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  • The Bum's Friday's Best Bets MLB-WNBA-CFL !

    New York Yankees, Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Preview

    The Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees are in a heated battle for the AL East title as they start a weekend series Friday night at Fenway Park (4:10 p.m. PT). The Sox have dominated their rival this year (8-1 overall, 2-1 at home).

    Boston (68-41) leads New York (67-42) by one game in the AL East standings, with the Yanks currently leading the wild card by eight games. Both squads desperately want to win the division and there’s a good chance they’ll have their first playoff matchup since 2004.

    Both team’s records are pending Thursday night contests. Boston is trying to take three of four at home against Cleveland, while New York is looking for its first 4-game sweep at the White Sox since 1976. Note that Erik Bedard makes his Sox debut Thursday night.

    Jon Lester (11-4, 3.17 ERA) opens this series for the Red Sox. He’s made just two starts since the All-Star break as they were careful with him coming off a strained lat. He has a 2.03 ERA in those two starts, including allowing two runs over eight innings at the White last Saturday (10-2 win).

    The 27-year-old lefty has a higher ERA at home (3.86) than away (2.75). Boston is 1-3 in his last four home starts, giving little run support at 2.25 per game. That wasn’t expected for MLB’s most prolific offense (5.49 per game).

    The ‘under’ is 4-0-1 in Lester’s last five starts (3-0 at home).

    Lester has won both starts against the Yankees this year despite a 5.25 ERA. Both were in the Bronx. He has a 3.60 ERA in four home starts against them from 2008-2010, with Boston winning three.

    The Yankees are 24-7 against a lefty starter this year, excluding Lester.

    The Yankees and GM Brian Cashman were criticized for being quiet at the trade deadline, but they’re 14-5 in their last 19 and getting unexpected contributions from starters Freddy Garcia and Bartolo Colon.

    Colon (8-6, 3.30 ERA) will try to continue his Cinderella story Friday night. He didn’t even pitch in the majors last year and almost everyone thought he was done in his late 30s. However, he underwent a controversial stem cell procedure in his elbow and shoulder, and has turned back the clock.

    Colon is 2-1 with a 2.45 ERA in his last three starts, winning his last two at home against Baltimore and Oakland. He did have a hamstring injury in June and then some struggles in the first half of July, but he appears to be past that.

    This is Colon’s third appearance against Boston this year. He had a quality start (two earned runs over six innings) at home in May, with the Yanks losing 5-4. He made a relief appearance for Phil Hughes at Fenway back in early April. He pitched a solid 4 1/3 innings, surrendering just one earned run.

    Colon has an impressive 2.81 road ERA this season, with the ‘under’ 5-1 in his last six away.

    New York is 30-20 on the road this year (+8.4 units), 7-2 in the last nine. The ‘under’ is 7-2 in those last nine away.

    Boston is 35-20 at home this year (-1.4 units), but 19-7 in the last 26 there.

    The ‘under’ is 5-2 in the Red Sox’ last seven games, scoring a pedestrian (for them) 4.57 runs per game.

    Boston could be without Clay Buchholz (back injury) for the entire season, putting more pressure on guys like Lester and Josh Beckett. The Yanks are still without Alex Rodriguez (knee), who keeps making off-the field headlines as well.

    Weather should be beautiful, clear and in the low 70s. Saturday afternoon’s pitching matchup is a major advantage for the Yanks with CC Sabathia going for his 14th win in 16 games. The less-than-impressive John Lackey pitches for the home team.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    Atlanta Braves Begin Series At NY Mets

    The Atlanta Braves will look to increase their lead in the NL wild card race when they visit the New York Mets for the opening game of a three-game series this Friday night.

    Friday night’s game will be played at Citi Field, and is set to start at 4:10 p.m. (PT). Right-handers Tim Hudson and R.A. Dickey will be on the mound.

    Due to Philadelphia’s dominance in the NL East, the best these two teams can realistically hope for is the wild card berth. Atlanta currently holds a 2.5-game lead over Arizona for the spot, while New York trails Atlanta by eight games.

    The Braves (64-48) have lost three of their last four, including dropping two of three to the Washington Nationals to kick off this nine-game road trip. Atlanta has scored three runs or less in each of their last 12 losses, and needs to get their offense going more consistently to help out their outstanding staff and bullpen.

    Hudson (10-7, 3.31 ERA) is one member of that outstanding staff, and has pitched very well of late. In his last 10 starts, Hudson is 6-2 with a 2.34 ERA. He hasn’t given up more than three runs in any of those games.

