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**StarDust Bum** · 03-26-2011, 10:34 PM

NCAA Odds: Kansas and VCU Rams in Elite Eight

Kansas is a 10 ½-point favorite in Sunday’s matchup with the VCU Rams.
The top-seed Kansas Jayhawks look to advance to their second Final Four in four years when they play the No. 11 Virginia Commonwealth Rams on Sunday.

The Don Best odds screen has Kansas as 10 ½-point favorites with a total of 147-points. CBS will have this Southwest Region final at 11:20 a.m. (PT) from the Alamodome in San Antonio.

Kansas is the solid tournament favorite as the only remaining No. 1 seed.

The Jayhawks (35-2 SU, 18-16-1 ATS) won the national championship three years ago, with none of the current players a key contributor. That team didn’t face a higher seed than a No. 8 before the Final Four and there’s a similar fate this year.

Kansas has wins over No. 16 Boston University (72-53), No. 9 Illinois (73-59) and No. 12 Richmond (77-57), the latter coming in Friday’s Sweet 16.

Richmond was a mismatch from the start thanks to a 27-4 run that led to a 41-22 halftime advantage. The Spiders are one of the nation’s best three-point shooting teams, but a 4-of-26 night from deep sealed their fate. Brady Morningstar led the way for Kansas with 18 points.

The 134 combined points scored went just ‘under’ the 135 ½-point total. The ‘under’ is 3-0 for Kansas in this tournament.

Kansas got the easy ‘cover’ as 10-point favorites and is 2-1 ATS this tourney. It failed to reach the number against Boston University as big 23 ½-point favorites.

Coach Bill Self was just happy to get an easy win against Richmond. Kansas led by just four points at halftime in each of the first two contests.

Kansas is sixth in the country in scoring (81.7 PPG) and team field goal percentage is first (51.2 percent). Brothers Marcus and Markieff Morris combine for 30.7 PPG and 15.6 RPG. Tyshawn Taylor is the main distributor, while Morningstar and Tyrel Reed can fill it up from outside.

One of the big advantages Kansas has is depth. That gets even more magnified against smaller conference schools. Bench players Thomas Robinson, Josh Selby, Mario Little and Elijah Johnson would be starters in most other programs.

The Rams (27-11 SU, 17-20 ATS) received a surprising at-large bid out of the Colonial Athletic Association and are the lowest remaining seed. This is their first trip to the Elite Eight, but CAA school George Mason made a Final Four as a No. 11 in 2006.

VCU has won all four March Madness games as underdogs, starting with a play-in win over Pac-10 USC (59-46) on March 16. It then took down three more major conference schools in Georgetown (74-56), Purdue (94-76) and Florida State (72-71 OT).

Senior guard Brad Burgess scored 26 points in Friday’s win over Florida State. He’s the team’s second-leading scorer (14.1 PPG) behind forward Jamie Skeen (15.1 PPG). Guards Brandon Rozzell (11.8 PPG) and Joey Rodriguez (10.6 PPG) are two more double-digit scorers.

VCU was badly outrebounded by Florida State (45-28), but won thanks to hot three-point shooting (12-of-26, 46.2 percent). The team shoots a lot of ‘threes’ and is hitting at a 42.7 percent clip during this tourney compared to 36.7 percent for the year.

VCU is small compared to Kansas and the 6-foot-9 Skeen is going to need a lot of help inside against the Morris brothers and Robinson. The Jayhawks need to run the Rams off the three-point line and make them earn their points in the lane.

Fatigue could be a factor for VCU having just gone into overtime and having played the extra game. Facing a team that’s as deep as Kansas only adds to the problem.

This is the first meeting between the teams and neither is reporting any significant injuries.

The victor will face the winner of Florida (minus four) and Butler in next Saturday’s Final Four.

**StarDust Bum** · 03-26-2011, 10:35 PM

NBA Betting Preview: Miami Heat host Rockets

The Rockets, 5-2 on the road recently, haven’t won in Miami since Nov. 2008.
These are nervous, desperate times in the NBA as teams jockey for playoff seeding or try to drive their way into the postseason with a late push in the win column. Two teams doing just that meet in Miami on Sunday when the Heat host the Houston Rockets.

