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  • The Bum's Sunday's Best Bets MLB-WNBA !

    Sinking Indians Clash With Kansas City Royals

    Foes from the AL Central lock horns on Sunday night at Progressive Field when the Kansas City Royals finish up their 3-game series with the Cleveland Indians.

    MLB betting fans will be able to engage in action on this duel until the first pitch at 10:05 a.m. (PT).

    Cleveland knows that it is in a heck of a lot of trouble right now. The Detroit Tigers are starting to pull away in the AL Central, the Chicago White Sox aren't all that far behind and the Tribe have picked a terrible time to fall flat. In the first six games of this 8-game homestand, Cleveland has scored a grand total of seven runs and was no-hit as well by the Angels' Ervin Santana.

    About the only hope that the Indians have right now of getting back in the playoff race is if they can figure out how to keep their pitching staff together.

    Fausto Carmona was the weak link of the rotation at the outset of the year, as demonstrated by his 5-10 record and 5.34 ERA. However, since serving a short stint on the disabled list with shoulder problems, Carmona has been pitching quite well.

    The righty threw six innings against both the Minnesota Twins and the aforementioned Angels, allowing a total of two runs and 11 hits in those outings.

    Carmona hasn't pitched all that well against Kansas City in his career though, going 6-4 with a 4.62 ERA. He did allow just two runs in seven innings against it on April 28, picking up an 8-2 win for the Tribe.

    The Royals have been out to play the role of spoiler of late, and they've been doing a great job of just that. Since the middle of July, they have taken two out of three from the Chicago White Sox and Tampa Bay Rays, split a 4-game series on the road against the Boston Red Sox (winning both games at +260, mind you), and have beaten the Tribe 12-0 in the first game in this series.

    The big problem that Kansas City has in this one is trying to find a way to pick up a victory in a game that Kyle Davies is pitching. The right-hander is just 1-9 on the year, and that victory came way back on April 13.

    Since that point, Davies is 0-8, and the team is just 1-9. The good news is that Davies was able to help his squad beat the boys from Beantown after throwing six strong frames, allowing just one run against a very potent offense. It was the only time this season in which he allowed fewer than two runs.

    The last time the Royals won two straight games that Davies pitched was in September 2010.

    Davies has faced the Indians three times this season, and they have averaged a tremendous 11.33 runs per game. The righty only lasted longer than 3 1/3-innings in one of those three starts. Needless to say, Kansas City went 0-3 in those efforts.

    Friday night's 12-run outburst marked the sixth straight 'over' game in this series. 'Over' bettors are 37-17-2 over the last 55 meetings in this series.

    Veteran umpire Wally Bell might have other plans than following those trends, however. Now in his 20th season, Bell's last 129 plate assignments have seen the 'under' go 66-50 with 13 'pushes.'

    Television coverage is set for Sports Time Ohio and FOX Sports Kansas City on Sunday. The weather forecast is calling for a bright, sunny day. Temperatures should be in the mid-80s.

    From here, Cleveland heads to Boston to battle the Red Sox while the Royals start a 3-game set with the Baltimore Orioles at Kauffman Stadium on Tuesday.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    Pirates, Phillies Complete Pennsylvania Series

    One of the biggest feel-good stories of the year is the success of the Pittsburgh Pirates. On Sunday, however, they will be up against the Philadelphia Phillies who own the best record in all of baseball. The last game of this three-game series will begin at 10:35 a.m. (PT) at Citizens Bank Park.

    For many years the Buccos have suffered losing seasons but in 2011 they actually found themselves leading their division at one point. This created a buzz and hope for baseball in Pittsburgh. As it sits right now, though, they are third in the NL Central behind the Milwaukee Brewers and St. Louis Cardinals.

    Jeff Karstens (8-5, 2.41 ERA) was a reliever in his first three games for the Pirates but has been starting ever since and he gets the nod for Sunday. Only one time has the right-hander given up more than three earned runs in a game and that was back in May. He has a good WHIP (1.07) and up until his last start, he had been pitching well into the sixth inning or longer from June on.

    The bad news on Karstens is his flat out bad record in day games, 1-5. His ERA raises to 3.55 and his WHIP to 1.24 under the sun as well. Even then, those numbers are certainly not horrible so that might attest to the team’s bats more than anything.