    Despite decent numbers against the Mets over the course of his career (13-8, 3.66 ERA), New York has been a problem team for Hudson in 2011. In Hudson’s two starts against the Mets this season, Atlanta lost both times as the MLB betting favorite with Hudson lasting just four innings in each of those starts.

    New York (55-55) won three straight games (+3.70 units) after trading Carlos Beltran, scoring eight or more runs in each of them, and had the look of a team believing in themselves. Since then, they’ve lost four straight (-4.60 units), and didn’t manage more than three runs of offense in any of those games.

    Dickey (5-9, 3.77 ERA) hasn’t had as sharp of a season as he did in 2010, but he’s generally pitched well enough to give the Mets a chance to win. Despite a personal record of just 1-2 over his last eight starts, New York is 6-2 (+4.70 units) in Dickey’s last eight trips to the mound.

    Dickey outdueled Hudson as the small underdog on June 5 to pick up the win with eight strong innings, but lost his last start against Atlanta as a +125 underdog on Jun 16, giving up four earned runs in four innings.

    The Mets hold a slight lead in the season series of 5-4. The ‘under’ is 5-3-1 over those nine games.

    Atlanta is 30-26 on the road (+3.21 units), while New York is 22-28 at home (-9.91 units).

    Atlanta will be without catcher Brian McCann (back injury), and third baseman Chipper Jones is questionable.

    Weather reports indicate a sunny day with winds of up to 8 mph. Tommy Hanson and Jonathon Niese are projected to take the mound on Saturday.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Jimenez Makes Indians Debut At Texas Rangers

      None of Friday's starting pitchers will be under as much pressure as Ubaldo Jimenez. The right-hander is set for his first assignment as a member of the Cleveland Indians when they travel to Texas to open a weekend series with the Rangers.

      Game 1 is slated for a 5:05 p.m. (PT) first pitch from Rangers southpaw Derek Holland. Opening numbers on the Don Best odds screen listed Texas at -125 with a 9-run total.

      Jimenez's Indians debut is only part of what qualifies this game as hot action on Friday's MLB betting board. The Dallas-Ft. Worth area is expecting high temps to reach 108º-110º all weekend, and this 7:05 p.m. local start could see the thermometer still in triple digits. South winds around 10 mph will be coming in over the right field wall, but that doesn't mean the wind blowing in will hinder batters in this notoriously hitter-friendly park.

      Both Jimenez and Holland are very capable of throwing nine innings, but not in this heat.

      His first start as an American Leaguer is also the first time Jimenez (0-0, 0.00) will be facing the Rangers. A few Texas batters have limited experience against the right-hander, but most of the lineup will be getting their first looks at him.

      Jimenez obviously knows a thing or two about pitching in hitter-friendly environments like Rangers Ballpark. His last 57 starts at Coors Field covered 369 innings and resulted in a very respectable 3.41 ERA.

      The final start he made for the Rockies last Saturday found him working just an inning while allowing four runs and four walks, obviously a case of his mind not being in the game after being told he had been traded. His start before that at Arizona wasn't much better (5 IP, 5 ER).

      Colorado won seven of his last 10 interleague starts, so pitching in the AL shouldn't be much of an issue for the Dominican. Still, Jimenez is being asked to do a lot for an Indians team that is struggling, do so in a short period of time, and do it during a season in which he has also struggled. The Indians went into Thursday's series finale in Boston losers of 10 of their last 13.

      Holland (12-10, 4.14) is coming off a complete game shutout at Toronto last Saturday, his fourth shutout of the season and third in his last five outings. The lanky lefty sports a bloated 5.10 ERA at home, but Rangers hitters have bailed him out and helped the club to a 7-4 record in Holland's 11 home assignments.

      It's been hit or miss for Holland since July started. Four of his six outings since then have seen him go at least six innings and not allow an earned run. The other two totaled six innings combined with 12 earned runs crossing the pay station.

      Holland's first shutout of the season came June 4 in Cleveland, a nifty 5-hitter as a slight 110 favorite vs. Fausto Carmona and the Tribe. That was Holland's first and only career appearance vs. Cleveland.

      That shutout was part of a 4-game sweep by the Rangers at Progressive Field. The Rangers took four of six from the Tribe last season, winning two of three at home where the 'over' also was 2-1.

      Texas remains without the services of All-Star third sacker Adrian Beltre who is on the 15-day disabled list with a hamstring injury. The lineup did have that 20-run explosion against the Twins after Beltre went out of the lineup on July 22. But aside from that game, Texas is plating just 3.7 runs per game and has dropped seven of 12 since Beltre was injured.

      Cleveland is hoping to get outfielders Shin-Soo Choo (thumb) and Grady Sizemore (knee/hernia) back in mid-to-late August.

