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The Bum's Wednesday's MLB Early/Evening Best Bets !

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  • The Bum's Wednesday's MLB Early/Evening Best Bets !

    New York Yankees Close Series At Cleveland Indians

    The New York Yankees haven’t needed much help lately, but they’ll get a big boost to their rotation on Wednesday when Phil Hughes pitches at the Cleveland Indians.

    ESPN will have the series finale from Progressive Field at 4:05 p.m. (PT). Hard-luck Justin Masterson (6-6, 2.85 ERA) goes for the Tribe.

    New York lost the first game of the series 6-3, with shortstop Derek Jeter returning from his calf injury and going 0-for-4 while batting leadoff. He’s still stuck on 2,994 hits. The Yankees have now lost two straight after winning their previous seven.

    Game 2 on Tuesday night was still pending with the Yankees a 150 favorite behind ace CC Sabathia. New York has the best record in the American League (50-33) and a 1.5-game lead over Boston in the AL East standings.

    Wednesday’s game is marked by another big injury story in Hughes. He was 0-1 with a 13.94 ERA in three April starts before going on the DL (shoulder inflammation). His velocity was a big problem, clocked consistently under 90 mph after averaging 92-94 last year.

    The 25-year-old right-hander had a cortisone shot in his right shoulder in late April and mostly had his fastball back in his rehab starts. He struck out eight over 6 1/3 innings in his last start for Double-A Trenton on June 30. That means he’ll be pitching on an extra day’s rest.

    The Yankees were expecting big things from Hughes after going 18-8 last season. They also sent down a pretty good pitcher in Ivan Nova (8-4, 4.12 ERA), so Hughes will need to prove he’s healthy right from the start.

    Hughes is 2-0 with a 3.50 ERA in three lifetime starts versus Cleveland, 1-0 with a 4.09 ERA in two starts at Progressive.

    Cleveland (45-38) is 4-1 in its last five games after an awful stretch of 11-22. The offense has struggled after a great April (5.42 runs per game, tops in the AL). Having outfielder Shin-Soo-Choo (thumb) and first baseman Matt LaPorta (ankle) out isn’t helping.

    The ‘under’ is 7-1-1 in Cleveland’s last nine home games and 13-6-3 in the last 22 overall.

    Masterson’s 2.85 ERA easily leads Tribe starters with Carlos Carrasco next (3.54). The sinkerballer actually has the lowest strikeout rate of his career (6.33), but he’s allowed just four home runs and his OPS allowed is also a career-low (.662).

    The 26-year-old right-hander allowed just one earned run over eight innings at Cincinnati last Friday. It was incredibly his first win since April (starting 5-0), with Cleveland going 2-8 in his prior 10 starts despite his 3.43 ERA. Cleveland scored 17 total runs in those 10 games.

    This is Masterson’s first start against the Yankees this year. He’s 1-2 with a 3.80 ERA in seven lifetime appearance against them (three starts). Most of those outings came with Boston. He did pitch at Yankee Stadium with the Tribe last year (three earned runs over 6 2/3 innings in a 7-3 loss).

    Cleveland has won the last two games against New York after dropping the first three this year. New York was 6-2 against Cleveland last year (3-1 home and away).

    Cleveland is 25-14 at home this year (+11.5 units, best in the AL). New York is 22-15 on the road (+6.0 units, second best in the AL).

    The ‘under’ is 12-3-1 in New York’s last 16 road games.

    Marty Foster will call balls and strikes and his trends favor New York. The Yanks are 11-1 in his last 12 games behind home plate. The Indians are 3-10 in his last 13 games behind the dish.

