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Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 8/4 ( MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

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  • Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 8/4 ( MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, August 4

    Good Luck on day #216 of 2011!

    At this time, the sports menu in this thread consists of MLB, WNBA and CFL until their seasons are played out. Also, general sports news and notes will be posted.

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Matchup Links

    MLB Matchups

    MLB Previews

    MLB Hot or Not

    MLB Umpires

    MLB Trends

    MLB Weather

    CFL Matchups

    CFL Stats Center

    CFL Hot or Not

    CFL Trends

    CFL News and Weather

    NASCAR Schedules

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    Thursday’s betting tips: Giants hammering the over

    Who’s hot

    MLB: The over is 7-2 in Tampa Bay’s last nine games.

    MLB: Florida has won eight of its last 10.

    CFL: Montreal has covered the number in 10 of its last 12 meetings with Toronto.

    WNBA: New York is 9-4-1 against the spread in its last 14 games overall.

    Who’s not

    MLB: Washington is 10-29 in its last 29 games against Colorado.

    MLB: Philadelphia has dropped seven of its last 10 matchups with San Francisco.

    CFL: Toronto has lost four straight, covering once over that span.

    WNBA: The over is 1-9-1 in San Antonio’s last 11 games.

    Key stat

    5 – The San Francisco Giants have lost five of their last six games, but have been money for over bettors recently. The Giants have played over the total in each of their last five, which is very uncharacteristic for them. San Francisco has actually played under the total 59 times this season - second in the bigs to only the White Sox, who have played under 60 times.

    Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

    Scott Rolen, Cincinnati Reds – Rolen is expected to miss at least a month following arthroscopic shoulder surgery, leaving a void at the hot corner. Rolen is hitting just .242 this year, but now Cincy will have to lean on rookie Todd Frazier and Miguel Cairo at third base. “He played a huge role on this team,” Reds manager Dusty Bakern said of Rolen. “We’ve got to carry on. We’ve got games in the mean time.”

    Game of the day

    Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants (+125, 6.5)


    Notable quotable

    “He’d played the best quarter of football he’s had since he got here, so why wouldn’t he start? When your tooth splits, there are head problems and through (last week) we weren’t going to take any chances. He was fuzzy during the week.” – Toronto Argonauts coach Jim Baker on quarterback Cleo Lemon’s status for Thursday's game against Montreal. Lemon has been out since taking a helmet-to-helmet hit against Winnipeg on July 23. In other news, Toronto running back Cory Boyd (knee) is still questionable even though he has been practicing most of the week. The Argos are set as 4.5-point home underdogs.

    Notes and tips

    The Minnesota Lynx head into Thursday’s date with San Antonio riding an impressive 21-8 run against the spread. They have covered in eight of their last 10, but San Antonio stole the cash in their last meeting. Minnesota came away with the 70-69 win, but couldn’t cover as a 3-point home favorite.

    The Denver Broncos have reportedly told Kyle Orton that he will not be traded and will begin the season as the team’s starting quarterback. This news comes just days after the club nearly completed a deal to send the veteran QB to Miami, which would have left them with second-year signal caller Tim Tebow as their No. 1 quarterback.

    Detroit Lions DT Nick Fairley will be out for a “significant portion” of training camp after going under the knife to fix his ailing foot Wednesday. Word has it he was suffering from a stress fracture and it doesn’t look like he’ll be lining up on the line with Ndamukong Suh in Week 1.

    Comment


    • #3
      CFL
      Dunkel


      Week 6


      Montreal at Toronto
      The Alouettes look to take advantage of a Toronto team that is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home. Montreal is the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Alouettes favored by 9. Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-4 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

      THURSDAY, AUGUST 4

      Game 491-492: Montreal at Toronto (7:30 p.m. EST)

      Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 119.316; Toronto 110.284
      Dunkel Line: Montreal by 9; 50
      Vegas Line: Montreal by 4 1/2; 52 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-4 1/2); Under


      FRIDAY, AUGUST 5

      Game 493-494: Edmonton at Winnipeg (7:30 p.m. EST)

      Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 115.546; Winnipeg 116.615
      Dunkel Line: Winnipeg by 1; 53 1/2
      Vegas Line: Edmonton by 1; 49 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+1); Over

      Game 495-496: Saskatchewan at BC (10:30 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 107.506; BC 108.495
      Dunkel Line: BC by 1; 47
      Vegas Line: BC by 3; 53 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (+3); Under


      SATURDAY, AUGUST 6

      Game 497-498: Hamilton at Calgary (9:30 p.m. EST)

      Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 110.592; Calgary 116.233
      Dunkel Line: Calgary by 5 1/2; 56
      Vegas Line: Calgary by 4; 50 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-4); Over




      CFL
      Long Sheet


      Week 6


      Thursday, August 4

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      MONTREAL (3 - 2) at TORONTO (1 - 4) - 8/4/2011, 7:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      TORONTO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      MONTREAL is 7-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
      MONTREAL is 7-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Friday, August 5

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      EDMONTON (5 - 0) at WINNIPEG (4 - 1) - 8/5/2011, 7:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      EDMONTON is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
      EDMONTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1996.
      EDMONTON is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.
      WINNIPEG is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
      WINNIPEG is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.
      WINNIPEG is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      WINNIPEG is 4-0 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
      WINNIPEG is 2-2 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      SASKATCHEWAN (1 - 4) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (0 - 5) - 8/5/2011, 10:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      SASKATCHEWAN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
      SASKATCHEWAN is 100-61 ATS (+32.9 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
      BRITISH COLUMBIA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
      BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
      BRITISH COLUMBIA is 54-77 ATS (-30.7 Units) in home games since 1996.
      BRITISH COLUMBIA is 54-77 ATS (-30.7 Units) in home lined games since 1996.
      BRITISH COLUMBIA is 27-47 ATS (-24.7 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1996.
      BRITISH COLUMBIA is 54-77 ATS (-30.7 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1996.
      BRITISH COLUMBIA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-3 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
      SASKATCHEWAN is 5-3 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Saturday, August 6

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      HAMILTON (3 - 2) at CALGARY (3 - 2) - 8/6/2011, 9:30 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      CALGARY is 2-2 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
      CALGARY is 3-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      CFL


      Week 6


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Thursday, August 4

      7:30 PM
      MONTREAL vs. TORONTO
      Montreal is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games on the road
      Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Montreal
      Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Montreal


      Friday, August 5

      7:30 PM
      EDMONTON vs. WINNIPEG
      Edmonton is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games
      Winnipeg is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton

      10:30 PM
      SASKATCHEWAN vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
      Saskatchewan is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 7 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 7 of British Columbia's last 8 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
      British Columbia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan


      Saturday, August 6

      9:30 PM
      HAMILTON vs. CALGARY
      Hamilton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Calgary
      The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Hamilton's last 11 games
      Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Hamilton
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing at home against Hamilton


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      CFL
      Long Sheet


      Week 6


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Canadian bacon: CFL Week 6 betting preview and picks
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Montreal Alouettes at Toronto Argonauts (+4.5, 52.5)

      The Alouettes are coming to Toronto with a sense of urgency after losing two games in a row, something that hasn’t happened to them since 2008.

      Montreal receiver Kerry Watkins, who was back in action in Hamilton, should find his timing by Thursday and you can expect Anthony Calvillo to take full advantage of it. Although the Argos have a defensive front that can put pressure on Calvillo, Toronto’s zone pass coverage will play right into the Alouettes’ passing game and give them a chance to control the ball.

      Montreal will be without safety Etienne Boulay (concussion) again, but in his absence Jeff Hecht and Tad Crawford have shared duties with efficiency despite the loss to Hamilton. The injury to DT J.P. Bekasiak has forced a reshuffling on the defensive line, where Anwar Stewart will play tackle.

      What the Alouettes lose in size, they gain in speed, allowing them to put pressure on Argos QB Cleo Lemon. Speaking of the Argos, Chad Owens hasn’t been as impressive as last summer. He only caught two passes last week and has been averaging a fumble a game.

