Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 4/21 (NBA, NHL, MLB, Misc.)

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel


Minnesota at Baltimore
The Twins look to build on their 4-0 record in Scott Baker's last 4 starts versus the Orioles. Minnesota is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Twins favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+120). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, APRIL 21

Game 951-952: Arizona at Cincinnati (12:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Hudson) 14.597; Cincinnati (Leake) 13.692
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+110); Over

Game 953-954: Washington at St. Louis (1:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Gorzelanny) 16.110; St. Louis (Lohse) 17.277
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-165); 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-165); Under

Game 955-956: Atlanta at LA Dodgers (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Jurrjens) 14.497; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.595
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-135); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-135); Over

Game 957-958: Houston at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Happ) 14.840; NY Mets (Capuano) 13.610
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 7
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+115); Under

Game 959-960: Pittsburgh at Florida (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (McDonald) 15.246; Florida (Volstad) 15.030
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+115); Under

Game 961-962: Philadelphia at San Diego (10:05 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Oswalt) 15.986; San Diego (Latos) 14.846
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-115); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-115); Over

Game 963-964: Chicago White Sox at Tampa Bay (6:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Floyd) 14.976; Tampa Bay (Niemann) 14.489
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-115); Under

Game 965-966: Minnesota at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Baker) 15.219; Baltimore (Guthrie) 13.868
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+120); Over

Game 967-968: Cleveland at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Tomlin) 16.554; Kansas City (O'Sullivan) 15.963
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-115); Under

Game 969-970: Boston at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Beckett) 15.733; LA Angels (Chatwood) 16.818
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+140); Over

Game 971-972: Oakland at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (McCarthy) 16.102; Seattle (Hernandez) 14.581
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Seattle (-145); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+125); Under

[Udog]

MLB


Thursday, April 21

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Trend Report
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12:35 PM
ARIZONA vs. CINCINNATI
Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona

1:40 PM
WASHINGTON vs. ST. LOUIS
Washington is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of St. Louis's last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Washington

3:10 PM
ATLANTA vs. LA DODGERS
Atlanta is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 10 games
LA Dodgers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta

6:40 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. TAMPA BAY
Chi White Sox are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
Tampa Bay is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

7:05 PM
MINNESOTA vs. BALTIMORE
Minnesota is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Baltimore
Minnesota is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games at home
Baltimore is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Minnesota

7:10 PM
HOUSTON vs. NY METS
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
NY Mets are 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Houston
NY Mets are 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston

7:10 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. FLORIDA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Florida
Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. KANSAS CITY
Cleveland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas City's last 10 games when playing Cleveland
Kansas City is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland

10:05 PM
BOSTON vs. LA ANGELS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games
LA Angels are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home

10:05 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing San Diego
San Diego is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego's last 7 games when playing Philadelphia

10:10 PM
OAKLAND vs. SEATTLE
Oakland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Seattle
Oakland is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games
Seattle is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games at home


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[Udog]

MLB


Thursday, April 21

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Hot lines: Thursday's best MLB bets
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Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres (+100, 6.5)

It took a while, but the Philadelphia Phillies’ offense finally showed a bit of life in Wednesday’s 4-3 win over the Milwaukee.

After being held scoreless for 17 straight innings, Placido Polanco tied Wednesday’s game with a three-run shot in the sixth inning and Shane Victorino put the Phillies ahead for good with another dinger in the eighth.

Those two clutch home runs came just a day after Charlie Manuel was publicly begging for more jacks from his team.

"Our pitching is definitely going to keep us in a position where we have a chance to win at the end," Manuel told reporters. "But I think on offense we have to improve. The bottom line is we have to see where we can get those home runs from. Ryan Howard will definitely hit some. From there . . ."

That’s the big question – do these Phillies have enough pop to support their fantastic pitching staff.

We think Wednesday’s outburst could get the bats going.

Pick: Over


Oakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners (-145, 6.5)

The Seattle Mariners don’t have a big bat in the lineup that strikes fear in the opposition so they’re to manufacture runs with patience at the plate.

On Tuesday, that strategy looked like a brilliant idea when the Mariners made the most out of 11 walks in a 13-3 blowout of the Detroit Tigers.

“We want aggressive at-bats, and when you’re aggressive you see the ball better,” Seattle manager Eric Wedge told reporters. “Walks become a by-product of that.”

However, after the offensive outburst on Tuesday, it looked like the same old story for Seattle on Wednesday as the club was held to six hits in a 3-2 loss to Tigers.

The good news for Seattle is Felix Hernandez takes the hill on Thursday. He took the loss at Kansas City the last time he toed the rubber but only gave up two earned runs on six hits, so he’ll be gunning for a victory here.

