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  • The Bum's Sunday's MLB Best Bets !

    Yankees, Mets Complete Subway Series At Citi Field

    The 2011 Subway Series comes to an end Sunday and features a pair of right-handed starters with the first pitch scheduled for 10:10 a.m. (PT) on TBS.

    The New York Yankees assured themselves of at least a tie in the season series versus the Mets in capturing a 5-1 victory Friday night at Citi Field. The Bronx Bombers have also won a season-high six consecutive games heading into Saturday.

    Daytime baseball has been a profitable situation for the club over the course of the year, registering a Major League-best 23-4 mark under the sun. The pitching staff has been a main proponent of that success by owning an American League-low 2.79 daytime ERA.

    The Bronx Bombers have also enjoyed their time away from Yankee Stadium, moving their record to 21-13 after capturing the series opener. During interleague action, the team is 11-4 in its last 15 interleague road games versus right-handed starters.

    Veteran starter Freddy Garcia (7-6, 3.28 ERA) is set to make his 16th appearance (15th start) for the Yankees and comes in on a two-game winning streak. New York’s offense has provided 16 runs of support in those outings, as he has surrendered four runs (two earned) and 11 hits over 13 innings.

    Garcia has compiled an even 2-2 mark and 2.83 ERA in six road outings (five starts), surrendering just two home runs in 35 frames.

    He has also been a major proponent in helping the squad’s daytime dominance, entering with a 4-1 record and 1.62 ERA in six daytime starts. Opposing hitters are hitting just .199 against him in those contests compared to .306 at night.

    The New York Mets still possess a 126-119 all-time mark against American League opponents despite dropping their first game of an abbreviated three-game homestand. Since 2004, the Mets are 2-1-4 in the season series versus the Yankees.

    After starting the year 1-8 at home, the club has gone 17-13 in its last 30 games at Citi Field. The catalyst for that revival has been expected All-Star Jose Reyes, who collected two hits Friday.

    Reyes leads the major leagues with a .352 batting average heading into the holiday weekend, while also pacing the Senior Circuit with 65 runs scored.

    Knuckleballer R.A. Dickey (4-7, 3.77 ERA) hopes to continue his strong pitching of last month and tally a second straight victory. The former first-round selection proved victorious in a 14-3 road win over the Tigers last time out, allowing three runs and 10 hits over seven innings.

    Dickey finished June with a 2-1 mark and 2.57 ERA in five starts, but his career numbers during this calendar month suggest a major drop off in performance today. He has tallied a lackluster 3-9 record and 4.16 ERA in 30 lifetime appearances (16 starts) in July.

    Yankees slugging third baseman Alex Rodriguez is a key player in this matchup, going 6-for-11 with an RBI against him.

    Home plate umpire Bob Davidson will likely serve as a handicapping edge for the Mets, as hosting teams have garnered a 15-6 record in his last 21 Sunday games behind the dish.

    Weather forecasts suggest game-time temperatures in the mid-80s and a 30 percent chance of isolated thunderstorms. The wind is expected to be 5-10 mph out of the southwest.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    Dodgers, Angels Finish Freeway Series At Angel Stadium

    The Los Angeles Dodgers and Angels finish their latest installment of the Freeway Series Sunday night on national television.

    ESPN will broadcast from Angel Stadium of Anaheim at 5 p.m. (PT). The pitching matchup is Chad Billingsley (7-6, 4.22 ERA) against Ervin Santana (3-8, 4.08 ERA).

    This is the second series between the teams this year. The Angels took two of three on the road last weekend, with the Dodgers scoring seven total runs.

    The Dodgers did much better in the Friday opener with a 5-0 shutout behind Hiroki Kuroda. The Saturday night result is still pending with a great pitching duel between Clayton Kershaw and Jered Weaver. The Angels were 130 favorites.

    The Dodgers are still 3-7 in the last 10 meetings between these teams.

    The Dodgers (37-46) are in an embarrassing last place in the NL West, tied with San Diego. This is amid news that they’ve bounced checks to team employees and owner Frank McCourt has filed bankruptcy as he tries to ward off a league seizure of the club.

    Billingsley has been a bright spot the last two starts, getting interleague wins over Detroit and Minnesota while allowing just one earned run over 11 1/3 innings. His six innings pitched at Minnesota last Monday was his longest stint in June.

    The 26-year-old right-hander badly needed a good road start. His away ERA is just 5.69 and he didn’t have a quality start in his prior three road outings (8.05 combined ERA). L.A. was still able to win two of those games with good offense.