      Carmona is scheduled to be on the mound for the Indians Saturday night when the series continues. He'll be opposed by another Texas lefty, CJ Wilson.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        Diamond Trends - Friday

        August 5, 2011


        SU TREND OF THE DAY:


        The Cubs are 0-13 since June 19, 2010 at home within 20 cents of pickem after scoring 6+ runs for a net profit of $1305 when playing against.



        OU TREND OF THE DAY:


        The Rays are 0-13-1 OU since May 17, 2010 as a favorite when they are off a win in which they came back from a deficit and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $1305 when playing the under.



        STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:


        The Brewers are 9-0 since June 24, 2010 when Yovani Gallardo starts as a favorite after he had a WHIP of less than one his last start for a net profit of $900.



        MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:


        The Phillies are 0-13 (-1.9 rpg) since September 2006 on the road vs a Nationals League opponent when they are off a win in which their opponent did not draw a walk and struck out fewer than ten times.



        TODAY’S TRENDS:


        The Red Sox are 8-0 OU since April 20, 2010 as a favorite after a loss in which they allowed 12+ hits and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $800 when playing the over.

        The White Sox are 7-0 since April 11, 2010 when Mark Buehrle starts as a favorite after the team lost their last two games for a net profit of $700.

        The Red Sox are 6-0 since May 09, 2010 when Jon Lester starts when their team used 5+ pitchers yesterday for a net profit of $610.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          Around the Horn - Friday

          August 4, 2011


          NATIONAL LEAGUE


          Cincinnati at Chicago - 2:20 PM EST (Game 1/3)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Leake (9-6, 3.89 ERA) 4-2 L6 10-3 L13 away off loss
          Dempster (8-8, 4.96 ERA) 5-0 L5 UNDER 11-3 L14 home during day

          Reds lost to Astros, 5-4 on Wednesday
          Cubs beat Pirates, 7-6 on Thursday

          San Diego at Pittsburgh - 7:05 PM EST (Game 1/3)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Harang (9-3, 3.76 ERA) 4-6 L10 UNDER 7-3 L10 away Game 1's
          Karstens (8-5, 2.49 ERA) 1-9 L10 6-3 L9 home vs non-division

          Padres beat Dodgers, 3-0 on Wednesday
          Pirates lost to Cubs, 7-6 on Thursday

          St. Louis at Florida - 7:10 PM EST (Game 2/4)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Westbrook (9-5, 4.92 ERA) 3-5 L8 OVER 7-2 away on Fridays
          Sanchez (6-4, 3.74 ERA) 8-3 L11 2-8 L10 on Fridays

          Cardinals beat Marlins, 7-4 on Thursday

          Atlanta at N.Y. Mets - 7:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Hudson (10-7, 3.31 ERA) 5-5 L10 7-3 L10 Game 1's
          Dickey (5-9, 3.77 ERA) 0-4 L4 6-2 L8 Game 1's

          Braves beat Nationals, 6-4 on Wednesday
          Mets lost to Marlins, 4-3 on Tuesday

          Milwaukee at Houston - 8:05 PM EST (Game 1/3)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Gallardo (12-7, 3.69 ERA) 8-1 L9 11-2 L13 vs division
          Happ (4-13, 6.01 ERA) 2-4 L6 UNDER 7-3 L10 home vs RHP

          Brewers beat Cardinals, 10-5 on Wednesday
          Astros beat Reds, 5-4 on Wednesday

          Washington at Colorado - 8:40 PM EST (Game 2/4)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Zimmermann (6-9, 3.12 ERA) 4-2 L6 6-2 away on Fridays
          Nicasio (4-3, 3.95 ERA) 3-7 L10 7-2 L9 home Game 2's

          Rockies beat Nationals, 6-3 on Thursday

          Los Angeles at Arizona - 9:40 PM EST (Game 1/3)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Billingsley (9-9, 4.15 ERA) 6-4 L10 7-3 L10 Game 1's
          Collmenter (6-6, 3.10 ERA) 7-3 L10 11-5 L16 home off loss

          Dodgers lost to Padres, 3-0 on Wednesday
          Diamondbacks lost to Giants, 8-1 on Wednesday

          Philadelphia at San Francisco - 10:15 PM EST (Game 2/4)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Worley (7-1, 2.33 ERA) 7-0 L7 6-2 L8 away Game 2's
          Sanchez (4-5, 3.81 ERA) 1-6 L7 UNDER 10-4 L14 home Game 2's

