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  • The Bum's Sunday's MLB Best Bets !

    Chicago Cubs, Red Sox finish MLB betting series

    NOTE: The Cubs announced a late pitching change with James Russell starting in place of Matt Garza.

    Major League Baseball had been waiting for this matchup for nearly a century and now the Chicago Cubs and Boston Red Sox play the series finale at Fenway Park Sunday night in front of a national audience, with the first pitch scheduled for 5:05 p.m. on ESPN.

    Before Boston’s 15-5 blowout victory Friday night, Chicago had not played in front of the Green Monster since losing the 1918 World Series. The series has been greeted by incredible enthusiasm from the fans, especially those from the Windy City.

    “There hasn’t been energy like this since the ’04 World Series,” said Sly Egidio, who has sold programs outside of Fenway for 20 years. “There’s more Cubs fans, I think. This is the most road fans I’ve ever seen, I feel like I’m selling at Wrigley again.”

    Chicago is hoping the excitement of playing in this type of environment will jump start its play against American League opponents, as the club began this three-game set with a 98-107 all-time record in interleague play. The Cubs went 8-10 versus the Junior Circuit in 2010.

    Cubs starting pitcher Matt Garza (2-4, 3.72) is no stranger to pitching at tonight’s venue, spending his first five seasons in the American League, including his last three with the Rays. The right-hander has registered a solid 7-4 record and 3.83 ERA in 19 career appearances (18 starts) versus the Red Sox.

    He will be toeing the rubber for the ninth time at Fenway Park, producing a 5-3 mark and 3.75 ERA. Garza will need pay special attention to throwing against Red Sox designated hitter David Ortiz, who has blasted four home runs off of him in 29 plate appearances.

    Boston has now played each of the 30 MLB teams during the regular season both at home and on the road and is likely wanting to switch leagues due to its recent success versus the Senior Circuit. The Red Sox tallied an impressive 13-5 mark against National League opponents during the 2010 campaign and began the year with the fourth-best record at 140-107.

    May has been a blessing for the club, ranking second in the majors with an AL-high .279 team batting average during the month, trailing only the Cubs (.288). Boston had won eight of 10 heading into the middle game of the series and has the chance to end the weekend atop the division standings.

    Red Sox veteran knuckleballer Tim Wakefield (0-1, 5.40) is set to make his 12th appearance (third start) of the season and hasn’t seen action in 11 days since a relief outing at Toronto. The right-hander suffered through a miserable start the last time he was at home, surrendering a season-high eight runs (six earned) and nine hits in just 4 1/3 innings of work.

    In six career outings (five starts) against tonight’s opponent, Wakefield has garnered a 3-1 mark and 3.68 ERA.

    He may elect to pitch around Cubs outfielder Alfonso Soriano, a batter that has gone 11-for-36 against him (.306), leaving the yard four times.

    Home plate umpire Ed Hickox can certainly be categorized as “pitcher-friendly” this season. His 10 games have averaged just 7.40 runs per contest, causing the ‘under’ to cash six times. Both of today’s scheduled starters have thrown in Hickox’s zone just once in their careers, leading their teams to victory in both instances.

    Weather forecasts call for cloudy skies Sunday evening in the Boston area with temperatures in the low-50s for the first pitch and a 5-10 southeasterly breeze. A 30 percent chance of showers may affect the game in the middle-to-late innings.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    MLB Betting: Oakland A's at San Francisco Giants

    The San Francisco Giants and Oakland Athletics renewed their interleague rivalry on Friday with exactly the kind of game you'd expect from two clubs steeped in pitching.

    San Francisco pulled out a 2-1, 10-inning victory as small home 'dogs against Trevor Cahill and the A's to get the Bay Bridge Series going, and Sunday's finale to the set holds just as much promise with another solid matchup on the mound. Left-hander Gio Gonzalez is scheduled for Oakland against the Giants' Jonathan Sanchez in the 1:05 p.m. (PT) start at AT&T Park.

    The Giants went into Saturday afternoon's contest with a game-&-a-half lead over the Rockies in the NL West standings. Tim Lincecum was scheduled to pitch the middle game of the set for San Fran opposite Oakland's Brett Anderson. The Giants were 150 chalk in the contest and carried a 7-game win streak at home vs. the Athletics into the battle.

    Friday's defeat dropped the A's to a game below .500 at 22-23, but still very much in the thick of the race in the AL West where all four clubs headed into Saturday action just 2.5-games apart.

    Sanchez (5-4, 3.71) is just 1-2 with a 5.50 ERA in May after a very solid April. The results have been better at home overall with the Giants 3-1 in his four outings at AT&T Park, including his only win this month.

    San Francisco was 3-1 in his four interleague assignments last season, but the one loss was to the A's. This will be his fourth career start vs. Oakland, but his first against the Athletics at home. The Giants are 1-2 in the previous three outings with Sanchez owning a 3.16 lifetime ERA against Oakland that includes five relief appearances in 2006-07.

