Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 3/10 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel


LA Lakers at Miami
The Lakers look to build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games as a favorite of 1 to 4 1/2 points. LA is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lakers favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-2). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, MARCH 10

Game 701-702: LA Lakers at Miami (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 123.935; Miami 117.740
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 6; 192
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 2; 188
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-2); Over

Game 703-704: New York at Dallas (
9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 121.103; Dallas 125.311
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 4; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 7; 215 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (+7); Under

Game 705-706: Denver at Phoenix (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 123.194; Phoenix 123.627
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 223
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 3 1/2; 215 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+3 1/2); Over

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet


Thursday, March 9

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LA LAKERS (46 - 19) at MIAMI (43 - 21) - 3/10/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LA LAKERS are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in home games this season.
MIAMI is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
MIAMI is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games off a upset loss as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-0 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (34 - 29) at DALLAS (46 - 18) - 3/10/2011, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEW YORK is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 23-7 ATS (+15.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
NEW YORK is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points this season.
NEW YORK is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) in road games this season.
NEW YORK is 38-19 ATS (+17.1 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on back-to-back days this season.
NEW YORK is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games after a non-conference game this season.
NEW YORK is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off an upset win as an underdog this season.
NEW YORK is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEW YORK is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (37 - 27) at PHOENIX (33 - 29) - 3/10/2011, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 27-46 ATS (-23.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 87-70 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 60-43 ATS (+12.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 51-31 ATS (+16.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 56-40 ATS (+12.0 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 49-36 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 46-29 ATS (+14.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 58-35 ATS (+19.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 32-13 ATS (+17.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 44-28 ATS (+13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 6-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 6-4 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

NBA


Thursday, March 9

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 5 games
LA Lakers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:30 PM
NEW YORK vs. DALLAS
New York is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
New York is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Dallas's last 12 games at home

10:30 PM
DENVER vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Denver's last 13 games on the road
Denver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing at home against Denver


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[Udog]

NBA


Thursday, March 9

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Double dribble: NBA TNT doubleheader betting preview
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Los Angeles Lakers at Miami Heat (+2, 188)

The Heat have been wretched against good teams this season, but one of their best wins came at the Staples Center on Christmas Day.

As a 3.5-point underdog, Miami laughed at the spread and hammered the Lakers 96-80 as LeBron James delivered a triple-double. LeBron scored a game-high 27 points, dished out 11 of his team’s impressive 25 assists, and grabbed 11 rebounds.

Miami’s “Big 3” combined for 69 points while Mario Chalmers chipped in 13. Kobe Bryant had an afternoon to forget, going 6 of 16 from the floor for 17 points. Pau Gasol also scored 17 but it was nowhere near enough to overcome the Heat, who got 18 first-half points from Chris Bosh and never trailed after an early 8-7 L.A. lead.

Tears of the sun

Perhaps you thought it could not get any worse for the Heat (43-21, 29-34-1 ATS) when they dropped a pair of home games to New York and Orlando last week. But then they got blown out 125-95 at San Antonio one day after losing to the Magic.

Surely that was rock bottom, right? Wrong. They promptly lost again at home Sunday, this time 87-86 to Chicago, after more late-game failings by LeBron and Dwayne Wade. Head coach Erik Spoelstra said afterward that some of his guys were crying in the locker room.

Improbably, it still got worse for Miami after that. The spiraling team fell at home, again, to Portland, 105-96. That loss extended the Heat’s losing streak to five. They have not covered a single spread in their last seven outings and they have not beat a team above .500 (and nobody better than 27-36 Indiana) since February 3.

Miami will have plenty of incentive for Thursday’s showdown, and not just because it’s yet another chance to get over the hump against a top team. Los Angeles head coach Phil Jackson joined in the cry-gate fun Wednesday.

“This is the NBA: No Boys Allowed,” Jackson joked to the Los Angeles Times. “Big boys don't cry. But if you're going to do it, do it in the toilet where no one sees you.”

The Lakers (46-19, 32-32-1 ATS) have had no need to cry lately. With the Heat are streaking in the wrong direction, L.A. extended its winning surge to five games with a 101-87 victory at Atlanta Tuesday.

