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  • The Bum's Thursday's Best Bets MLB-WNBA-CFL !

    Minnesota Twins Host Sabathia And New York Yankees

    Ten games are on Thursday's MLB betting slate, including the start of a 4-game series at Target Field between the New York Yankees and Minnesota Twins. The first pitch is slated to be thrown at 5:10 p.m. (PT), and there will be live coverage of the game on WWOR and FOX Sports North.

    The Yankees are still coasting right now, as they are comfortably in the playoffs. They've got a 9 ½-game cushion on postseason safety 120 games into the season, so barring a collapse of epic proportions, they'll once again be in the second season.

    The question is whether or not New York will hold off the Boston Red Sox for the AL East crown, and most likely the top seed in the American League side of the playoffs.

    The other top question right now in the Bronx is whether CC Sabathia is going to win the AL Cy Young Award for the second time in his career. Sabathia arguably got hosed out of the award last year when he went 21-7, and he'll have yet another chance to try to log his 17th win of this year on Thursday night.

    Unfortunately for Sabathia, this is going to be his third attempt at 17 wins. He was lit up for seven runs in six innings against the Boston Red Sox in a 10-4 loss a week and a half ago, and last Friday, the Tampa Bay Rays hit five solo home runs off of him in a 5-1 loss.

    Needless to say, this isn't what we've come to expect out of Sabathia. He is still 16-7 on the campaign, and he has a 2.93 ERA in spite of his back to back iffy starts. Batters are still only hitting .241 against him, and as a result, he has a WHIP of 1.14.

    Sabathia threw seven shutout innings and struck out six against the Twins when he faced them in April, but his bullpen blew the game.

    The man that started that day for manager Rod Gardenhire is also going to be on the mound on Thursday night. Brian Duensing allowed four runs in seven innings but was bailed out by his pen to avoid taking the loss in the Bronx.

    Just like Sabathia, Minnesota's southpaw has fallen upon rough times of late. He has lost three in a row and has gotten absolutely no help from his offense either. The Twins have only scored two runs total in Duensing's last three starts.

    For the season, the lefty is 8-11 with a 4.53 ERA. Batters are knocking him around to the tune of a .288 batting average, which is 41 points higher than last season when he had a 2.62 ERA and mostly pitched in relief.

    Duensing has allowed at least five runs in three of his last five starts, and if that remains the case against the Yankees and their offense, which is averaging an MLB best 5.40 runs per game, it could be a long game against Sabathia.

    This has definitely been a series that has belonged to the Yankees historically. They are 8-1 in their last nine clashes here in Minnesota, including going 5-1 in their two series here at Target Field last year. To make matters worse, the Twins are just 19-59 in their last 78 clashes against the Bronx Bombers.

    Isolated storms are expected at Target Field on Thursday night, but they shouldn't be a huge problem. Temperatures should be nice in the high-70s around the time of the first pitch, and winds should be light around 10 mph out of the south.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    Atlanta Braves Close MLB Odds Series With Giants

    The San Francisco Giants will try to get their season back on track Thursday when they visit the Atlanta Braves in the final game of their four-game series.

    Thursday’s game is set to start at 4:10 p.m. (PT) at Turner Field, with Tim Lincecum and Mike Minor taking the mound.

    With a 9-3 record (+4.75 units) over their last 12 games, Atlanta has built a nice lead of six games over San Francisco in the NL Wild Card race. San Francisco has been heading in the wrong direction, going just 5-13 (-10.65 units) in the last 18 games.

    The losing skid has dropped San Francisco (66-57) out of first place in the NL West and entered Wednesday’s action 3.5 games behind Arizona. The offense has been anemic for the Giants, and deadline-acquisition Carlos Beltran was just placed on the disabled with a hand injury that kept him out of action last week as well.

    Lincecum (11-9, 2.58 ERA) has been one of the few bright spots for the Giants lately. The Giants are 5-2 in Lincecum’s last seven trips to the hill (+2.10 units), and he has surrendered one earned run or less in six of those seven games.

    Nine career starts vs. Atlanta have netted Lincecum 6-3 record with a 3.34 ERA. In his only start against them this season back on April 23, he surrendered five runs over 6 1/3 innings and received the loss.

