Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 6/2 (NBA, NHL, MLB, Misc.)

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 6/2 (NBA, NHL, MLB, Misc.)

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, June 2

    Good Luck on day #153 of 2011!

    At this time, the sports menu in this thread consists of NBA, NHL and MLB until their seasons are played out. Also, general sports news and notes will be posted.

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Matchup Links

    NBA Hot and Not

    NBA Injuries

    NBA Referees

    NHL Matchups

    NHL Injuries

    NHL Hot and Not

    MLB Matchups

    MLB Previews

    MLB Hot or Not

    MLB Umpires

    MLB Trends

    MLB Weather

    NASCAR Schedules

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    Thursday’s betting notes: Sharapova hot on clay

    Who’s hot

    NBA: The road team is 10-2-1 against the spread in the last 13 meetings between Miami and Dallas.

    MLB: The over is 8-1-1 in the Mets’ last 10 overall.

    MLB: Arizona is riding a 15-3 streak.

    Who’s not

    NBA: The under is just 1-7 against the spread in the last eight games that Miami’s been favored.

    MLB: Seattle is 2-8 in its last 10 meetings with the Tampa Bay Rays.

    MLB: Kansas City has won two of its last 10 overall.

    Key stat

    10-0: By advancing to the French Open semifinals, Maria Sharapova has now won her last 10 matches on clay. She won on the dirt in Rome before heading to Paris and it's clear the 24-year-old has come a long way since describing herself as a “crow on ice” when playing on clay four years ago. She’s set around -220 against Na Li in the semifinal and is now pegged as the favorite to win the tournament now at +110.

    Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

    Mike Miller, Miami Heat: Miller left Tuesday’s Game 1 victory over the Dallas Mavericks with about four minutes remaining in the fourth quarter and didn’t return after aggravating his left shoulder injury. He has his arm in a sling following the game but said that he didn’t think “it was a big deal.” Miller has been a force on the glass for Miami lately while spreading the floor with his outside shooting.

    Game of the day

    Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat (-4.5, 186.5)

    Notable quotable

    "As a kid you dream about winning majors and winning tournaments, but for me, I always kept an eye out on the world rankings and had an interest in it. The way the world rankings are, consistency is very highly weighted. If you can keep playing well week in and week out, keep earning those points, then you're going to climb in the world rankings and I don't think there's anybody been more consistent in the last nine months than me." – Luke Donald on becoming the No. 1 ranked golfer in the world earlier this week. He looks to defend that title as a +800 favorite to win this weekend’s Memorial, beginning Thursday.

    Notes and tips

    Thursday is an off day for the men’s singles before Friday’s semifinals, but despite the fact that Novak Djokovic faces off against veteran Roger Federer, Djokovic is now favored to win the tournament at -105. Rafael Nadal, who has struggled throughout the competition, is now set as the second favorite at +135.

    The St. Louis Cardinals saw two major pieces of their puzzle hit the DL on Wednesday. Kyle McClellan (6-2, 3.86 ERA, +5.90 units), who has been among the top MLB money pitchers all season, is on the shelf with a left hip flexor strain that he picked up on Monday and will likely be out of action for about three weeks. Meanwhile, Matt Holliday is also on the 15-day DL after trying to play through a nagging quad injury. He has six homers and 31 RBIs on the year.

    The Vancouver Canucks could be without forward Alex Burrows after he appeared to bite Patrice Bergeron’s finger during a scrum at the end of the first period in Game 1. Burrows, who rides shotgun to Daniel and Henrik Sedin on Vancouver’s top line, may be in for a disciplinary hearing with the NHL’s Brendan Shanahan, who just took over the role vacated by Colin Campbell. The Canucks and Bruins square off for Game 2 Saturday.

    Comment


    • #3
      Thursday's six-pack

      -- Justin Turner homered for the Mets last night, their first homer in 11 games, ending their longest HR drought since 1980.

