in 36 1/3 innings over that span.

    The right-hander has displayed pinpoint control in leading the team to three consecutive victories, issuing just a single walk and registering 18 strikeouts in 21 2/3 frames.

    Fister will be facing the Indians for the seventh time in his career, entering with a 1-2 record and 3.12 ERA. He has failed to record a decision in three appearances at Progressive Field, giving up seven runs (six earned) and 14 hits over 16 1/3 innings.

    Bettors will be interested in knowing that the Tigers are 4-0 in the last four meetings, outscoring the Indians by a 26-12 margin.

    Cleveland simply can’t afford to drop this three-game series and has posted a 28-30 record over its last 58 games. The Indians have enjoyed great success when opening a week and bring in a 12-4 record on Mondays.

    The bullpen has been a major strength for the club the entire season and currently ranks fifth in the majors with a 3.14 ERA. The group has been even better over its last nine games by allowing just six runs in 30 2/3 innings (1.76 ERA).

    Ubaldo Jimenez (8-10, 4.70 ERA) is starting to show signs of why the team acquired him from the Colorado Rockies, leading the squad to consecutive home wins over the Oakland Athletics and Kansas City Royals. The right-hander allowed four runs and 13 hits in 13 innings of work in those two contests and is 2-1 with a 5.56 ERA in his six starts in an Indians uniform.

    Jimenez will be toeing the rubber for the sixth time against the Tigers, and third time since joining the Tribe in July. He's got a 2-3 record and 5.93 ERA in the previous assignments, allowing them to hit for a .316 average against him. Jimenez will need to pitch carefully to Detroit outfielder Delmon Young, who is 6-for-9 with a home run and four RBIs against him.

    The Indians are likely to be favored in the betting odds and are 35-17 in their last 52 home games when facing a right-handed starter.

    Weather forecasts suggest cloudy skies and game-time temperatures in the mid-60s. A relatively strong 10-15 mph wind will be blowing in a northerly direction (in from center). The ‘under’ is 4-1 at Progressive Field in those conditions.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Brewers, Cardinals Square Off In St. Louis

      The Milwaukee Brewers visit the St. Louis Cardinals in the opener of a three-game series on Monday, as the National League Central rivals square off for the last time this year. The Brewers just lost three straight to the Cardinals at home last week and have dropped four in a row in the season series after winning seven of the previous eight meetings.

      Milwaukee had won 12 of 15 road games heading into Sunday’s series finale at Houston after winning the first two games against the Astros by identical 8-2 scores.

      Starting pitcher Randy Wolf (11-9, 3.58 ERA) got hammered by St. Louis last time out on Wednesday as a 130 MLB odds favorite, surrendering six runs and seven hits – including three homers – in five innings of an 8-3 loss.

      Wolf had gone 5-0 in his previous six starts for the Brewers, who won each of those games. However, only two of those games were on the road, where he has gone 4-6 in 14 starts with a 3.70 ERA. He pitched well in earning a road victory against the Cardinals on August 10, allowing just one run and five hits in eight innings of a 5-1 win.

      St. Louis will counter with veteran Jake Westbrook (11-7, 4.72) and has won each of his last three starts. Westbrook has made three of his last four starts on the road, losing only once during that stretch at Pittsburgh on August 15. He gave up five runs and nine hits to the Pirates in 5 2/3 innings of a 6-2 loss.

      Westbrook has not fared well at home this year with a 3-4 mark and 5.96 ERA in 13 starts. He was on the winning end of the 8-3 win against Wolf and Milwaukee on the road last Wednesday as a 120 underdog, allowing two earned runs and eight hits in five innings with no walks and one strikeout.

      The Brewers won two of three at Busch Stadium in their last trip there in the middle of August with the ‘under’ going 2-0-1. The ‘over went 2-1 when the teams met again last week in Milwaukee and has cashed in the past two games between them with 23 total runs scored.

      The Cards will be continuing a nine-game homestand after hosting Cincinnati over the weekend while the Brewers wrap up a six-game home trip in St. Louis after visiting Houston. Even though Milwaukee has been playing much better away from home lately, the team remained under .500 at 33-38 heading into Sunday.

      The Brewers are the lone division leader to have a losing road record, but they also have the best home record in baseball.

      Game time is scheduled for 4:15 p.m. (ET). The weather forecast for St. Louis on Monday calls for a high temperature of 75 degrees under sunny skies after isolated thunderstorms pass through the area on Sunday.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        Eskimos Visit Calgary Stampeders In CFL Odds Battle

        The CFL's Labour Day Weekend slate ends Monday afternoon in Calgary where the Stampeders host the Edmonton Eskimos in the first of back-to-back's between the two top squads in the West Division.

        Early odds for the contest have the Stampeders big 9-point favorites with 47½ for the total.

        Calgary (6-2 straight up, 5-3 against the spread) should come into this game with plenty of rest and flying high off a 38-31 win at home over Montreal last Saturday. The Stampeders spotted the Alouettes a 10-1 lead in the first quarter before rallying in the victory, their fourth straight since a loss to these Eskimos.