Pick: Mariners


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[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet


Thursday, April 21

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ARIZONA (8 - 8) at CINCINNATI (9 - 9) - 12:35 PM
DANIEL HUDSON (R) vs. MIKE LEAKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 143-198 (-48.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 35-62 (-25.4 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 71-105 (-27.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 55-87 (-33.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 178-165 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 4-1 (+3.7 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

DANIEL HUDSON vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
HUDSON is 1-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.05 and a WHIP of 0.909.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

MIKE LEAKE vs. ARIZONA since 1997
LEAKE is 0-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 11.56 and a WHIP of 2.355.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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WASHINGTON (9 - 8) at ST LOUIS (9 - 9) - 1:45 PM
TOM GORZELANNY (L) vs. KYLE LOHSE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 25-8 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 94-85 (-25.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 62-65 (-25.9 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 92-84 (-25.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 28-31 (-16.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 46-46 (-18.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-1 (+0.4 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

TOM GORZELANNY vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
GORZELANNY is 2-4 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.98 and a WHIP of 1.660.
His team's record is 3-5 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-2. (+2.6 units)

KYLE LOHSE vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
LOHSE is 3-2 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 5.95 and a WHIP of 1.370.
His team's record is 6-2 (+3.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-4. (-0.5 units)

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ATLANTA (8 - 11) at LA DODGERS (9 - 10) - 3:10 PM
JAIR JURRJENS (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 40-53 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 40-53 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 2-1 (+1.2 Units) against ATLANTA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

JAIR JURRJENS vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
JURRJENS is 3-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.466.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+3.1 units)

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. ATLANTA since 1997
KERSHAW is 0-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.98 and a WHIP of 0.951.
His team's record is 1-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

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HOUSTON (7 - 11) at NY METS (5 - 13) - 7:10 PM
J.A. HAPP (L) vs. CHRIS CAPUANO (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 29-20 (+16.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 1-8 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY METS are 1-8 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-0 (+2.7 Units) against NY METS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

J.A. HAPP vs. NY METS since 1997
HAPP is 1-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.71 and a WHIP of 1.588.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

CHRIS CAPUANO vs. HOUSTON since 1997
CAPUANO is 4-4 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.88 and a WHIP of 1.431.
His team's record is 5-4 (+2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-5. (-2.4 units)

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PITTSBURGH (8 - 10) at FLORIDA (10 - 6) - 7:10 PM
JAMES MCDONALD (R) vs. CHRIS VOLSTAD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 4-19 (-13.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 24-69 (-26.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 24-69 (-26.4 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 15-49 (-21.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 44-89 (-25.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 17-49 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 187-390 (-96.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
FLORIDA is 17-6 (+13.1 Units) against the money line after shutting out their opponent over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 42-26 (+14.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

JAMES MCDONALD vs. FLORIDA since 1997
MCDONALD is 1-0 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.714.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

CHRIS VOLSTAD vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
VOLSTAD is 1-2 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 7.07 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.3 units)

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PHILADELPHIA (11 - 6) at SAN DIEGO (8 - 10) - 10:05 PM
ROY OSWALT (R) vs. MAT LATOS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 98-83 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 96-82 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 30-15 (+12.3 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 104-75 (+21.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 101-72 (+20.7 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ROY OSWALT vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
OSWALT is 10-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.52 and a WHIP of 1.039.
His team's record is 13-3 (+9.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-10. (-5.1 units)

MAT LATOS vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
LATOS is 0-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.250.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.0 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (7 - 11) at TAMPA BAY (9 - 9) - 6:40 PM
GAVIN FLOYD (R) vs. JEFF NIEMANN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
FLOYD is 13-30 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 417-420 (+41.2 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 4-3 (+1.3 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.9 Units)

GAVIN FLOYD vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
FLOYD is 3-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 0.875.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.2 units)

JEFF NIEMANN vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
NIEMANN is 2-3 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.18 and a WHIP of 1.429.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.7 units)

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MINNESOTA (6 - 12) at BALTIMORE (8 - 9) - 7:05 PM
SCOTT BAKER (R) vs. JEREMY GUTHRIE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 38-38 (+15.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 118-118 (-44.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

SCOTT BAKER vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
BAKER is 5-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.53 and a WHIP of 0.961.
His team's record is 6-1 (+6.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.3 units)

JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
GUTHRIE is 3-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 2.96 and a WHIP of 1.024.
His team's record is 3-1 (+3.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)

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CLEVELAND (13 - 5) at KANSAS CITY (11 - 7) - 8:10 PM
JOSH TOMLIN (R) vs. SEAN O'SULLIVAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
O'SULLIVAN is 14-9 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 13-5 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 13-5 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 8-2 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 10-2 (+10.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
KANSAS CITY is 213-320 (-93.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