      -- Mets have been outscored 93-58 from the 7th inning on.

      -- Vancouver Canucks have had 360 consecutive home sellouts; thats a little under nine years with no empty seats.

      -- Before Wednesday night, only five of the 40 players who dressed for last night's game had ever played in a Stanley Cup final.

      -- Last time a Canadian team won the Stanley Cup was 1993, when the Canadiens beat the LA Kings, who were coached by Barry Melrose.

      -- Bruins last won the Stanley Cup in 1972; this is their sixth trip to the Finals since then, but they are just 5-21 in those six series.


      **************************


      Thursday's List of 13: Thinking out loud.........

      13) His voice goes through me all winter, but one thing that is undeniable about Dick Vitale; the man can raise money. The ESPN hoops analyst has now raised over $100M to battle cancer- for that, he deserves our thanks.

      12) Sometimes the announcers are as tough as the players; ESPN’s Stuart Scott is doing his studio duties during the NBA Finals even though he is undergoing chemo treatments during day. Hopefully, he’ll get well soon.

      11) Ratings for Game 1 of the Dallas-Miami series were the highest for a Game 1 of the Finals since 2004, and 15% higher than the ’06 Finals (also Dallas-Miami).

      10) Wednesday would’ve been Marilyn Monroe’s 85th birthday. If you had to say, who would be today's version of Marilyn Monroe?

      9) There are three reality shows on TV that deal with pawn shops; the one in Detroit, Hardcore Pawn, features the owner of the shop, who is aptly named Les Gold. Tremendous name for a pawn shop owner.

      8) Damon Green, whose day job is Zach Johnson’s caddy on the PGA Tour, is taking a shot at pro golf himself this week, teeing it up on the Senior Tour. That’ll be interesting to follow.

      7) Poker star Phil Ivey is sitting out the World Series of Poker to protest the fact that Full Tilt has not yet reimbursed its customers for money lost during the federal online poker sting. They say customers will get their money back, but it hasn’t happened yet.

      6) NHL charged Atlanta Thrasher owners a $60M relocation fee, which reduces their take from the sale of the team to $110M. Good to see hockey back in Winnipeg, where people will support it with enthusiasm.

      5) There is kid playing baseball at Manatee JC in Sarasota who is being recruited by South Florida -- he has a tremendous name for an athlete; Rock Shoulders. If he were a movie character, you'd laugh at his name.

      4) I had forgotten about former Met pitcher John Maine, figured he blew his arm out and retired, but turns out he is with the Rockies’ AAA team in Colorado Springs and is 1-1, 6.46 in seven starts in a hitter-friendly league. Maine could've opted to become a free agent on June 1, but will be staying with the Colorado organization the rest of the year.

      3) Pirates were a putrid 17-64 on the road LY, the worst road record since the '63 Mets; this year, they're 17-14 on the road. They struck gold when they hired Clint Hurdle as manager. Very good leader for a young team.

      2) Dirk Nowitzki has a torn tendon in the middle finger on his left hand; he will wear a splint and play, but it has to effect how he catches the ball, at the very least. Could also effect how he passes.

      1) Looks like the Timberwolves will get Spanish point guard Ricky Rubio for next season, if there is a next season. Will be interesting to see if this highly touted kid is any good, two years after he was drafted.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA
        Dunkel



        Dallas at Miami

        The Mavericks look to bounce back from their loss in Game 1 and build on their 7-1-1 ATS record in their last 9 road games. Dallas is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mavericks favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+4 1/2). Here are all of today's picks

        THURSDAY, JUNE 2

        Game 703-704: Dallas at Miami (9:05 p.m. EST)

        Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 127.406; Miami 125.509
        Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 2; 189
        Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 4 1/2; 186
        Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+4 1/2); Over




