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  • The Bum's Thursday's MLB Best Bets !

    MLB Betting: NY Mets, Pirates wrap up series

    Before play on Tuesday night, the Pittsburgh Pirates had never beaten the MLB odds in a game at Citi Field. Alas, in the second game of this 4-game set, the Bucs got the job done against the New York Mets, winning 5-1 for their first victory in their last nine tries in Flushing.

    Now the two wrap up their series on Thursday afternoon in the only day game on the MLB betting slate. The first pitch is scheduled for 10:10 a.m. (PT).

    SNY, ROOT Sports and the MLB Network will cover this MLB wagering war between these two teams that are struggling to make headway in the race for the National League postseason.

    Victor Carapazza is scheduled to call balls and strikes on Thursday afternoon. He hasn't seen either the Pirates or the Mets this year. In fact, he only called one New York game last season, a 5-2 loss against the Florida Marlins. The Pirates went 1-2 in three starts with Carapazza behind the dish.

    This is an ump that has led road teams to a 6-3 mark this year. He is only averaging 8.22 runs per game, but he has a level total record at 4-4-1.

    The only Mets starting pitcher that saw Carapazza last year was the man slated to be on the bump on Thursday, Mike Pelfrey. Though he's had a great career against the Pirates (3-1, 3.86 ERA), Pelfrey hasn't been anything special this year. The righty is 3-4 with a dreadful 5.00 ERA. His WHIP is 1.46, and batters are hitting .278 against him.

    The offense hasn't given Pelfrey much help either. New York hasn't given him more than five runs of support in a game since April, averaging just 2.13 runs per game of support since that point.

    In his last outing, Pelfrey allowed just two runs in 7 2/3 innings of work in a 5-2 loss at home to the Philadelphia Phillies.

    Pirates southpaw Paul Maholm is coming off of one of the best starts of his entire career. He allowed just three hits without walking a batter at Wrigley Field against the Chicago Cubs, marking just the third complete game shutout of his career.

    It's high time that Maholm was given some help and made some great starts stand up. He is just 2-7 on the season despite a rock solid 3.18 ERA. Maholm received 10 runs of support in his most recent outing after the Pirates lineup scred just 14 times in his first 10 starts of the season.

    The Pirates are just 5-16 in their last 21 visits to Flushing overall, and they are only 41-114 in their last 155 road games. Still, MLB betting fans know that Pittsburgh is the sixth-most profitable team in the game this year, thanks to a 16-14 road record that has yielded the second-best profit in the league at 9.19 units.

    It should be a bright and sunny day in the Big Apple on Thursday, with temperatures in the mid-70s around game time. Winds will be out of the west, meaning balls hit out to right field should get some more carry to them.

    From here the Pirates will head back to the Steel City for a weekend visit from the Philadelphia Phillies. The Mets welcome the Atlanta Braves to Citi Field for the weekend to close out their 10-game homestand.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    MLB Odds: Texas Rangers visit Cleveland Indians

    The Cleveland Indians have surprised most in sitting atop the American League Central standings heading into June. The Tribe will host the first of a four-game set against the Texas Rangers at Progressive Field Thursday night with the first pitch scheduled for 4:05 (PT).

    Cleveland owns the AL’s best home record at 19-6 (+20.94 units) despite closing its last homestand with two straight losses to Boston on May 24-25. The Indians actually won 14 straight home games from April 3-May 10, equaling the third-longest home winning streak in club history.

    Offensively, the lineup is hitting .272 on its own turf in comparison to a .250 mark on the road. The Indians entered the final game of their road trip second in the league and fourth in Major League Baseball in scoring 4.79 runs per game. Most of that success can be attributed to the squad hitting .290 with runners on base, while posting a .239 mark with the bases empty.

    Right-handed starter Carlos Carrasco (4-2, 4.91 ERA) is set to make his 10th start of the year and has won three straight decisions. Cleveland has outscored opponents by a 26-10 margin in those contests, as he’s given up eight runs and 18 hits over 17 1/3 innings.

    Carrasco has found it difficult to pitch at Progressive Field this season in comparison to on the road, registering a 1-2 record and 7.64 ERA in three home starts while producing a perfect 3-0 mark and 3.48 ERA in six road outings.

    The 24-year-old made his second career start versus Texas at home in 2009, surrendering five runs and eight hits over five frames, serving up two homers in the process. He will need to pitch carefully to leadoff hitter Ian Kinsler, who is 2-for-3 with a double against him.

