Announcement

**Udog** · 06-13-2011, 09:15 AM

Monday’s betting tips: Injuries ruin Padres' rotation

Who’s hot

NHL: Vancouver is 15-6 in its last 21 road games.

MLB: Detroit is 10-3 in its last 13.

MLB: Seattle has won nine of its last 12 home games.

Who’s not

NHL: The over is 1-6-2 in the last nine meetings between the Canucks and Bruins.

MLB: The Chicago Cubs are 2-10 in their last 12.

MLB: The Florida Marlins are riding a 1-9 slump.

Key stat

47-27: After being pushed around in a pair of losses in Boston, the Canucks asserted themselves on home ice, outhitting the Bruins 47-27 in Game 5’s 1-0 victory to give them a 3-2 series lead. Vancouver was whistled for the first three penalties of the game in the first period but managed to keep Boston off the board while Maxim Lapierre scored the contest’s lone goal in the third period.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Bartolo Colon, New York Yankees – The Yankees’ pitching staff suffered another blow with Colon hitting the shelf with a hamstring injury. The 38-year-old is 5-3 with a 3.10 ERA and the team doesn’t think the injury will keep him out of more than a start or two.

Game of the day

Vancouver Canucks at Boston Bruins (-145, 5)

Notable quotable

"We're going to have to tinker with the lineup and do whatever we can to try to get better. We were 0 for 12 with runners in scoring position today. You can't expect to win when you do that." – Cleveland Indians manager Manny Acta after Sunday’s 9-1 loss to the New York Yankees. The Indians have lost nine of their last 10.

Notes and tips

The San Diego Padres’ rotation is in big trouble after the team put Dustin Moseley and Aaron Harang on the DL Sunday evening. Harang leads the team with seven wins and Moseley has the club’s best ERA at 3.16 ERA. Mosely, who was scheduled to pitch Monday, is out with a dislocated left shoulder and the team has called up Anthony Bass from Double-A San Antonio to make his MLB debut. Bass was 6-3 with a 3.53 ERA in the minors. Wade LeBlanc (5-1, 5.24 ERA in Triple-A Tucson) is also expected to get the call to join the big club.

The women’s field at Wimbledon looks like it’s going to be a tight draw. Oddsmakers have five women set at +500 or shorter to win the tournament with Maria Sharapova leading the way at +300. Kim Clijsters (+400) is second favorite followed by Serena Williams (+450) and French Open winner Na Li (+500).

After allowing 12 goals in two games in Boston, Vancouver Canucks goaltender Roberto Luongo shut out the Bruins in Game 5 and is now pegged as the favorite to win the Conn Smythe Trophy as playoff MVP. The books have Luongo at +115, just ahead of Boston goalie Tim Thomas (+125). Ryan Kesler has the shortest odds of any skater at +700.

**Udog** · 06-13-2011, 09:17 AM

Monday's six-pack

Six of the most expensive golf courses in America.......
-- Shadow Creek, Las Vegas $500-- MGM's high rollers play here.

-- Pebble Beach, CA $495-- Has hosted five US Opens.

-- Pinehurst #2, NC $395-- Hosted the 2005 US Open.

-- Cascata, Boulder City, NV $375-- Half-hour south of Las Vegas.

-- TPC Sawgrass, FL $375-- Estimated 100,000 balls in lake on 17th.

-- CordeValle CC, San Martin, CA $360-- Frys.com tourney is here.

**************************

Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend.......

13) Realignment is a strong possiblity in baseball, with Astros said to be moving to the AL, creating two 15-team leagues. Problem there is 15-team leagues means constant interleague play, which fouls up the schedule, as there would have to be at least one interleague series going on at all times.

I'd rather see them junk the whole thing and go geographic realignment, which would energize the sport. Then you could have different formats for the All-Star Game and make that more fun, too.

12) Seattle Mariners have used the same five starting pitchers all season so far; Colorado Rockies have already used ten.

11) In 14 starts this season, Tim Lincecum hasn't allowed a run in the 1st inning, and has allowed only four second-inning runs.

10) In college baseball, the seams of the ball are raised; in major leagues, the seams are flat. That takes an adjustment by the pitcher, and it isn't as easy as it might seem.

