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  • The Bum's Saturday's MLB Best Bets !

    Shields tries to hand Cleveland its 4th straight loss

    CLEVELAND INDIANS (30-18)

    at TAMPA BAY RAYS (27-23)


    First pitch: Saturday, 4:10 p.m. EDT
    Line: Tampa Bay -180, Cleveland +170, Total: 7.5

    Tampa Bay right-hander James Shields will look to make it two in a row over Cleveland when the teams meet on Saturday afternoon at Tropicana Field.

    Shields (5-2, 2.00 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, 73 K in 76.2 IP) had been 0-4 with a 4.06 ERA in six starts against the Indians prior to his matchup on May 12. But in that game, he limited Cleveland to seven hits and two runs in seven innings of a 7-4 Rays victory. In 44.2 innings versus Cleveland, he has 53 strikeouts. The right-hander dominated Florida in his most recent start last Sunday, throwing a complete-game, three-hit shutout with a career-best 13 strikeouts and just one walk. In his last home start against the Yankees, he took the loss after giving up three earned runs in seven innings. Shields, who has the AL’s third-lowest ERA behind Josh Beckett (1.69) and Alexi Ogando (1.81), also has a stellar 2.11 ERA at Tropicana Field this season. But he’s just 1-2 in five home starts because of a paltry 11 total runs of support.

    Cleveland will try to break a three-game losing streak by sending Carlos Carrasco (3-2, 5.16 ERA, 1.43 WHIP) to the mound. The right-hander has won two straight games since losing to the Rays on May 11. In that contest, his lone career outing versus the Rays, he allowed four earned runs and six hits in five innings. But in his past two starts, he defeated Kansas City 7-3 on May 17 by giving up two runs in 5.1 innings and beat Cincinnati 12-4 on May 22 by surrendering four runs in six innings. Carrasco has been much better on the road this year, as he’s 2-0 with a 3.58 ERA in five away starts in 2011 (7.64 home ERA). In 27.2 innings outside of Cleveland, he has 21 strikeouts and has only allowed one home run.

    With Friday’s 5-0 victory behind David Price’s 12-strikeout effort, the Rays are 3-1 against Cleveland this year, and 9-1 in their past 10 contests against the Indians at Tropicana Field. They are also 8-2 with Shields on the mound this year. The pick here is Tampa Bay, which is backed up by this four-star FoxSheets trend.

    Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (CLEVELAND) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL. (103-25 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.5%, +56.5 units. Rating = 4*).
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    King Felix looks to retain dominance over Yankees


    NEW YORK YANKEES (27-22)

    at SEATTLE MARINERS (25-25)


    First pitch: Saturday, 10:10 p.m. EDT
    Line: Seattle -130, New York +120, Total: 7

    Reigning AL Cy Young Award winner Felix Hernandez will try to pitch his blazing hot Mariners over the .500 mark as Seattle attempts to beat the Yankees for the second straight night on Saturday. The Mariners are 8-1 in their past nine games after defeating New York 4-3 on Friday.

    The Yankees will send Ivan Nova (4-3, 4.29 ERA) to the mound Saturday. New York is 4-1 in Nova’s five May starts, including his last outing Sunday against the Mets when he allowed three runs and 11 hits in 6.2 innings, and got a no-decision in a 9-3 victory. Nova has pitched very well in three road starts this year, going 2-0 with a 2.65 ERA and 1.12 WHIP. The 24-year-old right-hander from the Dominican Republic has never faced Seattle, which has the worst BA (.232) and slugging percentage (.334) in the American League.

    Hernandez (5-4, 3.01 ERA) has allowed two runs or less in seven of his past eight starts. This includes an impressive outing at San Diego last Sunday when he racked up a career-high-tying 13 strikeouts in eight innings, allowing just one run on six hits and zero walks. Hernandez, who has a 1.46 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in three games at Safeco Field this year, absolutely dominated the Yankees in three starts against them last year. He allowed just one run in 26 innings (0.35 ERA) with 31 strikeouts, and held New York to a .176 BA. Despite the success in 2010, Hernandez has had past problems with some Yankees bats including Mark Teixeira (.298 BA, 3 HR in 47 AB), Curtis Granderson (.324 BA in 34 AB) and Nick Swisher (4 HR in 34 AB). But he has done a nice job against veteran New Yorkers Alex Rodriguez, Derek Jeter and Jorge Posada, limiting the trio to a paltry .326 slugging percentage in 46 at-bats.

