Announcement

**Udog** · 08-25-2011, 07:28 AM

Thursday’s betting tips: ‘Skins mum on starting QB

Who’s hot

MLB: The under is 11-4 in Washington’s last 15 games overall.

WNBA: The under is 6-1 in Seattle’s last seven games.

NFL: Baltimore is 4-1 against the spread in its last five preseason meetings with Washington.

Who’s not

MLB: Pittsburgh is just 8-21 in its last 29 overall.

WNBA: Tulsa has lost a WNBA-record 19 straight games outright.

NFL: Philadelphia is 1-10 against the spread in its last 11 final preseason home games since 2000.

Key stat

65 – Home underdogs have covered in 65 percent (13-7-2) of WNBA games over the last month.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Vladimir Guerrero, Baltimore Orioles – Guerrero is banged up again and sat out Wednesday’s game with a left wrist contusion after he was hit with a ball during batting practice. X-rays came back negative and he’s currently listed as day-to-day. He’s hitting .276 with 10 homers and 44 RBIs this season.

Game of the day

Cleveland Browns at Philadelphia Eagles (-7, 39.5)

Notable quotable

"I mean, it's kind of expected. I've played so many matches this year. I've been winning a lot and reaching the final stages of each event that I've participated on. You know, considering the schedule that is very busy in tennis, it's kind of normal to expect that at some stage you are exhausted." – Novak Djokovic earlier this week after retiring at Cincinnati last week after citing shoulder soreness. Despite that, Djokovic was listed as the U.S. Open’s top seed Tuesday and is currently the tournament’s favorite at +130.

Notes and tips

Washington Redskins head coach Mike Shanahan won’t name his starting quarterback for Thursday’s game in Baltimore and doesn’t expect to name a regular season starter until shortly before Week 1. If familiarity with Baltimore’s defense means anything, John Beck would have the advantage over Rex Grossman Thursday after playing the 2009 season with the Ravens. Right now, Beck was 14 for 17 for 140 yards last week against Indy, while Grossman is 19 for 26 for 207 yards and a touchdown in two appearances so far. Washington is a 5.5-point underdog on the road.

Houston Astros starter Henry Sosa will be back on the mound pitching on just three days’ rest Thursday against the San Francisco Giants. Sosa pitched five innings Sunday against the Giants and was hammered for four runs in a 6-4 loss. San Francisco batted around and scored three of those runs in the second inning.

**Udog** · 08-25-2011, 07:32 AM

Thursday's six-pack

-- Colts signed Kerry Collins Thursday, a red flag for the chances that Peyton Manning will play in Houston September 11.

-- Reds-Marlins played twinbill Wednesday because the hurricane could be threatening Florida Thursday, so that game was moved ahead a day.

-- Mike Pelfrey wasn't pretty Wednesday, but he beat the Phillies on a day when he threw 125 pitches in six innings, 42 just in the 3rd inning.

-- You know the Giants are hurting for offense when Orlando Cabrera is their leadoff hitter.

-- Our thoughts/prayers go out to the family of Mike Flanagan, former Oriole pitcher who passed away Thursday at age 59. Too young.

-- Thursday is my annual trek to Saratoga for the horse races; say hello if you see a confused-looking guy with a hat eating a hot dog or two.

**********************

Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud........

13) Lot of enthusiasm in Motor City for the Lions this season; they’ve sold out Saturday night’s exhibition game against Michigan alum Tom Brady and the Patriots- they also have their first Monday night home game in 10 years in early October. Interesting to see if they can live up to the hype.

12) NASCAR driver Kyle Busch lost his driver’s license for 45 days after getting nailed doing 128 mph in a 45 mph zone down in North Carolina. Funny thing is, you don’t need a driver’s license to drive in NASCAR.

11) According to SI.com, Clippers star Blake Griffin is spending this week as an intern for “Comedy or Die”, Will Ferrell’s comedy website. Griffin will help write-edit-shoot-act in short comedy videos for the website.

10) Disappointed to hear that Brian Kenny is leaving ESPN after 13 years; Kenny’s shtick always seemed to be that he was the only guy on ESPN that didn’t have a shtick. Need more guys like that.

9) Hard to believe that over last five seasons, Miami Hurricanes are just 20-21 in ACC football games; now they’re headed for probation, so things should get even worse for a once-proud program.