          Phillies beat Giants, 3-0 on Thursday

          AMERICAN LEAGUE


          Toronto at Baltimore - 7:05 PM EST (Game 1/3)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Mills (0-1, 2.57 ERA) 6-3 L9 12-6 away Game 1's
          Hunter (1-1, 3.31 ERA) 2-7 L9 0-4 L4 home Game 1's

          Blue Jays lost to Rays, 7-6 on Thursday
          Orioles lost to Royals, 9-4 on Thursday

          N.Y. Yankees at Boston - 7:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Colon (8-6, 3.30 ERA) 7-0 L7 UNDER 6-1 L7 away vs division
          Lester (11-4, 3.17 ERA) 4-2 L6 10-1 L11 home vs division

          Yankees beat White Sox, 7-2 on Thursday
          Red Sox lost to Indians, 7-3 on Thursday

          Oakland at Tampa Bay - 7:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Moscoso (4-5, 3.41 ERA) 2-5 L7 3-9 L12 away off loss
          Niemann (5-4, 3.51 ERA) 5-5 L10 1-5 L6 home off win

          Athletics lost to Mariners, 7-4 on Wednesday
          Rays beat Blue Jays, 7-6 on Thursday

          Cleveland at Texas - 8:05 PM EST (Game 1/3)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Jimenez (6-9, 4.46 ERA) 3-6 L9 3-7 L10 on Fridays
          Holland (10-4, 4.14 ERA) 3-6 L9 9-1 L10 home vs RHP

          Indians beat Red Sox, 7-3 on Thursday
          Rangers beat Tigers, 5-2 on Thursday

          Detroit at Kansas City - 8:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Porcello (11-6, 4.50 ERA) 4-2 L6 11-5 L16 away vs division
          Paulino (1-8, 4.20 ERA) 5-2 L7 2-7 L9 home Game 1's

          Tigers lost to Rangers, 5-2 on Thursday
          Royals beat Orioles, 9-4 on Thursday

          Chicago at Minnesota - 8:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Buehrle (8-5, 3.21 ERA) 0-6 L6 6-2 L8 away Game 1's
          Blackburn (7-8, 4.49 ERA) 4-6 L10 8-4 L12 home vs division

          White Sox lost to Yankees, 7-2 on Thursday
          Twins lost to Angels, 7-1 on Thursday

          Seattle at Los Angeles - 10:05 PM EST (Game 1/3)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Vargas (6-10, 4.19 ERA) 5-2 L7 2-9 L11 away vs division
          Weaver (14-5, 1.88 ERA) 6-3 L9 UNDER 13-2 home Game 1's

          Mariners beat the Athletics, 7-4 on Wednesday
          Angels beat Twins, 7-1 on Thursday
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            NL Playoff Paths

            August 4, 2011


            Most MLB teams have right around 50 games remaining on the schedule and the playoff picture is starting to become clearer. In the National League there are six teams with winning records split in pairs of two in each division and the final playoff roster appears likely to come from that group of teams although it is too early to count the fringe contenders completely out. Here is a look at the paths ahead in the final two months of the season for those six teams and how the races may shape out.

            Philadelphia Phillies 71-39 (41-18 home, 30-21 away)

            With the best record in baseball the Phillies have opened up a massive lead in the NL East and are almost certainly a playoff team. It would take a pretty epic collapse for Philadelphia to fail to win the division and with the talent in the rotation a long losing streak will be very unlikely. The Phillies do have a relatively tough remaining schedule however with 30 of the 52 remaining games coming on the road. This week the Phillies head west for seven games and while that will be the final west coast trip of the year, there are challenging road dates in Cincinnati, Milwaukee, and Atlanta coming up. 20 of the final 30 games of the season will be road games for Philadelphia with a tough September schedule. While Philadelphia will likely still win the NL East they probably won’t continue to win at the current pace as right now they are on pace to win 104 games. Philadelphia will also play 21 games against winning teams and twelve games against teams that are exactly at .500 right now so in addition to being away from home, there will be some tough opponents lined up and a few of those teams will be fighting for playoff spots and possibly playing with more urgency than the Phillies down the stretch.