      If the Alouettes manage to finally play with discipline, which they haven’t done in the last few games, they should win.

      Pick: Montreal


      Edmonton Eskimos at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (+1, 49.5)


      The Eskimos are still unbeaten but they have shown signs that they slowing down in the last two games against the Stampeders and the Argonauts.

      The Blue Bombers are on top of the East with a surprising 4-1 record and they aren’t satisfied yet. They can’t forget that they could also brag about a perfect record if not for a missed field goal by Justin Palardy in the dying seconds of their 1-point loss to Calgary.

      Winnipeg’s new defensive coordinator Tim Burke, the mastermind behind the Alouettes defense over the last few years, has done wonders and you can trust him to find the Eskimos’ weaknesses. Don’t forget that the Bombers lead the CFL with 21 sacks in five games despite losing their ace Philip Hunt to the Philadelphia Eagles during the offseason.

      As long as Buck Pierce stays healthy, he will keep leading the Bombers’ attack and Winnipeg will be a tough team to beat. Pierce was shook up in the last game but will start against the Eskimos.

      It will be a close one and most likely the best game of Week 6. With the way things are trickling down, you have to go with the Blue Bombers.

      Pick: Winnipeg


      Saskatchewan Roughriders at B.C. Lions (-3, 53.5)


      These two teams were supposedly the ones to watch in the West. Well, they have been - for all the wrong reasons. Instead of this being a battle for first place, it’s now a game of survival for two teams already afraid of missing the playoffs.

      The Lions have picked up two players heading into this week. Tad Kornegay, who was released by the Roughriders, and Arland Bruce, who was traded for a third round pick. Kornegay will play in the secondary in place of J.R. Ruffin (knee) and will certainly be more than motivated against his former teammates. Bruce (hamstring) will have to wait before hoping to bounce back and help the Lions.

      After five straight losses, B.C. is in a must-win situation as a wind of panic seems to blow in the West Coast. Not only did Wally Buono reach for Kornegay and Bruce but he also gave a call to the agent of RB and kick returner Arkee Whitlock, released earlier this week by the Eskimos.

      The Roughriders’ lack depth and the departure of Andy Fantuz to the NFL have proven catastrophic so far this season. Weston Dressler is now the only reliable threat for QB Darian Durant. Chris Getzlaf has been offering subpar performances, and so has Jason Clermont.

      Pick: B.C.


      Hamilton Tiger-Cats at Calgary Stampeders (-3.5, 50.5)


      The Tiger-Cats are on a three-game winning streak after beating the Alouettes, but they struggled to win in Calgary recently, like so many teams. The Stampeders have won eight of their last 10 games at home against Hamilton.

      Although the Stampeders offense hasn’t been as devastating as it was in the first five games of 2010 (117 points compared to 140), this is a team that has dominated the fourth quarter this season.

      All five games played by Calgary so far were decided by five points or less. The last time the Stampeders played that many close games was in 2001, when they went on sequence of seven games decided by seven points or less.

      On Hamilton’s side, Kevin Glenn has been playing better after two tough games to start the season, connecting on just over 61 percent of his pass attempts, and hasn’t been intercepted once in his last three games. But keep in mind that the Tiger-Cats have not won at McMahon Stadium since 2005.

      Pick: Calgary


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Comment


      • #4
        WNBA


        Thursday, August 4


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        12:00 PM
        CHICAGO vs. NEW YORK
        Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games
        New York is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
        New York is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games at home

        8:00 PM
        SAN ANTONIO vs. MINNESOTA
        San Antonio is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
        San Antonio is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing San Antonio
        Minnesota is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against San Antonio


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




        WNBA


        Thursday, August 4


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Lady luck: Thursday's best WNBA bets
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Chicago Sky at New York Liberty (-6, 151.5)

        The Big Apple is rotten for WNBA bettors trying to cash in on the New York Liberty at home.

        The Liberty have covered just once in their last four home stands, dropping to 5-5 against the spread inside Madison Square Garden. Their most recent blown cover at home came against the Phoenix Mercury, losing 91-84 as 2.5-point chalk Saturday.