8) Before Larry Scott was Commissioner of the Pac-12 Conference, he was CEO of the women’s pro tennis tour.

7) There is a new reality show starting Friday on Animal Planet, and I guarantee I’ll never watch it, because it is “Rat Busters NYC” about exterminators in Manhattan. No desire to see the long-tailed rodents on TV or anywhere else.

6) Former Dallas Cowboy teammates Troy Aikman/Darryl Johnston both have 10-year old daughters who were born on the same day in the same hospital and delivered by the same doctor.

5) Over last ten years, Baltimore Ravens are 27-6-2 vs spread as a home favorite vs non-divisional opponents; in divisional games, they’re 12-14.

4) Over last three seasons, the underdog is 18-4-1 against the spread when the Bengals play at home.

3) Speaking of the Bengals, how do they let Carson Palmer retire? Trade him and get a decent draft pick in return, Its how you get better, or at least stay the same. Being stubborn and letting a good player walk with no return is not only bad business, its stupid.

2) Surprised to read that Cardinals’ attendance is down over 3,000 fans a game this season. St Louis has always been a great baseball city, but when a team with high expectations disappoints, this is what happens.

1) Time-Warner called me yesterday and asked why I dropped their cable service for DirecTV. Not much they can say when I tell ‘em its strictly for the NFL Sunday Ticket and the NFL Network.

I’m watching a replay of the Arizona-Green Bay preseason game as I type this. Still think the NFL is wrong about not letting this channel on basic cable, but thats their business. Its in my house now, and thats good.

**Udog** · 08-25-2011, 07:57 AM

WNBA

Thursday, August 25

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Trend Report
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10:00 PM
TULSA vs. SEATTLE
Tulsa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulsa's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games
Seattle is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home

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WNBA

Thursday, August 25

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Lady luck: Thursday's best WNBA bets
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Tulsa Shock at Seattle Storm (-14.5, 140.5)

Up 15 points in the third quarter against the WNBA’s best team, the Tulsa Shock must have thought their moment had finally come on Tuesday.

However, after another final-frame collapse, the Shock set a league record with their 19th straight defeat – not that it mattered much to bettors.

"We thought tonight might be the night," Shock center Tina Jackson told reporters, “We just came up short, but we're getting there.''

They easily covered as 13-point unders in the 78-72 loss to Minnesota, marking the fourth time they’ve covered the spread in their last six.

However, Shock supporters have a tough call coming up with this line. Seattle looks like it is ready to make a major push up the Western Conference standings now that Lauren Jackson is back in the mix.

Jackson has been money in the fourth quarter since coming back in a pair of tough wins against New York and San Antonio. The Storm head into this one just 1 ½ games back of second-place Phoenix in the West and should be able to cut into the deficit with another win.

We’ll avoid the spread all together and jump on the under. These two teams have combined to play under 12 times in their last 13 games.

Pick: Under

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**Udog** · 08-25-2011, 07:59 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Arizona at Washington
The Nationals look to take advantage of an Arizona team that is 1-7 in its last 8 games as a road underdog. Washington is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the Nationals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Washington (-135). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, AUGUST 25

Game 901-902: Atlanta at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Beachy) 15.427; Cubs (Garza) 14.792
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-115); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-115); N/A

Game 903-904: Arizona at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Miley) 14.049; Washington (Lannan) 15.621
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-135); Under

Game 907-908: Pittsburgh at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Morton) 15.134; St. Louis (Jackson) 14.550
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+140); Under

Game 909-910: Houston at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Sosa) 14.299; San Francisco (Vogelsong) 15.343
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-230); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-230); Over

Game 911-912: Oakland at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Harden) 15.044; NY Yankees (Hughes) 16.726
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-200); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-200); Over

Game 913-914: Detroit at Tampa Bay (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Fister) 17.255; Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 16.142
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+125); Under

Game 915-916: Baltimore at Minnesota (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Reyes) 15.302; Minnesota (Liriano) 12.885
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+140); Under

Game 917-918: Kansas City at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Francis) 14.578; Toronto (Cecil) 15.164
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Toronto (-175); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-175); Over

Game 919-920: Boston at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Miller) 15.590; Texas (Ogando) 15.900
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-165); 10
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-165); Over

**Udog** · 08-25-2011, 08:02 AM

MLB
Write-Up

Thursday, August 25

Hot pitchers
-- Garza is 2-0, 2.52 in his last four starts. Beachy is 1-0, 2.50 in his last three starts.
-- Morton is 1-0, 0.95 in his last four starts. Jackson is 2-0, 2.95 in his three home starts for St Louis.

