Tuesday's Trends and Indexes - 3/1 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

[Udog]

NHL


Tuesday, March 1

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. NY RANGERS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of the NY Rangers last 8 games at home
NY Rangers are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games at home

7:00 PM
FLORIDA vs. CAROLINA
Florida is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games when playing Carolina
Carolina is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games when playing at home against Florida

7:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 7 games
Montreal is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 9 games at home
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal

7:00 PM
NY ISLANDERS vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Islanders last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of the NY Islanders last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Washington's last 18 games

7:30 PM
BOSTON vs. OTTAWA
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Ottawa is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Ottawa's last 11 games

8:00 PM
CALGARY vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Calgary is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 8 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary

9:00 PM
DALLAS vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing Phoenix
Dallas is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Phoenix's last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Phoenix's last 13 games when playing at home against Dallas

9:30 PM
NASHVILLE vs. EDMONTON
Nashville is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Nashville's last 16 games
Edmonton is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Nashville
Edmonton is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games when playing Nashville

10:00 PM
COLUMBUS vs. VANCOUVER
Columbus is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Columbus is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 6 games when playing Columbus
Vancouver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Columbus

10:30 PM
COLORADO vs. SAN JOSE
Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Jose
Colorado is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games
San Jose is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of San Jose's last 11 games when playing at home against Colorado


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[Udog]

NBA & NCAAB


Tuesday, March 1

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Pick 'n' roll: Today's best basketball bets
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NBA

New York Knicks at Orlando Magic (-7, 213)

The Knicks love when everyone writes them off against quality opponents. And why shouldn’t they? Even rebuilt, the team just losst to the lowly Cleveland Cavaliers. But when the chips are down against a contender, there aren’t many teams better than New York.

The team from Manhattan is a sparkling 6-2-1 ATS as an underdog of seven points or more this season. Most recently, the Knicks stunned the basketball world with a 91-86 win over the Heat. Miami entered the game as a 10-point favorite.

"The bigger the game, the bigger the stage, the bigger they play," Knicks coach Mike D'Antoni said.

Orlando, however, often shrinks from the spotlight.

The Magic are just 14-12 ATS this season as favorites of seven or more points and often fail to focus against lesser teams. Orlando is coming off consecutive straight up and against the spread wins versus Charlotte and Oklahoma City, but lost to the Kings in Florida last week by six.

"We've been talking for a long time -- all we seem to do is talk," Magic center Dwight Howard said. "You guys know what the difference is. You watch the games. If guys don't want to play, they need to sit down. We can't just have guys or anybody out there not playing hard.

"We're professional athletes. This is what we do for a living. If you can't go out there and go hard for two hours, then you shouldn't be playing."

Pick: Knicks



NCAA

Alabama Crimson Tide at Florida Gators (-6, 123.5)

The Crimson Tide simply can’t shoot from beyond the arc. The team is an abysmal 22-of-86 from downtown the past seven games and is making a mere 30 percent of its triples on the season. That’s bad news for a team that relies so heavily on its defense to win games.

Alabama is fourth in the country in points allowed per game (58.2) and fourth in opponents field goal percentage (37.3) and needs to play that well to win. The team is a horrendous 3-7 SU when giving up more than 60 points. Don’t fall for the team’s 45.2 percent shooting percentage either – the Crimson Tide have made nearly 110 dunks this season, meaning more than 15 percent of its baskets are slams around the rim.

That’s not the only troubling issue on offense. Senior Senario Hillman started the team’s first 10 games but has played sparingly since and was scoreless in 12 minutes in the team’s most recent game.

Hillman needs just 13 points to reach 1,000 for his career and just six steals to become the program’s all-time leader. However, he appears to be so far in the dog house, neither of those milestones are a given.

"He's so active," Alabama coach Anthony Grant said. "He can do so many things, and he's starting to get a comfort level from an offensive standpoint as well as far as what he can and can't do. ... He's playing good basketball, and we certainly need him to continue."

He can’t play though, if he’s never on the floor.

Pick: Florida


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[Udog]

NCAAB


Tuesday, March 1

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Tips and Trends
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Illinois Fighting Illini at Purdue Boilermakers [ESPN | 7:00 PM ET]

ILLINI: Illinois is currently on the NCAA Tournament bubble, so they need a strong finish to the regular season. The Illini have struggled recently, but are coming off a double digit SU win over Iowa. Illinois is 18-11 SU and 14-14-1 ATS overall this season. The Illini are just 4-6 SU and 5-4-1 ATS in true road games this year. Illinois is 2-3 ATS as the listed underdog this season. The Illini are facing their 2nd largest underdog price of the season tonight. Illinois has already lost to Purdue this season, so a SU road win tonight would be sweet redemption for a team that desperately needs it. G Demetri McCamey is the strongest player the Fighting Illini have, as he's averaging team highs of 14.7 PPG and 6.2 APG this year. F Mike Davis is averaging 12.1 PPG and a team high 6.9 RPG this season. The Fighting Illini are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win. Illinois is 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games against the Big Ten Conference. The Illini are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a winning SU record.

