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  • Friday's Trends and Indexes - 7/15 ( MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, July 15

    Good Luck on day #196 of 2011!

    At this time, the sports menu in this thread consists of MLB, WNBA and CFL until their seasons are played out. Also, general sports news and notes will be posted.

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Matchup Links

    MLB Matchups

    MLB Previews

    MLB Hot or Not

    MLB Umpires

    MLB Trends

    MLB Weather

    CFL Matchups

    CFL Stats Center

    CFL Hot or Not

    CFL Trends

    CFL News and Weather

    NASCAR Schedules

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    Friday’s betting tips: Jays lose Bautista to injury

    Who’s hot

    MLB: The L.A. Dodgers have won 13 of their last 16 meetings with Arizona.

    MLB: Florida has played over the total in eight of its last 11.

    WNBA: New York is 7-0-1 against the spread in its last eight.

    Who’s not

    MLB: Washington has won only three of the last 13 starts Livan Hernandez has made.

    CFL: Toronto is 2-9 in its last 11 meetings with Montreal.

    WNBA: Los Angeles is 2-6 against the spread in its last eight road games.

    Key stat

    0 – The 2-9 Washington Mystics, who have covered just three spreads all season, were held without a second-chance point in Tuesday’s 79-71 loss to Seattle, their eighth straight up loss in nine games. The Mystics are the fifth-best rebounding team in the league with a 1.73 rebounding margin, but average just 72.5 points per game, 11th in the WNBA.

    Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

    Jose Bautista, Toronto Blue Jays: The big league’s home run leader is considered day-to-day with a twisted right ankle and may miss a few games. Bautista jammed the ankle while making a catch at the All-Star game and aggravated it Thursday against the Yankees. He’s hitting .334 with 31 homers and 61 RBIs.

    Game of the day

    Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays (-145, 8)

    Notable quotable

    “If I get around any of their receivers, especially them two, my plan is to pick them up, turn them over and dump them on their head. If you want to cheap shot me and act like you’re a big man, because you knocked me down when I didn’t see you coming, then fine. I’m going to let you see me coming and I’m going to be a man and I’m going to dump you on your head.” – Toronto Argonauts defensive tackle Kevin Huntley about avenging a perceived cheap shot he took from Montreal wideout Jamel Richardson. The Argos are set as big 10.5-point underdogs at Montreal on Friday.

    Notes and tips

    Boston Red Sox DH David Ortiz and Baltimore Orioles pitcher Kevin Gregg were suspended four games apiece by MLB on Thursday. It is thought that Oritiz will appeal the decision, meaning he should be in the lineup at least through the weekend. It’s unclear if Gregg will appeal.

    Both the Toronto Blue Jays and New York Mets are making changes in their bullpen totem poles. Jays manager John Farrell told reporters that Jon Rauch will handle the saves moving forward instead of Frank Francisco. Rauch has a 4.34 ERA through 37 1/3 innings this season. Meanwhile, with K-Rod out of the picture, the Mets will split save opportunities between Bobby Parnell, Jason Isringhausen and Pedro Beato.

    Comment


    • #3
      Friday's six-pack

      Odds to win the World Series

      2-1 Phillies-- Veteran club has gotten superior starting pitching.

      3-1 Red Sox-- Padres should've gotten lot more for Adrian Gonzalez.

      5-1 Bronx-- Rotation is thin and ARod is out another 4-5 weeks.

      8-1 Giants-- Huff hit huge HR in 9th inning Thursday to bail them out.

      8-1 Brewers-- Acquisition of KRod gives them much deeper pen.

      10-1 Rangers-- Don't lose very much at home.


      ****************************


      Friday's List of 13: Random thoughts from the desert........

      13) It sickens me that David Price has signed a memorabilia deal with the scummy Steiner Sports people, making money off the fact that he gave up Derek Jeter's 3,000th hit. If people are going to make money off of giving up milestone hits, it doesn't exactly foster competitive spirit.

      12) NBA claims to be losing lot of money; weell, if if the NBA cancelled its Summer League, why is the WNBA going on? Do owners like losing money? No way is the WNBA a profitable enterprise.

      11) NFL Network has an Arenaball game Friday night, and a twinbill of CFL games Saturday; finally, I get to see the games!!! This does not and will not change the fact that my cable system back home, Time Warner, is a pack of bumbling fools for not having NFL Network on our system.

