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The Bum's Wednesday's Best Bets MLB-NHL !

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  • The Bum's Wednesday's Best Bets MLB-NHL !

    Diamondbacks, Cincinnati Reds in MLB odds battle

    Ian Kennedy dominated the Cincinnati Reds less than two weeks ago at home in Arizona. The Diamondbacks hope history repeats itself Wednesday when their right-hander will be called upon for an encore performance in the second of a three-game series.

    First pitch from Cincinnati's Great American Ball Park is 4:10 p.m. (PT). The Reds will send veteran righty Bronson Arroyo to the mound to oppose Kennedy.

    Arizona enjoyed Monday off before sending Armando Galarraga to the hill for Tuesday's series opener. Sam LeCure started for the Reds who were 155 favorites with 9½ for the total. The Reds entered that matchup having dropped three of four to the Pirates in a weekend wrap-around series.

    Kennedy (2-1, 6.88) worked eight innings at Chase Field on April 8 as a 105 underdog, striking out nine Cincinnati hitters and allowing one run in Arizona's 13-2 rout. The Diamondbacks hammered three home runs and put the game away with a six-run eighth. It was Kennedy's first career appearance versus the Reds.

    His most recent start was a complete and utter disaster, however. Installed as 120 home chalk against St. Louis a week ago, the Cardinals chased Kennedy from the game after just three innings, plating nine while he was on the bump on their way to a 15-5 laugher.

    Like his opponent, Arroyo (2-1, 4.24) enters Wednesday's battle having suffered a rough assignment in his last start that followed a very good effort at the Diamondbacks. A day after Kennedy whistled through the Reds lineup, Arroyo tossed six strong innings of Cincinnati's 6-1 win against Arizona. The 12-year vet allowed just one unearned run, struck out six and didn't issue a free pass as an even-money road pup.

    The Pirates then pasted Arroyo with a 6-1 loss in Cincinnati last Friday, the Reds carrying hefty 180 chalk into the game. Arroyo surrendered a pair of homers along with the only two walks he's allowed so far in 2011, leaving after just four innings and charged with five of the six Pirates runs.

    Arroyo made two starts against the D-Backs in 2010, one at home and one on the road, with the Reds winning both games. Since joining the club for the 2006 campaign, Arroyo has made nine starts versus Arizona with Cincy winning six.

    Cincinnati's chances of climbing out of a recent slump are good if recent history between the clubs is any indication. The Reds won five of the seven 2010 meetings with Arizona and are 18-7 going back to the start of 2007.

    Arizona's two wins over the Reds last year did come in Cincinnati, however, with the clubs halving a four-game series in September.

    Rain was threatening Tuesday's contest, but there's only a 10 percent chance of the wet stuff on Wednesday. Expect the thermometer in the low-50s to start the game and dropping into the low-40s as the evening progresses. Winds from the NNW in the 12-15 mph range are expected (out to right).

    The three-game set draws to a close Thursday with a matinee start (9:35 a.m. PT). Arizona will send young right-hander Daniel Hudson to the mound.

    Cincinnati is still listing its own young righty, Mike Leake, as the starter, but a recent run-in with the law could force a change. Leake was scheduled to appear in court on Tuesday on shoplifting charges.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    MLB Betting Preview: Minnesota Twins at Orioles

    Two American League teams trying to improve their position in the standings continue a four-game series Wednesday when Minnesota visits Baltimore.

    The Twins took Monday’s opener, 5-3, as they continue an eight-game road trip, while the Orioles continue to struggle.

    Minnesota is currently the third-worst team in baseball in scoring differential at -22, scoring 50 runs this season while surrendering 72. Baltimore was atop the AL East standings briefly before enduring an eight-game losing streak.

    ESPN will provide coverage of Wednesday’s matchup beginning at 4:05 p.m. PT from Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

    Minnesota right-hander Nick Blackburn (1-2, 3.06 ERA) toes the rubber trying to break out of a personal two-game losing streak. The four-year veteran fell to Tampa Bay Friday as a 121 road underdog, 5-2, while the combined seven runs failed to topple the 8 ½-run closing total. The ‘under’ has cashed in all three of his starts this season.