Illini are 7-2 ATS last 9 games as a road underdog of 7 to 12.5 points.
Over is 4-0 last 4 games against a team with a winning SU record.

Key Injuries - G Joseph Bertrand (hip) is questionable.

Projected Score: 58

BOILERMAKERS: (-9, O/U 136.5) Purdue is playing their best basketball of the season at the perfect time. The Boilermakers are slowly making a case for a #1 overall seed in the NCAA Tournament. Purdue crushed Michigan St. on the road in their most recent contest. The Boilermakers are 24-5 SU and currently ranked 6th in the national polls. Purdue is easily one of the most profitable teams this season, as they have gone 18-8 ATS. The Boilermakers have yet to lose SU at home this season, as they are 15-0 SU and 9-1 ATS. C JaJuan Johnson has been invaluable to the Boilermakers this year, as he's averaging team highs of 20.4 PPG and 8.1 RPG. G E'Twaun Moore is averaging 18.5 PPG and 5.3 RPG for Purdue this year. The Boilermakers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. Purdue is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win. The Boilermakers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win. Purdue is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a winning SU record. The Boilermakers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games against the Big Ten. Purdue is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. The Boilermakers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 Tuesday games.

Boilermakers are 6-0 ATS last 6 games overall.
Over is 9-4 last 13 games following an ATS win.

Key Injuries - None Reported.

Projected Score: 75 (SIDE of the Day)



Vanderbilt Commodores at Kentucky Wildcats [ESPN | 9:00 PM ET]

COMMODORES: Vanderbilt has won 6 of their last 7 games SU, as they get ready for another opportunity in the NCAA Tournaments. The Commodores have been extremely consistent over the past several seasons, making them a model CBB program. Vanderbilt is 21-7 SU and 14-9-1 ATS overall this season and ranked 20th in the nation. The Commodores are 5-4 SU and 6-2-1 ATS in true road games this season. Vanderbilt is an impressive 6-1 ATS as the listed underdog this year. Vanderbilt is 7-3 ATS after scoring 80 or more points in their previous game. G John Jenkins is averaging a team high 19.5 PPG this year, while shooting 41% from the 3 point line. G Brad Tinsley is averaging 10.9 PPG and a team high 4.4 APG this season. The Commodores are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. Vanderbilt is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games. The Commodores are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%. Vanderbilt is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against the SEC.

Commodores are 6-1 ATS last 7 games as a road underdog.
Over is 10-4 last 14 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%.

Key Injuries - G Jeffery Taylor (wrist) is probable.

Projected Score: 74

WILDCATS: (-7.5, O/U 145.5) Kentucky is coming off a strong home win over Florida, and they will look to back that performance up with a stronger one tonight. The Wildcats lost earlier this year to Vanderbilt, so tonight's matchup has plenty of significance for Kentucky. The Wildcats are 20-8 SU and 10-12-1 ATS overall this year, which has them ranked 23rd in the country. The Wildcats are unbeaten at home, as they are 14-0 SU and 5-3 ATS in home lined games this season. Kentucky is 4-8-1 ATS as a single digit favorite this year. G Brandon Knight leads the Wildcats in both points and assists this year, averaging 17.7 PPG and 4.1 APG respectively. F Terrence Jones is averaging 17.3 PPG and a team high 9.1 RPG this year. The Wildcats are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite between 7 and 12.5 points. Kentucky is 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games. Kentucky is 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%.

Wildcats are 1-5 ATS last 6 games following a SU win.
Over is 5-0 last 5 games as a favorite.

Key Injuries - None Reported.

Projected Score: 79 (OVER-Total of the Day)


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[Udog]

NHL


Tuesday, March 1

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Ice picks: Today's best NHL bets
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Montreal Canadiens at Atlanta Thrashers (-105, 5.5)

Montreal is getting some good news between the pipes, while the Thrashers could use a little of their own.

The Canadiens expect No.1 Carey Price to be back in the cage on Tuesday night after battling an illness that kept him on the bench this weekend. Price has a 2.41 goals-against average this season and a 91.9 save percentage. Price should get some decent offensive support with Mike Cammalleri and Tomas Plekanec clicking again.

Cammalleri missed about a month with a shoulder injury but has scored in each of the past two games to provide a vital offensive spark to the club. Cammalleri has two goals and two assists in his last two games.