    Here is a summary of Pittsburgh’s hitting: they do not hit homeruns and yet, they strike out a ton.

    Right now, the Phillies are soaring and with their fantastic pitching it is almost unfair how their starter for Sunday is throwing. It would be enough to have Cliff Lee, Roy Halladay, and Cole Hamels, but Vance Worley (7-1, 2.02 ERA) could be considered for rookie of the year.

    Two runs is the most that Worley has given up since late May and he also has great home stats. The 23-year-old is 4-0 with a 1.62 ERA and a WHIP of 0.92 in Philly. His numbers, like Karstens, go up in day games but he has had just two starts in the daytime.

    In Karstens’ last seven road starts versus teams with a winning record the Pirates are just 1-6. Meanwhile, the Phillies are 7-0 in Worley’s last seven starts overall with the ‘under’ going 5-2 in that stretch. The ‘under’ is also 9-1-1 in Karstens’ last 11 overall.

    It should be a sunny day of 88 degrees when the Bucs and Phils face off on Sunday.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Chicago Cubs, St. Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Preview

      The St. Louis Cardinals can’t afford to look ahead when they host the Chicago Cubs in their series finale on ESPN Sunday Night Baseball. The Cards head to division-leading Milwaukee on Monday.

      The Sunday broadcast will begin at Busch Stadium at 5:05 p.m. (PT). It’s a pitching duel between righties Jake Westbrook and Ryan Dempster.

      Friday’s opener was a St. Louis victory (9-2) behind newly acquired starter Edwin Jackson. That broke a 2-game losing streak and the Cardinals (56-50) can’t afford many more setbacks trailing Milwaukee by 1.5 games in the NL Central standings. Pittsburgh is 2.5 games back.

      The Saturday late afternoon game is still pending with St. Louis a 170 favorite. Kyle Lohse was matched up against Rodrigo Lopez.

      Westbrook (9-4, 4.86 ERA) is second in the team in wins behind Jamie Garcia (10) despite his ERA. He’s been under a lot of pressure to do well with Adam Wainwright injured before the season and Chris Carpenter struggling the first two months.

      The 33-year-old right-hander is in his first full season in the NL. He was acquired by St. Louis from Cleveland last July. His home ERA is 6.33 with three bad starts skewing that number. St. Louis is 5-5 in his home starts, including beating Houston 3-1 last Tuesday. Westbrook allowed just one run over six innings.

      Westbrook has faced the Cubs once this year in May, lasting just 2 1/3 innings and allowing five earned runs in an 11-4 road loss. He has just three lifetime starts against them and did pitch well (two earned runs over six innings) in the one home game last year.

      The Cubs (42-64) are playing just for pride at this point, at least what pride they have left. They did trade outfielder Kosuke Fukudome to Cleveland and Carlos Zambrano, Aramis Ramirez and Alfonso Soriano are big-money players they would like to deal before Sunday’s deadline.

      Chicago has lost four straight games, all on the road. The second half started with a 10-game homestand, going 5-5.

      Dempster (7-8, 4.98 ERA) has lost his last two starts. He had a quality start at Milwaukee last Tuesday (three earned over six innings) but still lost 3-2. He got bombed at home against Philly (six earned over three innings) on July 20.

      The 34-year-old Canadian was very effective his previous 14 starts, posting a 2.95 ERA and seeing Chicago win 11 of them. That helped make up for an awful April (9.58 ERA), which is still badly effecting his ERA.

      The ‘under’ is 9-2 in Dempster’s last 11 starts.

      Dempster has faced the Cardinals once this year, allowing six earned runs over five innings in a 6-1 road loss on June 3. His ERA at Busch from 2008-2010 was 2.86 over five starts, but Chicago is still 1-6 in his last seven starts in St. Louis.

      St. Louis is 6-1 against the Cubs this year (the ‘over’ 5-2), including sweeping a home series in early June. There are two more series remaining between the teams.

      The Cardinals are 28-23 at home this season (-3.9 units). The Cubs are 17-33 on the road (-12.4 units) and a terrible 6-22 in their last 28 away.

      The ‘under’ is 8-2 in Chicago’s last 10 games, scoring six total runs in the four games of this trip.

      Derryl Cousins will call balls and strikes. The home team is 7-2 in his last nine games behind home plate.