    Blackburn was reached for five runs on 10 hits (one home run) with no walks and six strikeouts over six innings and 87 pitches. Two of his starts this season have lasted six innings, while his first outing versus Toronto went 5 2/3 innings.

    The 29-year-old beat the Orioles in his lone start against them last season as 147 home ‘chalk,’ 6-0. Blackburn tossed seven scoreless innings by allowing four hits with two walks and no strikeouts. The six runs failed to eclipse the 8 ½-run closing total, helping the ‘under’ improve to 3-0 when he starts against Baltimore.

    Minnesota has struggled to a 6-16 record its past 22 games on grass, while the ‘under’ has gone 16-5 the previous 21 outings overall.

    Injuries are plenty in the Twins clubhouse with catcher Joe Mauer on the DL due to a viral infection that caused leg weakness. First baseman Justin Morneau is battling the flu and offseason free agent acquisistion Tsuyoshi Nishioka remains on the DL with a broken leg.

    The Orioles give the starting assignment to rookie Zach Britton (2-1, 2.75 ERA) hoping he can rebound from his first loss. The southpaw fell to Cleveland Friday as a 101 road underdog, 8-2, while the combined 10 runs went ‘over’ the 7 ½-run closing total.

    The 23-year-old tossed six innings, yielding five runs on eight hits (one home run) with a walk and six strikeouts on 83 pitches. His first two victories of the season went ‘under’ the closing total.

    Britton is making just his fourth career start in Major League Baseball, and has never faced the Twins.

    This four-game series concludes with Thursday’s matchup before Minnesota begins a six-game homestand versus Cleveland and Tampa Bay. Baltimore continues its 10-game homestand following this series with games against AL East rivals New York and Boston.

    Mike Everitt will be the home-plate umpire for this contest, and has seen the ‘over’ go 3-1 in his four games behind the dish. There has been an average of 9.8 runs, 5.5 walks and 13.8 strikeouts during those four games.

    Wednesday’s forecast for Baltimore calls for isolated thunderstorms and a 30-percent chance of rain, with a high of 85 degrees and a low of 55.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Detroit Red Wings NHL betting chalk at Phoenix

      Avoiding as many grueling seven-game series as possible is critical to a club’s chances of making a deep postseason run. The Detroit Red Wings have an opportunity to end their quarterfinal series against the Phoenix Coyotes quickly by winning Wednesday’s Game 4 and completing a sweep.

      The contest will begin at 7:30 p.m. (PT), with the Versus network providing television coverage as part of a National Hockey League doubleheader. An Eastern Conference battle between the Capitals and Rangers will get the evening started at 4 p.m. (PT).

      Most sports books monitored by Don Best Sports’ Real-Time Odds have opened the Red Wings as 140 road favorites for Game 4, with the total set at 5 ½ ‘under’ (minus 115).

      The Red Wings are 17-5 in their last 22 playoff games as a favorite of 150 or less, while the Coyotes are 1-5 in their last six playoff games as an underdog.

      Detroit took a commanding 3-0 lead in this series Monday by defeating the Coyotes as a slight 105 road underdog, 4-2. The combined six goals skipped above the 5 ½-goal closing total, allowing the ‘over’ to cash in each of the first three games in this series.

      That is not too surprising considering the Red Wings entered the series as the highest scoring road team in the postseason. They also own the most proficient power play of the 16 playoff squads.

      The victory enabled the Red Wings to improve to 13-2-2 in their last 17 trips to Phoenix, with the ‘over’ going 8-2-3 in the last 13 matchups in the desert.

      Getting off to a quick start was a problem for the Wings after the all-star break, but they have scored the first goal in two of the first three games of this series and have led going into the final stanza on all three occasions.

      Shrugging off some big early hits by a Phoenix team that perhaps emphasized body-checking at the expense of positional play, the Wings continued to control the puck and push their attack.

