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  • The Bum's Thursday's Best Bets MLB-WNBA !

    LA Angels Open MLB Odds Series At Detroit Tigers

    The Detroit Tigers and Los Angeles Angels both have their sights set on reaching the playoffs as they prepare for a second meeting time this season starting Thursday. First pitch for the series opener is scheduled at 10:05 a.m. (PT) at Comerica Park.

    Los Angeles will be concluding a 10-game road trip in the Motor City and trails the Texas Rangers in the American League West race. The Angels have tallied an AL-best 25-12 record since June 13, but were unable to pick up ground due to the Rangers' 12-game winning streak earlier this month.

    The Halos took two of three from the Tigers just before the all-star break in Anaheim and are 53-29 overall in the series dating back to 2002. That includes a 31-15 mark in the Motor City.

    Joel Pineiro (5-5, 4.61 ERA) gets the opening assignment and will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak. He has allowed 11 runs (10 earned) and 15 hits over 5 2/3 innings in that span. The right-hander has tallied a losing 2-3 record and 4.95 ERA in eight road outings, issuing 15 walks and registering just 16 punch outs in 43 2/3 frames. Opponents are hitting .304 against him away from Angel Stadium.

    Pineiro enters with a solid 8-3 record and 3.16 ERA in 14 appearances (12 starts) versus the Tigers, including a 3-1 mark and 4.91 ERA in four outings (three starts) at today’s venue. Despite his success at Comerica Park, bettors will find that the Angels are 3-7 in his last 10 road outings, while the ‘over’ is 5-2 in that particular situation.

    Detroit will come into this important weekend series as a division leader and will look to even up its 12-13 record versus AL West foes. Starting pitching has been a strength for the club all season, but the bullpen ranks 29th in the majors with a 4.69 ERA.

    The Tigers have been relying heavily on the offensive exploits of shortstop Jhonny Peralta, who is hitting .400 since the All-Star Game with two home runs and 11 RBIs. Due to having a potent lineup and a shaky bullpen, the ‘over’ is 54-41 in Detroit’s games this season.

    Brad Penny (7-7, 4.51 ERA) has won two of his last three outings and will aim to improve his even 3-3 mark and 5.50 ERA in nine starts versus the Angels. He walked away with a 5-4 road victory over Los Angeles on July 6, giving up four runs and six hits over 6 1/3 innings.

    The right-hander has been much better in front of the home fans this year than on the road, posting a 4-2 record and 3.15 ERA in 11 home starts compared to a 3-5 mark and 6.36 ERA in nine road outings. He will need to pitch carefully to Angels designated hitter Bobby Abreu, who comes in with a .340 average and two home runs in 53 career at-bats against him.

    Weather forecasts are calling for game-time highs in the mid-to-upper-80s with a 50 percent chance of scattered thunderstorms. The wind will be blowing in a southwesterly direction at 10-15 mph (right to left). The ‘over’ is 3-1 at Comerica Park in those conditions.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    Boston Red Sox Host Kansas City Royals

    The Boston Red Sox will try to win for the eighth time in nine starts for ace Josh Beckett when they host the Kansas City Royals in the finale of a four-game series on Thursday. The Royals will also be going for their sixth straight win with Luke Hochevar on the mound before heading to Cleveland this weekend to close out a seven-game road trip.

    Game time for the getaway game at Fenway Park in Boston is 10:35 a.m. (PT).

    The ‘under’ is also 5-1 in Beckett’s last six starts and 14-4-1 overall when he has pitched this season. The big righty’s only loss in his past seven outings came against Cliff Lee and the Philadelphia Phillies one month ago.

    Beckett (9-3, 2.07 ERA) has been brilliant outside of that loss, which is the lone time he has given up more than three runs in his last 14 starts. He is 6-0 lifetime vs. Kansas City with a 2.26 ERA in eight starts and 4-0 at Fenway Park this year with a 1.61 ERA.

    Unlike Beckett, Hochevar (6-8, 5.29) has not pitched particularly well in the five straight games the Royals have won with him starting. Hochevar has gone 2-0 during that stretch, surrendering four runs or more three times but seeing his team score at least 10 runs in each of those games.

