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  • The Bum's Monday's MLB Best Bets !

    MLB Betting: New York Yankees visit Cincinnati Reds

    Off a rare trip to Wrigley Field, the New York Yankees make just their second visit to Great American Ball Park to face the Cincinnati Reds. Monday's series opener gets underway at 4:10 p.m. (PT) with ESPN's cameras on hand for the broadcast.

    Cincinnati is a 110 favorite behind left-hander Travis Wood (7-8, 5.11). New York counters with Ivan Nova (8-5, 4.46) with an 8-run total on the Don Best odds screen.

    The Reds opened a 6-game homestand by dropping the first two games to Toronto. Cincinnati went into Sunday's series finale looking to avoid being swept at home as well as still searching for interleague win number one on the season. The Reds were broomed by the Indians in May.

    New York split the first two contests at the Cubs and was seeking a second interleague series victory in Sunday night's prime-time game at Wrigley.

    This series will mark just the third meeting between the clubs since the Reds swept the Yankees in the 1976 World Series. Cincinnati has won the previous two sets, taking two of three at home in 2003 and two of three in 2008 at Yankee Stadium. Four of the six previous clashes have gone 'under' with one contest a 'push' on the totals board.

    Wood (7-8, 5.11) is coming off a pair of decent efforts during Cincinnati’s road trip, the Reds splitting the two games at the Giants and Dodgers. Though both met the criteria as quality starts, they were far from masterpieces.

    San Francisco raked for 11 hits along with three walks during Wood’s 8-inning performance at AT&T Park two starts ago. The Giants walked off with a 3-2 win in a game that closed as a pick, Wood not figuring into the decision. The southpaw’s last start saw him come away with the 7-2 victory over the Dodgers as an even-money underdog, but control failed Wood in the contest with five free passes and a plunked batter during his six frames.

    The Reds are 4-3 in Wood’s home assignments despite his 7.18 ERA at Great American Ball Park. Most of that bloated number came in two starts against the Marlins in late-April and the Dodgers earlier this month. Florida and Los Angeles plated 15 runs in Wood’s eight combined innings of those outings.

    Wood’s only other interleague experience was about a month ago at Cleveland with Cincinnati small chalk. Staked to an early four-zip lead, Wood ran into trouble in the sixth and left the game knotted four-all. The Indians completed the rally against the Reds bullpen for a 5-4 win.

    The biggest winner in Wood’s contests this season has been the ‘over,’ cashing six of his last seven trips to the mound and 10-5 overall.

    Nova will be making only his second career interleague start, the other coming in May at home against the Mets. The young right-hander had one bad inning in the game and was touched up for 11 hits in 6 2/3 frames, but came away the victor in the Yanks' 9-3 win as decided 180 favorites.

    Nova brings a 2-game win streak into this matchup though he wasn't exactly a mystery to Texas hitters in last Wednesday's 12-4 triumph. The Rangers scored all four of their runs off Nova who checked out of the game two outs into the sixth.

    Five of his last seven starts have been winners for 'over' bettors after beginning the season 6-1 to the 'under.

    The Yankees are still without their captain Derek Jeter who is on the 15-day disabled list MLB Baseball Injuries Report for Free Betting Picks- DonBest.com with a calf injury. The Reds aren't reporting any recent injuries.

    Cloudy and warm with a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms is the forecast for Cincinnati on Monday. First pitch should find the thermometer in the low-to-mid 80s with a south wind at 10-12 mph (in from right).

    The series continues Tuesday with New York sending Brian Gordon to the mound opposite Reds lefty Travis Wood.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    MLB Odds: Zambrano, Cubs visit White Sox

    One of baseball’s best rivalries takes center stage Monday night when the Cubs visit their Chicago rival White Sox. This is a return to the scene of the crime for Carlos Zambrano.

    This 3-game series starts at 5:10 p.m. (PT) from U.S Cellular Field. Zambrano (5-4, 4.59 ERA) will oppose Gavin Floyd (6-6, 3.94 ERA).

    Check back to the Don Best odds screen, but expect the White Sox as around 120 favorites with a total of 8 ½-runs.

    Zambrano pitched at the White Sox last June 25 and lasted just one inning (four earned runs). He then had an ugly dugout incident and didn’t pitch for the team for over a month after going on the restricted list.

    The 30-year-old Zambrano hasn’t pitched horribly this year, but made critical comments about the team last month and will reportedly waive his no-trade clause if asked. He’s scheduled to make $18 million next season, so the Cubs would need to eat some salary.

    Zambrano is coming off a couple of tough outings. He allowed 12 earned runs over 12 1/3 innings in losses at Philadelphia (7-5) and home to Milwaukee (9-5). The Cubs have lost his last four starts overall even though he pitched very well in the first two (1.20 ERA).

    The right-hander has a higher road ERA (5.22) than at home (3.91), but he’s kind of a boom-or-bust pitcher no matter where he throws.

    Zambrano is 5-4 with a 4.97 ERA lifetime against the White Sox. He’s 2-3 with a 5.88 ERA at U.S Cellular Field.

    The ‘over’ is 12-3 in Zambrano’s last 15 interleague starts.

    The Cubs (29-41) have the second-worst record in baseball, but are 4-2 in their homestand pending Sunday night’s finale. That’s against the Yankees with the Bronx Bombers 170 favorites behind ace CC Sabathia.

    The White Sox have also had their struggles (34-38) after winning 88 games a year ago. They started out the season at 11-22, but fought back some to go 23-16 in their last 39. That doesn’t include Sunday’s rubber match at Arizona (result pending).

    The ‘under’ is 4-0 in the White Sox’ last four games.

    Floyd is a very consistent pitcher with his season ERA’s ranging from 3.84 to 4.08 since 2008. Expectations were raised that first year with a 17-8 mark, but there was some luck involved and he’s gone just 27-30 since.

    The 28-year-old right-hander is coming off a workhorse appearance last Wednesday at Minnesota, allowing four earned runs over eight innings in a 4-1 loss. He threw 117 pitches and will be pitching on regular rest on Monday.

    Floyd has made just five starts at home (4.36 ERA), compared to eight away (3.70 ERA). The White Sox are 2-3 in his home outings, (6-7 overall), but he has quality starts in the last two.

    Floyd has pitched at the Cubs the last two years, going 0-1 with a 1.20 ERA in two starts. He has never faced them at home.

    The White Sox are 21-6 in their last 27 interleague home games.

    The White Sox are 7-2 in the last nine home meetings against the Cubs and have a 41-37 lead overall in the series.

    The Cubs are 2-9 in their last 11 road games, 13-20 on the year (-4.1 units). The White Sox are just 16-17 at home this season (-6.4 units).

    Weather is expected to be in the high 70s with thunderstorms possible. Tuesday night has another very interesting pitching matchup of Matt Garza versus Mark Buehrle.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Around the Horn - Monday

      June 19, 2011


      INTERLEAGUE


      Baltimore at Pittsburgh - 7:05 PM EST (Game 1/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Arrieta (8-4, 4.45 ERA) 2-6 L8 2-8 away Game 1's
      Morton (7-3, 3.21 ERA) 5-5 L10 6-2 on Mondays




      Colorado at Cleveland - 7:05 PM EST (Game 1/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Nicasio (2-1, 3.38 ERA) 4-1 L5 4-7 away Game 1's
      Carmona (4-8, 5.79 ERA) 4-2 L6 5-2 on Mondays




      San Diego at Boston - 7:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      LeBlanc (0-2, 4.26 ERA) 1-8 L9 4-7 away Game 1's
      Miller (season debut) 13-2 L15 9-4 home vs LHP




      N.Y. Yankees at Cincinnati - 7:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Nova (6-4, 4.46 ERA) 7-2 L9 7-3 L10 away vs RHP
      Wood (5-4, 5.11 ERA) 5-5 L10 5-2 L7 home Game 1's




      Toronto at Atlanta - 7:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Romero (6-6, 3.01 ERA) 4-2 L6 9-3 away Game 1's
      Hudson (5-6, 4.08 ERA) 2-5 L7 2-4 L6 home vs LHP




      Los Angeles (A) at Florida - 7:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Weaver (8-4, 2.06 ERA) 4-2 L6 4-0 L4 away Game 1's
      Sanchez (6-1, 3.02 ERA) 0-10 L10 2-5 L7 home Game 1's




      Houston at Texas - 8:05 PM EST (Game 1/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Happ (3-8, 4.95 ERA) 3-7 L10 2-10 L12 vs TEX
      Holland (5-2, 4.78 ERA) 2-6 L8 9-1 home vs LHP




      Chicago (N) at Chicago (A) - 8:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Zambrano (5-4, 4.59 ERA) 4-2 L6 2-7 L9 away vs RHP
      Floyd (6-4, 2.60 ERA) 5-5 L10 4-1 L5 home Game 1's




      Tampa Bay at Milwaukee - 8:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Niemann (1-4, 5.74 ERA) 6-3 L9 1-5 L6 away vs LHP
      Narveson (4-4, 4.48 ERA) 2-5 L7 5-2 L7 home Game 1's




      Detroit at Los Angeles (N) - 10:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Penny (5-5, 4.93 ERA) 5-5 L10 7-1 L8 away vs LHP
      Kershaw (6-3, 3.28 ERA) 1-5 L6 9-17 home vs RHP
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        Diamond Trends - Monday

        June 20, 2011

        SU TREND OF THE DAY:

        The Rangers are 11-0 since 2010 as a home favorite of between -140 and -175 when they are off a loss in which they had at least three times as many hits as runs for a net profit of $1100


        OU TREND OF THE DAY:

        The Red Sox are 8-0-1 OU since May 03, 2010 as a home favorite vs a team that has lost at least their last two games and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $800 when playing the over.


        STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:

        The Cubs are 0-10 OU since May 26, 2007 when Carlos Zambrano starts on the road vs a team that has averaged fewer than six strikeouts per game for a net profit of $1000 when playing the under.


        MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:

        The Rays are 11-0 (+2.9 rpg) since September 2008 on the road after a come-from-behind win in which they allowed six or fewer hits.


        TODAY’S TRENDS:

        The Dodgers are 6-0 OU since April 16, 2010 as a 140+ favorite after a one run win and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $600 when playing the over.

        The Tigers are 0-8 since May 03, 2010 on the road after a win in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $820 when playing against.

        The Blue Jays are 8-0 OU since June 05, 2009 when Ricky Romero starts as a dog after walking at least 4 for a net profit of $800 when playing the over.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          Interleague Results (1997-2011)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------



          AMERICAN LEAGUE RESULTS (1997-2011)
          AL TEAMS W-L 2008 2009 2010 2011
          Baltimore Orioles 94-123 11-7 11-7 7-11 3-3
          Boston Red Sox 119-98 11-7 11-7 13-5 4-2
          Chicago White Sox 120-98 12-6 11-6 15-3 4-2
          Cleveland Indians 112-105 6-12 5-13 5-13 6-0
          Detroit Tigers 115-102 13-5 10-8 11-7 2-4
          Kansas City Royals 101-116 13-5 8-10 8-10 2-4
          Los Angeles Angels 118-100 10-8 14-4 11-7 4-2
          Minnesota Twins 126-90 14-4 12-6 8-10 3-3
          New York Yankees 126-89 10-7 10-8 11-7 4-2
          Oakland Athletics 127-91 10-8 5-13 8-10 3-3
          Seattle Mariners 120-98 9-9 11-7 9-9 5-1
          Tampa Bay Rays 91-111 12-6 13-5 7-11 4-2
          Texas Rangers 108-110 10-8 9-9 14-4 3-3
          Toronto Blue Jays 103-114 8-10 7-11 7-11 3-3
          AL Totals 1,835-1,665* 137-115 137-114 134-116 51-34




          NATIONAL LEAGUE RESULTS (1997-2011)
          NL TEAMS W-L 2008 2009 2010 2011
          Arizona Diamondbacks 82-96 6-9 5-10 6-9 4-2
          Atlanta Braves 107-95 8-7 7-8 9-6 2-4
          Chicago Cubs 85-90 6-9 7-7 8-10 2-4
          Cincinnati Reds 80-98 9-6 6-9 8-7 1-5
          Colorado Rockies 87-97 7-8 11-4 9-6 2-1
          Florida Marlins 111-96 5-10 10-8 7-8 2-4
          Houston Astros 94-94 7-11 6-9 3-12 2-1
          Los Angeles Dodgers 91-103 5-10 9-9 4-11 1-2
          Milwaukee Brewers 80-95 7-8 5-10 9-6 1-2
          New York Mets 103-99 9-6 5-10 13-5 2-4
          Philadelphia Phillies 93-112 3-15 6-12 8-7 3-3
          Pittsburgh Pirates 63-108 5-9 8-7 2-13 2-4
          St. Louis Cardinals 95-86 7-8 9-6 9-6 4-2
          San Diego Padres 83-114 3-15 5-10 9-6 0-6
          San Francisco Giants 98-102 6-12 9-6 7-8 3-3
          Washington Nationals** 108-109 8-10 7-11 5-13 3-3
          NL Totals 1,665-1,835 115-137 114-137 116-134 34-51
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            MLB Series Outlook: N.Y. Yankees at Cincinnati

            NEW YORK YANKEES (41-29, +2.0 Units)

            at CINCINNATI REDS (38-35, -3.4 Units)


            Sportsbook.com Series Line: Cincinnati -120, New York -110

            The Yankees travel to Cincinnati for the first time in more than eight years when the clubs play a three-game set starting Monday night. Since getting swept by the Red Sox, New York has been on fire, going 8-2 in its past 10 games. Over this stretch, the offense is batting .325 with 111 hits and 66 runs. The pitching has also been top-notch with a 2.84 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in these 10 contests.

            Cincinnati swept the Dodgers to start last week, but its offense only generated four runs in a three-game series loss (2 games to 1) versus Toronto. The Reds pitching and defense have been stellar lately, as they have not allowed more than four runs in 13 consecutive games. The staff is 8-5 with a 2.41 ERA and 1.17 WHIP over this span.

