Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 8/11 ( MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

[pm530]

MLB
Short Sheet


Thursday, August 11

National League

SAN DIEGO at NY METS, 12:10 PM ET
LUEBKE: 4-1 TSR as an underdog of +100 to +150
NIESE: 12-3 OVER at home when the total is 7.5 or less

COLORADO at CINCINNATI, 12:35 PM ET
CHACIN: 0-4 TSR as an underdog
CUETO: 8-1 OVER as a favorite

MILWAUKEE at ST LOUIS, 8:15 PM ET
GALLARDO: 2-8 TSR as a road underdog of +100 to +125
CARPENTER: 17-5 UNDER in home games against division opponents

HOUSTON at ARIZONA, 9:40 PM ET
MYERS: 10-4 TSR as a road underdog of +150 to +175
SAUNDERS: 28-15 UNDER in night games

WASHINGTON at CHICAGO CUBS, 2:20 PM - ** Write-In Game ET
ZIMMERMANN: 6-2 TSR as a road underdog of +100 to +150
DEMPSTER: 39-19 TSR at home when the money line is +125 to -12

American League

KANSAS CITY at TAMPA BAY, 12:10 PM ET
DUFFY: 4-10 TSR in all games
NIEMANN: 10-2 UNDER as a home favorite of -150 to -200

OAKLAND at TORONTO, 12:37 PM ET
MOSCOSO: 1-5 TSR as a road underdog
MILLS: 4-1 TSR when the total is 9 to 9.5

LA ANGELS at NY YANKEES, 1:05 PM ET
CHATWOOD: 6-2 OVER as a road underdog
COLON: 6-0 TSR in day games

DETROIT at CLEVELAND, 7:05 PM ET
VERLANDER: 18-4 TSR against division opponents
CARMONA: 5-10 TSR when the total is 7 to 8.5

CHI WHITE SOX at BALTIMORE, 7:05 PM ET
BUEHRLE: 15-7 TSR in all games
TILLMAN: 7-4 OVER as a home underdog

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

TSR = Team Start Record

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[Udog]

Good morning, PM! Thank you, buddy!

[Udog]

CFL
Dunkel


Week 7

FRIDAY, AUGUST 12

Game 493-494: Calgary at Saskatchewan (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 115.665; Saskatchewan 108.504
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 7; 52
Vegas Line: Calgary by 3 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-3 1/2); Over


SATURDAY, AUGUST 13

Game 495-496: Toronto at Hamilton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 106.996; Hamilton 117.051
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 10; 47
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 7 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (-7 1/2); Under

Game 497-498: Winnipeg at BC (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 116.711; BC 113.497
Dunkel Line: Winnipeg by 3; 54 1/2
Vegas Line: BC by 1 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+1 1/2); Over




CFL
Long Sheet


Week 7

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Friday, August 12

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CALGARY (4 - 2) at SASKATCHEWAN (1 - 5) - 8/12/2011, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 60-36 ATS (+20.4 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 100-62 ATS (+31.8 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 86-54 ATS (+26.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 6-3 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 5-3 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, August 13

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TORONTO (1 - 5) at HAMILTON (3 - 3) - 8/13/2011, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 5-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 5-3 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WINNIPEG (5 - 1) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (1 - 5) - 8/13/2011, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
WINNIPEG is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
WINNIPEG is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games played on turf this season.
WINNIPEG is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-1 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 3-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL
Write-Up


Week 7

Calgary (4-2) @ Saskatchewan (1-5)-- Surging Stampeders won four of last five games, including 22-18 (-2.5) decision here two weeks ago, as Calgary outrushed Riders 140-79 in tight game. Saskatchewan is already 0-3 at home, losing by 14-14-4 points- their last four games went under the total. Three of last four Calgary games stayed under. Road team won five of six Calgary games; Stamps are 3-0 on road, winning by 2-1-4.

Toronto (1-5) @ Hamilton (4-2)-- Argonauts haven't won since opener, losing last five games by average score of 31-21, with three of last four losses by 9+ points. TiCats won three of last four games; they're 2-0 at home, scoring 33-34 points in wins by 30-8 points. Hamilton was held to 10-20 points in its two losses; they scored 32.5 ppg in four wins this season. TiCats won 33-3 the only time they were favored this year.

Winnipeg (5-1) @ BCLions (1-5)-- Bombers are 6-0 vs spread this year, handing Edmonton its first loss last week, week after they beat this foe 25-20 (-3.5) at home two weeks ago. Winnipeg won last three games, but trailed at half in all three games; they had six sacks vs Lions in game two weeks ago, but were outrushed 145-105. Five of six Winnipeg games, three of last four BC games stayed under total.




CFL


Week 7

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Trend Report
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Friday, August 12

9:00 PM
CALGARY vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Calgary is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Saskatchewan
Calgary is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games at home


Saturday, August 13

7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. HAMILTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Hamilton's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing Toronto

10:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games
Winnipeg is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games
British Columbia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of British Columbia's last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg


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CFL


Week 7

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Canadian bacon: CFL Week 7 betting preview and picks
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Calgary Stampeders vs Saskatchewan Roughriders (+3.5, 49)

According to DE Luc Mullander, who was acquired by the Als from the Riders earlier this week, team morale is at an all-time low in Saskatchewan. Mullander admitted on Twitter that he’s stunned by the contrast in attitudes between Regina and Montreal.

Even at home, with the support of the greatest fans in CFL, the Roughriders are more vulnerable than ever against the Stampeders, who have regained their poise, unity and confidence after a slow start to the season.

And let’s not forget that even when the Stamps lost, they been dominant in the fourth quarter. Ken-Yon Rambo may return after missing last week’s game against Hamilton with an Achilles injury. But with or without Rambo, Henry Burris has the tools to pick apart the Roughriders secondary.

The acquisition of WR Dallas Baker (from the Alouettes in return for Mullander) will give another prime target for QB Darian Durant, but the Roughriders still lack depth in too many key positions.

Pick: Calgary


Toronto Argonauts at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (-7.5, 50)

This will be the first showdown of the year between these great East Division rivals - just don’t expect it to be the intense affair that fans dream of.

The first chunk of the 2011 season has clearly shown one thing: The Tiger-Cats have a much better team than the Argonauts. The Tabbies have greatly improved offensively, in part to the acquisition of RB Avon Cobourne. They are also much better defensively, where they proved to be more aggressive and more creative than their Ontario rivals.

Toronto QB Cleo Lemon will need all the protection he can get from his offensive line Saturday. You can expect the Tiger-Cats to get their claws out after losing to Calgary.

Of course, new defensive coordinator Orlondo Steinauer will bring some fresh ideas to the table. He will need time before changing the philosophy and work habits of a defense that is coming off a brutal loss to the Alouettes in Week 6.

Pick: Hamilton


Winnipeg Blue Bombers at B.C. Lions (-1.5, 49.5)

Against all odds, the Blue Bombers have become one of the most frightening teams in the league. They are a legit threat to overthrow the Alouettes as the top team in the East.

The defensive unit, led by brilliant coordinator Tim Burke, has proved lethal. They lead the CFL in sacks while forcing their opponents to commit turnovers and must be considered among the best defenses in the league.

Unfortunately for the Bombers, they will play against the Lions, who are much better than their record indicates. These Leos are hungrier than ever and can’t afford to drop another game at home.

The Lions’ acquisitions of DB Tad Kornegay and WR Arland Bruce (aka Runako “Babe” Reth) could pay off this week. Wally Buono also made changes on defense, reuniting Korey Banks and Dante Marsh, two defensive backs that gave him excellent performances from 2007 to 2009.

Banks, who has been seeing less action recently for the benefit of Ryan Phillips, won’t need extra motivation to prove to coach Buono that he can still contribute in the secondary.

Pick: B.C.


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