Announcement

**Udog** · 06-20-2011, 08:29 AM

Monday’s betting tips: AL dominating interleague

Weather to watch

Wimbledon Day 1 : The first day of action at Wimbledon could be slowed by wet and cold conditions and the tournament’s organizers are bracing for bad weather for at least part of the first week. Centre Court is covered by Wimbledon’s $100 million roof, but be sure to check the weather for the matches played on the other courts. “The week leading up was wet, which refocuses everyone, gets us back in the routine of covering the courts and keeping them dry,” head groundsman designate Neil Stubley told reporters.

Who’s hot

MLB: The over is 10-3 in Baltimore’s last 13 interleague games.

MLB: Milwaukee is 19-7 in its last 26 games as a favorite.

MLB: Texas has won 17 of its last 24 interleague games.

Who’s not

MLB: Colorado has lost 13 of its last 18 road games.

MLB: Atlanta is just 2-16 in Tim Hudson’s last 18 interleague starts.

MLB: Florida is suffering through a 6-21 slump.

Key stat

14 – Rafael Nadal has won each of his last 14 matches at Wimbledon, a streak that dates back to 2007. Nadal is a +200 favorite to win the tournament.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Hunter Pence, Houston Astros: Pence sat out both of the Astros’ games over the weekend and was scheduled for an MRI on his hyperextended elbow back in Houston on Sunday. He’s considered day-to-day for now, but the team will update his status once the test results come in. Pence’s .321 batting average puts him ninth in the bigs and he also has nine homers and 51 RBIs.

Game of the day

New York Yankees at Cincinnati Reds (-125, 9)

Notable quotable

“This one is different because I’ve pretty much had a full year off, and my body is different because you take time off, and it’s not the same. So my butt’s way softer than it normally is.” – Serena Willams on how she feels heading into Wimbledon following her long layoff. Oddsmakers have her listed as a +350 favorite to defend her title.

Notes and tips

The American League is having its way with the NL in interleague play so far. Following Sunday afternoon’s action the AL was 30-12 through the first three days of interleague action. If you had wager on the American League in every game ahead of the Sunday Night Baseball matchup of the New York Yankees at the Chicago Cubs you would have been up about 17 units.

The Cleveland Indians fired hitting coach John Nunnally on Sunday and appointed the organizations minor league hitting instructor Bruce Fields. The move hardly comes as a shock. Cleveland’s offense has been terrible over the last month and was shut out six times during an 18-game span recently. The Indians were 5-13 during that slump and are now hitting just .251 on the year.

**Udog** · 06-20-2011, 08:32 AM

Monday's six-pack

-- Surprising fact: Tim Wakefield is 3rd on Red Sox all-time win list, with 183, behind only Roger Clemens and Cy Young (192 each).

-- There are 22 current major leaguers whose dad played in big leagues.

-- You know those Stars/Stripes hats the teams wear on holidays? You can have one of your own, for a mere $36.95. Um, no thanks.

-- Remember Gallagher, the comedian who used to smash watermelons with a sledgehammer as part of his act? He's going to be in Saratoga this Saturday, at the Metro. Tickets are only $15.

-- Last time there were no Americans in the top 5 of a US Open? 1909.

-- Wonder if Eldrick Woods watched any of the golf this weekend.

*******************

Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend........

13) 80-year old Jack McKeon is expected to be named interim manager of the Florida Marlins Monday; McKeon started managing the Royals back when I was in 8th grade. I'm 51 now. Edwin Rodriguez "resigned" Sunday with the Marlins on a 1-18 skid.

12) Will be interesting to see who the Marlins bring in as the permanent skipper; they'll need to make a splash, to sell tickets/luxury boxes for the new stadium that opens next season in downtown Miami.

11) Nice touch by Dodgers Sunday, having Tom Gordon/Tony Gwynn throw out the first ball to their sons on Father's Day. Will be nicer if the ballclub can make payroll next week.

10) Its hard to believe there are no rules governing how agents can poach a client from a competitor (a la Rafael Soriano LY). Luckily, Jose Reyes has some loyalty in his veins, as he eschewed weasel agent Scott Boras, who had been trying to steal Reyes away from Peter Greenberg, just as he did with Soriano last year.

