Friday's Trends and Indexes - 3/4 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

[Udog]

NHL
Write-Up


Friday, March 4

Hot Teams
-- Devils won ten of their last eleven games.
-- Ottawa won four of its last six games.
-- Blackhawks won last six games, scoring 25 goals. Carolina won three of its last four games.
-- Ducks won last two games, allowing three goals, after losing previous five contests. Dallas won three in row, allowing five goals.

Cold Teams
-- Pittsburgh lost five of its last six games.
-- Rangers lost five of their last seven games.
-- Columbus lost its last three games, scoring five goals. Flames lost three of their last five games.

Totals
-- Under is 5-0-1 in last six New Jersey games.
-- Last three Ranger games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Chicago games went over the total.
-- Over is 10-4 in Calgary's last 14 games.
-- Under is 3-0-1 in Anaheim's last four games.

Back-to-Back
-- Rangers are 10-5 if they played night before; they were 9-0 at one point this season.
-- Carolina is 5-3 on road if it played night before.
-- Columbus is 5-3 on road if it played night before. 3-2 if it lost.

Series records
-- Devils won seven of last nine games against Pittsburgh.
-- Rangers won their last four visits to Ottawa.
-- Hurricanes won three of last four games against Chicago.
-- Blue Jackets lost five of last six visits to Calgary.
-- Dallas Stars lost four of last five visits to Anaheim.

[Udog]

NHL


Friday, March 4

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. NEW JERSEY
Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

7:30 PM
NY RANGERS vs. OTTAWA
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of the NY Rangers last 21 games when playing Ottawa
NY Rangers are 4-11 SU in their last 15 games
Ottawa is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against NY Rangers
Ottawa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

8:30 PM
CAROLINA vs. CHICAGO
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games

9:00 PM
COLUMBUS vs. CALGARY
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Columbus's last 13 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Columbus is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home
Calgary is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Columbus

10:00 PM
DALLAS vs. ANAHEIM
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
Anaheim is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Anaheim is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games


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[Udog]

NHL


Friday, March 4

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Ice picks: Today's best NHL bets
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Carolina Hurricanes at Chicago Blackhawks

The Blackhawks are scoring lots and lots of goals. As it just so happens, that is translating to lots and lots of wins.

Chicago is averaging just a hair under four goals per game over its past eight, scoring at least three goals in each of those games. Not surprisingly, the team is 7-1 during that span and has reasserted itself as a threat to defend its Stanley Cup championship.

Over this hot streak, the team has been led by standout forwards Jonathan Toews (6 goals, 7 assists), Patrick Kane (5 goals, 5 assists) and Patrick Sharp (2 goals, 7 assists).

"We're not doing it as a streak my any means," Toews said. "We've been doing a great job of taking one game at a time, especially coming back from the All-Star break. It's been since then that we've gradually gotten better every night."

His coach agrees. "Johnny's got it going," Chicago coach Joel Quenneville said. "He's finishing well. He's a horse out there."

And don’t expect Carolina to be able to put him in the stable. The Hurricanes are just 4-6 in their past 10 games. In the losses, the team has given up 20 goals, including at least three on five occasions.

Pick: Chicago


Dallas Stars at Anaheim Ducks

Dan Ellis isn’t regarded as one of the better goalies in the NHL, but it’s hard to imagine him being any more valuable for the Ducks the past two games.

Due to issues with Jonas Hiller and the abysmal play of backup Curtis McElhinney, the team shipped its No. 2 keeper to Tampa Bay for Ellis. The move has paid huge dividends for the Ducks, who were falling apart at the seams with their disaster between the pipes. Before acquiring Ellis, the team had lost five straight games with McElhinney in goal after Hiller was put on IR with chronic fatigue.

In those games, the team coughed up a whopping 27 total goals.

Since Ellis took over last week, the team has won two straight over the Red Wings and Avalanche. In those victories, Ellis stopped 50 of 53 shots he faced.

“Here, you just try to figure out the same tendencies,” Ellis said. “It’ll take a few more games to figure it out for sure, but overall, this D corps is one of the best D corps I’ve ever played with - and they communicate better than anyone I’ve ever played with.”

And with stud center Brad Richards still on the shelf for Dallas, don’t like for the Stars to get many chances to prove Ellis wrong.