        New York, which bounced back from that loss with an 85-75 road win over the Atlanta Dream Tuesday, has averaged 76.5 points over the last four home games – almost four points less than their season average of 80.4. That may not seem like a lot to the casual basketball fan, but to hoops bettors, those four points can mean the difference between hot dogs or steak.

        A reason for that offensive slump could be the Liberty’s outside shooting, which has dropped below its season average as well. Over those four home contests, New York has gone 22 for 69 from beyond the arc (31.8 percent), including a 5-for-19 night versus Phoenix. The Liberty shoot just under 37 percent from 3-point range on the season, which is fourth best in the WNBA.

        New York could find open looks on the perimeter tough to come by Thursday. It takes on the Chicago Sky, one of the best defensive squads in the league and the top team at defending the 3-pointer – allowing opponents to shoot only 30.6 from beyond the arc.

        Pick: Chicago +6


        San Antonio Silver Stars at Minnesota Lynx (-9.5, 160)


        The Minnesota Lynx are running away with the Western Conference lead, winning seven straight contests and nine of their last 10 outings. However, the one team that came the closest to slowing down Minnesota’s momentum is one the schedule Thursday night.

        The San Antonio Silver Stars blew a 12-point halftime lead and fell 70-69 to the Lynx Sunday, covering as 3-point home underdogs and handing Minnesota backers their only blemish against the spread during this current winning streak.

        "You don't know until you've been in that spot," Lynx forward Taj McWilliams-Franklin told reporters after the narrow victory. "This is the first time we've been down and had to come back. The games we lost, we were up and let the other teams come back on us. It was our first real challenge on the season."

        Despite that close call, oddsmakers are giving the Silver Stars nearly 10 points in Minnesota Thursday. San Antonio, which is second in the West at 11-7, is a profitable 6-3 ATS on the road this summer and has covered in four of its last six outings.

        Pick: San Antonio +9.5


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          MLB


          Thursday, August 4


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Thursday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Streaking

          Brett Cecil, Toronto Blue Jays (4-4, 4.34 ERA)


          Cecil isn’t setting the world on fire with his recent performances, but for a Toronto staff that has struggled with consistency, the southpaw is exactly what the club needs to stay afloat in the American League East. Cecil is 3-0 with a 2.17 ERA in his last four starts. His most recent outing was seven-inning effort, in which Cecil allowed only one earned run on seven hits for a 3-2 victory over Texas.

          Ivan Nova, New York Yankees (9-4, 4.01 ERA)

          Nova seems to be singing for his supper with the big ball club after impressing Yankees faithful in his return from Triple-A. In his first start since July 1, the right hander allowed two runs on six hits over seven innings in a win against the Orioles Saturday. That victory improves Nova to 5-0 with a 3.25 ERA in his last six big-league appearances, dating back to June 10. However, his spot in the rotation is anything but guaranteed, giving the youngster extra motivation going against the ChiSox Thursday.


          Slumping

          Zach Britton, Baltimore Orioles (6-8, 4.56 ERA)


          If Britton wants to snap his current funk, he might want to take baby steps – like try getting out of the first inning - when he takes the mound Thursday. Baltimore’s lefty has been hit early into his last two starts. He was thumped for seven earned runs in 2-3 of an inning versus the Red Sox on July 8 and was knocked around for six earned runs, throwing 43 pitches, while just registering a single out in the first inning against the Yankees Saturday. He’s lost four of his last six starts and hasn’t picked up a “W” since June 8.

          Erik Bedard, Boston Red Sox (4-7, 3.45 ERA)

          Perhaps a change of scenery can snap Bedard’s slumping ways? The newest member of the BoSox, coming over in a trade with the Mariners, has lost three straight starts and lugs an ERA north of 5.00 in those 14 1-3 innings. But, this is Boston, where the Red Sox lead the majors in most statistical categories for hitting. A nice change of pace from Seattle, where the Mariners rank dead last at the plate.