The interconference battle at AmericanAirlines Arena tips a little past 3:00 p.m. (PT) with local television coverage provided for the folks in South Beach and back in the Bayou City.

Houston comes into the matchup after finishing a six-game homestand with five consecutive victories. The Rockets (38-34 straight up, 36-35 against the spread) have enjoyed a few days off since Wednesday's 131-112 romp over the Golden State Warriors, Houston's high-water mark on the scoreboard this season.

Handed 8½-point chalk by the oddsmakers, the Rockets were led by Kevin Martin's 34 points and Chuck Hayes' first career triple-double. The sixth-year center out of Kentucky scored 13 points, dished 11 assists and grabbed 14 boards in the win.

It was Houston's 12th win in its last 15 games to bring the club within 1½-games of Memphis in the Western Conference standings for the eighth and final spot in the playoffs.

Rockets backers got paid for the third time in four games and 10th time during the 15-game stretch that started with a 108-100 win at Detroit on Feb. 22. Wednesday's contest jumped the 216½-point total with more than six minutes remaining in the final quarter, the second consecutive 'over' for the Rockets and fifth in their last eight trips to the floor.

Miami extended its win streak to four straight and reached the 50-win plateau Friday night with a 111-99 triumph at home versus Philadelphia who was getting eight from the oddsmakers. The Heat (50-22 SU, 33-37-2 ATS) trailed by as many as 16 in the first half and entered the fourth quarter down by five before Dwyane Wade took over.

Wade scored 18 of his game-best 39 points in the final 12 minutes while the 76ers netted 17 as a team. The former Marquette guard added 11 rebounds, eight assists and five blocks to his sheet while LeBron James (32 points, 10 rebounds) and Chris Bosh (20 points, 10 rebounds) each recorded double-doubles.

Friday's win was the Heat's seventh in their last eight games after dropping five straight earlier this month. Miami backers as well as 'under' bettors have cashed five times during the recent eight-game span.

The lone meeting between the two teams this campaign occurred in Houston on Dec. 29 with Miami notching a 125-119 win as five-point road chalk. Just as the Sixers had no answer for Wade on Friday night, the Rockets couldn't stop him in that December matchup. Wade scored 45 points, his high so far this season, despite having to leave the game early in the fourth quarter for stitches to close a cut on his lip. He scored 15 points after returning to the floor and Miami's victory stopped a Houston eight-game win streak.

Chase Budinger, who missed the Rockets' win over Golden State with an ankle injury, should return this Sunday against the Heat. Miami's Mario Chalmers (knee) is still a week or so away from action with Zydrunas Ilgauskas, out since March 10 with a foot injury, officially questionable for this contest.

The Rockets' last win in Miami came in November 2008. They are just 16-20 on the road this season, but have won five of their last seven away from Houston. Rick Adelman's club will continue its three-game trip on Tuesday in New Jersey before heading to Philadelphia the next night.

Miami's short two-game homestand concludes with Sunday's game. The Heat have four on the highway next week beginning with Tuesday's contest in Cleveland who the Heat have already beaten three times this season, going 2-1 ATS.

**StarDust Bum** · 03-26-2011, 10:36 PM

NBA Betting: Kobe Bryant, Lakers host Hornets

The Lakers are 3-0 SU versus the Hornets this season, and 2-1 ATS.
The New Orleans Hornets are going to try to make a big-time statement on Sunday night in Tinseltown, and they have a real shot to do it against the Los Angeles Lakers in NBA betting action.

Tip time is set for 6:30 p.m. (PT) from LA's Staples Center.

It's not all peachy for the Hornets, though. They're already handicapped knowing that they are really only right around a .500 team since getting off to that hot start at the outset of the season. Now, head coach Monty Williams knows that he has to do without David West for the rest of the year as well.

Losing West to an ACL injury was one of the worst things that could have happened to New Orleans. West was the team's leading scorer at 18.9 PPG, and he was also the second-leading rebounder at 7.6 RPG.

Chris Paul now has to take over as the top scorer and the top distributor, and that just isn't going to cut it in all likelihood.