Trending topics

- The Lakers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight overall and 5-0 ATS in their last five road games.

- The Heat are 0-7 ATS in their last seven overall and 0-5 ATS in their last five home games.

- Head-to-head, Miami is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings. The under is 5-1 in the last six encounters at AmericanAirlines Arena.



New York Knicks at Dallas Mavericks (-7, 215.5)

If you thought the Christmas clash between the Lakers and Heat was a potential NBA Finals preview, perhaps you should have tuned in on February 2 instead. That’s when the Knicks and Mavericks squared off in New York for their first of two meetings during the regular season. As a 2-point underdog at Madison Square Garden, Dallas dominated the second and third quarters to prevail 113-97.

Of course, this is a much different Knicks team now. Danilo Gallinari, who led the Knicks with 27 points in the loss to Dallas, is a Denver Nugget. New York, which got 21 points from Amare Stoudemire and 22 from backup guard Toney Douglas, was obviously without recently-acquired Carmelo Anthony. The Mavericks owned the glass to the tune of a 54 to 34 rebounding margin while Dirk Nowitzki led five Dallas players in double figures with 29 points.

Both the Knicks (at Memphis) and Mavericks (at New Orleans) have zero days of rest heading into Thursday’s showdown. New York is a respectable 9-6 (11-3-1 ATS) in the second of back-to-back games this season while Dallas is a stellar 10-4 (9-5 ATS).

Four games in five nights

The Mavericks (46-17, 34-27-2 ATS) may have trouble staying in the present on Thursday night, because they have a lot on their plate both in the past and the future. Not only will it be Dallas’ fourth game in five nights, but the team also has a showdown against the Lakers coming up on Saturday.

“It's going to test us mentally and physically,” guard Jason Terry told the Fort Worth Star-Telegram before the stretch started. “It's going to tell you a lot about your team this late in the season playing four in five nights. We're going to see what we're made of. But I think we're up for the task and we're excited.”

So far, the Mavericks are 1-1 (0-2 ATS). They lost 104-103 at home to Memphis on a buzzer beater from Zach Randolph before winning 108-105 at Minnesota Monday.

“Even though it's a home game, I see trouble ahead against New York on Thursday,” said Eddie Sefko, beat writer for the Dallas Morning News. “The Mavericks will be finishing their four-game, five-night run. They will have spent themselves Wednesday night in New Orleans against the Hornets and they also will have a human-nature battle on their hand to keep from looking forward to the Lakers.”

What Sefko may not know, though, is that the Knicks (33-29, 38-22-2 ATS) will also be wrapping up a four-game, five-night stretch. The streak of games is certainly not doing any favors for Chauncey Billups, who has missed four straight games with a quadriceps injury and is listed as questionable as of Wednesday afternoon.

Trending topics

- The Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last six overall.

- The over is 16-5 in the Mavericks’ last 21 overall and 5-0 in their last five when they play on zero day’s rest.

- Head-to-head, in the last five meetings the road team is 5-0 ATS and the over is 4-1.

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[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel


Ottawa at Florida
The Senators are coming off a 2-1 win at New Jersey and look to build on their 6-0 record in their last 6 games after scoring 2 goals or less in the previous game. Ottawa is the pick (+125) according to Dunkel, which has the Senators favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+125). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, MARCH 10

Game 1-2: Philadelphia at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 10.960; Toronto 11.994
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+120); Over

Game 3-4: Buffalo at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 11.243; Boston 12.361
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 5-6: Ottawa at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 11.295; Florida 10.607
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Florida (-145); 5
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+125); Under

Game 7-8: Montreal at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 12.485; St. Louis 11.127
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-110); Over

Game 9-10: Minnesota at Nashville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.383; Nashville 12.622
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-160); 5
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-160); Over

Game 11-12: Calgary at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 12.454; Phoenix 11.170
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 13-14: Vancouver at San Jose (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 12.054; San Jose 12.966
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-130); Over

[Udog]

NHL


Thursday, March 9

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Boston
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Buffalo

7:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games at home

7:30 PM
OTTAWA vs. FLORIDA
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Ottawa's last 8 games when playing Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing on the road against Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games when playing at home against Ottawa
Florida is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Ottawa

8:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. NASHVILLE
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Minnesota's last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Nashville's last 8 games when playing Minnesota
Nashville is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games

8:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 7 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Montreal is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
St. Louis is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
St. Louis is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games ,when playing Montreal

9:00 PM
CALGARY vs. PHOENIX
Calgary is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Calgary is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Phoenix is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games

10:30 PM
VANCOUVER vs. SAN JOSE
Vancouver is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Jose
Vancouver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
San Jose is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
San Jose is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Vancouver


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[Udog]

NHL


Thursday, March 9

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Ice picks: Thursday's best NHL bets
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Montreal Canadiens at St. Louis Blues (-102, 5.5)

The Canadiens are one of the hottest teams in the NHL having won five games in a row, so why will they be playing like men possessed against St. Louis on Thursday?

Montreal is coming off a 4-1 win over Boston on Tuesday that was marred by a vicious Zdeno Chara hit on Habs forward Max Pacioretty. It sent Pacioretty (14 goals, 10 assists) into one of the upright posts that supports plexiglass in between the teams’ benches and knocked him unconscious. Pacioretty is out indefinitely with—at the very least—a concussion.

“The most important thing for us is that Max will recover and be back with us soon,” Lars Eller, who scored a pair of goals in the game, told the Montreal Gazette. “We’re happy for the win. We played a real good team game. It was hard to stay focused after the injury but at least we know now that he’s talking and he can move all his body parts and that makes it feel better.”

Incident aside, the Canadiens should also be feeling good about their current level of play. Their only loss in seven outings was a 5-4 nail-biter against Toronto on February 24. Montreal is up to sixth place in the Eastern Conference and has a 10-point cushion on a playoff spot.

St. Louis, on the other hand, is 10 points out of a playoff spot at 13th place in the Western Conference. The Blues have lost four of their last five games and seven of their last nine.

Pick: Montreal



Philadelphia Flyers at Toronto Maple Leafs (126, 5.5)

The Flyers had a big lead in the Eastern Conference (and still have a smaller lead), which is perhaps why they did not look particularly interested during their recent four-game losing streak.

But head coach Peter Laviolette would have no more of it after an especially embarrassing loss to the Rangers, 7-0 on Sunday. Laviolette gave his team the day off on Monday and Philadelphia responded on Tuesday by ending the slump and beating Edmonton 4-1.

"We had plenty of gas in the tank tonight," Laviolette told the Philadelphia Courier-Post.

Or maybe it was just that Edmonton is simply god-awful; the worst team in the NHL to be exact (with a miniscule 54 points).

We will find out more about the Flyers on Thursday when they visit a Toronto team that is not much better than mediocre, but one that is at least fighting for a playoff spot (four points out in the East).

The Maple Leafs have won only two of their last six contests, but they scored fewer than three goals only once in that span. Toronto is not one of the best at capitalizing on power plays, but the team has created 274 man advantages—second in the NHL behind Tampa Bay.

Pick: Toronto


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[Udog]

Odds to win American League West: Can Rangers repeat?

Texas was a surprise World Series participant last season and has nearly all the pieces returning from the American League’s fourth-best offense at 4.85 runs per game. But without Cliff Lee in the rotation, a return trip to the Fall Classic is remote.

Oakland had the league’s lowest ERA in 2010 and an upgraded lineup makes the A’s a contender. The Los Angeles Angels came up empty in free agency and have question marks throughout their roster. Seattle had the worst offense in the junior circuit by 100 total runs and did virtually nothing to improve a miserable situation.


Los Angeles Angels

Last season record: 80-82
Projected season win total: O/U 83
Odds to win AL West: +263

Biggest loss: OF/DH Hideki Matsui
Biggest addition: LHR Scott Downs

Angels outlook: Remember Angels’ baseball when it featured players on base continually? That style came to an abrupt halt last season. Run production fell 29.6 percent without a true leadoff man and enough hitters on the lineup card that hit for contact and average. Last year was the first time in 49 years the Halos did not have a single regular starter hitting .300 or better. The return of Kendry Morales will help add potency to the batting order and, based on spring training results, manager Mike Scioscia will have to get Mark Trumbo on the scorecard the way he is crushing the ball.