    A string of three consecutive wins in his hip pocket, Gonzalez (5-3, 2.31) is coming off a 7-inning, 1-hit performance in Oakland's 14-0 home rout of the Angels this past Tuesday. He made two starts against the Giants last season, a dominating performance in a win at home and a rough outing at AT&T Park in a 6-2 loss (5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 2 HR).

    Gonzalez has just one other start vs. the G-Men, a losing effort in Oakland during the 2009 season in which he failed to make it through the fourth inning of a 6-3 defeat.

    Oakland is close to getting closer Andrew Bailey back in the bullpen. The right-hander has yet to pitch in the majors this season due to a forearm injury and was just sent to Sacramento for a rehab assignment.

    San Francisco recently sent Mark DeRosa to the DL with a torn tendon in his left wrist, a potentially career-ending injury. It's the same wrist he had surgery on a year ago.

    Dale Scott should be under the mask and working the plate for Sunday's game, setting up an interesting dilemma for bettors. Eight of Scott's previous 10 plate assignments this season have gone 'over' the total, including two games this season that had marquee-name mound matchups (Justin Verlander vs. CC Sabathia and Ubaldo Jimenez vs. Josh Johnson).

    The 'over' was 19-15-2 in Scott's 36 contests a year ago.

    The thermometer is only expected to climb into the upper-50s in San Francisco on Sunday, but skies should be clear. A strong west wind up to 20 mph is in the forecast (out to center).

    A rematch between the two clubs is scheduled for June 17-19 in Oakland. The A's are 23-17 vs. the Giants since 1997 at home.

    San Francisco will take Monday off before opening a 3-game series with the Marlins on Tuesday. The A's will head south down the coast to Anaheim for a 4-game series with the Angels that begins Monday.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Sunday's Tips

      May 21, 2011


      The first round of interleague play winds up on Sunday, and there’s been no shortage of quality for us to watch. The final day of comingling before the middle of June offers up some good tests. As far as the national television audience is concerned, we’ll see a Big Apple brawl with a primetime test between two of baseball’s more storied clubs.

      Cubs at Red Sox – 8:05 p.m. EDT, ESPN

      Don’t look now, but the Red Sox are starting to get hot. Boston is sitting just a ½-game behind the Rays for the lead in the American League East. That tends to happen when you’re riding a seven-game win streak. The Cubbies are just hoping to find a way to get closer to .500 at the moment. At least they still know how to be lovable losers.

      Chicago is turning to Matt Garza (2-4, 3.72) to finish this series off with a bang. All hasn’t gone well for Garza in his first full year as a National League hurler. The Cubs have alternated wins and losses in his last five starts of the season, most recent being a 7-5 loss at Cincinnati on May 17. Although, that can’t really be blamed on him since he did give up three runs in six innings of work, none of them were of the earned variety. There is a silver lining to Garza in the fact that he leads all pitchers in Major League Baseball with 10.99 strikeouts per nine innings pitched. He also boasts a 7-4 record with an earned run average of 3.83 in his 19 appearances against the Red Sox when he was with Tampa Bay.

      The Red Sox will hand the starting duties to knuckleballer Tim Wakefield (0-1, 5.40) on Sunday night. Wakefield will be making his third start of the campaign against the Cubbies, replacing the disabled list-bound John Lackey. It’s anyone’s guess as to what kind of effort we’ll see from the Boston stalwart. Will they get the guy that tossed 5.1 innings of one-run ball against Seattle or the one that got shelled for eight runs in 4.1 innings of work versus Minnesota? History dictates that Wakefield should be strong enough against the Cubbies, having gone 3-1 with a 3.68 ERA in his six career games against them. Of course, that last appearance happened in June 2005.

      One thing is certain for bettors is that Boston rarely loses against teams from the Senior Circuit. The Red Sox are 37-11 over that last five years at home versus NL foes. That includes an impressive 11-1 run.

      Mets at Yankees – 1:05 p.m. EDT, TBS

      Many would expect the Yankees to be firing on all cylinders at this point, while the Mets found new and exciting ways to fail before the season began. That isn’t the case at all right now as the Mets have won seven of their last 10 games. The Bombers, on the other hand, are 3-7 in their last 10 tests and in third place in the AL East. While a playoff berth is a longshot for the Mets, they’re certainly playing way above what anyone anticipated at this point of the season.

      The Mets are placing their faith in Mike Pelfrey (3-3, 5.11) for the final game of this series. New York has to feel confident in its chances to get a win here with the way he has been pitching recently. Pelfrey has allowed just five earned runs in 22.1 innings over his last three starts. However, the Mets are just 1-4 in Pelfrey’s five starts as road underdogs in 2011.

