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  • The Bum's Sunday's Best Bets MLB-WNBA !

    Rangers, Angels End Key AL West Series

    ‘How the West Was Won’ could be determined Sunday night when the Texas Rangers and Los Angeles Angels conclude their key AL West showdown.

    ESPN will have the national broadcast from Rangers Ballpark in Arlington at 8:00 p.m. (ET).

    Los Angeles (71-60) came into this series riding a 6-game winning streak (all at home) and sitting just two games behind Texas in the division. However, the normally reliable Dan Haren got roughed up Friday and the team fell behind 11-0 before eventually losing 11-7.

    Angels’ manager Mike Scioscia is not fooling around this series. He announced even before Friday’s game that Ervin Santana and Jered Weaver would pitch Saturday and Sunday respectively, each on short rest for the first time in their careers.

    The Saturday night game is still pending with Santana opposed by C.J. Wilson in a great duel. Texas was a 155 favorite on the Don Best odds screen.

    Weaver (15-6, 2.03 ERA) has the best ERA in the AL, but will probably lose the Cy Young to Detroit’s Justin Verlander. Weaver just signed an extension, spurning the advice of agent Scott Boras, and threw seven shutout innings versus the White Sox last Wednesday (8-0 win) after inking the deal.

    The 28-year-old right-hander has lost his last two road starts. He allowed eight earned runs over 4 2/3 innings at Toronto on August 13 (11-2 loss). Weaver surrendered three earned runs over 6 2/3 innings at Detroit on July 31, but was outdueled by Verlander in a 3-2 loss. He’s 8-5 with a 2.60 ERA overall this year on the road.

    The Angels are 3-1 in Weaver’s four starts against the Rangers this year (1.86 ERA). They split the two in Texas, with Weaver allowing a combined five earned runs over 15 innings (3.00 ERA).

    The Rangers (75-58) needed that Friday win and not just to build their division cushion to three games. They were reeling after losing three straight to Boston (combined score 30-7) after winning that series opener 4-0 last Monday.

    Colby Lewis (11-9, 4.07 ERA) is coming off one of his worst outings this year, seven earned runs over six innings against Boston last Tuesday at home. He had pitched well his previous six home starts (3.32 ERA), with Texas winning four, but his home ERA on the year is just 5.56.

    The ‘over’ is 10-3 in Lewis’ last 13 home starts.

    The 32-year-old right-hander pitched a beauty at the Angels on August 18, throwing seven scoreless on just four hits. He left the game with a lead, outdueling Weaver, but reliever Mike Adams blew the game in the ninth inning.

    Lewis also faced the Angels at home in April, allowing four earned runs over five innings in a 15-4 defeat, the bullpen imploding in that one.

    Texas is 0-4 in his four starts against the Angels since coming back from Japan last year, even with his combined ERA just 3.00.

    Texas is 8-6 against Los Angeles this year, 4-3 at home after splitting six games in April and May.

    The Angels are 33-32 away this year (+1.5 units against the betting money line). Their second-half road record is just 9-12.

    The ‘over’ is 5-1 in L.A.’s last six games, scoring 7.33 runs per game. However, three of those games were beating up on the woeful Baltimore staff at home.

    Texas is 41-26 at home, but it only translates into +.8 units. The second-half home mark is a pedestrian 10-8.

    Jim Wolf will call balls and strikes. The Rangers are 16-5 the last 21 times he’s been behind home plate. The ‘over’ is 11-2-3 in his last 16 overall behind the dish.

    Weather will be very hot, around 100 degrees at first pitch. Texas is off Monday before continuing its 10-game homestand Tuesday against Tampa. The Angels have to fly all the way to Seattle for a Monday contest.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    Detroit Tigers At Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Preview

    The Detroit Tigers hope to increase their lead atop the AL Central when they face the Minnesota Twins Sunday afternoon in the final game of their three-game series.