            Atlanta Braves 64-48 (34-22 home, 30-26 away)

            For much of the season the Braves have looked like a lock for the wild card spot even though they have not seriously threatened to over take Philadelphia. Atlanta is still certainly the favorite to be back in the playoffs again as the wild card but the Braves have seen their lead for that spot shrink in recent weeks with Arizona playing strong ball since the All Star break. Atlanta has a nice cushion on the Marlins and the Mets in the NL East so if the Braves are challenged for the final playoff spot it will likely come from the second place NL West team unless there is big breakthrough among the clump of NL Central teams floating near .500. The Braves have 25 home games and 25 road games remaining for a balanced closing schedule and Atlanta has not been the same team on the road where they are barely above .500. Atlanta will not have to travel out west for the rest of the season but they will host seven games against the Giants and Diamondbacks later in August which could be a good opportunity for the Braves to pad the wild card lead. There are only 16 games against teams with winning records at present remaining on the schedule for the Braves with six games against the Phillies, three in St. Louis and the aforementioned home stand with the NL West contenders. Overall the Braves have a schedule that could allow them to make up some ground with the Phillies in the NL East and secure the wild card spot. If another team does give chase, the Braves will have a relatively favorable closing schedule and the final home series with the Phillies could likely be a series that Philadelphia has no incentive to win.

            San Francisco Giants 62-49 (33-20 home, 29-29 away)

            The defending World Series champions are facing a tougher than expected push from Arizona in the NL West race and after losing two of three in the recent series between the teams there should be some serious concerns in San Francisco. The Giants will have 28 of the remaining 51 games at home where they have been a much stronger team but they will have to face two long road trips, including a ten-game set in mid-August that includes two east coast cities. Ten of the final 13 games of the season will also be on the road including the final three games with the Diamondbacks, the second to last series of the year before a home set with the Rockies. Only 14 games remain against teams with winning records and the Giants will get to play the lowly Astros seven times so overall the schedule ahead should offer some promise. Don’t be surprised if the Giants fall out of the division lead in the next two weeks as the early August schedule is very difficult but in late August and early September the Giants may be able to get on a run to move back into playoff position. The six games remaining with Arizona will obviously be critical but the games with the rest of the division will likely be just as important and the Giants currently have a fairly dominant 28-17 record in the division games.

            Milwaukee Brewers 62-50 (41-15 home, 21-35 away)

            The Brewers have been one of the hottest teams in baseball in the last two weeks, extending the NL Central lead after being in front or behind by slim margins most of the season. Unlike the rest of the playoff contenders in the NL, Milwaukee has featured significant discrepancies in its play at home versus on the road. The Brewers will have an equal number of home and road games the rest of the way and only six remaining road games will feature an opponent currently with a winning record. Only 13 of the remaining 50 games will be against a winning team with nine of those games being with the closest rival in the standings, St. Louis. Milwaukee will have to play a few east coast games but the Brewers are done with west coast schedule and a four-game series with the Phillies in September will be at home. The Brewers will also benefit from having three off days mixed in between the final 15 games which should allow the pitching staff to be set up well for any critical games down the stretch. Twelve of the final 18 games will be at home and none of the final 14 games will be against a team that currently has a winning record. All seems to be looking favorably for Milwaukee, looking for its first ever NL Central title, but the poor road record and some recent memories of late season collapses will keep Brewers fans from feeling too secure. The nine games with Cardinals appear to be the critical games on the schedule although a run from the Pirates or the Reds is not completely out of the question.

            Arizona Diamondbacks 61-50 (29-23 home, 32-27 away)

            Arizona is the surprise team in this group as the Diamondbacks have almost already passed last season’s final record of 65 wins. The Diamondbacks have scored the third most runs in the NL, trailing only the Cardinals and the Reds and Arizona also has a better run differential than the first place Giants. Arizona is also the only team in the NL West that currently has a winning road record. The Diamondbacks are just 22-19 within the division so that is an area where improvement is needed and many of the other remaining games will be against NL East teams, where all five teams have respectable records. Arizona has 29 home games left on the schedule and only 22 road games for a slight edge in the remaining schedule but nine of those games are against teams that would make the playoffs if the season ended right now. A ten-game east coast trip starting in mid-August will be a critical stretch for the team to stay in the mix as the September schedule features only teams with losing records aside from 3-games in each venue with the Giants. Those six games will be the key to this race but the Diamondbacks also need to play better than they have been against the rest of the division in order to track down San Francisco.

            St. Louis Cardinals 58-53 (29-24 home, 29-29 away)

            The Cardinals made a few aggressive moves at the trade deadline only to see Milwaukee get on a great win streak before the Cardinals lost two of three at Miller Park to fall further behind the NL Central leaders. St. Louis gets a chance back at home against the Brewers next week and six of the nine games remaining against Milwaukee will be at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals have a relatively light schedule in August but the September slate will get a bit tricky with the Braves and the Phillies involved and ten of the final 16 games coming away from home. The final nine games come against the Mets, Cubs, and Astros however so St. Louis should expect to have the opportunity to finish strong if there is meaning to the games in the final two weeks. Only 15 of the remaining 51 games are against teams with winning records at present but St. Louis has not been overly successful in division games with just a 26-22 record. The Cardinals have a team in place to track down Milwaukee but there will not be an advantage in the schedule for St. Louis as Milwaukee’s path appears a little bit more favorable and the Brewers have a bit of a head start with a small lead in the standings.

