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**Udog** · 07-28-2011, 07:31 AM

Thursday’s betting tips: Tribe battles historic trend

Who’s hot

MLB: Atlanta is 13-3 in its last 16 home games.

MLB: The over is 8-2 in Florida’s last 10 road games.

CFL: Winnipeg is 9-1-1 against the spread in its last 11 games.

WNBA: Even though Tulsa is 1-15 straight up this season, the Shock are 7-3-1 against the spread in their last 11 home games.

Who’s not

MLB: The Chicago Cubs are 7-20 in their last 27 road games.

MLB: Kansas City has won just nine of its last 32 games in Boston.

CFL: The over is 2-9 in the last 11 meetings between Winnipeg and B.C.

WNBA: Los Angeles is 2-8 against the spread in its last 10 road games.

Key stat

265.8 – The Winnipeg Blue Bombers lead the CFL in total defense by a small landslide, allowing just 265.8 yards per game. Toronto owns the next best defense in the league giving up 318.8 yards per contest. Winnipeg is set as a 3-point favorite Thursday against the B.C. Lions.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Erika de Souza, Atlanta Dream – The Dream’s starting center is reportedly dealing with a concussion and is listed as questionable for Thursday’s game against the Los Angeles Sparks. The 6-foot-5 force in the middle played just 11 minutes in the club’s last contest but is averaging 11.6 points and 8.1 rebounds per game.

Game of the day

Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves (-155, 7.5)

Notable quotable

"When you have [Lindsay] Whalen coming down on the break and you have Maya [Moore] and Augustus on the sides, that's like having Kobe and Dwyane Wade coming on the wing. Who do you guard? Who do you check? They are talented, they are athletic, they are fast. [Rebekkah] Brunson is a beast. Taj [McWilliams-Franklin] is experienced. In my mind, they should be the [WNBA] favorite with the skill set they have." – Los Angeles Sparks coach Joe “Jellybean” Bryant on the Minnesota Lynx. Minnesota dropped L.A. 85-72 earlier this week to move into first place in the Western Conference standings. Minnesota is currently listed at +450 to win the WNBA Championship, behind the Seattle Storm (+300)

Notes and tips

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers are trying to cope with the death of Richard Harris, their assistant head coach and defensive line coach, ahead of Thursday’s game with the B.C. Lions. Harris, 63, reportedly collapsed in his office at Canad Inns Stadium on Tuesday afternoon. The Blue Bombers are set as 3.5-point home favorites.

If history holds true, Thursday could be another bad day for the Cleveland Indians, who were no-hit by Ervine Santana of the Angels. Since 2000, the team gets no-hit is 6-16 in its next game, while the under is 17-5, cashing in on 13 of the last 15.

The North Carolina Tar Heels fired head coach Butch Davis just nine days before the start of preseason. His dismissal was based on the NCAA investigation about improper benefits and academic misconduct that continues to plague the program.

**Udog** · 07-28-2011, 07:35 AM

Thursday's six-pack

-- Ervin Santana was 0-6, 4.98 in ten career starts against the Indians before Wednesday, so of course, he threw a no-hitter against them.

-- Last pitcher to throw a no-hitter and give up a run? Darryl Kile did that for Houston against the Mets back in 1993.

-- Imagine getting +$140 with Felix Hernandez against Phil Hughes? Well, you had to back a team that had lost 17 games in a row to take those odds, but if you did, you had a winner with Seattle Wednesday.

-- Carlos Beltran got traded to the Giants for a 21-year old pitcher who is 7-5 in the Class A California League. Not so good for the Mets.

-- North Carolina fired football coach Butch Davis as it looks to clean up its mess of a football program. Probation looms; wonder who they'll try and get to coach their team through the probation.

-- AL West since the All-Star break:
A's 8-4, Texas 8-5, Angels 7-6, Seattle 1-11.

******************

Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud......

13) The $180 I shell out for Extra Innings package on cable is well worth it, but a game like Tuesday, when Braves beat Pittsburgh in 19 innings, makes it an even better value. Weird games like that are what set baseball apart from the other sports; every position player on both sides played, starting pitchers were about to go down to each bullpen to start warming up. Truly a bizarre night that ended on an unfortunately terrible call.

12) Had Julio Lugo been called out on what was the game’s final play, then Martin Prado was going to come to the plate with a chance to be the hero, in a game where, up to that point, he was 0-9. Not often anyone goes 0-9 in a game, and still gets a chance to be the hero. .

11) Tennessee Titans did a wise thing and signed Matt Hasselbeck as QB; he’ll play for a couple years and give rookie Jake Locker a chance to get his feet wet in the NFL.

10) If you’re a Seahawk or Viking fan, are you happy with Tarvaris Jackson/Donovan McNabb as your new QB? I’m just asking. I’m curious to see Jackson play- think he got a raw deal in Minnesota. Not crazy about McNabb at this late stage of his career.

All of which sets up Kevin Kolb to Arizona; Cards/Eagles seem to be quibbling over whether Philly gets a 1st or 2nd round pick, but it looks like its going to happen eventually.

