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The Bum's Thursday's MLB Best Bets !

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  • The Bum's Thursday's MLB Best Bets !

    Diamondbacks Close Set At Kansas City Royals

    Kirk Gibson’s surprising Arizona Diamondbacks continue their grind towards a possible postseason berth with Thursday’s series finale at the Kansas City Royals. First pitch at Kauffman Stadium is 5:10 p.m. (PT) with FOX Sports affiliates providing television coverage to the two local markets.

    Game 3 pits a pair of right-handers on the mound with Daniel Hudson (9-6, 3.56) going for the D-Backs opposite KC’s Felipe Paulino (3-1, 2.33).

    Arizona took Tuesday's series opener by a 7-2 count behind seven good innings from Joe Saunders. The Snakes closed as a +115 underdog, the 9-run total ‘pushed’ and the victory marked the third straight for the Diamondbacks at Kauffman.

    Wednesday’s middle game of the set was still pending with Arizona on a -120 baseball betting line behind Ian Kennedy. The Royals were sending left-hander Jeff Francis to the mound with eight runs for the total.

    Hudson enters this matchup off successive wins while Arizona has posted triumphs in nine of his 11 starts since he began the season by dropping his first four starts. The former 5th-round pick by the White Sox has won both of his previous interleague starts that include a dominating performance against his former club in his last outing.

    The righty went the distance with a 3-hitter in a 4-1 win as 130 home chalk vs. Chicago, striking out five with a season-high 119 pitches.

    Hudson has a start and a relief appearance vs. Kansas City from his short tenure with the ChiSox. The start came last July with Hudson working just four innings and allowing five runs. Chicago’s offense took him off the hook for the defeat by scoring 15 times for a 15-5 win.

    Paulino started the year in Colorado’s bullpen and produced a 7.36 ERA with an 0-4 record in 18 appearances before being sold off to the Royals. He made one relief showing for KC before moving into the rotation slot that had belonged to rookie Nate Adcock.

    Control issues got Paulino in trouble his last assignment at St. Louis last Friday. Staked to an early three-zip lead, he walked four and hit two more Cardinals during his 6-inning, 4-ER performance. The Royals eventually scratched out a 5-4 win to cash +150 tickets.

    While with the Rockies earlier this season, Paulino saw the Diamondbacks twice as a reliever, working two innings and allowing a run. The lone run was a solo shot by Justin Upton that lifted Arizona to a win. Paulino’s lifetime numbers against the Snakes include a 4.38 ERA and 0-2 record.

    Just 12 career plate assignments under his belt, Cory Blaser is scheduled to be south of the dish for Thursday’s game. The 29-year-old umpire has a slight 6-4 ‘under’ lean this season with home underdogs 1-2.

    Thursday's KC forecast calls for clear skies with no chance of rain and a game-time temp in the mid-to-upper 70s. Some of the recent wind should die off a little with weathermen calling for a WNW breeze in the 10-12 mph range (LF corner across to RF).

    The Diamondbacks will move on from here to the Motor City for a weekend set with the Tigers while the Royals stay put to host the Cubs.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    Oswalt, Phillies Take On Carpenter And Cardinals

    The Philadelphia Phillies' parade of aces continues Thursday night when they finish a 3-game set at the St. Louis Cardinals.

    First pitch from Busch Stadium will be at 5:15 p.m. (PT). Hard-luck Roy Oswalt (4-5, 3.38 ERA) will head to the mound to face the disappointing Chris Carpenter (1-7, 4.47 ERA).

    The Phillies (46-28) have a 4.5-game lead over Atlanta in the NL East standings, but that’s due to a 28-12 home mark. They’re 18-16 away (-1.7 units), 2-2 on this short 6-game road trip.

    Philadelphia threw out 9-3 Cole Hamels at Seattle on Sunday (2-0 loss) and then fellow 9-game winner Roy Halladay to start this series on Tuesday. Halladay didn’t get the win, but Philly did (10-2) after a 9-run barrage in the eighth inning.

    The starter on Wednesday night was Cliff Lee (7-5, 3.12 ERA), who has a miniscule 0.38 ERA in three starts this month. That result is still pending with Philly a 150 favorite against St. Louis and Kyle Lohse.

    Oswalt has the highest ERA of Philadelphia’s four aces. He’s also made a few less starts after a disabled list stint (lower back inflammation). Oswalt returned on May 17 at St. Louis and pitched very well in three starts that month (1.50 ERA) before struggling some in June.