    Texas finished May at 13-15 (.464), the fourth-lowest winning percentage in the AL for the month, mainly due to the offense posting a .252 average. The Rangers pitching staff did its best to keep the team afloat, compiling a 3.53 overall ERA which was slightly better than its April mark (3.89).

    The Rangers will be away from Arlington for the most part to start June, playing 17 of 20 games on the road from May 30-June 19. Texas has a 3.01 road ERA coming into Wednesday, the third-lowest in the majors.

    Rangers starting pitcher Matt Harrison (5-4, 3.26 ERA) has contributed to the staff’s road numbers, tallying a 3-1 record and 2.53 ERA in five outings. His last effort away from Arlington was brilliant, tossing 8 1/3 shutout frames and scattering five hits in a 2-0 victory over National League East-leader Philadelphia.

    Harrison will be searching for his first career win over Cleveland, dropping both of his previous tries, giving up eight runs (six earned) and 12 hits over 10 2/3 innings.

    Texas has certainly had the upper hand in this series, winning nine of the last 11 overall meetings and seven of eight in Cleveland. Total players will find that the ‘under’ is 8-3 between these two teams at tonight’s venue.

    Weather forecasts suggest game-time highs in the mid-60s with a slight breeze from the north at 5-10 mph (in from center).
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Thursday's Double Play

      June 1, 2011


      Hockey and basketball might be in the midst of their championship series, but there is plenty of action to be had on the diamond. We’ve got seven games on the agenda in Major League Baseball. Let’s take a look at a pair of contests that will keep you busy at the betting shops.

      Rangers at Indians – 7:05 p.m. EDT

      We’re inching closer to the dog days of the season, which means that teams at the top can ill-afford to falter in these series. That especially rings true for both the Indians (five games ahead of Detroit) and the Rangers (½-game lead on Seattle).

      The early reports are for Texas to send Matt Harrison (5-4, 3.26) to the mound for the opening game of this series. It’s a great time for the Rangers to put the lefty on the mound because he hasn’t allowed a run in his last 16.1 innings of work, winning his last two starts. There is some concern that Harrison won’t be making the start as he’s nursing a blister on his left index finger. That could put either David Bush or Michael Kirkman on the mound for the spot start. Oddly enough, that could be blessing for Harrison to miss this start since he is 0-2 with a 5.06 earned run average for his career against Cleveland.

      Carlos Carrasco (4-2, 4.91) gets the start for the Indians on Thursday night. Gamblers that have backed him recently are cashing in nicely as he has won his last three starts. That includes a win as a $1.85 road pup at Tampa Bay last Friday. This is his first start against Texas since 2009. Carrasco gave up five runs in five innings of an 11-9 loss at home in that outing.

      The Rangers have had a stranglehold on the Tribe recently, having won nine of the last 11 head-to-head meetings. The ‘under’ is 6-5 in those contests.

      Giants at Cardinals – 8:15 p.m. EDT

      I know that the baseball season is more of a marathon than it is a sprint, but the Giants are pulling up lame no matter the analogy. Prior to Wednesday’s contest, San Francisco has lost six of its last eight games. That slump, couple with Arizona’s hot streak, have the Giants in second place in the National League West.

      San Francisco will aim to close out this series with a win on the left arm of Jonathan Sanchez (3-3, 3.37). Sanchez has not had a decision in his last two starts, but the numbers were worthy of wins both times. He gave up three earned runs on seven hits in 13 innings of work. The problem for Sanchez has been the lack of offensive support he’s getting. In his Giants’ last three losses with Sanchez on this hill, they’ve scored just two runs twice and three runs in the other defeat. There is a positive for him in that he is 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA in four career appearances against St. Louis.

      The Cardinals will be a tough out in this contest with Jaime Garcia (5-1, 3.28) taking the mound. Garcia may have looked like a bum in his last start against at Colorado (3.1 IP, 11 ER on 11 H), but that’s awfully misleading. St. Louis had won his last four starts prior to the beatdown to the Rockies, giving up four earned runs combined. The Cards can take solace in the fact that Garcia is 3-0 with an ERA of 0.29 at Busch Stadium this season. He also boasts a 1.50 ERA and nine strikeouts in his lone start against the Giants in 2011. It just so happens that the Cardinals fell 3-2 on this road in that game back on April 9.