    The top overall pick in the 2006 amateur draft has yet to live up to his billing compared to Beckett, who was selected No. 2 overall by the Florida Marlins in 1999 and won a World Series with them in 2003 before leading Boston to the 2007 championship as ALCS MVP.

    Hochevar has struggled against the Red Sox during his career with a 1-3 mark and 7.94 ERA in four starts. He has also pitched poorly on the road this season, going 1-4 with a 5.44 ERA. The ‘over’ is 3-1 in his last four outings, and just two of the five consecutive wins with him for KC came as an underdog.

    The teams split the first two games of the series and combined for 56 hits heading into Wednesday with much different results. The Royals earned a 3-1 victory in 14 innings on Monday before the Sox came alive offensively in winning a 13-9 slugfest on Tuesday.

    Gary Cederstrom will be behind home plate for the 24th time this season. Home teams have a slight 12-11 edge with Cederstrom as the umpire – but 4-0 as favorites with a higher price than 160 – while the ‘under’ is 12-9-2 in his games.

    The weather is expected to be a bit cooler in Boston on Thursday with a high temperature projected at 82 degrees under partly cloudy skies.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Milwaukee Brewers, Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Preview

      Two National League Central rivals will complete a three-game series on Thursday when the Milwaukee Brewers host the Chicago Cubs. First pitch is scheduled to be thrown at 11:10 a.m. (PT) from Miller Park.

      Each club comes into this series in vastly different positions. As of Wednesday, the Cubbies are 13 games back of the St. Louis Cardinals and fifth in the division standings while the Brew Crew is second by only half a game.

      Milwaukee took the first game of this series, 3-2. Ryan Braun went 3-for-4 at the plate, but ultimately the go-ahead score came from Casey McGehee’s triple which drove in two runs. This was a game that appeared to be headed to go ‘over’ the total, but that final score also happened to be the score at the conclusion of the first inning.

      Most teams in any sport like to play at home, but for the Brewers it seems to be the only way for them to win. They are 20 games above .500 at Miller Park and just 21-35 on the road.

      During their last road stretch, Milwaukee went 5-6 and that is actually a positive compared to some of their other efforts. If they can find a way to play merely satisfactory baseball away from home, this division could be theirs.

      The good news for the Brewers is that they have three series in a row at home against division opponents, including this one.

      Shaun Marcum (9-3, 3.35 ERA) gets the nod for the Brewers and knowing all the info on the team’s record home and away, there are some odd numbers that stick out. The club actually has a losing record in his starts at home (4-6) and a winning record on the road (6-5).

      Marcum also has a lower ERA and WHIP on the road. To his credit, the right-hander is held accountable for only one of those six home losses to sport a personal 4-1 record.

      As for the Cubs, good news is few and far between. To focus on the bright side, Thursday’s starter Randy Wells (2-3, 6.17 ERA) is actually coming off a win which he had not experienced since his first start back in April.

      That may be where the bright side ends, as Wells’ ERA on the road is 8.50.

      Marcum has been an ‘under’ pitcher with low totals going 13-8 in his starts. The Chicago Cubs have also gone ‘under’ in six out of their last seven games overall.

      Miller Park's roof may be closed with the weather forecast calling for a 30 percent chance of scattered thunderstorms at game time with a temperature expected around 82 degrees.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        Connecticut Sun, Indiana Fever WNBA Betting Preview

        It's a battle for the lead in the WNBA's Eastern Conference standings Thursday night when the Connecticut Sun host the Indiana Fever. Tip-off from the Mohegan Sun Arena is 4:30 p.m. (PT).

        Opening WNBA betting lines listed the Sun as 5½-point favorites for the tilt, up a half-point from the last time the two teams met on this floor. Tuesday's total on the Don Best odds screen is 150.

        Indiana was a 5-point underdog in a July 17 visit to this arena, a spread that 'pushed' when the Sun posted a 76-71 win behind Danielle McCray's career-best 22 points. That was the third meeting between the squads this season and Connecticut's first win over the Fever who took the first two meetings on their home court, covering as 3½- and 5½-point favorites in those contests.

