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  • The Bum's Tuesday's Best Bets MLB-NHL !

    MLB Betting Preview: New York Yankees host Royals

    The New York Yankees (19-13, +2.06 units) will likely be an overpriced favorite in hosting the Kansas City Royals (18-16, +4.39 units) in the first of a three-game set at Yankee Stadium with the first pitch scheduled for 4:05 p.m. (PT).

    The Yankees’ offense exploded for 12 runs in their Sunday victory over the Rangers and shortstop Derek Jeter was the star of the show. New York’s captain captured his second four-hit game of the season and homered two times after not leaving the yard in 259 at-bats, a streak that started back on August 24, 2010.

    “If you look at averages on our club, his was one of the better ones,” said manager Joe Girardi. “It’s good to see him hit those home runs, to drive the ball.”

    Jeter saw his average jump from .242 to .276 on the Yankees' road trip and he’s now within 40 hits of becoming the first player in a Yankees uniform to notch his 3,000th.

    Total backers should be wary of having a short-term memory based on New York’s offensive explosion in the series finale at Texas, as the ‘under’ has cashed in five of the last seven at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees are hitting just .240 versus right-handed starters at home on the young season.

    New York's Freddy Garcia (1-2, 2.88) will be making his sixth appearance (fifth start) of the season Tuesday night, while looking to break a two-game losing streak. The right-hander has allowed seven runs and 17 hits over his last 12 innings of work against the Blue Jays and Tigers.

    Garcia will face the Royals for the 28th time in his career, bringing in a losing 9-13 mark and 5.89 ERA. He produced a 1-0 record and 4.26 ERA in two starts against them last year while a member of the Chicago White Sox pitching staff.

    Kansas City lost its first home series of the season on Sunday by dropping a 5-2 decision to Oakland. The Royals have benefited from a favorable early schedule by producing a 15-8 record at Kauffman Stadium in comparison to a 3-8 mark on the road.

    Manager Ned Yost is still thrilled with his team’s early play during the 2011 campaign and is happy about the past homestand.

    “I’ll take 6-and-3 all the time,” he commented. “We played good baseball and that’s what I’m looking for - consistency in our baseball team every single day.”

    Royals right-hander Kyle Davies (1-4, 7.32) is slated to make his eighth start of the year and will look to break a three-game losing streak. Kansas City’s offense has managed to provide just five runs of support over that span.

    He has a good chance of picking up his second victory of the season, posting a perfect 3-0 record and 5.85 ERA in four career starts versus the Bronx Bombers.

    The club travels to new Yankee Stadium where the Royals have gone just 2-6 over the last two years. Kansas City is also just 22-62 in its last 84 meetings with New York.

    Weather forecasts suggest a game-time temperature in the low-60’s with a north wind of 10-15 mph blowing from left to right.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    MLB Odds: Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Indians

    The Tampa Bay Rays kick off a three-game set with the Cleveland Indians Tuesday night in a showdown between two of the season's surprising teams in the American League. Game time from Progressive Field in Cleveland is set for 4:05 p.m. (PT) and it will be available on MLB TV.

    Weather for this game should be almost perfect with light winds and temperatures in the low 60s. There is a 30 percent chance of a few stray showers, but they should not impact play.

    Tampa Bay pulled into a first-place tie with New York in the AL East after sweeping three from the Orioles over the weekend. The Rays have now won seven of their last 10 games to go to 20-14 on the year.

    Tampa Bay is just 9-10 at home but is an AL-best 11-4 on the road.

    Pitching continues to be the strong suit for Tampa with a 3.23 team ERA. The staff is currently third in AL in fewest earned runs allowed (110). The Rays’ hitting has been decent with a team batting average of .248 and they are averaging a respectable 4.32 runs per game. They have three players with 20 or more RBI led by Ben Zobrist’s 25. He also leads the team in home runs with seven.