      St. Louis has not been bad this year at home against lefties, evidenced by a 6-3 mark with the ‘under’ going 6-3 as well. The Giants are nearly as effective away from AT&T Park against southpaws, going 6-4 for the season. The ‘under’ is also 7-3 during those games for San Fran, making a low-scoring tilt a distinct possibility.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        Diamond Trends - Thursday

        June 2, 2011

        SU TREND OF THE DAY:

        The Royals are 0-10 since April 08, 2010 when they are off a game that was tied at the end of at least six separate innings win for a net profit of $1010 when playing against.


        OU TREND OF THE DAY:

        The Cardinals are 12-0-1 O/U (3.3 rpg) since August 4, 2007 after a game yesterday which was tied on exactly three separate occasions.

        STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:

        The Pirates are 0-10 since August 26, 2009 when Paul Maholm starts as a dog after a quality start and they won in his previous start for a net profit of $1000 when playing against.


        MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:

        The Giants are 0-15 (-4.1 rpg) since 2004 on the road vs a National League team when they are off a win in which they allowed at least a dozen hits.


        TODAY’S TRENDS:


        The Padres are 5-0 since May 07, 2010 after a one run loss and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $600.

        The Mets are 7-0 OU since May 20, 2010 within 20 cents of pickem when they are off a loss in which they held the lead and it is the last game of a series for a net profit of $700 when playing the over.

        The Padres are 0-6-3 OU since June 18, 2010 as a favorite after a loss and it is the first game of the series for a net profit of $600 when playing the under.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          Mets try to salvage series split with Pirates on Thursday

          PITTSBURGH PIRATES (26-28)

          at NEW YORK METS (25-30)


          First Pitch: Thursday, 1:10 p.m. EDT
          Line: New York -125, Pittsburgh +115, Total: 7.5

          Getaway day, which rhymes with matinee, is what the Pirates and the Mets will be partaking of Thursday afternoon at CitiField, and if Pittsburgh can steal the final game of this series, it will have taken three out of four from the Metropolitans. This is a big deal for the Bucs, who with a win could pull to within one victory of the .500 mark for the season, a season which is basically at the 1/3 mark. For a franchise that last finished above .500 in 1992, and has lost no fewer than 94 games in each of the past six years, .500 represents a major step in the right direction for the Pirates.

          The Mets will send Mike Pelfrey (3-4, 5.00 ERA) to the mound to try and earn a split of the four-game series. Pelfrey is winless in his past three starts despite pitching some of his best baseball of the season. In his last outing, Pelfrey went 7.2 innings against Philadelphia, allowing two runs on four hits. Two outings earlier against Florida, he allowed one run on six hits over seven innings. Sooner or later one of Pelfrey’s quality starts has got to coincide with one of the Mets’ quality offensive games. Pelfrey is 3-1 when starting against Pittsburgh with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.48. He faced and defeated the Pirates twice last season. In 15 total innings the Pirates were only able to total four runs (3 ER) against the big right-hander.

          The Mets offense is suffering from the absence of third baseman David Wright, and first baseman Ike Davis, both presently on the DL, with Davis not likely to return in the near future. The absence this week of Jose Reyes due to a death in his family has not helped matters, but Reyes is expected to be back in the lineup Thursday. Reyes leads the Mets in hitting (.335 BA), base hits (76), and on-base pct. (.382), and his 19 stolen bases is second best in the NL (tops on the Mets). The big surprise for the Mets this season has been the play of rookie infielder Justin Turner. He has filled in at both second and third defensively, and with his bat has made enough noise to force the Mets to find a spot for him once Wright returns. Turner drove in 20 runs in the month of May, setting a franchise rookie record for consecutive games with an RBI in the process. Turner is 10-for-26 on the current homestand. The Mets are 2-4 in this span and have lost eight of their past 11 contests.

          The Pirates will counter on the mound with Paul Maholm, whose record (2-7) is not indicative of how well he has pitched this season. The stats are impressive, with a 48 K-to-25 BB ratio, a 3.18 ERA and an impressive WHIP of 1.17. Maholm has allowed just 58 hits in 70.2 innings pitched, holding opponents to a paltry .225 batting average. Clearly the southpaw has suffered from his major-league low lack of run support (3.06 runs per start). Maholm’s luck finally started to turn the corner last Saturday when he threw a complete-game, three-hit shutout with 4 K and 0 BB against the Cubs, as the Bucs won 10-0. Maholm has made eight career starts against the Mets, going 3-3 with a 4.60 ERA and 1.60 WHIP. The Pirates are coming off a 9-3 victory Wednesday in which the big blow of the game came in the seventh inning, when Pittsburgh scored five runs in the inning by collecting five infield singles -- grind it out baseball at its best. Maholm doesn’t care how the Pirates scrape together the runs, as long as they can score them on his watch.