9) College rivalries are fierce: Texas A&M wouldn’t let football coach Mike Sherman do an interview on the new Longhorn Network, the new mouthpiece of Texas sports. Interesting to see how that all plays out.

8) Guy named Kenneth Starr is an accountant who bilked celebrities out of $33M in a Ponzi scheme; he’s serving 7.5 years in prison. In a not surprising twist, his stripper wife is divorcing him because all the money they had is drying up. Funny how that works.

By the way, this Kenneth Starr is not the Kenneth Starr who is president of Baylor University and was an independent counsel in the Clinton/ Whitewater hearings. Same name, very different guys.

7) OK, say an NBA star goes overseas to play during the lockout, and he gets hurt. Does the injury void his contract after the lockout is over? I’m just asking, don’t know the answer.

6) New Mexico-UTEP have played 141 basketball games over the last 82 years, but might not be playing again for a while, because of a dispute between the two coaching staffs. Happened at their NIT game last March. Its too bad because the schools aren’t that far apart and it saved money to play every year, but for now, the series is on hold.

5) Tampa Bay has a relief pitcher in AA named Marquis Fleming who was 87 strikeouts in 57.1 IP; that’s an awful lot of strikeouts.

4) Home team is 10-1 in Juan Nicasio’s starts; Rockies are 6-0 in his starts at Coors Field, 1-4 in his road outings.

3) Vance Worley beat the Giants with a complete game 3-hitter Tuesday, but of the 114 pitches he threw, not one of them was swung on and missed. Very, very unusual; Giants swung at 45 pitches, hit 20 foul balls and got their three hits on the other 25 swings.

2) I’m guessing when Indians got no-hit by Ervin Santana Wednesday, they might’ve been the first team in baseball history to score one run on no hits in a game where they made five errors. Odd combination.

1) I’ve said this before, but I’m predicted that in 3-5 years, baseball will have an NFL-like challenge system for instant replay. Too many blown calls to justify not having one.

**Udog** · 07-28-2011, 07:40 AM

CFL
Dunkel

Week 5

BC at Winnipeg
The Bluebombers look to take advantage of a Lions team that is 3-12-1 ATS in its last 16 July games. Winnipeg is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Bluebombers favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (-3). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

THURSDAY, JULY 28

Game 491-492: BC at Winnipeg (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BC 108.461; Winnipeg 116.650
Dunkel Line: Winnipeg by 8; 50
Vegas Line: Winnipeg by 3; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (-3); Under

FRIDAY, JULY 29

Game 493-494: Montreal at Hamilton (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 113.593; Hamilton 114.896
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 1 1/2; 61
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 495-496: Toronto at Edmonton (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 110.967; Edmonton 117.710
Dunkel Line: Edmonton by 7; 47
Vegas Line: Edmonton by 9 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+9 1/2); Under

SATURDAY, JULY 30

Game 497-498: Calgary at Saskatchewan (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 110.995; Saskatchewan 110.709
Dunkel Line: Even; 56
Vegas Line: Calgary by 2 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (+2 1/2); Over

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 5

Thursday, July 28

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BRITISH COLUMBIA (0 - 4) at WINNIPEG (3 - 1) - 7/28/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 71-48 ATS (+18.2 Units) as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-1 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 2-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, July 29

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MONTREAL (3 - 1) at HAMILTON (2 - 2) - 7/29/2011, 6:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 3-3 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 5-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (1 - 3) at EDMONTON (4 - 0) - 7/29/2011, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 58-84 ATS (-34.4 Units) as a favorite since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 2-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 3-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, July 30

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CALGARY (2 - 2) at SASKATCHEWAN (1 - 3) - 7/30/2011, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 100-60 ATS (+34.0 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.
CALGARY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 6-2 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 5-2 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL
Write-Up

Week 5

BC Lions (0-4) @ Winnipeg (3-1)-- Visitors off to an 0-4 start, allowing 30+ points in all four games; their losses are by 4-2-16-8 points (1-1 as an underdog). Bombers are 4-0 vs spread, 1-0 as favorite; none of their three wins are by more than nine points. Home team won both meetings LY; Lions lost 47-35 here. East is 5-3 vs West so far this young season.

Montreal (3-1) @ Hamilton (3-1)-- Alouettes got upset by Riders last week at home, now face TiCat squad that squashed them 40-3 in their only visit here LY. Hamilton is 3-1 despte playing three of first four on road- they crushed Saksatchewan 33-3 in only home games. Under is 3-1 in Hamilton games, 1-3 in Alouette tilts. Montreal won its only game on road, 39-25 in Regina.

Toronto (1-3) @ Edmonton (4-0)-- Unbeaten Eskimos are averaging 31.8 ppg in 4-0 start, winning home games by 18-16 points while allowing an average of just 13.5 ppg- their last three games stayed under total. Guest won both series games LY; Argos won 29-28 in their visit here. Argos lost last three games by 6-23-9 points, allowing 36.5 ppg in last couple games. Eskimos held last three opponents to 10-17-19 points.

