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WNBA
Dunkel
Minnesota at Los Angeles
The Lynx open up the WNBA season looking to build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 road games. Minnesota is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+3). Here are all of today's picks.
FRIDAY, JUNE 3
Game 601-602: Minnesota at Los Angeles (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 109.751; Los Angeles 109.748
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 153
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 3; 157 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+3); Under
WNBA
Long Sheet
Friday, June 3
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MINNESOTA (13 - 21) at LOS ANGELES (13 - 23) - 6/3/2011, 11:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 52-76 ATS (-31.6 Units) in road games vs. division opponents since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 6-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 7-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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WNBA
Friday, June 3
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Trend Report
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11:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. LOS ANGELES
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games
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WNBA
Friday, June 3
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WNBA betting preview: Three teams to follow, three to fade
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You can question the quality of basketball in the WNBA, but what you can’t question is the league’s potential to make you money as a sports bettor.
No professional league, with the exception of maybe the Arena Football League, has lines that are as routinely beatable as the WNBA.
Bookmakers pay little attention to the WNBA and are far more likely to spend their time on the NBA playoffs, Major League Baseball and the upcoming NFL and college football seasons.
Knowing this, sharp bettors often make a killing betting WNBA in the summer months. They try to exploit bad lines that offer maximum value.
With the WNBA season just getting started, here is a look at three teams to fade and three to follow.
FADE
Seattle Storm
In the WNBA, perception is everything.
The Storm won last year’s championship, which means there’s a good chance they will be an overvalued team with inflated lines that they’ll struggle to cover in 2011.
Since 2003, no team has had a winning ATS record the season after winning the title. Teams are a combined 119-151 ATS in the follow-up season, with four of them finishing 14-19 ATS or worse.
The Storm are favored to repeat, but that shouldn’t stop you from fading them to profits along the way.
Tulsa Shock
Only two teams in WNBA history have had consecutive single-digit win seasons, the former Utah Starzz (1997 and 1998) and the San Antonio Silver Stars (2004 and 2005).
Tulsa is about to make it three.
After posting a 6-28 record in 2010, the Shock needed to completely revamp their roster. However, they made only marginal improvements that won’t necessarily translate to more wins.
The Shock went 12-22 ATS last year and were outscored by an average of 11.8 points per game. Expect much of the same in 2011.
Chicago Sky
New coach Pokey Chatman has an impressive resume, having led LSU to three straight Final Fours from 2003 to 2006. But that doesn’t mean she’ll turn the Sky into an instant winner.
The Sky went 18-15-1 ATS despite having a losing record in 2010. With a new coach and system in place, 2011 figures to be a transition year. Expect the slightly overvalued Sky to be a sub-.500 team with a losing ATS record.
FOLLOW
Minnesota Lynx
The Lynx drafted UConn star Maya Moore, and as we’ve seen before, adding former Huskies can do wonders for a struggling WNBA team.
Sue Bird helped the Storm improve from 10-22 to 17-15 and a playoff berth in her rookie season in 2002. Diana Taurasi helped the Phoenix Mercury make a nine-win improvement in her rookie campaign in 2004. And last year, Tina Charles helped the Connecticut Sun make a one-game improvement.
Moore is a lock for Rookie of the Year honors and will be so good, so soon that she should have the Lynx in the playoff mix by season’s end.
Atlanta Dream
Seattle is the league’s best team, but Atlanta isn’t far behind.
Though the Dream were swept by the Storm in last year’s WNBA Finals, they only lost the three games by a combined eight points.
This year’s team has a strong chance to improve on last year’s 19-15 record and they can do it without the added pressure of having to defend a title. But it starts with defense. The Dream didn’t play any last season, allowing 83.1 points per game.
Los Angeles Sparks
With Candace Parker back in the lineup after suffering a season-ending shoulder injury last year, the Sparks have a chance to make the league’s biggest turnaround in 2011.
The Sparks went 13-21 (12-20-2 ATS) in 2010, but grew as a team without their star. Now that Parker is back, the Sparks should compete with the Storm for the top spot in the Western Conference.