      10) If you're ever at Planet Hollywood here in Las Vegas, stop at Earl of Sandwich shop, which makes tremendous sandwiches 24 hours a day.

      9) Carlos Marmol entered the Marlin-Cub game to protect a 2-0 Cub lead in the 9th inning; it didn't go so well.

      Walk-Walk-Walk-3-run double-Walk-Shower. Cubs lost 6-3. Not good.

      8) If you bet the under in that game and the Giant-Padre game, then the gambling gods owe you a couple down the road. Very tough beats there.

      7) I traded for Orlando Cabrera in my fantasy league two weeks ago, to be a sub for the injured Jose Reyes; he was 11 for his last 23 when I got him. In his one and only week with my team, he went 2-25 with no walks, no runs, no RBI. Nice knowin' ya.

      6) Matt Stairs has 87 career RBI as a pinch-hitter, 27 more than any other active major leaguer.

      5) Hanley Ramirez' 9th-inning single Thursday was the 999th of what is hopefully going to be a very good career.

      4) Derek Holland has thrown three complete game shutouts in his last eight starts; in those other five starts, he was 1-3, 7.27, but he does now have consecutive shutouts.

      3) In case you care about such things, Vancouver Canucks are 4-1 faves to win next spring's Stanley Cup. Flyers are 7-1, defending champ Bruins and San Jose Sharks are both 8-1.

      2) Jose Bautista twisted his ankle sliding into third base last night; would be huge blow for Toronto if he was out for any length of time.

      1) Florida Marlins have now won 10 of their last 13 games; they win few more games, and they might be making up "You Don't Know Jack" shirts, in honor of 80-year old interim manager Jack McKeon.

      Comment


      • #4
        CFL
        Dunkel



        FRIDAY, JULY 15

        Game 493-494: Toronto at Montreal (7:30 p.m. EST)

        Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 110.967; Montreal 119.386
        Dunkel Line: Montreal by 8 1/2; 56
        Vegas Line: Montreal by 10 1/2; 53 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+10 1/2); Over


        SATURDAY, JULY 16

        Game 495-496: Saskatchewan at Hamilton (4:00 p.m. EST)

        Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 110.504; Hamilton 110.244
        Dunkel Line: Even; 46
        Vegas Line: Hamilton by 2 1/2; 51 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (+2 1/2); Under

        Game 497-498: BC at Edmonton (7:00 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: BC 111.976; Edmonton 117.710
        Dunkel Line: Edmonton by 5 1/2; 58
        Vegas Line: Edmonton by 2 1/2; 54 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-2 1/2); Over




        CFL
        Long Sheet


        Week 3


        Friday, July 15

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        TORONTO (1 - 1) at MONTREAL (2 - 0) - 7/15/2011, 7:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        TORONTO is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MONTREAL is 6-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
        MONTREAL is 6-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Saturday, July 16

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        SASKATCHEWAN (0 - 2) at HAMILTON (0 - 2) - 7/16/2011, 4:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        HAMILTON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 3 seasons.
        SASKATCHEWAN is 99-59 ATS (+34.1 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
        SASKATCHEWAN is 135-104 ATS (+20.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        SASKATCHEWAN is 3-1 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
        SASKATCHEWAN is 3-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        BRITISH COLUMBIA (0 - 2) at EDMONTON (2 - 0) - 7/16/2011, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        BRITISH COLUMBIA is 71-47 ATS (+19.3 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
        BRITISH COLUMBIA is 50-28 ATS (+19.2 Units) in road games off a division game since 1996.
        EDMONTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
        EDMONTON is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        EDMONTON is 3-3 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
        EDMONTON is 3-3 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
        5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




        CFL


        Week 3


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Friday, July 15

        7:30 PM
        TORONTO vs. MONTREAL
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Montreal
        Toronto is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Montreal
        Montreal is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto


        Saturday, July 16

        4:00 PM
        SASKATCHEWAN vs. HAMILTON
        The total has gone OVER in 10 of Saskatchewan's last 12 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
        Saskatchewan is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hamilton's last 6 games when playing Saskatchewan
        The total has gone OVER in 10 of Hamilton's last 12 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan

        7:00 PM
        BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. EDMONTON
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games on the road
        British Columbia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
        Edmonton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




        CFL


        Week 3


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Canadian bacon: CFL Week 3 betting preview and picks
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Friday, July 15

        Toronto Argonauts at Montreal Alouettes (-10.5, 53.5)


        Anthony Calvillo is about to become the all-time leader for touchdown passes in the CFL, which will likely occur at home this week against the Argos. Last week in Regina, he tied Damon Allen and connected for five scores in a win over Saskatchewan.