Calgary (2-2) @ Saskatchewan (1-3)-- Teams split four meetings a year ago, but Roughriders won most important one, 20-16 in Western finals in Calgary. Saskatchewan woke up and upset Alouettes in Montreal last week, its first win and first time they allowed less than 33 points in '11. Road team is 4-0 in Stampeder games this season; Calgary won 34-32 in Vancouver, 21-20 in Winnipeg-- three of their four games went under.

CFL

Week 5

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Trend Report
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Thursday, July 28

8:00 PM
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. WINNIPEG
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of British Columbia's last 16 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
British Columbia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Winnipeg is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against British Columbia
Winnipeg is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

Friday, July 29

6:30 PM
MONTREAL vs. HAMILTON
Montreal is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games
Hamilton is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Montreal
Hamilton is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

9:30 PM
TORONTO vs. EDMONTON
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games on the road
Toronto is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
Edmonton is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Toronto
Edmonton is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto

Saturday, July 30

9:30 PM
CALGARY vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Calgary is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Calgary's last 18 games
Saskatchewan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Saskatchewan is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games

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CFL

Week 5

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Canadian bacon: CFL Week 5 betting preview and picks
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B.C. Lions at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (-3, 52)

The situation is getting desperate for the Lions, who are the only winless team in the CFL. And it won’t be an easy task to pick up their first win in Winnipeg this Thursday after a short week of preparation.

The departure of WR Manny Arceneaux (NFL) was costlier than anticipated. The vertical attack of the Lions doesn’t scare anyone in the league. And defensively, veteran Davis Sanchez, at 36, has lost a step and was moved from cornerback to safety after a terrible start. The knee injury that ended the season of defensive back Stanley Franks only made the secondary more fragile. It remains unknown whether the addition of rookie Travis Williams as a wide-side cornerback will make it better or worse.

You can bet that Bombers QB Buck Pierce will try to exploit the lack of CFL experience on the Lions stop unit. Bettors should also consider that the Winnipeg defense has been solid so far.

CFL bettors will watch the Bombers declaw the Lions and keep B.C. winless.

Pick: Winnipeg

Montreal Alouettes at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (+3.5, 53.5)

Even when the Tiger-Cats had mediocre teams, the Alouettes found ways to stumble in Hamilton. This season, Hamilton has a pretty good team with lots of tools on both sides of the ball.

Running back Avon Cobourne, who left the Alouettes for the Tiger-Cats because of money issues, will certainly try to prove that GM Jim Popp was right to dig deeper in his pockets.

Anthony Calvillo should play, but at the time of this piece, his vision was still blurry. His cornea was scratched by his helmet when he was hit by Dario Romero last Sunday. Don’t be surprised if McPherson is called upon to replace him at the last minute.

The Alouettes could also be without safety Etienne Boulay, victim of two mild concussions against the Roughriders. If that’s the case, it opens a huge gap in the middle of the secondary since his replacement Tad Crawford has neither the skills nor the vision to shine at that position.

You don’t often see the Alouettes lose two in a row but that’s probably what will happen against the Tiger-Cats Friday night.

Pick: Hamilton

Toronto Argonauts at Edmonton Eskimos (-9, 50)

The Argonauts are simply not the same team without Cory Boyd and his absence will probably be more cruelly felt against the stunning Eskimos, who have flourish behind QB Ricky Ray.

After finishing last in the West in 2010, the Eskimos fully deserve their 4-0 record. On special teams, former Alouette Damon Duval is playing as well as ever and was honored this week for his stellar performance in Calgary, where he completed three field goals, two converts and averaged 47.7 yards on nine punts.

In all aspects of the game, the Eskimos seem balanced. Granted, the loss of DE Greg Peach, who was Defensive Player of the Week, will be felt. And if Joe Sykes can’t nurse his injured ankle in time, it could become a real problem.

That said, even without Peach and receiver Adarius Bowman, who will miss this game because of cracked ribs, the Eskimos will prevail.

Pick: Edmonton

Calgary Stampeders at Saskatchewan Roughriders (+2.5, 54)

Don’t be fooled by the Roughriders’ win against the Alouettes in Montreal. It masked many weaknesses.

Even without Calvillo (injured halfway through the second quarter) and although they probably played their worst football game since Marc Trestman took over four years ago, the Alouettes came close to tying that game in the last minute.

The passing attack of the Riders isn’t as threatening without the likes of Fantusz (NFL) and Baggs (nine-game injury list). Durant can still rely on Dressler and Hugh Charles brings a one-two punch in the running game behind Wes Cates, but the lack of depth and discipline makes the Roughriders vulnerable.

The Saskatchewan defense has weaknesses that will be exposed by Henry Burris and the Stampeders, even in the hostile environment of Mosaic Field. Let’s not forget that missed field goals have been the cause of both losses on Calgary’s record.

