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  • The Bum's Thursday's Best Bets MLB-WNBA !

    Red Sox, Yankees Finish MLB Betting Series

    The Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees have their third straight pitching mismatch, at least on paper, as they finish their 3-game set on Thursday night.

    First pitch from venerable Fenway Park will be at 7:10 p.m. (ET). The Don Best odds screen will release the figures shortly.

    Boston (82-52) and New York (81-52) are fighting for the AL East title, with the loser almost definitely getting the wild card. The Red Sox have a half-game lead, with the winner likely facing Detroit in the opening round instead of Texas, a favorable scenario.

    The Yanks won 5-2 as 136 road betting favorites in Tuesday’s opener behind ace CC Sabathia. He allowed 10 hits, but just the two runs over six innings. He got the win after going 0-4 in his first four Boston starts this year.

    New York is still just 3-10 against Boston this season, 3-4 at Fenway. The Bronx Bombers have strangely lost all six home meetings.

    The Wednesday night game is still pending and had Josh Beckett going against Phil Hughes. Beckett was sporting a 1.95 home ERA heading in, with his team 9-2 in his Fenway starts. Boston was a 160 favorite with a total of nine runs.

    Boston’s co-ace Jon Lester (14-6, 3.09 ERA) is pitching on Thursday. He’s 3-0 in his last three starts, allowing exactly one run each time and pitching 19 total innings (1.42 ERA). Two of them were at home against Oakland and Tampa Bay.

    The 27-year-old left-hander has a higher ERA (3.44) at home than away (2.84). However, that’s mostly due to a couple of bad starts in May. The ‘under’ is 5-1 in Lester’s last six home starts (2.23 ERA).

    Lester is 2-1 with a 5.00 ERA in three starts against New York this year. The one at home was August 5, allowing three earned runs over six innings in a 3-2 loss. Boston had won his prior five Yankees starts.

    New York is 28-13 against a lefty starter this year and 13-5 in its last 18 road games versus a southpaw.

    A.J. Burnett (9-11, 5.31 ERA) will pitch for the visitors, much to the dismay of Yanks fans. His ERA has ballooned his last two starts at Minnesota and Baltimore, 16 earned runs over a combined 6 2/3 innings. He had an 11.91 ERA in five August outings overall.

    The 34-year-old right-hander is trying to avoid being left off the playoff roster. Going to Fenway where he has a 10.61 ERA in six starts since joining New York likely won’t help matters.

    His one start against Boston this year was at home, seven earned runs over 5 2/3 innings in June (11-6 loss).

    Burnett has a 6.85 road ERA this year. The ‘over’ is 5-0-1 in his last six road starts. New York is 1-9 in his last 10 road starts against a team with a winning record.

    Boston is just 9-9 at home in its last 18 games. The ‘under’ is 6-2 in its last eight at home, scoring just 3.5 runs per game.

    New York has won three straight games (all away) and is 13-6 in its last 19 road games.

    Boston is still missing slugger Kevin Youkilis (back injury), who could return Friday. New York’s Alex Rodriguez (thumb) was out Tuesday and likely the series. Catcher Russell Martin (toe) was questionable for Wednesday.

    Alfonso Marquez will call balls and strikes. Neither team has fared well recently with him behind home plate. Boston is 2-6 in the last eight and New York 1-6 in the last seven.

    Weather should be clear and in the 60s. Boston will start another big home series Friday against Texas. New York will return home against Toronto.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    Diamond Trends - Thursday

    September 1, 2011

    SU TREND OF THE DAY:

    The Tigers are 10-0 since April 29, 2010 at home when they are off a game in which they scored more runs off the bullpen than they did off their opponent’s starter in a win for a net profit of $1045.


    OU TREND OF THE DAY:

    The Dodgers are 11-0 OU since May 29, 2010 within 20 cents of pickem after a win in which they used 5+ pitchers for a net profit of $1100 when playing the over.


    STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:

    The Brewers are 11-0 since June 24, 2010 when Yovani Gallardo starts as a favorite after more strikeouts than hits allowed for a net profit of $1100.


    MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:

    The Indians are 24-2 (+3.9 rpg) since August 20th, 2008 when hosting a team that is on a three-plus game losing streak and it is not the first game of a series.


    TODAY’S TRENDS:

    The Pirates are 5-0 OU since June 09, 2010 when Brad Lincoln starts after the team lost their last three games for a net profit of $500 when playing the over.

    The Braves are 0-5 OU since June 11, 2010 when Tim Hudson starts after facing 30 or more hitters and they lost in his previous start for a net profit of $500 when playing the under.