      The game was not even two minutes old when 190-pound Darren Helm knocked 230-pound Ed Jovanovski off the puck behind the Phoenix net, grabbed the puck and flung it toward the slot. Defenseman Ruslan Salei, who was pinching in from the point, then fired a slap shot past a shocked Ilya Bryzgalov.

      Then, as the Wings continued to control the puck, Drew Miller tipped a Niklas Kronwall shot from the blue line into the net at 2:41. Two minutes and 12 seconds before Phoenix would fire its first shot, the Red Wings led 2-0.

      In fact, for the first 8:30, the Wings outshot Phoenix 8-2 en route to a 13-9 advantage at the end of one period. Detroit finished the game by out-shooting the Coyotes, 34-30.

      Jimmy Howard stopped 28 of those 30 shots to raise his save percentage during this series to .923. That’s considerably higher than his .908 save percentage during the regular season.

      Bryzgalov, who was unanimously appraised at the start of the series as a key advantage for Phoenix, has clearly been outplayed by the 27-year-old Howard.

      Valtteri Filppula and Johan Franzen scored the other two Detroit goals. Franzen was playing with a visor to protect his stitch-filled face thanks to a Shane Doan check that sent him crashing to the boards face-first in Game 3.

      David Schlemko and Ray Whitney provided the Coyotes’ offense with power play goals. Phoenix went 2-for-4 with the man advantage, while the Wings failed on their four power play opportunities. Detroit’s power play is now 3-for-12 in this series, while Phoenix is 5-for-16.

      Detroit forward Henrik Zetterberg, who has missed the first three games of this series with a sprained knee, is listed as “doubtful” on the Don Best Sports injury report.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        Wednesday's Ice Action

        April 19, 2011


        Everyone thinks that parity dominates the landscape of the NFL, but they’ve got nothing on the NHL. The Stanley Cup Playoffs are about as unpredictable as Margot Kidder in a neighbor’s bushes. Favorites have gone just 13-10 through Monday night’s contests, while home teams are just 12-11. Although this year’s tournament might actually have the Top 2 seeds from both conferences advance to the second round, which hasn’t happened since the 2008 Playoffs.

        Wednesday’s playoff card has four games that could give teams a commanding 3-1 edge, while the other tilt can see a team swept right into the offseason. Let’s look at some things that could be very important for all of the contests.

        Penguins at Lighting – 7:05 p.m.

        This series started off the way that many anticipated. Pittsburgh took the opener against a Tampa Bay side that was making a return to the postseason in hostile territory. The ‘Ning did bounce back with a win in Game 2 to balance the series thanks to four power play goals on six tries. That special teams work helped them stay close with the Pens on Monday evening at home with a 2-for-4 night on the advantage, but still fell 3-2.

        Tampa Bay will be trying to take command of the series on Wednesday night without the services of winger Steve Downie, who was suspended after flinging himself into defenseman Ben Lovejoy. This is a big loss because of his two-way potential and ability to get under the skin of the opposition. That could be a huge boost for the Penguins’ power play as they have yet to register a goal on the advantage on 15 chances through the first three matches. However, Chris Kunitz will also be out of the lineup for the Penguins after a elbow to the back of Simon Gagne.

        Early lines on Tuesday after noon show Tampa Bay as a $1.50 home favorite (risk $150 to win $100). The Pens are 2-3 straight up and 5-0 on the puck line as road pups coming off of a win as road ‘dogs. The ‘under’ is 5-0 in that stretch to boot.

        Capitals at Rangers – 7:05 p.m., Versus

        The series could literally have the Rangers up 2-1 had they not choked away Game 1 of the series. That’s a testament to the defense Washington has employed in direct result of two losses to the Blueshirts by a combined score of 13-0.

        The Capitals were constantly playing in their defensive zone after getting shorthanded seven times in Game 3. Washington did snuff out six of those penalties, but couldn’t stop the physicality Michal Neuvirth had to contend with on 35 shots on goal.