            The Rest…

            The Pirates and the Reds are still within striking distance in the NL Central race and though both are below .500 they are closer to a playoff spot than Florida and New York despite .500 records for the Marlins and Mets. The Reds and Pirates will play a pivotal role in deciding the NL Central standings and both have better records within the division than Cardinals do. Cincinnati may be the longest shot despite being the defending division champions as the Reds have 16 games with the strong NL East left on the schedule and 27 of 51 remaining games will be on the road. The Reds should not be completely ruled out however as they have a solidly positive run differential and have been the second highest scoring team in the NL. The Pirates have been a winning road team to this point but it feels like the Cinderella story may be over. 26 of the 51 remaining games are against winning teams although the Pirates will have opportunities to directly make up ground, playing the Brewers and Cardinals ten times each. The Marlins and Mets have both played solid ball of late and both surprisingly have winning road records but both appear destined to playing a spoiler role at best given the distance behind in the race.
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #7
              MLB Series Outlook: N.Y. Yankees at Boston

              NEW YORK YANKEES (68-42, +11.8 Units)

              at BOSTON RED SOX (68-42, +5.6 Units)


              Sportsbook.com Series Line: Boston -145, New York +115

              After seven straight wins, the Yankees head to Boston tied for first with the Red Sox in the AL East as the rivals start a three-game set Friday night.

              With these two superpowers so evenly matched it comes down to the pitching matchups, and Boston has the clear advantage in two of them (Jon Lester over Bartolo Colon on Friday, Josh Beckett over Freddy Garcia on Sunday). Factor in the home-field advantage, plus their eight wins in nine games against the Yankees this season, and BOSTON is the pick. The FoxSheets have a pair of three-star trends that emphasize how well Boston has played against baseball’s best teams.

              BOSTON is 33-12 (73.3%, +17.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. The average score was BOSTON 5.2, OPPONENT 3.3 - (Rating = 3*).

              BOSTON is 19-4 (82.6%, +15.2 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. The average score was BOSTON 6.0, OPPONENT 2.8 - (Rating = 3*).

              Pitching Probables for Friday, August 5 - 7:10 ET
              Friday line: Boston -150, N.Y. Yankees +140, Total: 9.5
              NYY: 10-6 (+2.0 Units) when Bartolo Colon starts
              BOS: 12-8 (-2.1 Units) when Jon Lester starts
              After a three-game losing streak, Colon (8-6, 3.30 ERA) has gotten his surprise season back on track with two straight wins. He now has a 2.45 ERA over his past three starts and has been sharp on the road all season (4-3, 2.81 ERA). He hasn’t had success against Boston though, dropping both his starts against the Sox this year while allowing five runs (three earned) over 10.1 innings.
              Lester has been outstanding over the past two months, with a 2.06 ERA over his past eight starts, including a dominant performance over the White Sox last Saturday (8 innings, 8 strikeouts, two runs, five base runners). He’s won his past five starts against the Yankees, including two this season, while posting a 2.51 ERA.

              Pitching Probables for Saturday, August 6 - 4:10 ET
              Saturday line: TBD
              NYY: 18-6 (+8.9 Units) when CC Sabathia starts
              BOS: 9-9 (-3.9 Units) when John Lackey starts
              Sabathia (16-5, 2.55 ERA) has put himself squarely in the Cy Young conversation over the past six weeks, going 7-1 with a 1.01 ERA while striking out 78 in 62.2 innings over his past eight starts. He’s 9-3 with a 2.22 ERA in 12 road starts on the year. The Sox have gotten to him this year though, scoring six runs against him in each of his past two starts against Boston.
              After a disastrous start to the year, Lackey (9-8, 6.23 ERA) has done a respectable job turning his season around. He’s 4-0 with a 3.41 ERA over his past five starts, striking out 26 and walking just three over 31.2 innings. The Yankees knocked him around back in April, scoring six runs in five innings off Lackey at Fenway.