        The Fever last took the court six days ago at home vs. Chicago and snapped a 3-game losing streak with a 77-63 win. Indiana, favored by six points, built a 14-point halftime lead behind 6-foot-5 Jessica Davenport who came off the bench to lead the Fever boxscore with 20 points.

        Connecticut moved into first in the East by percentage points over Indiana with Tuesday's upset road victory at Chicago. A 4-point underdog against the Sky, the Sun fought back from an early deficit to grab a 77-66 win behind Asjha Jones' 22 points and Tina Charles' double-double (21 points, 15 rebounds).

        The double-double was the ninth of the season for Charles who is fourth in the league in scoring (18.5) and tied with Minnesota's Rebekkah Brunson for the top spot in rebounding (10.5). Three of those double-doubles have come against the Fever with Charles averaging 15.0 points and 12.0 boards per contest.

        Tuesday's triumph was just the third road win for Connecticut against five losses away from home. The Sun are a perfect 7-0 on their own floor while Indiana comes in with a 3-4 road record.

        Connecticut has split against the spread so far this season going 7-7 with the one 'push' against Indiana recently. The Sun are 4-2-1 when favored and 3-0-1 ATS during their current 4-game win streak.

        Indiana is 10-6-1 ATS overall, 2-2-1 when listed as the underdog.

        There's no rest for the Fever who will travel overnight to meet the Washington Mystic on Friday. Connecticut gets two days off before hosting the Atlanta Dream on Sunday.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          Around the Horn - Thursday

          July 27, 2011

          NATIONAL LEAGUE


          N.Y. Mets at Cincinnati - 12:35 PM EST (Game 4/4)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Capuano (8-10, 4.26 ERA) 4-2 L6 OVER 8-2 L10 away during day
          Bailey (5-4, 3.67 ERA) 2-4 L6 OVER 7-2 home vs LHP

          Mets beat Reds, 4-2 on Monday
          Mets beat Reds, 8-6 on Tuesday
          Mets beat Reds, 8-2 on Wednesday

          Florida at Washington - 12:35 PM EST (Game 3/3)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Hand (1-3, 2.77 ERA) 4-6 L10 3-5 L8 away during day
          Lannan (7-6, 3.51 ERA) 1-5 L6 5-2 L7 home during day

          Marlins beat Nationals, 11-2 on Tuesday
          Marlins beat Nationals, 7-5 on Wednesday

          Chicago at Milwaukee - 2:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Wells (2-3, 6.17 ERA) 2-6 L8 6-1 L7 on Thursdays
          Marcum (9-3, 3.35 ERA) 5-5 L10 3-8 on Thursdays

          Brewers beat Cubs, 3-2 on Tuesday
          Brewers beat Cubs, 2-0 on Wednesday

          Arizona at San Diego - 3:35 PM EST (Game 3/3)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Hudson (10-6, 3.72 ERA) 3-6 L9 4-0 L4 away on Thursdays
          Latos (5-10, 4.05 ERA) 3-5 L8 OVER 8-4 home during day

          Diamondbacks beat Padres, 6-1 on Tuesday

          San Francisco at Philadelphia - 7:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Vogelsong (8-1, 2.10 ERA) 4-6 L10 2-10 away Game 3's
          Kendrick (5-4, 3.45 ERA) 8-3 L11 12-4 home Game 3's

          Phillies beat Giants, 7-2 on Tuesday
          Giants beat Phillies, 2-1 on Wednesday

          Pittsburgh at Atlanta - 7:10 PM EST (Game 4/4)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Correia (11-8, 4.38 ERA) 6-4 L10 OVER 10-3 away Game 3's
          Lowe (6-8, 4.49 ERA) 5-5 L10 4-1 home on Thursdays

          Pirates beat Braves, 3-1 on Monday
          Braves beat Pirates, 4-3 on Tuesday
          Braves beat Pirates, 2-1 on Wednesday