    Brad Penny and Brian Duensing take the hill for Sunday’s game at Target Field, which is set to start at 2:10 p.m. (ET).

    Before the season began, Minnesota was considered one of the favorites to win the AL Central. But entering Saturday sitting 17 games back on division-leading Detroit, it appears that the Twins will have to settle for playing the spoiler role down the stretch.

    Detroit (72-59) has opened up a 6.5-game lead in the AL Central with their recent hot streak. The Tigers have won seven of their last eight (+7.40 units), and are 11-4 over their last 15 games (+7.30 units).

    Brad Penny (9-9, 4.82 ERA) has not pitched particularly well this season, but he’s been bailed out by Detroit’s strong offense. Despite Penny surrendering four or more runs in five of his last eight starts, the Tigers are 4-4 over that stretch and have actually been slightly profitable from a betting perspective (+0.30 units).

    Penny has a 5.45 lifetime ERA against Minnesota in six career starts against them. Two of those starts came this season, when Penny gave up four runs in seven innings on July 23 (taking the loss) and five runs in six innings on May 30 (a no decision that Detroit went on to win 6-5).

    It’s been a disastrous season for Minnesota (55-76) as the Twins have struggled in just about every facet of the game. The team has been on a tailspin in August, going an abysmal 5-18 so far this month (-13.45 units) including a six game losing streak (-7.75 units) heading into Saturday.

    Brian Duensing (8-13, 5.12 ERA) hasn’t fared any better lately. In his last five starts, Duensing is 0-5 (-5.45 units) with an 8.65 ERA.

    Duensing holds a 4.83 career ERA against Detroit, but has fared much worse than that against the Tigers this season. He gave up seven runs on July 22 and six runs on May 31, lasting only 4 2/3 innings in each of those outings, giving him a 12.54 ERA against Detroit in 2011.

    Heading into Saturday’s game, Detroit held a commanding 10-3 lead on the season series over Minnesota. The total has trended ‘over’ at 8-3-2.

    Interestingly, despite their clear struggles on the mound, Brad Penny and Brian Duensing’s games have actually trended ‘under’ recently. The ‘under’ is 5-2 in Penny’s last seven starts, and is 7-2-1 in Duensing’s last 10.

    Detroit has been a profitable betting option on the road this season at 35-32 (+5.20 units), while Minnesota has struggled badly at home with a 28-38 record (-12.70 units).

    Minnesota’s Joe Mauer (neck) and Detroit’s Brennan Boesch (thumb) are both questionable for Sunday’s game with minor injuries.

    Sunday’s weather is expected to be cloudy with a slight chance of thunderstorms.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      MLB Series Outlook: Detroit at Minnesota

      DETROIT TIGERS (71-59, +6.2 Units)

      at MINNESOTA TWINS (55-75, -11.5 Units)


      Sportsbook.com Series Line: Detroit -155, Minnesota +125

      The Tigers can move closer to sewing up an A.L. Central crown if they beat up on the Twins in Minnesota again in a three-game set that starts Friday night.

      Detroit has won five of six at Target Field, and they’ve won six of seven overall since an upset series loss at home to the Twins (August 15-17). Since that series, Minnesota is 1-7 on its current homestand, and an American League-worst 28-37 at home this year. Detroit also has the edge in pitching matchups for all three games. The FoxSheets provide another highly-rated reason DETROIT is the pick to win the series.

      MINNESOTA is 13-28 (31.7%, -18.2 Units) against the money line in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season this season. The average score was MINNESOTA 2.9, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 3*).

      Pitching Probables for Sunday, August 28 - 2:10 ET
      Sunday line: TBD
      DET: 12-13 (-0.4 Units) when Brad Penny starts
      MIN: 10-15 (-2.8 Units) when Brian Duensing starts
      Penny (9-9, 4.82 ERA) has had a rough go of it since the All-Star break, posting a 5.66 ERA while striking out just 13 batters over 41.1 innings. He did have a more encouraging start in Tampa on Tuesday, when he held the Rays to one run over 6.1 innings (though he still only struck out two). Penny has a 5.91 ERA on the road this year, and has not fared well in his three outings against the Twins (5.68 ERA, 1.53 WHIP), two of which were Detroit losses.
      Duensing (8-13, 5.12 ERA) has essentially been throwing batting practice in August: 0-5 with an 8.65 ERA and a .388 opponent’s BA. He’s allowed a whopping nine home runs in those five starts. Shockingly, he’s performed better on the road than in pitcher-friendly Target Field, where he has a 6.43 ERA this year. The Tigers got to him for seven runs (all earned) on nine hits and two homers over 4.2 innings on July 22, and the Twins are 5-10 against Detroit with Duensing on the mound during his career.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        MLB Series Outlook: L.A. Angels at Texas

        LOS ANGELES ANGELS (71-59, +6.4 Units)

        at TEXAS RANGERS (74-58, +0.1 Units)


        Sportsbook.com Series Line: Texas -150, L.A. Angels +120

        Just when it looked like the Rangers had sealed up the A.L. West, the Angels have surged back into contention with six straight wins. The teams meet up for a huge three-game set in Texas starting Friday night.

        Since losing three straight to the Rangers at home (August 15-17), the Angels have outscored opponents 39-17 during their six-game run, while Texas has lost six of eight, to trim its division lead to two games. The Rangers bats are going quiet (13 runs in six games), and they’re still without 3B Adrian Beltre. They’ve been shut out twice in the past five games, by the likes of Chicago’s Gavin Floyd and Boston’s Andrew Miller. The Angels have their three best pitchers set to go this weekend, and they’re a solid 33-31 on the road this year. The FoxSheets provide another trend siding with LOS ANGELES to win the series.

        TEXAS is 16-19 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in home games vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was TEXAS 5.1, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 1*).

        Pitching Probables for Sunday, August 28 - 8:10 ET
        Sunday line: TBD
        LAA: 18-9 (+6.4 Units) when Jered Weaver starts
        TEX: 13-13 (-4.8 Units) when Colby Lewis starts
        There was some worry about Weaver (15-6, 2.03 ERA) after he was lit up in Toronto on August 13 (eight runs in 4.2 innings), but he’s laid those to rest with two impressive outings since. He held the Rangers to one run over seven innings on August 18, then shut out the White Sox for seven innings on Wednesday. He’s been a little more beatable on the road this year—a 2.60 ERA, while the Angels are only 8-7 in his road starts—and L.A. has lost eight of his 12 career starts in Texas, where Weaver has a 4.09 ERA. He has held the Rangers in check this year, with a 1.86 ERA over four starts (three Angel wins).
        He’s been schizophrenic all season, and Lewis (11-9, 4.07 ERA) is coming off another terrible start. The Red Sox got him for seven runs over six innings on Tuesday, one start after he shut out the Angels for seven innings in Anaheim. He has not pitched well in Arlington this year (4-5, 5.56 ERA), and the Rangers are just 6-7 in his home starts. And since returning to the U.S. from Japan before the 2010 season, Lewis is 0-2 against the Angels, and Texas has lost all four of his starts against Los Angeles.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          The last 5 days in MLB has been like the stock market.......

          Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
          08/27/11 18-*5-*1 78.26% +*7200 Detail
          08/26/11 13-*17-*0 43.33% -*3145 Detail
          08/25/11 8-*9-*0 47.06% -*920 Detail
          08/24/11 9-*9-*0 50.00% +*550 Detail
          08/23/11 20-*11-*1 64.52% +*5635 Detail

          Sunday, August 28

          Game Score Status Pick Amount

          Kansas City - 1:05 PM ET Cleveland -180 500
          Cleveland - Over 7.5 500

          Tampa Bay - 1:07 PM ET Tampa Bay -116 500
          Toronto - Over 7.5 500

          Washington - 1:10 PM ET Cincinnati -145 500
          Cincinnati - Under 7.5 500

          NY Yankees - 1:35 PM ET NY Yankees -170 500
          Baltimore - Under 9.5 500

          Detroit - 2:10 PM ET Detroit -115 500
          Minnesota - Over 9.5 500

          Chi. Cubs - 2:10 PM ET Chi. Cubs +251 500
          Milwaukee - Over 8.5 500

          Pittsburgh - 2:15 PM ET Pittsburgh +139 500
          St. Louis - Over 8 500

          Houston - 4:05 PM ET San Francisco -205 500
          San Francisco - Under 6.5 500

          Chi. White Sox - 4:10 PM ET Seattle +109 500
          Seattle - Under 7.5 500

          Colorado - 4:10 PM ET Colorado +106 500
          LA Dodgers - Under 7.5 500

          San Diego - 4:10 PM ET Arizona -147 500
          Arizona - Under 7.5 500

          NY Yankees - 7:35 PM ET Baltimore +183 500
          Baltimore - Under 9.5 500

          LA Angels - 8:09 PM ET LA Angels +109 500
          Texas - Under 8.5 500
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            3:00 PM ETMinnesota at San Antonio

            Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

            MIN 651 22-6 (10-4 V) (152.5 UNDER )

            SA 652 13-14 (6-6 H) - 2 ( MINNY - 2 )

            Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
            Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts



            4:00 PM ETConnecticut at Tulsa

            Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

            CONN 653 18-10 (5-8 V) - ( 152.5 UNDER )

            TUL 654 2-25 (1-12 H) - 9 ( TULSA + 9 )

            Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
            Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts



            4:00 PM ETPhoenix at Washington

            Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

            PHO 655 15-12 (6-7 V) - ( 173.5 UNDER )

            WAS 656 5-22 (3-11 H) - 5 ( PHO - 5 )

            Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
            Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts



            6:00 PM ETNew York at Chicago

            Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

            NY 657 16-12 (6-8 V) - ( 145.5 OVER )

            658 13-15 (9-6 H) - -3 ( NY + 3 )

            Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
            Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts



            9:00 PM ETLos Angeles at Seattle

            Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

            LA 659 12-16 (5-10 V) - (144.5 OVER )

            SEA 660 16-12 (12-2 H) - -7 ( LA + 7 )

            Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
            Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 08-28-2011, 11:37 AM.
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #7
              Sparks visit Seattle on Sunday night

              LOS ANGELES SPARKS

              at SEATTLE STORM


              Tip-off: Sunday, 9:00 p.m. EDT
              Line: TBD, Total: TBD

              Two of the WNBA’s model franchises play the first game of a home-and-home when Seattle hosts Los Angeles on Sunday night.

              These teams have crushed each other at home this year, with the Sparks winning by 24 in L.A. in June, and the Storm getting them back with a 19-point victory in Seattle in July. The Storm have been outstanding at home all year, going 12-2 SU and 8-5-1 ATS, and they’ve won the first three games SU (2-1 ATS) of their current homestand.

              And now they have Lauren Jackson back. The WNBA’s reigning MVP has averaged 15.7 PPG and 5.7 RPG despite playing limited minutes (20.7 MPG) in her three games back from hip surgery. The Sparks, meanwhile, have been miserable on the road all year (5-10 SU, 4-11 ATS). All of this makes SEATTLE the pick.

              The Sparks were without star forward Candace Parker when they lost to Seattle in July. Parker averaged 20.0 PPG, on 53% FG and 60% from three-point land, and 8.7 RPG during their recent three-game road trip. Los Angeles went 2-1 SU and 1-2 ATS in those games.

              Seattle is 6-2 SU with Jackson in the lineup this year, and it has dominated the Sparks over the past two seasons. Seattle is 8-1 SU and 6-2-1 ATS against L.A. over the past two seasons, including 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS at home.
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • #8
                Good Luck bum

                Comment


                • #9
                  good luck today, Bum!

                  Comment

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