        The Alouettes are 2-0 and their offense is already in top gear. The defense, despite a few letdowns in the third quarter, is capable of stopping its opponents when it mattered, in bend-but-don’t-break fashion. Special teams, however, are still a problem for the Als and that could give room for the explosive Chad Owens to make his presence felt.

        Nonetheless, we can’t see how the Argos, led by the erratic Cleo Lemon, can really manage to slow down Montreal - especially not at Percival-Molson Stadium.

        As usual, the Toronto defense will hold on in the first half before surrendering out of exhaustion in the last 30 minutes. Calvillo has way too many tools available to be shut down.

        Pick: Alouettes



        Saturday, July 16

        Saskatchewan Roughriders at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (-2.5, 51.5)


        Here are two teams that have potential but found ways to lose their first two games of 2011. In the case of the Riders, both losses were inflicted in front of their diehard fans at Mosaic Field in Regina.

        Of course, these Roughriders lost a few key players (namely Andy Fantusz) but have had the Tiger-Cats’ number in recent history, winning with comfortable margins in both of their showdowns last year. In fact, Saskatchewan has emerged the winner in nine of its last 10 meetings with Hamilton.

        Bettors can expect a high-scoring game since the over has paid in nine of the last 12 contests between these squads. The over 51.5 is probably the safest bet for this one, even if Saskatchewan will probably leave Hamilton with its first win of the year.

        Pick: Saskatchewan


        B.C. Lions at Edmonton Eskimos (-2.5, 54)


        The Eskimos won their first two games of the season, despite having 21 new players in their 42-man roster. Last year, Edmonton beat B.C. in two of their three matchups.

        The injury to DB Stanley Franks last week will weaken the Lions defense. Edmonton RB Fred Stamps has been really hot, with 212 rushing yards on only 10 carries. The Eskimos defense gave up just 10 points against the Tiger-Cats last week. The previous week, it forced four turnovers in a win over the Riders in Regina.

        Like the Stampeders, the Lions lost their first two games of the year and are already in a must-win situation. Fortunately for Wally Buono’s men, the Eskimos are depleted by injuries on both offense and defense. Running back Arkee Whitlock is out this week and so are LB Rod Davis and DT Etienne Legare.

        Pick: Lions


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          WNBA


          Friday, July 15


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          7:00 PM
          MINNESOTA vs. INDIANA
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
          The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing Indiana
          Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          Indiana is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota

          7:00 PM
          CONNECTICUT vs. NEW YORK
          Connecticut is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing New York
          New York is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games at home

          8:00 PM
          LOS ANGELES vs. TULSA
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 7 games
          Los Angeles is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
          Tulsa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
          Tulsa is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games at home

          10:00 PM
          WASHINGTON vs. PHOENIX
          Washington is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
          Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 8 games when playing at home against Washington
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




          WNBA


          Friday, July 15


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Lady luck: Friday's best WNBA bets
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Minnesota Lynx at Indiana Fever (-4, 153.5)

          After a slow start, the Minnesota Lynx had the Phoenix Mercury right where they wanted them down the stretch. Then they fell apart again.

          The Lynx owned an 11-point lead with just over six minutes to play, but ended up dropping a 112-105 decision as 6.5-point underdogs.

          "We knew from the moment we walked off the court that it was a missed opportunity," Lynx center Taj McWilliams-Franklin told reporters. "Once we sleep on it and everyone can evaluate individually, we can move forward. Everyone knows what a bad loss feels like, so that's not a new concept. It's how you respond that's important. You want to stop the bleeding."

          That’ll be a tall order against the Fever, who have won and covered each of their last seven games. In the long haul, Minnesota is going to be a contending team, but this is a bad spot for them considering Indiana’s hot streak.

          We also like the fact that this line has come down from -5.5 at the open.

          Pick: Fever


          Washington Mystics at Phoenix Mercury (-11.5, 176.5)


          Sure, the Mystics have covered just three pointspreads all season, but they’re improving.

          They were in it until the end but dropped a 79-71 decision to Seattle as a 10.5-point underdog and actually had the deficit to five points with a little over two minutes left in the fourth. Of course, then they missed their last five shots down the stretch, but it’s baby steps for this team.

          "This team (Washington) is dangerous," Seattle’s Swim Cash told reporters after the game. "I wouldn't be surprised (if) at the end of the season they're right in the mix for the playoffs. I'm glad we're done with them, actually, so now we'll focus back on the West Coast."

          Washington’s leading scorer Crystal Langhorne wasn’t herself in her first game back from a back injury, but she’ll be better Friday.

          Looks like too many points to us.

          Pick: Mystics


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • #6
            MLB


            Friday, July 12


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Trend Report
            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            2:20 PM
            FLORIDA vs. CHI CUBS
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Florida's last 10 games when playing Chi Cubs
            Florida is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi Cubs's last 10 games when playing Florida
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing at home against Florida

            7:05 PM
            CHI WHITE SOX vs. DETROIT
            Chi White Sox are 1-11 SU in their last 12 games when playing Detroit
            Chi White Sox are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games
            Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
            Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

            7:05 PM
            CLEVELAND vs. BALTIMORE
            Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
            Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games
            Baltimore is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland

            7:07 PM
            NY YANKEES vs. TORONTO
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing Toronto
            NY Yankees are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Toronto
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
            Toronto is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Yankees

            7:10 PM
            PHILADELPHIA vs. NY METS
            Philadelphia is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
            Philadelphia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
            NY Mets are 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
            The total has gone UNDER in 12 of NY Mets's last 17 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

            7:10 PM
            ST. LOUIS vs. CINCINNATI
            St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
            Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis

            7:10 PM
            BOSTON vs. TAMPA BAY
            The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 12 games on the road
            Boston is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing Tampa Bay
            Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
            Tampa Bay is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Boston

            7:35 PM
            WASHINGTON vs. ATLANTA
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games on the road
            Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
            Atlanta is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home

            8:05 PM
            PITTSBURGH vs. HOUSTON
            Pittsburgh is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Houston
            Pittsburgh is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Houston
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
            Houston is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games at home

            8:10 PM
            KANSAS CITY vs. MINNESOTA
            Kansas City is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
            Kansas City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
            Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City
            Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

            8:40 PM
            MILWAUKEE vs. COLORADO
            Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
            Milwaukee is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Colorado
            Colorado is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
            Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee

            9:40 PM
            LA DODGERS vs. ARIZONA
            LA Dodgers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Dodgers's last 10 games on the road
            Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
            Arizona is 4-9 SU in their last 13 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

            10:05 PM
            SAN FRANCISCO vs. SAN DIEGO
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco's last 10 games
            San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 12 of San Diego's last 18 games when playing at home against San Francisco
            San Diego is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against San Francisco

            10:05 PM
            LA ANGELS vs. OAKLAND
            LA Angels are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games
            LA Angels are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Oakland's last 18 games
            Oakland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games

            10:10 PM
            TEXAS vs. SEATTLE
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games on the road
            Texas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Seattle
            The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Seattle's last 12 games at home
            Seattle is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Comment


            • #7
              MLB


              Friday, July 12


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Friday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              Streaking

              Tim Hudson, Atlanta Braves (8-6, 3.57 ERA)


              The Braves veteran ace is rounding into form after an up-and-down first half of the schedule. Hudson is 3-0 with a 1.98 ERA in his last four starts, and coming off 7 1-3 innings versus the Rockies, in which he allowed three runs on five hits. He’s been dominant against the Nationals during his career, boasting an impressive 11-3 record and 2.00 ERA over 20 starts versus Washington.

              Dan Haren, Los Angeles Angels (10-5, 2.61 ERA)

              Haren is another pitcher making up for a slow start to the season. He’s won four straight outings, including two shutout efforts, and has helped the Halos hang tough in the AL West. The right hander is giving bettors their money’s worth whenever he takes the bump, going into the ninth in his last two appearances and posting quality starts in 16 of his 19 trips to the bump.


              Slumping

              Brett Myers, Houston Astros (3-9, 4.88 ERA)


              Myers has shown up on the bottom half of “streaking and slumping” more than once this year. His current slide has the Astros righty once again among the slumpers Friday. Myers is 0-3 and lugs a 6.23 ERA in his last three appearances, including a rough showing versus the Marlins last Saturday. He gave up five earned runs on four hits and walked four batters before getting the hook in the fifth inning. Myers is 6-5 with a career 3.14 ERA against the Pirates.

              Dustin Moseley, San Diego Padres (2-8, 3.21 ERA)

              Comparing Moseley’s record to his ERA should tell the story of the Padres right hander. He hasn’t been terrible, despite picking up just two wins this year, but is starting to come undone at the midway mark. Moseley is 0-2 in his last five starts, posting a 3.72 ERA in that span and pitching past the sixth inning in just two of those outings. A lack of run support has spoiled what could have been a breakout year for Moseley, who has received only 3.92 runs per game as backup – the lowest amount among qualified starting pitchers – and has been on the mound in five of San Diego’s 13 shutout losses this season.


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              Comment


              • #8
                MLB


                Friday, July 12


                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Hot lines: Friday’s best MLB bets
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds (-155, 8.5)

                Before the All-Star break, it looked as though Albert Pujols was getting set to go on one of his crazy hot streaks.

                St. Louis’ slugger struggled to get going after coming back early from his wrist injury, but then had five hits, including his 18th homer of the season over a two-game stretch before the break.

                "Obviously, I'm glad it's not taking a while to find that approach," Pujols told reporters. "I feel good, I'm seeing the ball good. When you feel good at the plate, believe it or not, you don't think about where your hands are or your legs. You just see the ball and hit it."

                That’s great news for Cardinals bettors. St. Louis is averaging 4.71 runs per game as it is, but a hot Pujols will really get the middle of the order humming.

                Cincinnati’s Johnny Cueto has been tough lately, though you never know what to expect from his spotty control. We think the Cards will get to him and hope Jake Westbrook bounces back from his last disaster on the hill.

                Pick: Cardinals


                Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets (+100, 7.5)


                These have to be tough days in the New York Mets clubhouse.

                First closer Francisco Rodriguez was shipped out of town and now the Carlos Beltran rumors are really heating up.

                “This doesn’t signify a change in direction from our continuing attempt to win games this season,” Mets General Manager Sandy Alderson told reporters about the deal. “We’re obviously in a delicate part of the season where wins and losses might dictate what we do, but I certainly wouldn’t draw any conclusions from this transaction.”

                The Mets are trying their best to keep a positive spin on the whole situation, but this could get messy.

                They have a tough test Friday against the red-hot youngster Vance Worley. At this price, you have to like the Phillies to add to New York’s issues.

                Pick: Phillies


                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                Comment


                • #9
                  MLB
                  Dunkel



                  Pittsburgh at Houston
                  The Pirates look to take advantage of a Houston team that is 3-13 in its last 16 games as a home favorite. Pittsburgh is the pick (-105) according to Dunkel, which has the Pirates favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-105). Here are all of today's picks.

                  FRIDAY, JULY 15

                  Game 951-952: Florida at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)

                  Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Nolasco) 15.822; Cubs (Dempster) 14.377
                  Dunkel Line: Florida by 1 1/2; 7
                  Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-125); No Run Total
                  Dunkel Pick: Florida (+105); N/A

                  Game 953-954: Philadelphia at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Worley) 16.207; NY Mets (Dickey) 15.712
                  Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 8
                  Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-115); 7 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-115); Over

                  Game 955-956: St. Louis at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Westbrook) 14.000; Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.508
                  Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
                  Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-160); 8 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-160); Under

                  Game 957-958: Washington at Atlanta (7:35 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Hernandez) 15.580; Atlanta (Hudson) 14.334
                  Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 8 1/2
                  Vegas Line: Atlanta (-180); 7 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick: Washington (+160); Over

                  Game 959-960: Pittsburgh at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Karstens) 15.623; Houston (Myers) 13.693
                  Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 2; 6 1/2
                  Vegas Line: Houston (-115); 7 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-105); Under

                  Game 961-962: Milwaukee at Colorado (8:10 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Narveson) 13.934; Colorado (Nicasio) 14.862
                  Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 10 1/2
                  Vegas Line: Colorado (-125); 9 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-125); Over

                  Game 963-964: LA Dodgers at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 14.510; Arizona (Saunders) 15.537
                  Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 7
                  Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-130); 8
                  Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+110); Under

                  Game 965-966: San Francisco at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.824; San Diego (Moseley) 14.800
                  Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 7
                  Vegas Line: San Francisco (-145); 6
                  Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-145); Over

                  Game 967-968: Cleveland at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Tomlin) 15.217; Baltimore (Arrieta) 12.522
                  Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 2 1/2; 7 1/2
                  Vegas Line: Baltimore (-115); 8 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-105); Under

                  Game 969-970: Chicago White Sox at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Floyd) 14.034; Detroit (Verlander) 15.371
                  Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 8
                  Vegas Line: Detroit (-200); 7
                  Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-200); Over

                  Game 971-972: NY Yankees at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Garcia) 16.013; Toronto (Morrow) 17.082
                  Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 8
                  Vegas Line: Toronto (-115); 9
                  Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-115); Under

                  Game 973-974: Boston at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Miller) 17.004; Tampa Bay (Price) 15.624
                  Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 9
                  Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-145); 8
                  Dunkel Pick: Boston (+125); Over

                  Game 975-976: Kansas City at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Hochevar) 15.968; Minnesota (Blackburn) 14.822
                  Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 10
                  Vegas Line: Minnesota (-135); 9
                  Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+115); Over

                  Game 977-978: LA Angels at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Haren) 16.497; Oakland (McCarthy) 14.298
                  Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 2; 5 1/2
                  Vegas Line: LA Angels (-125); 6 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-125); Under

                  Game 979-980: Texas at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Lewis) 16.294; Seattle (Fister) 14.114
                  Dunkel Line: Texas by 2; 6
                  Vegas Line: Texas (-125); 7
                  Dunkel Pick: Texas (-125); Under

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    WNBA
                    Dunkel



                    Connecticut at New York
                    The Liberty look to build on their 9-1 ATS record in their last 10 Friday games. New York is the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Liberty favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New York (-4 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

                    FRIDAY, JULY 15

                    Game 651-652: Minnesota at Indiana (7:05 p.m. EST)

                    Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 116.704; Indiana 116.719
                    Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 157
                    Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 4 1/2; 151 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+4 1/2); Over

                    Game 653-654: Connecticut at New York (7:05 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 109.835; New York 118.107
                    Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 8 1/2; 153
                    Vegas Line & Total: New York by 4 1/2; 157 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick: New York (-4 1/2); Under

                    Game 655-656: Los Angeles at Tulsa (8:05 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 105.829; Tulsa 104.111
                    Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1 1/2; 151
                    Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 7 1/2; 154 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+7 1/2); Under

                    Game 657-658: Washington at Phoenix (10:05 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Washington 104.804; Phoenix 121.701
                    Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 17; 182
                    Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 11 1/2; 177
                    Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-11 1/2); Over




                    WNBA
                    Long Sheet


                    Friday, July 12


                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    MINNESOTA (7 - 4) at INDIANA (10 - 3) - 7/15/2011, 7:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    INDIANA is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
                    INDIANA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
                    INDIANA is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
                    INDIANA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
                    MINNESOTA is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road games against Eastern conference opponents since 1997.
                    MINNESOTA is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    INDIANA is 3-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
                    INDIANA is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
                    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    CONNECTICUT (6 - 5) at NEW YORK (8 - 5) - 7/15/2011, 7:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    CONNECTICUT is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in road games after scoring 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    NEW YORK is 4-4 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
                    NEW YORK is 5-4 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
                    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    LOS ANGELES (5 - 6) at TULSA (1 - 12) - 7/15/2011, 8:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    LOS ANGELES is 17-28 ATS (-13.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                    LOS ANGELES is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
                    LOS ANGELES is 58-86 ATS (-36.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1997.
                    LOS ANGELES is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
                    TULSA is 18-29 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    TULSA is 4-2 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
                    LOS ANGELES is 5-1 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
                    4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    WASHINGTON (2 - 9) at PHOENIX (9 - 4) - 7/15/2011, 10:00 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    WASHINGTON is 200-249 ATS (-73.9 Units) in all games since 1997.
                    WASHINGTON is 116-156 ATS (-55.6 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
                    WASHINGTON is 35-57 ATS (-27.7 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1997.
                    PHOENIX is 140-108 ATS (+21.2 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
                    PHOENIX is 139-106 ATS (+22.4 Units) in home games since 1997.
                    PHOENIX is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
                    PHOENIX is 20-5 ATS (+14.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
                    WASHINGTON is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) against Western conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
                    WASHINGTON is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    WASHINGTON is 3-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
                    WASHINGTON is 3-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
                    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      MLB
                      Write-Up


                      Friday, July 15


                      Hot pitchers
                      -- Nolasco is 2-1, 0.72 in his last three starts. Cubs won five of last six Dempster home starts (2.05 RA in his last four at Wrigley).
                      -- Cueto is 3-2, 2.02 in his last eight starts.
                      -- Phillies won last four Worley starts (3-0, 0.72). Mets won last four Dickey starts (1-0, 2.33).
                      -- Hudson is 3-0, 1.98 in his last four starts.
                      -- Karstens is 4-0, 1.86 in his last seven starts.
                      -- Colorado is 4-0 in Nicasio's home starts (3-0, 2.42).
                      -- Kershaw is 3-1, 2.31 in his last five starts. Saunders is 3-0, 1.73 in his last four starts.
                      -- Lincecum is 2-1, 1.80 in his last four starts.

                      -- Tomlin is 3-0, 3.27 in his last five starts.
                      -- Verlander is 7-1, 0.98 in his last eight starts.
                      -- FGarcia is 2-0, 2.25 in his last three starts. Morrow is 2-0, 3.60 in his last three outings.
                      -- Red Sox are 4-0 when Miller (3-0, 3.97) starts, scoring 38 runs.
                      -- Haren is 4-0, 1.45 in his last four starts.
                      -- Lewis is 3-0, 3.24 in his last five starts. Fister has a 1.74 RA in his last four starts, but didn't get any wins.

                      Cold pitchers
                      -- Washington is 1-8 on road when Hernandez starts.
                      -- Lohse is 1-3, 5.40 in his last four starts.
                      -- Myers is 0-3, 7.27 in his last three starts.
                      -- Narveson has a 9.31 RA in his last four road starts.
                      -- Padres lost last five Moseley starts (0-2, 5.59).

                      -- Arrieta is 1-3, 6.86 in his last four starts.
                      -- Price is 1-2, 4.54 in his last six starts.
                      -- White Sox lost Floyd's last six starts (0-4, 6.14).
                      -- Hochevar is 1-2, 6.83 in his last five starts. Blackburn is 1-1, 12.83 in his last three starts.
                      -- McCarthy is 0-5, 5.63 in his last eight starts.

                      Totals
                      -- Six of last eight Dempster starts stayed under the total.
                      -- Over is 3-0-1 in Cueto's home starts this season.
                      -- Four of Dickey's last five home starts stayed under the total.
                      -- Six of last nine Hernandez starts went over the total.
                      -- Three of last four Myers starts stayed under the total.
                      -- Over is 6-1-2 in Narveson's last nine starts.
                      -- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Saunders starts.
                      -- Four of last five Moseley starts went over the total.

                      -- Over is 5-2-1 in Tomlin's last eight starts.
                      -- Six of Floyd's last eight road starts stayed under the total.
                      -- Three of last four FGarcia starts stayed under the total.
                      -- Three of four Miller starts went over the total.
                      -- Over is 8-2-1 in last eleven Kansas City games.
                      -- Over is 3-0-1 in Haren's last four starts.
                      -- Seven of last eleven Texas games went over the total.

                      Hot Teams
                      -- Marlins won their last six games, scoring 35 runs.
                      -- Cardinals won five of their last seven road games.
                      -- Phillies won nine of their last thirteen games.
                      -- Braves won 10 of their last 13 games.
                      -- Pirates won five of their last seven games.
                      -- Brewers won four of their last six games.
                      -- Dodgers won their last four games, allowing one run.
                      -- Giants won five of their last six games.

                      -- Detroit won four of its last five games.
                      -- Toronto won its last four games, scoring 39 runs.
                      -- Red Sox won six in a row, 10 of last 11 games.
                      -- Twins won ten of their last thirteen games.
                      -- Angels won 14 of their last 17 games.
                      -- Rangers won their last eight games, scoring 58 runs.

                      Cold Teams
                      -- Cubs lost eight of their last eleven games.
                      -- Reds lost seven of their last ten games.
                      -- Mets lost three of their last four games.
                      -- Nationals lost three of their last four games, scoring five runs in their last three.
                      -- Astros lost 15 of their last 17 games.
                      -- Rockies lost six of their last nine games.
                      -- Arizona lost four of its last five home games.
                      -- Padres lost their last six games, scoring four runs in their last five.

                      -- Orioles lost eight in row, 13 of last 14 games. Cleveland lost three of their last four games.
                      -- White Sox lost five of their last six games.
                      -- Bronx Bombers are 3-5 in their last eight games.
                      -- Tampa Bay is just 4-6 in its last ten games.
                      -- Royals lost 11 of their last 15 road games.
                      -- Oakland lost six of its last seven games.
                      -- Mariners lost their last six games, scoring nine runs.

                      Umpires
                      -- Fla-Chi-- There were 25 runs scored in LBarrett's three games, with two of the three going over the total.
                      -- Mil-Col-- Over is 7-0-1 in last eight Rapuano games.
                      -- SF-SD-- Over is 9-6 in TBarrett's games this season.

                      -- Clev-Balt-- Eight of last ten Davidson games stayed under total.
                      -- NY-Tor-- Under is 6-0-1 in last seven Gibson games.
                      -- KC-Minn-- Last three Holbrook games stayed under total.
                      -- Tex-Sea-- Last three Miller games stayed under the total.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        MLB
                        Short Sheet


                        Friday, July 15


                        National League

                        FLORIDA at CHICAGO CUBS, 2:20 PM ET
                        WGN
                        NOLASCO: 13-2 TSR Away working on 5 or 6 days rest
                        DEMPSTER: 9-16 TSR in day games

                        PHILADELPHIA at NY METS, 7:10 PM ET
                        WORLEY: PHI 42-15 Over Away after allowing 1 run or less in division win
                        DICKEY: METS 0-7 off BB road games

                        ST LOUIS at CINCINNATI, 7:10 PM ET
                        WESTBROOK: STL 12-2 Over in division road games
                        CUETO: 15-3 Over if total is 8 or 8.5

                        WASHINGTON at ATLANTA, 7:35 PM ET
                        HERNANDEZ: 17-3 Under vs. division
                        HUDSON: 85-46 TSR at home

                        PITTSBURGH at HOUSTON, 8:05 PM ET
                        KARSTENS: 8-2 TSR in night games
                        MYERS: HOU 17-47 vs. righties

                        MILWAUKEE at COLORADO, 8:40 PM ET
                        NARVESON: MIL 4-15 as as a road underdog of +100 to +150
                        NICASIO: COL 7-14 off win by 6+ runs

                        LA DODGERS at ARIZONA, 9:40 PM ET
                        KERSHAW: 28-34 TSR in night games
                        SAUNDERS: 13-3 TSR as a home underdog of +100 to +125

                        SAN FRANCISCO at SAN DIEGO, 10:05 PM ET
                        LINCECUM: SF 39-21 in night games
                        MOSELEY: 2-13 TSR as underdog

                        American League

                        CLEVELAND at BALTIMORE, 7:05 PM ET

                        TOMLIN: CLE 10-2 after scoring 8+ runs
                        ARRIETA: BAL 5-20 off loss by 4+ runs

                        CHI WHITE SOX at DETROIT, 7:05 PM ET
                        FLOYD: 3-13 TSR vs. division
                        VERLANDER: 34-9 TSR at home

                        NY YANKEES at TORONTO, 7:07 PM ET MLB
                        GARCIA: YANKEES 27-31 in night games
                        MORROW: 11-1 TSR at home if total is 9 to 9.5

                        BOSTON at TAMPA BAY, 7:10 PM ET MLB
                        MILLER: BOS 9-3 as underdog
                        PRICE: TB 28-8 Under as home favorite

                        KANSAS CITY at MINNESOTA, 8:10 PM ET
                        HOCHEVAR: KC 5-15 w/ triple revenge
                        BLACKBURN: 17-2 TSR at home vs. division

                        LA ANGELS at OAKLAND, 10:05 PM ET
                        HAREN: LAA 17-9 Away vs. righties
                        MCCARTHY: 0-8 TSR in night games

                        TEXAS at SEATTLE, 10:10 PM ET
                        LEWIS: 13-2 Under as road favorite
                        FISTER: 14-32 TSR in all starts

                        ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

                        Comment

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