            Although the Yankees are not sending CC Sabathia or A.J. Burnett to the mound this series, they have been on too much of a roll not to take them at nearly even money. The FoxSheets shows two trends siding with NEW YORK to win on Monday, which will be a lot easier against Travis Wood than Johnny Cueto after the two switched places due to Cueto (the original Monday starter) having to rest his sore neck.

            CINCINNATI is 12-32 (27.3%, -21.6 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.00 to 4.70 since 1997. The average score was CINCINNATI 4.1, OPPONENT 6.2 - (Rating = 1*).

            CINCINNATI is 4-12 (25.0%, -10.6 Units) against the money line vs. teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season. The average score was CINCINNATI 3.1, OPPONENT 4.1 - (Rating = 1*).

            Pitching Probables for Monday, June 20 - 7:10 ET
            Monday line: Cincinnati -120, New York +110, Total: 9
            NYY: 8-5 (+2.15 Units) when Ivan Nova starts
            CIN: 7-8 (-2.30 Units) when Travis Wood starts
            Nova (6-4, 4.46 ERA) is 3-1 in his past six starts despite a 17 K/14 BB ratio over this span. But he’s managed to work his way out of some jams, allowing a 4.19 ERA in these half-dozen games. The Yankees are 6-3 in Nova’s past nine starts. He has never faced Cincinnati in his career.
            Wood (5-4, 5.11 ERA) has strung together two straight quality starts, allowing just two runs in eight innings on June 10 at San Francisco, followed by a 6-IP, 1-ER performance Wednesday at the L.A. Dodgers. Wood’s control has poor over his past six starts as he has walked 18 and only struck out 16 batters.

            Pitching Probables for Tuesday, June 21 - 7:10 ET
            Tuesday line: TBD
            NYY: 1-0 (+1.05 Units) when Brian Gordon starts
            CIN: 5-3 (+1.40 Units) when Johnny Cueto starts
            Gordon (0-0, 3.38 ERA) will make just his second start of the season as he replaces Bartolo Colon who is on the DL with a hamstring injury. Gordon was able to hold the Rangers at bay in his Yankees debut Thursday, giving up just two runs in 5.1 innings, despite allowing 10 base runners (7 hits, 3 walks). The 32-year-old right-hander has thrown only 9.1 innings for his career (2.89 ERA, 1.50 WHIP).
            Cueto (4-2, 1.68 ERA) has not allowed an earned run in either of his past two starts, throwing seven innings in each outing (at San Francisco, at L.A. Dodgers). He has only faced New York once in his career, taking the loss despite a strong pitching line: 5 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 7 K.

            Pitching Probables for Wednesday, June 22 - 12:35 ET
            Wednesday line: TBD
            NYY: 6-6 (-1.80 Units) when Freddy Garcia starts
            CIN: 7-4 (+2.45 Units) when Mike Leake starts
            Garcia (5-6, 3.63 ERA) has five quality starts in his past six outings, but is only 3-3 in these games. He pitched well in Wrigley Field Friday, allowing just six hits, two walks and three runs in seven strong innings. He is also a perfect 3-0 lifetime versus Cincinnati with a 2.57 ERA and an outstanding 0.71 WHIP with 16 K and just one walk in 21 career innings facing the Reds.
            Leake (6-3, 4.04 ERA) has been tough to hit since re-joining the rotation on May 27. In these five most recent starts, he is 3-1 with a 2.31 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. He took the loss on Friday despite a quality outing against the Blue Jays: 7 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 0 BB, 3 K. He has never faced the Yankees in his brief career.
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #7
              Monday, June 20

              Game Score Status Pick Amount

              Baltimore - 7:05 PM ET Pittsburgh -104 500
              Pittsburgh - Over 8 500

              Colorado - 7:05 PM ET Colorado -103 500
              Cleveland - Over 8.5 500

              San Diego - 7:10 PM ET Boston -193 500
              Boston - Under 10.5 500

              NY Yankees - 7:10 PM ET NY Yankees -101 500
              Cincinnati - Over 9.5 500

              Toronto - 7:10 PM ET Toronto +111 500
              Atlanta - Under 7 500

              LA Angels - 7:10 PM ET LA Angels -130 500
              Florida - Over 6.5 500

              Houston - 8:05 PM ET Texas -185 500
              Texas - Over 10 500

              Chi. Cubs - 8:10 PM ET Chi. Cubs +150 500
              Chi. White Sox - Under 8.5 500

              Tampa Bay - 8:10 PM ET Milwaukee -133 500
              Milwaukee - Under 8.5 500

              Detroit - 10:10 PM ET Detroit +139 500
              LA Dodgers - Under 7 500
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment

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