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  • The Bum's Saturday's MLB Best Bets

    Garcia, Cardinals Battle Toronto Blue Jays

    St. Louis Cardinals starting pitcher Jaime Garcia (6-2, 3.19 ERA) was the ace of the staff for the first seven weeks of the season until a rough trip to Colorado made his ERA jump more than a full run. Regardless, Garcia remains unbeatable at Busch Stadium and will look to stay that way when his Cardinals host the Toronto Blue Jays in the second game of a three-game interleague series on Saturday.

    First pitch from the Gateway City is scheduled for 4:15 p.m. (PT).

    Garcia appeared to be following up a fantastic second year in the big leagues with an even better third before surrendering a season-high 12 runs and 11 hits in just 3 1/3 innings of a 15-4 loss to the Rockies on May 28. His ERA went from 1.93 to 3.28 and has not shrunk much since then as St. Louis has gone 2-2 in his past four starts.

    He was 13-8 last year with a 2.70 ERA in 28 starts covering 163 1/3 innings.

    Still, the Cardinals have not lost a home game with Garcia on the mound this season, going 6-0 with the southpaw earning four of those wins while posting an outstanding 0.81 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting only .169 against him at Busch, and he earned a victory at Toronto a year ago after allowing three runs and six hits with no walks and four strikeouts in six innings of a 9-4 win.

    St. Louis won two of three meetings with the Blue Jays last season and is 6-3 against them dating back to 2003. Toronto pitcher Carlos Villanueva (4-1, 3.17) was not involved in any of those games because he was with Milwaukee in his first two seasons, but he has improved dramatically in his third year. He is 4-3 lifetime against the Cardinals with a 3.11 ERA in 24 games.

    Villanueva has evolved into a very solid starter after making his first 13 appearances out of the bullpen. The Blue Jays are 5-1 in his starts, and he has allowed three runs or less three times over his past four outings.

    He is also 3-1 on the road this season with an impressive 2.52 ERA.

    Toronto suffered its first setback with Villanueva starting last time out at Cincinnati on Sunday. The right-hander allowed only two runs and seven hits in seven innings with no walks and three strikeouts. The Blue Jays lost that game 2-1 as +125 underdogs, which also resulted in one of eight consecutive ‘unders’ for them heading into Friday’s series opener against St. Louis.

    Villanueva had seen the ‘over’ cash in his previous nine trips to the mound along with a remarkable 16 of 18, including his relief appearances. The ‘over’ was also 7-1-1 in the previous nine games for the Cardinals going into Friday. However, the ‘under’ is 5-1 in the past six meetings between the teams.

    There is a 40 percent chance of scattered thunderstorms in St. Louis on Saturday night with the game-time temperature projected to be around 80 degrees.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    Detroit Tigers Send Ace To Mound Against Arizona

    Justin Verlander aims for his sixth consecutive win Saturday when the Detroit Tigers continue their set at home against the Arizona Diamondbacks. The contest is scheduled to get started at 4:05 p.m. (PT) from Comerica Park with the D-Backs sending rookie Josh Collmenter to the mound.

    The clubs entered the weekend interleague series battling for the lead in their respective division standings. Arizona held a slim half-game advantage over the Giants in the NL West while Detroit was a game behind the Indians in the AL Central.

    Friday's matchup was still in progress with the Tigers listed at -150 on the Don Best odds screen behind Phil Coke with the Snakes countering with Zach Duke. Game 1's total was 9½-runs.

    The two squads are meeting in Detroit for a second consecutive season and squaring off for the third time in the last four years. The Tigers won two of three last June, the 'over' also going 2-1. It's the ninth series between the teams with Arizona owning a 14-10 edge before Friday's clash.

    Arizona started the weekend 20-17 on the road after completing a 3-game sweep in Kansas City on Thursday. Detroit was coming home following a 2-4 interleague road trip through Colorado and Los Angeles. The Tigers were 22-14 at Comerica heading into the series opener.

    Few if any starting hurlers have been as tough as Verlander (10-6, 2.54) this season with all but one of his 16 assignments going in the books as a quality start. Detroit has won eight of his last nine trips to the mound, including his only outing that didn't go down as a quality start.

    The right-hander is coming off consecutive complete-game efforts, including a beauty in Colorado this past Sunday. Verlander allowed just four hits and one run as 135 chalk, a Ty Wiggington solo shot keeping him from a second straight shutout.