      Weather should be clear and warm in the mid-80s. The Cubs move on to Pittsburgh Monday, while the Cards have that showdown with Milwaukee.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        Sunday's Tip Sheet

        July 31, 2011


        Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals (-138 & 8.5) - 8:05 pm (EDT)
        The Cardinals’ Sunday night series finale against the Cubs will be the most critical game they've had in July. This game tops the charts because it's the last game of the month and everything in the present matters most. But more importantly, they have to take care of business against teams like the Cubs. They'll be going for a sweep and then immediately after, it's on to Milwaukee for a three-game set.

        It would be easy to understand if the Cardinals were looking ahead to their next series where if doing well, they could come out of that series in first place. The final game of this series could be overlooked just because they are the Cubs, one of the most hidden losing secrets in baseball.

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        The Cubs have been smacked around all season by the Cardinals in seven of eight games and pretty much everyone else in the National League. They are somewhat fortunate that their poor play has been overshadowed by the Astros in the six-team Central Division. No one seems to be talking about how bad the loveable Cubs are, but Chicago's season record is so bad that they would be in last place in every other division in baseball.

        The Cubs have also chosen Sunday's to be their most pitiful day of the week going 3-13 this year. In the month of July, they have made somewhat of a run going 2-2 on Sunday's, but get quality points deducted because one of the wins was against the Astros. Their other Sunday win in July was to avoid a sweep at the hands of their cross-town rival White Sox during interleague play.

        Their win against the White Sox to salvage some pride and avoid being swept could serve as a notice for Sunday because it's fair to say, not even the Sox are disliked as much by the players and fans like the Cardinals are on the north side.

        Taking the mound for the Cubs tonight is Ryan Dempster (7-8, 4.98 ERA), who lost a 6-1 decision at St. Louis on June 3 where he gave up all six of the runs in five innings of work.

        After a rocky start to the season where the Cubs lost five of his first eight starts, Dempster became the only source of stability for the rotation as they won 10 of his next 12 starts where he compiled six of his seven wins on the year.

        However, in his last two starts, Dempster has cooled off losing both and allowing nine earned runs in nine combined innings of work against the Brewers and Phillies.

        The good news for Dempster is that he's only given up one home run in his last nine starts, a stretch that incidentally began after serving up two to the Cardinals in June. The main correlation between Dempster having success in some of his starts this season has been limiting the free passes, and or course -- the obvious, allowing home runs. Only 20 NL starters have a better K/BB ratio (2.80) than Dempster, but of those, only Ted Lilly has a higher ERA (5.02) and only three of them have a losing record like Dempster does.

        Overall, Dempster's season should be considered a success only because of the negative aura and losing mentality that has infected the Cubs locker room this season. It would be nearly impossible for him to be immune to the disease. He also has been fortunate that none of his starts have been blown by the suspect Cubs bullpen that has let down all the other starters 16 times this season.

        As bad as the Cubs bullpen has been this season, the Cardinals have been worse. Their 19 blown saves this year are topped by only Washington's 21 among all 30 MLB teams. The Cardinals would be fooling themselves if they think they can win the division without making a move for a closer.

        The Cards recent acquisition of Octavio Dotel and Marc Rzepczynski aren't the answers to solving their most precious need, especially while Heath Bell and Mike Adams still sit in San Diego awaiting assignment.

        Tonight's starter for St. Louis is Jake Westbrook (9-4, 4,86 ERA), who hasn't been as good as his record may indicate. However, Westbrook has had his most productive month of the year in July (3-0 3.56 ERA) with only one poor outing in his five starts, a game where the Reds tattooed him for seven runs in 4.1 innings of work. In his last three starts heading into tonight's game he's allowed only five runs in 19 innings.

        The hottest hitters for the Cardinals in July have been Yadier Molina (4 HRs, .318), John Jay (.313), Albert Pujols (6 HRs, 19 RBIs) and Lance Berkman (7 HRs). Berkman has been banged up for the last week with a sore shoulder and could be ‘out’ again Sunday.

        For the Cubs, their best hitter in July, and the only one who really strikes any fear to opposing pitchers from their lineup, has been Aramis Ramirez (9 HRs, 23 RBIs). Marlon Byrd (.318) is the only everyday player hitting over. 300 for the month. The featured slump of the month has been Alfonso Soriano (.179) who picked a fine time -- close to the trade deadline -- to show off his talents to prospective buyers.