Pick: Anaheim


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[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet


Friday, March 4

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TORONTO (17 - 44) vs. NEW JERSEY (17 - 43) - 3/4/2011, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 97-121 ATS (-36.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 58-79 ATS (-28.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 61-80 ATS (-27.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
NEW JERSEY is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NEW JERSEY is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-4 against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-2 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (41 - 18) at ORLANDO (40 - 22) - 3/4/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 144-114 ATS (+18.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 75-59 ATS (+10.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games this season.
CHICAGO is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHICAGO is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
CHICAGO is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 5-4 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 6-3 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (15 - 47) at PHILADELPHIA (30 - 30) - 3/4/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 64-79 ATS (-22.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 55-69 ATS (-20.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
MINNESOTA is 48-63 ATS (-21.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 98-71 ATS (+19.9 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (27 - 33) at BOSTON (44 - 15) - 3/4/2011, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) in road games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 78-63 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 53-67 ATS (-20.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 30-52 ATS (-27.2 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
BOSTON is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
BOSTON is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 28-41 ATS (-17.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 4-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (11 - 49) at NEW YORK (31 - 28) - 3/4/2011, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 24-33 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
NEW YORK is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 9-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (37 - 22) at ATLANTA (37 - 24) - 3/4/2011, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (35 - 28) at MEMPHIS (34 - 28) - 3/4/2011, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 6-3 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (27 - 33) at DALLAS (44 - 16) - 3/4/2011, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DALLAS is 34-24 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 117-87 ATS (+21.3 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
DALLAS is 237-177 ATS (+42.3 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
DALLAS is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
INDIANA is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) against Central division opponents this season.
DALLAS is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 24-36 ATS (-15.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

NCAAB
Short Sheet


Friday, March 4

First Post

OHIO U at MIAMI OHIO, 7:00 PM ET
OHIO U: 6-0 ATS as road underdog
MIAMI OHIO: 5-1 Over vs. Ohio

AKRON at KENT ST, 7:00 PM ET
AKRON: 6-0 ATS off double digit loss
KENT ST: 6-0 ATS with same season revenge

YALE at COLUMBIA, 7:00 PM ET
YALE: 1-10 ATS after a game committing 8 or less turnovers
COLUMBIA: 0-10 ATS at home after 4 straight games where both teams score 70 points or less

BROWN at CORNELL, 7:00 PM ET
BROWN: 5-15 ATS off SU win
CORNELL: 10-2 ATS if road underdog last game

PRINCETON at DARTMOUTH, 7:00 PM ET
PRINCETON: 10-2 ATS as road favorite
DARTMOUTH: 11-22 ATS as underdog

PENNSYLVANIA at HARVARD, 7:00 PM ET
PENNSYLVANIA: 14-5 ATS in conference road games
HARVARD: 28-51 ATS off road loss

Colonial Conference Tournament - 1rst Round - Richmond, VA
GEORGIA ST vs. UNC-WILMINGTON, 12:00 PM ET
GEORGIA ST: 8-0 ATS in CAA Tournament
UNC-WILMINGTON: 31-12 ATS in all tournament games

TOWSON ST vs. DREXEL, 2:30 PM ET
TOWSON ST: 6-0 ATS playing with 5 or 6 days rest
DREXEL: 0-7 ATS off BB games w/ 11 or less turnovers

NORTHEASTERN vs. DELAWARE, 6:00 PM ET
NORTHEASTERN: 9-0 ATS Away off win by 10+
DELAWARE: 19-9 ATS off loss by 10+

WM & MARY vs. JAMES MADISON, 8:30 PM ET
WM & MARY: 24-12 ATS as underdog
JAMES MADISON: 30-16 ATS if underdog last game

[Udog]

NCAAB
Short sheet


Friday, March 4

Update - If Missouri Valley Tourney updates, I'll add it.

Missouri Valley Conference Tournament - Quarterfinals - St. Louis, MO
S ILLINOIS vs. MISSOURI ST, 1:00 PM ET
S ILLINOIS:
MISSOURI ST:

CREIGHTON vs. N IOWA, 3:30 PM ET
CREIGHTON: 13-5 ATS vs. conference
N IOWA: 9-20 ATS vs. Creighton

BRADLEY vs. WICHITA ST, 7:00 PM ET
BRADLEY:
WICHITA ST:

EVANSVILLE vs. INDIANA ST, 9:30 PM ET
EVANSVILLE: 0-6 ATS playing with 5 or 6 days rest
INDIANA ST: 6-0 ATS Away off BB wins

Horizon League Tournament - Quarterfinals - Milwaukee, WI
WRIGHT ST vs. at CLEVELAND ST, 6:00 PM ET
WRIGHT ST: 2-8 ATS off home win
CLEVELAND ST: 5-1 ATS vs. Wright St