    Weather will be warm, around 80 degrees, with scattered thunderstorms. Both teams start 4-game home series on Thursday. The Yanks have a huge set with Tampa Bay, while Cleveland welcomes Toronto
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    Around the Horn - Wednesday

    July 6, 2011


    NATIONAL LEAGUE

    Arizona at Milwaukee - 2:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
    Collmenter (4-5, 3.17 ERA) 2-6 L8 2-5 L7 during day
    Gallardo (9-5, 3.92 ERA) 1-5 L6 8-2 L10 home during day

    Diamondbacks beat Brewers, 8-6 on Monday

    Chicago at Washington - 7:05 PM EST (Game 3/4)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
    Wells (1-3, 6.59 ERA) 4-6 L10 1-4 L5 away Game 3's
    Gorzelanny (2-6, 3.77 ERA) 3-5 L8 OVER 6-2 L8 home vs RHP

    Nationals beat Cubs, 5-4 on Monday

    Houston at Pittsburgh - 7:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
    Norris (4-6, 3.51 ERA) 2-8 L10 UNDER 6-2 L8 away Game 3's
    Morton (7-4, 3.63 ERA) 8-4 L12 5-1 L6 home vs RHP

    Pirates beat Astros, 5-3 on Monday

    Philadelphia at Florida - 7:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
    Kendrick (4-4, 3.81 ERA) 5-2 L7 13-1 on Wednesdays
    Sanchez (6-2, 3.30 ERA) 5-5 L10 0-5 L5 home on Wednesdays

    Phillies beat Marlins, 1-0 on Monday

    Colorado at Atlanta - 7:10 PM EST (Game 3/4)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
    Cook (0-3, 4.66 ERA) 3-7 L10 2-7 L9 away Game 3's
    Jurrjens (11-3, 1.89 ERA) 6-1 L7 9-1 L10 home Game 3's

    Braves beat Rockies, 4-1 on Monday

    Cincinnati at St. Louis - 8:15 PM EST (Game 3/3)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
    Arroyo (7-7, 5.49 ERA) 5-5 L10 OVER 5-2 L7 away Game 3's
    Westbrook (7-4, 4.92 ERA) 4-2 L6 2-7 L9 Wednesdays

    Cardinals beat Reds, 1-0 on Monday

    N.Y. Mets at Los Angeles - 10:10 PM EST (Game 3/4)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
    Niese (7-7, 3.72 ERA) 5-3 L8 OVER 6-0 away on Wednesdays
    Kuroda (6-9, 2.90 ERA) 3-6 L9 0-7 L7 home on Wednesdays

    Mets beat Dodgers, 5-2 on Monday

    San Diego at San Francisco - 10:15 PM EST (Game 3/4)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
    Moseley (2-8, 3.07 ERA) 5-2 L7 1-4 L5 away Game 3's
    Bumgarner (4-9, 3.65 ERA) 9-3 L12 Scored 3 runs or less in 9 of 12 home Game 3's

    Padres beat Giants, 5-3 on Monday

    AMERICAN LEAGUE

    Tampa Bay at Minnesota - 1:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
    Davis (7-6, 4.20 ERA) 7-3 L10 5-0 away on Wednesdays
    Liriano (5-7, 4.76 ERA) 3-8 L11 5-0 L5 home Game 3's

    Twins beat Rays, 7-0 on Monday

    Kansas City at Chicago - 2:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
    Chen (4-2, 3.46 ERA) 1-5 L6 2-7 L9 away during day
    Jackson (5-6, 4.24 ERA) 7-4 L11 5-1 L6 home vs LHP

    White Sox beat Royals, 5-4 on Monday

    Seattle at Oakland - 3:35 PM EST (Game 3/3)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
    Vargas (6-5, 3.57 ERA) 3-5 L8 6-2 L8 away during day
    Moscoso (2-4, 2.51 ERA) 4-7 L11 7-4 home Game 3's

    Mariners beat Athletics, 2-1 on Monday

    Detroit at L.A. Angels - 3:35 PM EST (Game 3/3)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
    Penny (5-6, 4.43 ERA) 2-4 L6 OVER 4-0 L4 on Wednesdays
    Chatwood (5-5, 3.83 ERA) 7-2 L9 2-4 L6 during day