        Pressure is squarely on the Caps for Wednesday’s test. “It’s even if we lose the next game. It’ll be a big game for us, and that loss really didn’t feel good, the way it happened,” said Washington’s blueliner John Carlson. Look for Carlson to make some time for pushing around New York’s Marc Staal after his attempts to hit defender Mike Green in the head.

        The Rangers are getting posted as slight $1.20 home faves for this game with a total of five. Washington, however, is 2-1 SU and 3-0 PL when listed as a road underdog after two days off.

        Flyers at Sabres – 7:35 p.m. EDT

        Goaltending is always going to be at the heart of a playoff series and it’s front and center here for the Flyers. Sergei Bobrovsky has performed admirably in this series, but Peter Laviolette opted for the veteran Brian Boucher for Game 3 in Buffalo. The moved paid off for a 4-2 as Boucher snuffed 35-of-37 shots on goal. Now the issue at hand is if Boucher or Bobrovsky will be back between the pipes for Game 4. The smart money is on Boucher since he is 2-2 with a 2.37 goals against average at HSBC Arena.

        The Sabres might be gripping their sticks a little tighter since this is their first two-game slide since the middle of February. Buffalo has had plenty of chances to win both Games 2 and 3 with 14 power plays, but converted three of them into goals. They must do better on the advantage to make things easier for Ryan Miller in net.

        The oddsmakers seem to believe that the Sabres are going to level the series by making them $1.20 home favorites with a total of 5 ½. Recent history states this is possible as they’ve won two of their last three home games, both SU and PL, that have come on the heels of a two-game slide. The ‘under’ is 2-1 in those contests.

        Ducks at Predators – 8:35 p.m. EDT

        The Ducks may only be down 2-1 in this best-of-seven series, but this game is as must-win as a Game 7 would be for them. Anaheim may have lost only 4-3 to the Preds on Sunday night, but they were manhandled for much of the contest.

        Anaheim will still be without forward Bobby Ryan’s services, who is serving the back end of his two-game suspension for blade stomping Nashville blueliner Jonathan Blum’s foot. His loss was definitely felt on the attack for the Ducks as they got off just 16 shots on goal against Pekka Rinne.

        Nothing is for certain for the Predators. They held a 2-1 lead against Chicago, only to fall to the eventual champs in six games. What’s different from that team is a goaltender that seems poised for a big postseason and the experience of last year no doubt left a bad taste in the collective mouths of the team.

        Most betting shops have made Nashville a $1.40 home “chalk” with a total of five for this matchup. The time off for the Preds has not been good for them in some instances…like when they’re home faves after two days off after a win as home favorites. That’s evidenced by a 1-3 SU and PL mark this season in that role, with the ‘under’ going 2-1-1.

        Red Wings at Coyotes – 10:35 p.m. EDT, Versus

        The Red Wings come into this game with little to no pressure on them. Teams with a 3-0 lead tend to have that going for them (just don’t ask the Bruins about that whole 3-0 lead thing, alright?). Detroit has been able to get on the board early and often against Phoenix with a 5-1 goal scoring advantage in the first period.

        I’d like to give the Coyotes a chance to win this game, but history sides heavily with Detroit in this instance. The Red Wings have gone 10-7 SU in their last 17 games that could clinch a playoff series since the lockout. Instead of taking the money line wager, consider the puck line here as they’re just 6-11 PL. The ‘under’ has gone 10-5-2 in those tests as well.

        If you want to tighten that spot to just when the Wings can finish a sweep, then you’re in for much of the same. The Red Wings are 2-1 SU and 1-2 PL when playing for the sweep. The ‘over’ has cashed in two of those three battles.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
          04/19/11 17-*8-*1 68.00% +*5400 Detail
          04/18/11 12-*7-*1 63.16% +*2595 Detail
          04/17/11 10-*17-*0 37.04% -*4965 Detail
          04/16/11 15-*10-*1 60.00% +*1765 Detail
          04/15/11 14-*13-*0 51.85% +*740 Detail
          04/14/11 10-*11-*0 47.62% -*1010 Detail
          04/13/11 6-*11-*1 35.29% -*2945 Detail
          04/12/11 11-*12-*1 47.83% -*455 Detail
          04/11/11 9-*9-*0 50.00% -*65 Detail
          04/10/11 17-*13-*0 56.67% +*1425 Detail
          04/09/11 16-*14-*0 53.33% +*740 Detail
          04/08/11 16-*9-*1 64.00% +*2845 Detail
          04/07/11 8-*12-*0 40.00% -*2535 Detail
          04/06/11 11-*14-*0 44.00% -*1330 Detail
          04/05/11 15-*11-*1 57.69% +*1535 Detail
          04/04/11 6-*6-*0 50.00% -*45 Detail
          04/03/11 11-*15-*0 42.31% -*2105 Detail
          04/02/11 14-*13-*1 51.85% +*565 Detail
          04/01/11 10-*10-*1 50.00% -*35 Detail
          Totals 228-*215-*9 51.47% +2120

          Wednesday, April 20

          Game Score Status Pick Amount

          Milwaukee - 1:05 PM ET Milwaukee +186 500
          Philadelphia - Over 7.5 500

          Washington - 2:15 PM ET Washington +136 500
          St. Louis -

          San Francisco - 3:10 PM ET San Francisco +110 500
          Colorado - Under 8.5 500

          Boston - 3:35 PM ET Oakland -107 500
          Oakland - Under 7.5 500

          Detroit - 3:40 PM ET Detroit -102 500
          Seattle - Over 7.5 500

          Chi. White Sox - 6:40 PM ET Tampa Bay -126 500
          Tampa Bay - Under 8.5 500


          Evening games posted later in the day.....good luck !
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            Evening MLB Games:

            Minnesota - 7:05 PM ET Baltimore -130 500
            Baltimore - Over 8.5 500

            San Diego - 7:05 PM ET San Diego -116 500
            Chi. Cubs - Under 8.5 500

            NY Yankees - 7:07 PM ET Toronto +104 500
            Toronto - Under 9.5 500

            Pittsburgh - 7:10 PM ET Pittsburgh +136 500
            Florida - Under 8 500

            Houston - 7:10 PM ET NY Mets -148 500
            NY Mets - Over 7.5 500

            Arizona - 7:10 PM ET Arizona +141 500
            Cincinnati - Over 9 500

            LA Angels - 8:05 PM ET Texas -114 500
            Texas - Over 8 500

            Cleveland - 8:10 PM ET Kansas City +103 500
            Kansas City - Over 8.5 500

            Washington - 8:15 PM ET Washington +151 500
            St. Louis - Under 7.5 500

            Atlanta - 10:10 PM ET LA Dodgers +126 500
            LA Dodgers - Under 7 500


            -----------------------------------------------------------

            Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
            04/19/11 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*150 Detail
            04/18/11 4-*3-*1 57.14% +*345 Detail
            04/17/11 3-*1-*2 75.00% +*1035 Detail
            04/16/11 4-*4-*0 50.00% -*170 Detail
            04/15/11 7-*1-*0 87.50% +*3085 Detail
            04/14/11 5-*0-*1 100.00% +*3035 Detail
            04/13/11 5-*4-*1 55.56% +*325 Detail
            Totals 30-*15-*5 66.67% +7505

            Wednesday, April 20

            Game Score Status Pick Amount

            Washington - 7:00 PM ET Washington -107 500
            NY Rangers - Under 5 500

            Pittsburgh - 7:00 PM ET Tampa Bay -145 500
            Tampa Bay - Over 5 500

            Philadelphia - 7:30 PM ET Buffalo -115 500
            Buffalo - Over 5.5 500

            Anaheim - 8:30 PM ET Anaheim +130 500
            Nashville - Over 5 500

            Detroit - 10:30 PM ET Phoenix +106 500
            Phoenix - Under 5.5 500
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment

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