Pick: Calgary

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**Udog** · 07-28-2011, 07:56 AM

WNBA

Thursday, July 28

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Trend Report
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12:30 PM
PHOENIX vs. SAN ANTONIO
Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games
San Antonio is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Antonio's last 12 games when playing Phoenix

7:00 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. ATLANTA
Los Angeles is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Los Angeles is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. NEW YORK
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
New York is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 7 games at home

7:30 PM
INDIANA vs. CONNECTICUT
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
Indiana is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
Connecticut is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
Connecticut is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana

8:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. TULSA
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Tulsa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulsa's last 6 games

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WNBA

Thursday, July 28

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Lady luck: Thursday's best WNBA bets
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Phoenix Mercury at San Antonio Silver Stars (-2, 182)

If there’s one thing that should get the Phoenix Mercury back in the groove, it’s a date with the San Antonio Silver Stars.

Phoenix has covered the spread in six of its last seven meetings with San Antonio and dropped the Silver Stars 105-98 as a 3.5-point road underdog near the end of June.

However, the Mercury are sputtering. They dropped consecutive games at home against Minnesota and Seattle before packing their bags for a three-game road trip.

And after their last performance, you’d better believe they’ll want to get off on the right foot Thursday.

"We didn't come to play,'' Mercury coach Corey Gaines told reporters after the club’s loss to Seattle. “I talked to the team, they listened. We just didn't come to play. Just didn't play well.''

Diana Taurasi was the lone exception as she downed 26 points, but the team needs more from players like Penny Taylor, who was held to seven points.

We think the Mercury step up in a big way.

Pick: Mercury

Washington Mystics at New York Liberty (-11, 149)

The Liberty have dropped two of their last three games, including a 85-79 loss in Connecticut as a 5-point underdog. Coach Whisenant has a pretty good idea what went wrong in that one.

"When we are consistently shooting 10 less free throws then our opponent, that's a sign that we aren't aggressive going to the basket," Whisenant told the Liberty's official website. "That's a sign that we're shooting too many jump shots. We need to go to the basket."

So it’s not exactly rocket science. Still, this line isn’t nearly as easy to figure out. New York shouldn’t have a problem winning this one at home, but we’re looking at a lot of points here.

These teams meet four times between now and the middle of August. We’re thinking the Liberty make a statement here.

Pick: Liberty

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**Udog** · 07-28-2011, 08:13 AM

MLB
Dunkel

LA Angels at Detroit
The Angels look to build on their 4-1 record in their last 5 games as underdogs from +110 to +150. Los Angeles is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Angels favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+110). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, JULY 28

Game 901-902: NY Mets at Cincinnati (12:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Capuano) 15.619; Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.297
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+115); Over

Game 903-904: Florida at Washington (12:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Hand) 14.693; Washington (Lannan) 15.140
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 905-906: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wells) 14.562; Milwaukee (Marcum) 15.075
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-180); Over

Game 907-908: Arizona at San Diego (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Hudson) 16.394; San Diego (Latos) 15.204
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 6
Vegas Line: San Diego (-110); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-110); Under

Game 909-910: San Francisco at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.446; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 16.385
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 6
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 911-912: Pittsburgh at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Correia) 15.621; Atlanta (Lowe) 14.727
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+140); Over

Game 913-914: Houston at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Rodriguez) 14.236; St. Louis (Garcia) 15.185
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-200); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-200); Under

Game 915-916: LA Angels at Detroit (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Pineiro) 15.603; Detroit (Penny) 15.277
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+110); Over

Game 917-918: Kansas City at Boston (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Hochevar) 14.784; Boston (Beckett) 16.822
Dunkel Line: Boston by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-280); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-280); Under

Game 919-920: Tampa Bay at Oakland (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Davis) 15.996; Oakland (Harden) 15.778
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Oakland (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+105); Over

Game 921-922: Baltimore at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Bergesen) 15.278; Toronto (Villanueva) 14.585
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Toronto (-160); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+140); Over

Game 923-924: Minnesota at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Baker) 14.313; Texas (Harrison) 15.886
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Texas (-150); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-150); Under

**Udog** · 07-28-2011, 08:18 AM

MLB
Write-Up

Thursday, July 28

Hot pitchers
-- Bailey is 2-0, 2.03 in his last couple starts.
-- Lannan is 2-0, 2.40 in his last couple starts. Hensley is 1-0, 1.80 in his last two starts this year.
-- Marcum is 2-0, 3.00 in his last couple starts.
-- Lincecum is 3-2, 1.66 in his last six starts, but he's been hampered by the flu all week and has been scratched the last two games. Kendrick has a 2.30 RA in his last three home starts.
-- JGarcia is 3-1, 2.05 in his last four starts.

-- Beckett is 3-0, 1.61 in his last four starts.
-- Oakland is 2-0 at home when Harden (1-0, 3.46) starts.
-- Harrison is 3-0, 2.25 in his last four starts. Baker is 3-0, 0.51 in his last three starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Capuano is 0-3, 4.58 in his last three starts.
-- Wells is 1-3, 6.88 in his last ten starts.
-- DHudson is 1-1, 5.55 in his last four starts. San Diego lost last four Latos starts (0-2, 3.42).
-- Lowe is 1-2, 6.23 in his last three starts. Correia is 0-2, 9.42 in his last three outings.
-- Rodriguez is 0-3, 6.00 in his last four starts.