    Detroit is up a bit more than two units with Verlander on the hill this season, the 'over' 8-6 with a pair of 'pushes' in his matchups. The Tigers were down about four units while winning just four of the former Old Dominion star's first 10 starts, but have since cashed in each of his last six.

    Collmenter (5-3, 2.09) enters the tilt having dropped his last two assignments. A 15th-round pick in 2007 out of Central Michigan, the righty will be making his second successive interleague appearance in Saturday's contest.

    A couple of solo homers plus a leaky bullpen did him and the Diamondbacks in at home last Sunday as 130 favorites against the White Sox. Collmenter worked seven and allowed just three runs in the 8-2 loss, the second straight 'over' after five of his first six assignments stayed below the MLB betting totals.

    Arizona is 3-1 in his four road starts with Collmenter sporting a 1.93 ERA away from Chase Field.

    Saturday's Motown weather looks great after a possibly damp Friday. Afternoon highs are expected to only climb into the upper-70s under sunny skies. A WNW wind of 12-16 mph is on tap (out to LF).

    Sunday's finale is a matchup of veterans with the D-Backs slated to start left-hander Joe Saunders opposite Detroit's Brad Penny. The Tigers welcome the Blue Jays to town on Monday while Arizona heads home to begin a 3-game set with the Indians.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Saturday's Fox Tip Sheet

      June 24, 2011


      Los Angeles Angels at Los Angeles Dodgers (-140 & 7.5) - 4:10 pm (EDT)

      The Dodgers and Angels are both struggling at the plate but have each been getting decent pitching to help them be competitive near the .500 mark over the last two weeks. However, all the stats go out the window when these two teams meet in the Freeway series. It may not have the luster on a national level like the Mets and Yankees squaring up, but there is animosity here that makes it attractive for any baseball fan to watch.

      The Angels have always been kind of the second city team to the Dodgers, but when they had the audacity to begin calling themselves the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim in 2005, it struck a nerve with the Dodgers and their fans. Since winning the World Series in 2002, something that has eluded the Dodgers since 1988, the Orange county Angels have been a much better brand of baseball making the playoffs six times to the Dodgers four appearances.

      Since interleague play began in 1997, the Angels have gotten the best of the Dodgers in the series with a 46-34 record, including going 5-1 last year and they posted a sweep at Dodger Stadium for the first time. In all, the Angels have gone 7-3-4 in the series with the Dodgers last winning a series against them in 2006.

      In Saturday’s game the Dodgers will rely on Hiroki Kuroda (5-8) with hopes that he can recreate his last outing, a no-decision 1-0 win over the Astros. It was another game in a long line of Kuroda starts that the bats never helped him out. In his three previous starts he took the loss in all of them, yet never gave up more than two runs. He’s been a tough luck pitcher, but he still keeps his head up and pitches well.

      Tyler Chatwood (4-4) has been brilliant at times this season, but on the same note, has had other games where he implodes. In his last two road starts he went seven strong innings and didn’t allow a run. In between those two games, he gave up five runs at home to the Rays and Royals.

      If looking for a total angle, Chatwood has gone OVER the total in four of his five road starts while Kuroda has gone OVER the number in five of his home starts with one push.

      Washington Nationals at Chicago White Sox (-147 & 8.5) - 4:10 pm (EDT)

      Who can say that they don’t have Nationals fever right now? Winning 11 of 12 games and being over .500 won’t get a contract extension for a manager as Jim Riggleman found out, but it sure has a lot of baseball fans every where rooting for the upstart team to continue their run waving the flag for small-money teams everywhere.

      It’ll be interesting to see how big of an impact that Riggleman really had over this team in the next few weeks. The Nats have the talent and the pitching has been terrific making this look like a prime job for the next few seasons, not to mention the loads of prospects ready for next year and beyond. What was Riggleman thinking? Not only was a dumb move for his career, but to bail on his team during this stretch says a lot about his character.

      The one pitcher on the Nationals who can say he’s had nothing to do with the team’s recent success in Tom Gorzelanny (2-5), who was out for most of June with a sore left elbow until last week against the Orioles. His start against Baltimore was much of the same as his previous three before taking the injury and got hit hard for 10 hits and five runs in a loss, the Nats fourth in a row with him starting.