JOSH TOMLIN vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
TOMLIN is 2-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 5.68 and a WHIP of 1.368.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

SEAN O'SULLIVAN vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
O'SULLIVAN is 1-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 6.30 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

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BOSTON (6 - 11) at LA ANGELS (12 - 6) - 10:05 PM
JOSH BECKETT (R) vs. TYLER CHATWOOD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 6-11 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 1-7 (-8.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BOSTON is 6-11 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 1-7 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA ANGELS are 65-41 (+21.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JOSH BECKETT vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
BECKETT is 4-5 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.27 and a WHIP of 1.205.
His team's record is 5-8 (-6.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-5. (+0.4 units)

TYLER CHATWOOD vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

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OAKLAND (9 - 9) at SEATTLE (6 - 13) - 10:10 PM
BRANDON MCCARTHY (R) vs. FELIX HERNANDEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 50-68 (-21.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
HERNANDEZ is 35-17 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 68-113 (-42.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 38-51 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 19-44 (-24.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 65-107 (-41.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 37-76 (-37.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-1 (+1.7 Units) against OAKLAND this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

BRANDON MCCARTHY vs. SEATTLE since 1997
MCCARTHY is 1-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 6.93 and a WHIP of 1.338.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+3.0 units)

FELIX HERNANDEZ vs. OAKLAND since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 10-4 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.77 and a WHIP of 1.184.
His team's record is 12-6 (+4.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-9. (+0.0 units)

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[Udog]

MLB
Short Sheet


Thursday, April 21

ARIZONA at CINCINNATI, 12:35 PM ET MLB
HUDSON: ARI 2-15 Away after scoring & allowing 3 runs or less
LEAKE: CIN 10-0 at home after game w/ combined 4 runs scored or less

WASHINGTON at ST LOUIS, 1:45 PM ET
GORZELANNY: 26-11 Over as road underdog
LOHSE: STL 14-20 after loss by 2 runs or less

ATLANTA at LA DODGERS, 3:10 PM ET
JURRJENS: ATL 25-38 Away off BB Away games
KERSHAW: LA 62-29 if bullpen ERA is over 7.00 L10 games

HOUSTON at NY METS, 7:10 PM ET
HAPP: HOU 8-3 Away off one run win
CAPUANO: METS 1-8 in home games

PITTSBURGH at FLORIDA, 7:10 PM ET
MCDONALD: PIT 4-21 as a road underdog of +100 to +150
VOLSTAD: FLA 17-6 off shutout win

PHILADELPHIA at SAN DIEGO, 10:05 PM ET
OSWALT: 9-0 Under Away when the total is 6 to 6.5
LATOS: SD 46-41 as an underdog

American League

CHI WHITE SOX at TAMPA BAY, 6:40 PM ET
FLOYD: 13-30 TSR in road night games
NIEMANN: TB 8-0 Under if bullpen gave up no runs last game

MINNESOTA at BALTIMORE, 7:05 PM ET
BAKER: 9-1 Under off team loss
GUTHRIE: BAL 38-18 Under as favorite

CLEVELAND at KANSAS CITY, 8:10 PM ET
TOMLIN: CLE 48-29 Under off win
O'SULLIVAN: 14-9 TSR on grass

BOSTON at LA ANGELS, 10:05 PM ET
BECKETT: 1-8 TSR as a favorite of -125 to -175
CHATWOOD: LAA 10-0 Under off win

OAKLAND at SEATTLE, 10:10 PM ET
MCCARTHY: 15-5 Over in all starts
HERNANDEZ: 35-17 TSR in night starts

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

MLB
Write-Up


Thursday, April 21

Early Game

Hot pitchers
-- Leake is 2-0, 3.00 at home, but was also arrested on shoplifting since his last start. Proceed with caution.

--

Cold pitchers
-- DHudson is 0-3, 4.74 so far this season.

--

Totals
-- Over is 6-3-1 in Cincinnati's home games.
-- Five of last six St Louis home games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Atlanta games. Over is 7-2-2 in Dodgers' last eleven games.
-- hst-nym
-- Five of even Florida home games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in Phillies' last seven games.

-- Last eight Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 13-3-1 in last seventeen Minnesota games.
-- Under is 10-2-1 in Angels' last thirteen games.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in Kansas City's last ten home games.
-- a's-sea

Hot teams
-- Marlins won five of their last six games. .
-- Washington won four of its last five game. Cardinals won seven of their last ten games.

-- Tampa Bay won eight of its last nine games.
-- Indians won 13 of their last 16 games. Royals won seven of eleven.
-- Angels won nine of their last eleven games. Red Sox won four of their last five games.
-- Oakland won three of its last four games.