    Entering Wednesday seven games behind Philadelphia in the NL East, Atlanta (72-51) looks entrenched in that Wild Card spot. But with plenty of games left on the schedule (including six against Philadelphia), Atlanta doesn’t appear to be giving up the NL East without a fight.

    Minor (2-2, 4.84 ERA) hasn’t been great in his two games filling in for Jair Jurrjens (who returned from the DL Wednesday), but he’s been good enough for the Braves to win in both spot starts. In fact, in his eight spot starts this season, Atlanta is 6-2 (+3.70 units), and they’ve won in the last five games he’s started.

    This will be Minor's first career start against the Giants. With Tommy Hanson now on the DL, Minor may hold on to his rotation spot despite Jurrjens’ return.

    The Braves swept the Giants in San Francisco back in late April, and took the first two games of this series as well. The ‘over’ was 3-2 in those five games.

    San Francisco is 31-32 on the road this season (-0.89 units) and Atlanta is 37-24 at home (+1.80 units). Atlanta is 18-7 in their last 25 games at home.

    The total has gone ‘under’ in eight of the last 10 games these two teams have played in Atlanta.

    In addition to Beltran being on the DL, San Francisco is listing 2B Jeff Keppinger as questionable with a wrist injury.

    Weather reports suggest a slight chance of thunderstorms Thursday evening.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Around the Horn - Thursday

      August 17, 2011



      NATIONAL LEAGUE


      Los Angeles at Milwaukee - 2:10 PM EST (Game 4/4)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Kershaw (14-5, 2.72 ERA) 5-3 L8 5-0 L5 Game 4's
      Estrada (3-7, 4.46 ERA) 18-2 L20 18-5 home during day

      Brewers beat Dodgers, 3-0 on Monday
      Brewers beat Dodgers, 2-1 on Tuesday

      Arizona at Philadelphia - 7:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Kennedy (15-3, 3.12 ERA) 8-2 L10 1-6 L7 away Game 3's
      Worley (8-1, 2.85 ERA) 11-3 L14 13-5 home Game 3's

      Diamondbacks beat Phillies, 3-2 on Tuesday
      Phillies beat Diamondbacks, 9-2 on Wednesday

      Cincinnati at Washington - 7:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Arroyo (7-9, 5.31 ERA) 5-2 L7 7-2 L9 away Game 3's
      Zimmermann (7-10, 3.23 ERA) 4-7 L11 9-4 L13 home Game 3's

      Nationals beat Reds, 6-4 on Tuesday
      Reds beat Nationals, 2-1 on Wednesday

      San Francisco at Atlanta - 7:10 PM EST (Game 4/4)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Lincecum (11-9, 2.58 ERA) 5-8 L13 UNDER 12-2 on Thursdays
      Minor (2-2, 4.84 ERA) 9-4 L13 6-2 L8 on Thursdays

      Braves beat Giants, 5-4 on Monday
      Braves beat Giants, 2-1 on Tuesday
      Giants beat Braves, 7-5 on Wednesday

      Florida at San Diego - 10:05 PM EST (Game 1/4)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Vazquez (7-10, 4.68 ERA) 2-10 L12 3-8 L11 away Game 1's
      Stauffer (7-9, 3.53 ERA) 5-5 L10 0-5 L5 home Game 1's

      Padres lost to Mets, 7-3 on Wednesday

      AMERICAN LEAGUE


      N.Y. Yankees at Minnesota - 8:05 PM EST (Game 1/4)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Sabathia (16-7, 2.93 ERA) 5-1 L6 6-2 L8 away Game 3's
      Duensing (8-9, 4.99 ERA) 2-8 L10 OVER 9-3 L12 home Game 1's


      Boston at Kansas City - 8:10 PM EST (Game 1/4)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Beckett (9-5, 2.40 ERA) 8-4 L12 OVER 5-1 L6 away Game 1's
      Hochevar (8-9, 4.89 ERA) 2-10 L12 5-2 L7 home on Thursdays

      Red Sox lost to Rays, 4-0 on Wednesday

      Cleveland at Chicago - 8:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Masterson (9-7, 2.69 ERA) 4-2 L6 2-9 L11 away Game 3's
      Humber (8-8, 3.67 ERA) 9-2 L11 UNDER 7-1 L8 home Game 3's