        NBA
        Short Sheet


        Thursday, June 2


        NBA Finals - Game 2 - MIA 1-0
        DALLAS at MIAMI, 9:05 PM ET ABC
        DALLAS: 7-0 Under after giving up 15+ offensive rebounds BB games
        MIAMI: 3-0 ATS in Game 2's

        ** (TC) Denotes Time Change




        NBA
        Write-Up


        Thursday, June 2


        Bad news for Dallas, besides Nowitzki's finger injury, is fact that Heat, other than James/Wade, were just 13-45 from floor in Game 1; Bosh will not go 5-18 every game and he gets open shots. Heat is now 9-0 at home in playoffs, Dallas has won five of last six on road. Miami is 6-3 against spread as a playoff home favorite. Dallas bench shot 4-22 from floor in Game 1; they won games in Thunder series when bench provided some scoring punch. 37% shooting with only six offensive rebounds usually adds up to a loss at any level of basketball. Will be interesting to see the adjustments each coach makes for this game.




        NBA


        Thursday, June 2


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        9:00 PM
        DALLAS vs. MIAMI
        Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Miami
        Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
        Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




        NBA


        Thursday, June 2


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Mavericks at Heat Game 2: What bettors need to know
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat (-4.5, 186)

        Miami leads series 1-0

        THE STORY: The opening game of the NBA Finals couldn't have gone much worse for the Dallas Mavericks. They dropped a 92-84 decision to the Heat in Game 1 and will now have to deal with an injury to their star player as they prepare for Game 2 Thursday night in Miami.

        TV: 9 p.m. ET, ABC, TSN

        ABOUT THE HEAT: While Game 1 featured strong play from Miami's Big Three, it was actually a series of big 3s that led the Heat to victory. With the game still in doubt entering the fourth, Mike Miller hit a 3-pointer early in the quarter to give the Heat a five-point edge. Wade knocked down a 3 to quell a Dallas rally with 3:05 remaining, and LeBron James converted a three-point play on Miami's next possession to put the game away. James, Wade and Chris Bosh were especially dominant on the glass, where they pulled down 28 of the Heat's 46 rebounds on the night. Bosh had five offensive boards, just one fewer than the entire Mavericks roster.

        ABOUT THE MAVERICKS: Dallas' quest to win its first NBA title took a hit when star forward Dirk Nowitzki suffered a torn tendon in the middle finger of his non-shooting hand. All parties downplayed the significance of the injury, but Nowitzki will have to wear a splint for the rest of the series and may find defending or setting up shots more difficult. The Mavericks may have more pressing concerns; specifically, how to avoid a repeat of their dismal effort in Game 1. Dallas shot a playoff-low 37 percent from the field and allowed the Heat to win the rebounding battle by ten. The Mavericks bench was a major liability, shooting just 4 for 22 from the field.

        WHO'S HOT/WHO'S NOT: James was efficient in Game 1, making 9 of 16 shots from the field - including four of five long-range attempts. Mavericks G J.J. Barea, a major part of the Mavericks' success against Oklahoma City in the conference final, shot just 1 for 8 Tuesday.

        KEY STATISTIC: 11 - The number of 3-pointers the Heat made in Tuesday's win. That was the most allowed by the Mavericks all postseason. They come into Game 2 averaging fewer than five 3s against for the playoffs.

        TRENDS:

        * Mavericks are 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings in Miami.
        * Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
        * Road team is 10-2-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

        LAST WORD: "I have to wear a splint probably for the rest of the playoffs, for a couple of weeks. But it will be all right." - Nowitzki on his finger injury.


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




        NBA


        Thursday, June 2


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Pick ‘n’ roll: Thursday’s best NBA bets
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat (-4.5, 186)

        Someone must have left the hen house door open because loud Chicken Little rants were the only words coming out from the mouths of NBA analysts.

        Yes, the sky must be falling for Maverick backers. Dallas is down 1-0 in its series against Miami, but it feels like Mark Cuban’s boys are a game away from being swept 4-0.

        We’re not buying all this hysteria.