To start the season, Scioscia will pin his hopes on AL West’s best starting staff. Dan Haren and Joel Pineiro placed too much pressure on themselves a season ago and both have expressed a greater comfort level and should fit nicely with ace Jered Weaver and Ervin Santana. If the bullpen becomes settled, it could be a winning campaign.

Season win total pick: Over 83


Oakland Athletics

Last season record: 81-81
Projected season win total: O/U 83.5
Odds to win AL West: +194

Biggest loss: DH Jack Cust
Biggest addition: OF David DeJesus, DH Hideki Matsui

A’s outlook: For the all the love the San Francisco Giants deservedly received, Oakland’s starting pitchers had the lowest ERA (3.47) in the majors in two decades (Boston -1990). General manager Billy Beane sees the similarities with his young studs and is convinced his talented hurlers can match their cross-town rivals’ success, with a bullpen possibly as proficient. Top starter Trevor Cahill permitted right-hand batters to hit only .198 and he has just turned 21 years old. Brett Anderson, Dallas Braden and Gio Gonzalez still have ample room to improve according to Cactus League scouts.

Oakland was 11th in runs scored (4.09) per game and next-to-last in home runs in the AL. The additions of Hideki Matsui, David DeJesus and Josh Willingham is an upgrade to a pitiful offense, however, none of these players have been able to stay healthy. Manager Bob Geren understands this team has to hit for a better average, as it will take three hits to score a run most nights.

Season win total pick: Under 83.5


Seattle Mariners

Last season record: 61-101
Projected season win total: O/U 70
Odds to win AL West: +2,314

Biggest loss: 1B Casey Kotchman, 3B Jose Lopez
Biggest addition: C Miguel Olivo, DH Jack Cust

Mariners outlook: Seattle’s past four seasons have been served hot and cold like the coffee the city is known for. The hot years of 2007 and 2009 produced 88 and 85 wins respectively and the cold campaigns of 2008 and 2010 registered a mere 61 victories. The Mariners offense was offensive, registering numbers not seen in the AL in 20 to 30 years. The unusual part is GM Jack Zduriencik did almost nothing to add punch. Designated hitter Jack Cust will strikeout a ton and hit some homers and catcher Migeul Olivo will quickly find out the difference between Safeco Field and Coors Field. New youngsters will dot the roster around Ichiro Suziki.

Felix Hernandez’s talents are being wasted on a club that can’t score and the dropoff from him to the No. 2 and No. 3 starters is like jumping into the Grand Canyon. Dave Aardsma is a reliable closer, however, the bullpen might not give the right-hander too many leads to work with. The biggest positive might be the defensive outfielders’ ability to track down opponents’ swings of the bat.

Season win total pick: Under 70


Texas Rangers

Last season record: 90-72
Projected season win total: O/U 86.5
Odds to win AL West: +125

Biggest loss: DH Vladimir Guerrero
Biggest addition: 3B Adrian Beltre, LHR Arthur Rhodes

Rangers outlook: It was a banner year for the American League champion Texas Rangers, however, with success comes expectations. Texas’ scoring didn’t catch anyone off guard, but the 3.93 ERA (tied for third in AL) brought a collective “wow” from baseball. There is a great deal of consternation if the Rangers starting staff can duplicate last year’s efforts. Colby Lewis was a revelation returning from Japan and former closer C.J. Wilson took over No. 1 spot in the rotation. Tommy Hunter, at 24 years old, was 13-4 with 3.73 ERA. Even the Rangers front office was not positive this trio can manufacture same results and toyed with the idea of making closer Neftali Felix a starter.

The offense is poised to put up solid numbers again, led by Josh Hamilton’s amazing skill set. He needs to stay healthy, as does outfielder Nelson Cruz and second baseman Ian Kinsler. New third baseman Adrian Beltre regained his stroke in Fenway Park last year and will find Rangers Ballpark equally friendly. Texas will try to duplicate last season’s 71-47 record under the lights.