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • #6
            MLB


            Thursday, August 4


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Hot lines: Thursday's best MLB bets
            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco (+125, 6.5)

            After stumbling through a couple of series against the Reds and Diamondbacks, it doesn’t get any easier for the Giants.

            San Francisco had dropped five straight games heading into its series finale with the Diamondbacks on Wednesday, which saw the club’s lead in the NL West division shrink down to nothing. They fought off the sweep and remain in first place thanks to another gem from Ryan Vogelsong, but they need to pull it together quickly.

            Now they have to host a Philadelphia club that just blew past the Pirates and Rockies after dropping two out of three to the Giants.

            The only good news for Giants bettors is that Cliff Lee gets the ball Wednesday. As crazy as that sounds, Lee has struggled lately allowing 18 hits and nine earned runs over his last two starts. Then again, Lee struck out 11 Pirates in his last start – a 7 2/3-inning effort during a 7-4 win – so he hasn’t been awful either.

            This four-game set clearly means more to the Giants than it does to the Phillies, but this is a bad spot for them. The Phillies are surging and Madison Bumgarner is coming off a terrible start against Cincy.

            Pick: Phillies


            Washington Nationals at Colorado Rockies (-140, 10)


            The Washington Nationals don’t have a lot to play for right now, so they might as well get some of their youngsters some experience in the bigs.

            That’s exactly why 25-year-old Ross Detwiler will take Tom Gorzelanny’s spot in the rotation Thursday against the Rockies. Detwiler has 20 starts and 10 relief appearances in the Majors under his belt, but this will be his big shot as he moves from the team’s long reliever to its No. 5 starter.

            “It’s not that I don’t like Gorzelanny,” Nationals manager Davey Johnson told reporters. “Gorzelanny doesn’t have anything to prove to me. But if we were fighting for a pennant, we’re not going to do. But because we’re where we’re at, we’re going to look at some young arms, give them an opportunity to kind of establish.”

            He’ll have a good chance to make a good impression Thursday with his Nats heading into this series on a hot streak against a Rockies club that is sputtering offensively and struggles at home.

            We’ll take a shot at this price with Detwiler and the Nationals.

            Pick: Nationals


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Comment


            • #7
              NOTE:
              For the initial posting of trends and indexes, we have provided information available up to the time of posting.
              Additional updates for today’s games will be posted ASAP.

              Comment


              • #8
                Howzit going Dog.........CFL tomorrow.......lets hope i can sweep................
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • #9
                  Originally posted by StarDust Bum View Post
                  Howzit going Dog.........CFL tomorrow.......lets hope i can sweep................
                  Morning, Bum! You know I'll be with you! Good luck today!

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Thursday's six-pack

                    -- Mets-Marlins rainout was 37th in big leagues this season. There were 21 in the majors all of last year.

                    -- Phillies are now 22-4 against Colorado since losing to the Rockies in the 2007 playoffs.

                    -- Joe Mauer got 15 hits in his first 21 ABs against Joel Pineiro.

                    -- Pirates lost 1-0, their third straight home loss to the Cubs.

                    -- Gutty effort this week by the White Sox, outscored 20-1 in the first three innings of their losses to Bronx Bombers (3-2/6-0/18-7).

                    -- Rangers have now lost six of their last seven road games after losing in Detroit 5-4. Texas still leads the AL West by a game.


                    ******************


                    Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud.......

                    13) West Virginia is picked to win the Big East in football, despite being coached by a first-time head coach who got the job only because the previous coach was forced out this summer, after the new coach was tossed out a casino at 3am, which was apparently his sixth alcohol-related incident. Not too many potential distractions there.

                    12) Braves’ manager Fredi Gonzalez is 47 years old, or 15 years younger than any of the other four managers in his division.

                    11) Would love it if the PGA paired Eldrick Woods with Adam Scott and Jim Furyk, so Woods could be in the same group with both his former caddies, Fluff Cowan/Steve Williams.

                    10) Bruce Pearl would be very, very good on TV, but must admit I’ve got a problem with a guy getting fired for lying to the NCAA, but then still earning a healthy living by doing TV work. Where’s the penalty for him?