One of Greenberg's assistants is godfather to two of Reyes' kids, so that probably helped prevent the switch. Say Reyes signs a $100M contract this winter; 3% of $100M is $3M, which is the agent's cut. Big money. By the way, Reyes is going to get a contract worth more than $100M.

9) Boston Bruins had the Stanley Cup in Fenway Park Sunday, and threw out the first ball. Red Sox do a very good job of honoring the other teams from Boston who have won championships. Have to think it cultivates an atmosphere of expecting to win amongst their own players.

8) Rotnei Clarke, Arkansas' leading returning scorer, wants out of Little Rock, but Mike Anderson won't give him his release, which is usually a formality after a coaching change. Clarke scored 15.2 ppg and made 44% of his 3's LY. Interesting to see how this plays out, since its not the first time this player has asked out of his scholarship.

7) There is so little power/speed in baseball, it has clumped the majority of the teams closer together, and created closer games-- it has made the manager a more critical part of the team. Keeping the bullpen fresh/sharp, having the fielders on their toes in the field, mentally sharp, making the right lineup, these are the things that a manager can do to elevate his team.

Its where I totally disagree with Billy Beane, who has devalued how much a manager means, and has paid him thusly. Its why almost all his coaches skipped town after last season. Look at how bringing in Bob Melvin has improved Oakland's play- they beat Lincecum and Cain this weekend. If the players believe in the manager, it makes all the difference.

6) The five pitchers currently in Oakland's starting rotation wear these uniform numbers: 53-47-52-88-65. Its like spring training in Arizona, but all nine pitchers who've started for the A's have done pretty well- they've got quality depth. Not a lot of teams can say that.

5) I'm looking at the baseball standings and laughing; the A's have been a pathetic offensive team whose pitching rotation has been ravaged by lot of injuries, yet they're only five games out of first. What a country.

4) I can't help it, love the GEICO commercial where the woodchucks are tossing wood into the water. Makes me laugh every time.

3) Looking through some college football stuff, saw that even though June Jones has really improved SMU a lot, Mustangs are still just 1-11-1 vs the spread as a home favorite the last four years. That'll improve.

2) Why are there so few good American golfers? I mean, when there are more guys on the leaderboard from Sweden than here, you have to wonder what the problem is.

1) Golf is going to be an Olympic sport in 2016? I guess they've stopped pretending that there's even an ounce of amateurism left.

**Udog** · 06-20-2011, 08:37 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Tampa Bay at Milwaukee
The Rays look to take advantage of a Milwaukee team that is 1-5 in Chris Narveson's last 6 starts as a favorite from -110 to -150. Tampa Bay is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Rays favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+120). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, JUNE 20

Game 951-952: Baltimore at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Arrieta) 14.980; Pittsburgh (Morton) 14.470
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-105); Over

Game 953-954: Colorado at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Nicasio) 16.109; Cleveland (Carmona) 14.689
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-105); Under

Game 955-956: San Diego at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (LeBlanc) 14.795; Boston (Miller) 17.304
Dunkel Line: Boston by 2 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Boston (-185); 10
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-185); Over

Game 957-958: NY Yankees at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Nova) 16.527; Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.264
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+105); Under

Game 959-960: Toronto at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Romero) 15.589; Atlanta (Hudson) 14.736
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+100); Under

Game 961-962: LA Angels at Florida (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 15.353; Florida (Sanchez) 13.315
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-120); Over

Game 963-964: Houston at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Happ) 14.720; Texas (Holland) 14.974
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Texas (-170); 10
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-170); Over

Game 965-966: Chicago Cubs at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Zambrano) 15.681; White Sox (Floyd) 15.166
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+120); Under

Game 967-968: Tampa Bay at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Niemann) 15.858; Milwaukee (Narveson) 15.072
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+120); Over

Game 969-970: Detroit at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Penny) 14.336; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 14.868
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-145); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-145); Under

**Udog** · 06-20-2011, 08:52 AM

MLB
Write-Up

Monday, June 20

Remember as interleague play starts, there are DHs used in games in the American League ballparks; pitchers bat in National League parks.