    Seattle hasn’t carried a W-L record above .500 since its 2-1 start, but they are about to end this streak on Saturday. Place your wager on Hernandez and the Mariners whose bullpen has allowed just 2 ER in the past 23.2 IP (0.76 ERA).

    The FoxSheets also support picking Seattle with these two highly-rated pitching trends:

    Play On - All favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (SEATTLE) - below average AL hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), with a starting pitcher who strikes out 5 or more batters per start. (185-85 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.5%, +64.9 units. Rating = 3*).

    SEATTLE is 13-3 (81.3%, +12.4 Units) against the money line after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no runs this season. The average score was SEATTLE 4.1, OPPONENT 3.0 - (Rating = 3*).
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      MLB Betting: Giants and Brewers at Milwaukee

      The Milwaukee Brewers came into this series against the San Francisco Giants with the best home record in the National League and will host the defending World Series champions in the middle game of a three-game set at Miller Park with the first pitch scheduled for 1:10 p.m. (PT) Saturday afternoon.

      The Brewers entered the series having won all six games on its current nine-game homestand, outscoring opponents 37-22 over that span. The club has been favored in five of those six contests and will likely be the listed chalk against the Giants in each game this weekend.

      Milwaukee owns baseball’s best home batting average at .291 this season, which is drastically better than its .220 mark outside of Miller Park.

      Southpaw Randy Wolf (4-4, 3.70 ERA) will look to keep the club’s streak alive, coming in off his first win since April 24. He managed to last seven innings and allowed just one run on four hits in 3-1 home victory over the Rockies.

      Wolf has compiled a winning 2-1 record during the day during the 2011 campaign, but his 5.24 daytime ERA is nearly three runs higher than at night (2.75). Opponents are hitting .330 against him while basking in the sun compared to .224 under the lights.

      The veteran has enjoyed great success against the Giants in his career, producing a 9-5 mark and 2.86 ERA in 18 career starts. He faced them twice last year and allowed five runs (one earned) in 16 frames.

      San Francisco dropped three straight home games before heading out on the road and the clubhouse is still dealing with the loss of catcher Buster Posey for at least two months due to a home plate collision on Wednesday night.

      “That’s our cleanup hitter and one of the best hitters in baseball. I’ll do my best and play my game, but I’m not going to try to be Buster Posey,” said Giants backup catcher Eli Whiteside.

      The Giants should remain confident heading into the Memorial Day weekend knowing they sit atop the National League West standings and have taken seven of the last eight meetings in Milwaukee.

      Giants starting pitcher Jonathan Sanchez (3-3, 3.47 ERA) will be making his 11th start of the season and the club has alternated wins and losses over his last seven outings. Sanchez led the club to a 5-4 home win over Oakland last time out in a no-decision effort, tossing six strong innings and surrendering just a single run on five hits. The one run allowed was courtesy of the long ball and the left-hander has allowed a single home run in four straight starts.

      The 28-year-old has made nine career appearances (five starts) versus the Brewers, registering a 1-1 mark and 6.83 ERA, with seven of those outings occurring at today’s venue. He hasn’t allowed a single home run to anyone on Milwaukee’s current roster, but he must be careful in pitching to first baseman Prince Fielder, who is 5-for-12 (.417) with two RBIs against him.

      Total players will find that the ‘under’ is 9-1-3 in Sanchez’s last 13 road starts, which fits nicely with the Brewers falling short of the number in five of Wolf’s last six outings overall.

      Weather forecasts suggest mostly cloudy skies in the Milwaukee area with highs in the low-60s, with northeasterly winds of 10-15 mph. It’s certainly not out of the question that the players will be playing under the retractable roof Saturday.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        MLB Odds: LA Dodgers, Marlins continue series

        Game 2 of a 3-game series between the Florida Marlins and Los Angeles Dodgers remains in limbo as far as the pitching matchup. Los Angeles will send Hiroki Kuroda (5-5, 3.11) to the mound at Dodger Stadium but Florida has yet to decide on its initial hurler.

        First pitch Saturday is slated for 7:10 p.m. (PT) under what should be clear skies and a near perfect evening in Los Angeles with temps in the mid-to-upper 60s.