    Right-hander Andy Sonnanstine is scheduled to make his first start for Tampa Bay this season in place of Jeff Niemann who recently went on the 15-day disabled list. Sonnanstine has appeared in six previous games out of the bullpen and has a 2.19 ERA in 12 1/3 innings of work.

    Sonnastine’s longest outing was on April 10 against the White Sox when he pitched 5 1/3 innings; giving up three hits and one earned run. He is 3-3 lifetime against the Indians with a 9.51 ERA.

    Cleveland’s strong start this season has continued into May with a 7-3 record in the last 10 games, but the Tribe did drop two of three games to Los Angeles this past weekend, including a 6-5 loss as a 138 road underdog on Sunday.

    The Indians lead the AL with a 22-11 record, going 9-9 on the road but an impressive 13-2 at home.

    One of the main reasons for the early turnaround from last season is a pitching staff that has an ERA of just 3.25. Cleveland is third in the AL allowing just 3.55 runs per game.

    Indians bats have also been productive with a .266 team batting average and 165 runs scored. Asdrubal Cabrera is leading the way with 37 hits, 22 RBI and five home runs.

    Josh Tomlin is scheduled to be on the mound for Cleveland. He is 4-1 in six previous starts with an ERA of 2.43. His last time out he gave up three hits, two of which were solo home runs in 7 2/3 innings of work in a loss to the A’s. This will be Tomlin's first career start against the Rays.

    Tampa Bay is 11-10 as a favorite this season but 9-4 as an underdog. The total has stayed ‘under’ in four of its last six games and in 22 of its 34 games overall.

    Cleveland is 9-3 as a favorite and 13-8 as an underdog. The total has stayed ‘under’ in five of its last eight games and is 16-15-2 overall.

    Head-to-head, the Rays won seven of nine games last season but went 1-2 at Progressive Field. The total stayed ‘under’ in six of the nine meetings. This time around the Indians should
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      MLB Odds: Lincecum, Giants host Diamondbacks

      Five full weeks into the baseball schedule, the Arizona Diamondbacks remain the lone team yet to be shut out. Their zero-free streak – 57 games and counting dating back to Sept. 2010 – could be in jeopardy when the D-Backs travel to San Francisco this week to face the strong-armed Giants.

      Tuesday's series opener at AT&T Park will begin at 7:15 p.m. (PT) with the Giants decided 190 chalk on the Don Best odds screen.

      The Game 1 total opened at 6½ runs and favoring the 'under' for the pitching matchup between Arizona's Ian Kennedy (5-2, 3.80) and San Francisco's Tim Lincecum (4-3, 2.47).

      Bruce Bochy's boys started their homestand off by sweeping the Rockies over the weekend, lifting the Giants to within one game of Colorado atop the NL West standings when play started Monday. San Francisco went into that series having played 22 of its first 31 games on the road, meaning the Giants will now have 10 more home games the rest of the way.

      A 69-59 home/away advantage from here on out might not sound all that great, but it could be huge for a team that has come out on top over 62 percent of the time on its own diamond the past two campaigns (101-61).

      Lincecum has been beat up in his two home starts to begin the '11 campaign, posting a 6.17 ERA with San Fran 1-1 in those assignments. That compares to a 1.26 ERA in his five road starts, a stat that's out of character for 'The Freak' who has enjoyed fairly even stats overall home and away the past three seasons.

      The Giants lineup is averaging just 1.33 RPG his last three starts, one at home and two on the road at the Nationals and Mets. Frisco is 7-5 in his last 12 starts vs. Arizona, going 3-2 in his five 2010 assignments.

      Take away the one horrible outing against the Cardinals in mid-April, and Kennedy would be enjoying a truly fantastic season. His ERA is just a tad above 2.00 in his other six starts that include two wins over the Reds and two no-decisions that ended in Arizona victories vs. the Rockies.