      White Sox beat Indians, 8-7 on Tuesday

      Texas at Los Angeles - 10:05 PM EST (Game 4/4)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Lewis (11-8, 4.01 ERA) 9-3 L12 UNDER 6-1 Game 4's
      Weaver (14-6, 2.13 ERA) 5-5 L10 4-1 L5 on Thursdays

      Rangers beat Angels, 8-4 on Monday
      Rangers beat Angels, 7-3 on Tuesday

      Toronto at Oakland - 10:10 PM EST (Game 1/4)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Romero (11-9, 2.87 ERA) 5-5 L10 OVER 6-0 L6 on Thursdays
      Cahill (9-11, 3.92 ERA) 5-5 L10 2-5 L7 on Thursdays

      Athletics beat Orioles, 6-5 on Wednesday
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        Connecticut Sun, New York Liberty WNBA Betting Preview

        The Connecticut Sun will go for their third straight victory against the New York Liberty on Thursday and try to win for the fifth time in six games overall. Tip-off from Newark's Prudential Center is 4:00 p.m. (PT).

        The Sun (16-8) and Liberty (14-11) are two of five teams in the six-team Eastern Conference coming off a win heading into Thursday’s WNBA betting action. Connecticut trails conference-leading Indiana by 1 ½ games and owns a losing road record at 5-6 but won its last game away from home at Phoenix in overtime on August 7, 96-95.

        Connecticut was a 6 ½-point road underdog in that game and has gone 9-3 against the spread in its last 12 games overall.

        The Sun are coming off a 108-79 rout of Minnesota on Tuesday, tallying a season high for points and covering as 5-point favorites with five players scoring in double figures. Four of their last six games have gone ‘over’ the total.

        The Liberty trail first place by four games and had dropped three of their past four straight-up prior to a 69-66 win over Washington on Tuesday. They just missed covering the 4-point spread in that game and have now failed to cover five straight.

        New York got a game-high 26 points, six rebounds and two assists from Cappie Pondexter against the Mystics who have dropped two straight and stand 5-17 on the season. The ‘under’ has cashed in seven of New York’s last nine games along with nine of 12.

        The Liberty faced Connecticut twice in the middle of July, losing both times by a combined 15 points. They had won the previous four meetings before that, including two that were decided in overtime.

        Four of the last nine games between these teams have required an extra session.

        Tina Charles led the Sun in the last meeting on July 19, scoring a game-high 24 points on 11-of-20 shooting en route to an 85-79 victory. The game went ‘over’ the 153 ½-point total after the ‘under’ went 4-1-1 in the previous six meetings.

        New York actually outscored Connecticut in three of the four quarters, but the Sun used a 28-15 advantage in the second quarter to build a 47-35 halftime lead.

        The Liberty have won five of their last six home games since losing to Connecticut at the Prudential Center on July 15, 68-59. The ‘under’ is 10-1 in New York’s last 11 home games and 8-2 in the past 10 meetings there.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          Liberty were 8 point favorites in their 69-66 win tuesday night over the mystics.

          Originally posted by StarDust Bum View Post
          Connecticut Sun, New York Liberty WNBA Betting Preview

          The Connecticut Sun will go for their third straight victory against the New York Liberty on Thursday and try to win for the fifth time in six games overall. Tip-off from Newark's Prudential Center is 4:00 p.m. (PT).

          The Sun (16-8) and Liberty (14-11) are two of five teams in the six-team Eastern Conference coming off a win heading into Thursday’s WNBA betting action. Connecticut trails conference-leading Indiana by 1 ½ games and owns a losing road record at 5-6 but won its last game away from home at Phoenix in overtime on August 7, 96-95.

          Connecticut was a 6 ½-point road underdog in that game and has gone 9-3 against the spread in its last 12 games overall.

          The Sun are coming off a 108-79 rout of Minnesota on Tuesday, tallying a season high for points and covering as 5-point favorites with five players scoring in double figures. Four of their last six games have gone ‘over’ the total.