    The Mariners are 7-0-2 OU since August 04, 2010 as a 140+ dog after a win in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits for a net profit of $700 when playing the over.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Yovani Gallardo And Brewers Battle St. Louis Cardinals

      Rookie Brandon Dickson will be asked to carry out a near-impossible task Thursday afternoon when the St. Louis Cardinals close out a 3-game set at the Milwaukee Brewers.

      Along with the usual butterflies Dickson will have as he makes his first career start in the big leagues, the right-hander will be facing one of the most prolific lineups in the National League and trying to best a team that is the toughest to beat on its own diamond. He will also be taking on Milwaukee's Yovani Gallardo who has pitched the Brew Crew to an 11-2 mark in his 13 home starts.

      And, oh yeah, he'll be asked to do this for a Cardinals team that is desperate to close ground fast on the NL Central-leading Brewers.

      It all gets underway at 4:10 p.m. (ET) at Miller Park, where the roof should be open on a sunny afternoon.

      St. Louis fired the first salvo in this set Tuesday night with a 2-1 win behind Edwin Jackson who was +120 on the baseball betting board. Milwaukee was a favorite in the 135-145 range for Wednesday's game which was still pending.

      Ron Roenicke's crew entered that contest 50-17 at Bernie Brewers' house and had not lost consecutive games at home since July 4-5 vs. the Arizona Diamondbacks. In fact, that remains the only time Milwaukee has dropped two straight at home all season.

      Tuesday's loss left the Brewers 8-5 vs. the Cardinals this campaign; the two squads will meet once more for three games at the beginning of next week in St. Louis.

      Gallardo (17-11, 3.37) only has one loss at Miller Park on his personal ledger this year with the Brewers a perfect 5-0 since that June 9 contest vs. the New York Mets. He's exiting a successful month of August with Milwaukee winning four of his five starts and the right-hander posting a 2.06 ERA.

      The one August defeat came against the Cards at Busch Stadium about three weeks ago. Gallardo allowed all of St. Louis' runs in the 5-2 defeat that closed with the Redbirds -130.

      He snuffed the Cardinals earlier this season in St. Louis, working eight, 1-hit innings in a 4-0 win as a 115 underdog.

      Dickson (0-0, 0.00) does have a couple of relief outings under his belt, and even picked up a hit in his one and only major league at bat so far. So he won't have first-game jitters to deal with. Still, he'll feel the pressure of his first MLB start, especially given the circumstances.

      He's being called on the Sept. 1 roster expansion rule. St. Louis skipper Tony La Russa is trying to get some extra rest for his rotation as the team enters the last-month push.

      Nicknamed 'Cotton,' the Alabama native has spent the last two seasons with the Cardinals' Triple-A club in Memphis. He was 8-9 in 25 starts at the time of his call-up, his most impressive stat being a 124:32 strikeout-to-walk ratio in just over 157 innings.

      Now working his 15th MLB season, Jeff Nelson should be calling the balls and strikes for this tilt. His games have gone 'over' 17 of his previous 29 plate assignments, and four of his last five appearances behind the mask. It's worth noting that home favorites are just 17-21 when Nelson has the plate the past two seasons.

      The Brewers will head out after this matchup for a 6-game roadie that starts this weekend in Houston before reaching St. Louis next week. The Cardinals go home to open a 9-game homestand beginning with the Reds and followed by visits from the Brewers and Braves.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        Around the Horn - Thursday

        August 31, 2011

        NATIONAL LEAGUE


        Philadelphia at Cincinnati - 12:35 PM EST (Game 4/4)
        Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
        Worley (9-1, 2.65 ERA) 5-5 L10 5-2 L7 away during day
        Leake (11-8, 4.04 ERA) 6-3 L9 OVER 6-2 L8 home during day


        Phillies beat Reds, 3-2 on Monday
        Phillies beat Reds, 9-0 on Tuesday
        Phillies beat Reds, 3-0 on Wednesday

        Los Angeles at Pittsburgh - 4:05 PM EST (Makeup Game)
        Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
        Eveland (0-0, 0.00 ERA) 8-1 L9 UNDER 5-3 L8 away vs RHP
        Lincoln (1-0, 3.42 ERA) 1-6 L7 0-5 home on Thursdays


        Dodgers beat Padres, 4-2 on Wednesday
        Pirates lost to Astros, 2-0 on Wednesday

        St. Louis at Milwaukee - 4:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
        Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
        Dickson (0-0, 0.00 ERA) 4-6 L10 2-7 L9 away during day
        Gallardo (15-8, 3.37 ERA) 8-3 L11 UNDER 7-2 L9 home during day


        Cardinals beat Brewers, 2-1 on Tuesday
        Cardinals beat Brewers, 8-3 on Wednesday