AL teams are 50-34 vs NL teams so far in interleague play; they were 29-13 this past weekend.
Over is 20-21-1 in AL parks, 19-20-3 in NL parks, 39-41-4 overall.

Hot pitchers
-- Nicasio is 2-1, 3.75 in four starts this season.
-- Arrieta is 2-1, 2.75 in his last three starts.
-- Romero is 4-2, 2.19 in his last seven starts.
-- Cueto is 2-1, 1.55 in his last four starts.
-- Weaver is 2-0, 1.36 in his last five starts. ASanchez is 5-0, 2.34 in his last eight starts.
-- Zambrano is 1-0, 0.69 in his last two starts.
-- Narveson is 2-0, 2.70 in his last couple starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Carmona is 1-5, 9.74 in his last six starts.
-- Morton is 2-2, 5.28 in his last five starts.
-- LeBlanc is 0-2, 4.26 in two starts this season. Miller was once a big prospect, but is 15-26, 5.84 in 54 career starts, mostly with Florida. He is 3-3, 2.47 in 12 AAA starts this season.
-- THudson is 1-4, 7.32 in his last seven starts.
-- Nova has a 4.97 RA in his last five starts.
-- Astros lost last six Happ starts (0-4, 5.40). Holland has a 5.52 RA in his last five starts.
-- Floyd is 1-1, 4.79 in his last three starts.
-- Niemann was 1-4, 6.61 in six starts before going on the DL.
-- Penny is 2-3, 6.21 in his last six starts. Kershaw is 0-0, 5.95 in his last three starts.

Totals
-- Six of last seven Colorado road games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six Pittsburgh home games stayed under total.
-- Six of last nine San Diego games stayed under the total.
-- Last five Toronto games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Bronx road games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Angel games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Texas home games went over the total.
-- Four of last five White Sox home games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight games at Miller Park stayed under the total.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in Dodgers' last five home games.

Hot Teams
-- Colorado won four of its last five games. Indians won three of their last four games.
-- Toronto won four of its last six games.
-- Red Sox won 13 of their last 15 games.
-- Bronx won eight of its last ten games.
-- White Sox won five of their last seven home games.
-- Tampa Bay is 9-4 in its last thirteen games.

Cold Teams
-- Orioles lost six of their last eight games. Pittsburgh lost its last three games, scoring four runs.
-- San Diego lost eight of its last nine games.
-- Braves lost five of their last seven games.
-- Cincinnati lost three of its last four home games, scoring five runs.
-- Angels lost nine of their last fourteen games. Florida lost 18 of its last 19 games.
-- Rangers lost six of their last eight games. Astros lost 12 of their last 16 games.
-- Cubs lost their last three road games, allowing 18 runs.
-- Brewers lost five of their last seven games.
-- Detroit lost three of its last four road games. Dodgers lost six of their last seven home games.

**Udog** · 06-20-2011, 08:58 AM

MLB

Monday, June 20

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:05 PM
COLORADO vs. CLEVELAND
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Colorado's last 11 games
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games at home

7:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. PITTSBURGH
Baltimore is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Baltimore is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games

7:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. FLORIDA
LA Angels are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games
LA Angels are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games on the road
Florida is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games at home
Florida is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

7:10 PM
TORONTO vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing Toronto

7:10 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Diego's last 9 games when playing Boston
San Diego is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games at home

7:10 PM
NY YANKEES vs. CINCINNATI
NY Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games on the road
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games

8:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. TEXAS
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Texas
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Texas's last 23 games

8:10 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. MILWAUKEE
Tampa Bay is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games
Milwaukee is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games

8:10 PM
CHI CUBS vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Chi Cubs are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Chi White Sox are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games at home

10:10 PM
DETROIT vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Dodgers's last 10 games
LA Dodgers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Detroit

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 06-20-2011, 09:00 AM

MLB
Write-Up

Monday, June 20

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Monday’s streaking and slumping starting pitchers
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

STREAKING

Johnny Cueto (4-2, 1.68 ERA), Cincinnati Reds

Too bad Cincinnati didn’t have a few more pitchers like Cueto kicking around. Seems like the 25-year-old righty is the only hurler dealing for the Big Red Machine these days.

