Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

The Bum's Saturday's MLB Best Bets !

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • The Bum's Saturday's MLB Best Bets !

    MLB Odds: Boston Red Sox host Chicago Cubs

    Alfredo Aceves makes his first start of the season for Boston on Saturday.
    The Boston Red Sox and Chicago Cubs continue to make history when they play Game 2 of their 3-game series Saturday at 4:10 p.m. (PT).

    This is the first series between the teams in Boston since the 1918 World Series. They’ve been the poster children for futility with the Sox going 88 years between titles before winning two since 2004. Long-suffering Cubs fans have been waiting since 1908 and this year isn’t shaping up great so far.

    This weekend series got underway Friday night at Fenway Park with Chicago’s Doug Davis going up against Jon Lester. The Sox were big 240 favorites with the result still pending.

    Saturday pitching battle will be Chicago’s Carlos Zambrano (4-2, 4.89 ERA) against Boston’s Alfredo Aceves (1-0, 2.60 ERA). The latter will be making his first start of the year.

    Boston’s rotation has been Lester, Josh Beckett, Clay Buchholz and ‘pray for rain.’ The first three guys have a combined 2.79 ERA, while John Lackey (8.01 ERA) and Daisuke Matsuzaka (5.30 ERA) have been awful despite their lofty salaries.

    Lackey and Matsuzaka both just went on the disabled list with elbow injuries. That puts Aceves and veteran knuckleballer Tim Wakefield at the back end of the rotation. The good news is it will be hard to do worse than their predecessors.

    Aceves was an interesting offseason acquisition. He pitched 10 games in relief with the Yankees last year before missing the rest of the season with various injuries. Boston scouts viewed him as a good bullpen candidate, but also someone who could start if necessary – like right now.

    The 28-year-old right-hander from Mexico has made 11 appearances this year, all from the pen. His longest outing was 4 2/3 innings against Minnesota on May 6 and five innings seems about his cap on Saturday.

    Aceves has five career starts with the last one coming in 2009 with the Yanks. He has a solid career ERA (3.14) in addition to a .637 OPS. This will be his first career appearance against the National League Cubs.

    The Red Sox (23-20) had a six-game winning streak heading into Friday. They’re finding their stride after a woeful 2-10 start. Their home winning streak is also at six, 14-9 at Fenway overall (-.9 units).

    The Cubs (19-23) are in fifth place in the NL Central, 5.5 games behind St. Louis. They started this 7-game trip on Monday by losing two at Cincinnati (7-4, 7-5). They then won two at Florida (7-5, 5-1).

    The Cubs are seventh in the NL in runs scored (4.17 per game) and 15th in ERA (4.50). The starters are dead last (5.35 ERA) while the bullpen has been respectable at sixth (3.02). Closer Carlos Marmol has nine saves and a 1.35 ERA.

    Zambrano has needed to perform with Ryan Dempster terrible in April (9.58 ERA). Randy Wells has also been limited to one start with a forearm injury.

    The almost 30-year-old Zambrano saw the Cubs win six of his first seven starts (4.23 ERA). They lost his last two hosting St. Louis (6-4) and at Cincinnati (7-4) with a combined 7.30 ERA. Chicago had won his prior 10 road starts before Cincy.

    Zambrano was 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA in three Interleague starts last year. The last game was against the White Sox, when he was involved in a dugout incident and subsequently suspended and out a month. He did go 8-0 with a 1.58 ERA after coming back.

    Chicago is 10-10 away this season (+1.9 units). The ‘over’ is 11-9 in road contests and 7-2 in Chicago’s last nine games overall.

    The last time these teams met was 2005, with the Cubs taking two of three at Wrigley Field. Boston went 13-5 in Interleague Play last year, while Chicago was 8-10 versus its AL counterparts.

    Weather is expected to be in the low 60s, upper 50s with rain possible for the seventh consecutive day.

    ESPN will have the Sunday night contest with Wakefield battling Matt Garza, who is very familiar with Boston from his Tampa Bay days.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    MLB Betting Preview: LA Dodgers at White Sox

    The White Sox have won nine of the previous 12 meetings with the Dodgers.
    The Los Angeles Dodgers continue their three-game weekend interleague series with the Chicago White Sox this Saturday afternoon with Game 2 at Cellular Field in Chicago. Game time is set for 11:10 a.m. (PT) and it will be broadcast on the MLB Network.

    Weather could be an issue as there is a 60 percent chance of showers in Chicago throughout the day with temperatures in the mid-70s and winds out of the southeast at around 15 mph.

    Los Angeles entered play Friday having dropped five if its last six, including two straight losses to San Francisco. The Dodgers were 20-25 pending Friday's resulton the year and five games behind the Giants in the NL West.

    Interleague play has not been kind to LA over the years. The Dodgers have not had a winning record in that department since 2004 and went 4-11 against AL clubs last year.

    Consistent run production continues to be one of the Dodgers’ biggest problems. They have managed to score an average of just 2.8 runs per game over their last 10 and are averaging 3.44 runs on the year. Matt Kemp and Andre Ethier have combined for 50 RBI and 13 home runs but the rest of the lineup has been spotty at best.

    To make matters worse, LA just placed closer Vicente Padilla on the 15-day DL which is another blow to a pitching staff that has a combined ERA of 3.95.

    Jon Garland will get the start for Los Angeles. He is 1-3 with an ERA of 3.55 in six previous outings. Garland’s primary problem this season has been run support given the fact that he has given up just 10 earned runs in his last 34 innings pitched.

    His last time out against Milwaukee, he went six innings giving up seven hits and two earned runs but got tagged with the loss. Garland pitched for the White Sox for seven seasons and is 45-42 lifetime at Cellular Field.

    Chicago comes into this series playing some of its best ball of the year. It has won six of its last eight games including two straight over Cleveland. The White Sox were still eight games behind the surprising Indians in the AL Central standings heading into weekend play.

    The White Sox went 15-3 in interleague play last season. This will be the fourth time they have met the Dodgers, winning nine of the 12 games overall and going 5-1 at home. These teams last met in Chicago in 2009 with the White Sox taking two of three.

    Chicago will send Mark Buehrle to the mound in this game. The left-hander is 3-3 in nine previous starts and has an ERA of 4.07 and a 1.39 WHIP. His last time out, he gave up seven hits and three earned runs in 6 1/3 innings but came away with the win over Oakland. Buehrle has pitched seven or more innings four times in his last seven starts.

    Lifetime against the Dodgers he is 2-1 with a 1.17 ERA.

    Offense has been an issue all season long for the White Sox, but Thursday night’s eight-run barrage against Cleveland, their highest run total at home this year, paints a promising picture moving forward. They have now scored 27 runs in their last six wins. Paul Konerko’s two RBI in that game raised his team-high total to 32 and Carlos Quentin’s two RBI raised his total to 26.

    Los Angeles is 11-13 as a favorite this season and 9-12 as an underdog. The total has stayed ‘under’ in five of its last six games and is 21-21-3 overall.

    Chicago is 9-14 as a favorite and 11-11 as an underdog. The total has stayed ‘under’ in three of its last four games and is 19-24-2 overall.

    The White Sox should open as a moderate favorite in this game, but stick with Garland to shut down his old team long enough to allow the Dodgers to squeeze out enough runs to get the win.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Cliff Lee faces former team on Saturday night


      TEXAS RANGERS (23-22)

      at PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (27-17)


      First Pitch: Saturday, 7:10 p.m. EDT
      Line: Philadelphia -155, Texas +145, Total: 7.5

      Two playoff teams last season, and current first place teams, meet in Philadelphia on Saturday as the Rangers take on the Phillies in the second game of their three-game interleague series. The Phillies won 3-2 on Friday, as Roy Halladay won his sixth game of the season.

      After their loss on Friday, the Rangers are now 0-4 all-time at Citizens Bank Park. Colby Lewis (4-4, 3.81 ERA) will take the mound on Saturday for Texas. Lewis started the season poorly, losing three of his first four starts while posting 6.95 ERA and 1.55 WHIP, but has picked up his performance of late. Lewis is 3-1 with a 1.67 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in his past four starts.

      Cliff Lee (2-4, 3.84 ERA) will face the team he went to the World Series with last season for the first time since re-joining the Phillies. Lee enters 0-3 in his past six starts. This skid marks his most consecutive winless starts since a career-high nine straight winless starts in 2004. Lee has not pitched terribly over that stretch, posting a 3.66 ERA and 1.37 WHIP, but has suffered from a lack of run support, as the Phillies have scored just two total runs in those six starts while Lee was in the game. This will be his 11th career start against the Rangers, as he is 6-3 with a 5.55 ERA when facing Texas. But last season he was 1-0 with a 1.13 ERA with 15 K and 0 BB in his two starts against them with the Mariners before being traded to the Rangers in July.

      Lee said he enjoyed his time in Texas, but left them for a 5-year $120-million deal with the Phillies. Lee enjoys the spotlight, and I expect him to raise his game to another level and end his winless streak. I’m taking Philadelphia.

      This four-star FoxSheets trends also sides with the Phillies:

      Play On - Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (PHILADELPHIA) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent starting a pitcher who gave up <=1 earned runs in his last 2 outings. (69-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.8%, +40.7 units. Rating = 4*).
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        Brewers go for 5th straight home win hosting Rockies


        COLORADO ROCKIES (23-20)

        at MILWAUKEE BREWERS (22-23)


        First Pitch: Saturday, 7:10 p.m. EDT
        Line: Milwaukee -150, Colorado +140, Total: 7.5

        The Rockies and Brewers are the only teams not involved in interleague play this weekend, and they continue their three-game series at Miller Park on Saturday.

        The Brewers will try for their fifth straight home win on Saturday when they send Shaun Marcum (5-1, 2.54 ERA) to the mound. Since being acquired by Milwaukee in the offseason from Toronto, Marcum has been outstanding. After giving up four runs in 4.2 innings to lose his Brewers debut, Marcum is 5-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in eight starts since. He allowed one run, five hits and one walk in seven innings of a 2-1 road victory versus the Dodgers on Monday. He hasn’t been as sharp at home, posting a 5.50 ERA and .296 opponents’ BA in his three home starts.

        The Rockies take the field on Saturday anxious to forget the disaster that was Friday. Three times Colorado relievers blew saves during a 14-inning 7-6 loss, which ended when Prince Fielder hit a game-winning, two-run homer off of Felipe Paulino. Saturday, the Rockies will throw Clayton Mortensen (1-0, 2.01 ERA), who will make his third start of the season Saturday. The right-hander opposed San Francisco in his previous two starts, most recently a 7-4 home win Monday, when he allowed four runs in six innings to earn the victory.

        Colorado has now lost seven of their past nine road games, while the Brewers are 14-6 (+6.4 Units) at home. Friday night’s meltdown still might be on the Rockies mind, so I like Marcum to lead Milwaukee to its fifth straight home win.

        These two FoxSheets trends also back the Brewers to win Saturday:

        MILWAUKEE is 29-8 (78.4%, +15.5 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons. The average score was MILWAUKEE 6.5, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 1*).

        COLORADO is 9-15 (37.5%, -11.7 Units) against the money line vs. a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. The average score was COLORADO 4.1, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 1*).
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          Price tries to pitch struggling Rays past Marlins


          TAMPA BAY RAYS (25-20)

          at FLORIDA MARLINS (25-18)


          First Pitch: Saturday, 4:10 p.m. EDT
          Line: Tampa Bay -150, Florida +140, Total: 8

          Interleague play continues on Saturday as the Tampa Bay Rays take on their interstate rivals, the Florida Marlins, in the second game of their three-game series at Sun Life Stadium. Florida won the opener of the series, defeating the Rays 5-3 on Friday.

          David Price (5-3, 3.59 ERA) gets the start for the Rays. Price was hit hard in his last outing Monday versus the Yankees, giving up five runs on six hits in five innings, but came away with a no-decision in a game Tampa Bay won 6-5. The Rays have now been victorious in six of Price’s last seven starts, with Price going 5-1 in those games. Twice during that span Price has allowed 0 ER while pitching at least eight innings and allowing four hits or fewer. This is the third time he has faced the Marlins in his career, going 1-1 with a 2.92 ERA in his two previous starts.

          Florida sends Javier Vazquez (2-4, 7.55 ERA) to the mound on Saturday. Back in the NL this season after spending last season in the AL East with the Yankees, Vazquez has struggled mightily. He has been hit hard over his past four outings, going 1-2 with an 8.55 ERA and a WHIP of 1.80. Vazquez did not fare well in his four outings (two starts) against the Rays last season with the Yankees, allowing 14 ER and 20 hits in 16 IP.

          The Rays have hit a bit of a rough stretch, entering Saturday losers of two straight and five of their last seven, while the Marlins win Friday snapped a two-game skid. The Marlins have won five of their past seven meetings with the Rays, but Vazquez is not pitching well and Price can dominate when he is on his game. I’m taking Tampa Bay to even this series with a win on Saturday.

          This highly-rated FoxSheets trend also sides with the Rays:

          Play On - All favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (TAMPA BAY) - below average AL hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start. (174-79 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.8%, +63 units. Rating = 3*).
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            MLB

            Saturday, May 21

            Game Score Status Pick Amount

            Houston - 1:07 PM ET Houston +191 500
            Toronto - Over 7.5 500

            LA Dodgers - 2:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox -143 500
            Chi. White Sox - Under 8 500

            St. Louis - 2:10 PM ET St. Louis -128 500
            Kansas City - Under 9.5 500

            Washington - 4:05 PM ET Baltimore -151 500
            Baltimore - Under 8.5 500

            Cincinnati - 4:05 PM ET Cleveland -107 500
            Cleveland - Over 8 500

            Tampa Bay - 4:10 PM ET Tampa Bay -147 500
            Florida - Over 8 500

            Detroit - 7:05 PM ET Pittsburgh +114 500
            Pittsburgh - Under 7.5 500

            Chi. Cubs - 7:10 PM ET Chi. Cubs +141 500
            Boston - Under 9 500

            NY Mets - 7:10 PM ET NY Mets +163 500
            NY Yankees - Under 9.5 500

            Texas - 7:10 PM ET Texas +146 500
            Philadelphia - Under 7.5 500

            Colorado - 7:10 PM ET Milwaukee -152 500
            Milwaukee - Over 7.5 500

            Oakland - 7:10 PM ET San Francisco -147 500
            San Francisco - Over 6 500

            Atlanta - 10:05 PM ET LA Angels +119 500
            LA Angels - Under 7 500

            Seattle - 10:05 PM ET San Diego +113 500
            San Diego - Over 6 500

            Minnesota - 10:10 PM ET Arizona -118 500
            Arizona - Over 9 500
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment

            Working...
            X