        Sure, there were some concerning numbers from Tuesday’s boxscore. Miami outrebounded Dallas badly, particularly on the offensive glass. And yes, the Mavs lost despite limiting LeBron James and Dwyane Wade to seven combined free throw attempts.

        But let’s not pretend like that was the best Dallas has got – I mean, Jason Terry didn’t even score in the second half. The Western Conference champs are going to start hitting open jumpers and Miami’s defense isn’t going to look as airtight.

        "Offensively, that was a disaster for us," Terry told reporters after the game.

        Expect Dallas’ offense to get back on track and the Mavs to leave Miami with the NBA Finals all knotted up at a game apiece.

        Pick: Mavericks


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          MLB
          Dunkel



          Tampa Bay at Seattle

          The Rays look to build on their 5-0 record in James Shields' last 5 road starts. Tampa Bay is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Rays favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+100). Here are all of today's picks.

          THURSDAY, JUNE 2

          Game 951-952: Pittsburgh at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)

          Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Maholm) 15.336; NY Mets (Pelfrey) 15.438
          Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 7
          Vegas Line: NY Mets (-125); 7 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-125); Under

          Game 953-954: San Francisco at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Sanchez) 14.985; St. Louis (Garcia) 14.485
          Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 7 1/2
          Vegas Line: St. Louis (-170); 7
          Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+150); Over

          Game 955-956: Washington at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 15.826; Arizona (Duke) 14.872
          Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 8 1/2
          Vegas Line: Arizona (-125); 9
          Dunkel Pick: Washington (+105); Under

          Game 957-958: Houston at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Norris) 14.513; San Diego (Stauffer) 15.699
          Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 7
          Vegas Line: San Diego (-130); 6 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-130); Over

          Game 959-960: Texas at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Bush) 15.211; Cleveland (Carrasco) 16.901
          Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
          Vegas Line: Cleveland (-135); 9 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-135); Over

          Game 961-962: Minnesota at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Swarzak) 14.716; Kansas City (O'Sullivan) 15.076
          Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 8 1/2
          Vegas Line: Kansas City (-115); 9 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-115); Under

          Game 963-964: Tampa Bay at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Shields) 15.994; Seattle (Hernandez) 15.032
          Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 5 1/2
          Vegas Line: Seattle (-120); 6 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+100); Under

          Comment


          • #6
            MLB
            Write-Up


            Thursday, June 2


            Hot pitchers
            -- Pelfrey has a 1.91 RA in his last four home starts. Maholm has a 2.14 RA in his last five starts overall.
            -- Duke shut Houston out for seven innings in his '11 debut and also hit a 3-run homer. Zimmerman has a 3.28 RA in his last four starts.
            -- Stauffer is 1-1, 2.77 in his last couple starts; Padres are 5-1 when they give him more than two runs.

            -- Carrasco is 3-0, 4.15 in his last three starts; Indians scored 26 runs in those three games.
            -- Swarzak has 3.38 RA in two starts; he had a no-hitter in 7th inning in his last start.
            -- Shields is 5-2, 1.71 in his last eight starts. FHernandez is 1-1, 2.74 in his last three starts.

            Cold pitchers
            -- Giants lost last three Sanchez road starts (0-2, 5.21). Lynn was 5-3, 4.06 in 10 AAA starts; hitters are batting .284 against him.
            -- Norris is 0-3, 6.03 in his last five starts.

            -- Bush has 3.86 RA in two starts this year, but only lasted 7 innings total in the two games.
            -- Royals lost last three O'Sullivan starts (0-2, 13.80).

            Totals
            -- Over is 4-1-1 in last six games at Citi Field.
            -- Eight of last ten St Louis home games stayed under the total.
            -- Five of last six Washington road games went over the total.
            -- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine San Diego games.

            -- Four of last five Cleveland games went over the total.
            -- Four of last six Minnesota games went over the total.
            -- Under is 8-3-2 in Seattle's last thirteen home games.