                    9) Eric Thames had been hitting over .300 in the 2-hole for Toronto before the Colby Rasmus trade; he is 1-17 since Rasmus made his Blue Jay debut.

                    8) Over their last nine Monday games, the Red Sox are 4-5, but they’ve had to sweat out the four wins- their starting pitchers are 0-2, 6.23 in those nine games. Last time a Boston starting pitcher got a win on a Monday was May 2nd.

                    7) Pirates still haven’t recovered from getting hosed in the 19-inning game in Atlanta- they lost again in 10 innings the next night, and are now 6.5 games out of first place in the NL Central.

                    6) The new episodes of Pawn Stars aren’t as good; they’re putting Rick Harrison’s son on the air more, but he comes across as gruff, unlikeable and not all that smart. We need more Old Man/Chumlee and less Corey.

                    5) NFL Sunday Ticket is now $330; that’s a lot of cabbage, basically $20 a week. I’ve taken the plunge and will be going back to DirecTV in the next week or so, which is good for you, since I won’t be whining about not having NFL Network anymore. By the way, they throw the Sunday Ticket in for free this year, since I’m a new customer.

                    4) When I watch college basketball on CBS and see Seth Davis in the studio, I wonder why he has such a good gig; then I read his article on high school hoop prospects on SI.com today, and I think he’s stealing money

                    Kid named Shabazz Muhammad plays for Bishop Gorman in Las Vegas; he’s being heavily recruited by both UCLA/UNLV. You’d think Davis would mention in his writeup that the kid’s high school coach is the brother of UNLV coach Dave Rice? Would that be an interesting tidbit for his article? Ya think?

                    3) Irony can be fun; Prince Fielder, who is a free agent this fall, has said he wouldn’t rule out being a full-time DH for his next team. Imagine a guy named Fielder being a DH. Almost as good as a pitcher named Balfour.

                    2) Apparently Patriots-Dolphins has been taking the most wagering action of all the Week 1 NFL games; since Miami fans have been booing their QB during training camp drills, guess which side has been taking 89% of the action so far?

                    1) So Congress has an approval rating of 14%; what the hell are those 14% thinking about? What could they possibly approve of?

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      CFL
                      Write-Up


                      Week 6


                      Montreal (3-2) @ Toronto (1-4)-- Alouettes allowed 27-34 points in losing last two games after 3-0 start; Als (-10) hammered Toronto 40-17 three weeks ago, outrushing Argos 162-52. Toronto lost last four games, allowing 33 ppg in last three contests- their only win was at Calgary in opener, 23-21. Four of five Montreal games, last three Argo games went over the total. Alouettes not used to being in third place in division.

                      Edmonton (5-0) @ Winnipeg (4-1)-- Surprising Bombers trailed at half in three of their four wins- they outscored last two foes 41-14 in second half. Unbeaten Eskimos won last two games by combined total of six points; they lost twice to Winnipeg LY, 47-21 here, 16-13 at home. Four of five Winnipeg games, three of last four Edmonton games stayed under total. In preseason, no one saw this game as being this important.

                      Saskatchewan (1-4) @ BCLions (0-5)-- Hard to support winless Lions as favorite after they've been outscored 45-23 on second half of their last three games- they allowed 34-39 points in already losing twice as a home favorite. Roughriders are on road for third time in last four weeks- they allowed 24-22 points in last two games, after giving up 38 ppg in first three. Last three Saskatchewan games stayed under the total.

                      Hamilton (4-1) @ Calgary (3-2)-- TiCats off emotional upset of Als, are on three-game win streak, scoring 33-39-34 points after scoring 17 ppg in splitting first two games. Hamilton was held to 10 points in only loss, at unbeaten Edmonton. Stampeders won three of last four games, but the visitor is 5-0 in their games this season, with Stamps losing two games at home by 2-5 points. Four of five Calgary games stayed under total

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        WNBA
                        Dunkel



                        San Antonio at Minnesota
                        The Silver Stars look to take advantage of a Minnesota team that is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 Thursday games. San Antonio is the pick (+9) according to Dunkel, which has the Lynx favored by only 7. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+9). Here are all of today's picks.