Dunkel
Minnesota at Los Angeles
The Lynx open up the WNBA season looking to build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 road games. Minnesota is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+3). Here are all of today's picks.
FRIDAY, JUNE 3
Game 601-602: Minnesota at Los Angeles (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 109.751; Los Angeles 109.748
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 153
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 3; 157 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+3); Under
WNBA
Long Sheet
Friday, June 3
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MINNESOTA (13 - 21) at LOS ANGELES (13 - 23) - 6/3/2011, 11:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 52-76 ATS (-31.6 Units) in road games vs. division opponents since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 6-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 7-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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WNBA
Friday, June 3
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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11:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. LOS ANGELES
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games
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WNBA
Friday, June 3
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
WNBA betting preview: Three teams to follow, three to fade
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
You can question the quality of basketball in the WNBA, but what you can’t question is the league’s potential to make you money as a sports bettor.
No professional league, with the exception of maybe the Arena Football League, has lines that are as routinely beatable as the WNBA.
Bookmakers pay little attention to the WNBA and are far more likely to spend their time on the NBA playoffs, Major League Baseball and the upcoming NFL and college football seasons.
Knowing this, sharp bettors often make a killing betting WNBA in the summer months. They try to exploit bad lines that offer maximum value.
With the WNBA season just getting started, here is a look at three teams to fade and three to follow.
FADE
Seattle Storm
In the WNBA, perception is everything.
The Storm won last year’s championship, which means there’s a good chance they will be an overvalued team with inflated lines that they’ll struggle to cover in 2011.
Since 2003, no team has had a winning ATS record the season after winning the title. Teams are a combined 119-151 ATS in the follow-up season, with four of them finishing 14-19 ATS or worse.
The Storm are favored to repeat, but that shouldn’t stop you from fading them to profits along the way.
Tulsa Shock
Only two teams in WNBA history have had consecutive single-digit win seasons, the former Utah Starzz (1997 and 1998) and the San Antonio Silver Stars (2004 and 2005).
Tulsa is about to make it three.
After posting a 6-28 record in 2010, the Shock needed to completely revamp their roster. However, they made only marginal improvements that won’t necessarily translate to more wins.
The Shock went 12-22 ATS last year and were outscored by an average of 11.8 points per game. Expect much of the same in 2011.
Chicago Sky
New coach Pokey Chatman has an impressive resume, having led LSU to three straight Final Fours from 2003 to 2006. But that doesn’t mean she’ll turn the Sky into an instant winner.
The Sky went 18-15-1 ATS despite having a losing record in 2010. With a new coach and system in place, 2011 figures to be a transition year. Expect the slightly overvalued Sky to be a sub-.500 team with a losing ATS record.
FOLLOW
Minnesota Lynx
The Lynx drafted UConn star Maya Moore, and as we’ve seen before, adding former Huskies can do wonders for a struggling WNBA team.
Sue Bird helped the Storm improve from 10-22 to 17-15 and a playoff berth in her rookie season in 2002. Diana Taurasi helped the Phoenix Mercury make a nine-win improvement in her rookie campaign in 2004. And last year, Tina Charles helped the Connecticut Sun make a one-game improvement.
Moore is a lock for Rookie of the Year honors and will be so good, so soon that she should have the Lynx in the playoff mix by season’s end.
Atlanta Dream
Seattle is the league’s best team, but Atlanta isn’t far behind.
Though the Dream were swept by the Storm in last year’s WNBA Finals, they only lost the three games by a combined eight points.
This year’s team has a strong chance to improve on last year’s 19-15 record and they can do it without the added pressure of having to defend a title. But it starts with defense. The Dream didn’t play any last season, allowing 83.1 points per game.
Los Angeles Sparks
With Candace Parker back in the lineup after suffering a season-ending shoulder injury last year, the Sparks have a chance to make the league’s biggest turnaround in 2011.
The Sparks went 13-21 (12-20-2 ATS) in 2010, but grew as a team without their star. Now that Parker is back, the Sparks should compete with the Storm for the top spot in the Western Conference.
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