        The Marlins' rotation is in flux due to ace Josh Johnson being on the disabled list with a sore right shoulder. The club originally called up Jay Buente to take his place last Sunday in an interleague contest at home against the Rays, but when Florida tried to run Buente back to Triple-A New Orleans, he failed to clear waivers with Tampa Bay putting in a claim.

        "It might be a bullpen day," Marlins manager Edwin Rodriguez told the Palm Beach Sun-Sentinel about his pitching plans for Saturday. "It might be one of the guys in the minor leagues. We don't know."

        If it is a 'bullpen day,' Brian Sanches might be the most logical pick to begin the proceedings despite not having started a major league game before. He last worked on May 22, tossing three scoreless frames vs. Tampa Bay.

        Edward Mujica and Burke Badenhop are two more relievers who could get the call to start or be in line behind whoever does.

        Marlins relievers entered the series having enjoyed a day off on Thursday when Anibal Sanchez tossed a complete-game shutout to finish off the sweep in San Francisco.

        Should the Marlins dip into their Triple-A roster for a pitcher, it could be former Houston Astros hurler Chris Sampson. The right-hander caught on with Florida in late-April after he was released by Houston, and Saturday is his regularly-scheduled day to pitch for the New Orleans Zephyrs.

        Kuroda has been a mixed bag this season with three pretty awful starts to go with seven quality outings. The righty is off one of those bad games, charged with six runs (four earned) and nine hits in 5 2/3 innings at the Chicago White Sox last Sunday.

        This will be his sixth start against the Fish with LA 3-2 in the previous five. Both losses came in Kuroda starts at Chavez Ravine, including one last July when he faced Johnson who tossed eight shutout innings of a 4-0 win as the 120 road favorite.

        While the Marlins are making do without the ace of their rotation, Don Mattingly is trying to piecemeal a Dodgers bullpen that has been decimated by injuries. Closer Jonathan Broxton (elbow) is the main cog missing, and he's joined on the DL by fellow relievers Vicente Padilla (forearm), Blake Hawksworth (groin) and Hong-Chih Kuo (anxiety).

        Los Angeles is reportedly bringing third baseman Casey Blake (elbow) off the DL to play at some point in this series, possibly as early as Friday.

        Florida took two of three from the Dodgers at home earlier this season after winning four of six during the 2010 season. The Marlins and the 'over' went 2-1 at Chavez Ravine last year.

        Friday's series opener (result pending) found Los Angeles carrying a -115 line with Jon Garland on the hill against the Marlins' Javier Vazquez. The series comes to a close Sunday when Florida sends Ricky Nolasco to the mound opposite LA ace Clayton Kershaw.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          Fox Saturday Baseball

          May 27, 2011


          Most everyone is out of the office and behind a grill as they enjoy the extended weekend that Memorial Day provides. Saturday night will have plenty of people in front of the televisions as well with UFC 130 going on, but there are also some good baseball matchups on Fox. Let’s take a look at a few of those tests.

          Red Sox at Tigers – 7:00 p.m. EDT, Fox

          The Red Sox couldn’t buy a run when the season got underway. Now the only it seems that can stop Boston’s offense is Mother Nature, scoring 14 runs in the series finale at Cleveland and another 14 in a rain shortened opener at Comerica Park with the Tigers.

          Clay Buchholz (4-3, 3.30) is the man with the ball for Boston on Saturday night. The Red Sox had a four-game win streak snapped with the young Texan on the mound as they lost 3-2 to the Tribe on Monday. It’s hard to fault him in that game as he went 7.1 innings and gave up just two earned runs on four hits. Buchholz has lasted at least seven innings in his last three starts, giving up no more than two earned runs in those outings. It can be argued that he has been the most consistent pitcher for the Red Sox in 2011, having just one bad start back in April (3.1 IP, 4 ER vs. NYY) as his only blemish.

          Detroit will be looking towards Andrew Oliver (0-0, 0.00) to give them a good outing in his first start since getting called up from Toledo of the AAA International League. The young southpaw has gone 4-3 with an earned run average of 3.31 in his nine starts in the minors. While those are so-so stats, you can’t ignore that he has 49 strikeouts to just 20 walks and a WHIP of 1.26. Oliver will have his work cut out for him against a Boston side that is hitting .271 with 19 home runs against left-handed pitching in 2011.

          Boston does hit lefties quite well, but aren’t getting the wins. The Red Sox have been road favorites three times this season against southpaws. They’ve limped into this role with an 0-3 mark with the ‘over’ going 2-1. That ‘over’ play could continue in this game since it is on a 6-1 run for the Motor City Kitties right now.