      John Danks (3-8), meanwhile, is pitching better than ever having won his last three decisions in a row after his team had lost his first 10 of 11 starts. He didn’t pitch poorly in many of those losses, but his perseverance has paid off.

      Between the Gorzelanny’s woes and Danks streak, taking the Nationals -- despite their great June run -- is a tough sell Saturday.

      New York Mets at Texas Rangers (-165 & 9) - 4:10 pm (EDT)

      The Mets are visiting Arlington for the first time since 2003 and will have a tough task ahead of them as they try to stop one of the best interleague teams over the last two seasons. After losing the series to Philadelphia last month, the Rangers have come back to take the last two series against the Braves and Astros.

      Josh Hamilton has been the biggest reason for the Rangers success as he has hit safely in 17 straight interleague games including hitting .375 with two homers and eight RBI’s in six games this season.

      Trying to stop Hamilton and the Rangers will be Jonathan Niese (6-6). He comes off a rocky start against the Angels where he lasted only four innings, giving up eight hits and five runs. However, there’s a silver lining that comes with Niese. He was outstanding in his previous four starts before the Angels game where he gave up only five runs combined in the 27.2 innings that resulted in him getting three of the wins.

      Alexi Ogando (7-2) takes the mound for Texas having lost his last two starts, one of which was a thrashing from the Yankees where he lasted only 1.2 innings giving up six runs. However, both of those losses came on the road. At home, Ogando has been amazing with a 5-0 record and sparkling 1.91 ERA. The Rangers are 6-1 behind Ogando at home.

      The major question you have to ask yourself is whether the Texas rookie is tiring now or is just a matter of being more comfortable at home. And then, where does Niese fit into that equation because he’s been pretty good himself. Betting the total OVER could be a nice option just because of their last starts and the uncertainty of each coming in.

      Cleveland Indians at San Francisco Giants (-135 & 7) - 4:10 pm (EDT)

      This matchups brings up memories from the 1954 World Series with Willie Mays making his famous catch of Vic Wertz’ drive in the Polo Grounds. The memories are of course from television, but that's the best thing about interleague play matchups because it allows us to relive and reflect on baseball’s glorious past.

      The Indians last visited San Francisco in 2005 and swept the Giants, but things may be a little different this time around considering how stingy the Giants are at home. If we throw out the eight-run inning the Twins had Monday, the Giants have allowed only eight runs in 56 innings of interleague play this season.

      What’s even worse for the Indians is that they’ll have to play without designated hitter Travis Hafner because of NL park rules. Hafner hasn’t played in the field since 2007, but he’s been smoking the ball all season when healthy and the Indians have been a drastically different team with him in the lineup.

      Taking the mound for Cleveland will be Justin Masterson (5--5) who last won April 26, which at the time made him 5-0. He’s currently on a stretch that has seen the Indians lose seven of his last nine starts, but the good news is that they won his last start, a 5-2 win against the Pirates. Perhaps that’s a good sign. And if looking at his recent performances during his slump, he’s really only been bad in two starts. He just didn’t get any run support, part of which was the time when Hafner was out of the lineup.

      Matt Cain (6-4) has been a different pitcher at home, but only has six starts there compared to his nine on the road. The Giants are 5-1 in those six home starts and he has an ERA of 2.68. That low ERA has contributed to five of his starts staying UNDER the total which could be a nice side to look at Saturday considering the Indians collectively hit .51 points lower without Hafner in the lineup.

      Another angle to look at is taking the Indians with +1.5 runs because the Giants are 20-11 in one run games this season. It’s a higher price differential from the game line of any other team in baseball, but there’s good reason for it, because it almost always happens to be the winning side.

      All lines used are the opening overnight lines from the South Point Casino in Las Vegas
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        Around the Horn - Saturday

        June 24, 2011




        NATIONAL LEAGUE


        Atlanta at San Diego - 8:35 PM EST (Game 2/3)
        Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
        Jurrjens (9-3, 2.11 ERA) 5-3 L8 4-1 L5 away Game 2's
        Moseley (2-6, 3.02 ERA) 3-7 L10 UNDER 7-0 L7 home Game 2's





        INTERLEAGUE


        Colorado at N.Y. Yankees - 1:05 PM EST (Game 2/3)
        Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
        Cook (0-2, 4.67 ERA) 7-2 L9 UNDER 7-1 L8 away vs LHP
        Sabathia (9-4, 3.39 ERA) 7-3 L10 11-1 home during day