“We’re excited to be back playing with each other. I’m sure he’s almost already sick of me. We’ve been talking about a bunch of plays,” Cammalleri said of linemate Tomas Plekanec, who netted his 20th goal of the season in the team’s most recent game, a 4-3 win over Carolina. Overall, the team has won two of its past three games and scored 11 goals over that span.

Meantime, Atlanta will have a hard time slowing down the hot Habs. The Thrashers likely will be without starting goalie Ondrej Pavelec who is battling an undisclosed injury. Also, recently acquired Radek Dvorak, Rob Schremp and Brett Festerling are expected to miss the game pending completion of their respective transactions.

Pick: Montreal


Dallas Stars at Phoenix Coyotes (-155, 5.5)

It took nearly three weeks, but the Dallas Stars are adapting to life without leading-scorer Brad Richards.

Over the past six games, Loui Eriksson has three goals and five points and recently acquired defender Alex Goligoski has a goal and two assists in three games with Dallas. Together, the duo has helped lead the team to consecutive convincing wins – a 4-1 win at Detroit and a 3-2 victory against Nashville.

“It wouldn’t have mattered if we played St. Mary’s School for the Deaf, Dumb and Blind, we needed a win last night and it is great that it came against one of the better teams in the league,” Dallas coach Marc Crawford said. “Now we’ve got to keep the momentum going.”

Meantime, the momentum is going the other way for the Coyotes. Phoenix has dropped three straight and given up a whopping 17 goals in the process. The team desperately needs help on the blue line, where it remains without injured stalwart Ed Jovanovski and David Schlemko.

The team acquired Rostislav Klesla from Columbus on Monday, but it is unknown if the transaction will be finalized in time for him to take the ice on Tuesday night. The Coyotes better be good at paper work – they desperately need him.

Pick: Dallas


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[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet


Tuesday, 3/1/2011

NEW YORK at ORLANDO, 7:00 PM ET
NEW YORK: 4-14 ATS in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent
ORLANDO: 38-21 ATS off a home win

NEW ORLEANS at TORONTO, 7:00 PM ET
NEW ORLEANS: 12-27 ATS off a home loss
TORONTO: 49-79 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent

DALLAS at PHILADELPHIA, 7:00 PM ET
DALLAS: 8-19 ATS when playing 4 or less games in 10 days
PHILADELPHIA: 13-5 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent

GOLDEN STATE at INDIANA, 7:00 PM ET
GOLDEN STATE: 21-7 ATS after allowing 120 points or more
INDIANA: 18-30 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent

LA LAKERS at MINNESOTA, 8:00 PM ET
LA LAKERS: 1-8 ATS after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread
MINNESOTA: 8-21 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins

SAN ANTONIO at MEMPHIS, 8:00 PM ET
SAN ANTONIO: 19-9 ATS in road games
MEMPHIS: 13-5 ATS off a road loss

DETROIT at MILWAUKEE, 8:00 PM ET
DETROIT: 7-2 ATS after scoring 110 points or more
MILWAUKEE: 2-8 ATS after allowing 85 points or less

HOUSTON at PORTLAND, 10:00 PM ET
HOUSTON: 9-2 ATS after a division game
PORTLAND: 1-5 ATS after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NCAAB
Short Sheet


Tuesday, 3/1/2011

ALABAMA at FLORIDA, 7:00 PM ET
ALABAMA: 10-3 ATS against conference opponents
FLORIDA: 4-13 ATS as a favorite

C MICHIGAN at TOLEDO, 7:00 PM ET
C MICHIGAN: 1-7 ATS after playing a home game
TOLEDO: 8-1 ATS off a home loss

AKRON at OHIO U, 7:00 PM ET
AKRON: 7-0 ATS after playing 4 consecutive games as favorite
OHIO U: 3-10 ATS in all home games

BAYLOR at OKLAHOMA ST, 7:00 PM ET
BAYLOR: 0-6 ATS after a game where they covered the spread
OKLAHOMA ST: 14-5 ATS in all home games

ILLINOIS at PURDUE, 7:00 PM ET
ILLINOIS: 23-41 ATS in road games after scoring 80 points or more
PURDUE: 6-0 ATS in home games after a conference game

NC STATE at VIRGINIA, 7:00 PM ET
NC STATE: 12-2 ATS in road games after playing a game as a home favorite
VIRGINIA: 58-82 ATS off a loss against a conference rival

KENT ST at BOWLING GREEN, 7:00 PM ET
KENT ST: 108-79 ATS against conference opponents
BOWLING GREEN: 0-8 ATS in home games after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers

MISSOURI at NEBRASKA, 8:00 PM ET
MISSOURI: 11-3 ATS off a road loss
NEBRASKA: 10-2 ATS in home games after a close loss by 3 points or less

BOSTON COLLEGE at VIRGINIA TECH, 9:00 PM ET
BOSTON COLLEGE: 3-11 ATS after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread
VIRGINIA TECH: 10-2 ATS off a home win against a conference rival

OHIO ST at PENN ST, 9:00 PM ET
OHIO ST: 6-0 ATS when playing their 2nd game in 3 days
PENN ST: 10-3 ATS after 3 consecutive conference games

VANDERBILT at KENTUCKY, 9:00 PM ET
VANDERBILT: 7-22 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points
KENTUCKY: 15-5 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite

SAN DIEGO ST at WYOMING, 10:00 PM ET
SAN DIEGO ST: 18-9 ATS in road games
WYOMING: 7-1 ATS after playing a road game

Horizon Conference Tournament - First Round
IL-CHICAGO at CLEVELAND ST, 7:00 PM ET
IL-CHICAGO: 7-0 ATS after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more
CLEVELAND ST: 8-1 ATS after allowing 60 points or less

Horizon Conference Tournament - First Round
WI-GREEN BAY at WRIGHT ST, 7:00 PM ET
WI-GREEN BAY: 10-28 ATS in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games
WRIGHT ST: 14-4 ATS off a home loss by 10 points or more

Horizon Conference Tournament - First Round
LOYOLA-IL at DETROIT, 7:00 PM ET
LOYOLA-IL: 7-23 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more
DETROIT: 4-17 ATS off a road win by 10 points or more

Horizon Conference Tournament - First Round
YOUNGSTOWN ST at VALPARAISO, 8:00 PM ET
YOUNGSTOWN ST: 7-16 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog
VALPARAISO: 20-9 ATS after one or more consecutive overs

Big South Conference Tournament - Opening Round
GARDNER WEBB at COASTAL CAROLINA, 7:00 PM ET
GARDNER WEBB: N/A
COASTAL CAROLINA: N/A

Big South Conference Tournament - Opening Round
CHARLESTON SO at UNC-ASHEVILLE, 7:00 PM ET
CHARLESTON SO: N/A
UNC-ASHEVILLE: N/A

Big South Conference Tournament - Opening Round
WINTHROP at VMI, 7:00 PM ET
WINTHROP: N/A
VMI: N/A

Big South Conference Tournament - Opening Round
HIGH POINT at LIBERTY, 7:00 PM ET
HIGH POINT: N/A
LIBERTY: N/A

N TEXAS at ARK-LITTLE ROCK, 8:30 PM ET
N TEXAS: 6-0 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more
ARK-LITTLE ROCK: 5-14 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet


Tuesday, 3/1/2011

NY ISLANDERS at WASHINGTON, 7:00 PM ET
NY ISLANDERS: 1-13 SU in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses
WASHINGTON: 10-5 ATS as a home favorite of -200 or higher

MONTREAL at ATLANTA, 7:00 PM ET
MONTREAL: 19-14 SU revenging 2 consecutive losses to opponent as a favorite
ATLANTA: 7-18 SU after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread

BUFFALO at NY RANGERS, 7:00 PM ET
BUFFALO: 15-9 SU in a road game where where the total is 5.5
NY RANGERS: 7-13 SU in home games off a home loss

FLORIDA at CAROLINA, 7:00 PM ET
FLORIDA: N/A
CAROLINA: N/A

BOSTON at OTTAWA, 7:30 PM ET
BOSTON: 11-2 SU in road games off 3 or more consecutive road wins
OTTAWA: 2-8 SU off a home win

CALGARY at ST LOUIS, 8:00 PM ET
CALGARY: 11-5 SU in road games off a home win
ST LOUIS: 4-13 SU after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game

DALLAS at PHOENIX, 9:00 PM ET
DALLAS: 15-25 SU off a home win
PHOENIX: 16-8 SU after allowing 4 goals or more 2 straight games

NASHVILLE at EDMONTON, 9:30 PM ET
NASHVILLE: 12-3 SU revenging a loss where team got shut out
EDMONTON: 3-12 SU in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses

COLUMBUS at VANCOUVER, 10:00 PM ET
COLUMBUS: 2-12 SU off a close loss by 1 goal to a division rival
VANCOUVER: 18-4 SU in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread

COLORADO at SAN JOSE, 10:30 PM ET
COLORADO: 1-10 SU revenging a road loss versus opponent
SAN JOSE: 20-7 SU off a road win scoring 4 or more goals

** (TC) Denotes Time Change