-- Hughes is 3-0, 1.37 in his last three starts. Harden is 2-0, 2.50 in his last three outings.
-- Hellickson is 2-1, 2.02 in his last four starts.
-- Liriano is 1-0, 2.77 in his last couple home starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Lannan is 1-3, 6.84 in his last five starts. Miley allowed five runs in four IP in his first MLB start.
-- Sosa is 0-2, 6.35 in three starts for the Astros. Vogelsong is 1-2, 5.49 in his last three starts.

-- Fister is 1-1, 6.75 in his last three starts.
-- Reyes is 1-2, 6.00 in three starts for the Orioles.
-- Francis is 0-3, 7.89 in his last four starts. Cecilis 0-2, 3.67 in his last four starts.
-- Ogando is 2-2, 5.19 in his last six starts. Miller has a 6.75 RA in his last three starts.

Totals
-- Three of last four Beachy starts went over the total. Three of Garza's last four starts stayed under.
-- Six of last eight Washington home games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight St Louis home games stayed under the total.
-- Five of Giants' last seven home games stayed under total.

-- Over is 7-1-1 in Oakland's last nine road games.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten games at Tropicana Field.
-- Under is 10-4-2 in Minnesota's last 16 home games.
-- Five of last seven Toronto home games went over the total.
-- Over is 10-3 in Rangers' last thirteen games.

Hot Teams
-- Braves won 15 of their last 20 games.

-- Tampa Bay won 11 of its last 15 games. Detroit won five of six.
-- Blue Jays won three of their last four home games.
-- Oakland won five of its last seven games.
-- Orioles won their last three games, allowing three runs.
-- Red Sox won 10 of their last 15 road games.

Cold Teams
-- Arizona lost six of its last eight games. Washington is 2-3 in its last five games, scoring 11 runs.
-- Cubs lost three of their last four games.
-- Cardinals lost seven of their last nine games. Pirates lost 14 of their last 21 home games.
-- Astros lost 21 of their last 24 road games. Giants lost six of their last nine games.

-- Royals lost 12 of their last 16 games.
-- Bronx Bombers lost three of last four games.
-- Twins lost 14 of their last 17 home games.
-- Rangers lost four of their last five games.

**Udog** · 08-25-2011, 08:05 AM

MLB

Thursday, August 25

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Trend Report
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1:05 PM
OAKLAND vs. NY YANKEES
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Oakland is 4-14 SU in their last 18 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 17-8 SU in their last 25 games at home
NY Yankees are 12-3 SU in their last 15 games when playing Oakland

1:10 PM
BALTIMORE vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Baltimore's last 21 games when playing Minnesota
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Minnesota's last 15 games at home

1:10 PM
DETROIT vs. TAMPA BAY
Detroit is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit's last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games
Tampa Bay is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit

2:20 PM
ATLANTA vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games
Chi Cubs are 15-8 SU in their last 23 games

7:05 PM
ARIZONA vs. WASHINGTON
Arizona is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games

7:07 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. TORONTO
Kansas City is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Kansas City is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Toronto is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Kansas City

7:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. FLORIDA
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Cincinnati's last 17 games when playing on the road against Florida
Florida is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati

8:05 PM
BOSTON vs. TEXAS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games when playing on the road against Texas
Boston is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Texas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games at home
Texas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston

8:15 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. ST. LOUIS
Pittsburgh is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
St. Louis is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh

10:15 PM
HOUSTON vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
San Francisco is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games

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**Udog** · 08-25-2011, 08:07 AM

MLB

Thursday, August 25

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Thursday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
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Streaking

Charlie Morton, Pittsburgh Pirates (9-6, 3.42 ERA)

Charlie Morton has just one win on his record over the last four starts, despite the fact that he’s allowed only three runs over that span. He hasn’t allowed a homer and all four of those games played under during that. This season has been a huge improvement from last year when he went 2-12 with a 7.57 ERA.

“The approach was pretty much to change my style of pitching to be just a power, four-seam guy with a good curveball and a decent change-up,” Morton told reporters.

Phil Hughes, New York Yankees (4-4, 5.75 ERA)

Hughes got off to a rocky start this season, but he’s making a big push down the stretch. The 25-year-old who won 18 games last year is 3-1 with a 1.75 ERA in his last four starts and looks to be gaining velocity on his fastball after his shoulder injury earlier this season.

"I can't look back at the beginning of the year," Hughes told reporters. "That's over and done with. I have to make the most of what I have left."

Slumping

Jeff Francis, Kansas City Royals (4-14, 4.89 ERA)

So far, August has been awfully tough on Jeff Francis. He’s 0-3 this month and has allowed at least four runs in each of those four starts. Francis now sits sixth from the basement in Covers.com’s starter money standings, having lost 9.64 units for his supporters.

Francis has allowed a homer in each of his last four starts and has served up 16 taters on the year, five more than last season.

Jo-Jo Reyes, Baltimore Orioles (6-10, 5.44 ERA)

A change of scenery hasn’t done much to help out Reyes, who came over from the Blue Jays late last month. In three starts with Baltimore, the lefty is 1-2 with a 6.00 ERA and has served up five homers.

He allowed five runs on eight hits while walking three in an 8-3 loss to the Angels in his last outing.

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**Udog** · 08-25-2011, 08:09 AM

MLB

Thursday, August 25

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Hot lines: Thursday's best MLB bets
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Oakland Athletics at New York Yankees (-200, 9.5)

Heading into Wednesday’s matchup between these two teams, oddsmakers had the Yankees listed around -240 favorites. They were soon bet up to as high as -360 at one online shop and were north of -300 at a handful of others.

Thursday you’ll be able to put down a Yanks bet at a more reasonable price, but it’s still fat enough to give the underdog A’s a long look.

Oakland sends out Rich Harden against the resurgent Phil Hughes and you have to like what the Canadian kid has been up to lately on the hill. He has won two of his last three starts, striking out 23 batters along the way.

After loading the bases in the first, he blanked the Blue Jays over seven innings in his last outing, allowing just two hits while punching out 11 batters.

"This might have been the best feeling I've had (this year) as far as command," Harden said. "After that first inning, it came together. I had my command, and I located well. It was a good feeling."

The Yanks reportedly had interest in acquiring Harden earlier this year and we think he could give them a taste of what they missed out on.

Pick: Athletics

Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals (-135, 8.5)

The big leagues can often be very cruel to rookie pitchers in their first few outings. Arizona starter Wade Miley found that out in a hurry when he took the ball in his first MLB game last week.

Miley was drilled for five runs on seven hits in four innings during a 8-1 blowout loss at Atlanta.

"It went well other than the fact that a couple of pitches didn't go where I wanted, and guys don't miss mistakes up here," Miley told reporters. "I learned that very quick. I felt like I made some quality pitches, but they hit quality pitches, so you have to make great pitches to get these guys."

It certainly wasn’t all bad. He did strike out five batters and looks like he definitely has big-league stuff. Whether he can put it all together is another question, of course.

We’ll take a shot with the under.

Pick: Under

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**Udog** · 08-25-2011, 08:20 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, August 25

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ATLANTA (78 - 53) at CHICAGO CUBS (57 - 73) - 2:20 PM
BRANDON BEACHY (R) vs. MATT GARZA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 22-32 (-15.1 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 78-53 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 58-36 (+12.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 78-53 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 37-28 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 21-36 (-14.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 123-155 (-51.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 133-160 (-28.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 68-82 (-27.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 638-641 (-120.5 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 133-160 (-28.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 46-58 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
GARZA is 20-33 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 3-3 (+1.2 Units) against ATLANTA this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

BRANDON BEACHY vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
BEACHY is 0-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.126.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

MATT GARZA vs. ATLANTA since 1997
GARZA is 0-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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ARIZONA (71 - 59) at WASHINGTON (62 - 66) - 7:05 PM
WADE MILEY (R) vs. JOHN LANNAN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 54-81 (-29.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 62-66 (+5.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
WASHINGTON is 43-41 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WASHINGTON is 31-28 (+10.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WASHINGTON is 62-66 (+5.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 37-27 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
LANNAN is 29-22 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LANNAN is 29-22 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LANNAN is 20-15 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LANNAN is 14-10 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 35-33 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ARIZONA is 71-60 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 54-42 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 41-30 (+13.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ARIZONA is 71-60 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 4-3 (+0.3 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.9 Units)

WADE MILEY vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.

JOHN LANNAN vs. ARIZONA since 1997
LANNAN is 3-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 1.04 and a WHIP of 0.962.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.4 units)

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PITTSBURGH (61 - 68) at ST LOUIS (67 - 63) - 8:15 PM
CHARLIE MORTON (R) vs. EDWIN JACKSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 79-133 (-28.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 195-404 (-97.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 87-207 (-66.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 17-55 (-27.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 17-46 (-17.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 28-67 (-22.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 61-68 (+6.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 30-31 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 30-28 (+8.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
PITTSBURGH is 59-67 (+4.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 84-82 (-33.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 30-43 (-34.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 68-63 (-8.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 68-67 (-31.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 67-61 (-7.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
JACKSON is 10-19 (-12.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
JACKSON is 14-25 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
JACKSON is 9-16 (-10.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 5-4 (+2.7 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

CHARLIE MORTON vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
MORTON is 2-3 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 6.21 and a WHIP of 1.920.
His team's record is 3-4 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-4. (-2.7 units)

EDWIN JACKSON vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
JACKSON is 2-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.79 and a WHIP of 1.474.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

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HOUSTON (42 - 88) at SAN FRANCISCO (69 - 61) - 10:15 PM
HENRY SOSA (R) vs. RYAN VOGELSONG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 29-58 (-21.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
HOUSTON is 19-46 (-21.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 42-88 (-36.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 19-46 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 40-87 (-37.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 31-59 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 25-67 (-35.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 171-134 (+22.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 120-87 (+23.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 172-136 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 142-89 (+29.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-1 (+2.0 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

HENRY SOSA vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
SOSA is 0-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

RYAN VOGELSONG vs. HOUSTON since 1997
VOGELSONG is 2-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 1.89 and a WHIP of 1.105.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.2 units)

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OAKLAND (59 - 70) at NY YANKEES (77 - 50) - 1:05 PM
RICH HARDEN (R) vs. PHIL HUGHES (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 54-66 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 37-50 (-15.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
OAKLAND is 59-70 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 34-8 (+23.3 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
OAKLAND is 58-45 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 34-32 (+30.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +200 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-5 (+0.5 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

RICH HARDEN vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
HARDEN is 2-3 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.00 and a WHIP of 1.644.
His team's record is 4-4 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-4. (-0.5 units)

PHIL HUGHES vs. OAKLAND since 1997
HUGHES is 2-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.501.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

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DETROIT (70 - 59) at TAMPA BAY (70 - 58) - 1:10 PM
DOUG FISTER (R) vs. JEREMY HELLICKSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 38-63 (-22.8 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
FISTER is 16-37 (-19.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FISTER is 2-16 (-15.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FISTER is 1-11 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
FISTER is 10-28 (-17.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 37-23 (+10.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
TAMPA BAY is 25-26 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 47-41 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 27-34 (-11.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-1 (+4.8 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

DOUG FISTER vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
FISTER is 1-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.00 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

JEREMY HELLICKSON vs. DETROIT since 1997
HELLICKSON is 1-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 1.35 and a WHIP of 0.825.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

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BALTIMORE (50 - 77) at MINNESOTA (55 - 74) - 1:10 PM
JO-JO REYES (L) vs. FRANCISCO LIRIANO (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 43-73 (-27.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 293-415 (-117.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 50-78 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 21-42 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
REYES is 2-12 (-13.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 27-45 (-13.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MINNESOTA is 8-19 (-9.8 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
MINNESOTA is 3-11 (-9.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
LIRIANO is 8-16 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 5-2 (+3.4 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

JO-JO REYES vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
REYES is 0-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.17 and a WHIP of 1.940.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

FRANCISCO LIRIANO vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
LIRIANO is 2-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.26 and a WHIP of 1.242.
His team's record is 2-1 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

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KANSAS CITY (53 - 77) at TORONTO (66 - 63) - 7:07 PM
JEFF FRANCIS (L) vs. BRETT CECIL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 53-77 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 31-67 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 2-15 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters this season.
TORONTO is 298-212 (+51.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
TORONTO is 47-35 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 66-63 (+3.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 64-53 (+18.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CECIL is 14-7 (+10.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 30-28 (+8.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-3 (+0.9 Units) against TORONTO this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

JEFF FRANCIS vs. TORONTO since 1997
FRANCIS is 2-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 2.08 and a WHIP of 1.077.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

BRETT CECIL vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
CECIL is 0-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.27 and a WHIP of 1.422.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

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BOSTON (79 - 50) at TEXAS (74 - 57) - 8:05 PM
ANDREW MILLER (L) vs. ALEXI OGANDO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 33-11 (+15.1 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 52-26 (+13.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BOSTON is 38-16 (+18.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 41-26 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 4-2 (+1.9 Units) against BOSTON this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

ANDREW MILLER vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

ALEXI OGANDO vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

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**Udog** · 08-25-2011, 08:23 AM

NFLX
Dunkel

Washington at Baltimore
The Redskins look to build on their two preseason wins as they visit Baltimore tonight. Washington is the pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Ravens favored by only 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+5 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, AUGUST 25

Game 251-252: Carolina at Cincinnati (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 118.839; Cincinnati 116.398
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 2 1/2; 31
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 2 1/2; 34
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+2 1/2); Under

Game 253-254: Cleveland at Philadelphia (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 117.278; Philadelphia 127.373
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 10; 44
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 7; 40
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-7); Over

Game 255-256: Washington at Baltimore (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 121.113; Baltimore 124.493
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 3 1/2; 35
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 5 1/2; 33 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+5 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 08-25-2011, 08:24 AM

NFLX
Long Sheet

Thursday, August 25

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CAROLINA (1 - 1) at CINCINNATI (0 - 2) - 8/25/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1993.
CINCINNATI is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) against NFC South division opponents since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CLEVELAND (1 - 1) at PHILADELPHIA (1 - 1) - 8/25/2011, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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WASHINGTON (2 - 0) at BALTIMORE (1 - 1) - 8/25/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1993.
WASHINGTON is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, August 26

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GREEN BAY (1 - 1) at INDIANAPOLIS (0 - 2) - 8/26/2011, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 1-0 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ST LOUIS (2 - 0) at KANSAS CITY (0 - 2) - 8/26/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1993.
KANSAS CITY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, August 27

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NY JETS (1 - 1) at NY GIANTS (1 - 1) - 8/27/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY JETS are 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1993.
NY JETS are 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games since 1993.
NY JETS are 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road lined games since 1993.
NY JETS are 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1993.
NY JETS are 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1993.
NY GIANTS are 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1993.
NY GIANTS are 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 1-1 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 1-1 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSONVILLE (1 - 1) at BUFFALO (0 - 2) - 8/27/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 38 points since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (0 - 2) at PITTSBURGH (1 - 1) - 8/27/2011, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MIAMI (2 - 0) at TAMPA BAY (1 - 1) - 8/27/2011, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) as an underdog since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ENGLAND (2 - 0) at DETROIT (2 - 0) - 8/27/2011, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CHICAGO (1 - 1) at TENNESSEE (1 - 1) - 8/27/2011, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DALLAS (1 - 1) at MINNESOTA (1 - 1) - 8/27/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 15-36 ATS (-24.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 1-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 1-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (2 - 0) at SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 1) - 8/27/2011, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SEATTLE (1 - 1) at DENVER (1 - 1) - 8/27/2011, TBA
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) against NFC West division opponents since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 1-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN DIEGO (1 - 1) at ARIZONA (1 - 1) - 8/27/2011, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday, August 28

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NEW ORLEANS (1 - 1) at OAKLAND (0 - 2) - 8/28/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1993.
NEW ORLEANS is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games since 1993.
NEW ORLEANS is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road lined games since 1993.
NEW ORLEANS is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 38 points since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 08-25-2011, 08:25 AM

NFLX
Short Sheet

Thursday, 8/25/2011

CAROLINA at CINCINNATI, 7:00 PM ET
CAROLINA: 6-0 Under in all NFLX games
CINCINNATI: 0-8 ATS vs. NFC South

CLEVELAND at PHILADELPHIA, 7:30 PM ET
CLEVELAND: 8-2 Over in all games
PHILADELPHIA: 1-6 ATS off Thursday game

WASHINGTON at BALTIMORE, 8:00 PM ET ESPN
WASHINGTON: 2-12 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
BALTIMORE: 15-4 Under off an Over

Friday, 8/26/2011

GREEN BAY at INDIANAPOLIS, 8:00 PM ET CBS
GREEN BAY: 28-12 Over as favorite
INDIANAPOLIS: 26-12 Over as underdog

ST LOUIS at KANSAS CITY, 8:00 PM ET
ST LOUIS: 7-1 ATS vs. AFC
KANSAS CITY: 0-7 ATS as underdog

Saturday, 8/27/2011

NY JETS at NY GIANTS, 7:00 PM ET
NY JETS: 13-4 ATS vs. Giants
NY GIANTS: 6-1 Over off home win by 10+ pts

JACKSONVILLE at BUFFALO, 7:00 PM ET
JACKSONVILLE: 8-0 Over off BB ATS losses
BUFFALO: 13-4 ATS after scoring 17 pts or less BB games

ATLANTA at PITTSBURGH, 7:30 PM ET
ATLANTA: 23-9 ATS off SU loss
PITTSBURGH: 6-1 ATS as favorite

MIAMI at TAMPA BAY, 7:30 PM ET
MIAMI: 26-12 ATS as underdog
TAMPA BAY: 7-0 Under at home vs. Miami

NEW ENGLAND at DETROIT, 8:00 PM ET CBS
NEW ENGLAND: 8-2 Over after scoring 30+ pts
DETROIT: 6-0 ATS off non-conf game

CHICAGO at TENNESSEE, 7:00 PM ET
CHICAGO: 0-3 ATS after scoring 14 pts or less
TENNESSEE: 1-5 ATS after allowing 7 pts 1st half BB games

DALLAS at MINNESOTA, 8:00 PM ET
DALLAS: 1-6 ATS as a road favorite
MINNESOTA: 5-1 ATS in dome games

HOUSTON at SAN FRANCISCO, 8:00 PM ET
HOUSTON: 0-7 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better
SAN FRANCISCO: 5-1 ATS as home underdog

SEATTLE at DENVER, TBA ET
SEATTLE: 21-9 ATS off SU loss
DENVER: 22-9 ATS vs. NFC West

SAN DIEGO at ARIZONA, 10:00 PM ET
SAN DIEGO: 20-8 Over off an Under
ARIZONA: 0-3 ATS off an Over

Sunday, 8/28/2011

NEW ORLEANS at OAKLAND, 8:00 PM ET NBC
NEW ORLEANS: 27-12 ATS in road games
OAKLAND: 25-11 Under off an Under

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**Udog** · 08-25-2011, 08:27 AM

NFLX

Thursday, 8/25/2011

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NFL Thursday preseason: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Carolina Panthers at Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5, 34)

Starter Report

Panthers: As expected, QB Cam Newton and the rest of Carolina's starters will play three quarters Thursday night against Cincinnati. The Panthers are game-planning for the Bengals as if this is a regular season game.

WR Steve Smith said he plans to play against Cincinnati. Smith hasn't played in the first two exhibition games due to a finger injury.

Meanwhile, QB Cam Newton continues to bone up on the playbook.

"Coming out here each and every day and going home each and every day and going over what we had in with the installations each day, it’s been a slow process,” said Newton. “I'm just trying to keep progressing up that hill.”

Bengals: Coach Marvin Lewis said he expects the same number of reps for the first-team offense versus Carolina, as has been the case during the first two games when they played the entire first half.

New Bengals’ quarterback Andy Dalton, a 2nd round pick in this year’s NFL draft, has been ineffective this exhibition season. In eleven preseason drives led by Dalton, the Bengals first-team offense went without a first down six times. Five times they punted and three times Dalton tossed an interception.

Dalton refuses to use the weather as an excuse for his mediocre play or the team’s two losses. "We cannot make the weather an excuse," he said. "Both teams had to play in (the rain). We just were not quick to start off."

Thing to remember: The 61-10 margin of defeat (34-3 at Detroit, 27-7 at the Jets) through two preseason games is the worst in Cincinnati’s team history. The previous record was 31 points (20-0 at Kansas City, 28-17 at the Jets) in 1986.

Cleveland Browns at Philadelphia Eagles (-7, 40)

Starter Report

Browns: Head coach Pat Shurmur said the starters will play at least the first half against the Eagles. Look for them to play well into the third quarter.

Pro Bowl WR/KR Josh Cribs (hamstring) returned to the practice field this week. He is questionable for tonight’s contest.

LG Eric Steinbach (back) and RB Brandon Jackson (toe) are still out.

Left tackle Joe Thomas inked a huge seven-year, $84 million contract extension that will keep him in Cleveland for another decade. Thomas is excited about the extension and the Browns’ direction under Shurmur.

"We're already seeing great strides. We're going to throw the ball and attack defenses. I like having an offensive head coach (in Shurmur). He's another reason I wanted to stay."

Eagles: Coach Andy Reid said QB Michael Vick and the rest of the starters will play the entire first half and at least the first series of the third quarter versus the Browns.

RB Ronnie Brown has just 47 yards on 15 carries in two preseason games, but the former Dolphins first-round pick said it's just a matter of getting adjusted to a new team and a different system. The Eagles are toying with the possibility of having Brown return kickoffs.

Things to remember: The Eagles are 2-9 SU and 1-10 ATS in final preseason home games since 2000. Reid has been a preseason favorite of more than five points three times in his NFL career. Philadelphia is 0-3 ATS in those games.

Washington Redskins at Baltimore Ravens (-5.5, 33.5)

Starter Report

Redskins: Redskins coach Mike Shanahan would not reveal who will start at quarterback against Baltimore, but he said that both Rex Grossman and John Beck will work with the starters.

Grossman says he notices a difference now that he's entering a third year in this offensive system. Being able to start three games in 2010 helped, too.

"You have more ease about everything," he said. "That's what I'm feeling."

Facing an aggressive defense this week should be good for Beck. His longest pass against Indianapolis was only 16 yards in the air as the Colts played a lot of two-deep zone, forcing underneath throws.

Baltimore's aggressive style provides more time for downfield tosses.

Ravens: Coach John Harbaugh said the plan tonight is to play the starters into the third quarter, possibly through three quarters. He added that veterans such as LB Ray Lewis, S Ed Reed, OLB Terrell Suggs and DT Haloti Ngata will not play very long.

DC Chuck Pagano has blitzed and mixed coverages up this preseason, even after he told reporters he’d keep things vanilla.

“We kind of expected it, that’s Chuck’s personality,” OLB Jarret Johnson said. “I can’t believe he said he was going to be vanilla.”

Things to remember: Baltimore is 4-1 SU and ATS the last five meetings in this series during the preseason since 2005. Shanahan has been a preseason dog of more than five points on six different occasions in his NFL career. His teams managed to win all six games straight-up.

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**Udog** · 08-25-2011, 08:30 AM

CFL
Dunkel

Hamilton at Winnipeg
The Tiger-Cats look to build on their 8-2 ATS record in their last 10 Friday games. Hamilton is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Bluebombers favored by only 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+3 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

FRIDAY, AUGUST 26

Game 491-492: Hamilton at Winnipeg (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 114.051; Winnipeg 115.615
Dunkel Line: Winnipeg by 1 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Winnipeg by 3 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+3 1/2); Over

SATURDAY, AUGUST 27

Game 493-494: Montreal at Calgary (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 116.673; Calgary 118.638
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 2; 51
Vegas Line: Calgary by 1; 55
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-1); Under

CFL
Long Sheet

Friday, August 26

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HAMILTON (4 - 3) at WINNIPEG (6 - 1) - 8/26/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
WINNIPEG is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
WINNIPEG is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 5-3 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 5-3 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, August 27

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MONTREAL (5 - 2) at CALGARY (5 - 2) - 8/27/2011, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.
CALGARY is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 3-1 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 3-1 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL

Week 9

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Trend Report
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Friday, August 26

8:00 PM
HAMILTON vs. WINNIPEG
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hamilton's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games at home

Saturday, August 27

4:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. CALGARY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing Calgary
Montreal is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Montreal
Calgary is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Montreal

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Announcement

Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 8/25 ( MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 8/25 ( MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

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