    Angels beat Tigers, 5-1 on Monday

    N.Y. Yankees at Cleveland - 7:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
    Hughes (0-1, 13.94 ERA) 7-1 L8 UNDER 5-1 away on Wednesdays
    Masterson (6-6, 2.85 ERA) 4-2 L6 8-4 home Game 3's

    Indians beat Yankees, 6-3 on Monday
    Toronto at Boston - 7:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
    Romero (7-7, 2.75 ERA) 2-5 L7 OVER 6-2 L8 on Wednesdays
    Wakefield (4-3, 4.82 ERA) 5-2 L7 9-3 L12 home vs LHP

    Blue Jays beat Red Sox, 9-7 on Monday

    Baltimore at Texas - 8:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
    Guthrie (3-10, 3.93 ERA) 1-5 L6 2-7 L9 away vs RHP
    Ogando (8-3, 2.86 ERA) 5-5 L10 7-2 L9 on Wednesdays

    Rangers beat Orioles, 13-4 on Monday
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Wednesday, July 6

      Game Score Status Pick Amount

      Tampa Bay - 1:10 PM ET Tampa Bay +112 500
      Minnesota - Over 8 500

      Kansas City - 2:10 PM ET Kansas City +136 500
      Chi. White Sox - Under 9 500

      Arizona - 2:10 PM ET Milwaukee -149 500
      Milwaukee - Over 8.5 500

      Detroit - 3:35 PM ET Detroit +111 500
      LA Angels - Under 8.5 500

      Seattle - 3:35 PM ET Oakland -115 500
      Oakland - Under 6.5 500

      NY Yankees - 7:05 PM ET Cleveland -104 500
      Cleveland - Over 9 500

      Chi. Cubs - 7:05 PM ET Chi. Cubs +133 500
      Washington - Over 8.5 500

      Houston - 7:05 PM ET Pittsburgh -117 500
      Pittsburgh - Over 7.5 500

      Toronto - 7:10 PM ET Boston -123 500
      Boston - Over 10 500

      Colorado - 7:10 PM ET Atlanta -190 500
      Atlanta - Under 7.5 500

      Philadelphia - 7:10 PM ET Philadelphia +119 500
      Florida - Under 8 500

      Baltimore - 8:05 PM ET Baltimore +178 500
      Texas - Over 9.5 500

      Cincinnati - 8:15 PM ET Cincinnati +115 500
      St. Louis - Under 9 500

      NY Mets - 10:10 PM ET LA Dodgers -120 500
      LA Dodgers - Under 7 500

      San Diego - 10:15 PM ET San Diego +140 500
      San Francisco - Over 6.5 500
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        Good Luck tonight bum

        Comment


        • #5
          Thanks Sparks...........back at you.......



          Hughes returns to rotation Wednesday in Cleveland

          NEW YORK YANKEES (51-33, +7.3 Units)

          at CLEVELAND INDIANS (45-39, +11.4 Units)


          First pitch: Wednesday, 7:05 p.m. EDT
          Line: New York -105, Cleveland -105, Total: 9

          The Yankees have won eight of their past 10 games, and hope to get a boost when Phil Hughes returns to the rotation on Wednesday at Cleveland. Hughes will make his first start since April 14 after being sidelined by a shoulder injury. The Indians and Yankees have split the first two games, with New York claiming a 9-2 victory on Tuesday after the Indians took the opener on Monday, 6-3.

          New York leads the season series 4-2 and has won seven of the past 10 games in Cleveland. However, with the uncertainty of Hughes (2.23 WHIP in three starts this year) and the consistency of Justin Masterson (2 ER or less in 13 of 17 starts in 2011), the pick here is for CLEVELAND to earn the victory.

          This four-star FoxSheets trend supports picking the Indians to emerge victorious.

          Play On - Home teams (CLEVELAND) - poor AL hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA <=3.33), with an on-base percentage of .285 or worse over their last 5 games. (66-28 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.2%, +39.1 units. Rating = 4*).

          Hughes (0-1, 13.94 ERA, 10.1 IP) pitched 6.1 innings and struck out eight batters in his last rehab start for Double-A Trenton. His shoulder is reportedly back to full strength with reports of Hughes’ fastball reaching 94 mph on the radar gun in this rehab start. The right-hander is 2-0 with a 3.50 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in three career starts versus the Indians. In 18 innings facing Cleveland, he's allowed 14 hits with 20 strikeouts and just three walks. Hughes lost his only start on the road this season, lasting only two innings and surrendering six earned runs on seven hits in a 9-6 loss to Boston on April 8.

          Despite only one win since April 26, Masterson (6-6, 2.85 ERA) has pitched very well for Cleveland. He has allowed two earned runs or less in five consecutive starts (1.85 ERA) and has pitched at least six innings in 14 of 17 starts this season. The right-hander gave up just four hits and one run in eight innings in his most recent outing, an 8-2 win at Cincinnati on Friday, which snapped an 11-start winless skid. Masterson is 1-2 with a 3.80 ERA in seven career appearances versus New York, which includes a 3.00 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in three starts against them. He's 3-2 with a 3.28 ERA in nine home starts this season, racking up 41 K and just 15 BB.
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            Rangers look to finish off sweep of Orioles

            BALTIMORE ORIOLES (36-47, -9.2 Units)

            at TEXAS RANGERS (46-41, -3.9 Units)


            First pitch: Wednesday, 8:05 p.m. EDT
            Line: Texas -180, Baltimore +170, Total: 9.5

            The Rangers’ homestand didn’t get off to the kind of start they would have liked, dropping two of three to the hapless Marlins. But they’re turning it around just in time to go for a three-game sweep of reeling Baltimore (1-7 in past eight games) on Wednesday.

            They’ll send the recently shaky Alexi Ogando to the hill. While Texas is clearly the superior team, that money line is far too large considering Ogando has dropped three of his past four starts, posting a 6.61 ERA during this span. The pick here is BALTIMORE, and the FoxSheets have a few trends that point towards an Orioles win, including this manager trend:

            BUCK SHOWALTER is 40-29 (58.0%, +22.3 Units) against the money line after 1 or more consecutive unders as the manager of BALTIMORE. The average score was BALTIMORE 4.4, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 2*).

            Ogando (8-3, 2.86 ERA) was a serious Cy Young contender until an implosion over his final three June starts. From June 14-25, Ogando lost all three of his starts, allowing 15 runs (10 earned) in just 9.2 innings.

            Fatigue could be playing a role (Ogando, a reliever for the first five years of his pro career, has already set a career-high for innings in a season), as could the fact that he’s made it around the league and most teams have either seen him or scouted him thoroughly. Also, luck played a factor in his early-season success, as Ogando hasn’t exactly overpowered hitters this year (a middling 6.7 strikeouts per 9 innings) despite his strong ERA and WHIP.

            The good news is that Ogando bounced back in Friday’s start against Florida, holding the Marlins to two runs over 6.2 innings while striking out eight. He’s never made a start against Baltimore, but made two scoreless relief appearances against them in 2010 (2.1 innings, four base runners allowed).

            The Orioles will send tough-luck Jeremy Guthrie (3-10, 3.93 ERA) to the mound. The right-hander is once again receiving little run support but consistently keeps the Orioles in games with 10 starts of allowing 3 ER or less this year. He hasn’t been sharp of late though, allowing 14 runs (12 earned), 23 hits and walking 10 in 19 innings over his past three starts, which equates to a 5.68 ERA and 1.74 WHIP.

            He’s been better on the road this year, where he’s posted a 3.48 ERA (as opposed to a 4.37 mark at Camden Yards). Guthrie has also been sharp of late against the Rangers, allowing one run or less in three of his past four starts against them. That includes a tough-luck loss at home on April 10, when he held Texas to one run over six innings.
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment

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