        Because of the current form of both pitchers, the line should probably be closer to St. Louis -120, but the rest of each team's lineup make up the difference in price. The Cubs are a terrible team, but the combo of the rivalry and Dempster pitching well may present some value along with the UNDER.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          Around the Horn - Sunday

          July 30, 2011


          NATIONAL LEAGUE


          San Francisco at Cincinnati - 1:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Zito (3-3, 5.24 ERA) 7-4 L11 3-10 away Game 3's
          Cueto (6-4, 1.88 ERA) 4-6 L10 6-3 home on Sundays

          Reds beat Giants, 4-3 on Friday
          Reds beat Giants, 7-2 on Saturday

          Pittsburgh at Philadelphia - 1:35 PM EST (Game 3/3)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Karstens (8-5, 2.41 ERA) 3-6 L9 5-3 away on Sundays
          Worley (7-1, 2.02 ERA) 7-3 L10 12-5 home Game 3's

          Phillies beat Pirates, 10-3 on Friday
          Phillies beat Pirates, 7-4 on Saturday

          Florida at Atlanta - 1:35 PM EST (Game 3/3)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Nolasco (7-7, 4.04 ERA) 4-2 L6 4-1 L5 away during day
          Hanson (11-5, 3.13 ERA) 4-2 L6 8-3 L11 home during day

          Braves beat Marlins, 5-0 on Friday
          Braves beat Marlins, 5-1 on Saturday

          N.Y. Mets at Washington - 1:35 PM EST (Game 3/3)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Niese (10-8, 3.97 ERA) 5-5 L10 6-3 away on Sundays
          Zimmermann (6-9, 3.27 ERA) 1-6 L7 10-3 home vs LHP

          Mets beat Nationals, 8-5 on Friday
          Nationals beat Mets, 3-0 on Saturday

          Houston at Milwaukee - 2:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Myers (3-11, 4.66 ERA) 2-7 L9 1-7 away on Sundays
          Narveson (7-6, 4.41 ERA) 7-3 L10 15-3 L18 home vs RHP

          Brewers beat Astros, 4-0 on Friday
          Brewers beat Astros, 6-2 on Saturday

          Colorado at San Diego - 4:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Nicasio (4-3, 4.24 ERA) 3-5 L8 1-7 away on Sundays
          LeBlanc (0-2, 5.17 ERA) 2-6 L8 6-2 L8 home Game 3's

          Rockies beat Padres, 3-2 on Friday
          Rockies beat Padres, 10-6 on Saturday

          Arizona at Los Angeles - 4:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Saunders (7-8, 3.63 ERA) 6-2 L8 0-5 L5 away Game 3's
          De La Rosa (4-4, 3.49 ERA) 6-3 L9 1-6 L7 home vs LHP

          Dodgers beat Diamondbacks, 9-5 on Friday
          Diamondbacks beat Dodgers, 6-4 on Saturday

          Chicago at St. Louis - 8:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Dempster (7-8, 4.98 ERA) 0-5 L5 0-8 away on Sundays
          Westbrook (9-4, 4.86 ERA) 7-3 L10 6-1 home on Sundays

          Cardinals beat Cubs, 9-2 on Friday
          Cardinals beat Cubs, 13-5 on Saturday

          AMERICAN LEAGUE


          Baltimore at N.Y. Yankees - 1:05 PM EST (Game 4/4)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Arrieta (10-7, 5.12 ERA) 3-6 L9 OVER 6-2 away on Sundays
          Garcia (9-7, 3.23 ERA) 6-4 L10 18-3 home during day

          Orioles beat Yankees, 4-2 on Friday
          Yankees beat Orioles, 8-3 on Saturday (G1/DH)
          Yankees beat Orioles, 17-3 on Saturday (G2/DH)

          Texas at Toronto - 1:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Wilson (10-4, 3.16 ERA) 4-6 L10 UNDER 10-3 away Game 3's
          Morrow (7-5, 4.71 ERA) 7-4 L11 4-10 home Game 3's

          Blue Jays beat Rangers, 3-2 on Friday
          Rangers beat Blue Jays, 3-0 on Saturday

          Los Angeles at Detroit - 1:05 PM EST (Game 4/4)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Weaver (14-4, 1.79 ERA) 7-3 L10 OVER 7-2 away on Sundays
          Verlander (14-5, 2.34 ERA) 6-4 L10 5-2 L7 home on Sundays