Season win total pick: Over 86.5

[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet


Thursday, March 9

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PHILADELPHIA (41-19-0-6, 88 pts.) at TORONTO (29-28-0-10, 68 pts.) - 3/10/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 191-189 ATS (-67.7 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
TORONTO is 281-281 ATS (-19.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
TORONTO is 160-157 ATS (+345.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
TORONTO is 59-90 ATS (-93.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 10-18 ATS (+29.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 7-4-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.9 Units)

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BUFFALO (32-26-0-8, 72 pts.) at BOSTON (38-20-0-8, 84 pts.) - 3/10/2011, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 12-11-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.1 Units)

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OTTAWA (23-34-0-9, 55 pts.) at FLORIDA (27-31-0-9, 63 pts.) - 3/10/2011, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 23-43 ATS (+73.2 Units) in all games this season.
FLORIDA is 62-60 ATS (+138.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 68-105 ATS (+186.4 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less since 1996.
FLORIDA is 9-19 ATS (+32.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
FLORIDA is 3-11 ATS (+15.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 6-4-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.3 Units)

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MONTREAL (37-23-0-7, 81 pts.) at ST LOUIS (30-28-0-9, 69 pts.) - 3/10/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 85-83 ATS (-2.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 11-5 ATS (+16.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ST LOUIS is 30-37 ATS (-21.5 Units) in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 26-31 ATS (+59.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 1-1 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 1-1-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.2 Units)

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MINNESOTA (35-25-0-7, 77 pts.) at NASHVILLE (33-24-0-10, 76 pts.) - 3/10/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 14-31 ATS (+49.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 81-73 ATS (-13.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 35-32 ATS (+70.1 Units) in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 7-2 ATS (+9.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
MINNESOTA is 20-14 ATS (+36.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 6-5 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 6-5-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.4 Units)

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CALGARY (36-24-0-9, 81 pts.) at PHOENIX (34-23-0-11, 79 pts.) - 3/10/2011, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 6-4 (+3.6 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 6-4-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)

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VANCOUVER (43-16-0-9, 95 pts.) at SAN JOSE (39-22-0-6, 84 pts.) - 3/10/2011, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 11-2 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
VANCOUVER is 19-7 ATS (+10.6 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 45-23 ATS (+13.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 123-92 ATS (+217.8 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 35-28 ATS (+66.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 7-4 (+2.9 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 7-4-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NCAAB
Long Sheet


Thursday, March 9

Update

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CINCINNATI (25 - 7) vs. NOTRE DAME (25 - 5) - 3/10/2011, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NOTRE DAME is 3-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 2-2 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MARQUETTE (20 - 13) vs. LOUISVILLE (23 - 8) - 3/10/2011, 9:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARQUETTE is 3-0 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 2-1 straight up against MARQUETTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA (14 - 17) vs. TEXAS (25 - 6) - 3/10/2011, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 3-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 4-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MISSOURI (23 - 9) vs. TEXAS A&M (23 - 7) - 3/10/2011, 9:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS A&M is 2-1 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS A&M is 3-0 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet


Thursday, March 9

LA LAKERS at MIAMI, 8:00 PM ET
LA LAKERS: 11-2 ATS in road games off a road win
MIAMI: 6-14 ATS after a non-conference game

NEW YORK at DALLAS, 8:30 PM ET
NEW YORK: 26-12 ATS after a game where they covered the spread
DALLAS: 7-21 ATS in home non-conference games

DENVER at PHOENIX, 10:30 PM ET
DENVER: 5-15 ATS in road games off a road loss
PHOENIX: 16-6 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NCAAB
Short Sheet


Thursday, March 9

Big East Tournament - Quarterfinals - Madison Square Garden

CONNECTICUT vs. PITTSBURGH, 12:00 PM ET ESPN
CONNECTICUT: 4-0 ATS on neutral court
PITTSBURGH: 6-1 Over off BB double digit wins

ST JOHNS vs. SYRACUSE, 2:25 PM ET ESPN
ST JOHNS: 5-1 ATS revenging home loss
SYRACUSE: 1-9 ATS off home win by 10+ pts

CINCINNATI vs. NOTRE DAME, 7:00 PM ET ESPN
CINCINNATI: 10-2 Under with revenge
NOTRE DAME: 6-0 ATS off win by 6 pts or less

MARQUETTE vs. LOUISVILLE, 9:30 PM ET ESPN
MARQUETTE: 7-3 ATS off conference win
LOUISVILLE: 5-1 Under off SU loss