              Pitching Probables for Sunday, August 7 - 8:05 ET
              Sunday line: TBD
              NYY: 11-8 (+1.3 Units) when Freddy Garcia starts
              BOS: 15-6 (+6.3 Units) when Josh Beckett starts
              Garcia (10-7, 3.22 ERA) has made three straight quality starts, albeit against inferior lineups (Tampa Bay, Seattle and Baltimore). He’s been torched by the Sox twice this season, both in Yankee Stadium, allowing nine runs (eight earned) over seven innings.
              Beckett (9-4, 2.20 ERA) has been absolutely dominant in beating the Yankees three times this season. He’s 3-0 with a 0.86 ERA against them, allowing just 15 base runners and striking out 25 over 21 innings. He has allowed more than three earned runs in a start just once since April. The Sox have won eight of Beckett’s 10 home starts, in which he has a 1.99 ERA.
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • #8
                MLB Series Outlook: Atlanta at N.Y. Mets

                ATLANTA BRAVES (64-48, +5.1 Units)

                at NEW YORK METS (55-55, +5.6 Units)


                Sportsbook.com Series Line: Atlanta -140, New York +110

                The Braves can take control of the NL Wild Card race if they take advantage of their struggling rivals when they visit the Mets for a three-game set this weekend

                After winning their first three games since trading Carlos Beltran, the Mets have dropped four straight. They did win two series against Atlanta in June, but the Braves are a winning team on the road (30-26) while the Mets have a losing record at Citifield (22-28). The FoxSheets provide another trend siding with ATLANTA to win the series.

                N.Y. METS are 4-12 (25.0%, -9.4 Units) against the money line in home games vs. a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. The average score was NY METS 3.6, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 1*).

                Pitching Probables for Friday, August 5 - 7:10 ET
                Friday line: Atlanta -120, New York +110, Total: 7.5
                ATL: 11-11 (-3.2 Units) when Tim Hudson starts
                NYM: 10-12 (-2.0 Units) when R.A. Dickey starts
                Hudson (10-7, 3.31 ERA) has strung together 10 consecutive quality starts, going 6-2 with a 2.34 ERA during that span. He didn’t fare well when he faced the Mets twice in June though, losing both starts while giving up eight runs (seven earned) over eight innings.
                Dickey (5-9, 3.77 ERA) has been hittable since the All-Star break, going 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA over four starts, as opponents have hit .298 against him. He’s been less effective at home this year, as the Mets have dropped seven of his 11 starts at Citifield. He pitched well against the Braves in June, holding them to one run and four hits over eight innings in a victory.

                Pitching Probables for Saturday, August 6 - 7:10 ET
                Saturday line: TBD
                ATL: 14-7 (+3.3 Units) when Tommy Hanson starts
                NYM: 12-10 (+4.1 Units) when Jon Niese starts
                Hanson (11-6, 3.20 ERA) has been shaky since the All-Star break, posting a 6.56 ERA over 23.1 innings in his past four starts. He was beaten at Citifield in April, allowing three runs in five innings, but for his career, he has a 2.27 ERA over six starts against the Mets.
                Niese (10-8, 3.94 ERA) failed to get out of the sixth inning in either of his past two starts, both on the road, but he’s been much more effective at home this season. The Mets are just 5-6 with Niese on the hill at Citifield, but the left-hander has a 3.28 ERA in those games. He’s delivered quality starts in both his outings against Atlanta this season, holding them to four runs over 14 innings.

                Pitching Probables for Sunday, August 7 - 1:10 ET
                Sunday line: TBD
                ATL: 15-5 (+9.4 Units) when Jair Jurrjens starts
                NYM: 8-15 (-5.8 Units) when Mike Pelfrey starts
                While he has a significant edge in this pitching matchup, Jurrjens (12-4, 2.63 ERA) has been roughed up since the All-Star break, posting a 6.26 ERA over 23 innings (though the Braves won three of his four starts). He also did not pitch well against the Mets in June, allowing eight runs (seven earned) over 11.2 innings, losing both times.
                Pelfrey (6-9, 4.48 ERA) has been inconsistent all year, but he’s coming off two of his better starts. He had a complete game win in Cincinnati on July 27, allowing two runs and seven hits, and held Florida to three runs (two earned) over six innings on Monday. He’s been far better at Citifield this season, going 3-1 with a 3.32 ERA. The Braves have really knocked him around of late though, beating him four straight times (three in Atlanta) since July 2010, as Pelfrey posted a 7.23 ERA in those starts.
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • #9
                  Bombers try to stop Eskimos win streak

                  EDMONTON ESKIMOS (5-0)

                  at WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS (4-1)


                  Kickoff: Friday, 7:30 p.m. EDT
                  Line: Edmonton -1, Total: 49.5

                  The CFL’s two best teams square off Friday night as the Edmonton Eskimos try to remain the league’s only undefeated team. The Winnipeg Blue Bombers look to make it three in a row and stay atop of the East Division, but know they have their hands full against a brutal Eskimo attack. Edmonton holds the league’s second-ranked scoring offense (30.6 PPG) and will clash against the Blue Bombers’ top scoring defense in the league (19.4 PPG).