DETROIT vs. at VALPARAISO, 8:30 PM ET
DETROIT: 3-10 ATS playing only their 2nd game in a week
VALPARAISO: 17-5 ATS off ATS loss

West Coast Conference Tournament - 1rst Round - Las Vegas, NV
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT vs. PORTLAND, 9:00 PM ET
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT: 0-6 ATS off BB conference losses
PORTLAND: 0-7 ATS Away in 1st round tournament games

SAN DIEGO vs. PEPPERDINE, 11:25 PM ET
SAN DIEGO: 8-18 ATS this season
PEPPERDINE: 8-2 ATS off road loss

Southern Conference Tournament - 1rst Round - Chattanooga, TN
UNC-GREENSBORO vs. DAVIDSON, 2:00 PM ET
UNC-GREENSBORO: 9-1 ATS off 3+ conference games
DAVIDSON: 4-14 ATS off home win

GA SOUTHERN vs. APPALACHIAN ST, 4:25 PM ET
GA SOUTHERN: 1-7 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4 games
APPALACHIAN ST: 8-0 ATS Away off home win by 10+

SAMFORD vs. FURMAN, 7:00 PM ET
SAMFORD: 1-8 ATS as double digit underdog
FURMAN: 11-4 ATS as favorite

THE CITADEL vs. ELON, 9:25 PM ET
THE CITADEL: 6-13 ATS as an underdog
ELON: 11-2 ATS after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds

MAAC Tournament - 1rst Round - Bridgeport, CT
MARIST vs. NIAGARA, 7:30 PM ET
MARIST: 1-8 ATS in tournament games
NIAGARA: 28-14 ATS Away off BB home games

MANHATTAN vs. SIENA, 9:55 PM ET
MANHATTAN: 11-3 ATS Away off BB conf games
SIENA: 1-12 ATS as favorite

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet


Friday, March 4

TORONTO vs. at NEW JERSEY, 3:00 PM ET - London, England NBA
TORONTO: 1-9 ATS in road games after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog
NEW JERSEY: 1-8 ATS vs. division opponents

CHICAGO at ORLANDO, 7:00 PM ET ESPN
CHICAGO: 16-6 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread
ORLANDO: 9-18 ATS after playing a road game

MINNESOTA at PHILADELPHIA, 7:00 PM ET
MINNESOTA: 14-3 ATS in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games
PHILADELPHIA: 7-17 ATS in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread

GOLDEN STATE at BOSTON, 7:30 PM ET
GOLDEN STATE: 20-6 ATS against Atlantic division opponents
BOSTON: 9-23 ATS as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points

CLEVELAND at NEW YORK, 7:30 PM ET
CLEVELAND: 6-16 ATS after a non-conference game
NEW YORK: 21-9 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins

OKLAHOMA CITY at ATLANTA, 7:30 PM ET
OKLAHOMA CITY: 7-3 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more
ATLANTA: 11-1 UNDER as a home underdog

NEW ORLEANS at MEMPHIS, 8:00 PM ET
NEW ORLEANS: 1-5 ATS after scoring 90 points or less 2 straight games
MEMPHIS: 17-5 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent

INDIANA at DALLAS, 8:30 PM ET
INDIANA: 6-19 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points
DALLAS: 14-6 ATS off a road win

PHOENIX at MILWAUKEE, 8:30 PM ET
PHOENIX: 14-6 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games
MILWAUKEE: 9-18 ATS in non-conference games

MIAMI at SAN ANTONIO, 9:30 PM ET ESPN
MIAMI: 0-7 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4 games
SAN ANTONIO: 8-0 ATS in home games against Southeast division opponents

CHARLOTTE at LA LAKERS, 10:30 PM ET
CHARLOTTE: 10-2 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games
LA LAKERS: 1-8 ATS after 5 or more consecutive wins

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet


Friday, March 4

PITTSBURGH at NEW JERSEY, 7:00 PM ET NHL
PITTSBURGH: 12-5 SU in road games revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite
NEW JERSEY: 10-14 SU as a home favorite

NY RANGERS at OTTAWA, 7:30 PM ET
NY RANGERS: N/A
OTTAWA: N/A

CAROLINA at CHICAGO, 8:30 PM ET
CAROLINA: N/A
CHICAGO: N/A

COLUMBUS at CALGARY, 9:00 PM ET
COLUMBUS: 4-12 SU off a road loss
CALGARY: 10-16 SU in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent

DALLAS at ANAHEIM, 10:00 PM ET
DALLAS: N/A
ANAHEIM: N/A

** (TC) Denotes Time Change