ACC Tournament - Opening Round - Greensboro, NC

MIAMI vs. VIRGINIA, 12:00 PM ET
MIAMI: 30-16 ATS after scoring 60 pts or less
VIRGINIA: 13-5 ATS as underdog

WAKE FOREST vs. BOSTON COLLEGE, 2:25 PM ET
WAKE FOREST: 0-7 ATS revenging road loss
BOSTON COLLEGE: 12-4 ATS vs. conference

NC STATE vs. MARYLAND, 7:00 PM ET ESPN2
NC STATE: 3-13 ATS as underdog
MARYLAND: 6-0 ATS Away off BB ATS losses

GEORGIA TECH vs. VIRGINIA TECH, 9:25 PM ET
GEORGIA TECH: 8-1 ATS as neutral court underdog
VIRGINIA TECH: 8-2 Over playing only their 2nd game in 8 days

Mid American Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Cleveland, OH

BOWLING GREEN vs. W MICHIGAN, 12:00 PM ET
BOWLING GREEN: 6-0 Over if favored last game
W MICHIGAN: 7-16 ATS off ATS win

AKRON vs. MIAMI OHIO, 2:25 PM ET
AKRON: 23-11 ATS off double digit win
MIAMI OHIO: 2-9 ATS off home win

BUFFALO vs. KENT ST, 7:00 PM ET
BUFFALO: 0-6 ATS after allowing 50 points or less
KENT ST: 50-25 ATS off conf win by 10+ pts

OHIO U vs. BALL ST, 9:25 PM ET
OHIO U: 6-13 ATS as favorite
BALL ST: 9-0 ATS off home conference win

Big 12 Tournament - Quarterfinals - Kansas City, MO

OKLAHOMA ST vs. KANSAS, 12:30 PM ET ESPN2
OKLAHOMA ST: 4-0 Under on neutral court
KANSAS: 4-1 ATS after a win by 6 points or less

COLORADO vs. KANSAS ST, 3:00 PM ET
COLORADO: 7-22 ATS off ATS loss/SU win
KANSAS ST: n/a

OKLAHOMA vs. TEXAS, 7:00 PM ET
OKLAHOMA: 17-7 Under revenging home loss
TEXAS: 12-4 Under vs. conference

MISSOURI vs. TEXAS A&M, 9:30 PM ET ESPN2
MISSOURI: 5-1 Over revenging a loss where opp scored 75+ points
TEXAS A&M: 19-7 ATS off BB ATS wins

SEC Tournament - Opening Round - Georgia Dome - Atlanta, GA

AUBURN vs. GEORGIA, 1:00 PM ET
AUBURN: 7-0 ATS after a combined score of 115 points or less last game
GEORGIA: 11-3 Under as favorite

S CAROLINA vs. OLE MISS, 3:30 PM ET
S CAROLINA: 9-1 Over after scoring 60 points or less
OLE MISS: 33-18 ATS after scoring 80+ pts

ARKANSAS vs. TENNESSEE, 7:30 PM ET
ARKANSAS: 2-13 ATS Away off conference loss
TENNESSEE: 7-14 ATS as favorite

LSU vs. VANDERBILT, 10:00 PM ET
LSU: 5-17 ATS off SU loss as home favorite
VANDERBILT: 20-9 ATS off home game

Conference USA Tournament - Quarterfinals - El Paso, TX

E CAROLINA vs. UAB, 1:00 PM ET
E CAROLINA: 19-39 ATS with same season revenge
UAB: 5-1 ATS off 3+ ATS wins

S MISS vs. MEMPHIS, 3:30 PM ET
S MISS: 1-6 ATS with revenge
MEMPHIS: 13-3 Under vs. conference

MARSHALL vs. UTEP, 7:30 PM ET
MARSHALL: 6-1 Over in tournament games
UTEP: 8-0 Under playing only their 2nd game in 8 days

RICE vs. TULSA, 10:00 PM ET
RICE: 23-9 ATS on neutral court
TULSA: 5-1 Over off BB ATS wins

Big Ten Conference Tournament - Opening Round - Indianapolis, IN

MINNESOTA vs. NORTHWESTERN, 2:30 PM ET ESPN2
MINNESOTA: 0-7 ATS after scoring 65 pts or less BB games
NORTHWESTERN: 22-11 ATS as favorite

IOWA vs. MICHIGAN ST, 4:55 PM ET ESPN2
IOWA: 10-2 Under off conference win
MICHIGAN ST: 2-18 ATS Away if road underdog last game

INDIANA vs. PENN ST, 7:30 PM ET Big 10
INDIANA: 1-9 ATS in tournament games
PENN ST: 11-1 ATS off BB Overs

Pac 10 Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Staples Ctr- Los Angeles, CA

CALIFORNIA vs. USC, 3:00 PM ET FSN
CALIFORNIA: 14-3 Over vs. conference
USC: 10-21 ATS as favorite

OREGON ST vs. ARIZONA, 5:30 PM ET FSN
OREGON ST: 2-8 ATS off ATS win
ARIZONA: 2-10 ATS off ATS loss

OREGON vs. UCLA, 9:00 PM ET FSN
OREGON: 8-2 ATS revenging double digit loss
UCLA: 3-0 Over on neutral court

WASHINGTON ST vs. WASHINGTON, 11:30 PM ET FSN
WASHINGTON ST: 1-11 ATS Away if underdog last game
WASHINGTON: 8-1 ATS off loss by 6pts or less

Mountain West Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Las Vegas, NV

TCU vs. BYU, 3:00 PM ET MTN
TCU: 20-40 ATS playing w/ one or less days rest
BYU: 1-6 ATS after scoring 95+ points

NEW MEXICO vs. at COLORADO ST, 5:30 PM ET MTN
NEW MEXICO: 8-18 ATS Away off ATS loss
COLORADO ST: 8-1 ATS when the line is +3 to -3

UTAH vs. SAN DIEGO ST, 9:00 PM ET MTN
UTAH: 16-6 Under after having lost 2 of their last 3 games
SAN DIEGO ST: 9-0 Under after a game with 9 or less assists

AIR FORCE vs. UNLV, 11:30 PM ET MTN
AIR FORCE: 8-0 ATS on neutral court
UNLV: 8-15 ATS if favored last game

WAC Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - Las Vegas, NV

SAN JOSE ST vs. IDAHO, 3:00 PM ET ESPNU
SAN JOSE ST: 32-16 Over vs. conference
IDAHO: 6-0 ATS off BB home games

NEVADA vs. NEW MEXICO ST, 5:30 PM ET ESPNU
NEVADA: 2-9 ATS if favored last game
NEW MEXICO ST: 6-1 Under in tournament games

Big West Conference Tournament - Opening Round - Anaheim, CA

UC-IRVINE vs. LONG BEACH ST, 3:00 PM ET
UC-IRVINE: 0-7 ATS after a game committing 8 or less turnovers
LONG BEACH ST: 42-23 ATS revenging double digit loss

UC-SANTA BARBARA vs. PACIFIC, 5:30 PM ET
UC-SANTA BARBARA: 5-13 ATS if favored last game
PACIFIC: 26-13 ATS off home loss

UC-RIVERSIDE vs. CAL POLY-SLO, 9:00 PM ET
UC-RIVERSIDE: 12-5 Under as an underdog
CAL POLY-SLO: 7-1 ATS off road loss

CS-FULLERTON vs. CS-NORTHRIDGE, 11:30 PM ET
CS-FULLERTON: 6-0 Over when the line is +3 to -3
CS-NORTHRIDGE: 13-5 Over when the line is +3 to -3

SWAC Tournament - Quarterfinals - Garland, TX

GRAMBLING vs. MISS VALLEY ST, 1:30 PM ET
GRAMBLING: n/a
MISS VALLEY ST: n/a

ALABAMA A&M vs. ALABAMA ST, 9:00 PM ET
ALABAMA A&M: 1-6 ATS on neutral court
ALABAMA ST: 4-1 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less

MEAC Tournament - Quarterfinals - Winston Salem, NC

NORFOLK ST vs. COPPIN ST, 6:00 PM ET
NORFOLK ST: 2-5 ATS playing on a neutral court
COPPIN ST: 1-5 ATS in all games