          The pick here is for the Mets to maximize Pelfrey on the mound and the return of Reyes to the lineup to eke out a victory in the final game of the series. My New York pick is supported by these two highly-rated FoxSheets trends.

          Play On - Any team (N.Y. METS) - bad offensive team (<=4.1 runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA<=3.70) (NL), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (NL). (86-70 since 1997.) (55.1%, +55.2 units. Rating = 3*).

          Play Against - Any team (PITTSBURGH) - bad offensive team (<=4.1 runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20)-NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season (NL). (180-126 since 1997.) (58.8%, +67.4 units. Rating = 3*).
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            D-backs go for 17th win in 20 games hosting Nats

            WASHINGTON NATIONALS (24-31)

            at ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS (31-25)


            First pitch: Thursday, 9:40 p.m. EDT
            Line: Arizona -125, Washington +115, Total: 9

            Arizona looks to continue its winning ways when it hosts Washington in the first of a four-game series on Thursday night.

            The surging Diamondbacks, who have lost only three games since May 14 (16-3 record), will send Zach Duke (1-0, 0.00 ERA) to the mound. Duke is making just his second start in 2011. In his D-backs debut in Houston on Saturday, he pitched seven shutout innings in an 11-3 Arizona road victory. The left-hander had missed over two months with a hand injury. In six career starts versus Washington, he is 2-2 with a 5.19 ERA and 1.70 WHIP. Duke has made four career starts at Chase Field and is 2-2 with a 3.76 ERA.

            The Nationals will counter with Jordan Zimmermann (2-6, 3.88 ERA). The right-hander has dropped his past two decisions, despite going at least six innings and giving up two earned runs in each game. He was the tough-luck loser in his most recent outing against San Diego on Saturday. Zimmermann pitched six innings and allowed five hits and two earned runs in a 2-1 loss to the Padres. In his past five starts (30.2 IP), he has a 30-to-8 strikeout-to-walk ratio and has surrendered just 11 earned runs total (3.23 ERA). Zimmermann, who will make his first career start versus Arizona, is 1-2 with a 4.20 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in five road starts this season.

            This marks the first meeting between the two teams this season. In 2010, the Nationals won the season series 4-3, which included a four-game split at Chase Field in early August. The D-backs are 18-11 at home this season, while Washington has struggled with a 10-19 road mark. The FoxSheets provide two highly-rated, anti-Nationals trends that show why Arizona will earn its 17th victory in 20 games on Thursday.

            WASHINGTON is 4-22 (15.4%, -17.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons. The average score was WASHINGTON 2.7, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 4*).

            Play Against - Any team (WASHINGTON) - poor NL offensive team (<=4.1 runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA<=3.75), with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.000 over his last 3 starts. (63-28 over the last 5 seasons.) (69.2%, +33.7 units. Rating = 3*).
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #7
              Strikeout artists face off in series opener in Seattle


              TAMPA BAY RAYS (29-26)

              at SEATTLE MARINERS (28-27)


              First Pitch: Thursday, 10:10 p.m. EDT
              Line: Seattle -115, Tampa Bay +105, Total: 6.5

              Seattle hosts the Rays for the opener of a four-game series at Safeco Field on Thursday. The Mariners are 4-2 on their current 10-game homestand after taking two of three from both the Yankees and Orioles.

              James Shields (5-3, 2.15 ERA) will get the start for Tampa on Thursday. Shields enters his start tied with his opponent on Thursday (Felix Hernandez) for the AL lead in strikeouts (81). Shields has a 2.35 ERA and 30 strikeouts in 23 innings over his past three starts, but only a 1-2 record to show for it as the Rays offense has provided him seven total runs of support while he was in the game. Shields, who is 4-0 with a 1.88 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in five road outings this year, has not had much luck in his career against Hernandez. He is 0-1 despite allowing just 2 ER in two previous matchups (15.1 IP) against the Mariners ace.

              The Mariners have won 12 of 16 games with their pitching being the main reason why. Their staff has compiled a 2.20 ERA, including a bullpen ERA of 0.88 over this span. Eight of these 16 contests were decided by one run, with six resulting in Mariners victories. On Thursday, Hernandez (5-4, 3.19 ERA) will be on the mound for Seattle and will be looking to continue his domination over the Rays. He is 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in his six home starts against Tampa Bay, as Seattle is 6-0 in those starts.