                        THURSDAY, AUGUST 4

                        Game 651-652: Chicago at New York (12:05 p.m. EST)

                        Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 107.215; New York 116.428
                        Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 9; 146
                        Vegas Line & Total: New York by 6; 148 1/2
                        Dunkel Pick: New York (-6); Under

                        Game 653-654: San Antonio at Minnesota (8:05 p.m. EST)
                        Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 111.667; Minnesota 118.801
                        Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 7; 160 1/2
                        Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 9; 157
                        Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+9); Over

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          MLB
                          Dunkel



                          Texas at Detroit
                          The Tigers look to build on their 5-1 record in Brad Penny's last 6 starts in Game 3 of a series. Detroit is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+115). Here are all of today's picks.

                          THURSDAY, AUGUST 4

                          Game 951-952: Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)

                          Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Lopez) 14.215; Pittsburgh (McDonald) 14.810
                          Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 9
                          Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-140); 8 1/2
                          Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-140); Over

                          Game 953-954: St. Louis at Florida (7:10 p.m. EST)
                          Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lohse) 15.436; Florida (Hensley) 14.238
                          Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 7 1/2
                          Vegas Line: Florida (-120); 8 1/2
                          Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+100); Under

                          Game 955-956: Washington at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
                          Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Detwiler) 14.924; Colorado (Rogers) 14.450
                          Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 11 1/2
                          Vegas Line: Colorado (-140); 10
                          Dunkel Pick: Washington (+120); Over

                          Game 957-958: Philadelphia at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
                          Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Lee) 15.581; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.691
                          Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 7
                          Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-140); 6
                          Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+120); Over

                          Game 959-960: Toronto at Tampa Bay (12:10 p.m. EST)
                          Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Cecil) 15.538; Tampa Bay (Davis) 16.343
                          Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 9 1/2
                          Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-120); 8 1/2
                          Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-120); Over

                          Game 961-962: Texas at Detroit (1:05 p.m. EST)
                          Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Ogando) 15.071; Detroit (Penny) 15.425
                          Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 8 1/2
                          Vegas Line: Texas (-135); 9
                          Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+115); Under

                          Game 963-964: Cleveland at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
                          Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Masterson) 15.082; Boston (Bedard) 16.009
                          Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 8
                          Vegas Line: Boston (-170); 9
                          Dunkel Pick: Boston (-170); Under

                          Game 965-966: NY Yankees at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
                          Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Nova) 16.964; White Sox (Humber) 14.342
                          Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 2 1/2; 10
                          Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-115); 9
                          Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-115); Over

                          Game 967-968: Baltimore at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
                          Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Britton) 15.304; Kansas City (Francis) 14.211
                          Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 10 1/2
                          Vegas Line: Kansas City (-135); 9
                          Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+115); Over

                          Game 969-970: Minnesota at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
                          Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Liriano) 15.258; LA Angels (Haren) 16.108
                          Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 7
                          Vegas Line: LA Angels (-120); 8
                          Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-120); Under

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            MLB
                            Write-Up


                            Thursday, August 4


                            Hot pitchers
                            -- McDonald is 1-0, 2.50 in his last three home starts.
                            -- Hensley is 1-1, 2.65 in three starts for the Marlins.
                            -- Detwiler won his first '11 start, allowing two runs in 5.1 IP in 3-2 win against the Cubs.
                            -- Bumgarner is 3-0, 3.14 in his last four home starts.

                            -- Toronto won Cecil's last four starts (3-0, 2.17).
                            -- Ogando is 2-0, 0.61 vs Detroit this year, 3-2, 2.83 in his last five starts overall.
                            -- Former Red Sox Masterson is 3-2, 2.10 in his last seven starts.
                            -- Nova is 3-0, 2.67 in his last four starts.
                            -- Francis is 1-0, 2.08 in his last couple starts.
                            -- Liriano is 4-2, 2.86 in his last seven road starts.

                            Cold pitchers
                            -- Lopez is 1-1, 5.29 in his last three starts.
                            -- Lohse is 1-3, 6.89 in his last six starts.
                            -- Rogers has a 9.00 RA in his last three starts.
                            -- Lee is 1-2, 5.18 in his last five starts.