          The Liberty trail first place by four games and had dropped three of their past four straight-up prior to a 69-66 win over Washington on Tuesday. They just missed covering the 4-point spread in that game and have now failed to cover five straight.

          New York got a game-high 26 points, six rebounds and two assists from Cappie Pondexter against the Mystics who have dropped two straight and stand 5-17 on the season. The ‘under’ has cashed in seven of New York’s last nine games along with nine of 12.

          The Liberty faced Connecticut twice in the middle of July, losing both times by a combined 15 points. They had won the previous four meetings before that, including two that were decided in overtime.

          Four of the last nine games between these teams have required an extra session.

          Tina Charles led the Sun in the last meeting on July 19, scoring a game-high 24 points on 11-of-20 shooting en route to an 85-79 victory. The game went ‘over’ the 153 ½-point total after the ‘under’ went 4-1-1 in the previous six meetings.

          New York actually outscored Connecticut in three of the four quarters, but the Sun used a 28-15 advantage in the second quarter to build a 47-35 halftime lead.

          The Liberty have won five of their last six home games since losing to Connecticut at the Prudential Center on July 15, 68-59. The ‘under’ is 10-1 in New York’s last 11 home games and 8-2 in the past 10 meetings there.

          Comment


          • #6
            Thanks Porkie.....guess the writer screwed that up....

            Diamond Trends - Thursday

            August 18, 2011

            SU TREND OF THE DAY:


            The Phillies are 11-0 since July 10, 2010 as a home 140+ favorite after a win in which they had 12+ hits and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $1100.


            OU TREND OF THE DAY:


            The Nationals are 0-10-1 OU since April 25, 2010 at home beyond the first series of the year after playing as a dog and it is the last game of a three game series when they split the first two for a net profit of $895 when playing the under.


            STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:


            The Yankees are 10-0 since May 19, 2009 when CC Sabathia starts as a 200+ favorite in the first game of a series for a net profit of $1000.


            MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:


            The Dodgers are 1-13 (-2.5 rpg) since April 28, 2010 in the last game of a road series after a loss in which they had 6 or fewer hits.


            TODAY’S TRENDS:


            The Yankees are 9-0 since April 28, 2010 as a 200+ favorite when they are off a loss in which they held the lead for a net profit of $900.

            The Diamondbacks are 8-0 since August 09, 2010 when Ian Kennedy starts in August for a net profit of $905.

            The Blue Jays are 0-8 OU since May 03, 2010 on the road within 20 cents of pickem after a win and it is the first game of the series for a net profit of $800 when playing the under.
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #7
              CFL Betting Notes - Week 8

              August 16, 2011

              A couple of teams decided to assert themselves last week as the CFL regular season approaches the mid-way point. Montreal made a statement by dressing down the upstart Edmonton Eskimos 27-4 as a 6 ½-point home favorite to kick things off this past Thursday. Meanwhile, Calgary pounded out a 45-35 victory over Saskatchewan as a 3 ½-point road favorite in Friday’s West Division showdown.
              In an East Division clash on Saturday, Hamilton outlasted Toronto 37-32 but could not cover as a 7 ½-point home favorite. Winnipeg stayed on top in the East with a 30-17 rout of British Columbia as a 1 ½-point road underdog in Saturday’s nightcap.

              There are only two games on the CFL schedule this week as half the teams are idle with a bye. The following is brief preview of each game along with the opening point spread and ‘over/under’ lines as provided by BetOnline.com.

              Thursday, August 18

              Saskatchewan Roughriders at Toronto Argonauts (-2 ½) Over/Under (54)

              Saskatchewan has dug itself an early hole with a 1-6 record both straight up record and against the spread. The squad will have to quickly make up ground if it has any hopes of returning to a third-straight Grey Cup Championship. Toronto has also reverted back to its old ways with a 1-6 start. The Argonauts have not been going down without a fight as they are 3-4 ATS. Last season these two split the season series with each team winning and covering the spread on the road. The Roughriders won the first matchup 27-16 as 3 ½-point road favorites in early October and the Argonauts evened things up a week later with a 24-19 victory as 11 ½ point road underdogs. The total stayed ‘under’ the 49-point line each time.