He’s 2-1 with a 0.89 WHIP (walks + hits per inning) and a 1.24 ERA over his last four trips to the hill.

"Johnny looked great," Reds first baseman Joey Votto told the Associated Press after Cueto’s latest outing. "He pounds the zone and locates his fastball. He's aggressive and he seems fearless. I mean, Matt Kemp's got 20 homers and he's hitting .330, and Johnny's going right after him. That says a lot."

Ricky Romero (6-6, 3.01 ERA), Toronto Blue Jays

Wait, Ricky Romero is dating Miss USA 2010? The same girl who got in hot water over those sexy pole dancing pictures?

Someone should have filled us in. That would explain why Romero is pitching with supreme confidence. It goes without saying - you date a Miss USA and you’re not going to have any low self-esteem issue.

Well, in case you didn’t know, the Jays are 4-3 in Romero’s last seven starts and he’s pitched at least seven innings in each of those appearances. He carries a 2.19 ERA over the seven-start stretch and the under is 4-2-1 during that time, too.

SLUMPING

Fausto Carmona (4-8, 5.79 ERA), Cleveland Indians

We’re not sure what Carmona is doing on the bump these days, but one thing is certain - he isn’t fooling hitters. The big righty has become nothing more than an innings eater for the Indians.

He’s 1-5 with a 9.81 ERA in his last six appearances and he hasn’t produced a quality start since May 8. Yeah, that was a looooong time ago.Total bettors will be happy to know the over is 6-2 in his last eight starts despite 9- and 10-run totals in most of those games.

Carlos Zambrano (5-4, 4.59 ERA), Chicago Cubs

Ever wonder what Zambrano’s description would be if the Cubs tried to unload the knucklehead on some poor sap on E-bay?

For sale: One overweight, overpaid and overrated major league pitcher, who hits better than he hurls.

The Cubbies are 0-4 in Big Z’s last four outings and he’s allowed five runs or more in each of his last two starts.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 06-20-2011, 09:02 AM

MLB

Monday, June 20

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hot lines: Monday’s best MLB bets
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Chicago Cubs at Chicago White Sox (-140, 8.5)

The last time Carlos Zambrano took the hill at U.S. Cellular Field, it wasn’t a pretty sight. He lasted just a single inning before getting the hook last June 25th in a 6-0 White Sox win and then proceeded to flip out at Derrek Lee in the dugout.

Baseball bettors didn’t see the Big Z for a while after that as he spent the next month or so going through anger management treatment.

Zambrano’s been his inconsistent self for most of this season and has allowed 12 runs over his last two starts while walking nine batters over that span.

You have to think he’ll get up this start though and Gavin Floyd will do the same. Floyd can grind it out with the best of them and we don’t expect to see a lot of runs on the board Monday.

Six of the last eight meetings between the two teams have played under and we like that trend to continue in Game 1 of the series.

Pick: Under

New York Yankees at Cincinnati Reds (-125, 9)

The Reds finally snapped a nasty 16-inning scoring drought on Sunday, getting a two-run homer from Miguel Cairo in a 2-1 win over the Toronto Blue Jays a day after manager Dusty Baker called his team out a bit.

"We didn't play very well," Reds manager Dusty Baker told reporters after Saturday’s 4-0 loss. "We didn't play good defense. We've got to keep working and fighting. It's three steps forward, two steps back. Tomorrow, we've got to take another step forward. This American League has been tough. We're 0-5 against the American League."

Now that the slump is out of the way, the Reds have a good chance to build on that momentum Monday. Johnny Cueto hasn’t allowed a run over his last two starts and we still don’t have all that much confidence in New York’s Ivan Nova.