              After hitting just .164 (9-for-55) in his previous 16 games with just four runs scored, Ichiro is 4-for-11 with three runs scored in his past two games. Ichiro loves when the calendar flips to June, as he is hitting .372 during the month since 2006.

              The Mariners are undefeated with Hernandez on the mound against the Rays at Safeco Field. With Tampa Bay entering Thursday struggling at the plate over its past three games (10 runs, .204 BA). I’m taking Seattle.

              The FoxSheets provide this three-star trend siding with the Mariners.

              Play On - All teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (SEATTLE) - AL team with a low on-base percentage (<=.320) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP <=1.350), with an on-base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games. (88-37 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.4%, +43.6 units. Rating = 3*).
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • #8
                First-place teams meet Thursday when Cleveland hosts Texas


                TEXAS RANGERS (30-26)

                at CLEVELAND INDIANS (33-20)


                First Pitch: Thursday, 7:05 p.m. EDT
                Line: Cleveland -125, Texas +115, Total: 9.5

                The Rangers travel to Cleveland for the first of a four-game weekend series at Progressive Field between two first-place teams. Texas has won 12 of the past 15 meetings between the teams, including seven of nine in Cleveland.

                Dave Bush (0-1, 4.43 ERA) gets the ball for Texas. Bush will be making his 10th appearance this season and his third start. Bush will start in place of Matt Harrison, who was scratched because of a blister. He has lasted just three and four innings in his two previous starts, allowing a combined three runs (2 ER) and eight hits. This will be Bush’s fifth career start against the Indians. His last one came in 2009 when he was with the Brewers and he allowed eight runs on six hits in 3.1 IP at Progressive Field. Overall he has allowed 15 ER in 24.1 IP (5.55 ERA) versus Cleveland, going 0-1 in those starts.

                The Indians are off to a great start this season, but facing Texas at home will be a real test. They have lost 11 of their past 15 home games against the Rangers, and will throw Carlos Carrasco (4-2, 4.91 ERA), who has been terrible in three home starts this season (1-2, 7.64 ERA, 1.59 WHIP). But Carrasco has pitched pretty well lately in winning three consecutive starts. Though the right-hander has a modest 4.15 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in these three outings, his teammates have totaled 26 runs during that stretch. Carrasco has made just one career start against the Rangers, getting a no-decision after allowing eight hits and five runs in five inning on Sept. 8, 2009.

                The Indians are a majors-best 19-6 at home, but two of those losses came in their most recent two home games against the Red Sox. The Indians pitching staff has struggled a bit lately, having allowed at least 10 hits in each of their past seven games. However, with Bush for on the mound for Texas, I like the Indians offense to supply Carrasco with enough run support to get his fourth straight win. I’m taking Cleveland.

                The FoxSheets provide this five-star trend backing the Indians on Thursday.

                CLEVELAND is 14-1 (+14.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. The average score was CLEVELAND 6.4, OPPONENT 3.3 - (Rating = 5*).
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • #9
                  Cards try to salvage series split with Giants Thursday


                  SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (30-25)

                  at ST. LOUIS CARDINALS (33-24)


                  First Pitch: Thursday, 8:15 p.m. EDT
                  Line: St. Louis -125, San Francisco +115, Total: 8.5

                  San Francisco and St. Louis conclude their four-game series Thursday at Busch Stadium. On Wednesday it was the Giants’ turn to rally late, as they answered the Cardinals game-winning, eighth-inning rally on Tuesday, with a run in the ninth and two in the 11th in their come-from-behind 7-5 win.

                  The Giants, who have won just three of their past nine games, will look for consecutive wins for the first time since May 21-22. Jonathan Sanchez (3-3, 3.38 ERA) will be in search of his first win in three weeks. The left-hander is 0-1 with 2.70 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in three starts since beating Arizona on May 11. Sanchez allowed two runs and two hits with four walks over seven innings on Saturday, but the Giants fell 3-2 on a suicide squeeze in the ninth. Sanchez has had trouble locating the strike zone on the road, where he's issued 23 of his 34 walks, and has just one win in his six starts, compared to going 2-0 in his five home starts. He won his only career start at Busch Stadium, allowing two hits with four walks and five strikeouts in five scoreless innings of the Giants' 8-2 victory on April 20, 2008. Earlier this season, Sanchez received a no-decision against the Cardinals at AT&T Park, allowing just four hits and one run in five innings.

                  The Cardinals will counter with Lance Lynn (NR) who will make his MLB debut. The 24-year-old right-hander was 5-3 with a 4.06 ERA in 10 starts at Triple-A Memphis and a 13-game winner last season for the Redbirds. The 6-foot-5 Lynn is making the start after the Cardinals were forced to place Kyle McClellan on the DL with a strained hip flexor.

                  Speaking of injuries, St. Louis is also expected to put slugger Matt Holliday on the 15-day disabled list before taking the field on Thursday. Holliday, who leads the NL with a .342 average, will be sidelined with an injured quadriceps muscle. He returned from a week-long absence and went 1-for-4 in Monday's 7-3 loss to the Giants, but was a pinch-hitter in a 4-3 win Tuesday. Perhaps the injury is a blessing in disguise for Holliday, who was just 3-for-28 (.107) since May 15. Lance Berkman likely will bat fourth in place of Holliday despite an 0-for-12 slump that's dropped his average to .329. Injuries are nothing new to a St. Louis team that is also without catcher Gerald Laird (finger) and infielder Nick Punto (arm). Ace Adam Wainwright was lost for the season after elbow surgery in March. The Cardinals are hoping to avoid their first series loss since getting swept at Cincinnati May 13-15.

                  Sanchez leads the majors in opponents’ BA for left-handed starters (.204), and Holliday’s absence is one less potent right-handed bat for St. Louis to deal with. San Francisco hasn’t been the most dangerous offensive team without Buster Posey, but I expect the Giants to knock around Lynn and provide Sanchez with all the run support he needs. I’m taking San Francisco.

                  The FoxSheets show many trends favoring the Giants, including this four-star monster.

                  Play On - Road underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start against opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 80%. (41-17 since 1997.) (70.7%, +34.2 units. Rating = 4*).
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Astros aim for 4th straight win visiting San Diego


                    HOUSTON ASTROS (22-34)

                    at SAN DIEGO PADRES (24-32)


                    First Pitch: Thursday, 10:05 p.m. EDT
                    Line: San Diego -120, Houston +110, Total: 6

                    Two of the worst teams in the NL will meet for the opener of a four-game series at Petco Park on Thursday. Both teams actually enter playing good baseball, as the Astros are coming off a three-game sweep at Wrigley Field and the Padres have won four of their past five contests.

                    Houston will send Bud Norris (2-4, 3.76 ERA) to the mound. After starting the season 2-1 with a 3.03 ERA in his first six starts, Norris is winless (0-3) in his past five starts, having allowed 21 runs (16 ER) and 32 hits in 31.1 IP. But Norris is riding a 13-inning scoreless streak versus the Padres in his past two starts against them. He blanked the Padres over six innings, allowing just two hits and fanning seven at Houston on April 14. Overall he is 1-1 with a 2.12 ERA in his three career starts against the Padres, while holding them to a .164 BA. The Astros scored a total of one run in these three Norris starts.

                    Tim Stauffer (1-3, 3.60 ERA) gets the start for San Diego. Stauffer earned his first victory of the season in his last start, yielding only one run and four hits over seven innings Saturday in San Diego's 2-1 victory at Washington. Stauffer has no record with a 7.27 ERA in two career starts against the Astros. But after getting rocked for seven runs in 3.2 innings in a no-decision of a crazy 18-11 team win at Houston in 2007, Stauffer shut out the ‘Stros for five innings on May 9, 2010. This will be his first appearance against them in San Diego.

                    Hunter Pence has been on fire for the Astros, hitting .436 during his current 13-game hitting streak. Pence has struggled in his career in the cavernous Petco Park though, hitting just .156 (7-for-45). I like the Astros to get to Stauffer and give Norris a chance to end his winless streak. I’m taking Houston.

                    The FoxSheets back up my pick with this pair of three-star trends:

                    Play On - Road underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), poor defensive catchers - allowing 0.85 + SB's/game on the season. (72-48 since 1997.) (60%, +38.6 units. Rating = 3*).

                    SAN DIEGO is 9-25 (26.5%, -17.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season. The average score was SAN DIEGO 2.6, OPPONENT 4.1 - (Rating = 3*).
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Thursday, June 2

                      Game Score Status Pick Amount

                      Minnesota - 8:10 PM ET Kansas City -122 500
                      Kansas City - Over 10 500

                      San Francisco - 8:15 PM ET San Francisco +113 500
                      St. Louis - Under 8 500

                      Washington - 9:40 PM ET Washington +110 500
                      Arizona - Over 9 500

                      Houston - 10:05 PM ET Houston +116 500
                      San Diego - Over 6 500

                      Tampa Bay - 10:10 PM ET Seattle -113 500
                      Seattle - Over 6.5 500
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment

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