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**StarDust Bum** · 06-04-2011, 01:44 PM

MLB Odds: Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals

We have another great edition of FOX Saturday Baseball this weekend with a three-pack of MLB betting battles for you to dive right into. In the main event of the threesome, archrivals lock horns at Busch Stadium where the St. Louis Cardinals will play host to the Chicago Cubs. The first pitch is slated for 1:10 p.m. (PT).

The Cubs are probably thrilled that they are traveling away from Wrigley Field after a disastrous 9-game homestand that featured three losses to the Houston Astros and two to the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates. The offense has been brutal over these last six games coming into play on Friday. Chicago has scored more than three runs just once in that time frame, lowering its runs per game average down to 4.26.

For a team that ranks second to last in the majors in pitching, this is terrible news. With Matt Garza on the disabled list, Randy Wells has stepped in to try to pick up the slack for the boys in blue. The right-hander hasn’t really had much of an MLB career – just 61 starts, and he is already 28 years old. Wells started 32 games last year and went just 8-14 with a 4.26 ERA, but this year, things have been significantly worse.

Wells has allowed six runs in just 10 innings of work in two spot starts this year, and he was awful in his most recent effort against the Pittsburgh Pirates, surrendering five runs in four frames before getting the hook in a 10-0 blanking on that aforementioned homestand.

Meanwhile, the other man toeing the rubber on Saturday, Kyle Lohse, has had himself a career season. Save for a bad first start of the season and an awful three-start stretch in which he lost three straight at the start of May, Lohse has literally been unhittable.

The 32-year-old right-hander has gone 7-2 this year and has a stunning 2.13 ERA. Lohse literally has half the WHIP that he had last year at 0.92 (it was 1.78 last season), and batters are hitting just .205 against him now, whereas they were at .336 in 2010.

Lohse had better hope that this continues this season, because he has been atrocious over his career against the Cubs. Lohse has allowed the Cubs to bat .311 against him in 10 career starts. He’s just 1-4 with a stunningly bad 6.52 ERA.

The Cards went to Wrigley Field earlier this campaign and take two out of three games. St. Louis has now won four of the last six in this series coming into Friday night. The road team has won nine of the last 11.

The ‘over’ has cashed in five straight and seven out of eight, and there hasn’t been an ‘under’ in a game with a ‘total’ less than 11 ½ since last August, nine meetings ago.

The weather in St. Louis is expected to be brutally hot, with high temperatures in approaching 100 degrees. Winds are expected to be light at less than 10 mph, and aside from the heat, the weather should be perfect.

These two bitter rivals finish up this 3-game set on Sunday right back here at Busch Stadium.

**StarDust Bum** · 06-04-2011, 01:45 PM

Diamond Trends - Saturday

June 4, 2011

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Blue Jays are 12-0 since May 28, 2010 as a favorite vs a divisional foe that is behind them in the divisional standings for a net profit of $1200.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Twins are 0-8 OU since July 31, 2010 when they are off two wins in which they never trailed and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $800 when playing the under.

STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:

The Mariners are 0-11 since April 24, 2010 when Doug Fister starts after his team won the last time he started for a net profit of $1110 when playing against.

MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:

The Pirates are 9-0 (+2.8 rpg) since 2004 as a home dog when they are off a one-run win in which their opponent’s starter went at least seven innings and it is not the first game of a series.

TODAY’S TRENDS:

The Phillies are 0-5 since June 07, 2010 after an extra inning loss and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $915 when playing against.

The Mariners are 0-8 since June 24, 2010 at home after a win in which their starter pitched at least 8 innings for a net profit of $935 when playing against.

The Giants are 8-0 since April 27, 2010 at home within 20 cents of pickem after a win in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits for a net profit of $830.

**StarDust Bum** · 06-04-2011, 01:48 PM

Saturday's FOX Tips

June 3, 2011

The Saturday baseball card is a loaded one with games all day long, including three intriguing day matchups in the National League. The Rockies and Giants continue their series by the Bay, while the Dodgers look to make a move in the wide-open NL West against the Reds. We'll start in St. Louis with a pair of rivals getting together for a slugfest at Busch Stadium.

Cubs at Cardinals - 4:10 PM EST

The NL Central leaders won just one of six meetings against the Cubs last season at home as the Redbirds attempt to turn around their luck on Saturday. Tony LaRussa's team has split their last 10 games, but the Cards still lead the division by a handful of games over the Brewers and Reds heading into Saturday's action. Meanwhile, the struggling Cubs look for any kind of spark, but it will be difficult against one of the NL's top pitchers this season.

Kyle Lohse (7-2, 2.13 ERA) has taken over the ace role this season with the early struggles of Chris Carpenter and the season-ending injury to Adam Wainwright in spring training. The former Twins and Phillies' hurler is coming off three straight victories, including a pair of dazzling road performances at San Diego and Colorado. Since a subpar season debut against the Padres, Lohse has turned in quality starts in nine of his last 10 outings, but his weakest role has been at home with the Cards winning two of five times.

The Cubs' pitching staff is statistically the worst in the NL with a collective ERA of 4.77, as Randy Wells (1-1, 5.40 ERA) makes his third start of the season. Wells' first outing off the DL was a forgettable one as he allowed five earned runs in four innings of a 10-0 setback to the Pirates last Saturday. However, the right-hander saw moderate success against the Cardinals in 2010 with a 2-1 record, including a road victory as a $2.00 underdog last September.

Dodgers at Reds - 4:10 PM EST

Cincinnati has hit the skids following a five-game winning streak in mid-May with losses in 11 of its last 16 contests. The Reds take on a Dodgers' squad that is playing better recently with a 4-3 run over the last week, as Los Angeles sends out its ace in Saturday's matinee.

It's been a roller-coaster ride for Clayton Kershaw (6-3, 2.62 ERA), as the Dodgers are 2-4 in his six starts following a win in his last outing. The 23-year old southpaw blanked the Marlins last Sunday by delivering his best performance of 2011 with a two-hit shutout, while striking out 10. Kershaw's home ERA (2.61) is slightly better than his road ERA (2.64), but the difference is a 5-2 team mark at Dodger Stadium, while L.A. is 2-3 in his five away outings.

The Reds send out Johnny Cueto (2-2, 2.20 ERA), who looks to rebound off a loss in his last trip to the mound at Atlanta. Cueto turned in a solid start by tossing eight innings, but Martin Prado's two-run homer was the difference, giving the Braves a 2-1 victory. The right-hander has compiled four quality starts in five outings, while Cueto searches for his first win in four career starts against the Dodgers.

Rockies at Giants - 4:10 PM EST

San Francisco has won six straight home meetings against Colorado, as the Giants look to hang onto first place in the NL West. The Rockies have hit a bump in the road since a shocking 12-3 start by putting together a 14-27 cold stretch over the last 41 games. Colorado tries to get back on track with Jhoulys Chacin taking the mound, who has lost his previous two starts.

Chacin (5-4, 3.33 ERA) had put together five consecutive quality starts before getting knocked around in home setbacks to the Cardinals and Diamondbacks. The righty allowed 11 hits and nine earned runs in those defeats, dropping Colorado to 1-3 in his last four starts. Chacin won two of three starts against the Giants in 2010, including a one-hit performance in seven innings last May as a $1.40 road 'dog.

The Giants counter with Madison Bumgarner (2-6, 3.66 ERA), who is looking much sharper since a horrible start to his sophomore season. Even though San Francisco is 3-8 in the southpaw's 11 starts, Bumgarner has turned in seven straight quality outings, including a win as a $1.40 road underdog at St. Louis his last time out. Bumgarner owns interesting home/road splits against the Rockies in his short career by beating Colorado twice at home, while losing twice at Coors Field.

**StarDust Bum** · 06-04-2011, 01:50 PM

I know i ran this article before...But just to refresh your memory about the good and bad Pitchers in June....

June Pitchers Report

May 30, 2011

If it’s June, school is out. And so too will be the NBA (we think). It’s also the time of the season when MLB pitchers look to ace exams in hopes of keeping their teams in the pennant chase. To get a better feel on what to expect, let’s examine their results from exams in the past.

Listed below are hurlers that have enjoyed a two-to-one or better success ratio in team starts the last three seasons during the month of June. On the flip side, we’ve also listed pitchers that struggle in June team starts, winning 33% percent or less of their efforts. To qualify pitchers must have made a minimum of 10 starts, with at least one start each June over the last three years. I’ll be back next month with July’s Good Month Pitchers. Until then, enjoy…

GOOD MONTH PITCHERS:

Floyd, Gavin • 13-5
The White Sox right-hander is a rock solid middle of the rotation hurler, who is on pace to break previous career lows in ERA, WHIP and batting average allowed. If Chicago can start to score runs, Floyd should produce another super June.

Galarraga, Armando • 14-3
Because Galarraga could not command his fastball (22 walks in 42 1/3 innings) and hit too many bats otherwise, Arizona designated him for assignment and his next move is the minors or being waived.

Harden, Rich • 8-4
Was transferred to the 60-day DL on April 18 and is restricted to strengthening exercises for his shoulder injury. His season is very much in doubt and is on the DL for the 10th time in his career.

Hernandez, Felix • 11-3
When doesn’t King Felix pitch well, especially considering some of Seattle teams he’s played for. Hernandez can be expected to match previous June’s since he’s really gotten the feel for his changeup, which he’s used increasingly more as an out-pitch to compliment his other filthy stuff.

Kazmir, Scott 8-4
The Angels left-hander is attempting to return from back problems and his most recent rehab start in Triple-A did not go well (24 strikes in 50 pitches), allowing six earned runs. Kazmir is a shadow of the pitcher he was at Tampa Bay.

Kendrick, Kyle • 7-3
Now a relief pitcher for Philadelphia because of their strong starting staff, Kendrick has been a spot starter on two occasions this season with mixed results.

Lackey, John • 12-4
The Red Sox hurler went on the DL on May 12 with a right elbow strain. Lackey’s been throwing bullpen sessions and was tentatively scheduled for minor league rehab start on May 31. If that goes well, the former Angels chucker could be recalled as soon as June 5. Another pitcher whose lost velocity and snap on his breaking pitches.

Lee, Cliff • 12-5
The Phillies lefty has been a little off this season, mostly because he’s on target to permit the most walks since 2004 when he was still in Cleveland. Maybe the warmer temperatures will get Lee back on his game and lead Philadelphia to more victories.

Lester, Jon • 11-4
One of the finest pitchers in baseball from May thru September and dependable as they come. Lester has the classic left-hander delivery, likes to establish strike one with all hitters and prefers to cut his low to mid-90’s fastball to right hand hitters and build around it.

Lilly, Ted • 12-6
After a deplorable start, Lilly has lowered his ERA more than a run and half. Make sure to watch what time of day the Dodger port-sider is pitching, since he has huge disparity. (6.33 ERA in day games and 2.97 at night)

Lincecum, Tim • 12-5
Because San Francisco can’t score, Lincecum’s record does not belie how well he’s thrown. “The Freak” coasts in low the 90’s with fastball, has improved power slider and Lincecum’s throwing motion on his change-up is virtually indiscernible.

Nolasco, Ricky • 11-5
The Florida starter has a sound repeatable delivery and throws a few different fastballs that match almost perfectly with tightly-spun curveball that he will throw on any count. Watch for Nolasco on the road since he and Marlins mates are 15-4 when he toes the rubber and 11-2 away from home when the money line is +125 to -125 the last two seasons.

Sabathia, CC • 11-4
In the same mold as Lester, manager Joe Girardi knows what to count on from his big southpaw game in game out. Once again Sabathia is a nightmare to left hand batters who are hitting just .197 against him.

Wakefield, Tim • 10-5
With all the injuries to Boston starting pitchers, the old knuckleballer is there to give skipper Terry Francona a reliable fifth starter when called upon. To date Wakefield is conceding his lowest batting average allowed in three years.

Weaver, Jered • 10-5
It’s been a crazy campaign for the Anaheim ace, being the first pitcher since 1884 (that’s correct 127 years ago) to start the year with six straight wins and lose the next four times. With any run support, Weaver should return to winning ways this month.

BAD MONTH PITCHERS:

Blanton, Joe • 5-11
The Phillies fifth starter is on the DL for a second time this season with his right elbow. Blanton is prohibited from throwing until at least June 10 and his exact return is uncertain.

Garland, Jon • 5-11
Strictly a back of the rotation starter at this point of his career. Garland is on pace to surrender a .270 or higher batting average allowed for the fifth time in the past six seasons.

Hudson, Tim • 4-8
Back stiffness again bothered Hudson at the end May, however this was expected to be a temporary setback. Has pitched more to contact this season with strikeouts down and prefers Turner Field (3.10 ERA) to the road (5.33).

Santana, Johan • 4-13

Still recovering from shoulder surgery last September, Santana has been throwing at the Mets spring training complex and is on pace for a late July return to New York barring no setbacks.

**StarDust Bum** · 06-04-2011, 01:53 PM

MLB Weekend Preview

As we enter the first weekend in June, there are a ton of great MLB series to put your money on. Here are some of the stats and trends to look for when contemplating which baseball teams to bet this weekend. All statistics are entering Friday's action. Good luck!

TEXAS RANGERS (31-26)

at CLEVELAND INDIANS (33-21)

This is a battle of two first-place teams, but you wouldn’t know it by the way the Indians have played lately. Texas took the four-game series opener Thursday and have now won eight of its past nine games in Cleveland, which has dropped three straight home games entering Friday.
Series Notes:
TEXAS is averaging 6.1 runs PG, with .284 BA in 10 games since Josh Hamilton returned from DL.
CLEVELAND starters are 3-6, 7.64 ERA, .336 Opp. BA in L9 games.

Pitching Probables with team records when pitcher starts:
Saturday – Derek Holland (L) 6-5 vs. Fausto Carmona (R) 5-7
Play On: INDIANS (Holland: 5-11, 4.80 ERA career on road).

Sunday – C.J. Wilson (L) 7-5 vs. Mitch Talbot (R) 3-1
Play On: RANGERS (Wilson: 3.38 ERA, 29 K, 5 BB, .202 Opp. BA vs. CLE).

ATLANTA BRAVES (31-26)

at NEW YORK METS (26-30)

Two NL East bitter rivals meet for a three-game set at Citifield when the Mets host the Braves. New York has been scuffling without David Wright or Ike Davis, going 4-8 in its past 12 games. The Mets had a TOTAL of one home run in their last 14 games of May (482 at-bats). Atlanta’s offense has also stalled, with just 32 runs in its past 10 contests. The Braves are 26-13 versus the Mets over the past three seasons, including 5-1 in the past six meetings at Citifield.
Series Notes:
ATLANTA bullpen has 2.49 ERA, 1.00 WHIP on road.
NY METS are hitting .326 with 29 runs (5.8 per game) in L5 overall.

Pitching Probables with team records when pitcher starts:
Saturday – Jair Jurrjens (R) 7-2 vs. Dillon Gee (R) 7-0
Play On: METS (Gee: 3-0, 3.05 ERA, 0.77 WHIP in L3 games).

Sunday – Tim Hudson (R) 5-6 vs. R.A. Dickey (R) 3-8
Play On: BRAVES (Hudson: 13-6, 3.41 ERA in 20 career starts vs. NYM).

DETROIT TIGERS (29-26)

at CHICAGO WHITE SOX (27-31)

Entering Friday’s three-game series in Chicago, Detroit has won nine straight games against the White Sox, and looks to tie a 1923 team record with its 10th victory in a row against them. Both clubs are sizzling, as the Tigers have won four straight games, while the White Sox are riding a three-game streak, lighting up Boston for 24 runs in the three contests. Detroit is 11-5 (+4.8 Units) in divisional play, while Chicago is 5-7 (-3.5 Units).
Series Notes:
DETROIT bullpen has 7.05 ERA, 1.74 WHIP on road (67.2 IP).
CHI WHITE SOX have .242 BA, .309 OBP at home.

Pitching Probables with team records when pitcher starts:
Saturday – Justin Verlander (R) 6-6 vs. Edwin Jackson (R) 5-6
Play On: TIGERS (Verlander: 6-0, 2.03 ERA, 0.86 WHIP in L6 starts vs. CHW).

Sunday – Brad Penny (R) 6-5 vs. Jake Peavy (R) 4-0
Play On: CHI WHITE SOX (Chicago is 8-1 in Peavy’s L9 starts).

NEW YORK YANKEES (31-23)

at LOS ANGELES ANGELS (29-29)

The Yankees are starting to heat up, with four straight wins during this West Coast road trip. But New York has not enjoyed Anaheim recently, going 8-20 in the past 28 games at Angel Stadium.
Series Notes:
NY YANKEES 6.0 runs per game, 1.74 starters ERA in L4 games.
LA ANGELS bullpen has 2.16 ERA, 1.13 WHIP at home.

Pitching Probables with team records when pitcher starts:
Saturday – CC Sabathia (L) 8-4 vs. Dan Haren (R) 6-6
Play On: NY YANKEES (Sabathia: 26-13, 3.30 ERA in road starts with Yankees).

Sunday – Bartolo Colon (R) 5-3 vs. Ervin Santana (R) 6-6
Play On: LA ANGELS (Colon: 3-6, 5.92 ERA in June since 2007).

CHICAGO CUBS (23-31)

at ST. LOUIS CARDINALS (33-25)

The Midwest rivalry continues with a three-game series at Busch Stadium. Both teams are not close 100 percent with key recent injuries (Aramis Ramirez, Alfonso Soriano, Marlon Byrd for Chicago; Matt Holliday and Kyle McClellan for St. Louis). The Cardinals are 2-4 in their past six games and have lost five straight home meetings with the Cubs.
Series Notes:
CHI CUBS are batting .198 with 2.7 runs per game in L6 games.
ST. LOUIS has 7.53 team ERA and 1.75 WHIP in L6 games.

Pitching Probables with team records when pitcher starts:
Saturday – Randy Wells (R) 1-1 vs. Kyle Lohse (R) 7-4
Play On: CUBS (Lohse: 0-3, 8.64 ERA in L6 starts vs. CHC).

Sunday – Carlos Zambrano (R) 8-4 vs. Chris Carpenter (R) 3-9
Play On: CARDINALS (Carpenter: 1.75 ERA, 0.97 WHIP in L7 home starts vs. CHC).

**StarDust Bum** · 06-04-2011, 02:12 PM

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

06/03/11 14-*16-*0 46.67% -*1095 Detail
06/02/11 8-*3-*1 72.73% +*2485 Detail
06/01/11 15-*13-*1 53.57% +*1345 Detail

Totals 37-*32-*2 53.62% +2735

SOME NICE PRICE DOGGIES OUT THERE TODAY !

Saturday, June 4

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Oakland 0 Bot 0 Oakland +173 500
Boston 0 Over 7.5 500

Tampa Bay - 4:10 PM ET Tampa Bay -130 500
Seattle - Over 6.5 500

Chi. Cubs - 4:10 PM ET St. Louis -181 500
St. Louis - Under 8.5 500

Colorado - 4:10 PM ET San Francisco +102 500
San Francisco - Over 7 500

LA Dodgers - 4:10 PM ET LA Dodgers +109 500
Cincinnati - Over 7.5 500

Toronto - 7:05 PM ET Baltimore +111 500
Baltimore - Over 8.5 500

Texas - 7:05 PM ET Texas +108 500
Cleveland - Over 9 500

Philadelphia - 7:05 PM ET Pittsburgh +100 500
Pittsburgh - Over 8 500

Detroit - 7:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox +118 500
Chi. White Sox - Over 8 500

Atlanta - 7:10 PM ET NY Mets +115 500
NY Mets - Under 7 500

Milwaukee - 7:10 PM ET Milwaukee -134 500
Florida - Over 8 500

Minnesota - 7:10 PM ET Minnesota +134 500
Kansas City - Over 9.5 500

Washington - 8:10 PM ET Washington +139 500
Arizona - Under 9.5 500

Houston - 8:35 PM ET Houston +141 500
San Diego - Over 7 500

NY Yankees - 9:05 PM ET LA Angels +109 500
LA Angels - Over 7 500

**StarDust Bum** · 06-04-2011, 02:20 PM

WNBA BEST BETS !

3:00 PM ETPhoenix at Seattle
Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds
PHO 651 0-0 (0-0 V) - 170 ( OVER )
SEA 652 0-0 (0-0 H) - -7.5 ( SIDE )

Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts 7:00 PM ETWashington at Connecticut
Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds
WAS 653 0-0 (0-0 V) - 149 ( OVER )
CONN 654 0-0 (0-0 H) - -5 ( SIDE )

Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts
7:00 PM ETChicago at Indiana
Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds
CHI 655 0-0 (0-0 V) - 147 ( UNDER )
IND 656 0-0 (0-0 H) - -7 ( SIDE )

Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts 8:00 PM ETTulsa at San Antonio
Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds
TUL 657 0-0 (0-0 V) - 163 ( SIDE )
SA 658 0-0 (0-0 H) - -8.5 ( SIDE )

Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts

**tech fan** · 06-04-2011, 07:26 PM

Gl buddy

Announcement

The Bum's Saturday's MLB Best Bets !

The Bum's Saturday's MLB Best Bets !

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