-- Penny is 1-1, 4.42 in his last six home starts. Pineiro is 1-2, 9.95 in his last three starts.
-- Hochevar has a 6.55 RA in his last six starts, but Royals scored 47 runs in winning his last five outings.
-- WDavis is 0-2, 6.23 in his last three starts.
-- Villanueva is 0-1, 6.46 in his four home starts. Bergesen is 1-2, 8.55 in his last four starts.

Totals
-- Nine of last eleven Florida road games went over the total.
-- Seven of Giants' last eight road games went over the total.
-- Lowe's last eight starts all went over the total.
-- Over is 9-3-1 in Mets' last thirteen games.
-- Over is 6-2-2 in Wells' last ten starts.
-- Under is 11-3-1 in last fifteen Rodriguez starts.
-- Over is 5-0-1 in last six games at Petco Park.

-- Over is 10-4-1 in last fifteen Pineiro starts.
-- Eight of last eleven Oriole road games went over the total.
-- Nine of last twelve Kansas City games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 12-6 in last eighteen Texas home games.
-- Eight of last nine Oakland games went over the total.

Hot Teams
-- Marlins won eight of their last nine road games.
-- Phillies won 17 of their last 22 home games. Giants are 10-4 in their last 14 games overall.
-- Mets won their last three games, scoring 20 runs.
-- Brewers won six of their last seven home games.
-- Cardinals won five of their last seven games.
-- Arizona won five of its last six games.

-- Detroit is 6-1 in the game following its last seven losses.
-- Toronto won seven of its last ten home games.
-- Red Sox won nine of their last eleven games.
-- Texas won ten of its last thirteen home games. Minnesota won five of its last seven on the road.
-- Angels won six of their last eight games.
-- Oakland is 8-4 since the All-Star break.

Cold Teams
-- Nationals lost six of their last seven games.
-- Atlanta is 2-3 in its last five games. Pittsburgh is 2-5 in its last seven games, losing last two games in extra innings.
-- Cubs lost nine of their last eleven road games.
-- Astros lost 14 of their last 17 road games.
-- Cincinnati is 8-13 in its last 21 games.
-- San Diego lost 13 of its last 18 games.

-- Baltimore lost eight of its last nine road games.
-- Royals lost three of their last four games.
-- Tampa Bay is 8-15 in its last 23 games.

Umpires
-- Fla-Wsh-- Under is 9-0-1 in last ten Gibson games.
-- SF-Phil-- Over is 8-4-1 in last thirteen Estabrook games.
-- Pitt-Atl-- Five of last seven Iassogna games stayed under total.
-- NY-Cin-- Seven of last nine Hirschbeck games went over total.
-- Chi-Mil-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight BWelke games.
-- Hst-StL-- Underdogs are 7-6 in last thirteen Reynolds games.
-- Az-SD-- Road team won last five Danley games; Danley played ball at San Diego State with Tony Gwynn.

-- KC-Bos-- Under is 5-0-1 in last six Cederstrom games.
-- Blt-Tor-- Under is 12-4 when Porter is behind the plate.
-- Min-Tex-- Home team won five of last six Muchinski games.
-- TB-A's-- Last five Schrieber games stayed under the total.

**Udog** · 07-28-2011, 08:26 AM

MLB

Thursday, July 28

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Trend Report
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12:35 PM
NY METS vs. CINCINNATI
NY Mets are 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games at home
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets

12:35 PM
FLORIDA vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games when playing Washington
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Washington is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Florida

1:05 PM
LA ANGELS vs. DETROIT
LA Angels are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games
LA Angels are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Angels
Detroit is 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against LA Angels

1:35 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. BOSTON
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas City's last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Boston's last 25 games at home
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City

2:10 PM
CHI CUBS vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games on the road
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 8 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

3:35 PM
ARIZONA vs. SAN DIEGO
Arizona is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against San Diego
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games

3:35 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Oakland's last 9 games

7:05 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. PHILADELPHIA
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
San Francisco is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

7:07 PM
BALTIMORE vs. TORONTO
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Baltimore's last 16 games on the road
Baltimore is 2-17 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore

7:10 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. ATLANTA
Pittsburgh is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

8:05 PM
MINNESOTA vs. TEXAS
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing Texas
Texas is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Texas's last 9 games when playing Minnesota

8:15 PM
HOUSTON vs. ST. LOUIS
Houston is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Houston
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston

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**Udog** · 07-28-2011, 08:28 AM

MLB

Thursday, July 28

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Thursday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
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Streaking

Josh Beckett, Boston Red Sox (9-3, 2.07 ERA)

Even a hyperextended knee couldn’t slow down Boston’s ace. Beckett has allowed just one run over two starts since suffering the injury and now sits second in the bigs with his 2.07 ERA.

A solo homer was the only blemish on his resume in his last start against Seattle. He went seven innings while striking out seven and walking one.

Scott Baker, Minnesota Twins (8-5, 2.88 ERA)

The Twins were holding their breath when Baker made his first start off the DL against the Tigers, but he made it through five innings all right in a 4-1 victory.

Baker, who has battled an oblique problem and elbow soreness, didn’t allow a run over those five frames and had to throw just 82 pitches. He could be working with a pitch count Thursday and don’t expect the Twins to push him for a while.

Slumping

Chris Capuano, New York Mets (8-10, 4.26 ERA)

Things looked pretty good for Capuano through four innings of his last start against Florida. Then the fifth inning came along.

Capuano headed into the fifth with a two-run lead but then gave up a couple of jacks and four runs before getting the hook.

“It all comes down to execution,” Capuano told reporters after dropping his third straight start. “It’s just a couple of pitches that I didn’t quite get where I wanted to.”

Joel Pineiro, Los Angeles Angels (5-5, 4.61 ERA)

Pineiro gave up only three runs over 5 1/3 innings in his last start after allowing seven earned runs in only 1/3 of an inning, but that doesn’t mean he’s out of the woods just yet.

Pineiro also yielded 11 hits in the 3-2 loss to Baltimore and his skipper was far from impressed.

“J.P. really struggled to be honest with you,” manager Mike Scioscia told reporters. “The ball was up, he was behind a lot of counts, he really had trouble repeating pitches to put hitters away. It just didn’t seem like he was able to take control of the game.”

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**Udog** · 07-28-2011, 08:33 AM

MLB

Thursday, July 28

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Hot lines: Thursday's best MLB bets
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Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays (-150, 9.5)

The Blue Jays made a major splash in the trade department Wednesday by pulling off a pair of deals that put the likes of Colby Rasmus, Mark Teahen, Brian Tallet, Trever Miller, and P.J. Walters in Jays jerseys.

The big fish here is Rasmus, who has a lot of upside but butted heads with St. Louis manager Tony LaRussa before the deal.

"No, he doesn't listen to the Cardinal coaches much now, and that's why he gets in these funks, in my opinion," La Russa told KDSK TV-5 earlier this week. "If he would just stay with (basically) what they teach, he would have ... but I actually feel concern for him, because he hears it from so many places, he's got to be confused."

It was obviously time to move on for the 24-year-old and he could develop into a solid everyday player for Toronto. The new faces in the clubhouse should be a boost for the club.

Pick: Blue Jays

Los Angeles Angels at Detroit Tigers (-120, 9)

A day after Ervin Santana fired the first no-hitter of his career and the Angels’ first no-no in almost three decades, the club’s supporters may be in for an entirely different type of performance on the hill.

Thursday’s starter, Joel Pineiro, has allowed 25 hits over his last 12 2/3 innings.

Meanwhile, the Tigers are coming off a 5-3 road trip after dropping a 2-1 decision to the White Sox on Wednesday. The big problem in that loss was that Detroit had just one hit in nine chances with runners in scoring position.

“The thing that frustrates you a little bit is when you have opportunity after opportunity,” Tigers manger Jim Leyland told reporters. “If you just take one or two hits in that game, you might have three or four runs."

We think that a matchup against Pineiro should fix those issues.

Pick: Tigers

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**Udog** · 07-28-2011, 08:42 AM

WNBA
Dunkel

Indiana at Connecticut
The Fever look to build on their 7-1 ATS record in their last 8 Thursday games. Indiana is the pick (+6) according to Dunkel, which has the Sun favored by only 4. Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+6). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, JULY 28

Game 651-652: Phoenix at San Antonio (12:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 114.776; San Antonio 112.450
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 2 1/2; 173 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 3; 181 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+3); Under

Game 653-654: Los Angeles at Atlanta (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 105.725; Atlanta 113.967
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 8; 165
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 4 1/2; 162 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-4 1/2); Over

Game 655-656: Washington at New York (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 105.156; New York 116.629
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 11 1/2; 145
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 8 1/2; 149
Dunkel Pick: New York (-8 1/2); Under

Game 657-658: Indiana at Connecticut (7:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 112.633; Connecticut 116.654
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 4; 153
Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 6; 148 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+6); Over

Game 659-660: Chicago at Tulsa (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 108.782; Tulsa 100.036
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 8 1/2; 141
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 7 1/2; 148
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-7 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 07-28-2011, 10:31 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, July 28

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NY METS (53 - 51) at CINCINNATI (50 - 54) - 12:35 PM
CHRIS CAPUANO (L) vs. HOMER BAILEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CAPUANO is 15-31 (-20.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 72-54 (+15.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BAILEY is 13-2 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BAILEY is 13-2 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 53-51 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 25-18 (+12.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 14-6 (+9.9 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 this season.
NY METS are 31-25 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
NY METS are 53-51 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 25-19 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 28-24 (+7.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CINCINNATI is 50-54 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 19-24 (-14.2 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 48-53 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 3-0 (+3.8 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

CHRIS CAPUANO vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
CAPUANO is 2-3 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.83 and a WHIP of 1.492.
His team's record is 2-8 (-7.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-6. (-2.6 units)

HOMER BAILEY vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.