          Angels beat Tigers, 12-7 on Thursday
          Tigers beat Angels, 12-2 on Friday
          Angels beat Tigers, 5-1 on Saturday

          Kansas City at Cleveland - 1:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Duffy (2-4, 5.17 ERA) 7-3 L10 4-8 away Game 3's
          Carmona (5-10, 5.34 ERA) 2-7 L9 1-6 L7 home during day

          Royals beat Indians, 12-0 on Friday
          Indians beat Royals, 5-2 on Saturday

          Boston at Chicago - 2:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Miller (4-1, 5.45 ERA) 8-4 L12 7-3 L10 away vs LHP
          Buehrle (8-5, 3.22 ERA) 5-2 L7 UNDER 6-0 L6 home Game 3's

          White Sox beat Red Sox, 3-1 on Friday
          Red Sox beat White Sox, 10-2 on Saturday

          Minnesota at Oakland - 4:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Pavano (6-7, 4.60 ERA) 5-5 L10 UNDER 7-0 L7 away Game 3's
          McCarthy (3-5, 3.52 ERA) 7-4 L11 9-4 home Game 3's

          Twins beat Athletics, 9-5 on Friday
          Athletics beat Twins, 8-3 on Saturday

          Tampa Bay at Seattle - 4:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Hellickson (9-7, 3.27 ERA) 3-6 L9 6-3 away on Sundays
          Vargas (6-9, 4.09 ERA) 2-18 L20 4-10 home Game 3's

          Rays beat Mariners, 8-0 on Friday
          Mariners beat Rays, 3-2 on Saturday
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            Sunday, July 31

            Game Score Status Pick Amount

            Baltimore - 1:05 PM ET NY Yankees -191 500
            NY Yankees - Over 10 500

            Kansas City - 1:05 PM ET Kansas City +127 500
            Cleveland - Under 9 500

            LA Angels - 1:05 PM ET Detroit -133 500
            Detroit - Under 6.5 500

            San Francisco - 1:10 PM ET Cincinnati -151 500
            Cincinnati - Over 8.5 500

            Texas - 1:30 PM ET Texas -110 500
            Toronto - Over 8.5 500

            Florida - 1:35 PM ET Atlanta -150 500
            Atlanta - Over 7.5 500

            NY Mets - 1:35 PM ET NY Mets +114 500
            Washington - Under 8 500

            Pittsburgh - 1:35 PM ET Pittsburgh +177 500
            Philadelphia - Under 8 500

            Boston - 2:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox -114 500
            Chi. White Sox - Under 9.5 500

            Houston - 2:10 PM ET Houston +170 500
            Milwaukee - Under 8.5 500

            Minnesota - 4:05 PM ET Minnesota +131 500
            Oakland - Over 8.5 500

            Colorado - 4:05 PM ET San Diego +104 500
            San Diego - Over 7 500

            Tampa Bay - 4:10 PM ET Tampa Bay -119 500
            Seattle - Over 7 500

            Arizona - 4:10 PM ET Arizona +111 500
            LA Dodgers - Under 7.5 500

            Chi. Cubs - 8:05 PM ET St. Louis -140 500
            St. Louis - Over 8.5 500
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 07-31-2011, 11:54 AM.
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #7
              3:00 PM ETMinnesota at San Antonio

              Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

              MIN 601 12-4 (5-2 V) - 160 UNDER


              SA 602 11-5 (5-3 H) - 4 Minny + 4

              Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
              Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts


              5:00 PM ETAtlanta at Connecticut

              Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

              ATL 603 8-9 (3-4 V) - 160 UNDER

              CONN 604 10-6 (7-1 H) - -4 CONN

              Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
              Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts


              6:00 PM ETLos Angeles at Indiana

              Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

              LA 605 7-10 (3-8 V) - 149 Under

              IND 606 13-6 (8-2 H) - -9 Indiana

              Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
              Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • #8
                Good luck buddy thanks for posting
                MLB 2012***100-98 +$215 OR +2.15 UNITS
                HUGE PLAYS 2-1

                NFL 2011-2012** 6-10
                0-0TOP PLAYS

                NCAA FBL 2011-2012**** 26-23

                4-1 TOP PLAYS


                GOY 33-12 ALL SPORTS

                AS of 6/3/12

                Comment

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