9) Cardinals' starting pitchers have finished the 6th inning in only three of their last sixteen games. Puts too much of a strain on the bullpen.

8) Jose Reyes has 13 multiple-hit games in his last 16; he's hitting .346, with an on-base percentage of .391. Good year to be his agent.

7) Texas Longhorns' defensive coordinator Manny Diaz earns $625,000 in his new job; 14 years ago, he was a production assistant at ESPN, but his passion for football prompted Bill Parcells (who worked at ESPN at that time) to help him get a grad assistant job at Florida State in 1997. He's run with the opportunity and has made himself a terrific career.

6) NBA teams lost a combined $300M last year. Why? Because stiffs like Eddy Curry make huge money. Over the last three years, Curry has made a total of $31,754,998. He's scored a total of 31 points those three years. The NBA is the one league that is more popular overseas than it is here.

5) The NBA has a very long season; Mavericks' first regular season game was October 27, 228 days ago. NHL is even longer; Vancouver's started its regular season October 9. Long grind for the contending teams.

4) Interesting that Dirk Nowitzki just walked to the locker room after his team won the NBA title, giving the Miami players the zero respect they deserve after the way they've carried themselves for the last year. Happy for Jason Kidd (17 years in NBA), happy for Mark Cuban and happy for Nowitzki, a great player who carries himself the right way.

3) Bruins' defenseman Dennis Seidenberg has played 625 minutes in this spring's playoffs, 30 minutes more than any non-goalie.

2) Excellent moment Sunday, when golfer Harrison Frazar won his first PGA tournament in 355 tries; the guy is 39, was going to quit pro golf at the end of the year, but now he's set with his Tour card thru 2013. Cool to see a guy so happy when he thought his career might be over.

1) It bothers me that major league baseball teams don't take infield before games anymore; they take batting practice, right? The pitchers warm up, right? If I owned a big league ballclub, my team would take infield before almost every game, especially on the road. It has to help. It can't hurt.

**Udog** · 06-13-2011, 09:54 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Vancouver at Boston

The Bruins look to stay alive in the series and build on their 6-1 record in their last 7 games as a home favorite from -110 to -150. Boston is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the Bruins favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-135). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, JUNE 13

Game 11-12: Vancouver at Boston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 12.246; Boston 13.231
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-135); Under

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, June 13

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VANCOUVER (69-25-0-11, 149 pts.) at BOSTON (60-33-0-12, 132 pts.) - 6/13/2011, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-4 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 4-4-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.3 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NHL
Short Sheet

Monday, June 13

Stanley Cup Finals - Game 6 - VAN 3-2
VANCOUVER at BOSTON, 8:05 PM ET NBC
VANCOUVER: 8-0 SU after scoring 2 goals or less L3 games
BOSTON: 12-2 Under at home off shutout loss

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

NHL
Write-Up

Monday, June 13

Home side won all five games in series so far, outscoring visitors 16-3, as Canucks lost their two road games by combined score of 12-1. Four of five series games stayed under total. If you take away Bruins' 8-1 win in Game 3, they're just 1-16 on power play in series (3-20 overall); they've outscored Canucks 9-1 in periods 1-2 in series, but Vancouver won pair of 1-0 games with third period goals. Canucks are 1-25 on power play in series and gave up two shorthanded goals. Vancouver's scoring by period in series: 1-0-4-1. Obviously a bigger game for Boston, but Canucks won all three close games in this series.

NHL

Monday, June 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8:00 PM
VANCOUVER vs. BOSTON
Vancouver is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 6 games when playing Boston
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Vancouver
Boston is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NHL

Monday, June 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Canucks-Bruins Game 6: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Vancouver Canucks at Boston Bruins (-143, 5)

THE STORY: The Vancouver Canucks are one win away from claiming their first Stanley Cup championship in their 40-year franchise history. Coach Alain Vigneault's club has won three games in the series - all in British Columbia. As for their record in Beantown, well, the Canucks have been clobbered - losing both contests by a combined score of 12-1. Vancouver will try to secure the first road win of the series when it plays for the Stanley Cup in Game 6 on Monday. Should the Boston Bruins emerge triumphant, the series will shift back to the Pacific Northwest for Game 7 on Wednesday.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, NBC, CBC