          Reds at Braves – 7:00 p.m. EDT, Fox

          The Reds and Braves both made it into the playoffs last season. There were reasonable expectations that they’d repeat the feat this year as well. And while they still have a chance to do so, they’ll both have to jump two teams in their respective divisions to do it.

          Cincinnati is a bit nervous about Bronson Arroyo (3-5, 5.28) making this start for them. The former Red Sox hurler lasted just 2.2 innings in a 10-3 loss at Philadelphia on Monday with back pain. The Reds’ medical staff performed an MRI and saw nothing wrong and deemed his issue as nothing more than a muscle strain. Arroyo has enjoyed some success versus the Bravos, going 6-3 with a 5.29 ERA in 13 career appearances against them. Plus, he’s won his last two starts against Atlanta.

          The Reds will be facing off against Derek Lowe (3-4, 3.53) for the first time this season. Lowe’s record doesn’t show it, but Atlanta has enjoyed success with him on the mound. The Braves are 5-3 in his last eight starts, with all five of those wins coming when he threw at Turner Field. Lowe has also gone 4-2 with a 3.00 ERA in five starts against Cincinnati. The Braves are actually 6-1 as home favorites when Lowe is pitching for them in the regular season.

          Atlanta took last year’s meetings with a 3-2 advantage, winning both matches at home. The ‘over’ was 3-2 in those tests as well. But we should pay attention to the ‘under’ as it is 7-3 in the previous 10 head-to-head matchups.

          Cardinals at Rockies – 7:00 p.m. EDT, Fox

          It wasn’t all that long ago that the Rockies were sitting atop the National League West, looking like a team that could contend in late October. Then reality came and delivered a Chuck Norris roundhouse kick to their collective sacks. Prior to entering this three-game series with the Cardinals, Colorado had dropped 18 of its last 26 games on the schedule.

          Colorado will be looking to change things up on Saturday night as Juan Nicasio (0-0, 0.00) will be making his Major League debut at Coors Field. There is a lot of optimism for the Rox with the rookie right-hander on the mound. Nicasio has gone 5-1 with a 2.22 ERA in nine starts for Tulsa of the AA Texas League. Plus, he has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 6:1 and a WHIP of 1.02 in that stretch for the Drillers.

          The Cards turn to Jaime Garcia (5-0, 1.93), who is fast becoming one of the best pitchers in the game. St. Louis has gone 7-3 in Garcia’s 10 starts this year, covering the run line in seven of those contests to boot. The Cardinals have won his last two road starts, but he is coming off of arguably his worst start of the season (5.0 IP, 7 H, 3 ER at KC) last Sunday. Garcia has pitched just one time in his career at Coors Field, giving up four runs (two earned) on nine hits in 5.1 innings of work.

          Colorado might seem like the team to fade in this spot, but you’d be wrong. The Rockies have actually gone 5-3 in their last eight games as home pups against lefties.
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            Run Line & ML Standings

            May 28, 2011

            It’s easy enough to locate the MLB standings every day. Just open up any sports page, or click into any sports website worth its salt, and the standings are easy to find.

            Wagerers value won-loss records, too, but there’s a different measuring device most “players” want to be abreast of as well. Money line and run line standings provide an extra barometer for handicappers to consult as they make their daily selections. Shorter-term calculations are going to provide more illuminating as the season progresses, however, so we are providing both full season and one-week numbers vs. the money line and run line.

            Following records are through games of May 27

            MONEY LINE STANDINGS

            AL WEST

            Seattle +170
            LA Angels -25
            Texas -174
            Oakland -578

            AL WEST SINCE MAY 21...

            Seattle +400
            Oakland -16
            LA Angels -47
            Texas -82

            AL CENTRAL

            Cleveland +1582
            Kansas City +116
            Detroit -244
            Chicago White Sox -662
            Minnesota -1468

            AL CENTRAL SINCE MAY 21...

            Cleveland +10
            Detroit -40
            Chicago White Sox -161
            Kansas City -322
            Minnesota -438

            AL EAST

            Baltimore +118
            Toronto +104
            Tampa Bay +56
            NY Yankees -298
            Boston -316

            AL EAST SINCE MAY 21...

            Baltimore +400
            Boston +228
            Toronto -96
            Tampa Bay -160
            NY Yankees -168

            NL WEST

            Arizona +722
            San Francisco +394
            LA Dodgers -865
            San Diego -952
            Colorado -1104

            NL WEST SINCE MAY 21...

            Arizona +626
            San Francisco -49
            LA Dodgers -242
            San Diego -397
            Colorado -722

            NL CENTRAL

            St. Louis +589
            Pittsburgh +395
            Milwaukee +126
            Cincinnati -287
            Chicago Cubs -488
            Houston -945

            NL CENTRAL SINCE MAY 21...

            St. Louis +438
            Milwaukee +382
            Houston +51
            Chicago Cubs +43
            Pittsburgh -93
            Cincinnati -248

            NL EAST

            Florida +899
            Philadelphia +689
            Washington +7
            Atlanta -142
            NY Mets -208

            NL EAST SINCE MAY 21...

            Florida +297
            Philadelphia +236
            Atlanta -13
            NY Mets -400
            Washington -400

            RUN LINE STANDINGS

            AL WEST

            Texas +462
            LA Angels +337
            Seattle -67
            Oakland -168

            AL WEST SINCE MAY 21...

            LA Angels +615
            Seattle +224
            Texas -226
            Oakland -303

            AL CENTRAL

            Cleveland +1354
            Detroit +400
            Kansas City -95
            Chicago White Sox -650
            Minnesota -1100

            AL CENTRAL SINCE MAY 21...

            Detroit -50
            Kansas City -133
            Cleveland -188
            Minnesota -232
            Chicago White Sox -266

            AL EAST

            Toronto +579
            Boston -84
            NY Yankees -260
            Tampa Bay -295
            Baltimore -1297

            AL EAST SINCE MAY 21...

            Boston +323
            NY Yankees +255
            Toronto +142
            Baltimore +66
            Tampa Bay -32

            NL WEST

            Colorado +944
            Arizona +73
            San Diego -1266
            LA Dodgers -1301
            San Francisco -1554

            NL WEST SINCE MAY 21...

            Arizona +144
            San Francisco -119
            San Diego -157
            Colorado -265
            LA Dodgers -717

            NL CENTRAL

            St. Louis +1106
            Cincinnati +537
            Pittsburgh -346
            Houston -586
            Chicago Cubs -681
            Milwaukee -798

            NL CENTRAL SINCE MAY 21...

            Chicago Cubs +67
            St. Louis +66
            Milwaukee +61
            Cincinnati -132
            Pittsburgh -225
            Houston -371

            NL EAST

            Philadelphia +431
            Florida +350
            Atlanta +306
            NY Mets +260
            Washington -193

            NL EAST SINCE MAY 21...

            Florida +366
            Atlanta +286
            Philadelphia +266
            Washington -337
            NY Mets -596
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #7
              Saturday, May 28

              Game Score Status Pick Amount

              Pittsburgh - 1:05 PM ET Pittsburgh +111 500
              Chi. Cubs - Under 9.5 500

              San Diego - 1:05 PM ET Washington -138 500
              Washington - Over 7 500

              Chi. White Sox - 1:07 PM ET Toronto -117 500
              Toronto - Over 8 500

              Cleveland - 4:10 PM ET Tampa Bay -174 500
              Tampa Bay - Under 7.5 500

              San Francisco - 4:10 PM ET San Francisco +131 500
              Milwaukee - Under 7.5 500

              Arizona - 7:05 PM ET Arizona +111 500
              Houston - Under 8.5 500

              Boston - 7:10 PM ET Detroit +143 500
              Detroit - Under 9 500

              Cincinnati - 7:10 PM ET Atlanta -146 500
              Atlanta - Over 7.5 500

              Philadelphia - 7:10 PM ET NY Mets +138 500
              NY Mets - Under 7 500

              Kansas City - 7:10 PM ET Texas -194 500
              Texas - Over 9.5 500

              LA Angels - 7:10 PM ET LA Angels -164 500
              Minnesota - Over 7.5 500

              St. Louis - 7:10 PM ET St. Louis -128 500
              Colorado - Under 8.5 500

              Baltimore - 10:05 PM ET Baltimore +135 500
              Oakland - Over 7.5 500

              NY Yankees - 10:10 PM ET Seattle -135 500
              Seattle - Under 7 500

              Florida - 10:10 PM ET Florida +117 500
              LA Dodgers - Under 7 500
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment

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