            Hot Teams
            -- Pirates are 9-4 in their last thirteen games.
            -- Cardinals won six of their last eight home games.
            -- Arizona won 16 of its last 19 games.
            -- Astros won five of their last six road games. Padres won five of their last seven games.

            -- Rangers won seven of their last ten games. Indians won five of their last seven home games.
            -- Mariners won 11 of their last 14 games.

            Cold Teams
            -- Mets lost eight of their last eleven games.
            -- Giants lost six of their last nine games.
            -- Washington lost eight of its last eleven games.

            -- Kansas City lost eight of its last eleven games. Minnesota lost ten of its last twelve games.
            -- Tampa Bay lost eight of its last twelve games.

            Comment


            • #7
              MLB


              Thursday, June 2


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Trend Report
              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              1:10 PM
              PITTSBURGH vs. NY METS
              The total has gone OVER in 13 of Pittsburgh's last 17 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
              NY Mets are 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Pittsburgh

              7:05 PM
              TEXAS vs. CLEVELAND
              The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Texas's last 11 games on the road
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games
              Cleveland is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Texas
              The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 11 games when playing at home against Texas

              8:10 PM
              MINNESOTA vs. KANSAS CITY
              Minnesota is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
              The total has gone OVER in 19 of Minnesota's last 25 games when playing Kansas City
              The total has gone OVER in 19 of Kansas City's last 25 games when playing Minnesota
              Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota

              8:15 PM
              SAN FRANCISCO vs. ST. LOUIS
              San Francisco is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco
              St. Louis is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games

              9:40 PM
              WASHINGTON vs. ARIZONA
              The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Washington's last 22 games when playing on the road against Arizona
              Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
              Arizona is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games at home

              10:05 PM
              HOUSTON vs. SAN DIEGO
              The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Houston's last 18 games when playing on the road against San Diego
              Houston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Diego
              The total has gone UNDER in 15 of San Diego's last 18 games when playing at home against Houston
              San Diego is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

              10:10 PM
              TAMPA BAY vs. SEATTLE
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
              Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
              Seattle is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              Comment


              • #8
                MLB


                Thursday, June 2


                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                MLB Top 5: Best over umpire bets in baseball
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                One of the few advantages that MLB bettors have over oddsmakers is handicapping umpires.

                Oddsmakers don’t spend much - if any - time at all factoring in who is behind home plate when setting the odds for a particular day’s games.

                Bettors who know their umpires well can find added value when betting totals. Many umps have pronounced histories and trend either over or under.

                Here is a look at the Top 5 over umpires so far in 2011:

                Sam Holbrook: 90 percent (9 over, 1 under)

                Holbrook began his career as a Major League umpire in 1998 and worked his first World Series last season.

                Of all the umpires on this list, Holbrook has the strongest reputation as an over umpire. The over is 131-111 since 2002 when Holbrook is behind the plate and he’s had more overs than unders in four of the last five seasons.

                While the sample size is still relatively small (Holbrook is generally behind home plate between 30 and 35 games per year), his strike percentage (60.75) is 1.33 percent lower than his career average and his walks are up, too. That’s something worth monitoring as the season progresses.

                Scott Barry: 88.9 percent (8 over, 1 under)

                Barry has been umpiring big-league games since 2006 but didn’t achieve full-time status until earlier this year.

                Few umpires have been as controversial as Barry, who ejected three All-Stars in less than a week last August - Ivan Rodriguez, Ryan Zimmerman and Ryan Howard.

                Barry has only called games with single-digit totals so far, and the over is 6-1 in games where the total is eight runs or less. It will be interesting to see if more unders start hitting as Barry calls games with higher totals.

                In his brief career, Barry hasn’t trended one way or the other. He’s had 63 overs and 60 unders. Given his personality and his seeming desire to be a control freak, the guess here is that he eventually evolves into an under umpire.

                Tim McClelland: 80 percent (8 over, 2 under)

                McClelland is one of the most recognizable umpires in baseball, having been involved in a number of controversies and dustups, most notably the Sammy Sosa corked bat incident in 2003.

                From a betting perspective, though, McClelland couldn’t possibly be more anonymous. He hasn’t trended over or under throughout his career (the over is 140-134 since 2002) and his numbers have been fairly consistent across the board.

                The under was 16-14 last year, likely because the average runs per game when McClelland was behind the plate was 8.36 - about 1.34 runs lower than his career average.

                Hunter Wendelstedt: 80 percent (8 over, 2 under)

                Much like McClelland, Wendelstedt, an 11-year veteran, isn’t really known as an over or under umpire. In fact, of the 272 games he’s umped behind the plate, the over and under have each come in 136 times.

                Wendelstedt has, however, trended under in the last five years, as the under has come in more than the over four times during that span.

                This year, Wendelstedt’s two unders have come in games when the total was 7.5 runs. The over is 3-0 when the total is nine runs or more.

                Tim Tschida: 77.8 percent (7 over, 2 under)

                Of umpires who have called at least eight games, nobody has a lower strike percentage (60.1 percent) and a higher average runs per game (11.7) than 25-year veteran Tschida.

                The high scoring comes despite Tschida calling games with mostly low totals. Five of his games have had a total of eight runs or less, and the over is 4-1 in those games.


                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                Comment


                • #9
                  MLB


                  Thursday, June 2


                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Hot lines: Thursday's best MLB bets
                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  Texas Rangers at Cleveland Indians (-145, 9.5)

                  The Texas Rangers proved us wrong by getting the best of a hot David Price and his Tampa Bay Rays on Wednesday and this club looks to be in a good spot to keep its roll going against the Indians.

                  Texas has won nine of its last 11 meetings against the Tribe and what’s encouraging about this team is that it's starting to win games even when its lethal offense has an off day, or in Wednesday’s case, runs into a tough pitcher.

                  The Rangers made the most of their six hits against Tampa Bay with Nelson Cruz leading the way with three of those while Elvis Andrus chipped in with an RBI double in the eighth.

                  They’re up against Carlos Carrasco, who is 3-0 in his last three outings, but far from unhittable. He owns a 4.91 ERA and has just 32 strikeouts compared to 16 walks.

                  David Bush goes for the Rangers, looking to make an impression after spending the last three weeks in the bullpen. Hopefully the bats will give him some help.

                  Pick: Rangers


                  Washington Nationals at Arizona Diamondbacks (-125, 9)


                  After a two-month delay to his Diamondbacks debut, Zach Duke was well worth the wait.

                  Duke fired seven shutout innings while giving up just three hits in an 11-3 win at Houston, striking out four and walking one.

                  "I was able to get into a good rhythm early on and really pound the zone with my sinker, and that got me a lot of ground balls," Duke told reporters following the win. "The sinker was really good, got some outs with changeups and threw a couple of good curveballs as well. So, really, there wasn't anything that wasn't really on. I left a couple of cutters up, but that's about it."

                  If that wasn’t enough, he also swatted his first career homer, a three-run shot in the fourth inning. So all in all, a pretty decent day at the office.

                  Duke’s always had talent despite some terrible numbers last season. Maybe he just needed a change of scenery after spending the first six seasons of his career with the Pirates.