      Ivan Nova (4-3, 4.33) will take the mound for the Yankees in the last game of this rivalry until July. The youngster has helped the Yanks and their chalk-eating backers well lately, having helped them win three of their last four games. Nova is coming off of arguably his best effort of the year by holding Tampa Bay to just one run in 5.1 innings of a 6-2 road win last Tuesday for an important split of a two-game series. This is his first interleague start of his young career. That shouldn’t matter too much since the Yanks are 6-4 in their last 10 regular season interleague tests. The ‘under’ is on a 6-0 run in this role as well.

      Even though the numbers are heavily in the Bombers’ favor, gamblers should keep an eye on the Mets here. The NL squad has posted a quality 5-2 record as road pups against the American League since last year’s interleague battles. The ‘under’ is 6-1 in that stretch for totals players.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        Run Line & Money Line Standings

        May 21, 2011


        It’s easy enough to locate the MLB standings every day. Just open up any sports page, or click into any sports website worth its salt, and the standings are easy to find.

        Wagerers value won-loss records, too, but there’s a different measuring device most “players” want to be abreast of as well. Money line and run line standings provide an extra barometer for handicappers to consult as they make their daily selections. Shorter-term calculations are going to provide more illuminating as the season progresses, however, so we are providing both full season and one-week numbers vs. the money line and run line.

        Following records are through games of May 20.

        MONEY LINE STANDINGS

        AL WEST

        LA Angels -72
        Texas -92
        Seattle -230
        Oakland -560

        AL WEST SINCE MAY 13...

        Seattle +161
        Texas -102
        LA Angels -243
        Oakland -301

        AL CENTRAL

        Cleveland +1572
        Kansas City +438
        Detroit -204
        Chicago White Sox -823
        Minnesota -1030

        AL CENTRAL SINCE MAY 13...

        Cleveland +100
        Chicago White Sox -58
        Minnesota -75
        Kansas City -185
        Detroit -366

        AL EAST Tampa Bay +216
        Toronto +200
        Baltimore -282
        NY Yankees -406
        Boston -544

        AL EAST SINCE MAY 13...

        Boston +629
        Toronto +174
        Baltimore -196
        NY Yankees -196
        Tampa Bay -421

        NL WEST

        San Francisco +443
        Arizona +96
        Colorado -382
        San Diego -555
        LA Dodgers -623

        NL WEST SINCE MAY 13...

        Arizona +523
        San Francisco +190
        San Diego -198
        Colorado -201
        LA Dodgers -339

        NL CENTRAL

        Pittsburgh +488
        St. Louis +151
        Cincinnati -39
        Milwaukee -256
        Chicago Cubs -531
        Houston -996

        NL CENTRAL SINCE MAY 13...

        St. Louis +103
        Pittsburgh +101
        Cincinnati -18
        Chicago Cubs -119
        Houston -226
        Milwaukee

        NL EAST

        Florida +602
        Philadelphia +453
        Florida +700
        Washington +407
        NY Mets +192
        Atlanta -155

        NL EAST SINCE MAY 13...

        NY Mets +192
        Atlanta +78
        Washington +36
        Florida -98
        Philadelphia -351

        RUN LINE STANDINGS

        AL WEST

        Texas +688
        Oakland +135
        LA Angels -278
        Seattle -291

        AL WEST SINCE MAY 13...

        Seattle +342
        Texas +100
        LA Angels -160
        Oakland -179

        AL CENTRAL

        Cleveland +1542
        Detroit +450
        Kansas City +38
        Minnesota -878
        Chicago White Sox -916

        AL CENTRAL SINCE MAY 13...

        Detroit +128
        Cleveland +116
        Minnesota -4
        Kansas City -161
        Chicago White Sox -325

        AL EAST

        Toronto +437
        Tampa Bay -327
        Boston -407
        Toronto +206
        Boston -435

        AL EAST SINCE MAY 13...

        Toronto +231
        NY Yankees +62
        Boston +28
        Baltimore -9
        Tampa Bay -562

        NL WEST

        Colorado +1209
        Arizona -71
        LA Dodgers -584
        San Diego -1109
        San Francisco -1435

        NL WEST SINCE MAY 13...

        Arizona +591
        Colorado +370
        San Diego +4
        San Francisco -144
        LA Dodgers -273

        NL CENTRAL

        St. Louis +1040
        Cincinnati +669
        Pittsburgh -121
        Chicago Cubs -748
        Milwaukee -859
        Houston -957

        NL CENTRAL SINCE MAY 13...

        Cincinnati +590
        Milwaukee -93
        St. Louis -122
        Pittsburgh -227
        Houston -292
        Chicago Cubs -347

        NL EAST

        NY Mets +856
        Philadelphia +165
        Washington +144
        Florida -16
        Atlanta -724

        NL EAST SINCE MAY 13...