    The ‘over’ is 4-0 in Billingsley’s last four road starts.

    Billingsley didn’t see time in the first Angels series and is 1-3 with a 4.28 ERA in seven lifetime appearances against them (five starts). He last started in this park in 2009, allowing three earned runs over six innings in a 5-4 loss.

    The Angels (42-41) made a strong move to end June with an 11-4 record in their final 15 games. They’re just two games behind Texas in the AL West.

    Santana is one of MLB’s most hard-luck pitchers. His ERA is just slightly higher than last year (3.92) when he went 17-10. His OPS allowed is also just slightly higher (.750 versus .744) and his strikeout rate is much better (7.51 vs. 6.83).

    The Angels won his last start versus Washington (4-3), allowing two earned runs over eight innings, but he didn’t get the win after a blown save by closer Jordan Walden. Santana lost his prior four starts (3.86 combined ERA) with the team scoring seven total runs.

    The ‘under’ is 4-0-1 in Santana’s last five starts overall.

    Santana last faced the Dodgers last year, surrendering three earned runs over seven innings in a 6-3 home win. He’s 3-3 with a 3.93 ERA lifetime against them.

    The ‘under’ is 22-11-6 in the Angels’ home games this year, while the ‘over’ is 24-14-2 in the Dodgers away games.

    The Angels are just 18-21 overall at home this year and one of the most unprofitable home teams. However, they did sweep Washington at home before this series.

    Umpire Dan Iassogna will call balls and strikes. The home team is 5-0 in his last five games behind the mask. The Angels are 5-1 in his last six home plate assignments.

    Los Angeles weather should be beautiful and in the 70s – what else would you expect? Both teams start home series on Monday, the Dodgers versus the Mets and the Angels against the Tigers.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Around the Horn - Sunday

      July 2, 2011

      NATIONAL LEAGUE


      Pittsburgh at Washington - 1:35 PM EST (Game 4/4)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Correia (10-6, 3.79 ERA) 5-2 L7 8-4 away Game 3's
      Marquis (7-2, 3.62 ERA) 1-4 L5 6-2 L8 home Game 3's

      Nationals beat Pirates, 2-1 on Friday
      Pirates beat Nationals, 5-3 on Saturday (G1/DH)
      Nationals beat Pirates, 4-3 on Saturday (G2/DH)

      INTERLEAGUE


      Philadelphia at Toronto - 1:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Lee (9-5, 2.66 ERA) 6-2 L8 2-4 L6 away vs LHP
      Reyes (3-7, 4.77 ERA) 4-2 L6 7-3 home vs LHP

      Phillies beat Blue Jays, 7-6 on Friday
      Phillies beat Blue Jays, 5-3 on Saturday

      San Francisco at Detroit - 1:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Vogelsong (6-1, 2.09 ERA) 3-5 L8 1-8 L9 away during day
      Porcello (6-6, 5.06 ERA) 7-3 L10 10-4 L14 home during day

      Giants beat Tigers, 4-3 on Friday
      Giants beat Tigers, 15-3 on Saturday

      Cleveland at Cincinnati - 1:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Talbot (2-4, 4.96 ERA) 3-6 L9 2-5 L7 away Game 3's
      Leake (7-4, 3.89 ERA) 5-5 L10 5-3 L8 home Game 3's

      Indians beat Reds, 8-2 on Friday
      Indians beat Reds, 3-1 on Saturday

      New York (A) at New York (N) - 1:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Garcia (7-6, 3.28 ERA) 8-2 L10 6-1 L7 away Game 3's
      Dickey (4-7, 3.77 ERA) 6-3 L9 7-3 L10 home during day

      Yankees beat Mets, 5-1 on Friday
      Yankees beat Mets, 5-2 on Saturday

      Baltimore at Atlanta - 1:35 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Britton (6-6, 3.38 ERA) 2-5 L7 3-8 L11 away vs RHP
      Beachy (3-1, 3.04 ERA) 8-2 L10 4-2 L6 home vs LHP

      Braves beat Orioles, 4-0 on Friday
      Braves beat Orioles, 5-4 on Saturday

      St. Louis at Tampa Bay - 1:40 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Lohse (8-4, 2.78 ERA) 3-5 L8 OVER 9-4 away Game 3's
      Hellickson (7-7, 3.18 ERA) 7-3 L10 UNDER 5-0 L5 home Game 3's

      Cardinals beat Rays, 5-3 on Friday
      Rays beat Cardinals, 5-1 on Saturday

      Boston at Houston - 2:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Beckett (6-3, 2.20 ERA) 3-6 L9 9-0 L9 away Game 3's
      Lyles (0-3, 4.75 ERA) 2-8 L10 1-15 L16 home vs RHP

      Red Sox beat Astros, 7-5 on Friday
      Red Sox beat Astros, 10-4 on Saturday

      Milwaukee at Minnesota - 2:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Greinke (7-3, 5.63 ERA) 5-5 L10 2-8 away during day
      Blackburn (6-6, 3.64 ERA) 2-6 L8 5-0 L5 home during day

      Twins beat Brewers, 6-2 on Friday
      Brewers beat Twins, 8-7 on Saturday

      Chicago (A) at Chicago (N) - 2:20 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Floyd (6-7, 4.19 ERA) 6-4 L10 4-1 L5 away during day
      Lopez (0-2, 5.40 ERA) 3-6 L9 4-9 home Game 3's

      White Sox beat Cubs, 6-4 on Friday
      White Sox beat Cubs, 1-0 on Saturday

      Kansas City at Colorado - 3:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Hochevar (5-8, 4.96 ERA) 2-9 L11 OVER 6-0-1 away Game 3's
      Hammel (4-7, 4.02 ERA) 2-5 L7 OVER 8-1 home Game 3's

      Rockies beat Royals, 9-0 on Friday
      Rockies beat Royals, 9-6 on Saturday

      Arizona at Oakland - 4:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Kennedy (8-2, 3.01 ERA) 1-4 L5 UNDER 5-1 L6 away vs LHP
      Gonzalez (7-5, 2.38 ERA) 2-5 L7 5-2 L7 home vs RHP

      Athletics beat Diamondbacks, 5-4 on Friday
      Diamondbacks beat Athletics, 4-2 on Saturday

      San Diego at Seattle - 4:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Latos (5-8, 4.24 ERA) 7-1 L8 OVER 8-3 away Game 3's
      Beavan (ML debut) 2-7 L9 3-9 home Game 3's

      Mariners beat Padres, 6-0 on Friday
      Padres beat Mariners, 1-0 on Saturday

      Florida at Texas - 8:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Vazquez (4-8, 5.83 ERA) 2-4 L6 0-5 L5 away vs LHP
      Wilson (8-3, 3.14 ERA) 6-3 L9 OVER 8-3 home Game 3's

      Rangers beat Marlins, 15-5 on Friday
      Marlins beat Rangers, 9-5 on Saturday

      Los Angeles (N) at Los Angeles (A) - 8:15 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Billingsley (7-6, 4.22 ERA) 3-5 L8 2-4 L6 away Game 3's
      Santana (3-8, 4.08 ERA) 6-2 L8 3-5 L8 home vs RHP

      Dodgers beat Angels, 5-0 on Friday
      Angels beat Dodgers, 7-1 on Saturday
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        Sunday's Tip Sheet

        July 3, 2011

        Just like any Sunday in the NFL, Sunday's pro baseball card has a few tiers of start times that can keep you betting with chances of either winning more than you already have for the day or giving one last shot at getting back to even. That drama is enhanced even more than usual today as we have two late games to close out the day and 2011’s interleague schedule.
        Dodgers at Angels (-135 & 7) - 8:05 pm (EDT)

        If the Dodgers can’t get pumped up for this game, then they should just fold the season like Frank McCourt. They will not win the "Freeway Series" for the fifth straight year. It may not seem like that big of a deal, but it is to both sets of fans and players. Should the Angels win, they will take the series for the eighth time to the Dodgers three during interleague play. If the Dodgers win, they’ll salvage a split for the third time in four seasons.

        Chad Billingsley (7-6) will take the mound with hopes of winning his third straight game, something the Dodgers have done twice this season with him. He looked very sharp in his last two outings combining to allow only one run in interleague games against the Tigers and Twins. He should be strong and ready to give his best because he hasn’t pitched past the sixth inning in any of his June starts.

        Ervin Santana (3-8) has been the tough one to figure out all season. In his last start against the then streaking Nationals, he went eight innings allowing only two runs, a game the Angels eventually won 4-3 in 10 innings. But prior to that good outing, Santana took the loss in four straight starts. He even lost to the Marlins who didn’t beat many in June.

        However, Santana went deep into all those losses pitching well and the Angels combined to give him only seven runs in those four games. Santana’s record has been more of a product of the Angels just not hitting which is why he still maintains a high rating in each of his starts and is favored considerably over Billingsley who has a better a record.

        When the two teams met last Sunday at Dodger stadium, the Dodgers avoided their second straight sweep at home from the Halos with two runs in the bottom of the ninth to win. In that game, their Dodger blue pride could be felt with each final at-bat during the rally. Because of the rivalry, and them being much more hungry in salvage mode, we may see a similar circumstance as they play for a season draw.

        Marlins at Rangers (-200 & 9.5) - 8:05 pm (EDT)

        C.J. Wilson (8-3) is a massive favorite today over Javier Vazquez (4-8) which has many bettors going through a dilemma on what side to take. “Should I talk myself into betting against the large favorite? Should I continue to bet against the Marlins and take the Rangers on the run-line, or should I just play the Rangers to win, despite being uncomfortable about laying $2.00 or more?”

        This is what many will have to ask themselves before they bet the get-back game tonight. Most people have a low opinion of the Marlins after their June, and rightly so. But to be fair to Florida, they did win the last two games of June against the A’s and have held their own at Texas splitting the first two games as they enter Sunday’s rubber match.

        Although the last start Javier Vazquez (4-8) made was at Oakland, a very pitcher friendly park, Vazquez has been affective in his last three starts. He went seven strong innings against the A’s without allowing a run. Before that, he went 5.1 innings without allowing a run to the Angels, one of the Marlins few wins of June. At Philadelphia he pitched well allowing only two runs but the Marlins lost 3-0.

        It’s not hard to make a case for Vazquez with the exception of the Marlins being 6-10 in his starts and having the tendency to implode at least once a month, but it sure does make it easier to believe in his chances when getting $1.80 for every dollar wagered on him. And then you’ve got the veteran aspect of it and actually seeing him dominate at times in his career where three games stretches like he’s currently on weren‘t out of the ordinary like it is this year.

        As for Texas, after starting June off with five straight wins, they muddled around the rest of the month never winning more than two games in a row and have continued that trend into July. Wilson was the lone outstanding pitcher for Texas during June having gone 3-0 with a 2.72 ERA while the Rangers went 4-1 in his five starts. In all three of his decision for June, the Rangers won on the run-line.

        This really is a tough game to chose from just because of the price, but because it’s one of the last of two night games, it will see plenty of action, largely with the public on the Rangers. The one telling stat about the Marlins is their play on Sunday’s where they have lost their last six games. In four of those instances they were flying out of town after the game just like they will tonight which is a sign they just want to get out of town and quit somewhat during the game.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
          07/02/11 13-*12-*1 52.00% +*250 Detail
          07/01/11 16-*13-*0 55.17% +*915 Detail
          Totals 29-*25-*1 53.70% +1165

          Sunday, July 3

          Game Score Status Pick Amount

          San Francisco - 1:05 PM ET San Francisco +120 500
          Detroit - Under 8.5 500

          Philadelphia - 1:07 PM ET Toronto +165 500
          Toronto - Over 7.5 500

          NY Yankees - 1:10 PM ET NY Mets +122 500
          NY Mets - Under 8.5 500

          Cleveland - 1:10 PM ET Cincinnati -172 500
          Cincinnati - Under 9.5 500

          Baltimore - 1:35 PM ET Baltimore +149 500
          Atlanta - Under 7.5 500

          Pittsburgh - 1:35 PM ET Pittsburgh +138 500
          Washington - Over 7.5 500

          St. Louis - 1:40 PM ET Tampa Bay -133 500
          Tampa Bay - Over 8 500

          Boston - 2:05 PM ET Houston +178 500
          Houston - Over 8 500

          Milwaukee - 2:10 PM ET Milwaukee -126 500
          Minnesota - Under 8 500

          Chi. White Sox - 2:20 PM ET Chi. Cubs +127 500
          Chi. Cubs - Over 8.5 500

          Kansas City - 3:10 PM ET Colorado -147 500
          Colorado - Under 10 500

          Arizona - 4:05 PM ET Oakland -117 500
          Oakland - Under 6.5 500

          San Diego - 4:10 PM ET San Diego -117 500
          Seattle - Under 6.5 500

          Florida - 8:05 PM ET Texas -195 500
          Texas - Under 9.5 500

          LA Dodgers - 8:05 PM ET LA Angels -136 500
          LA Angels - Under 7.5 500
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            Gl

            Comment


            • #7
              Good Luck
              You should play Summer Pro League (Pro!) But I said No! (Hell No!) Shit might mess up my game!

              Comment

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