                            -- Davis is 1-1, 8.27 in his last three starts.
                            -- Penny is 2-2, 6.94 in his last four starts.
                            -- In his last two starts, Britton got three outs, allowed 17 runs.
                            -- Humber is 0-3, 9.00 in his last three starts.
                            -- Francis is 1-0, 2.08 in his last couple starts.
                            -- Chatwood is 1-3, 5.53 in his last five starts.

                            Totals
                            -- Under is 5-2 in last seven McDonald starts.
                            -- Over is 5-1-2 in last eight St Louis road games.
                            -- Over is 8-4 in Washington's last twelve games.
                            -- Over is 9-3 in Philly's last twelve road games.

                            -- Under is 9-3-2 in last fourteen Texas road games.
                            -- Five of last seven Boston games stayed under total.
                            -- Four of last six Toronto road games stayed under total.
                            -- Under is 7-2 in last nine Kansas City home games.
                            -- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Bronx road games.
                            -- Under is 8-4 in Angels' last twelve home games.

                            Hot Teams
                            -- Washington won four of its last five games.
                            -- Marlins won eight of their last ten games.
                            -- Cubs won their last four games, scoring 23 runs.
                            -- Phillies won 12 of their last 15 games.

                            -- Detroit won four of its last five games.
                            -- Red Sox won 13 of their last 18 games.
                            -- Bronx won 14 of its last 19 games.
                            -- Blue Jays won five of their last seven games.
                            -- Royals are 9-5 in their last fourteen games.
                            -- Angels are 5-0 in the game following their last five losses.

                            Cold Teams
                            -- Pittsburgh lost eight of its last nine games.
                            -- Cardinals lost three of their last four games.
                            -- Colorado lost eight of its last eleven games.
                            -- Giants lost five of their last six games.

                            -- Rangers lost six of their last seven road games.
                            -- Indians lost 10 of their last 13 games.
                            -- Rays are 3-5 in their last eight home games.
                            -- White Sox lost 11 of their last 15 home games.
                            -- Orioles lost six of their last eight games.
                            -- Minnesota lost four of its last six games.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              MLB


                              Thursday, August 4


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                              Trend Report
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                              12:10 PM
                              TORONTO vs. TAMPA BAY
                              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
                              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
                              Tampa Bay is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Toronto
                              Tampa Bay is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Toronto

                              1:05 PM
                              TEXAS vs. DETROIT
                              Texas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
                              Texas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
                              Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
                              Detroit is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Texas

                              7:05 PM
                              CHI CUBS vs. PITTSBURGH
                              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
                              Chi Cubs are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
                              Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
                              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games

                              7:10 PM
                              CLEVELAND vs. BOSTON
                              Cleveland is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
                              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Boston
                              Boston is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home
                              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games when playing Cleveland

                              7:10 PM
                              ST. LOUIS vs. FLORIDA
                              St. Louis is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Florida
                              St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Florida
                              Florida8-2-1 SU in its last 11 games
                              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games at home

                              8:10 PM
                              BALTIMORE vs. KANSAS CITY
                              Baltimore is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games on the road
                              The total has gone OVER in 16 of Baltimore's last 23 games on the road
                              Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
                              Kansas City is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Baltimore

                              8:10 PM
                              NY YANKEES vs. CHI WHITE SOX
                              NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road
                              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 8 games when playing Chi White Sox
                              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games at home
                              Chi White Sox are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

                              8:40 PM
                              WASHINGTON vs. COLORADO
                              Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
                              Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                              The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Colorado's last 9 games when playing at home against Washington
                              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Washington

                              10:05 PM
                              MINNESOTA vs. LA ANGELS
                              The total has gone OVER in 14 of Minnesota's last 19 games when playing LA Angels
                              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
                              The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Angels's last 13 games
                              LA Angels are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

                              10:15 PM
                              PHILADELPHIA vs. SAN FRANCISCO
                              Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
                              San Francisco is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games at home
                              San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia


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                              Comment

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