              Until that loss, the Roughriders had dominated the series with five SU wins in-a-row and victories in seven of the last eight . They are 5-1 ATS in their last six trips to Percival-Molson Stadium in Toronto and the total has stayed ‘under’ in seven of the last 10 meetings there.

              Saskatchewan quarterback Darian Durant is ranked sixth in the CFL in passing with 1,660 yards. He is completing 62.8 percent of his passes, but has eight interceptions to go along with eight touchdowns. Backup QB Cleo Lemon continues to fill in for Steven Jyles, who remains on the Argonauts nine-week injured list with a bad shoulder. Lemon has thrown for 1,410 yards and is completing 65.1 percent of his passes.

              Friday, August 19

              BC Lions at Edmonton Eskimos (-6) Over/Under (50 ½)

              BC has managed just one win this season against six losses. The Lions are 2-5 ATS overall and 1-2 ATS on the road this season. Edmonton dropped its second straight game after winning its first five. The Eskimos are now tied with Calgary atop the West Division at 5-2 SU (4-3 ATS). They are 3-0 SU at home and 2-1 ATS. They met in Week 3 this season with Edmonton coming away with a 33-17 victory as a 2 ½-point home favorite. The total stayed ‘under’ the 54 ½-point line.

              This was the Eskimos third win in-a-row over BC and sixth in the last 10 meetings SU dating back to the 2008 season. They are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings overall, but just 2-4 ATS in the last six games at home. The total has gone ‘over’ in five of the last seven meetings in Edmonton and nine of the last 12 games overall.

              This game will feature two of the top four passers in the league in total yards. Travis Lulay comes into this one with 1,764 passing yards for the Lions, while Ricky Ray has tossed the ball for 1,963 yards for Edmonton.
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • #8
                Indians-White Sox meet in Thursday's rubber match

                CLEVELAND INDIANS (61-58, +9.6 Units)

                at CHICAGO WHITE SOX (61-61, -4.9 Units)


                First pitch: Thursday, 8:10 p.m. EDT
                Line: Cleveland -130, Chicago +120, Total: 8

                The Cleveland Indians and the Chicago White Sox will square off Thursday night in an important rubber match to conclude their three-game series. The Indians could use the momentum of a series victory into their trip to division-leading Detroit this weekend.

                Cleveland will send Justin Masterson to the mound on Thursday, who has pitched great against the Sox this year, but hasn’t gotten the victories (1.23 ERA, 1-2 record). Chicago starter Philip Humber has been struggling of late, going 0-4 with a mammoth 7.52 ERA in his past five starts. Cleveland has been nearly unbeatable as a favorite of -125 to -175 this year, going 17-4 (+11.3 Units). The Indians have also thrived in night games with a 49-38 mark (+15.5 Units). The White Sox, on the other hand, are a dismal 27-34 at home (-16.7 Units), including 17-24 at home during night games at U.S. Cellular Field. Expect Masterson and CLEVELAND to get the victory Thursday night.

                These two FoxSheets trends also back the Indians.

                WHITE SOX are 11-25 (30.6%, -18.9 Units) against the money line after 4 or more consecutive home games this season. The average score was WHITE SOX 3.4, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 3*).

                Play On - All favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (CLEVELAND) – below-average AL hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start. (241-127 over the last 5 seasons.) (65.5%, +62.4 units. Rating = 2*).

                Masterson (9-7, 2.69 ERA) pitched well on Friday versus Minnesota, allowing only two runs and five hits in 7.2 innings, but did not end up with a decision. Masterson has been unable to get much run support lately, as Cleveland has scored three runs or fewer in 12 of his past 19 starts. In 63 career innings against Chicago, Masterson has a 2.00 ERA and .231 opponent’s BA. The Indians are expected to get rookie second baseman Jason Kipnis back after he missed three games with soreness in his right side. Kipnis is batting .333 with six homers and 10 RBI in his past 12 games.