                  Pick: Diamondbacks


                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    MLB
                    Long Sheet


                    Thursday, June 2


                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    PITTSBURGH (26 - 28) at NY METS (25 - 30) - 1:10 PM
                    PAUL MAHOLM (L) vs. MIKE PELFREY (R)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    PITTSBURGH is 56-102 (-24.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
                    PITTSBURGH is 17-43 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
                    PITTSBURGH is 17-14 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
                    PITTSBURGH is 17-14 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    PITTSBURGH is 2-1 (+1.1 Units) against NY METS this season
                    2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

                    PAUL MAHOLM vs. NY METS since 1997
                    MAHOLM is 3-3 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 4.60 and a WHIP of 1.600.
                    His team's record is 4-4 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-2. (+2.9 units)

                    MIKE PELFREY vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
                    PELFREY is 3-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.480.
                    His team's record is 3-1 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    SAN FRANCISCO (30 - 25) at ST LOUIS (33 - 24) - 8:15 PM
                    JONATHAN SANCHEZ (L) vs. JAIME GARCIA (L)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    ST LOUIS is 22-11 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
                    ST LOUIS is 17-7 (+10.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
                    ST LOUIS is 33-12 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                    SAN FRANCISCO is 133-100 (+24.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                    SAN FRANCISCO is 57-35 (+18.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
                    SAN FRANCISCO is 66-58 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
                    SAN FRANCISCO is 132-98 (+26.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
                    SAN FRANCISCO is 91-61 (+25.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
                    SANCHEZ is 19-9 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
                    ST LOUIS is 116-99 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
                    ST LOUIS is 34-35 (-15.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    SAN FRANCISCO is 4-2 (+2.2 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
                    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.7 Units)

                    JONATHAN SANCHEZ vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
                    SANCHEZ is 1-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 2.51 and a WHIP of 1.465.
                    His team's record is 3-0 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-0. (+3.1 units)

                    JAIME GARCIA vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
                    GARCIA is 1-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.857.
                    His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.4 units)

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    WASHINGTON (24 - 31) at ARIZONA (31 - 25) - 9:40 PM
                    JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R) vs. ZACH DUKE (L)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    WASHINGTON is 19-39 (-17.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
                    WASHINGTON is 4-22 (-17.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
                    WASHINGTON is 6-26 (-17.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
                    ARIZONA is 31-25 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                    ARIZONA is 31-25 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                    ARIZONA is 23-17 (+9.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
                    ARIZONA is 31-47 (-17.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                    JORDAN ZIMMERMANN vs. ARIZONA since 1997
                    No recent starts.

                    ZACH DUKE vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
                    DUKE is 2-2 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 5.19 and a WHIP of 1.702.
                    His team's record is 2-4 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+1.9 units)

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    HOUSTON (22 - 34) at SAN DIEGO (24 - 32) - 10:05 PM
                    BUD NORRIS (R) vs. TIM STAUFFER (R)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    SAN DIEGO is 57-47 (+12.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
                    SAN DIEGO is 114-105 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                    SAN DIEGO is 9-25 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
                    SAN DIEGO is 5-17 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
                    SAN DIEGO is 9-20 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
                    SAN DIEGO is 9-20 (-12.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less this season.
                    SAN DIEGO is 9-20 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    HOUSTON is 2-2 (+0.2 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
                    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

                    BUD NORRIS vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
                    NORRIS is 1-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.12 and a WHIP of 1.118.
                    His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.1 units)

                    TIM STAUFFER vs. HOUSTON since 1997
                    STAUFFER is 0-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 7.27 and a WHIP of 1.499.
                    His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    TEXAS (30 - 26) at CLEVELAND (33 - 20) - 7:05 PM
                    DAVE BUSH (R) vs. CARLOS CARRASCO (R)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    BUSH is 8-27 (-17.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
                    BUSH is 29-61 (-27.4 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
                    BUSH is 27-56 (-24.7 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
                    CLEVELAND is 22-10 (+14.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
                    CLEVELAND is 18-12 (+8.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                    CLEVELAND is 33-20 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                    CLEVELAND is 19-6 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
                    CLEVELAND is 30-17 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                    CLEVELAND is 23-11 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
                    CLEVELAND is 25-13 (+15.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
                    TEXAS is 25-16 (+12.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                    DAVE BUSH vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
                    BUSH is 0-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 5.55 and a WHIP of 1.233.
                    His team's record is 2-2 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+1.8 units)