        Washington +471
        NY Mets +324
        Atlanta -352
        Florida -450
        Philadelphia -585
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          Cubs-Red Sox play rubber match Sunday night

          CHICAGO CUBS (20-24)

          at BOSTON RED SOX (24-21)


          First Pitch: Sunday, 8:05 p.m. EDT
          Line: Boston -140, Chicago +130, Total: 9

          The Red Sox host the Cubs on Sunday Night Baseball on ESPN, in the third and final game of their series at Fenway Park. The teams have split the first two games.

          The Cubs decided to shelf Matt Garza due to shoulder stiffness and he will miss his scheduled start. Manager Mike Quade and Garza decided Saturday against risking injury to the right-hander's elbow. Both Randy Wells (forearm strain) and Andrew Cashner (rotator-cuff strain) went down in early April with injuries, making Quade more wary of putting Garza on the mound. Left-hander James Russell (1-4, 6.26 ERA) will make the spot start after not pitching in Saturday's 9-3 victory. He pitched three scoreless innings of relief in Friday's 15-5 defeat. However, Russell has been dreadful in four starts this season, going 0-4 with a 10.05 ERA and 2.02 WHIP, and never lasting through the fifth inning. In two road starts, he only lasted 6.1 total innings, giving up 10 runs (eight earned) on 13 hits.

          After having their seven-game win streak snapped on Saturday, the Red Sox will try to get back on the winning track when they send their version of a spot starter in the ageless Tim Wakefield. Now in his 17th season with Boston. Wakefield (0-1, 5.40 ERA), will be making his third start of 2011, to go with nine relief appearances. The 44-year-old knuckleballer lost his last start May 6, allowing eight runs -- six earned -- in 4.1 innings of a 9-2 loss to Minnesota. He is 3-1 with a 3.81 ERA in five career starts against the Cubs, but only one has come more recently than 1993. He won the finale of the first interleague series between the teams, allowing one run in seven innings of Boston's 8-1 victory at Wrigley Field on June 12, 2005. But Wakefield does have significant history facing three current Cubs. Carlos Pena is 8-for-37 (.216) with 2 HR, Alfonso Soriano is 11-for-36 (.306) with four homers and Reed Johnson is 2-for-18 (.111) with seven strikeouts when facing the knuckleballer.

          The Cubs were able to rally and turn a 3-1 deficit into a 9-3 win on Saturday and now will look to win consecutive games for just the third time this month. However, throwing a left-hander who has struggled starting this season, at Fenway Park against a Red Sox team that is hitting .313 and averaging 5.8 runs per game over their past eight home games (7-1 record), is a bad idea. I like Boston to win and take this series.

          These three FoxSheets trends also back the Red Sox:

          Play On - Home teams (BOSTON) - below average AL hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA <=3.33), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities. (73-42 over the last 5 seasons.) (63.5%, +31 units. Rating = 2*).

          TERRY FRANCONA is 93-43 (68.4%, +37.1 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game as the manager of BOSTON. The average score was BOSTON 5.7, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 2*).

          CHICAGO CUBS are 7-21 (25.0%, -18.3 Units) against the money line after scoring 8 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 3.1, OPPONENT 5.4 - (Rating = 2*).
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            MLB

            Sunday, May 22

            Game Score Status Pick Amount

            NY Mets - 1:05 PM ET NY Mets +164 500
            NY Yankees - Under 9.5 500

            Cincinnati - 1:05 PM ET Cleveland -104 500
            Cleveland - Under 8.5 500

            Houston - 1:07 PM ET Toronto -135 500
            Toronto - Over 7.5 500

            Tampa Bay - 1:10 PM ET Florida +132 500
            Florida - Over 7.5 500

            Washington - 1:35 PM ET Baltimore -108 500
            Baltimore - Under 8.5 500

            Detroit - 1:35 PM ET Pittsburgh +115 500
            Pittsburgh - Under 8 500

            Texas - 1:35 PM ET Philadelphia -150 500
            Philadelphia - Under 8 500

            LA Dodgers - 2:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox -134 500
            Chi. White Sox - Under 8 500

            St. Louis - 2:10 PM ET St. Louis -159 500
            Kansas City - Under 8 500

            Colorado - 2:10 PM ET Milwaukee +110 500
            Milwaukee - Over 7.5 500

            Atlanta - 3:35 PM ET Atlanta -125 500
            LA Angels - Under 8 500

            Seattle - 4:05 PM ET Seattle -130 500
            San Diego - Under 6 500

            Oakland - 4:05 PM ET San Francisco -110 500
            San Francisco - Under 6.5 500

            Minnesota - 4:10 PM ET Minnesota +141 500
            Arizona - Over 8 500

            Chi. Cubs - 8:05 PM ET Boston -135 500
            Boston -
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment

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