SOLID LONG TERM WINNING OVER / UNDER PLAYOFF SYSTEM (15-6-1 in 2010)

[GOLDENGREEK]

LOOKS LIKE THE UNDER IS SOLID IN GAMES WHEN A TEAM IS FACING ELIMINATION


HERE IS A BREAKDOWN OF PAST YEARS-- THE UNDER IS THE FIRST TOTAL SHOWN IN THE RECORDS

***NUMBERS FROM 2004 THRU 2010 PLAYOFFS****
(SEE 2009 & 2010 TRACKING RESULTS BELOW)


Since keeping records starting with the 03-04 post season, the stats I've accumulated (based on opening lines & regulation scores) for all Elimination games* total results are as follows:



Overall

All Elimination Games: U/O 80-49-3

Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 29-28-2

Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 51-21-1





1st Round of playoffs

All Elimination Games: U/O 40-26-1

Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 20-14-1

Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 20-12





2nd Round & onwards of playoffs


All Elimination Games: U/O 40-23-2

Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 9-14-1

Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 31-9-1



Clearly the prime spot to take Unders are in a game 6 or 7 taking place during the 2nd round or beyond, when both teams have a series win under their belts and are both winners of at least 2 games in the current series.



2009 RESULTS

OVERALL

ALL ELIM GAMES 12-9

ELIM GAME 4 OR 5 ....5-4

ELIM GAME 6 OR 7 ....7-5



1ST ROUND 6-4

ELIM GAME 4 OR 5.... 3-1

ELIM GAME 6 OR 7... 3-3



2ND ROUND AND BEYOND 6-5

ELIM GAME 4 OR 5... 2-3

ELIM GAME 6 OR 7 ....4-2



1ST ROUND 6-4 U/O

CAVS ELIM GAME 4 - UNDER
PISTONS


HEAT ELIM GAME 6 - UNDER
HAWKS ELIM GAME 7 -UNDER


MAGIC ELIM GAME 6 - OVER
76ERS


CELTICS ELIM GAME 6 -OVER
BULLS ELIM GAME 7 -OVER

LAKERS ELIM GAME 5 -UNDER
JAZZ

ROCKETS ELIM GAME 6 -UNDER
BLAZERS


NUGGETS ELIM GAME 5 - UNDER
HORNETS


MAVS ELIM GAME 5 ---OVER
SPURS




2ND ROUND 5-2 U/0


CAVS ELIM GAME 4 -UNDER
HAWKS


MAGIC ELIM GAME 6 ---UNDER
CELTICS ELIM GAME 7-- UNDER


LAKERS ELIM GAME 6 --UNDER
ROCKETS ELIM GAME 7-- UNDER


NUGGETS ELIM GAME 4--- OVER
MAVS ELIM GAME 5 ---OVER



3RD ROUND 0-3 U/0

CAVS ELIM GAME 5-- OVER
MAGIC ELIM GAME 6--- OVER


LAKERS ELIM GAME 6 ---OVER
NUGGETS



FINALS 1-0 U/0

LAKERS LAKERS GAME 5--- UNDER
MAGIC





2010 PLAYOFFS



OVERALL :

ALL ELIM GAMES: 15-6-1
ELIM GAME 4 OR 5: 4-6-1
ELIM GAME 6 OR 7 : 11-0



1ST ROUND 9-3

ELIM GAME 4 OR 5: 3-3
ELIM GAME 6 OR 7: 6-0


2ND ROUND AND BEYOND 6-3-1

ELIM GAME 4 OR 5 : 1-3-1
ELIM GAME 6 OR 7: 5-0


14-2 ALL GAME 5'S AND BEYOND



1ST ROUND 9-3 U/O


CAVS -ELIM GAME 5 UNDER 199.5 -CAVS 96 BULLS 94
BULLS

HEAT -ELIM GAME 4 OVER 186 -HEAT 101 CELTICS 92
CELTICS -ELIM GAME 5 UNDER 188 -CELTICS 96 HEAT 86

HAWKS - ELIM GAME 6 UNDER 190 -HAWKS 83 BUCKS 69
BUCKS -ELIM GAME 7 UNDER 185.5 -HAWKS 95 BUCKS 74


MAGIC - ELIM GAME 4 OVER 184 -MAGIC 99 BOBCATS 90
BOBCATS


LAKERS -ELIM GAME 6 UNDER 195 -LAKERS 95 THUNDER 94
THUNDER


NUGGETS -ELIM GAME 5 OVER 215 -NUGGETS 116 JAZZ 102
JAZZ -ELIM GAME 6 UNDER 217.5 -JAZZ 112 NUGGETS 104


BLAZERS -ELIM GAME 6 UNDER 202 -SUNS 99 BLAZERS 90
SUNS


SPURS -ELIM GAME 5 UNDER 193 -MAVS 103 SPURS 81
MAVS -ELIM GAME 6 UNDER 191 -SPURS 97 MAVS 87




2ND ROUND 2-1-1 U/O

CAVS - ELIM GAME 6 UNDER 196 ...CELTICS 94 CAVS 85
CELTICS


HAWKS - ELIM GAME 4 UNDER 193... MAGIC 98 HAWKS 84
MAGIC

LAKERS -ELIM GAME 4 PUSH 207.... LAKERS 111 JAZZ 96
JAZZ

SPURS -ELIM GAME 4 OVER 207... SUNS 107 SPURS 101
SUNS



3RD ROUND 2-2 U/O

MAGIC ...-ELIM GAME 4 OVER 187... MAGIC 96 CELTICS 92 OT
CELTICS -ELIM GAME 5 OVER 186... MAGIC 113 CELTICS 92
............-ELIM GAME 6 UNDER 189... CELTICS 96 MAGIC 84



LAKERS -ELIM GAME 6 UNDER 216 ....LAKERS 111 SUNS 103
SUNS




FINALS 2-0 U/O

CELTICS -ELIM GAME 6 UNDER 189 ......LAKERS 89 CELTICS 67
LAKERS -ELIM GAME 7 UNDER 186...... LAKERS 83 CELTICS 79

[Sirporkie]

I am liking it. Thanks for the post GG

[GOLDENGREEK]

Bump

[GOLDENGREEK]

3-0 so far this yr

bulls / indy game 4 -- under
bost / ny game 4 --- - under
philly / miami game 4 -under

[bearman]

3-0 so far this yr

bulls / indy game 4 -- under
bost / ny game 4 --- - under
philly / miami game 4 -under

I've cashed on each of them.

Thanks

[plandbill]

Tonite

don't miss the one tonite! Thx Greek!

[GOLDENGREEK]

(7-4-1 in 2011) ----> 8-3-1 if wade dosent go in for the dunk at the buzzer like a jerk off

[Sirporkie]

(7-4-1 in 2011) ----> 8-3-1 if wade dosent go in for the dunk at the buzzer like a jerk off

My numbers have this at 8-4. OKC game 4 I got in at the under of 206. Also, in that Mia game I got in when the o/u was 185.5 so that dunk actually made me feel better bc the line moved back to 186

[bigjimt]

Round 1: 7-5-1