        Los Angeles (A) at Los Angeles (N) - 4:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
        Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
        Chatwood (4-4, 3.84 ERA) 6-3 L9 11-6 away during day
        Kuroda (5-8, 3.07 ERA) 3-6 L9 3-9 home Game 2's




        Washington at Chicago (A) - 4:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
        Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
        Gorzelanny (2-5, 4.53 ERA) 11-1 L12 2-6 L8 away during day
        Danks (3-8, 4.29 ERA) 4-1 L5 OVER 4-1 L5 home during day




        N.Y. Mets at Texas - 4:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
        Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
        Niese (6-6, 3.70 ERA) 2-5 L7 2-4 L6 away Game 2's
        Ogando (7-2, 2.66 ERA) 5-2 L7 7-3 home during day




        Cleveland at San Francisco - 4:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
        Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
        Masterson (5-5, 3.18 ERA) 1-3 L4 3-7 away during day
        Cain (6-4, 3.44 ERA) 3-0 L3 6-3 L9 home during day




        Cincinnati at Baltimore - 7:05 PM EST (Game 2/3)
        Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
        Arroyo (6-6, 4.86 ERA) 2-5 L7 UNDER 4-2 L6 away vs LHP
        Matusz (1-2, 5.60 ERA) 4-7 L11 OVER 10-3 home Game 2's




        Boston at Pittsburgh - 7:05 PM EST (Game 2/3)
        Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
        Wakefield (4-2, 4.26 ERA) 6-4 L10 6-0 L6 away Game 2's
        Karstens (4-4, 2.54 ERA) 3-0 L3 9-3 home Game 2's




        Oakland at Philadelphia - 7:05 PM EST (Game 2/3)
        Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
        Cahill (7-5, 3.24 ERA) 6-3 L9 0-6 L6 away vs LHP
        Hamels (9-3, 2.51 ERA) 11-3 L14 7-1 L8 home vs RHP




        Arizona at Detroit - 7:05 PM EST (Game 2/3)
        Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
        Collmenter (4-3, 2.09 ERA) 6-2 L8 10-2 L12 away vs RHP
        Verlander (9-3, 2.54 ERA) 3-6 L9 8-3 L11 home vs RHP




        Tampa Bay at Houston - 7:05 PM EST (Game 2/3)
        Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
        Davis (6-5, 4.57 ERA) 6-1 L7 2-5 L7 away Game 2's
        Norris (4-5, 3.26 ERA) 3-7 L10 OVER 9-3 home Game 2's




        Chicago (N) at Kansas City - 7:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
        Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
        Zambrano (6-4, 4.50 ERA) 2-4 L6 3-6 away vs LHP
        Duffy (1-2, 5.03 ERA) 1-8 L9 2-6 L8 home Game 2's




        Minnesota at Milwaukee - 7:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
        Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
        Liriano (4-6, 4.59 ERA) 8-3 L11 1-4 L5 away Game 2's
        Gallardo (8-4, 4.11 ERA) 4-7 L11 UNDER 11-5 vs LHP




        Toronto at St. Louis - 7:15 PM EST (Game 2/3)
        Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
        Villanueva (4-1, 3.17 ERA) 1-4 L5 OVER 7-2 away vs LHP
        Garcia (6-2, 3.19 ERA) 3-10 L13 8-3 home Game 2's




        Seattle at Florida - 10:10 PM EST (Game 2/3) *Played at Safeco Field
        Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
        Vargas (5-4, 3.75 ERA) 4-6 L10 UNDER 13-2 L15 Game 2's
        Volstad (2-7, 5.65 ERA) 1-13 L14 1-7 L8 vs LHP
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          Interleague Results (1997-2011)

          AMERICAN LEAGUE RESULTS (1997-2011)

          AL TEAMS W-L 2008 2009 2010 2011

          Baltimore Orioles 95-125 11-7 11-7 7-11 4-5

          Boston Red Sox 120-100 11-7 11-7 13-5 5-4

          Chicago White Sox 122-99 12-6 11-6 15-3 6-3

          Cleveland Indians 113-107 6-12 5-13 5-13 7-2

          Detroit Tigers 116-104 13-5 10-8 11-7 3-6

          Kansas City Royals 101-119 13-5 8-10 8-10 2-7

          Los Angeles Angels 120-101 10-8 14-4 11-7 6-3
          Minnesota Twins 127-92 14-4 12-6 8-10 4-5

          New York Yankees 128-90 10-7 10-8 11-7 6-3

          Oakland Athletics 128-93 10-8 5-13 8-10 4-5

          Seattle Mariners 120-101 9-9 11-7 9-9 5-4

          Tampa Bay Rays 93-112 12-6 13-5 7-11 6-3

          Texas Rangers 110-111 10-8 9-9 14-4 5-4

          Toronto Blue Jays 103-117 8-10 7-11 7-11 3-6

          AL Totals 1,851-1,691* 137-115 137-114 134-116 67-60




          NATIONAL LEAGUE RESULTS (1997-2011)

          NL TEAMS W-L 2008 2009 2010 2011

          Arizona Diamondbacks 85-96 6-9 5-10 6-9 7-2

          Atlanta Braves 110-95 8-7 7-8 9-6 5-4

          Chicago Cubs 86-92 6-9 7-7 8-10 3-6

          Cincinnati Reds 81-100 9-6 6-9 8-7 2-7

          Colorado Rockies 89-98 7-8 11-4 9-6 4-2

          Florida Marlins 112-98 5-10 10-8 7-8 3-6

          Houston Astros 95-96 7-11 6-9 3-12 3-3

          Los Angeles Dodgers 93-104 5-10 9-9 4-11 3-3

          Milwaukee Brewers 81-97 7-8 5-10 9-6 2-4

          New York Mets 105-100 9-6 5-10 13-5 4-5

          Philadelphia Phillies 93-112 3-15 6-12 8-7 3-3

          Pittsburgh Pirates 65-109 5-9 8-7 2-13 4-5

          St. Louis Cardinals 95-86 7-8 9-6 9-6 4-2

          San Diego Padres 85-115 3-15 5-10 9-6 2-7

          San Francisco Giants 100-103 6-12 9-6 7-8 5-4

          Washington Nationals** 111-109 8-10 7-11 5-13 6-3

          NL Totals 1,691-1,851 115-137 114-137 116-134 60-67
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            Saturday, June 25

            Game Score Status Pick Amount

            Colorado - 1:05 PM ET Colorado +226 500
            NY Yankees - Over 9 500

            Washington - 4:10 PM ET Washington +145 500
            Chi. White Sox - Over 8.5 500

            Cleveland - 4:10 PM ET San Francisco -136 500
            San Francisco - Over 6.5 500

            NY Mets - 4:10 PM ET Texas -162 500
            Texas - Under 9 500

            LA Angels - 4:10 PM ET LA Angels +125 500
            LA Dodgers - Under 7.5 500

            Boston - 7:05 PM ET Pittsburgh +120 500
            Pittsburgh - Over 8 500

            Cincinnati - 7:05 PM ET Baltimore -105 500
            Baltimore - Under 9.5 500

            Tampa Bay - 7:05 PM ET Houston -118 500
            Houston - Over 8 500

            Arizona - 7:05 PM ET Arizona +170 500
            Detroit - Under 7 500

            Oakland - 7:05 PM ET Oakland +174 500
            Philadelphia - Under 7 500

            Chi. Cubs - 7:10 PM ET Chi. Cubs +104 500
            Kansas City - Over 9 500

            Minnesota - 7:10 PM ET Minnesota +137 500
            Milwaukee - Under 7.5 500

            Toronto - 7:15 PM ET Toronto +134 500
            St. Louis - Over 8 500

            Atlanta - 8:35 PM ET Atlanta -132 500
            San Diego - Under 6.5 500

            Seattle - 10:10 PM ET Seattle -130 500
            Florida - Over 7 500
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #7
              7:00 PM ETConnecticut at Indiana
              Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds
              CONN 601 4-2 (1-2 V) - 153 ( UNDER )
              IND 602 4-3 (2-1 H) - -4 ( CONN + 4 )

              Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
              Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts 8:00 PM ETPhoenix at Chicago
              Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds
              PHO 603 3-3 (2-2 V) - 175.5 ( OVER )
              CHI 604 4-3 (3-0 H) - -4.5 ( PHX + 4.5 )

              Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • #8
                Thanks bum ... Good Luck Today

                Comment

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