        Washington at Atlanta - 7:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
        Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
        Wang (2-2, 3.82 ERA) 1-6 L7 0-6 L6 away Game 3's
        Hudson (13-8, 3.10 ERA) 7-3 L10 13-4 L17 home Game 3's


        Nationals beat Braves, 9-2 on Tuesday
        Braves beat Nationals, 3-1 on Wednesday

        Florida at N.Y. Mets - 7:10 PM EST (Game 5/5)
        Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
        Hensley (2-5, 5.40 ERA) 2-10 L12 5-3 away on Thursdays
        Batista (3-2, 4.60 ERA) 4-5 L9 5-2 L7 home on Thursdays


        Mets beat Marlins, 2-1 on Monday (G1/DH)
        Mets beat Marlins, 5-1 on Monday (G2/DH)
        Marlins beat Mets, 6-0 on Tuesday
        Mets beat Marlins, 3-2 on Wednesday

        AMERICAN LEAGUE


        Oakland at Cleveland - 12:05 PM EST (Game 4/4)
        Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
        Gonzalez (11-11, 3.35 ERA) 0-5 L5 OVER 6-0 L6 away during day
        Carmona (6-12, 4.85 ERA) 5-7 L12 1-10 L11 home during day


        Indians beat Athletics, 2-1 on Monday
        Indians beat Athletics, 6-2 on Tuesday
        Indians beat Athletics, 4-3 on Wednesday

        Toronto at Baltimore - 12:35 PM EST (Game 3/3)
        Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
        Perez (3-2, 3.29 ERA) 2-6 L8 5-1 L6 away during day
        Hunter (3-2, 4.98 ERA) 7-3 L10 4-2 L6 Game 3's


        Orioles beat Blue Jays, 6-5 on Tuesday
        Blue Jays beat Orioles, 13-0 on Wednesday

        Kansas City at Detroit - 1:05 PM EST (Game 4/4)
        Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
        Duffy (3-8, 5.55 ERA) 4-7 L11 UNDER 6-0 L6 Game 4's
        Turner (0-1, 3.38 ERA) 9-2 L11 8-3 Game 4's


        Royals beat Tigers, 9-5 on Monday
        Tigers beat Royals, 2-1 on Tuesday
        Tigers beat Royals, 5-4 on Wednesday

        N.Y. Yankees at Boston - 7:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
        Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
        Burnett (9-11, 5.31 ERA) 5-5 L10 UNDER 8-2 L10 away Game 3's
        Lester (14-6, 3.09 ERA) 6-2 L8 7-1 L8 home Game 3's


        Yankees beat Red Sox, 5-2 on Tuesday
        Red Sox beat Yankees, 9-5 on Wednesday

        Tampa Bay at Texas - 8:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
        Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
        Niemann (9-5, 3.46 ERA) 7-4 L11 5-2 L7 away vs LHP
        Wilson (13-6, 3.29 ERA) 4-6 L10 UNDER 4-0 home on Thursdays


        Rangers beat Rays, 2-0 on Tuesday
        Rays beat Rangers, 4-1 on Wednesday

        Los Angeles at Seattle - 10:10 PM EST (Game 4/4)
        Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
        Santana (10-9, 3.24 ERA) 8-3 L11 5-1 L6 on Thursdays
        Furbush (3-6, 4.87 ERA) 4-8 L12 4-1 home on Thursdays


        Mariners beat Angels, 5-3 on Monday
        Angels beat Mariners, 13-6 on Tuesday
        Mariners beat Angels, 2-1 on Wednesday
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          Marlins and Mets finish off 5-game series Thursday

          FLORIDA MARLINS (60-75, -14.2 Units)

          at NEW YORK METS (65-69, +2.2 Units)


          First pitch: Thursday, 7:10 p.m. EDT
          Line: New York -115, Florida +105, Total: 8.5

          It may be too little too late for a pennant push, but the New York Mets have won five of six as they wrap up a rare five-game series with the Marlins on Thursday night.

          Clay Hensley (2-5, 5.40 ERA) gets the ball for Florida looking to stymie the Mets bats again. New York is just 7-for-43 (.163) off Hensley this year, scoring just twice in 12 innings. Making his Mets debut is 40-year-old Miguel Batista (3-2, 4.60 ERA), who will throw for his 11th different major-league team. He has been good against the Marlins in his long career, posting a 3.12 ERA in 69.1 innings. Despite a dreadful 25-41 home record, the Marlins are solid 35-34 (+8.2 Units) on the road this year. The Mets are also better away from Citifield, where they are a subpar 29-36 (-11.2 Units). Despite New York’s recent quality play, expect FLORIDA, who is 31-19 (+9.5 Units) in the past three seasons versus New York, to win on the road on Thursday night.

          The FoxSheets provide a pair of three-star trends siding with the Marlins.