    The 33-year-old right-hander has a 4.81 ERA in four June starts, allowing four earned runs over 6 1/3 innings at Seattle last Friday. The Phillies lost 4-2 and are now just 3-7 in Oswalt’s last 10 games, with an average run support of just 2.7.

    Oswalt has an identical 3.38 ERA both home and away. However, opponents are hitting .284 against him on the road compared to .248 at home.

    Oswalt’s start at the Cardinals this year was one earned run over five innings, another tough 2-1 loss. He’s 9-8 with a 3.15 ERA lifetime against them (4-4, 2.69 ERA away). All the starts but one were while pitching for Houston.

    The ‘under’ is 3-0-1 in Oswalt’s last four starts and 7-2-1 in the last 10.

    The Cardinals (40-34) are a half-game behind Milwaukee in the NL Central. They took the last two games over the weekend versus Kansas City to break a 7-game slide. However, they lost slugger Albert Pujols (fractured forearm) for several weeks in the final Royals game.

    The ‘over’ is 6-0-1 in St. Louis’ last seven games, but Pujols had three homers in that span. The home record is 20-14 overall, but just .3 units to the positive.

    Carpenter’s 4.47 ERA this year is a steady climb from 2009 (2.24) and last year (3.22). His current strikeout rate (7.12) is actually the highest in the three years, but his slugging percentage allowed has crept up to .415.

    The 36-year-old right-hander does have a much lower ERA at home (3.26) than away (5.57). However, St. Louis is just 2-5 in his home starts (2-6 away) with an average runs scored of 3.57.

    Carpenter last faced the Phillies last July, allowing one earned run over eight innings in a 7-1 home win. His prior start against them was in 2006.

    St. Louis is 1-7 in its last eight games against a right-handed starter. The ‘over’ is 4-0-1 in its last five against a righty.

    St. Louis is 2-1 against Philly this year, sweeping (3-1, 2-1) a short 2-game home series in mid-May.

    Tim Welke will call balls and strikes. The Cardinals are 0-5 in his last five games behind home plate. The ‘over’ is 4-1 in his last five games behind the dish.

    In addition to Pujol’s injury, Philadelphia’s Placido Polanco (finger) was questionable for Wednesday.

    Weather should be clear and in the 70s. Both teams go back to Interleague Play for Friday with St. Louis hosting Toronto and Philadelphia welcoming Oakland.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Around the Horn - Thursday

      June 22, 2011


      NATIONAL LEAGUE


      Philadelphia at St. Louis - 8:15 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Oswalt (4-5, 3.38 ERA) 8-2 L10 1-4 L5 away Game 3's
      Carpenter (1-7, 4.47 ERA) 2-7 L9 7-3 L10 home vs RHP


      INTERLEAGUE


      Seattle at Washington - 1:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Pineda (7-4, 2.64 ERA) 5-5 L10 5-1 L6 away during day
      Marquis (7-2, 3.86 ERA) 8-1 L9 9-2 home vs LHP


      Oakland at N.Y. Mets - 1:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Godfrey (1-0, 4.76 ERA) 6-0 L6 1-4 L5 away during day
      Capuano (5-7, 4.29 ERA) 5-5 L10 OVER 9-2 home during day


      Minnesota at San Francisco - 3:45 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Duensing (4-6, 4.82 ERA) 8-0 L8 2-5 L7 away Game 3's
      Lincecum (5-6, 3.39 ERA) 0-5 L5 7-1 home vs LHP


      Arizona at Kansas City - 8:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Hudson (8-5, 3.56 ERA) 2-4 L6 UNDER 5-0 L5 away Game 3's
      Paulino (0-4, 4.10 ERA) 1-4 L5 4-9 L13 home vs RHP
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        Thursday, June 23

        Game Score Status Pick Amount

        Seattle - 1:05 PM ET Washington +113 500
        Washington - Under 7.5 500

        Oakland - 1:10 PM ET NY Mets -134 500
        NY Mets - Over 8 500

        Minnesota - 3:45 PM ET San Francisco -178 500
        San Francisco - Over 6.5 500

        Arizona - 8:10 PM ET Arizona -109 500
        Kansas City - Under 8.5 500

        Philadelphia - 8:15 PM ET St. Louis -107 500
        St. Louis - Over 8 500
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          gl brotha

          Comment


          • #6
            Last two days:

            Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
            06/23/11 2-_0-_0 100.00% +_1065 Detail
            06/22/11 22-_7-_0 75.86% +_8215 Detail
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment

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