ABOUT THE BRUINS: Boston is hoping to avoid being bounced in the NHL's final round for the sixth time since winning the Stanley Cup in 1972. Vezina Trophy finalist Tim Thomas saw his shutout streak come to an end at 110 minutes, 42 seconds when Maxim Lapierre tapped in defenseman Kevin Bieksa's wide point shot in the third period. The All-Star netminder has stopped 774 shots in the playoffs - second most in playoff history behind Kirk McLean, who stopped 820 in Vancouver's run to the Stanley Cup Finals in 1994. Boston is 9-3 at home in the playoffs. While admittedly not the highest priority for coach Claude Julien, his next playoff win will move into sole possession of first place in franchise history. He is currently tied with Don Cherry with 31 wins.

ABOUT THE CANUCKS: Roberto Luongo was roundly questioned and critiqued following a pair of brutal efforts in Games 3 and 4 of the series. The Vezina Trophy finalist rebounded in style by turning aside all 31 shots he faced in a 1-0 victory in Game 5 on Friday night. Defenseman Chris Tanev played well in his Stanley Cup debut. After taking the place of an ineffective Keith Ballard, Tanev even set up Tanner Glass with what - by all rights - should have been the first goal of the game. With a gaping net, Glass couldn't settle the puck and was unable to unleash a quality shot.

WHO'S HOT/WHO'S NOT: East Vancouver native Milan Lucic did not register a shot in Game 5 for the Bruins. He has one goal and one assist in the series. Reigning Hart Trophy winner Henrik Sedin has yet to secure a point in the Stanley Cup Finals. By comparison, he collected 21 points (two goals, 19 assists) in the first three rounds.

SPECIAL TEAMS: Boston went 0-for-4 for the second consecutive game to fall to 3-for-21 for the series and 6-for-78 in the playoffs. For its part, Vancouver continued to struggle with the man advantage in the Stanley Cup Finals. The Canucks are 1-for-25 on the power play.

LAST WORD: "It is what it is. The two teams that are here are good teams, and they don't give home-ice advantage away that easily. So they've been good in their own building. I think we've been a decent road team for most of the season, and right now, what we have to do is go back home and create a Game 7 so we get another shot at 'em here." - Julien, on home-ice advantage in the Stanley Cup Finals.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NHL

Monday, June 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Ice picks: Monday's best NHL bet
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Vancouver Canucks at Boston Bruins (-145, 5)

If the Vancouver Canucks win the Stanley Cup on Monday night, you’d better believe they’ll deserve it.

After being outscored 12-1 in two losses in Beantown, the Canucks rallied to book a 1-0 victory in Vancouver. That sets up Monday’s Game 6 with the Canucks up 3-2 in the series.

The good news for hockey bettors is that we have gotten all the nonsense of this series out of the way. You won’t see any finger biting or taunting on the ice on Monday because there just isn’t any margin of error.

These teams definitely don’t like each other – that much is pretty obvious – but expect to see a hard fought, straight up battle in Boston. Now that the Canucks have made some adjustments, there aren’t going to be any more blowouts.

“They talked about having a tighter gap, especially in the neutral zone and they did that,” Boston forward Milan Lucic said about Vancouver’s game plan following Game 5. “At times, we weren't moving our feet and standing still, whereas in Boston the reason why we were able to be good in the neutral zone was because we were able to create speed. We've got to find a way to create that speed again.”

By this point in the series, the referees have their whistles in their pockets and they’ll only bring them out on penalties they simply can’t ignore. That means few power plays and makes this under run we’ve been plugging even more enticing.

One image that has to be sticking with Canucks supporters was when Roberto Luongo was called out as the first star of Friday’s game. He skated out with his head high, slammed his stick on the ice once and promptly chucked it over the boards to the fans before high-tailing it for the dressing room.

He’s all business at this point and has a ton to prove heading back to Boston, so if you’re taking the dog here we won’t argue. Still think the under is the best play, regardless who ends up on top.

Pick: Under

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 06-13-2011, 10:00 AM

MLB
Dunkel

LA Angels at Seattle

The Angels look to take advantage of a Seattle team that is 3-8 in Jason Vargas' last 11 home starts. LA is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the Angels favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-135). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, JUNE 13

Game 901-902: NY Mets at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Pelfrey) 16.584; Pittsburgh (Maholm) 14.683
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+105); Under

Game 903-904: Arizona at Florida (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Duke) 14.722; Florida (Nolasco) 14.930
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Florida (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-140); Over

Game 905-906: Atlanta at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Lowe) 15.260; Houston (Rodriguez) 13.242
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-135); Over

Game 907-908: Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Wolf) 13.920; Cubs (Dempster) 14.493
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-115); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-105); N/A

Game 909-910: San Diego at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Bass) 15.786; Colorado (Cook) 14.795
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 911-912: Cincinnati at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 15.210; LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 15.928
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-130); Under

Game 913-914: Cleveland at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Carrasco) 15.038; NY Yankees (Burnett) 14.746
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-175); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+155); Over

Game 915-916: LA Angels at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Haren) 15.187; Seattle (Vargas) 14.892
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-135); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-135); Under

Game 917-918: Tampa Bay at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Cobb) 15.562; Detroit (Coke) 16.383
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-125); Over

**Udog** · 06-13-2011, 10:19 AM

MLB
Write-Up

Monday, June 13

Hot pitchers
-- Maholm has a 2.98 RA in his last seven starts.
-- Duke is 1-1, 2.37 in his first three starts for Arizona.
-- WRodriguez was 2-0, 1.75 in his last five starts before going on DL. Braves won seven of last eight Lowe starts (0-0, 2.13 last two).
-- Milwaukee won Wolf's last four starts (1-0, 2.77). Dempster is 3-1, 3.75 in his last four starts.

-- Carrasco is 4-1, 3.98 in his last five starts.
-- Vargas is 3-1, 2.42 in his last four home starts.
-- Cobb is 1-0, 4.24 in his three starts for Tampa Bay.

Cold pitchers
-- Pelfrey is 0-1, 5.84 in his last four starts.
-- Florida lost six of last seven Nolasco starts (0-1, 6.87 last three).
-- Cook allowed three runs in 5.2 IP in his first '11 start.
-- Arroyo is 1-4, 6.70 in his last eight starts. Kuroda is 0-4, 5.64 in his last four starts.

-- Burnett is 2-2, 6.37 in his last five starts.
-- Haren is 1-2, 4.95 in his last three starts.
-- Coke is 0-4, 6.15 in his last eight starts.

Totals
-- Over is 11-4 in Mets' last fifteen road games.
-- Six of last nine Nolasco starts went over the total.
-- Seven of last eleven Atlanta road games stayed under total.
-- Over is 8-4 in Cubs' last twelve games.
-- Over is 11-3-2 in last sixteen games at Coors Field.
-- Three of last four Arroyo road starts went over the total.

-- Over is 9-4 in Cleveland's last thirteen road games.
-- Four of last five Haren starts stayed under the total.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in Coke's last eight starts.

Hot Teams
-- Mets won seven of their last ten games.
-- Braves won eight of their last ten road games.
-- Milwaukee won 16 of its last 21 games.
-- Giants won seven of their last eleven games.

-- Bronx won nine of its last thirteen games.
-- Mariners won nine of their last twelve home games.
-- Tampa Bay won five of its last six games. Detroit won ten of its last fourteen games.

Cold Teams
-- Arizona lost four of its last six games, but won last two. Marlins lost 11 of their last 13 games.
-- Pirates lost three of their last four games.
-- Cubs lost 13 of their last 15 games.
-- Astros lost eight of their last ten home games.
-- Colorado lost 15 of its last 22 games. Padres lost four of five.
-- Reds lost six of their last eight road games.

-- Indians lost nine of their last ten games.
-- Angels lost seven of their last eight games.

**Udog** · 06-13-2011, 10:25 AM

MLB

Monday, June 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:05 PM
CLEVELAND vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
NY Yankees are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Cleveland

7:05 PM
NY METS vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 14 of NY Mets's last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games

7:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. DETROIT
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Detroit is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Tampa Bay

7:10 PM
ARIZONA vs. FLORIDA
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Florida
Arizona is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 6 games
Florida is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona

8:05 PM
ATLANTA vs. HOUSTON
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Houston's last 15 games at home

8:05 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 9 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee

8:40 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. COLORADO
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego
Colorado is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home

10:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. LA DODGERS
Cincinnati is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Cincinnati is 2-13 SU in their last 15 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games at home
LA Dodgers are 13-2 SU in their last 15 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

10:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. SEATTLE
LA Angels are 13-4 SU in their last 17 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games when playing Seattle
Seattle is 4-13 SU in their last 17 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing LA Angels

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 06-13-2011, 10:29 AM

MLB

Monday, June 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Monday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

STREAKING

Zach Duke (1-1, 2.37 ERA), Arizona Diamondbacks

It never panned out for Duke in Pittsburgh the way he and the Pirates had hoped but the 28-year-old lefty seems to be fitting in well in his first year with the Diamondbacks.

Duke has allowed just one walk in 19 innings pitched and has two quality starts in three appearances this season. The price isn’t too high on Duke and the Diamondbacks are playing great baseball these days.

Randy Wolf (4-4, 3.49 ERA), Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers were happy to see Zack Greinke toss a gem Saturday against the Cardinals but Milwaukee knows the former Cy Young winner isn’t the only hurler dealing aces these days.

The Brew Crew are 4-0 in Wolf’s last four starts and the veteran southpaw hurler has allowed two runs or fewer in four of his last five trips to the bump. The under is also 6-3 in Wolf’s last nine appearances.

SLUMPING

Dan Haren (5-4, 2.41 ERA), Los Angeles Angels

This Angels ace hasn’t been terrible but definitely sub-awesome by his standards. The Halos are just 1-3 in Haren’s last four starts and they were favored in each of those games.

The righty flamethrower is dealing with some back pain and Los Angeles pushed his last start back a couple days because of the sore spot.

Bronson Arroyo (4-6, 5.28 ERA), Cincinnati Reds

The Reds don’t ask a lot from their starting pitchers. No, with an offense as powerful as Cincy’s, Reds hurlers just have to be average and the club should win most games.

Arroyo, unfortunately for Cincinnati backers, isn’t toeing the line. He carries an 8.28 ERA over his last five starts and the Reds are 1-4 in those games. Arroyo has been taken out of the park eight times during the cold streak as well.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 06-13-2011, 10:32 AM

MLB

Monday, June 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hot lines: Monday’s best MLB bets
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Atlanta Braves at Houston Astros (+120, 7.5)

Maybe Sunday was the kind of day Dan Uggla needed to really get it going.

Atlanta’s second baseman hadn’t hit a home run since May 15 before he took Brett Myers deep for a two-run shot in a 4-1 win over the Astros. Uggla had just three extra-base hits over that span but has now reached base eight times over Atlanta’s last three games.

“My timing has been better the last couple of days,” Uggla told reporters before Sunday’s game. “When you’re on time you’re going to give yourself a chance. When your timing is off it throws everything off.”

Now that’s he’s turning it on, it’s a good time to be a Braves backer. Atlanta has won six straight and has allowed more than three runs just once during the streak. Derek Lowe gets the call Monday and Atlanta is 7-1 in his last eight trips to the bump.

Houston has just 12 wins at home this season and will be hard pressed to slow down the surging Braves.

Pick: Braves

Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs (+100, N/A)

This one looks like a mismatch right out of the gate.

The Cubs have won just two of their last 12 and have won just 12 times all season at Wrigley Field. Meanwhile, the Brewers have won 22 of their last 29 after Prince Fielder capped a four-run rally with his 19th homer of the year to give Milwaukee a 4-3 win over St. Louis on Sunday.

It was Fielder’s eighth dinger in the last 10 games and the win moved Milwaukee into top spot in the NL Central.

They look to be in good shape to continue the run Monday as they send lefty Randy Wolf to the hill against Ryan Dempster. Milwaukee has won each of Wolf’s last starts as he boasts a 2.84 ERA over that span.

Dempster has had a tough start to the season but is coming off a 4-1 win over Cincinnati in which he gave up one run on three hits over six innings while striking out eight.

We like the price tag here and don’t think Dempster will be able to contain the Brew Crew’s bats.

Pick: Brewers

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 06-13-2011, 10:46 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, June 13

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY METS (32 - 33) at PITTSBURGH (31 - 33) - 7:05 PM
MIKE PELFREY (R) vs. PAUL MAHOLM (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 421-400 (+52.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 59-106 (-25.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 3-19 (-15.3 Units) against the money line after getting shut out over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 68-122 (-41.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 4-3 (+0.6 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

MIKE PELFREY vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
PELFREY is 3-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 5.28 and a WHIP of 1.598.
His team's record is 4-1 (+2.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.4 units)

PAUL MAHOLM vs. NY METS since 1997
MAHOLM is 3-3 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 5.15 and a WHIP of 1.618.
His team's record is 4-5 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-2. (+3.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (36 - 30) at FLORIDA (32 - 32) - 7:10 PM
ZACH DUKE (L) vs. RICKY NOLASCO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 0-10 (-10.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DUKE is 21-59 (-27.1 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
DUKE is 21-58 (-26.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
FLORIDA is 465-424 (+54.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
FLORIDA is 42-25 (+16.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NOLASCO is 27-14 (+14.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 36-30 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 36-30 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
FLORIDA is 15-21 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
FLORIDA is 15-21 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
FLORIDA is 39-52 (-22.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 27-36 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 28-42 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NOLASCO is 6-13 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 6-13 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 5-13 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 4-11 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 4-2 (+1.7 Units) against FLORIDA this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

ZACH DUKE vs. FLORIDA since 1997
DUKE is 0-5 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 6.49 and a WHIP of 1.961.
His team's record is 0-7 (-7.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-2. (+2.7 units)

RICKY NOLASCO vs. ARIZONA since 1997
NOLASCO is 5-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 0.985.
His team's record is 5-1 (+5.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (38 - 28) at HOUSTON (24 - 42) - 8:05 PM
DEREK LOWE (R) vs. WANDY RODRIGUEZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
RODRIGUEZ is 12-4 (+9.1 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 22-41 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 7-18 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 13-33 (-16.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-0 (+5.0 Units) against HOUSTON this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

DEREK LOWE vs. HOUSTON since 1997
LOWE is 5-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.21 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 7-4 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-7. (-4.5 units)

WANDY RODRIGUEZ vs. ATLANTA since 1997
RODRIGUEZ is 2-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.64 and a WHIP of 1.325.
His team's record is 4-5 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-6. (-3.6 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (38 - 28) at CHICAGO CUBS (25 - 39) - 8:05 PM
RANDY WOLF (L) vs. RYAN DEMPSTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DEMPSTER is 81-63 (+23.6 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
DEMPSTER is 37-24 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 32-20 (+10.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WOLF is 137-110 (+28.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 25-39 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 12-19 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 8-21 (-15.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 25-39 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 15-25 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 19-31 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

RANDY WOLF vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
WOLF is 5-10 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.40 and a WHIP of 1.354.
His team's record is 7-13 (-5.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-8. (+1.2 units)

RYAN DEMPSTER vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
DEMPSTER is 15-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.90 and a WHIP of 1.243.
His team's record is 16-6 (+9.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 13-7. (+5.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO (29 - 38) at COLORADO (31 - 34) - 8:40 PM
ANTHONY BASS (R) vs. AARON COOK (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 3-3 (+1.5 Units) against COLORADO this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

ANTHONY BASS vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.