      The right-hander out of USC will be facing the Giants for the sixth time in his career, the previous five coming in 2010. Kennedy posted a 2.67 ERA in those assignments, yet the Diamondbacks lost four of the five, including both contests in San Francisco.

      Two of the three meetings between the two clubs last month in Arizona went to the Giants who took 13 of 18 from the Diamondbacks each of the last two seasons. San Fran was 7-2 at home in the series last year, and owns a 4-game home winning streak vs. Arizona.

      The 'under' was 5-4 when the two teams met at AT&T in 2010, cashing all three games of the September series.

      There's not much in the way of rain on the radar for any of the three games with temps in the mid-50s expected for the Tuesday and Wednesday evening games and an afternoon high in the low-60s for Thursday's matinee. Forecasters are calling for predominantly west winds (out to center) in the 13-15 mph range for all three games.

      Jonathan Sanchez and Matt Cain follow Lincecum to the mound in Games 2 and 3, the Diamondbacks countering with Armando Galarraga and Daniel Hudson respectively.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        NHL Betting: Detroit Red Wings, San Jose Sharks Game 6

        The San Jose Sharks closed out the Detroit Red Wings last year in Game 5 at home in the playoffs when they had the chance after going up 3-0 under similar circumstances. The Red Wings made sure that did not happen again en route to their second straight 4-3 win in Game 5 on Sunday as 128 underdogs.

        Detroit's victory sends the Western Conference semifinal series back to Joe Louis Arena for Game 6 on Tuesday. Versus will provide television coverage for US viewers with TSN bringing the broadcast to Canada beginning at 5:00 p.m. (PT).

        Early odds for Game 6 have Detroit 145 chalk with the total at 5½ goals.

        While Games 4 and 5 each resulted in the same exact score in Detroit's favor, the way they were played could not be any different for the two teams involved. The Red Wings got off to a fast start in Game 4 with three first-period goals before the Sharks battled back to tie the game 1:14 into the third.

        Game 5 saw Detroit do nearly the opposite, falling behind 3-1 early in the third only to score three unanswered goals during a 10-minute stretch to stun the home crowd at San Jose's HP Pavilion.

        The Wings were able to pull off this amazing feat despite being outshot by a huge 42-22 margin, and all of the goals scored in the game came when the teams were at even strength. Tomas Holmstrom netted the game-winner at 13:52 of the third on assists from Nicklas Lidstrom and Pavel Datsyuk, who also assisted on Jonathan Ericsson’s goal at 3:43 that started the comeback.

        Datsyuk tallied three assists in all despite playing with a sore wrist that kept him out of practice on Saturday. The injury did not seem to bother him one bit while the same could not be said for teammate Johan Franzen, who continues to deal with a sprained ankle he suffered against Phoenix in Game 2 ofn the quarterfinals. Franzen has not been the same in this series and tweaked the ankle in the third period, limiting him even more.

        The Sharks lost for the first time this postseason when scoring first after going 5-0 in the previous five games that occurred. Devin Setoguchi lit the lamp at 17:18 of the first period to give them a 1-0 lead and then Joe Pavelski made it 2-0 at 15:32 of the second.

        Detroit’s Niklas Kronwall cut that lead in half less than a minute later, but Logan Couture scored less than minute into the third to push the San Jose lead back to two goals before the Red Wings started their rally.

        The good news for the Sharks is they have never lost a playoff series in which they led 3-1, going 7-0 all-time under that scenario. Detroit is also trying to become just the fourth team ever to win an NHL series after losing the first three games.

        All five games have been decided by one goal with the last three all going ‘over’ the total. In fact, six of the past 10 playoff games between the teams have 4-3 scores while two of the other three were 2-1.

        If Detroit can knot the series at home in Game 6, a seventh and deciding contest will be played in San Jose on Thursday.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          Bulls heavily favored to win Game 5 over Atlanta


          ATLANTA HAWKS

          at CHICAGO BULLS


          NBA Playoffs - Eastern Conference Semifinals
          Game 5 – Series tied 2-2
          Tip-off: Tuesday, 8:05 p.m. EDT
          Line: Chicago -8.5, Total: 181

          Derrick Rose and the Chicago Bulls look to use their rowdy fans at the United Center to regain the series lead over the Atlanta Hawks in Game 5.

          Josh Smith (14.7 PPG in playoffs) silenced the critics Sunday, by dropping 23 points and adding 16 rebounds with eight assists. People have never criticized Smith’s potential and ability, but rather his inconsistent play. Earlier in the series, Smith was settling for jump shots, but in the 100-88 victory Sunday, he took the ball to the rim using his uncanny jumping ability and filled-out, 6-foot-9 frame. Jeff Teague was solid once again while filling in for the injured Kirk Hinrich, scoring 12 points on 6-of-12 shooting. In the regular season Teague averaged 5.2 PPG and only played 13.8 MPG. In the series versus Chicago, Teague is averaging 16.0 PPG and playing 41.5 MPG. Teague, who is shooting 52 percent in the series, has been very effective in letting the game come to him and not forcing shots.

          Derrick Rose had a nice line if you were to just peek in the newspaper and see 34 points and 10 assists. The problem was that Rose attempted 32 shots, only making 12 of them. This left the critics discussing if Rose should shoot less since he is technically a point guard. Rose didn’t have much help that night with the Bulls only shooting 3-of-16 from three-point land and the usually sharp shooting Kyle Korver going 0-for-5 from downtown. Carlos Boozer (10.7 PPG in playoffs) played well in Game 4, scoring 18 points on 7-of-10 shooting. Luol Deng must return to form to give Rose some help in the half-court offense. Deng averaged 17.4 PPG in the regular season but has only scored 20 points combined in the past two games, making just 8-of-24 shots from the floor.

          Atlanta has been terrific against the spread during the postseason (7-3 ATS), but in the past three years they are just 2-9 ATS in the second round of the playoffs. The Hawks hopefully will not come out flat as they have most of the year following a win of 10+ points (8-14 ATS). Chicago is 3-11 ATS in its past 11 home games, but 12-3 ATS following an upset loss. The Bulls are also 26-19 ATS at home and 13-8 ATS against Southeast Division opponents. I think Chicago is going to play very well, but the Hawks have shown too much fight to lose by double digits. I like the Bulls to win straight up, but Atlanta to win against the spread. Some more FoxSheets trends supporting the Hawks to cover are:

          ATLANTA is 24-13 ATS (64.9%, +9.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive overs during the last 2 seasons. The average score was ATLANTA 99.3, OPPONENT 94.2.

          ATLANTA is 41-26 ATS (61.2%, +12.4 Units) against Central Division opponents over the last 3 seasons. The average score was ATLANTA 97.0, OPPONENT 94.6.

          ATLANTA is 26-17 ATS (60.5%, +7.3 Units) after playing a game as an underdog this season. The average score was ATLANTA 92.5, OPPONENT 92.5.
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            Halladay, Johnson clash in pitchers' duel in Miami


            PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (23-11)

            at FLORIDA MARLINS (20-14)


            First Pitch: Tuesday, 7:10 p.m. EDT
            Line: Philadelphia -115, Florida +105, Total: 6

            Two of the best pitchers in baseball on the two best teams in the National League square off Tuesday night when Josh Johnson and the Marlins host Roy Halladay and the Phillies. Johnson (3-1, 1.68 ERA) ranks second in the majors in ERA, while Halladay (5-1, 2.19 ERA) is tied for third in the majors in strikeouts (57) and tied for fourth in wins. Florida has the second-best winning percentage in the NL (.588), but it trails Philadelphia by three games in the NL East.

            These aces have been stellar all three times they faced one another in their careers, as Johnson has a 0.43 ERA in 20.2 IP, while Halladay’s ERA is 1.96. When Halladay pitched in Miami on May 29, 2010, he threw a perfect game. Johnson was the starter for Florida that day and only allowed one unearned run in seven innings, as the pair combined for 17 strikeouts and just one walk in that historic game. Two weeks later, Johnson led the Marlins to a 2-0 victory over Halladay’s Phils. Johnson allowed only three hits in eight shutout innings, while Halladay gave up six hits and one run in his eight innings of work. Halladay faced the Marlins two more times in 2010 and won both starts, as the Phils rolled to 6-1 and 10-5 victories behind Halladay’s 2.77 ERA, 18 K and just one walk. This season, Halladay has a three-start win streak, posting a 1.53 ERA and 0.81 WHIP over this span.

            Johnson, who is 36-13 since his return from elbow surgery in July 2008 and led the NL with a 2.30 ERA last season, has been even better this year. He leads the majors with a .160 opponents’ batting average and carries a paltry 0.85 WHIP with 46 K and 15 BB. In four home starts, he is 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA and 0.68 WHIP. The one negative is that Johnson is coming off his worst outing of the year, when he allowed five runs and 12 base runners (8 H, 4 BB) in 7.1 IP Thursday at St. Louis.

            The Phillies have certainly had the upper hand in this series lately, especially at Sun Life Stadium, where they are now 18-3 in their past 21 games in Miami, including Monday’s 6-4 win to open the series. Joe Blanton returned from the DL (elbow) and induced four double plays to lead the Phils. Shane Victorino had a triple to extend his hitting streak to 12 games. He’s batting .320 with eight runs in the dozen games. Jimmy Rollins homered to keep his May hot streak going. Rollins is batting .313 with a .436 on-base percentage this month, which is a big jump from his solid April numbers of .282 BA and .362 OBP.

            The Marlins have arguably the hottest hitter in the league in Gaby Sanchez, the NL Player of the Week last week. He hit a two-run double and cranked a solo homer in Monday’s loss, and is now 17-for-37 (.459 BA) with three homers, four doubles, 13 RBI and an .811 slugging pct. in the month of May.

            While there’s little doubt both pitchers will throw stellar games Tuesday night, the Phillies usually find a way to win in Miami. Because it has a superior offense (+38 run differential, +19 for Florida) and defense (majors-best 12 errors, Marlins have 20), Philadelphia is my pick to win again on Tuesday. The FoxSheets provide two highly-rated trends backing the Phillies:

            Play On - Any team (PHILADELPHIA) - average hitting team (AVG = .255 to .269) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=3.70) -NL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing. (110-72 over the last 5 seasons.) (60.4%, +46.5 units. Rating = 3*).

            Play Against - Any team (FLORIDA) – below-average hitting team (AVG <=.255) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA <=2.70) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season-NL. (44-20 since 1997.) (68.8%, +25.7 units. Rating = 3*).

            With two elite pitchers taking the hill, the FoxSheets show a highly-rated trend supporting the Under.

            PHILADELPHIA is 10-0 UNDER (+10.0 Units) on the road when the total is 6 to 6.5 over the last 2 seasons. The average score was PHILADELPHIA 2.3, OPPONENT 1.5 - (Rating = 3*).
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #7
              Carpenter, Zambrano open 3-game set at Wrigley


              ST. LOUIS CARDINALS (20-15)

              at CHICAGO CUBS (15-18)


              First Pitch: Tuesday, 8:05 p.m. EDT
              Line: St. Louis -120, Chicago +110

              Two long-time foes renew their rivalry on Tuesday when the Cardinals and Cubs begin a three-game set at Wrigley Field. Both teams will be trotting out starting pitchers that know their opponents very well. Chris Carpenter (0-2, 4.19 ERA) will make his 23rd career start against Chicago, while Carlos Zambrano (4-1, 4.23 ERA) will start for the 27th time against St. Louis.

              Both pitchers have been successful in the rivalry. Carpenter is 10-6 with a 3.28 ERA and 1.22 WHIP against the Cubs, while Zambrano is 12-6 with a 3.46 ERA and 1.24 WHIP versus the Cards. Both hurlers also have similar ERAs this year, but Carpenter is winless with a subpar 1.35 WHIP while Zambrano has four victories and a strong 1.19 WHIP. St. Louis is 1-6 in Carpenter’s starts, while Chicago is 6-1 in Zambrano’s outings. The Cubs hurler is also 11-1 with a 2.47 ERA in his past 15 starts overall. Carpenter has pitched poorly in three road starts this year (5.50 ERA, 1.56 WHIP, 4 HR in 18 IP), and has gone 0-3 with a 5.51 ERA in his past three meetings with Chicago.

              Zambrano dominated the Cardinals from 2005-2007 (7-0, 1.48 ERA), but St. Louis has figured him out in the past 10 games since (4-2, 6.50 ERA), batting .287 with eight homers against the big right-hander. But that hasn’t always translated to wins and losses, considering the Cubs are 14-2 in Zambrano’s past 16 starts against the Cards.

              Offensively, these teams aren’t even close. The Cardinals lead the majors in runs (183), on-base pct. (.357) and total bases (518), while the Cubs are tied for 24th in runs (127), 12th in OBP (.322) and 18th in total bases (457). St. Louis is scoring 6.75 runs per game on the road this year with an even-more impressive .872 OPS away from Busch Stadium. The Cubs have only averaged 3.59 runs per game at home with a .693 OPS at Wrigley Field. Chicago has batted .148 with runners in scoring position in the past 12 games, including 4-for-24 RISP in dropping two of three games at home to Cincinnati over the weekend. The Cards boast the top two hitters in the majors in Matt Holliday (.398 BA) and Lance Berkman (.374 BA). Berkman also leads the majors with 32 RBI, and his 10 homers ties him for second in the NL behind Cubs outfielder Alfonso Soriano, who has 11 bombs. Albert Pujols hasn’t homered since April 23, and is only batting .245 with five RBI during this 14-game power drought. But he does have a good chance to go deep in the Windy City with five long-balls in 66 at-bats lifetime versus Zambrano.

              Carpenter is just too good a pitcher to continue struggling, and the Cardinals lineup has plenty of firepower to continue their recent success against Zambrano. I’m taking St. Louis to win the series opener on Tuesday. The FoxSheets show this four-star trend siding with the Cardinals:

              Play On - All teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 10 games. (60-18 since 1997.) (76.9%, +39.1 units. Rating = 4*).
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • #8
                Lester tries to maintain dominance in Toronto


                BOSTON RED SOX (17-18)

                at TORONTO BLUE JAYS (15-20)


                First Pitch: Tuesday, 7:07 p.m. EDT
                Line: Boston -155, Toronto +145, Total: 7.5

                Boston travels to Toronto to take on the Blue Jays for the first of a short two-game series against the Blue Jays.

                The Red Sox will throw Jon Lester (4-1, 2.33 ERA) on Tuesday. Lester has been outstanding in his past four starts, going 4-0 with a 1.33 ERA. He has recorded 29 strikeouts in his 27 innings over that span. Lester had great success last season at the Rogers Centre, going 2-0 with a 1.38 ERA and holding batters to a .116 BA. Lester should also get added support from his offense which averaged 6.78 runs at Rogers Centre last year with a team stat line of: .300 BA/.364 OBP/.517 SLG.

                Toronto will counter with Kyle Drabek (2-2, 4.50 ERA). After starting the season 2-0 with a 3.30 ERA in his first five starts (all Blue Jays wins), Drabek has been hit hard his past two starts. He has allowed 13 hits and 8 ER in his 9 IP, while losing both decisions. Drabek will be making his first career start against Boston.

                Lester is one of the game’s best pitchers and facing a Toronto team that he owned last season at the Rogers Centre should play to the Sox’s advantage. Add to the fact that they pounded Toronto pitching at Rogers Centre in 2010 and I like Boston to win.

                This highly-rated FoxSheets trend also leans toward the Red Sox:

                Play On - All favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (BOSTON) - below average AL hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start. (162-73 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.9%, +59.3 units. Rating = 3*).
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • #9
                  Sharks try to close out Red Wings in Game 6


                  SAN JOSE SHARKS

                  at DETROIT RED WINGS


                  NHL Playoffs – Western Conference Semifinals
                  Game 6 – San Jose leads series 3-2
                  Puck drops: Tuesday, 8:05 p.m. EDT
                  Line: Detroit -140, San Jose +120, Total: 5.5

                  Facing a 3-1 third period deficit in Game 5 on the road and 18 minutes from elimination, the Red Wings showed the heart and attitude of true champions. Detroit scored three unanswered goals in the final period to defeat the Sharks and force Game 6 back home in Detroit. Now the Red Wings are 60 minutes from heading back to San Jose for a Game 7, and potential history.

                  San Jose doesn’t have to look very far for the warning signs. Twice in the last two postseasons has a team taken a 3-0 lead in a best-of-seven series only to be forced to play a Game 7. While the Vancouver Canucks were fortunate enough to win their Game 7 in the Western Conference Quarterfinals against the Blackhawks this year, Boston was unable to hold off Philadelphia’s 3-0 series comeback in the 2010 Eastern Conference Semifinals. While the Bruins got their revenge this season by sweeping the Flyers, the Sharks are hoping they won’t be facing the same circumstances as Boston did. In order to prevent a Game 7 and potential collapse, the Sharks need to quickly compose themselves and forget about the chance they blew in Game 5. Heading into Game 4, the Sharks seemed to have received all the bounces and calls in winning the first three games by one goal. After rallying from down a goal in the third period in Game 3 and winning in OT, the Sharks smelled blood and looked to defeat and discouraged Detroit team. Even after they were swamped in the first period of Game 4 and fell behind 3-0, they managed to keep their head and tie the game in the third period, in a contest that seemed destined for another one-goal victory. However, Darren Helm put the game-winner past Antti Niemi with 1:27 remaining and gave the Wings new life. After their Game 5 collapse, the Sharks are starting to look over their shoulder and perhaps all the breaks they have been getting are now going the other way.

                  Patrick Marleau is still a no-show in this series. After registering two goals and three assists against the Kings, Marleau has gone without a single point, and is a minus-1 for the series. After allowing just two goals in the first two games of this series, Antti Niemi has given up 11 goals in the past three games. If the Sharks want to end this series in Game 6, they need Niemi and Marleau to return to form.

                  For the fourth time in their long playoff history, the Red Wings won a playoff game in which they trailed by at least two goals in the third period. Detroit has managed to force a Game 6 with Valtteri Filppula and Johan Franzen each not recording a point and combining to register a minus-5. Nicklas Lidstrom has shown why he is a first ballot Hall-of-Fame defenseman with his play this series, scoring four goals and registering two assists. No other Detroit player has more than one goal in this series. In a testament to the incredible depth the Red Wings have, nine other players have scored a goal in this series. Pavel Datsyuk assisted on three goals in Game 5, including the game-winner by Tomas Holmstrom with just over six minutes remaining. Jimmy Howard has been solid when it has counted the last two games, coming up with big saves in the third period.

                  Mike Modano, who has played only one game this postseason, registering an assist against the Coyotes in Game 4 of the Western Conference Quarterfinals, will replace Johan Franzen in the lineup if Franzen (ankle) is unable to play in Game 6. Another sure first ballot Hall-of-Famer, Modano played in 40 regular season games for the Wings, scoring four goals and registering 11 assists.