Cold teams
-- Reds lost six of their last seven games.
-- Mets lost their last seven games ar CitiField.
-- Padres lost nine of their last fourteen games. .
-- Atlanta lost five of its last six road games. Dodgers lost six of their last nine games.

-- White Sox lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Orioles lost eight of their last ten games. Twins lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- Rangers lost six of their last eight games.
-- Mariners lost six of their last eight games.

[Udog]

MLB
Write-Up


Thursday, April 21

Update

Hot pitchers
-- Leake is 2-0, 3.00 at home, but was also arrested on shoplifting since his last start. Proceed with caution.
-- Lohse is 2-0, 1.76 in his last couple starts.
-- Jurrjens tossed seven shutout innings in his first '11 start. Kershaw has a 2.96 RA in four starts this season.
-- Oswalt allowed two runs in six IP in all three starts, but he did leave his last start with a bad back.

-- Floyd has 3.15 RA in three starts, but Sox bullpen allowed 16 runs in six IP behind him, and Chicago lost all three games.
-- Tomlin is 3-0, 2.75 so far this season. O'Sullivan threw five shutout innings in his first '11 start.
-- Beckett is 2-0, 0.60 in his last two starts.
-- McCarthy is 1-0, 1.29 in his last couple starts.

Cold pitchers
-- DHudson is 0-3, 4.74 so far this season.
-- Gorzalanny is 0-1, 6.35 in his two starts this season.
-- Happ is 1-2, 8.53 so far this season. Capuano is 1-1, 9.26 in his two starts this season.
-- Volstad is 0-1, 8.38 in two starts this season. McDonald is 0-1, 8.04 in three starts.
-- Latos is 0-2, 5.84 in his two starts.

-- Niemann is 0-2, 7.47 in three starts this season.
-- Guthrie is 0-2, 5.73 in his last couple starts. Baker is 0-2, 4.50 in his three starts this season.
-- Chatwood is 1-1, 3.75 in his first two '11 starts.
-- FHernandez is 0-2, 8.00 in his last three starts.

[Udog]

NBA
Write-Up


Thursday, April 21

Under is 6-2 in Eastern games so far, 4-4 in Western games; favorites are 3-5 vs spread out west, 1-7 in the East.

Chicago won five of six against the Pacers this year, with both games in this series staying under total; Bulls won their last eleven games overall, with six of last eight staying under- they're 5-9 vs spread in last 14 games as a favorite. Indiana is 8-4 vs spread in last twelve games as an underdog, but they're getting killed on boards here. Chicago rebounded 41 of its 86 misses (47.7%) in series so far, way too many.

Miami is 5-0 vs Philly this season, winning by 10-9-12-8-21, covering three of the five, with four of five staying under total. Heat won nine of last ten games overall (7-3 vs spread). 76ers are 1-7 in last seven games (1-7 vs spread) with all eight games staying under. Collins said after last game that if Miami plays well, Sixers can't beat them. We'll see if that is enough to motivate his squad to play better in front of its home crowd.

Mavericks won/covered their last six games overall- they covered nine of last eleven as a favorite. Home side won all six Portland-Dallas games, with Blazers covering five of six. Roy played only 7:59 in Game 2, so if he's not healthy/playing well, Blazers are screwed. Stojokavic was 7-10 from arc in Game 2, scoring 21 points in 27:03. Kidd was 7-11 on night; if he shoots well, Dallas won't lose.Mavs had only six turnovers in last game. Both teams' FG% went up in Game 2 from Game 1.

[Udog]

NHL
Write-Up


Thursday, April 21

Montreal won eight of last eleven games vs Boston, allowing 11 goals in last 12 series wins- road team has won all three series games. Montreal won five of its last seven games overall. Boston is 0-11 (17:59) when a man up in series; Canadiens are 1-12 (16:11). Under is 9-4 in last 13 series games, 8-3-1 in last 12 Boston games, 7-2-1 in last ten Montreal tilts. Bruins lost four of their last five games in this building.

Vancouver is 17-4 in last 21 games, under is 10-2-2 in Canucks' last 14; they can knock out defending champs here. Chicago is 8-12 in its last 20 games overall, but stayed alive in Game 4, outscoring Vancouver 26-13 in first two periods. Blackhawks were 4-14 on power play in their two home games in series, but are 0-5 in this building. Over is 10-2-3 in the Western Conference playoff games (5-7-3 in east).

Kings are first team since 1985 to lose playoff game after leading by 4+ goals; how do they bounce back here? Both San Jose series wins were in OT; they're just 1-10 on power play in series (16:42). San Jose split last eight games games here. Sharks are 11-4 in last 14 games overall. Under is 11-3-1 in Kings' last 15 games. Over is 11-3-2 in last 16 San Jose tilts. San Jose still hasn't scored a third period goal in series.