Pick: Reds

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 06-20-2011, 11:20 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, June 20

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (32 - 37) at PITTSBURGH (35 - 36) - 7:05 PM
JAKE ARRIETA (R) vs. CHARLIE MORTON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 38-30 (+15.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 72-65 (+19.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 51-49 (+17.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 21-13 (+8.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ARRIETA is 15-10 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PITTSBURGH is 72-122 (-37.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 106-182 (-44.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JAKE ARRIETA vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

CHARLIE MORTON vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (35 - 36) at CLEVELAND (39 - 31) - 7:05 PM
JUAN NICASIO (R) vs. FAUSTO CARMONA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 35-36 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 47-67 (-24.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 6-17 (-13.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 35-36 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 72-83 (-32.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 21-27 (-15.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 23-12 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 36-28 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 28-18 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 29-22 (+9.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 24-14 (+11.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CLEVELAND is 22-14 (+11.4 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 39-31 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JUAN NICASIO vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

FAUSTO CARMONA vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO (30 - 43) at BOSTON (43 - 28) - 7:10 PM
WADE LEBLANC (L) vs. ANDREW MILLER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 30-43 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 14-32 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 30-43 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 30-13 (+12.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SAN DIEGO is 30-23 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 27-22 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 61-54 (+18.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 362-328 (-55.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters since 1997.
BOSTON is 13-15 (-10.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

WADE LEBLANC vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

ANDREW MILLER vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
MILLER is 1-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.455.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY YANKEES (41 - 29) at CINCINNATI (38 - 35) - 7:10 PM
IVAN NOVA (R) vs. JOHNNY CUETO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 22-25 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CINCINNATI is 130-109 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 22-8 (+12.5 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 130-109 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 269-302 (-76.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

IVAN NOVA vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

JOHNNY CUETO vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
CUETO is 0-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 0.800.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (36 - 36) at ATLANTA (40 - 33) - 7:10 PM
RICKY ROMERO (L) vs. TIM HUDSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 55-55 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 27-16 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 98-84 (+18.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 60-52 (+14.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 60-58 (+12.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 121-114 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 58-60 (-24.7 Units) against the money line in home games in an inter-league game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

RICKY ROMERO vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

TIM HUDSON vs. TORONTO since 1997
HUDSON is 10-3 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.114.
His team's record is 11-4 (+5.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-5. (+2.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA ANGELS (35 - 38) at FLORIDA (32 - 40) - 7:10 PM
JERED WEAVER (R) vs. ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 31-37 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 74-90 (-27.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 13-21 (-11.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
FLORIDA is 137-116 (+30.3 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 29-13 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 57-38 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 31-15 (+14.2 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 106-99 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 15-22 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
FLORIDA is 39-53 (-24.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 70-96 (-26.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 7-13 (-8.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
FLORIDA is 2-12 (-10.5 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
FLORIDA is 6-22 (-15.4 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 15-22 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JERED WEAVER vs. FLORIDA since 1997
No recent starts.

ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (27 - 46) at TEXAS (38 - 35) - 8:05 PM
J.A. HAPP (L) vs. DEREK HOLLAND (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 25-45 (-16.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 39-27 (+20.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 11-16 (-9.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

J.A. HAPP vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

DEREK HOLLAND vs. HOUSTON since 1997
HOLLAND is 0-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.76 and a WHIP of 0.882.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO CUBS (29 - 42) at CHI WHITE SOX (35 - 38) - 8:10 PM
CARLOS ZAMBRANO (R) vs. GAVIN FLOYD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 105-129 (-29.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 69-91 (-21.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 47-56 (-24.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 105-129 (-29.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 19-5 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
ZAMBRANO is 23-13 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ZAMBRANO is 23-13 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
ZAMBRANO is 18-9 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
ZAMBRANO is 45-29 (+18.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 11-19 (-11.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 24-32 (-15.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CARLOS ZAMBRANO vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
ZAMBRANO is 5-4 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.84 and a WHIP of 1.345.
His team's record is 6-6 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-6. (-1.6 units)

GAVIN FLOYD vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
FLOYD is 0-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 1.20 and a WHIP of 0.867.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (39 - 33) at MILWAUKEE (40 - 33) - 8:10 PM
JEFF NIEMANN (R) vs. CHRIS NARVESON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 12-19 (-10.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 25-9 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 20-7 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 11-1 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
MILWAUKEE is 21-9 (+14.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 25-9 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 70-49 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 63-42 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 40-24 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
NIEMANN is 17-6 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 32-45 (-16.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JEFF NIEMANN vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.

CHRIS NARVESON vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (39 - 33) at LA DODGERS (32 - 41) - 10:10 PM
BRAD PENNY (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 38-57 (-24.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 40-27 (+14.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 28-32 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 58-71 (-16.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 32-41 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 32-41 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 21-29 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA DODGERS are 21-31 (-12.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KERSHAW is 26-33 (-20.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BRAD PENNY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
PENNY is 4-4 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 4.44 and a WHIP of 1.329.
His team's record is 4-5 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-3. (+3.0 units)

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. DETROIT since 1997
KERSHAW is 0-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 06-20-2011, 11:23 AM

MLB
Short Sheet

Monday, June 20

National League

BALTIMORE at PITTSBURGH, 7:05 PM ET
ARRIETA: BALTIMORE 4-14 after 3 or more consecutive road games
MORTON: PITTSBURGH 16-9 in home games after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games

Interleague

COLORADO at CLEVELAND, 7:05 PM ET
NICASIO: COLORADO 18-41 as a road underdog
CARMONA: CLEVELAND 17-6 after 2 or more consecutive wins

SAN DIEGO at BOSTON, 7:10 PM ET
LEBLANC: SAN DIEGO 14-32 in night games
MILLER: BOSTON 30-13 after a win

NY YANKEES at CINCINNATI, 7:10 PM ET
NOVA: NY YANKEES 7-14 after 2 or more consecutive wins
CUETO: CINCINNATI 13-1 in home games after a game with a combined score of 4 runs or less

TORONTO at ATLANTA, 7:10 PM ET
ROMERO: TORONTO 18-12 as an underdog of +100 to +150
HUDSON: 11-2 UNDER at home when the total is 7 or less

LA ANGELS at FLORIDA, 7:10 PM ET
WEAVER: LA ANGELS 13-21 after a win
SANCHEZ: FLORIDA 12-4 OVER after allowing 2 runs or less

HOUSTON at TEXAS, 8:05 PM ET
HAPP: HOUSTON 30-17 OVER in night games
HOLLAND: TEXAS 21-12 OVER in home games

CHICAGO CUBS at CHI WHITE SOX, 8:10 PM ET
ZAMBRANO: 18-9 TSR in road games in night games
FLOYD: 8-16 TSR when the total is 7 to 8.5

TAMPA BAY at MILWAUKEE, 8:10 PM ET
NIEMANN: TAMPA BAY 4-11 after 3 consecutive games versus an interleague opponent
NARVESON: MILWAUKEE 11-1 in home games after a loss

DETROIT at LA DODGERS, 10:10 PM ET
PENNY: DETROIT 20-7 after scoring 9 runs or more
KERSHAW: LA DODGERS 21-29 in night games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**Udog** · 06-20-2011, 05:38 PM

MLB

Monday, June 20

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MLB run report: This week's best betting trends
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Every week, we update you on who's hot, who's not and situational betting spots in Major League Baseball.

HOT TEAM: Minnesota Twins

THIS SEASON: 31-39
LAST WEEK: 5-0

THIS WEEK'S SCHEDULE: At the Giants for three, at the Brewers for three.

THE SKINNY: Well, well, well, it took three months, but the Minnesota Twins we all know -- the scrappy, never-say-die, do-what-it-takes-to-win-on-a-small-budget crew that Ron Gardenhire has established as a league power -- have finally arrived.

Listen, they may not have enough to challenge the rest of the way, but they’re still a well-balanced, well-managed club, and as long as they pitch this way, they will have great value moving forward. In five victories last week, they allowed one run or less in three of them. What’s more, Scott Baker and Nick Blackburn posted shutouts.

They are still offensively challenged -- keep in mind, Danny Valencia was the RBI leader through Sunday with 32 -- but under Gardenhire, you always know you have a team that knows how to play, and will get the most out of whatever lineup is thrown together. How did they have the start they had then? Who cares. Because even with injuries still mounting, Minnesota is back to playing Twins Baseball, and it might be worthwhile to have them on your radar.

COLD TEAM: Florida Marlins

THIS SEASON: 32-40
LAST WEEK: 0-7

THIS WEEK'S SCHEDULE: Home to the Angels for three, home to the Mariners for three.

THE SKINNY: We try to stray from the obvious here, but the Marlins are just too grand a disaster to not fade. They can’t hit. They can’t pitch. And leading into Monday’s series opener with Anaheim, they had lost 10 in a row.

It cost the hitting coach a job. It then cost a manager a job. In the end, perhaps John Mallee, who was fired, and Edwin Rodriguez, who resigned, might be better off because this team just isn’t that good. Consider that since June 12, the Marlins have been held to one run or less in five games.

The schedule toughened up in June, and the Marlins just don’t have the horses to compete with the likes of Milwaukee, Arizona, Atlanta and Philadelphia, who all had their way with them.

How bad is it? Through Sunday, Florida is 1-17 in June. And it’s tough to see an end in sight to this mess. As the losing drags on, their value is dipping, certainly. But if you’re in the market for a few, quick wins -- regardless of price -- fading Florida seems a safe option.

OVER TEAM: Milwaukee Brewers

O/U THIS SEASON: 35-34-4
O/U LAST WEEK: 5-2

THIS WEEK'S SCHEDULE: Home to the Rays for three, home to the Twins for three.

THE SKINNY: Milwaukee ran into a bit of a rough patch at Chicago and Boston last week, but it was more pitching related, as the Brewers’ bats continue to bash. Entering Monday’s series opener vs. Tampa Bay, the Brewers have scored five or more runs eight times in June.

The names you’d expect here are the ones coming through. Ryan Braun ended Sunday with a .311 average, 15 home runs, and 51 RBIs. And Prince Fielder was at .300, 19 and 60. But it’s the pitching that’s going to carry you through to more "overs."

The statistics don’t look all bad, with Shaun Marcum and his 84 strikeouts, and Yovani Gallardo and his eight wins, but lately, it just isn’t working. Boston, in three games, threw up 24 runs on the Brewers. And in the series before that, the Cubs rang up 22 in four games.

Eventually, the staff will probably correct itself, the schedule will lighten up a bit, and the pitching will go back to normal. Until then, the Brewers are more than worth their weight in “over” land.

UNDER TEAM: Toronto Blue Jays

O/U THIS SEASON: 37-32-3
O/U LAST WEEK: 1-5

THIS WEEK'S SCHEDULE: At the Braves for three, at the Cardinals for three.

THE SKINNY: Toronto may have shown late last week that interleague play may be a thorn in its side. Because as deep and as talented as the Blue Jays lineup is, they did not take well to seeing unfamiliar pitching. In a three-game series with Cincinnati that ended Sunday, the Blue Jays scored eight runs ... total.

With the pitcher batting in National League ballparks, it seems this American League-designed lineup might just struggle. Which is exactly why you should monitor them this week, as the Blue Jays hit Atlanta and St. Louis. Perhaps some more “unders” are on the horizon.

And let’s face it, even before interleague resurfaced, the Blue Jays weren’t lighting up the scoreboards. In three games vs. Baltimore leading up to the Reds series, they only scored 13 runs in three games. Jose Bautista has been all-world again, ending Sunday with a .338 average, 21 homers and 46 RBIs. But none of the other regulars are over .300, and Yunel Escobar, who was off to a career start, has cooled significantly.

The dog days appear to have arrived a bit early for Toronto. Keep the Blue Jays in mind, when thinking “unders.”

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Announcement

Monday's Trends and Indexes - 6/20 ( MLB, WNBA, Misc.)

Monday's Trends and Indexes - 6/20 ( MLB, WNBA, Misc.)

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment