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The Bum's Saturday's MLB Best Bets !

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  • The Bum's Saturday's MLB Best Bets !

    Cardinals, Tampa Bay Rays At Tropicana Field

    The ’over’ is 6-1-1 in Jeff Niemann’s last eight starts vs. winning clubs.
    Interleague play rolls on as the St. Louis Cardinals are in Tampa Bay to take on the Rays. The middle game of their series will begin at 4:10 p.m. (PT).

    Tampa Bay actually sports a better record than St. Louis, yet they find themselves in third place in their division while the Cards are at the top of theirs. That is life in the AL East dealing with the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox.

    Kyle McClellan (6-4, 4.02 ERA) will be on the mound for the Cardinals at Tropicana Field. He has had an up-and-down year which began with him going 3-0 in his first four starts. In his last four outings, the team has not picked up a victory.

    One of those does, however, was a game in which he gave up just one run in seven innings. The bullpen proceeded to implode and the Philadelphia Phillies exploded with nine runs in the eighth inning. The Cards lost that game, 10-2.

    The St. Louis offense has been pretty good all year but they have only scored two runs in McClellan’s last three starts. On the season, they are only behind the Red Sox in batting average and are in the top-5 in runs scored. Albert Pujols, of course, is still on the disabled list.

    Just recently, the Rays went on a four-game win streak where five runs was the fewest they scored in that stretch. Altogether in those four matches they scored a whopping 32 runs. Even though they may not rank as high as the offense they will be facing, the Rays are certainly capable of scoring.

    Starting for Tampa Bay will be Jeff Niemann (2-4, 5.58 ERA) and if those numbers look bad, take a look at his stats at home. The right-hander is 0-3 with a 6.65 ERA and a WHIP of 1.52 in Tampa Bay. While he did just come off the DL with a back injury, he was not exactly pitching lights out before that.

    The injury is something to consider, even if he gave up zero runs in six innings of work in his first return to action.

    Tampa Bay trends toward the ‘under,’ but the ‘over’ is 6-1-1 in Niemann’s last eight starts against teams with a winning record. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are trending to the ‘over’ in 10 of their last 15 games overall and McClellan has gone above the total his last four starts against teams with a winning record.

    Tropicana Field may have a thunderstorm when play begins but it should clear up as the game goes on.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    Windy City Series Continues At Wrigley Field

    The Windy City rivalry continues Saturday afternoon with the White Sox and Cubs facing off for the fifth time this season on FOX. Fans will have plenty of time to enjoy the Wrigleyville surroundings before the first pitch is thrown at 1:10 (PT).

    The Chicago White Sox captured two of the three meetings last month at U.S. Cellular Field and the season series marches on at historic Wrigley Field. The South Siders entered Friday’s contest with an 18-21 all-time mark at the venue.

    Interleague action has treated manager Ozzlie Guillen's squad well over the past few years, winning 18 of their last 19 series against the American League, including nine straight on the road.

    The White Sox have also been an incredible bet as a series progresses against NL opponents, registering a 5-0 mark in the second game and 4-1 record in finales. Bettors will also take notice that the Cubs are 1-10 in their last 11 when playing the second game of a series.

    Rookie starter Philip Humber (7-3, 2.90) will make his first career appearance in the rivalry and comes in off his first defeat since April 30 last time out. The right-hander enjoyed a solid June, tallying a 3-1 mark and 2.48 ERA, as opponents hit just .184 against him.

    Humber has been especially difficult for right-handed batters to face, holding them to a .161 batting average, the third-lowest mark in the AL. The ‘under’ is 11-5 in his 16 starts this season and the series has fallen below the number in six of the last eight meetings heading into the opener.

    The Chicago Cubs just came away with back-to-back walk-off victories for the second time this season in winning two of three against the San Francisco Giants. Now that the heroics are over against a National League opponent, the club will try to lift its 4-8 interleague record.

    The Cubs have gone 2-4 against the White Sox each of the last two seasons and haven’t had a winning series against them since 2007.

    Matt Garza (4-6, 4.07 ERA) aims for his third consecutive victory after finishing June with a 2-2 record and 4.76 ERA. The right-hander is coming off a quality start at home against the Rockies, allowing three runs and five hits over 7 1/3 innings in a 7-3 win.

    Garza will be toeing the rubber for a sixth time versus the White Sox, posting a 1-2 record and 6.17 ERA. He received a no-decision in his last opportunity against them on June 21 on the road, surrendering two runs and four hits in a rain-shortened five frames.

    The former first-round selection will need to pitch carefully to White Sox first baseman Paul Konerko, who is 5-for-8 against him, including two home runs and five RBIs.

    Weather forecasts suggest unpleasant highs in the upper-90s in the Chicago area and a 30 percent chance of isolated thunderstorms throughout. Swirling winds of 10-15 mph will also persist over the course of the game.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Around the Horn - Saturday

      July 1, 2011


      NATIONAL LEAGUE


      Pittsburgh at Washington - 3:35 PM EST (Game 2/4)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      McDonald (5-4, 4.52 ERA) 5-2 L7 OVER 11-4 away during day
      Lannan (5-5, 3.48 ERA) 1-4 L5 3-1 L4 home during day


      Pittsburgh at Washington - 7:05 PM EST (Game 3/4)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Lincoln (NR) 5-2 L7 8-4 away Game 3's
      Hernandez (5-8, 3.81 ERA) 1-4 L5 6-2 L8 home Game 3's

      Nationals beat Pirates, 2-1 on Friday

      INTERLEAGUE


      Philadelphia at Toronto - 1:05 PM EST (Game 2/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Halladay (10-3, 2.40 ERA) 6-2 L8 3-6 L9 away Game 2's
      Villanueva (5-1, 3.15 ERA) 4-2 L6 4-10 home during day

      Phillies beat Blue Jays, 7-6 on Friday

      Chicago (A) at Chicago (N) - 4:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Humber (7-4, 2.89 ERA) 6-4 L10 UNDER 4-2 L6 away vs RHP
      Garza (4-6, 4.07 ERA) 3-6 L9 6-1 L7 home vs RHP

      White Sox beat Cubs, 6-4 on Friday

      Cleveland at Cincinnati - 4:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Carmona (4-10, 5.89 ERA) 3-6 L9 4-8 away during day
      Bailey (3-2, 3.86 ERA) 5-5 L10 1-5 L6 home during day

      Indians beat Reds, 8-2 on Friday

      New York (A) at New York (N) - 4:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Colon (5-3, 3.10 ERA) 8-2 L10 9-3 away during day
      Gee (8-1, 3.32 ERA) 6-3 L9 5-2 L7 home Game 2's

      Yankees beat Mets, 5-1 on Friday

      Boston at Houston - 7:05 PM EST (Game 2/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Miller (1-0, 3.09 ERA) 1-6 L7 UNDER 7-1 L8 away vs LHP
      Happ (3-9, 5.54 ERA) 2-8 L10 1-6 L7 home Game 2's

      Red Sox beat Astros, 7-5 on Friday

      San Francisco at Detroit - 7:05 PM EST (Game 2/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Zito (1-1, 4.95 ERA) 7-1 L8 0-6 L6 away vs RHP
      Scherzer (9-3, 4.47 ERA) 5-5 L10 OVER 4-1 L5 home vs LHP

      Giants beat Tigers, 4-3 on Friday

      St. Louis at Tampa Bay - 7:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      McClellan (6-4, 4.02 ERA) 3-5 L8 1-4 L5 away Game 2's
      Niemann (2-4, 5.58 ERA) 7-3 L10 OVER 4-0-1 L5 home Game 2's

      Cardinals beat Rays, 5-3 on Friday

      Baltimore at Atlanta - 7:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Arrieta (9-4, 4.50 ERA) 2-5 L7 0-5 L5 away Game 2's
      Hudson (6-6, 3.51 ERA) 8-2 L10 11-3 L14 vs RHP

      Braves beat Orioles, 4-0 on Friday

      Milwaukee at Minnesota - 7:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Narveson (5-5, 4.42 ERA) 5-5 L10 1-7 L8 away vs RHP
      Pavano (5-6, 4.24 ERA) 2-6 L8 5-1 L6 home vs LHP

      Florida at Texas - 8:05 PM EST (Game 2/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Undecided ( ERA) 2-4 L6 0-5 L5 away vs LHP
      Holland (6-3, 4.68 ERA) 6-3 L9 OVER 9-3 home Game 2's

      Rangers beat Marlins, 15-5 on Friday

      Kansas City at Colorado - 8:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Davies (1-6, 7.46 ERA) 2-9 L11 0-7 L7 away Game 2's
      Chacin (8-5, 3.10 ERA) 2-5 L7 OVER 11-5 L16 home vs RHP

      Rockies beat Royals, 9-0 on Friday

      Los Angeles (N) at Los Angeles (A) - 9:05 PM EST (Game 2/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Kershaw (8-3, 2.93 ERA) 2-5 L7 OVER 6-0-1 L7 away Game 2's
      Weaver (9-4, 1.97 ERA) 6-1 L7 1-4 L5 home vs LHP


      Arizona at Oakland - 9:05 PM EST (Game 2/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Saunders (4-7, 4.14 ERA) 1-4 L5 5-1 L6 away vs LHP
      Outman (3-2, 3.10 ERA) 2-5 L7 OVER 5-1 L6 home vs LHP


      San Diego at Seattle - 10:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Luebke (1-2, 2.86 ERA) 7-1 L8 5-1 L6 vs RHP
      Fister (3-8, 3.18 ERA) 2-7 L9 3-6 home vs LHP
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
        07/01/11 16-*13-*0 55.17% +*915 Detail
        Totals 16-*13-*0 55.17% +915


        Saturday, July 2

        Game Score Status Pick Amount

        Philadelphia - 1:07 PM ET Toronto +147 500
        Toronto - Over 7.5 500

        Pittsburgh - 3:35 PM ET Pittsburgh +142 500
        Washington - Under 8 500

        Chi. White Sox - 4:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox -101 500
        Chi. Cubs -

        NY Yankees - 4:10 PM ET NY Mets +116 500
        NY Mets - Over 8.5 500

        Cleveland - 4:10 PM ET Cincinnati -152 500
        Cincinnati - Over 9.5 500

        Evening games posted a bit later.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          Boston 1 Top 1 Boston -138 500
          Houston 0 Over 9 500

          San Francisco 2 Top 1 San Francisco +161 500
          Detroit 0 Under 8.5 500

          Baltimore 0 Top 1 Atlanta -172 500
          Atlanta 0 Under 7.5 500

          St. Louis 0 Bot 0 St. Louis +125 500
          Tampa Bay 0 Under 8.5 500

          Milwaukee 0 Bot 0 Minnesota +102 500
          Minnesota 0 Over 8 500

          Kansas City - 8:10 PM ET Colorado -200 500
          Colorado -

          LA Dodgers - 9:05 PM ET LA Angels -132 500
          LA Angels - Over 6 500

          Arizona - 9:05 PM ET Oakland -125 500
          Oakland - Over 7.5 500

          San Diego - 10:10 PM ET Seattle -126 500
          Seattle - Under 6.5 500
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment

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