                Humber (8-8, 3.67 ERA) will make his first career start against the Indians on Thursday. He has only faced seven Cleveland batters in his career, allowing three hits, one walk and two runs. He got shelled for 11 hits in six innings his last outing against the Orioles on Aug. 10, but did not get a decision. The White Sox need their sluggers Paul Konerko (27 HR) and Carlos Quentin (24 HR) to give Humber some support, but that’s not likely to happen against Masterson. Konerko is 4-for-22 lifetime versus the Cleveland right-hander, while Quentin is even worse at 1-for-19 with eight strikeouts.
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • #9
                  Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
                  08/13/11 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*100 Detail
                  08/12/11 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail
                  08/11/11 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail
                  08/06/11 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail
                  08/05/11 3-*1-*0 75.00% +*950 Detail
                  Totals 9-*5-*0 64.29% +1750

                  Thursday, August 18

                  Game Score Status Pick Amount

                  Saskatchewan - 7:30 PM ET Toronto -3 500

                  Toronto - Under 54 500
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    wrong post
                    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 08-18-2011, 02:08 PM. Reason: wrong post
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      7:00 PM ETConnecticut at New York

                      Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

                      CONN 653 16-8 (5-6 V) - ( 151.5 OVER )

                      NY 654 14-11 (9-4 H) - -2 ( CONN + 2 )

                      Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
                      Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts



                      7:00 PM ETMinnesota at Washington

                      Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

                      MIN 651 18-6 (8-4 V) -( 150.5 UNDER )

                      WAS 652 5-17 (3-8 H) - 7.5 ( WASH + 7.5 )

                      Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
                      Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts



                      10:30 PM ETIndiana at Los Angeles

                      Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

                      IND 655 18-7 (7-5 V) - (152.5 OVER )

                      LA 656 9-14 (6-5 H) - 1 ( IND + 1 )

                      Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
                      Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Thursday, August 18

                        Game Score Status Pick Amount

                        Arizona - 7:05 PM ET Arizona +130 500
                        Philadelphia - Under 8 500

                        Cincinnati - 7:05 PM ET Washington -134 500
                        Washington - Over 8.5 500

                        San Francisco - 7:10 PM ET San Francisco -123 500
                        Atlanta - Over 7 500

                        Boston - 8:10 PM ET Kansas City +163 500
                        Kansas City - Over 8.5 500

                        Cleveland - 8:10 PM ET Cleveland -111 500
                        Chi. White Sox - Under 8 500

                        NY Yankees - 8:10 PM ET NY Yankees -202 500
                        Minnesota - Over 8 500

                        Toronto - 10:05 PM ET Oakland +106 500
                        Oakland - Over 6.5 500

                        Florida - 10:05 PM ET San Diego -125 500
                        San Diego - Under 7 500

                        Texas - 10:05 PM ET Texas +129 500
                        LA Angels - Under 6.5 500
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          MLB Series Outlook: N.Y. Yankees at Minnesota

                          NEW YORK YANKEES (74-47, +11.2 Units)

                          at MINNESOTA TWINS (54-68, -4.0 Units)


                          Sportsbook.com Series Line: New York -220, Minnesota +170

                          The Yankees have won five of seven and taken advantage of a rough patch from the Red Sox (lost five of seven) to gain the AL East lead by half a game. The Twins, on the other hand, are scuffling, going 3-9 in their past 12 games.

                          Minnesota will have to play this series without one of its best hitters in Michael Cuddyer, who is expected to land on the DL with a neck injury. Conversely, the Yankees are healing and will get the addition of slugger Alex Rodriguez at some point in the series. Play on NEW YORK as heavy favorites to win the series, with the struggling Twins only heading further downhill and the Yankees completely owning this series in the past three years by winning 19 of 22 meetings. The Twins are a sub-.500 team at home (27-30) and have only won 30% of their games (9-21, -9.3 Units) against AL East opponents this season.

                          The FoxSheets provide a pair of trends supporting the Yankees.

                          MINNESOTA is 2-17 (10.5%, -15.2 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 5.2 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was MINNESOTA 3.9, OPPONENT 6.6 - (Rating = 2*).

                          YANKEES are 26-9 (74.3%, +13.4 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season. The average score was YANKEES 6.6, OPPONENT 3.6 - (Rating = 1*).