          Houston at St. Louis - 8:15 PM EST (Game 4/4)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Rodriguez (6-7, 3.60 ERA) 2-5 L7 OVER 5-0 Game 4's
          Garcia (10-4, 3.01 ERA) 5-5 L10 3-5 L8 home vs LHP

          Cardinals beat Astros, 10-5 on Monday
          Cardinals beat Astros, 3-1 on Tuesday

          AMERICAN LEAGUE


          Los Angeles at Detroit - 1:05 PM EST (Game 1/4)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Pineiro (5-5, 4.61 ERA) 4-2 L6 13-5 L18 away during day
          Penny (7-7, 4.51 ERA) 3-6 L9 6-2 L8 home during day

          Angels beat Indians, 3-1 on Wednesday
          Tigers lost to White Sox, 2-1 on Wednesday

          Kansas City at Boston - 1:35 PM EST (Game 4/4)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Hochevar (6-8, 5.29 ERA) 5-2 L7 1-5 L6 on Thursdays
          Beckett (9-3, 2.07 ERA) 8-2 L10 8-1 L9 on Thursdays

          Royals beat Red Sox, 3-1 on Monday
          Red Sox beat Royals, 13-9 on Tuesday
          Red Sox beat Royals, 12-5 on Wednesday

          Tampa Bay at Oakland - 3:35 PM EST (Game 4/4)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Davis (7-7, 4.46 ERA) 3-7 L10 6-3 L9 away during day
          Harden (2-1, 4.63 ERA) 5-5 L10 3-8 on Thursdays

          Athletics beat Rays, 7-5 on Monday
          Athletics beat Rays, 6-1 on Tuesday

          Baltimore at Toronto - 7:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Bergesen (2-6, 5.54 ERA) 4-6 L10 OVER 5-1 L6 on Thursdays
          Villanueva (5-2, 3.40 ERA) 7-3 L10 3-10 home Game 3's

          Orioles beat Blue Jays, 12-4 on Monday
          Blue Jays beat Orioles, 3-0 on Tuesday

          Minnesota at Texas - 8:05 PM EST (Game 4/4)
          Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
          Baker (8-5, 2.88 ERA) 3-6 L9 UNDER 5-1 away on Thursdays
          Harrison (8-7, 3.05 ERA) 15-3 L18 8-1 L9 home vs RHP

          Rangers beat Twins, 20-6 on Monday
          Twins beat Rangers, 9-8 on Tuesday
          Twins beat Rangers, 7-2 on Wednesday
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            Thursday, July 28

            Game Score Status Pick Amount

            NY Mets - 12:35 PM ET Cincinnati -132 500
            Cincinnati - Over 9 500

            LA Angels - 1:05 PM ET LA Angels +123 500
            Detroit - Over 9 500

            Kansas City - 1:35 PM ET Kansas City +259 500 Boston - Under 9 500

            Chi. Cubs - 2:10 PM ET Milwaukee -183 500
            Milwaukee - Under 8.5 500

            Tampa Bay - 3:35 PM ET Oakland -123 500
            Oakland - Over 7.5 500

            Arizona - 3:35 PM ET San Diego -103 500
            San Diego - Over 6.5 500
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #7
              12:30 PM ETPhoenix at San Antonio

              Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

              PHO 651 10-6 (5-3 V) - 181.5 ( Over )

              SA 652 10-5 (4-3 H) - -2 ( San Antonio - 2 )

              Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
              Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • #8
                Thursday, July 28

                Game Score Status Pick Amount

                BC Lions - 8:00 PM ET Winnipeg -3 500

                Winnipeg - Under 52 500
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • #9
                  Canadian bacon: CFL Week 5 betting preview and picks

                  B.C. Lions at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (-3, 52)

                  The situation is getting desperate for the Lions, who are the only winless team in the CFL. And it won’t be an easy task to pick up their first win in Winnipeg this Thursday after a short week of preparation.

                  The departure of WR Manny Arceneaux (NFL) was costlier than anticipated. The vertical attack of the Lions doesn’t scare anyone in the league. And defensively, veteran Davis Sanchez, at 36, has lost a step and was moved from cornerback to safety after a terrible start. The knee injury that ended the season of defensive back Stanley Franks only made the secondary more fragile. It remains unknown whether the addition of rookie Travis Williams as a wide-side cornerback will make it better or worse.

                  You can bet that Bombers QB Buck Pierce will try to exploit the lack of CFL experience on the Lions stop unit. Bettors should also consider that the Winnipeg defense has been solid so far.

                  CFL bettors will watch the Bombers declaw the Lions and keep B.C. winless.

                  Pick: Winnipeg
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Lady luck: Thursday's best WNBA bets

                    Phoenix Mercury at San Antonio Silver Stars (-2, 182)

                    If there’s one thing that should get the Phoenix Mercury back in the groove, it’s a date with the San Antonio Silver Stars.

                    Phoenix has covered the spread in six of its last seven meetings with San Antonio and dropped the Silver Stars 105-98 as a 3.5-point road underdog near the end of June.

                    However, the Mercury are sputtering. They dropped consecutive games at home against Minnesota and Seattle before packing their bags for a three-game road trip.

                    And after their last performance, you’d better believe they’ll want to get off on the right foot Thursday.

                    "We didn't come to play,'' Mercury coach Corey Gaines told reporters after the club’s loss to Seattle. “I talked to the team, they listened. We just didn't come to play. Just didn't play well.''

                    Diana Taurasi was the lone exception as she downed 26 points, but the team needs more from players like Penny Taylor, who was held to seven points.

                    We think the Mercury step up in a big way.

                    Pick: Mercury

                    Washington Mystics at New York Liberty (-11, 149)

                    The Liberty have dropped two of their last three games, including a 85-79 loss in Connecticut as a 5-point underdog. Coach Whisenant has a pretty good idea what went wrong in that one.

                    "When we are consistently shooting 10 less free throws then our opponent, that's a sign that we aren't aggressive going to the basket," Whisenant told the Liberty's official website. "That's a sign that we're shooting too many jump shots. We need to go to the basket."

                    So it’s not exactly rocket science. Still, this line isn’t nearly as easy to figure out. New York shouldn’t have a problem winning this one at home, but we’re looking at a lot of points here.

                    These teams meet four times between now and the middle of August. We’re thinking the Liberty make a statement here.

                    Pick: Liberty
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Hot lines: Thursday's best MLB bets

                      Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays (-150, 9.5)

                      The Blue Jays made a major splash in the trade department Wednesday by pulling off a pair of deals that put the likes of Colby Rasmus, Mark Teahen, Brian Tallet, Trever Miller, and P.J. Walters in Jays jerseys.

                      The big fish here is Rasmus, who has a lot of upside but butted heads with St. Louis manager Tony LaRussa before the deal.

                      "No, he doesn't listen to the Cardinal coaches much now, and that's why he gets in these funks, in my opinion," La Russa told KDSK TV-5 earlier this week. "If he would just stay with (basically) what they teach, he would have ... but I actually feel concern for him, because he hears it from so many places, he's got to be confused."

                      It was obviously time to move on for the 24-year-old and he could develop into a solid everyday player for Toronto. The new faces in the clubhouse should be a boost for the club.

                      Pick: Blue Jays

                      Los Angeles Angels at Detroit Tigers (-120, 9)

                      A day after Ervin Santana fired the first no-hitter of his career and the Angels’ first no-no in almost three decades, the club’s supporters may be in for an entirely different type of performance on the hill.

                      Thursday’s starter, Joel Pineiro, has allowed 25 hits over his last 12 2/3 innings.

                      Meanwhile, the Tigers are coming off a 5-3 road trip after dropping a 2-1 decision to the White Sox on Wednesday. The big problem in that loss was that Detroit had just one hit in nine chances with runners in scoring position.

                      “The thing that frustrates you a little bit is when you have opportunity after opportunity,” Tigers manger Jim Leyland told reporters. “If you just take one or two hits in that game, you might have three or four runs."

                      We think that a matchup against Pineiro should fix those issues.

                      Pick: Tigers
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Thursday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers

                        Streaking

                        Josh Beckett, Boston Red Sox (9-3, 2.07 ERA)

                        Even a hyperextended knee couldn’t slow down Boston’s ace. Beckett has allowed just one run over two starts since suffering the injury and now sits second in the bigs with his 2.07 ERA.

                        A solo homer was the only blemish on his resume in his last start against Seattle. He went seven innings while striking out seven and walking one.

                        Scott Baker, Minnesota Twins (8-5, 2.88 ERA)

                        The Twins were holding their breath when Baker made his first start off the DL against the Tigers, but he made it through five innings all right in a 4-1 victory.

                        Baker, who has battled an oblique problem and elbow soreness, didn’t allow a run over those five frames and had to throw just 82 pitches. He could be working with a pitch count Thursday and don’t expect the Twins to push him for a while.

                        Slumping

                        Chris Capuano, New York Mets (8-10, 4.26 ERA)

                        Things looked pretty good for Capuano through four innings of his last start against Florida. Then the fifth inning came along.

                        Capuano headed into the fifth with a two-run lead but then gave up a couple of jacks and four runs before getting the hook.

                        “It all comes down to execution,” Capuano told reporters after dropping his third straight start. “It’s just a couple of pitches that I didn’t quite get where I wanted to.”

                        Joel Pineiro, Los Angeles Angels (5-5, 4.61 ERA)

                        Pineiro gave up only three runs over 5 1/3 innings in his last start after allowing seven earned runs in only 1/3 of an inning, but that doesn’t mean he’s out of the woods just yet.

                        Pineiro also yielded 11 hits in the 3-2 loss to Baltimore and his skipper was far from impressed.

                        “J.P. really struggled to be honest with you,” manager Mike Scioscia told reporters. “The ball was up, he was behind a lot of counts, he really had trouble repeating pitches to put hitters away. It just didn’t seem like he was able to take control of the game.”
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Ground and pound: Betting the best groundball pitchers in baseball

                          General managers who rely upon sabermetrics as part of their decision-making process love pitchers with high ground ball percentages.

                          The feeling is that pitchers who make hitters pound the ball into the ground have a better chance of limiting big innings. That's because, at least in theory, the ground ballers should allow fewer home runs and induce more double plays.

                          Here is a look at the top seven pitchers this season in terms of ground ball-fly ball ratio: The number of ground balls generated by opposing hitters diving by the number of fly balls:

                          Charlie Morton, Pittsburgh Pirates (1.99 units)

                          GB/FB: 3.44

                          Morton overhauled his throwing motion in spring training with the help of Pirates pitching coaches Ray Searage and Jim Benedict to the point where he greatly resembles the Phillies' Roy Halladay. The changes have turned Morton into a groundball machine now known as "Ground Chuck".

                          Ground balls have helped Morton turn his career around, going 8-5 with a 3.69 ERA in 18 starts after going 2-12 with a 7.57 ERA last season. The Pirates have split his 18 starts this year with an over/under count of 8-10.

                          Derek Lowe, Atlanta Braves (1.61 units)

                          GB/FB: 2.81

                          Lowe has long been one of the game's top groundball pitchers because of his sinker. However, too many of those grounders have found holes this season as Lowe is 6-8 with a 4.49 ERA in 22 starts. The fact that Lowe has had an ERA of 4.00 or more in all three seasons since signing a four-year, $60 million contract with the Braves is a sign that the sinker isn't what it used to be.

                          Games have gone over in 13 of Lowe's 22 starts while the under has been the winning side eight times with one push. The Braves are 12-10 in those games.

                          Jake Westbrook, St. Louis Cardinals (3.98 units)

                          GB/FB: 2.67

                          Westbrook is another sinkerball pitcher who has had trouble getting those ground balls to find gloves, going 9-4 in 21 starts but boasting a 4.86 ERA. The Cardinals re-signed Westbrook to a three-year, $30 million contract in the offseason after he was 4-4 with a 3.48 ERA in 12 starts following his acquisition from the Cleveland Indians at the trade deadline in 2010. The Cardinals have gone 12-9 in Westbrook's starts with an over/under mark of 12-8-1.

                          Tim Hudson, Atlanta Braves (-4.06 units)

                          GB/FB: 2.30

                          Hudson is one of the few pitchers with a six-pitch mix and he gets many of his ground balls off his sinker and splitter. That has helped the 36 year old have another successful season a little less than three years removed from Tommy John surgery. Hudson is 9-7 with a 3.42 ERA in 21 starts. The Braves have gone 10-11 in Hudson's starts and the over/under is 12-9.

                          Trevor Cahill, Oakland Athletics (-7.13 units)

                          GB/FB: 2.22

                          Cahill hasn't been quite as dominant this year as he was during his breakout season in 2010, going 8-9 with a 3.77 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP in 22 starts for an offensively-challenge club. He has pitched well enough to believe that he can have more seasons like last year when he went 18-8 with a 2.97 ERA and 1.11 WHIP. The Athletics are just 8-14 this season when Cahill has toed the slab with an over/under record of 9-11-2.

                          Jason Marquis, Washington Nationals (9.47 units)

                          GB/FB: 2.14

                          A year after a disastrous 2-9 season that was interrupted by arthroscopic elbow surgery, Marquis has been the fourth-most profitable pitcher in the major leagues this season behind Halladay (10.88 units), the Braves' Jair Jurrjens (9.78) and the San Diego Padres' Aaron Harang (9.77). Keeping the ball down has played a big part in Marquis' success, going 8-5 with a 3.95 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP. Marquis' starts have resulted in the Nationals going 13-7 while the over/under is also 13-7.

                          Tim Stauffer, San Diego Padres (3.33 units)

                          GB/FB: 2.14

                          Stauffer has suffered because he pitches for the lowest-scoring team in the National League. He has a 6-7 record despite a 3.05 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. His ERA is good for 11th in the NL.

                          Stauffer has turned in quality starts in 14 of his 21 outings but the Padres haven't been able to take full advantage , posting an 11-10 mark in his outings while the over/under is 9-11-1.

                          --

                          Note: Betting the top seven groundball pitchers has proven profitable as they have combined for 9.19 units. Though it seems counterintuitive, betting the over has been the way to go with those arms, with a combined 77-63 over/under record for 7.70 units heading into Wednesday’s action.
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Earlier Morning Game went 2 - 0......the rest to this evenings schedule:

                            7:00 PM ETWashington at New York

                            Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

                            WAS 655 3-12 (2-6 V) - 149.5 (UNDER )

                            NY 656 9-7 (5-3 H) - -8.5 ( Washington + 8.5 )

                            Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
                            Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts



                            7:00 PM ETLos Angeles at Atlanta

                            Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

                            LA 653 6-9 (2-7 V) - 162.5 ( OVER )

                            ATL 654 7-9 (4-5 H) - -5 ( Atlanta - 5 )

                            Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
                            Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts



                            7:30 PM ETIndiana at Connecticut

                            Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

                            IND 657 11-6 (3-4 V) - 151 ( UNDER )

                            CONN 658 10-5 (7-0 H) - -5 ( UCONN - 5 )

                            Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
                            Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts



                            8:00 PM ETChicago at Tulsa

                            Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

                            CHI 659 8-10 (1-7 V) - 146.5 ( OVER )

                            TUL 660 1-15 (1-7 H) + 7.5 ( CHICAGO - 7.5 )

                            Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
                            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Morning Results with two games pending:

                              Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

                              07/28/11 7-*1-*0 87.50% +*3750 Detail



                              San Francisco - 7:05 PM ET Philadelphia +107 500
                              Philadelphia - Over 7.5 500

                              Baltimore - 7:07 PM ET Baltimore +153 500
                              Toronto - Over 9 500

                              Pittsburgh - 7:10 PM ET Pittsburgh +150 500
                              Atlanta - Over 7.5 500

                              Minnesota - 8:05 PM ET Texas -149 500
                              Texas - Over 9.5 500

                              Houston - 8:15 PM ET Houston +178 500
                              St. Louis - Over 7.5 500
                              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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