          FLORIDA is 15-2 (88.2%, +13.9 Units) against the money line after 4 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons. The average score was FLORIDA 5.6, OPPONENT 2.9 - (Rating = 3*).

          Play On - All underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (FLORIDA) - on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 5 starts. (84-64 over the last 5 seasons.) (56.8%, +42.9 units. Rating = 3*).

          Hensley (2-3, 6.08 ERA in eight starts) got his first start of 2011 in New York on July 18 and threw five scoreless innings, allowing only one hit in a 4-1 victory. Hensley got his second win of the season last Friday, holding the mighty Phillies to three runs and three hits in 5.2 innings of a 6-5 victory. Florida 2B Omar Infante is sad to see August end after batting .382 and slugging .618 for the month. He is currently riding a 10-game hitting streak and has raked at Citifield, batting .420 with three homers in 88 career at-bats in the Mets’ young stadium.

          Although Batista has pitched well versus Florida, he hasn’t started against the Marlins since 2003. Batista has actually made only two starts in the past three seasons, which includes facing one batter on April 22 before a lengthy rain delay. He threw five shutout innings in his lone 2010 start when he was with Washington. David Wright has hit the Marlins well this year, recording three straight multi-hit games against them while batting .340 overall with 11 RBI in 12 meetings.
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            Boston favored big in rubber match vs. Yanks

            NEW YORK YANKEES (81-53, +7.8 Units)

            at BOSTON RED SOX (83-52, +8.3 Units)


            First pitch: Thursday, 7:10 p.m. EDT
            Line: Boston -200, New York +185, Total: 9.5

            The Yankees will be in the unusual position of heavy underdog when they wrap up a three-game series against the Red Sox in Boston Thursday night.

            Much-maligned right-hander A.J. Burnett will take the hill for New York, and he’s been at his absolute worst of late (11.91 ERA over five August starts). Not to mention, the Yankees are just 1-5 in Fenway Park with Burnett on the hill, mostly due to Burnett’s 10.61 ERA in these six starts. With red-hot Jon Lester opposing him for Boston, the money line isn’t steep enough to even consider New York. And the FoxSheets have a rare five-star trend that confirms BOSTON is the pick:

            Play Against - All underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (N.Y. YANKEES) - average hitting team (AVG = .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -AL, with an on-base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games. (53-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (89.8%, +42.4 units. Rating = 5*).

            With Burnett (9-11, 5.31 ERA) on the mound, the Yankees are set to leave Boston with a whimper. His last two starts were especially ugly, and they came against two of the American League’s bottom feeders. On August 20, Burnett gave up seven runs while getting just five outs in Minnesota. And in Baltimore last Friday, he allowed nine runs over five innings. That increased his road ERA to 6.85 this season.

            As much of a disappointment as Burnett has been overall during his Yankees career, he’s been especially bad against the rival Red Sox. In eight starts against Boston since joining the Yankees, he’s 0-4 with an 8.71 ERA and 1.89 WHIP. The Boston bats have absolutely hammered him over the years, especially DH David Ortiz (.985 OPS in 43 plate appearances), 2B Dustin Pedroia (.980 OPS in 43 PA) and CF Jacoby Ellsbury (.884 OPS in 30 PA).

            Lester (14-6, 3.09 ERA) has been especially sharp in his past three starts, going 3-0 while allowing just four runs (three earned) in 19 innings. The lefty has been a bit shakier at home this year though, where he’s just 5-4 with a 3.44 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. The Yankees beat him in Fenway on August 5, as Lester allowed three runs and nine base runners over six innings in a loss. That outing broke up his five-game winning streak against New York. Lester is 8-2 with a 3.62 ERA in 15 career starts against the rival Yanks.
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #7
              7:00 PM ETAtlanta at Washington

              Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

              ATL 651 16-13 (8-7 V) - 158 OVER

              WAS 652 5-24 (3-12 H) - - 5.5 ATL
              Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
              Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts



              8:00 PM ETPhoenix at San Antonio

              Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

              PHO 653 17-12 (8-7 V) - 176.5 UNDER

              SA 654 14-15 (7-7 H) - +2 PHO

              Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • #8
                MLB

                Thursday, September 1

                Game Score Status Pick Amount

                NY Yankees 0 Bot 0 Boston -188 500
                Boston 0 Over 9.5 500

                Washington 0 Bot 0 Washington +187 500
                Atlanta 0 Under 8 500

                Florida 0 Bot 0 NY Mets -110 500
                NY Mets 0 Under 8.5 500

                Tampa Bay - 8:05 PM ET Tampa Bay +139 500
                Texas - Over 8.5 500

                LA Angels - 10:10 PM ET LA Angels -156 500
                Seattle - Over 7.5 500
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment

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