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FLORIDA (51 - 53) at WASHINGTON (49 - 54) - 12:35 PM
CLAY HENSLEY (R) vs. JOHN LANNAN (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 7-4 (+1.5 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.8 Units)

CLAY HENSLEY vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
HENSLEY is 0-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 10.29 and a WHIP of 2.143.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

JOHN LANNAN vs. FLORIDA since 1997
LANNAN is 2-3 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 5.35 and a WHIP of 1.568.
His team's record is 3-4 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.1 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (42 - 62) at MILWAUKEE (56 - 49) - 2:10 PM
RANDY WELLS (R) vs. SHAUN MARCUM (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 42-62 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 14-27 (-12.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 15-26 (-13.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 56-71 (-23.0 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 42-62 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 80-103 (-21.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 35-14 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 35-14 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 28-10 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 77-70 (+9.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 39-51 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-4 (+0.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

RANDY WELLS vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
WELLS is 2-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.70 and a WHIP of 1.644.
His team's record is 4-3 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-1. (+4.2 units)

SHAUN MARCUM vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

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ARIZONA (57 - 47) at SAN DIEGO (45 - 60) - 3:35 PM
DANIEL HUDSON (R) vs. MAT LATOS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 27-47 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 44-57 (-16.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 135-133 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 22-17 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
ARIZONA is 57-48 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 28-24 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ARIZONA is 57-48 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 41-33 (+9.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 17-10 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
SAN DIEGO is 31-46 (-13.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
SAN DIEGO is 20-32 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 20-32 (-14.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less this season.
SAN DIEGO is 20-32 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 12-26 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
SAN DIEGO is 6-15 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SAN DIEGO is 8-17 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LATOS is 1-8 (-8.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 4-3 (+1.0 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.7 Units)

DANIEL HUDSON vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
HUDSON is 3-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 0.83 and a WHIP of 0.923.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.3 units)

MAT LATOS vs. ARIZONA since 1997
LATOS is 1-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 0.75 and a WHIP of 0.917.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

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SAN FRANCISCO (60 - 44) at PHILADELPHIA (65 - 38) - 7:05 PM
RYAN VOGELSONG (R) vs. KYLE KENDRICK (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-1 (+0.5 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

RYAN VOGELSONG vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
VOGELSONG is 1-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

KYLE KENDRICK vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
KENDRICK is 0-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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PITTSBURGH (53 - 49) at ATLANTA (61 - 44) - 7:10 PM
KEVIN CORREIA (R) vs. DEREK LOWE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 19-47 (-21.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 16-52 (-26.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 47-111 (-38.4 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 192-397 (-95.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 84-200 (-64.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
ATLANTA is 89-48 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 89-48 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 109-74 (+16.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 53-49 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 27-24 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 51-48 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 35-32 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 27-21 (+12.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CORREIA is 13-8 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 10-2 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 9-2 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 48-37 (+22.7 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 6-1 (+7.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 19-12 (+13.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-1 (+2.2 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.0 Units)

KEVIN CORREIA vs. ATLANTA since 1997
CORREIA is 1-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.74 and a WHIP of 1.526.
His team's record is 1-3 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

DEREK LOWE vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
LOWE is 10-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 2.64 and a WHIP of 1.098.
His team's record is 10-0 (+10.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-3. (+3.7 units)

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HOUSTON (34 - 70) at ST LOUIS (55 - 49) - 8:15 PM
WANDY RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. JAIME GARCIA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 34-70 (-29.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 32-69 (-31.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 24-46 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 9-24 (-13.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
HOUSTON is 15-36 (-17.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 41-33 (+16.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 141-125 (-23.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 6-10 (-12.6 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -200 over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 62-57 (-23.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 138-122 (-23.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 42-41 (-14.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 75-72 (-27.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 21-33 (-29.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GARCIA is 10-17 (-15.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 8-3 (+3.4 Units) against HOUSTON this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)

WANDY RODRIGUEZ vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
RODRIGUEZ is 5-11 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.93 and a WHIP of 1.111.
His team's record is 6-12 (-5.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 11-5. (+5.1 units)

JAIME GARCIA vs. HOUSTON since 1997
GARCIA is 0-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 5.87 and a WHIP of 1.761.
His team's record is 0-3 (-4.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.3 units)

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LA ANGELS (57 - 48) at DETROIT (55 - 49) - 1:05 PM
JOEL PINEIRO (R) vs. BRAD PENNY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 63-72 (-19.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 25-15 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
LA ANGELS are 115-106 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 48-34 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 505-492 (+69.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 50-43 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 593-579 (+51.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against DETROIT this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JOEL PINEIRO vs. DETROIT since 1997
PINEIRO is 7-3 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.04 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 7-5 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-8. (-4.5 units)

BRAD PENNY vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
PENNY is 3-3 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 5.50 and a WHIP of 1.242.
His team's record is 4-5 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-4. (+0.8 units)

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KANSAS CITY (43 - 61) at BOSTON (64 - 38) - 1:35 PM
LUKE HOCHEVAR (R) vs. JOSH BECKETT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 64-38 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 23-8 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
BOSTON is 45-19 (+18.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BECKETT is 34-10 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in home games in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 1-2 (+0.4 Units) against BOSTON this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

LUKE HOCHEVAR vs. BOSTON since 1997
HOCHEVAR is 1-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 7.94 and a WHIP of 1.853.
His team's record is 1-3 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.4 units)

JOSH BECKETT vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
BECKETT is 6-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.26 and a WHIP of 1.042.
His team's record is 6-2 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.3 units)

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TAMPA BAY (53 - 50) at OAKLAND (47 - 57) - 3:35 PM
WADE DAVIS (R) vs. RICH HARDEN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 54-40 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 132-67 (+44.5 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
HARDEN is 11-1 (+9.8 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 78-59 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 71-52 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 32-16 (+15.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
DAVIS is 11-2 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 47-57 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 46-55 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 31-43 (-14.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-0 (+3.4 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

WADE DAVIS vs. OAKLAND since 1997
DAVIS is 1-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 6.30 and a WHIP of 1.700.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

RICH HARDEN vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
HARDEN is 3-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 5.01 and a WHIP of 1.423.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-4. (-2.6 units)

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BALTIMORE (41 - 59) at TORONTO (52 - 52) - 7:07 PM
BRADLEY BERGESEN (R) vs. CARLOS VILLANUEVA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 41-60 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 26-44 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 20-38 (-16.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TORONTO is 52-52 (+2.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 62-50 (+20.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 297-210 (+52.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
TORONTO is 38-27 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 110-96 (+17.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-3 (+1.6 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

BRADLEY BERGESEN vs. TORONTO since 1997
BERGESEN is 2-2 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 5.54 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 2-4 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.4 units)

CARLOS VILLANUEVA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
VILLANUEVA is 1-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.97 and a WHIP of 1.412.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.1 units)

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MINNESOTA (49 - 55) at TEXAS (59 - 46) - 8:05 PM
SCOTT BAKER (R) vs. MATT HARRISON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 143-126 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 137-116 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 28-21 (+11.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-2 (+5.4 Units) against TEXAS this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.6 Units)

SCOTT BAKER vs. TEXAS since 1997
BAKER is 4-2 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 4.41 and a WHIP of 1.216.
His team's record is 6-2 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.3 units)

MATT HARRISON vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
HARRISON is 0-2 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 7.36 and a WHIP of 1.818.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

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**Udog** · 07-28-2011, 11:07 AM

MLB
Short Sheet

Thursday, July 28

National League

NY METS at CINCINNATI, 12:35 PM ET
CAPUANO: NY METS 2-10 after 6 or more consecutive road games
BAILEY: 13-2 TSR in home games

FLORIDA at WASHINGTON, 12:35 PM ET
HENSLEY:
LANNAN:

CHICAGO CUBS at MILWAUKEE, 2:10 PM ET
WELLS: CHICAGO CUBS 1-13 as a road underdog of +150 to +200
MARCUM: MILWAUKEE 8-0 in home games after a game with a combined score of 4 runs or less

ARIZONA at SAN DIEGO, 3:35 PM ET
HUDSON: ARIZONA 17-10 in road games after a win
LATOS: SAN DIEGO 14-22 at home when the total is 6 to 6.5

SAN FRANCISCO at PHILADELPHIA, 7:05 PM ET
VOGELSONG:
KENDRICK:

PITTSBURGH at ATLANTA, 7:10 PM ET
CORREIA: 17-12 TSR as an underdog of +125 to +175
LOWE: ATLANTA 21-35 after allowing 1 run or less

HOUSTON at ST LOUIS, 8:15 PM ET
RODRIGUEZ: HOUSTON 9-24 after a win
GARCIA: ST LOUIS 41-27 OVER in night games

American League

LA ANGELS at DETROIT, 1:05 PM ET
PINEIRO: LA ANGELS 31-41 after a win by 2 runs or less
PENNY: 16-4 TSR at home when the total is 8.5 to 10

KANSAS CITY at BOSTON, 1:35 PM ET
HOCHEVAR: KANSAS CITY 130-168 in road games after a loss by 4 runs or more
BECKETT: 34-10 TSR in home games in day games

TAMPA BAY at OAKLAND, 3:35 PM ET
DAVIS: TAMPA BAY 28-17 after 2 or more consecutive road games
HARDEN: OAKLAND 7-16 after 2 or more consecutive overs

BALTIMORE at TORONTO, 7:07 PM ET
BERGESEN: BALTIMORE 20-38 after a loss
VILLANUEVA: TORONTO 92-68 OVER in night games

MINNESOTA at TEXAS, 8:05 PM ET
BAKER: MINNESOTA 28-21 after a win
HARRISON: TEXAS 16-24 after a loss by 4 runs or more

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**Udog** · 07-28-2011, 11:43 AM

MLB
Short Sheet

Thursday, July 28

FLORIDA at WASHINGTON, 12:35 PM ET MLB
HENSLEY: FLORIDA 18-8 on the road when the money line is +125 to -125
LANNAN: 8-2 UNDER in home games

SAN FRANCISCO at PHILADELPHIA, 7:05 PM ET MLB
VOGELSONG: 8-3 TSR when the money line is +125 to -125
KENDRICK: 1-4 TSR in night games

Announcement

Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 7/28 ( MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 7/28 ( MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

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