                  The Sharks are feeling the heat right now, but this is still a team that advanced to the Conference Finals last season and has recorded at least 105 points for five straight seasons. San Jose needs to get off to a good start and control the tempo, otherwise attitudes and the overall aura of this series, which has already started to shift to Detroit, might just overwhelm them. In addition to that, Joe Louis Arena will be a mad house, ready to explode and send both teams back to San Jose for Game 7. I stated way back in Game 1 that I liked Detroit to win this series and I didn’t change my tune after Game 3 and I’m not changing it now. I like the Wings to capitalize on their momentum and carry that back to California. I’m taking Detroit to win and force Game 7.

                  The FoxSheets says:

                  SAN JOSE is 7-12 ATS (36.8%, -14.2 Units) off a close home loss by 1 goal over the last 2 seasons. The average score was SAN JOSE 2.4, OPPONENT 2.9 - (Rating = 1*).
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Diamond Trends - Tuesday

                    May 10, 2011



                    SU TREND OF THE DAY:

                    The Rockies are 10-0 since April 24, 2010 at home after scoring 3 runs or less and winning for a net profit of $1020.

                    OU TREND OF THE DAY:

                    The Royals are 0-9-2 OU since April 20, 2010 as a road dog after a loss in which they had 6 or fewer hits for a net profit of $900 when playing the under.


                    STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:

                    The Phillies are 14-0 since April 16, 2010 when Roy Halladay starts after giving up no walks in a game where he wasn’t a -300+ favorite for a net profit of $1400.


                    MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:

                    The Diamondbacks are 0-25 (-3.3 rpg) since 2004 as a 180+ underdog vs a divisional opponent that is ahead of them in the standings.


                    TODAY’S TRENDS:

                    The Giants are 0-8 OU since May 17, 2010 after a win in which they allowed 1 or fewer walks and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $800 when playing the under.

                    The Mariners are 0-6 since May 07, 2010 vs a team that has lost at least their last three games and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $670 when playing against.

                    The Indians are 0-6 since April 12, 2010 at home after a loss in which they allowed 12+ hits and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $625 when playing against.
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Tuesday, May 10

                      Game Score Status Pick Amount

                      San Jose - 8:00 PM ET San Jose +123 500
                      Detroit - Over 5.5 500
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Tuesday, May 10

                        Game Score Status Pick Amount

                        Seattle - 7:05 PM ET Baltimore -108 500
                        Baltimore - Over 7.5 500

                        Kansas City - 7:05 PM ET NY Yankees -205 500
                        NY Yankees - Over 9.5 500

                        Tampa Bay - 7:05 PM ET Tampa Bay +125 500
                        Cleveland - Under 8.5 500

                        LA Dodgers - 7:05 PM ET Pittsburgh -122 500
                        Pittsburgh - Over 7.5 500

                        Boston - 7:07 PM ET Toronto +147 500
                        Toronto - Under 7.5 500

                        Washington - 7:10 PM ET Washington +190 500
                        Atlanta - Under 7.5 500

                        Philadelphia - 7:10 PM ET Florida -101 500
                        Florida - Over 6 500

                        St. Louis - 8:05 PM ET Chi. Cubs +106 500
                        Chi. Cubs - Over 7.5 500

                        Cincinnati - 8:05 PM ET Cincinnati -136 500
                        Houston - Over 7.5 500

                        Oakland - 8:05 PM ET Oakland -101 500
                        Texas - Over 8 500

                        Detroit - 8:10 PM ET Detroit -105 500
                        Minnesota - Under 8 500

                        San Diego - 8:10 PM ET Milwaukee -156 500
                        Milwaukee - Under 7.5 500

                        NY Mets - 8:40 PM ET NY Mets +145 500
                        Colorado - Under 9 500

                        Chi. White Sox - 10:05 PM ET Chi. White Sox +111 500
                        LA Angels - Under 7.5 500

                        Arizona - 10:15 PM ET San Francisco -173 500
                        San Francisco - Over 6 500
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                        Comment

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