                  Edmonton, who is 4-1 ATS on the year, has had lots of problems playing on Fridays in the past. The Eskimos are 8-20 (29%) in their past 28 Friday games and also 0-4 ATS (2-2 SU) against Winnipeg the last four matchups. Winnipeg is a perfect 5-0 against the spread this year, including 3-0 ATS at home. The Blue Bombers are also 12-3-1 ATS in their past 16 games and look to continue their past success against the almighty Eskimos. WINNIPEG will slow the lethal offense of Edmonton and win with tough defense in front of an enthusiastic crowd.

                  The FoxSheets provide two more reasons to pick the Bombers.

                  WINNIPEG is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a home underdog of 7 points or less over the last 3 seasons. The average score was WINNIPEG 35.8, OPPONENT 24.7 - (Rating = 2*).

                  Play Against - All teams where the line is +3 to -3 (EDMONTON) - after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins, top-level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season. (30-10 since 1996.) (75%, +19 units. Rating = 2*).

                  The Eskimos had a terrific comeback last week and beat the Argonauts 26-25, giving them their first 5-0 start since 1980. The Eskimos have one of the most lethal passing combinations with quarterback Ricky Ray (league-high 1,492 pass yds; 10 TD, 1 INT) and wide receiver Fred Stamps, who leads the CFL in receptions (30) and receiving yards (578), and is tied for tops in the league with five TD grabs. In addition to the deadly passing attack, the Eskimos are first in the CFL in rushing with 122.8 YPG.

                  Winnipeg is 4-1 for the first time since 2003 and is poised to win its third straight. The Blue Bombers took out the winless B.C. Lions last week in a 25-20 home win. Quarterback Buck Pierce has had a slow start to the year, throwing only six touchdowns and four interceptions. The Blue Bombers have been relying on their solid rushing attack, which averages 112.4 YPG, good for second in the CFL. With the two best ground games in the league on display, time of possession will be key. Winnipeg is just one of three teams over 30 minutes (31:15), while Edmonton leads the CFL with 33:17 of ball control.
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    MLB

                    Friday, August 5

                    Game Score Status Pick Amount

                    Toronto - 7:05 PM ET Toronto -113 500
                    Baltimore - Over 9.5 500

                    San Diego - 7:05 PM ET San Diego +128 500
                    Pittsburgh - Over 7.5 500

                    NY Yankees - 7:10 PM ET Boston -149 500
                    Boston - Under 9 500

                    Oakland - 7:10 PM ET Oakland +162 500
                    Tampa Bay - Over 8.5 500

                    Atlanta - 7:10 PM ET NY Mets +114 500
                    NY Mets - Over 7.5 500

                    St. Louis - 7:10 PM ET St. Louis +108 500
                    Florida - Under 8.5 500

                    Cleveland - 8:05 PM ET Texas -152 500
                    Texas - Under 9 500

                    Milwaukee - 8:05 PM ET Milwaukee -204 500
                    Houston - Over 8.5 500

                    Chi. White Sox - 8:10 PM ET Minnesota +101 500
                    Minnesota - Over 8.5 500

                    Detroit - 8:10 PM ET Detroit -103 500
                    Kansas City - Under 9 500

                    Washington - 8:40 PM ET Colorado -130 500
                    Colorado - Under 9 500

                    LA Dodgers - 9:40 PM ET Arizona -130 500
                    Arizona - Over 8.5 500

                    Seattle - 10:05 PM ET LA Angels -253 500
                    LA Angels - Over 6.5 500

                    Philadelphia - 10:15 PM ET Philadelphia -115 500
                    San Francisco - Under 6.5 500

                    ==============================================



                    CFL

                    Friday, August 5

                    Game Score Status Pick Amount

                    Edmonton - 7:30 PM ET Winnipeg +1 500

                    Winnipeg - Under 49.5 500

                    Saskatchewan - 10:30 PM ET Saskatchewan +3.5 500

                    BC Lions - Under 53.5 500


                    ===============================================


                    8:00 PM ETIndiana at Tulsa

                    Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

                    IND 601 14-6 (5-4 V) - 144.5 UNDER

                    TUL 602 1-17 (1-9 H) - 9.5 INDIANA

                    Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
                    Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts


                    10:00 PM ETConnecticut at Seattle

                    Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

                    CONN 603 12-6 (4-5 V) - 146.5 OVER

                    SEA 604 11-8 (7-1 H) - +6.5 UCONN

                    Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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