                    CARLOS CARRASCO vs. TEXAS since 1997
                    CARRASCO is 0-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.200.
                    His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    MINNESOTA (17 - 37) at KANSAS CITY (25 - 30) - 8:10 PM
                    ANTHONY SWARZAK (R) vs. SEAN O'SULLIVAN (R)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    MINNESOTA is 10-26 (-14.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
                    MINNESOTA is 17-37 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                    MINNESOTA is 15-32 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                    MINNESOTA is 12-29 (-15.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
                    O'SULLIVAN is 17-12 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
                    O'SULLIVAN is 14-7 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
                    MINNESOTA is 98-61 (+24.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
                    KANSAS CITY is 218-325 (-93.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    KANSAS CITY is 4-1 (+3.6 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
                    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

                    ANTHONY SWARZAK vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
                    No recent starts.

                    SEAN O'SULLIVAN vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
                    O'SULLIVAN is 1-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.920.
                    His team's record is 2-1 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-0. (+3.1 units)

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    TAMPA BAY (29 - 26) at SEATTLE (28 - 27) - 10:10 PM
                    JAMES SHIELDS (R) vs. FELIX HERNANDEZ (R)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    SHIELDS is 8-14 (-11.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
                    SEATTLE is 21-10 (+11.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
                    HERNANDEZ is 29-13 (+14.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
                    TAMPA BAY is 64-44 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
                    TAMPA BAY is 57-37 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
                    SEATTLE is 87-121 (-32.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
                    SEATTLE is 45-82 (-35.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
                    SEATTLE is 90-127 (-33.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

                    JAMES SHIELDS vs. SEATTLE since 1997
                    SHIELDS is 3-3 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 2.80 and a WHIP of 1.042.
                    His team's record is 5-4 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-8. (-7.3 units)

                    FELIX HERNANDEZ vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
                    HERNANDEZ is 2-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.42 and a WHIP of 1.077.
                    His team's record is 6-1 (+4.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+0.6 units)

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      NBA
                      Long Sheet


                      Thursday, June 2


                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      DALLAS (69 - 29) at MIAMI (71 - 27) - 6/2/2011, 9:00 PM
                      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      DALLAS is 4-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
                      DALLAS is 6-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
                      5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        MLB
                        Short Sheet


                        Thursday, June 2


                        National League

                        PITTSBURGH at NY METS, 1:10 PM ET
                        MLB
                        MAHOLM: PITTSBURGH is 13-35 after 2 straight games with no home runs
                        PELFREY: NY METS are 20-7 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125

                        SAN FRANCISCO at ST LOUIS, 8:15 PM ET MLB
                        SANCHEZ: 19-9 TSR in night games
                        LYNN: ST LOUIS 51-31 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive home games

                        WASHINGTON at ARIZONA, 9:40 PM ET
                        ZIMMERMANN: WASHINGTON 17-44 on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10
                        DUKE: ARIZONA 10-4 after a one run win

                        HOUSTON at SAN DIEGO, 10:05 PM ET
                        NORRIS: HOUSTON 2-10 after sweeping a 3 game series on the road against a division rival
                        STAUFFER: SAN DIEGO 57-47 after a loss

                        American League

                        TEXAS at CLEVELAND, 7:05 PM ET

                        BUSH: 29-61 TSR in road games
                        CARRASCO: CLEVELAND 9-1 after scoring 8 runs or more

                        MINNESOTA at KANSAS CITY, 8:10 PM ET MLB
                        SWARZAK: MINNESOTA 12-29 against right-handed starters
                        O'SULLIVAN: 14-7 TSR in night games

                        TAMPA BAY at SEATTLE, 10:10 PM ET
                        SHIELDS: TAMPA BAY 64-44 against the money line in road games
                        HERNANDEZ: SEATTLE 90-127 against the money line in all games

                        ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

                        Comment

                        Working...
                        X