        Henry Burris connected on 26 of his 42 aerials for 422 yards and three scores, and broke a 31-31 tie late in the final quarter with a 6-yard touchdown scramble. Two of his TD passes were hauled in by Johnny Forzani.

        Burris, who topped the 40,000-yard mark for his career in the win, is just two yards behind Montreal's Anthony Calvillo in passing yards this season with 2,462. The 12-year veteran out of Temple has a 13:5 touchdown-to-interception ratio and is rekindling memories of a remarkable 2008 campaign.

        The win kept the Stampeders a game ahead of Edmonton (5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS) in the West Division with the defeat dropping the Alouettes two games behind Winnipeg in the East.

        Edmonton stumbles into this matchup off a bye week that was preceded by three consecutive defeats following a 5-0 start to the 2011 campaign. Scoring has been the Eskimos' biggest bugaboo in the losing skid, totaling just 21 points in the three defeats, the most recent an embarrassing 36-1 showing at home against the BC Lions in Week 8.

        Monday's tilt is the second meeting between the clubs this year with the Eskimos winning 24-19 as 3-point CFL odds underdogs in Week 4. That victory snapped a 6-game losing streak for Edmonton in this series.

        Calgary will have to find a way to pressure Eskimos quarterback Ricky Ray in this contest. The Stampeders only got to Ray one time in that first meeting.

        Fred Stamps, who hauled in five of Ray's 12 completions for 161 yards and two scores in that win, won't present a problem for Calgary in this one. The slotback is expected to miss another couple of weeks with an abdominal injury.

        Edmonton will also be without a key member of the offensive line as center Aaron Fiacconi (shoulder) is out for the rest of the season. The Eskimos recently added former 1st-round pick Dylan Steenbergen in a trade from Montreal to offset Fiacconi's absence, and they expect to have Gord Hinse back for this game as well.

        Calgary is listing linebacker Daren Stone (biceps) as questionable for Monday's game. The Stampeders are also still without kicker Rob Maver (quad), though Rene Paredes has filled in nicely for him since Maver went out in the season opener. Paredes booted three field goals in last week's win, the last from 46 yards out.

        The 9-point spread seems a little high on first glance when you look at two teams separated by just a game in the standings. But there's very little to like about the Eskimos in this one with an offensive line being reworked and their top receiver Stamps out of action.

        The clubs played in this same scheduling spot last season with the Stampeders rolling to a 52-5 victory, and followed that up with a 36-20 win in Edmonton the next week.

        By the way, the new 2012 calendars are out featuring the Calgary Outriders cheer/dance gals. Click here for a look at that, and never again say we don't have all your bases covered at Don Best. There must not be a single tattoo parlour in Calgary, either that or, well, back to football.

        Kickoff this week from McMahon Stadium is 4:30 p.m. (ET) with TSN providing coverage as usual. The clubs will have very little time off before reconvening Friday (Sept. 9) at Edmonton's Commonwealth Stadium for Week 11 CFL action.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          Monday, September 5

          Game Score Status Pick Amount

          Baltimore - 1:05 PM ET NY Yankees -265 500
          NY Yankees - Over 10 500

          Detroit - 1:05 PM ET Detroit +106 500
          Cleveland - Over 8.5 500

          LA Dodgers - 1:05 PM ET LA Dodgers -108 500
          Washington - Over 7.5 500

          Boston - 1:07 PM ET Boston -172 500
          Toronto - Over 8.5 500

          Texas - 1:10 PM ET Texas +127 500
          Tampa Bay - Over 7.5 500

          Houston - 1:35 PM ET Houston +140 500
          Pittsburgh - Under 8 500

          Chi. White Sox - 2:10 PM ET Minnesota +103 500
          Minnesota - Over 9 500

          Cincinnati - 2:20 PM ET Chi. Cubs -134 500
          Chi. Cubs - Under 6.5 500

          Arizona - 3:10 PM ET Arizona +116 500
          Colorado - Under 10 500

          Kansas City - 4:05 PM ET Oakland -163 500
          Oakland - Over 8.5 500

          San Francisco - 4:05 PM ET San Francisco -110 500
          San Diego - Under 6 500

          Milwaukee - 4:15 PM ET Milwaukee +110 500
          St. Louis - Over 9 500

          Atlanta - 7:05 PM ET Atlanta +196 500
          Philadelphia - Over 7 500

          NY Mets - 7:10 PM ET NY Mets +122 500
          Florida - Over 8 500

          Chi. White Sox - 8:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox -117 500
          Minnesota - Over 9 500

          Seattle - 9:05 PM ET Seattle +260 500
          LA Angels - Over 7.5 500
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            CFL

            Monday, September 5

            Game Score Status Pick Amount

            Montreal - 1:00 PM ET Montreal -3 500

            Hamilton - Over 55 500

            Edmonton - 4:30 PM ET Edmonton +9 500

            Calgary - Under 48 500
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment

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