                          Pitching Probables for Thursday, August 18 - 8:10 EDT
                          Thursday line: New York -200, Minnesota +185, Total: 8
                          NYY: 18-8 (+5.65 Units) when CC Sabathia starts
                          MIN: 10-13 (-0.30 Units) when Brian Duensing starts
                          Sabathia (16-7, 2.93 ERA) is coming off two rough starts in which he allowed 12 runs in 14 innings, including serving up five home runs to the Rays Aug. 12. After giving up just six long balls in his first 23 starts, he’s allowed a homer in three straight outings, an item for concern. Still, as one of the best starters in baseball, he is difficult for bettors to play against especially with Cuddyer out, who has a 1.109 OPS against southpaws this year.
                          Duensing (8-11, 4.53 ERA), like Sabathia, has hit a cold patch. He has a 5.68 ERA over his past three starts, allowed 26 hits. The Yankees tagged him for four runs (two homers) in seven innings during his first start of the season in April. Although that was his only start against the Bronx Bombers, he carries a career 6.59 ERA, but excellent .204 opponents’ BA in 13.2 innings against New York.

                          Pitching Probables for Friday, August 19 - 8:10 EDT
                          Friday line: TBD
                          NYY: 5-4 (-0.10 Units) when Phil Hughes starts
                          MIN: 0-0 (0.00 Units) when Kevin Slowey starts
                          Hughes (3-4, 6.55 ERA) is making it tough for Yankees’ manager Joe Girardi to figure out his rotation, throwing a gem his last time out in a win over the Rays (6 IP, 2 ER, 6 K). He has seemingly figured himself out in his past three starts, going six innings each time and allowing a total of four runs for a 2.00 ERA in that span. In one career start against the Twins in May 2009, he allowed three runs in five innings in a no-decision.
                          Kevin Slowey (0-0, 4.91 ERA) get his first official start of the year after six appearances in relief. The veteran righty actually took to the rubber on Sunday for his first start, but it was called for rain in the third inning. He’s never been spectacular in his career, but from 2008-2010 registered double digits in wins with a combined 4.36 ERA. He isn’t the play against a surging Hughes, but he is a guy to keep an eye out on late in the season for surprise plays at the right odds.

                          Pitching Probables for Saturday, August 20 - 7:10 EDT
                          Saturday line: TBD
                          NYY: 12-13 (-6.60 Units) when A.J. Burnett starts
                          MIN: 10-12 (-1.65 Units) when Francisco Liriano starts
                          Burnett (9-9, 4.61 ERA) is fighting for a spot in the rotation and his annual August woes aren’t helping his cause. In three August starts he’s allowed 14 runs in 16 innings while giving up a whopping 30 hits (.411 opponents’ BA) in that span. He has a 4-1 career record in nine starts against the Twins, with a 3.20 ERA and .231 opponents’ BA.
                          Liriano (8-9, 5.12 ERA) has struggled all season long and there is no indication things are getting better. Over his past three starts spanning 17 innings, he’s given up 23 hits, 15 earned runs (7.94 ERA), 10 walks and 13 strikeouts. The Yankees are 26-11 (70.3%) against lefty starters this year, so he and Duensing should both have a tough time.

                          Pitching Probables for Sunday, August 21 - 2:10 EDT
                          Sunday line: TBD
                          NYY: 11-9 (+0.25 Units) when Freddy Garcia starts
                          MIN: 11-14 (-0.50 Units) when Nick Blackburn starts
                          Garcia (10-7, 3.16 ERA) is currently penciled in for this start, but that is far from a definite thing. He is dealing with a cut on his right index finger and he will not be able to take the mound unless he is able to throw his signature splitter. A trip to the DL is possible. If he can’t go, Ivan Nova (12-4, 4.21 ERA) would likely take his place.
                          Blackburn (7-10, 4.53 ERA) inspires little confidence on the rubber and has faced difficulties since whittling his ERA down to 3.15 in June. Since then, he is 1-5 with a 7.20 ERA in 10 starts. There are positive trends, however, that make him the play for this game. He’s been a great pitcher at home all season long with a 3.50 ERA there compared to on the road, where it’s 5.60. In addition, he’s shown the ability to pitch well against good teams, allowing just one earned run in 13 innings in two starts against the Red Sox.
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                          • #14
                            Originally posted by StarDust Bum View Post
                            Saskatchewan - 7:30 PM ET Toronto -3 500

                            Toronto - Under 54 500
                            Thank you, Bum!

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