N CAROLINA A&T vs. MORGAN ST, 8:20 PM ET
N CAROLINA A&T: 3-0 ATS if underdog last game
MORGAN ST: 4-13 ATS on neutral court

Southland Conference Tournament - Semifinals - Katy, TX

TX-SAN ANTONIO vs. SAM HOUSTON ST, 7:00 PM ET
TX-SAN ANTONIO: n/a
SAM HOUSTON ST: n/a

TEXAS ST vs. MCNEESE ST, 9:30 PM ET
TEXAS ST: n/a
MCNEESE ST: n/a

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet


Thursday, March 9

PHILADELPHIA at TORONTO, 7:00 PM ET
PHILADELPHIA: 20-12 SU in road games
TORONTO: 11-25 SU after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game

BUFFALO at BOSTON, 7:00 PM ET
BUFFALO: N/A
BOSTON: N/A

OTTAWA at FLORIDA, 7:30 PM ET
OTTAWA: 6-16 SU after a game where they covered the spread
FLORIDA: 9-3 SU revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 4 goals or more

MONTREAL at ST LOUIS, 8:00 PM ET
MONTREAL: 8-1 SU after scoring 4 goals or more in 2 straight games
ST LOUIS: 1-12 SU off a road win against a division rival

MINNESOTA at NASHVILLE, 8:00 PM ET
MINNESOTA: 7-1 SU revenging a loss where opponent scored 5 or more goals
NASHVILLE: 4-12 SU after scoring 2 goals or less in 2 straight games

CALGARY at PHOENIX, 9:00 PM ET
CALGARY: N/A
PHOENIX: N/A

VANCOUVER at SAN JOSE, 10:30 PM ET
VANCOUVER: 19-6 SU after a 2 game unbeaten streak
SAN JOSE: 23-26 SU after playing 2 consecutive home games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NBA
Write-Up


Thursday, March 9

Hot Teams
-- Lakers are 8-0 since All-Star break (7-1 vs spread).
-- Knicks won eight of their last eleven games.
-- Nuggets won six of last eight games (7-1 vs spread).

Cold Teams
-- Miami Heat lost their last five games.
-- Mavericks lost two of last three games (0-4 vs spread last four) after an impressive 18-1 run.

Totals
-- Four of last five Laker games stayed under total.
-- Over is 12-3-1 in last sixteen Dallas games.
-- Seven of last nine Phoenix games went over the total.

Back-to-Back
-- Dallas is 9-4 vs spread if it played night before, 2-2 if it lost. Knicks are 10-2-1 vs spread if they played night before.

[Udog]

NHL
Write-Up


Thursday, March 9

Hot Teams
-- Sabres won six of their last eight road games.
-- Canadiens won last four games, allowing six goals.
-- Flames won five of their last six games.
-- San Jose won nine of its last ten games. Canucks won four of last five.

Cold Teams
-- Philadelphia lost four of its last five games. Maple Leafs lost four of their last six home games.
-- Bruins lost last two games, scoring total of three goals.
-- Ottawa is 2-13 in game after its last 15 wins, but they've also won four of their last five road games. Panthers lost five of last six games.
-- Blues are 3-7 in last ten games, but did win last two, both in OT.
-- Minnesota is 0-5 in game after its last five wins. Nashville lost seven of its last nine games.
-- Coyotes lost six of their last seven games.

Totals
-- Under is 5-1 in last six Toronto-Philly games.
-- Under is 6-0-1 in last seven Boston games.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Florida games.
-- Five of last six Montreal road games stayed under total.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in Minnesota's last five road games.
-- Over is 4-0-1 in Calgary's last five games.
-- Under is 3-0-1 in San Jose's last four games.

Back-to-Back
-- St Louis is 1-4 at home if it played on road night before.
-- Calgary is 2-6 when playing second straight night on road.

Series records
-- Flyers won four of last five games against Toronto.
-- Sabres lost five of last six visits to Boston.
-- Senators won five of last six games against Florida.
-- Road team won last four Montreal-St Louis games.
-- Predators won three of last four games against Minnesota.
-- Coyotes won four of last five games against Calgary.
-- Canucks lost six of last seven visits to San Jose.