The good news is that CP3 can do it all in small spurts. He is averaging 16.4 PPG and 9.8 APG. He's also a decent rebounder at 4.0 RPG as well. Paul will still need a lot of help from the rest of his scorers.

Trevor Ariza, Emeka Okafor, Marco Belinelli and Carl Landry are all double-digit scorers on an average basis, but the one to really watch out for is Landry. The 6-foot-9 forward out of Purdue is the newcomer of the bunch and the one that is the most likely to pick up the scoring slack that West is leaving behind.

Meanwhile, it's just another great season for the Lakers. They haven't lost a game since getting beaten at Miami back on March 10, but the NBA betting public hates the fact that they are 0-4 ATS over the course of their last four overall.

This is the sixth of a seven-game homestand that has put Los Angeles back in the driver's seat for the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference standings. There's still a chance that LA can snag the top spot in the conference as well, but that's going to take some great play and a heck of a lot of luck down the stretch.

Kobe Bryant has come up with tremendous back-to-back games against the Los Angeles Clippers and Phoenix Suns. He scored 37 points and had six assists with four rebounds against the Clips, but that wasn't his best game. Bryant put up 42 points, pulled in 12 rebounds and added nine helpers in the win against the Suns in OT.

He's now averaging 25.1 PPG, and he's the man that can take over for head coach Phil Jackson at any point, just as he has for his entire career.

The Hornets just haven't had a chance in this series this season. They have lost all three duels, including the Jan. 7 matchup here at Staples Center. However, that was the one of the three clashes that did end with New Orleans beating the NBA odds. The other good news for the Hornets is that the underdog is 14-3 ATS over the course of the last 17 meetings in this series.

**StarDust Bum** · 03-27-2011, 12:11 AM

East Region Final

March 26, 2011

There’s just one more golden ticket to the Final Four left to give out. And that invite to Reliant Stadium will be handed out to either Kentucky (28-8 straight up, 15-15-1 against the spread) or the Tar Heels at the East Region final at the Prudential Center in Newark at 4:55 p.m. EDT on CBS.

Most of the sportsbooks have installed John Calipari’s Wildcats as 1 ½-point favorites with a total of 146 on Saturday morning. Bettors can take the Tar Heels to pull out their third trip to the national semifinals in four years for a plus-105 return (risk $100 to win $105).

North Carolina (29-7 SU, 16-16-1 ATS) is the last ACC team standing in the big dance after holding off Long Island in the second round, Washington in the third round and beating the snot out of Marquette.

The Tar Heels are coming off of their most impressive win of the tourney, blowing the Golden Eagles out of the sky with an 81-63 win as four-point favorites. North Carolina had this game wrapped up at halftime by holding 40-15 advantage at the break.

Tyler Zeller was a force against Marquette, scoring 27 points and 12 rebounds on Friday evening. Zeller was just part of a three-man wrecking crew that included Harrison Barnes (20 points, 9 rebounds) and John Henson (14 points, 12 rebounds). UNC’s defense did a solid job against the Golden Eagles, forcing them into 18 turnovers for the game.

Roy Williams’ team has been one of the hottest teams in the country since Jan. 18 by going 17-2 SU and 11-7-1 in its last 19 games. However, the gambling public should be very quick to point out that the Tar Heels have gone 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight tests. The ‘under’ is 9-5 in the last 14 games for UNC.

Kentucky comes into its second straight Elite Eight appearance in as many years under Calipari after surviving games against the Tigers, Mountaineers and top-seeded Buckeyes. The Wildcats are trying to reach the Final Four for the first time since beating Utah for the national championship in 1998.

In the 62-60 win over Ohio State late Friday night, the Wildcats easily covered 5 ½-point pups. Plus, they cashed in plenty of tickets on the money line at plus-200. Josh Harrellson more than held his own against Jared Sullinger, scoring 17 points and grabbing 10 boards. DeAndre Liggins also pushed in 15 points and six boards, while Brandon Knight scored nine points and four assists. While Knight didn’t light up the score sheet, he did put in his second late game-winning basket against Ohio State.

The big issue for UK on Friday night was going to be stopping the Buckeyes from scoring on the perimeter and making life a living hell for their shooting, in general. We can say that the ‘Cats did their job by blocking 11 of Ohio State’s shots from the field. Plus, OSU was held to just 33 percent shooting and were just 6-of-16 from three-point land.

These two traditional powers are no strangers to one another, having met at least once a year over the past 12 years. The recent trend in the head-to-head matchup is siding with the Tar Heels as they’ve gone 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS. The ‘under’ is on a 3-1-1 run between these two schools.

The most recent contests between these teams happened back on Dec. 4, where North Carolina won 75-73 as a 1 ½-point home pup. Zeller lit up Kentucky for 27 points and 11 rebounds on that day. The Heels needed Zeller to man up as they were dry as a bone from downtown, connecting on just one of their 11 three-point attempts.

Favorites have not been a smart play in the East Region finals recently, evidenced by a 1-3 SU and ATS mark in the last four years. The ‘over’ is a pristine 4-0 in those contests.

North Carolina has been an underdog just five times this season. In those five occasions, the Tar Heels are 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS. The ‘under’ is a strong 4-1 in that stretch.

Calipari’s Wildcats are no stranger to being single-digit underdogs, having been listed as such 19 times during the campaign. Kentucky is just 11-8 SU and 9-9-1 ATS in those games. However, UK is on an 7-0 SU and 5-1-1 ATS streak in this role.

**StarDust Bum** · 03-27-2011, 10:23 AM

Kentucky-North Carolina play for Final Four spot

#4 seed KENTUCKY WILDCATS (28-8)

vs. #2 seed NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS (29-7)

NCAA Tournament – East Regional Finals (Elite Eight)
Tip-off: Sunday, 5:05 p.m. EDT – Newark, NJ
Line: Kentucky -1, Total: 145.5

College basketball bluebloods Kentucky and North Carolina meet in the Elite Eight in Newark, N.J., on Sunday, with the winner advancing to the Final Four in Houston next Saturday.

North Carolina will play for its NCAA-record 19th Final Four appearance against the Wildcats. The Tar Heels defeated No. 11 seed Marquette 81-63 in Friday night’s East Regional semifinal, which marked their 12th win in the past 13 games and ninth straight victory overall in the NCAA Tournament. They outscored the Golden Eagles 40-15 in the first half and committed a season-low seven turnovers. The 15 points was the second-fewest allowed by North Carolina in a half in 144 NCAA Tournament games. Tyler Zeller (15.6 PPG, 7.2 RPG) had 27 points and a career-high 15 rebounds, while John Henson (11.9 PPG, 10.1 RPG) added 14 points and 12 rebounds, and Harrison Barnes (15.6 PPG, 5.8 RPG) finished with 20 points and nine boards. The Tar Heels have won eight games by three points or less this season and 11 games by five points of fewer. They rank 24th in the nation in scoring (77.8 PPG), first in rebounding (42.8 RPG) and 30th in assists (15.6 APG).

Kentucky won its ninth straight game and advanced to its second straight Elite Eight with a 62-60 upset of top-seeded Ohio State on Friday night. Brandon Knight (17.2 PPG, 4.2 APG, 37.8% three-pointers) had only nine points, but he hit the game-winning basket, his second in the Big Dance, with five seconds left. Josh Harrellson (7.5 PPG, 8.8 RPG) continued his outstanding play with his third double-double of the postseason, finishing with 17 points and 10 rebounds. Second leading scorer Terrence Jones (15.9 PPG, 8.7 RPG) chipped in with eight points, eight rebounds and two blocks. The Wildcats are hitting 39.5% from three-point range and are averaging 7.2 three-pointers per game. Kentucky also averages just 10.6 turnovers per game, which ranks 12th in the country. Kentucky is 26th in the nation in scoring (75.4 PPG) and 31st in rebounding (37.5 RPG).

The two teams met in Chapel Hill in December, and UNC held on for a 75-73 victory. Zeller scored 27 points, had 11 rebounds and tied his career high with five blocked shots against the Wildcats. The Tar Heels held a 34-14 advantage in points in the paint and a 43-37 rebounding edge. With the December victory, North Carolina has won six of its past seven games versus Kentucky. Carolina leads the all-time series with Kentucky, 22-11. The Wildcats are 0-2 against UNC in the NCAA Tournament, losing both contests in the Elite Eight. The Wildcats, who are 13-18 in the Elite Eight, including four straight defeats, look to reach their first Final Four since 1998, while Carolina has won nine of its past 10 regional finals. The Tar Heels' last Elite Eight loss came in 2007 in East Rutherford, N.J.

The Wildcats have been the better bet this season, especially on a neutral court, where they are 7-3 ATS, while the Heels are a woeful 3-6-1 ATS. In March, UK is 6-2 ATS while UNC is 2-5-1 ATS. This game has all the makings to be a thriller, but in the end, Kentucky will make more big plays down the stretch and end its 12-year absence from the Final Four. These two highly-rated FoxSheets trends also like Kentucky to win on Sunday.

KENTUCKY is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. The average score was KENTUCKY 80.0, OPPONENT 65.1 - (Rating = 4*).

Play On - A favorite (KENTUCKY) - revenging a loss vs. opponent, playing their 2nd road game in 3 days. (103-51 over the last 5 seasons.) (66.9%, +46.9 units. Rating = 3*).

The Under is 6-1-1 in the past eight Kentucky games, and this highly-rated FoxSheets trend backs the Under.

Play Under - Neutral court teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (KENTUCKY) - after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games. (49-19 since 1997.) (72.1%, +28.1 units. Rating = 3*).

**StarDust Bum** · 03-27-2011, 10:24 AM

Kansas favored by 11 over VCU

#11 seed VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH RAMS (27-11)

vs. #1 seed KANSAS JAYHAWKS (35-2)

NCAA Tournament – Southwest Regional Finals (Elite Eight)
Tip-off: Sunday, 2:20 p.m. EDT – San Antonio, TX
Line: Kansas -11, Total: 146

Top-seeded Kansas looks for its 12th straight win and a spot in the Final Four in Houston when it plays 11th-seed VCU on Sunday afternoon in San Antonio.

The Jayhawks have won 11 consecutive contests, including three in a row in the NCAA Tournament by an average of 17.7 PPG. They defeated No. 12 seed Richmond, 77-57, on Friday in the Sweet 16. Kansas' bench, which averages 25.0 PPG, outscored the Spiders' bench 31-8, and KU was led by Brady Morningstar's (7.3 PPG, 3.3 APG, 42.2% three-pointers) 18 points. The Jayhawks put the game away in the first half when they went on a 27-4 run to take a commanding 35-11 lead.Kansas averages 81.7 PPG and surrenders 64.5 PPG for a +17.2 scoring margin. It also leads the nation in field-goal percentage (51.2%) and assists (17.9 APG). The Jayhawks have held 14 opponents to 60 points or less this season, including all three of its opponents in the NCAA Tournament (Boston Univ., 72-53, Illinois, 73-59, and Richmond). Marcus Morris (17.1 PPG, 7.4 RPG, 57.7 FG%) is averaging 15.3 PPG and 9.3 RPG in three NCAA Tournament games, while Markieff Morris (13.6 PPG, 8.2 RPG, 59.6 FG%) is at 14.7 PPG and 8.7 RPG in three tournament contests.

VCU will play in its first ever Elite Eight game on Sunday. Bradford Burgess (14.4 PPG, 6.2 RPG, 42.3% three-pointers) hit a layup with 7.1 seconds left in overtime to give the Rams a 72-71 victory against Florida State on Friday night. VCU has compiled 69 assists in its four NCAA Tournament victories, and shot 45.3% from the field (24-of-53) on 18 assists against a Seminoles defense which ranks No. 1 in the nation in field-goal percentage. The Rams also hit 12-of-26 from long range. Burgess finished with a season-high 26 points on 9-of-15 shooting, including a career-high 6-of-7 on three-pointers, for his second straight 20-point effort in the NCAA Tournament. Brandon Rozzell (11.8 PPG, 39.8% three-pointers) added 16 points, all of which came after halftime, and leading scorer Jamie Skeen (15.1 PPG, 7.3 RPG, 38.7% three-pointers) finished with 11 points and eight boards.

Kansas and VCU will meet for the first time ever on Sunday. The Rams are the fifth 11th seed to reach the Elite Eight, with the previous four No. 11 seeds winning two of these four matchups (1986 LSU, 2006 George Mason). The Jayhawks are 2-0 against the Colonial Athletic Association, and last faced a CAA team in 2009, a 101-65 rout of Hofstra in Allen Fieldhouse. They are 14-6 all-time in Elite Eight games and 19-1 in non-home games, including 10-0 on neutral floors this season. Kansas was 13-6 ATS as a double-digit favorite before going 1-5 ATS in its past six games. The Rams have relished the underdog role this year, going 10-4 ATS (71%) when getting points, but are just 7-9 ATS after an ATS win and 3-3 with one day’s rest. The Jayhawks are 4-1 ATS on one day’s rest, and should be much fresher on Sunday. Kansas has been able to rest its starters in winning blowouts, as compared to a VCU squad that has played four games in 10 days, capped off by an overtime game ending less than 37 hours before Sunday’s tip-off. The Rams have stunned every other team in this tournament, but the run will end Sunday as the bigger, stronger, deeper and more-talented Kansas team wins and covers the double-digit spread. The FoxSheets provide two more reasons to back the Jayhawks on Sunday.

KANSAS is 22-8 ATS (73.3%, +13.2 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons. The average score was KANSAS 79.0, OPPONENT 65.9 - (Rating = 2*).

KANSAS is 18-6 ATS (75.0%, +11.4 Units) after 2 straight games where they were called for 15 or less fouls since 1997. The average score was KANSAS 85.5, OPPONENT 66.0 - (Rating = 1*).

This highly-rated FoxSheets trend supports choosing the Over on Sunday.

VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH is 12-2 OVER (85.7%, +9.8 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. The average score was VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH 74.9, OPPONENT 70.1 - (Rating = 3*).

**StarDust Bum** · 03-27-2011, 11:32 AM

MLB

Sunday, March 27

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Detroit - 1:05 PM ET Houston -113 500
Houston -

Florida - 1:05 PM ET Florida +103 500
Washington -

NY Yankees - 1:05 PM ET NY Yankees +107 500
Minnesota -

NY Mets - 1:05 PM ET St. Louis -124 500
St. Louis -

Philadelphia - 1:05 PM ET Atlanta -110 500
Atlanta -

Tampa Bay - 1:05 PM ET Tampa Bay -120 500
Pittsburgh -

Arizona - 4:05 PM ET Cincinnati -126 500
Cincinnati -

Chi. White Sox - 4:05 PM ET Chi. White Sox +112 500
Milwaukee -

Cleveland - 4:05 PM ET LA Dodgers -129 500
LA Dodgers -

San Francisco - 4:05 PM ET San Francisco -105 500
Kansas City -

Texas - 4:05 PM ET Seattle -113 500
Seattle -

San Diego - 5:05 PM ET San Diego +129 500
LA Angels -

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NBA

Sunday, March 27

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Sacramento - 12:00 PM ET Sacramento +9 500
Philadelphia - Over 208.5 500

Atlanta - 6:00 PM ET Cleveland +6 500
Cleveland - Over 193 500

Houston - 6:00 PM ET Houston +8.5 500
Miami - Under 208 500

San Antonio - 6:00 PM ET Memphis -3 500 ( NBA POD )
Memphis - Over 197 500

Evening NBA Games Posted later.
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NHL

Sunday , March 27

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Florida - 1:00 PM ET Florida +236 500
Pittsburgh - Under 5 500

Ottawa - 2:00 PM ET Ottawa +129 500
Atlanta - Over 5.5 500

Vancouver - 5:00 PM ET Columbus +139 500
Columbus - Over 5.5 500

Boston - 7:00 PM ET Boston +115 500
Philadelphia - Under 5.5 500

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NCAAB

Sunday, March 27

Game Score Status Pick Amount

VCU - 2:10 PM ET Kansas -11.5 500 ( POD )
Kansas - Over 145.5 500 ( POD TOTAL )

Kentucky - 5:05 PM ET Kentucky -1.5 500
North Carolina - Under 146.5 500

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The Bum's Sunday's Best Bets MLB-NBA-NHL-NCAAB !

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