AARON COOK vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
COOK is 14-4 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.64 and a WHIP of 1.189.
His team's record is 16-8 (+9.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-12. (-2.7 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (34 - 33) at LA DODGERS (31 - 36) - 10:10 PM
BRONSON ARROYO (R) vs. HIROKI KURODA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 543-625 (+51.1 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 203-189 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 359-404 (+39.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 399-454 (+45.8 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 59-46 (+11.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 76-47 (+15.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ARROYO is 15-4 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 113-118 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 113-118 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 58-57 (-21.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 2-1 (+1.2 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

BRONSON ARROYO vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
ARROYO is 4-4 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.89 and a WHIP of 1.392.
His team's record is 4-8 (-4.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-3. (+3.7 units)

HIROKI KURODA vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
KURODA is 3-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.55 and a WHIP of 1.257.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (34 - 29) at NY YANKEES (36 - 27) - 7:05 PM
CARLOS CARRASCO (R) vs. A.J. BURNETT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 34-29 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 31-26 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 24-17 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
NY YANKEES are 19-24 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BURNETT is 19-28 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 18-24 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 12-22 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 9-16 (-15.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 4-16 (-17.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

CARLOS CARRASCO vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.

A.J. BURNETT vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
BURNETT is 3-4 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.97 and a WHIP of 1.579.
His team's record is 4-4 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-5. (-3.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA ANGELS (31 - 36) at SEATTLE (34 - 32) - 10:10 PM
DAN HAREN (R) vs. JASON VARGAS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 27-35 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 18-25 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
HAREN is 20-28 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAREN is 13-21 (-13.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAREN is 18-28 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAREN is 11-21 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 24-11 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
SEATTLE is 29-20 (+11.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LA ANGELS are 598-587 (+68.8 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 591-513 (+62.7 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 583-576 (+44.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
SEATTLE is 96-132 (-32.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 25-47 (-21.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 93-126 (-31.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 36-54 (-21.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-0 (+2.7 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

DAN HAREN vs. SEATTLE since 1997
HAREN is 7-4 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 2.44 and a WHIP of 1.194.
His team's record is 8-7 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-3. (+5.7 units)

JASON VARGAS vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
VARGAS is 3-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 1.86 and a WHIP of 0.972.
His team's record is 4-3 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-5. (-3.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (35 - 30) at DETROIT (35 - 30) - 7:05 PM
ALEX COBB (R) vs. PHIL COKE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 39-60 (-24.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 71-43 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 71-43 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 21-14 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 63-41 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 40-23 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

ALEX COBB vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

PHIL COKE vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
COKE is 0-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 0.901.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 06-13-2011, 11:37 AM

MLB
Short Sheet

Monday, June 13

National League

NY METS at PITTSBURGH, 7:05 PM ET
PELFREY: NY METS 11-4 in road games after 2 straight games where they committed no errors
MAHOLM: PITTSBURGH 2-24 after 3 straight games with no home runs

ARIZONA at FLORIDA, 7:10 PM ET
DUKE: 0-10 TSR as a road underdog of +125 to +150
NOLASCO: FLORIDA 42-25 against left-handed starters

ATLANTA at HOUSTON, 8:05 PM ET
LOWE: ATLANTA 72-35 as a favorite of -125 to -175
RODRIGUEZ: HOUSTON 7-18 in home games in night games

MILWAUKEE at CHICAGO CUBS, 8:05 PM ET
WOLF: MILWAUKEE 42-64 when the money line is +125 to -125
DEMPSTER: 81-63 TSR after a loss

SAN DIEGO at COLORADO, 8:40 PM ET
BASS: SAN DIEGO 13-29 in night games
COOK: COLORADO 7-4 off a loss to a division rival as a favorite

CINCINNATI at LA DODGERS, 10:10 PM ET
ARROYO: CINCINNATI 18-7 OVER after 1 or more consecutive unders
KURODA: LA DODGERS 8-0 OVER in home games off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog

American League

CLEVELAND at NY YANKEES, 7:05 PM ET
CARRASCO: CLEVELAND 22-13 when the total is 8.5 to 10
BURNETT: 4-8 TSR as a favorite of -175 to -250

LA ANGELS at SEATTLE, 10:10 PM ET
HAREN: LA ANGELS 65-43 UNDER as a favorite
VARGAS: SEATTLE 32-63 after 2 or more consecutive road games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Announcement

Monday's Trends and Indexes - 6/13 (NHL, MLB, WNBA, Misc.)

Monday's Trends and Indexes - 6/13 (NHL, MLB, WNBA, Misc.)

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment